Max Meyer
P
Miami Marlins
Age 27
RHP
6'0" / 196 lbs
MLB
peak 0.8 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION108 act + 72 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10595vR 86
ERA3.84
FIP3.88
K%25.0%
BB%8.2%
K-BB%16.9%
ROS IP72
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 180 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5895.1
Whiff%
p7028.5%
K%
p7126.0%
xwOBA vs
p600.302
CH+1.7 (11%)
SI (10%)
SL-0.5 (56%)
FB-1.2 (34%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 22 | 111 | 454 | 130 | 42 | 8 | 100% | 5.0 | 22.0% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 2.0% | 2.27 | 3.67 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 22 | 111 | 454 | 130 | 42 | 8 | 100% | 5.0 | 28.6% | 9.3% | 19.4% | 1.8% | 2.27 | 2.83 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 15 | 15 | 67 | 266 | 75 | 21 | 7 | 100% | 4.5 | 25.0% | 8.7% | 16.3% | 2.3% | 4.03 | 3.33 | +1.1 |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 15 | 15 | 67 | 266 | 75 | 21 | 7 | 100% | 4.5 | 28.2% | 7.9% | 20.3% | 2.6% | 4.03 | 3.16 | +1.2 |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 115 | 503 | 115 | 43 | 23 | 100% | 4.4 | 21.2% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 5.3% | 5.01 | 5.31 | +0.1 |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 115 | 503 | 115 | 43 | 23 | 100% | 4.4 | 22.9% | 8.5% | 14.3% | 4.6% | 5.01 | 4.82 | +0.8 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 12 | 12 | 65 | 285 | 68 | 20 | 12 | 100% | 5.4 | 23.9% | 7.0% | 16.8% | 4.5% | 4.73 | 4.42 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 12 | 12 | 65 | 285 | 68 | 20 | 12 | 100% | 5.4 | 23.9% | 7.0% | 16.8% | 4.2% | 4.73 | 4.34 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 19 | 19 | 108 | 446 | 116 | 38 | 11 | 100% | 5.7 | 26.0% | 8.5% | 17.5% | 2.5% | 2.58 | 3.34 | +2.6 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | MIA | 12 | 12 | 72 | 304 | 76 | 25 | 10 | 100% | 6.0 | 25.0% | 8.2% | 16.9% | 3.4% | 3.84 | 3.88 | +0.8 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | MIA | 12 | 12 | 72 | 304 | 76 | 25 | 10 | 100% | 6.0 | 25.0% | 8.2% | 16.9% | 3.4% | 3.84 | 3.88 | +0.8 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 180 | 750 | 192 | 63 | 21 | — | — | 25.6% | 8.4% | 17.2% | 2.8% | 3.08 | 3.55 | +3.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 180 | 760 | 192 | 63 | 21 | — | — | 25.3% | 8.3% | 17.0% | 2.8% | 3.08 | 3.55 | +3.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 11 | 11 | 68 | 285 | 70 | 24 | 10 | 100% | 6.1 | 24.6% | 8.3% | 16.3% | 3.5% | 4.32 | 4.37 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | MIA | 11 | 11 | 64 | 272 | 65 | 23 | 10 | 100% | 5.9 | 24.0% | 8.5% | 15.4% | 3.6% | 4.45 | 4.53 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 11 | 11 | 64 | 270 | 66 | 22 | 9 | 100% | 5.8 | 24.6% | 8.3% | 16.3% | 3.5% | 4.32 | 4.37 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | MIA | 10 | 10 | 61 | 258 | 62 | 22 | 9 | 100% | 6.1 | 24.0% | 8.5% | 15.4% | 3.6% | 4.45 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 78 | 78 | 433 | 1838 | 441 | 148 | 68 | 100% | 5.6 | 24.0% | 8.1% | 15.9% | 3.7% | 4.11 | 4.13 | +6.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 36 | 36 | 200 | 849 | 204 | 68 | 31 | 100% | 5.6 | 24.0% | 8.1% | 15.9% | 3.7% | 4.11 | 4.13 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 94 | 94 | 466 | 1954 | 457 | 173 | 65 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.4% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 3.3% | 3.61 | 4.08 | +7.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 40 | 40 | 200 | 839 | 196 | 74 | 28 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.4% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 3.3% | 3.61 | 4.08 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Max Meyer (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.85 | 22.7% | 7.7% | 4.2% | — | 4.45 | 24.3% | 15.9% | 132 | -0.40 | — | — | — |
| Zack Wheeler R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.75 | 21.0% | 10.1% | 3.9% | .327 | 3.09 | 23.0% | 16.8% | 449 | -1.66 | 2.31 | 1,536 | 77 |
| Christian Scott R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.95 | 27.5% | 9.7% | 3.5% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.65 | 302 | 70 |
| Kumar Rocker R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.16 | 20.5% | 8.7% | 3.1% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.95 | 230 | 70 |
| Blake Wehunt R 2024 · 3.98 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.98 | 26.8% | 8.1% | 3.9% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 209 | 69 |
| Bryan Evans R 2027 · 3.94 FIP | 28 | SP | 3.94 | 17.8% | 6.2% | 2.8% | .250 | 4.75 | 19.7% | 14.9% | 132 | +0.81 | 3.72 | 231 | 69 |
| Brandon White R 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.08 | 24.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.90 | 264 | 68 |
| Connor Grey R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.88 | 22.1% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .286 | 4.32 | 16.2% | 7.0% | 104 | +0.44 | 2.81 | 461 | 68 |
| Mat Latos R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.68 | 20.2% | 6.3% | 2.7% | .306 | 5.21 | 14.5% | 4.4% | 128 | +1.53 | 3.68 | 244 | 68 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2025 · 4.15 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.15 | 18.9% | 7.9% | 3.0% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.87 | 247 | 68 |
| Brendan Beck R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.74 | 22.1% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.18 | 256 | 66 |
| Nate Karns R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.03 | 23.3% | 8.9% | 3.2% | .281 | 4.09 | 25.1% | 15.9% | 140 | +0.06 | 3.92 | 287 | 65 |
| Matt Shoemaker R 2027 · 4.51 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.51 | 20.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | .280 | 3.83 | 21.8% | 15.9% | 269 | -0.68 | 3.24 | 592 | 65 |
| Dylan Cumming R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.71 | 16.4% | 7.6% | 3.7% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 366 | 65 |
| Nick Tropeano R 2026 · 5.43 FIP | 27 | SP | 5.43 | 20.3% | 9.2% | 5.2% | .251 | 4.44 | 21.5% | 11.8% | 155 | -0.99 | 2.28 | 446 | 64 |
| Joe Wieland R 2025 · 4.50 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.50 | 18.6% | 7.3% | 3.7% | .359 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 270 | 64 |
| Alex Meyer R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.04 | 25.5% | 12.8% | 2.7% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.14 | 230 | 64 |
| Will Warren R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.98 | 22.4% | 7.7% | 3.3% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 651 | 64 |
| Jason Forjet R 2025 · 4.39 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.39 | 15.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 197 | 64 |
| Chase De Jong R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 27 | SP | 5.06 | 22.8% | 9.1% | 5.0% | .295 | 4.57 | 20.2% | 8.5% | 127 | -0.49 | 4.11 | 833 | 64 |
| Iván Nova R 2027 · 4.43 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.43 | 15.3% | 8.0% | 2.9% | .283 | 4.19 | 17.3% | 13.1% | 510 | -0.24 | 3.90 | 810 | 63 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 67 | 23.7% | 8.2% | 1.47 | 4.53 |
| Mike Mayers ('23) | 5 | 47 | 24.3% | 7.8% | 1.50 | 4.47 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Fernando Salas ('18) | 4 | 59 | 22.5% | 6.6% | 1.22 | 4.42 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Austin Voth ('24) | 6 | 58 | 22.2% | 8.2% | 1.50 | 4.63 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |