Emmet Sheehan
P
Los Angeles Dodgers
Age 26
RHP
6'5" / 220 lbs
MLB
Svc 2.0 · Ctrl thru 2029
peak 1.6 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION82 act + 55 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10293vR 83
ERA3.59
FIP3.60
K%28.4%
BB%7.1%
K-BB%21.3%
ROS IP55
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 137 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5094.5
Whiff%
p8130.2%
K%
p7426.6%
xwOBA vs
p560.306
SL+2.4 (30%)
CH (16%)
CU (10%)
FB-6.0 (43%)
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 7 | 2 | 16 | 68 | 34 | 8 | 2 | 29% | 2.2 | 35.7% | 10.5% | 25.1% | 5.0% | 5.17 | 4.16 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 7 | 2 | 16 | 68 | 34 | 8 | 2 | 29% | 2.2 | 50.0% | 11.8% | 38.2% | 2.9% | 5.17 | 1.95 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 14 | 68 | 279 | 106 | 31 | 3 | 70% | 3.4 | 29.8% | 12.3% | 17.5% | 0.9% | 2.91 | 2.66 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 14 | 68 | 279 | 106 | 31 | 3 | 70% | 3.4 | 38.0% | 11.1% | 26.9% | 1.1% | 2.91 | 1.92 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 22 | 123 | 497 | 166 | 55 | 18 | 79% | 4.4 | 29.5% | 11.2% | 18.3% | 3.7% | 3.65 | 4.03 | +2.0 |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 22 | 123 | 497 | 166 | 55 | 18 | 79% | 4.4 | 33.4% | 11.1% | 22.3% | 3.6% | 3.65 | 3.64 | +2.5 |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 21 | 18 | 93 | 370 | 125 | 24 | 10 | 86% | 4.4 | 31.9% | 6.6% | 25.3% | 3.0% | 3.10 | 2.90 | +2.6 |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 21 | 18 | 93 | 370 | 125 | 24 | 10 | 86% | 4.4 | 33.8% | 6.5% | 27.3% | 2.7% | 3.10 | 2.58 | +2.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 17 | 17 | 82 | 350 | 93 | 26 | 15 | 100% | 4.8 | 26.6% | 7.4% | 19.1% | 4.3% | 4.81 | 4.15 | +0.8 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | LAD | 9 | 9 | 55 | 232 | 66 | 16 | 8 | 100% | 6.1 | 28.4% | 7.1% | 21.3% | 3.6% | 3.59 | 3.60 | +0.6 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | LAD | 9 | 9 | 55 | 232 | 66 | 17 | 8 | 100% | 6.1 | 28.4% | 7.1% | 21.3% | 3.5% | 3.54 | 3.55 | +0.6 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 137 | 582 | 159 | 42 | 23 | — | — | 27.3% | 7.3% | 20.0% | 4.0% | 4.32 | 3.93 | +2.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 137 | 579 | 159 | 42 | 23 | — | — | 27.4% | 7.3% | 20.1% | 4.0% | 4.30 | 3.91 | +2.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 12 | 12 | 70 | 297 | 86 | 21 | 11 | 100% | 5.9 | 28.9% | 7.2% | 21.7% | 3.7% | 3.96 | 3.98 | +0.7 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 11 | 11 | 68 | 288 | 83 | 21 | 11 | 100% | 6.2 | 28.8% | 7.3% | 21.4% | 3.8% | 4.02 | 4.06 | +0.5 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | LAD | 11 | 11 | 65 | 275 | 78 | 21 | 11 | 100% | 5.9 | 28.2% | 7.6% | 20.6% | 3.9% | 4.14 | 4.22 | +0.3 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 11 | 11 | 67 | 283 | 82 | 20 | 10 | 100% | 6.1 | 28.9% | 7.2% | 21.7% | 3.6% | 3.90 | 3.92 | +0.6 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 79 | 20 | 10 | 100% | 5.9 | 28.8% | 7.3% | 21.4% | 3.7% | 3.96 | 4.00 | +0.5 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | LAD | 10 | 10 | 62 | 262 | 74 | 20 | 10 | 100% | 6.2 | 28.2% | 7.6% | 20.6% | 3.8% | 4.08 | 4.16 | +0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 89 | 84 | 465 | 1939 | 546 | 151 | 72 | 94% | 5.2 | 28.2% | 7.8% | 20.4% | 3.7% | 4.01 | 3.73 | +9.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 38 | 36 | 200 | 835 | 235 | 65 | 31 | 94% | 5.2 | 28.2% | 7.8% | 20.4% | 3.7% | 4.01 | 3.73 | +3.9 | ||
| Career | — | 93 | 73 | 382 | 1564 | 465 | 148 | 50 | 78% | 4.1 | 29.7% | 9.4% | 20.3% | 3.2% | 3.70 | 3.55 | +8.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 49 | 38 | 200 | 818 | 243 | 77 | 26 | 78% | 4.1 | 29.7% | 9.4% | 20.3% | 3.2% | 3.70 | 3.55 | +4.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Emmet Sheehan (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.43 | 31.6% | 6.8% | 3.2% | — | 4.08 | 28.6% | 21.3% | 204 | +0.65 | — | — | — |
| Blake Wehunt R 2025 · 3.98 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.98 | 26.8% | 8.1% | 3.9% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 209 | 73 |
| Andy Ferguson R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.57 | 22.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | .262 | 3.13 | 18.6% | 10.6% | 33 | -0.44 | 3.13 | 137 | 72 |
| Brandon White R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.08 | 24.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.90 | 264 | 70 |
| J.P. France R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.15 | 27.6% | 11.3% | 3.5% | .306 | 4.38 | 21.1% | 11.4% | 292 | +0.23 | 4.11 | 563 | 67 |
| Brett Sears R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 26 | SP | 3.56 | 23.9% | 5.8% | 3.2% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 167 | 66 |
| Yu Darvish R 2029 · 2.90 FIP | 29 | SP | 2.90 | 30.6% | 7.6% | 2.6% | .284 | 3.86 | 29.1% | 21.2% | 405 | +0.96 | 1.91 | 1,253 | 66 |
| J.T. Ginn R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.07 | 26.3% | 8.3% | 3.9% | .307 | 4.25 | 21.4% | 11.0% | 103 | +0.18 | 3.13 | 501 | 66 |
| Yariel Rodríguez R 2027 · 3.80 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.80 | 25.1% | 11.8% | 2.4% | .275 | 3.77 | 24.2% | 12.3% | 89 | -0.03 | 2.60 | 196 | 65 |
| David Festa R 2025 · 3.73 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.73 | 24.9% | 7.5% | 3.2% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 405 | 65 |
| Preston Johnson R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 146 | 65 |
| Luke Weaver R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.32 | 23.3% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .346 | 4.34 | 20.7% | 13.8% | 225 | +0.02 | 2.26 | 1,022 | 65 |
| Tyson Hardin R 2024 · 3.45 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.45 | 23.4% | 8.3% | 2.3% | .349 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.47 | 177 | 65 |
| Michael Grove R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 26.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | .354 | 3.63 | 25.3% | 17.2% | 67 | -0.29 | 3.54 | 377 | 64 |
| Tylor Megill R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 26 | SP | 3.99 | 27.3% | 7.4% | 4.1% | .302 | 4.02 | 22.1% | 12.5% | 323 | +0.03 | 3.01 | 603 | 63 |
| Brandon Woodruff R 2026 · 2.81 FIP | 26 | SP | 2.81 | 29.0% | 6.1% | 2.5% | .315 | 2.93 | 30.3% | 24.0% | 406 | +0.12 | 2.61 | 1,247 | 63 |
| Thomas Hatch R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.02 | 22.6% | 7.3% | 3.5% | .276 | 4.27 | 19.6% | 11.4% | 206 | +0.25 | 3.20 | 878 | 63 |
| JT Brubaker R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.80 | 23.4% | 8.3% | 3.0% | .313 | 4.22 | 23.4% | 15.7% | 268 | +0.42 | 3.29 | 848 | 63 |
| Mat Latos R 2027 · 3.68 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.68 | 20.2% | 6.3% | 2.7% | .306 | 5.21 | 14.5% | 4.4% | 128 | +1.53 | 3.68 | 244 | 62 |
| Grant Kipp R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.60 | 23.3% | 8.6% | 4.3% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.26 | 325 | 62 |
| Kumar Rocker R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.16 | 20.5% | 8.7% | 3.1% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.95 | 230 | 62 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 69 | 29.4% | 7.2% | 1.41 | 3.88 |
| Blake Parker ('21) | 4 | 60 | 26.6% | 7.3% | 1.40 | 3.36 |
| Erik Swanson ('24) | 5 | 51 | 26.2% | 6.5% | 1.57 | 3.70 |
| Giovanny Gallegos ('24) | 6 | 52 | 29.4% | 6.6% | 1.19 | 3.46 |
| Adbert Alzolay ('23) | 3 | 70 | 26.1% | 7.0% | 1.32 | 3.84 |
| Chris Devenski ('24) | 6 | 62 | 26.0% | 6.9% | 1.25 | 3.61 |
| Sean Doolittle ('21) | 5 | 49 | 28.7% | 6.2% | 1.18 | 3.31 |