Max Meyer
P
Miami Marlins
+0.1
WAR
Age 27
RHP
6'0" / 196 lbs
MLB
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.95
FIP4.80
xFIP3.79
SIERA3.80
K%22.7%
BB%8.0%
K-BB%14.7%
IP62
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
STUF5050
CTRL5555
CMD5050
K†5555
FB Velo
p5294.7
Whiff%
p8030.0%
K%
p6625.2%
xwOBA vs
p330.332
CH+1.7 (12%)
SI (13%)
SL-0.5 (54%)
FB-1.2 (34%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | 22 | 22 | 111 | 454 | 130 | 42 | 8 | 22.0% | 10.6% | 2.0% | 2.27 | 3.68 | +2.0 |
| 2022 | 23 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 15 | 15 | 67 | 266 | 75 | 21 | 7 | 25.0% | 8.7% | 2.3% | 4.03 | 3.38 | +1.2 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 26 | 26 | 115 | 503 | 115 | 43 | 23 | 21.2% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 5.01 | 5.10 | +0.3 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 12 | 12 | 65 | 285 | 68 | 20 | 12 | 23.9% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.73 | 4.38 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 4 | 4 | 20 | 88 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 22.7% | 10.2% | 2.3% | 4.12 | 3.72 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | MIA | 42 | — | 42 | 179 | 41 | 15 | 7 | 22.9% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 4.54 | 4.33 | +0.3 |
| 2026 Total | 27 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 62 | 267 | 61 | 24 | 9 | 22.9% | 8.9% | 3.3% | 4.41 | 4.14 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 11 | 11 | 61 | 258 | 59 | 22 | 10 | 22.9% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 4.81 | 4.73 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | MIA | 60 | — | 60 | 252 | 57 | 21 | 10 | 22.4% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 4.81 | 4.81 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | MIA | 58 | — | 58 | 245 | 54 | 21 | 10 | 21.9% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 4.86 | 4.90 | +0.0 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | MIA | 56 | — | 56 | 236 | 50 | 20 | 10 | 21.3% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 4.95 | 5.00 | -0.0 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB | MIA | 54 | — | 54 | 227 | 47 | 20 | 9 | 20.6% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 5.05 | 5.12 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB | MIA | 51 | — | 51 | 217 | 43 | 20 | 9 | 20.0% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 5.17 | 5.25 | -0.2 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | MIA | 49 | — | 49 | 206 | 40 | 19 | 9 | 19.3% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 5.30 | 5.39 | -0.2 |
| 2034 | 35 | MLB | MIA | 46 | — | 46 | 194 | 36 | 18 | 9 | 18.5% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 5.44 | 5.54 | -0.3 |
| 2035 | 36 | MLB | MIA | 43 | — | 43 | 182 | 32 | 18 | 8 | 17.8% | 9.7% | 4.5% | 5.60 | 5.70 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 79 | 79 | 377 | 1596 | 361 | 144 | 54 | 22.6% | 9.0% | 3.4% | 3.94 | 4.20 | +4.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 42 | 42 | 200 | 846 | 191 | 76 | 29 | 22.6% | 9.0% | 3.4% | 3.94 | 4.20 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Max Meyer (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.79 | 23.0% | 7.8% | 4.1% | — | 4.81 | 22.4% | 13.9% | 179 | +0.02 | — | — | — |
| Jorge Reyes R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.66 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 3.3% | .307 | 3.46 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.20 | 3.35 | 227 | 82 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.78 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.78 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .297 | 3.85 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.93 | 3.85 | 102 | 81 |
| Ryan Doolittle R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.04 | 15.1% | 6.7% | 2.5% | .315 | 4.38 | 13.9% | 6.8% | 44 | +0.34 | 4.04 | 101 | 79 |
| Aaron Kurcz R 2025 · 4.80 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.80 | 15.4% | 8.4% | 3.5% | .301 | 3.96 | 26.2% | 21.8% | 50 | -0.84 | 3.31 | 213 | 78 |
| Fernando Cruz R 2024 · 5.29 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.29 | 15.6% | 12.2% | 3.6% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 316 | 78 |
| Ramon Delgado R 2028 · 4.66 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.66 | 13.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | .332 | 4.35 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 74 | -0.31 | 4.35 | 135 | 78 |
| Bryce Morrow R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.33 | 12.8% | 7.9% | 2.4% | .316 | 5.46 | 10.1% | -0.2% | 50 | +1.13 | 4.33 | 125 | 77 |
| Bryan Evans R 2027 · 4.19 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.19 | 17.8% | 6.2% | 3.3% | .250 | 4.61 | 19.7% | 14.9% | 132 | +0.42 | 3.86 | 231 | 77 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.58 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.8% | .309 | 5.45 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +0.87 | 3.47 | 160 | 77 |
| Scott Burke R 2024 · 5.31 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.31 | 14.9% | 8.2% | 4.4% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.55 | 119 | 77 |
| Derek Self R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.89 | 11.9% | 6.7% | 3.5% | .273 | 4.68 | 14.5% | 10.7% | 131 | -0.21 | 3.85 | 302 | 77 |
| Tyler Mizenko R 2025 · 5.14 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.14 | 13.3% | 10.2% | 3.4% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 104 | 77 |
| Brett McKinney R 2025 · 4.57 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.57 | 18.5% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 183 | 77 |
| Mike Adams R 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.39 | 17.1% | 11.2% | 4.2% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 109 | 77 |
| Tyler Myrick R 2026 · 5.33 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.33 | 13.0% | 8.9% | 4.0% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 204 | 77 |
| David Martinez R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.95 | 14.2% | 8.3% | 1.8% | .284 | 4.75 | 15.0% | 7.9% | 230 | +0.80 | 3.95 | 297 | 76 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2027 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.38 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.82 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.44 | 4.38 | 101 | 76 |
| Ronnie Shaban R 2025 · 4.37 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.37 | 14.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | .263 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.02 | 104 | 76 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.75 | 17.6% | 6.3% | 2.4% | .246 | 3.68 | 22.7% | 14.4% | 97 | -0.07 | 3.25 | 160 | 76 |
| Eder Llamas R 2028 · 4.85 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.85 | 12.3% | 8.8% | 3.1% | .261 | 3.65 | 11.3% | 4.6% | 120 | -1.20 | 3.23 | 171 | 76 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.