Landen Roupp
P
San Francisco Giants
Age 27
RHP
6'2" / 220 lbs
MLB
Svc 1.0 · Ctrl thru 2030
peak 1.8 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION97 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 9686vR 77
ERA3.35
FIP3.55
K%24.1%
BB%10.3%
K-BB%13.8%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 162 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p2792.9
Whiff%
p5526.1%
K%
p6725.3%
xwOBA vs
p770.286
FB+3.6 (41%)
CH+3.0 (20%)
SI (36%)
CU (26%)
CT-2.4 (14%)
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 0 | 8 | 31 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 45.2% | 3.2% | 41.9% | 0.0% | 2.25 | -0.31 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 0 | 8 | 31 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 45.2% | 3.2% | 41.9% | 0.0% | 2.25 | -0.02 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 26 | 14 | 107 | 432 | 152 | 37 | 6 | 54% | 4.1 | 26.9% | 9.8% | 17.1% | 1.7% | 2.60 | 3.03 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 26 | 14 | 107 | 432 | 152 | 37 | 6 | 54% | 4.1 | 35.2% | 8.6% | 26.6% | 1.4% | 2.60 | 2.03 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 10 | 10 | 31 | 120 | 42 | 9 | 1 | 100% | 3.1 | 28.3% | 8.2% | 20.1% | 1.2% | 1.74 | 2.43 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 10 | 10 | 31 | 120 | 42 | 9 | 1 | 100% | 3.1 | 35.0% | 7.5% | 27.5% | 0.8% | 1.74 | 1.68 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 34 | 12 | 77 | 324 | 89 | 40 | 3 | 35% | 2.3 | 23.9% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 1.1% | 3.40 | 3.34 | +1.4 |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 34 | 12 | 77 | 324 | 89 | 40 | 3 | 35% | 2.3 | 27.5% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 0.9% | 3.40 | 2.85 | +1.8 |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 110 | 488 | 106 | 44 | 11 | 100% | 4.8 | 21.4% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 2.5% | 3.86 | 3.84 | +2.0 |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 110 | 488 | 106 | 44 | 11 | 100% | 4.8 | 21.7% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 2.3% | 3.86 | 3.67 | +2.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 18 | 18 | 97 | 411 | 104 | 42 | 7 | 100% | 5.4 | 25.3% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 1.7% | 4.27 | 3.19 | +2.4 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | SF | 11 | 11 | 65 | 273 | 66 | 28 | 6 | 100% | 5.9 | 24.1% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 2.1% | 3.35 | 3.55 | +0.8 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | SF | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 66 | 28 | 6 | 100% | 5.9 | 24.1% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 2.1% | 3.30 | 3.50 | +0.9 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | SF | — | — | 162 | 684 | 170 | 70 | 13 | — | — | 24.8% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 1.9% | 3.90 | 3.33 | +3.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | SF | — | — | 162 | 683 | 170 | 70 | 13 | — | — | 24.9% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 1.9% | 3.88 | 3.32 | +3.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | SF | 18 | 18 | 107 | 451 | 106 | 47 | 10 | 100% | 5.9 | 23.6% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 2.2% | 3.93 | 4.04 | +1.7 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | SF | 17 | 17 | 102 | 430 | 99 | 46 | 10 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.0% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 2.4% | 4.09 | 4.20 | +1.4 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | SF | 16 | 16 | 96 | 404 | 90 | 44 | 11 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.3% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 2.6% | 4.28 | 4.41 | +1.0 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | SF | 15 | 15 | 89 | 377 | 81 | 43 | 11 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.6% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 2.8% | 4.50 | 4.64 | +0.6 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | SF | 17 | 17 | 101 | 426 | 101 | 45 | 9 | 100% | 5.9 | 23.6% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 2.2% | 3.88 | 3.99 | +1.7 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | SF | 16 | 16 | 97 | 410 | 94 | 44 | 9 | 100% | 6.1 | 23.0% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 2.3% | 4.04 | 4.15 | +1.3 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | SF | 15 | 15 | 91 | 384 | 86 | 42 | 10 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.3% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 2.5% | 4.22 | 4.35 | +0.9 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | SF | 14 | 14 | 85 | 359 | 77 | 41 | 10 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.6% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 2.7% | 4.44 | 4.58 | +0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 137 | 118 | 693 | 2956 | 677 | 311 | 64 | 86% | 5.1 | 22.9% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 2.2% | 3.98 | 3.68 | +13.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 40 | 34 | 200 | 854 | 195 | 90 | 18 | 86% | 5.0 | 22.9% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 2.2% | 3.98 | 3.68 | +4.0 | ||
| Career | — | 116 | 77 | 430 | 1806 | 450 | 183 | 32 | 66% | 3.7 | 24.9% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 1.8% | 3.37 | 3.24 | +10.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 54 | 36 | 200 | 841 | 210 | 85 | 15 | 66% | 3.7 | 24.9% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 1.8% | 3.37 | 3.24 | +5.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Landen Roupp (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.35 | 21.6% | 10.4% | 2.5% | — | 4.21 | 23.0% | 12.3% | 304 | -0.14 | — | — | — |
| Mitch Atkins R 2029 · 3.37 FIP | 30 | SP- | 3.37 | 21.4% | 8.2% | 1.9% | .341 | 4.49 | 14.3% | 6.2% | 78 | +1.12 | 3.37 | 205 | 74 |
| Hector Noesí R 2027 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 72 |
| Daniel Ponce de Leon R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.06 | 22.8% | 12.0% | 2.5% | .246 | 5.00 | 22.7% | 10.1% | 182 | +0.94 | 3.39 | 768 | 72 |
| Patrick Johnson R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.52 | 17.3% | 6.9% | 1.8% | .286 | 4.03 | 15.7% | 6.4% | 120 | +0.51 | 3.52 | 248 | 71 |
| Mat Latos R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.68 | 20.2% | 6.3% | 2.7% | .306 | 5.21 | 14.5% | 4.4% | 128 | +1.53 | 3.68 | 244 | 71 |
| Taylor Jungmann R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.82 | 18.8% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 435 | 71 |
| Yariel Rodríguez R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.80 | 25.1% | 11.8% | 2.4% | .275 | 3.77 | 24.2% | 12.3% | 89 | -0.03 | 2.60 | 196 | 70 |
| Brad Peacock R 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 28 | SP- | 3.89 | 20.9% | 8.7% | 2.7% | .302 | 3.31 | 29.4% | 20.4% | 289 | -0.58 | 2.88 | 533 | 70 |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.82 | 20.8% | 10.0% | 2.2% | .265 | 5.66 | 17.5% | 5.3% | 119 | +1.84 | 3.75 | 299 | 69 |
| Jared Mortensen R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.44 | 16.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% | .287 | 4.90 | 20.9% | 2.1% | 72 | +0.46 | 4.44 | 200 | 69 |
| Alejandro Martinez R 2025 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.24 | 17.5% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .393 | 4.44 | 9.2% | 3.9% | 53 | +0.20 | 4.24 | 166 | 68 |
| Preston Johnson R 2025 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 146 | 68 |
| Raynel Espinal R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.76 | 22.4% | 7.1% | 3.0% | .313 | 3.72 | 22.3% | 12.4% | 224 | -0.04 | 2.53 | 507 | 68 |
| Tyler Chatwood R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.33 | 19.0% | 11.9% | 2.4% | .279 | 4.46 | 20.6% | 5.2% | 199 | +0.13 | 3.22 | 537 | 68 |
| Rafael Montero R 2025 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.85 | 22.0% | 11.2% | 2.2% | .339 | 3.46 | 28.7% | 22.8% | 47 | -0.39 | 2.38 | 663 | 68 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2025 · 4.15 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.15 | 18.9% | 7.9% | 3.0% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.87 | 247 | 67 |
| David Hale R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.95 | 16.2% | 6.8% | 2.5% | .343 | 4.35 | 13.8% | 8.1% | 251 | +0.40 | 3.26 | 493 | 67 |
| David Phelps R 2027 · 3.94 FIP | 28 | SP | 3.94 | 16.0% | 6.8% | 2.4% | .299 | 2.83 | 29.9% | 20.6% | 142 | -1.11 | 2.51 | 373 | 67 |
| Kumar Rocker R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.16 | 20.5% | 8.7% | 3.1% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.95 | 230 | 66 |
| Michael Bowden R 2027 · 3.25 FIP | 28 | SP- | 3.25 | 17.3% | 6.4% | 1.4% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 141 | 66 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 100 | 22.5% | 10.7% | 0.97 | 4.18 |
| Tyson Ross ('19) | 4 | 107 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 0.84 | 4.31 |
| Patrick Sandoval ('24) | 6 | 89 | 22.7% | 10.1% | 0.92 | 4.01 |
| Ian Anderson ('22) | 3 | 91 | 22.5% | 10.4% | 0.96 | 3.97 |
| Jimmy Nelson ('21) | 5 | 117 | 22.2% | 9.1% | 0.97 | 4.08 |
| Gio Gonzalez ('20) | 6 | 141 | 21.8% | 9.5% | 0.85 | 3.85 |
| Kyle Wright ('23) | 3 | 83 | 22.4% | 8.9% | 1.12 | 3.97 |