Peter Lambert
P
Houston Astros
Age 29
RHP
6'2" / 208 lbs
MLB
peak 0.6 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION66 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.06
FIP3.96
xFIP2.62
SIERA2.68
K%20.4%
BB%9.5%
K-BB%10.9%
IP66
K†4545
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.6peak
2026
SL+1.2 (28%)
FB (40%)
CH (22%)
SI (10%)
CU (9%)
CT-0.8 (10%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 18 | ROK | Grand Junction Rockies | 8 | 8 | 31 | 143 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12.4% | 9.6% | 2.9% | 3.45 | 4.89 | -0.1 |
| 2016 | 19 | A | Asheville Tourists | 26 | 26 | 126 | 517 | 108 | 33 | 7 | 15.5% | 7.5% | 1.2% | 3.93 | 3.41 | +2.9 |
| 2017 | 20 | A+ | Lancaster JetHawks | 26 | 26 | 142 | 585 | 131 | 30 | 18 | 17.2% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 4.17 | 3.35 | +3.4 |
| 2018 | 21 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 26 | 26 | 148 | 603 | 106 | 27 | 11 | 14.6% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 3.28 | 3.33 | +3.6 |
| 2019 | 22 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 30 | 30 | 150 | 677 | 108 | 49 | 28 | 15.0% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 6.37 | 4.58 | +1.4 |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 9 | 9 | 22 | 101 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 21.8% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 5.82 | 5.11 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 4 | 4 | 9 | 42 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 26.2% | 14.3% | 0.0% | 6.23 | 2.70 | +0.2 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 32 | 18 | 109 | 473 | 92 | 42 | 18 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 5.12 | 4.25 | +1.5 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 38 | 7 | 90 | 403 | 88 | 40 | 10 | 20.7% | 10.1% | 2.0% | 5.58 | 3.74 | +1.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | Houston Astros | 13 | 12 | 72 | 297 | 65 | 28 | 6 | 21.4% | 9.5% | 2.1% | 3.14 | 3.62 | +1.0 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | HOU | 10 | — | 10 | 40 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 20.4% | 9.5% | 2.5% | 4.06 | 3.96 | +0.1 |
| 2026 Total | 29 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 81 | 337 | 73 | 32 | 7 | 21.7% | 9.4% | 2.1% | 3.25 | 3.66 | +1.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | HOU | 11 | 11 | 62 | 264 | 52 | 27 | 7 | 19.8% | 10.2% | 2.7% | 4.55 | 4.60 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | HOU | 58 | — | 58 | 246 | 47 | 26 | 7 | 19.1% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 4.72 | 4.83 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | HOU | 54 | — | 54 | 228 | 42 | 25 | 7 | 18.2% | 10.9% | 3.2% | 4.94 | 5.08 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB | HOU | 50 | — | 50 | 209 | 36 | 24 | 7 | 17.4% | 11.4% | 3.5% | 5.19 | 5.36 | -0.5 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB | HOU | 45 | — | 45 | 190 | 31 | 23 | 7 | 16.5% | 11.9% | 3.8% | 5.48 | 5.67 | -0.6 |
| 2032 | 35 | MLB | HOU | 40 | — | 40 | 171 | 27 | 21 | 7 | 15.5% | 12.4% | 4.1% | 5.79 | 6.00 | -0.7 |
| 2033 | 36 | MLB | HOU | 36 | — | 36 | 151 | 22 | 20 | 7 | 14.5% | 13.0% | 4.5% | 6.14 | 6.37 | -0.8 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 212 | 166 | 899 | 3841 | 658 | 292 | 85 | 17.1% | 7.6% | 2.2% | 4.57 | 3.84 | +16.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 47 | 37 | 200 | 855 | 146 | 65 | 19 | 17.1% | 7.6% | 2.2% | 4.57 | 3.84 | +3.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Peter Lambert (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.57 | 19.1% | 9.5% | 2.7% | — | 4.82 | 19.1% | 8.5% | 175 | +0.25 | — | — | — |
| Dalier Hinojosa R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.56 | 20.4% | 9.8% | 1.7% | .283 | 4.38 | 18.7% | 6.1% | 24 | +0.82 | 3.56 | 104 | 81 |
| Al Alburquerque R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.58 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.18 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 114 | -0.40 | 2.76 | 228 | 80 |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2028 · 3.46 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.46 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .241 | 5.92 | 16.9% | 7.2% | 90 | +2.46 | 3.46 | 160 | 79 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 78 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 78 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2028 · 3.69 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.69 | 17.5% | 8.8% | 1.8% | .244 | 4.74 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 377 | +1.05 | 3.69 | 521 | 77 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 77 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2029 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 77 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 77 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.19 | 24.4% | 10.9% | 3.2% | .311 | 2.38 | 20.9% | 12.6% | 25 | -1.81 | 2.38 | 160 | 77 |
| Luis García R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.80 | 20.6% | 10.9% | 1.9% | .281 | 3.81 | 21.6% | 12.6% | 179 | +0.01 | 2.40 | 617 | 77 |
| Drew Storen R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.86 | 19.5% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .289 | 4.49 | 19.4% | 8.4% | 10 | +0.63 | 2.36 | 172 | 77 |
| Pedro Báez R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.26 | 22.9% | 9.6% | 3.4% | .261 | 3.30 | 24.7% | 16.1% | 143 | -0.96 | 2.39 | 332 | 76 |
| Pedro Beato R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.86 | 19.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .275 | 3.73 | 18.5% | 11.1% | 152 | -1.13 | 3.40 | 295 | 76 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2028 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SW | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 75 |
| Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.39 | 19.0% | 12.3% | 2.4% | .333 | 3.24 | 22.5% | 15.8% | 120 | -1.15 | 2.96 | 230 | 75 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2028 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 75 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2025 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 75 |
| Wily Peralta R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.18 | 22.7% | 13.7% | 2.3% | .310 | 4.93 | 15.3% | 5.5% | 154 | +0.75 | 4.02 | 748 | 75 |
| Chris Leroux R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.50 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .279 | 3.94 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.56 | 3.94 | 219 | 75 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.