Tyler Duffey
P
Omaha Storm Chasers
+0.2
WAR
Age 35
RHP
6'3" / 220 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA4.30
FIP4.30
xFIP5.79
SIERA5.30
K%23.7%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%14.1%
IP25
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
STUF5555
CTRL4545
CMD5555
K†5555
FB Velo
p1992.3
Whiff%
p4825.0%
K%
p4321.1%
xwOBA vs
p100.362
SI (16%)
CU (30%)
CH (8%)
SL (17%)
FB (44%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 24 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 32 | 32 | 196 | 801 | 175 | 50 | 5 | 19.5% | 6.5% | 0.6% | 2.71 | 2.62 | +6.0 |
| 2016 | 25 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 31 | 31 | 164 | 721 | 139 | 41 | 29 | 18.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.77 | 4.59 | +1.3 |
| 2017 | 26 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 56 | 0 | 71 | 310 | 67 | 13 | 9 | 21.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 4.94 | 3.28 | +1.4 |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 50 | 1 | 84 | 353 | 82 | 22 | 11 | 21.1% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 4.18 | 3.89 | +1.2 |
| 2019 | 28 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 65 | 0 | 71 | 291 | 104 | 18 | 8 | 34.8% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 2.27 | 2.52 | +2.0 |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 22 | 0 | 24 | 92 | 31 | 6 | 2 | 33.7% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 1.88 | 2.34 | +0.7 |
| 2021 | 30 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 64 | 0 | 62 | 254 | 61 | 27 | 4 | 24.0% | 10.6% | 1.7% | 3.18 | 3.33 | +1.2 |
| 2022 | 31 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 51 | 0 | 55 | 241 | 52 | 19 | 9 | 20.9% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 5.07 | 4.29 | +0.4 |
| 2023 | 32 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 40 | 2 | 51 | 204 | 61 | 24 | 8 | 25.6% | 13.3% | 4.3% | 3.51 | 5.00 | -0.0 |
| 2024 | 33 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 32 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 44 | 19 | 2 | 23.6% | 9.1% | 1.6% | 2.95 | 3.12 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 35 | MLB | KC | 25 | — | 25 | 107 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 22.5% | 9.6% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 4.39 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | KC | 24 | — | 24 | 100 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 21.7% | 9.8% | 3.0% | 4.46 | 4.56 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 443 | 66 | 818 | 3436 | 770 | 243 | 90 | 22.4% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 3.86 | 3.54 | +16.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 108 | 16 | 200 | 840 | 188 | 59 | 22 | 22.4% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 3.86 | 3.54 | +4.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tyler Duffey (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.39 | 22.5% | 9.6% | 2.9% | — | 4.56 | 21.7% | 11.9% | 24 | +0.17 | — | — | — |
| Wade Davis R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.06 | 20.0% | 10.0% | 4.3% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.00 | 320 | 84 |
| Josh Lueke R 2025 · 4.14 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.14 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 107 | 81 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.50 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% | .290 | 3.90 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.40 | 3.50 | 219 | 80 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2029 · 4.17 FIP | 38 | SW | 4.17 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.0% | .272 | 3.38 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.79 | 2.67 | 295 | 80 |
| Manny Acosta R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 79 |
| Mark Serrano R 2024 · 5.25 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.25 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 120 | 78 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.11 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 186 | 77 |
| Mark Lowe R 2025 · 5.01 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.01 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.7% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 153 | 77 |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.52 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 3.4% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.57 | 251 | 76 |
| Matt Belisle R 2026 · 3.20 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.20 | 16.8% | 8.7% | 0.8% | .300 | 3.38 | 18.8% | 13.8% | 141 | +0.18 | 2.49 | 174 | 75 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2024 · 4.98 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.98 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 122 | 75 |
| Brian Schlitter R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.71 | 14.9% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.31 | 244 | 74 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2025 · 4.09 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.09 | 15.0% | 6.4% | 2.6% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 132 | 74 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2025 · 3.94 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.94 | 18.1% | 12.9% | 1.3% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.48 | 147 | 74 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2029 · 3.55 FIP | 38 | SW | 3.55 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 2.6% | .179 | 4.12 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 98 | +0.57 | 3.55 | 164 | 74 |
| Hector Navarro R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.37 | 15.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | .281 | 2.96 | 15.2% | 9.0% | 81 | -1.41 | 2.30 | 126 | 74 |
| Ryan Madson R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.98 | 18.1% | 6.3% | 2.9% | .284 | 2.39 | 27.2% | 22.6% | 112 | -1.59 | 1.43 | 240 | 74 |
| Rafael Dolis R 2025 · 3.60 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.60 | 19.9% | 11.9% | 1.2% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.80 | 162 | 73 |
| Luke Gregerson R 2025 · 4.71 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.71 | 21.1% | 10.5% | 3.7% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 192 | 72 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.45 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 3.9% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 208 | 72 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.