Emmet Sheehan
P
Los Angeles Dodgers
+1.3
WAR
Age 26
RHP
6'5" / 220 lbs
MLB
Svc 2.0 · Ctrl thru 2029
peak 1.1 · 2026
ERA3.64
FIP3.54
xFIP3.99
SIERA4.25
K%29.3%
BB%7.9%
K-BB%21.5%
IP72
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.1peak
2026
K†6565
FB Velo
p4594.2
Whiff%
p7629.3%
K%
p4120.9%
xwOBA vs
p230.344
SL+2.4 (32%)
CH (18%)
CU (10%)
FB-6.0 (40%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 7 | 2 | 16 | 68 | 34 | 8 | 2 | 35.7% | 10.5% | 4.8% | 5.17 | 4.08 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 22 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 20 | 14 | 68 | 279 | 106 | 31 | 3 | 29.8% | 12.3% | 0.9% | 2.91 | 2.66 | +1.8 |
| 2023 | 23 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 28 | 22 | 123 | 497 | 166 | 55 | 18 | 29.5% | 11.2% | 3.5% | 3.65 | 3.94 | +1.9 |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 21 | 18 | 93 | 370 | 125 | 24 | 10 | 31.9% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 3.10 | 2.68 | +2.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 3 | 3 | 15 | 65 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 21.5% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 6.60 | 5.83 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | LAD | 56 | — | 56 | 239 | 66 | 19 | 8 | 27.8% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 3.55 | 3.65 | +0.8 |
| 2026 Total | 26 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 72 | 304 | 80 | 25 | 12 | 26.4% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 4.19 | 4.11 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 13 | 13 | 71 | 300 | 83 | 24 | 10 | 27.8% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 4.01 | 4.05 | +0.8 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 13 | 13 | 70 | 295 | 82 | 24 | 10 | 27.7% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 4.05 | 4.08 | +0.8 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | LAD | 12 | 12 | 68 | 288 | 79 | 24 | 10 | 27.2% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 4.11 | 4.15 | +0.7 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | LAD | 12 | 12 | 66 | 280 | 75 | 23 | 10 | 26.7% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 4.19 | 4.24 | +0.6 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB | LAD | 12 | 12 | 64 | 270 | 71 | 23 | 10 | 26.1% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 4.28 | 4.35 | +0.5 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB | LAD | 11 | 11 | 61 | 259 | 66 | 22 | 10 | 25.5% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 4.39 | 4.46 | +0.3 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB | LAD | 59 | — | 59 | 247 | 61 | 22 | 9 | 24.8% | 8.8% | 3.8% | 4.51 | 4.59 | +0.2 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | LAD | 56 | — | 56 | 235 | 57 | 21 | 9 | 24.1% | 9.0% | 3.9% | 4.64 | 4.73 | +0.1 |
| 2035 | 35 | MLB | LAD | 52 | — | 52 | 222 | 52 | 20 | 9 | 23.4% | 9.2% | 4.0% | 4.78 | 4.88 | +0.0 |
| 2036 | 36 | MLB | LAD | 49 | — | 49 | 207 | 47 | 20 | 9 | 22.6% | 9.5% | 4.1% | 4.94 | 5.04 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 79 | 59 | 315 | 1279 | 386 | 128 | 37 | 30.2% | 10.0% | 2.9% | 3.54 | 3.40 | +6.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 50 | 37 | 200 | 812 | 245 | 81 | 23 | 30.2% | 10.0% | 2.9% | 3.54 | 3.40 | +4.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Emmet Sheehan (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.65 | 29.8% | 7.9% | 3.1% | — | 4.09 | 27.6% | 19.4% | 209 | +0.44 | — | — | — |
| Bryan Shaw R 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.91 | 20.4% | 6.8% | 3.0% | .276 | 3.53 | 23.3% | 15.0% | 198 | -0.38 | 2.86 | 596 | 82 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2028 · 3.48 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.48 | 24.5% | 7.9% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.74 | 22.8% | 13.6% | 168 | +0.26 | 1.69 | 468 | 82 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2028 · 3.68 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.68 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.1% | .289 | 3.07 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -0.61 | 2.31 | 403 | 81 |
| Joe Broussard R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.82 | 23.5% | 7.9% | 3.1% | .316 | 3.73 | 21.1% | 12.0% | 95 | -0.09 | 2.62 | 304 | 79 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.84 | 21.6% | 8.2% | 2.8% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 206 | 79 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.52 | 23.1% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .244 | 3.73 | 18.9% | 11.1% | 168 | +0.21 | 3.18 | 253 | 78 |
| John Brebbia R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.15 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 3.3% | .346 | 3.23 | 27.6% | 21.4% | 215 | -0.92 | 2.96 | 523 | 78 |
| Trevin Michael R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.45 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.2% | .256 | 3.82 | 23.0% | 13.9% | 56 | -0.63 | 2.68 | 149 | 77 |
| Andrew Kittredge R 2026 · 3.09 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.09 | 23.1% | 6.6% | 2.0% | .353 | 3.00 | 25.6% | 19.7% | 255 | -0.09 | 2.48 | 642 | 77 |
| Simon Castro R 2027 · 3.26 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.26 | 26.4% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .320 | 3.48 | 26.0% | 17.6% | 128 | +0.22 | 3.07 | 185 | 77 |
| James Farris R 2025 · 3.73 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.73 | 24.4% | 6.6% | 3.4% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 170 | 77 |
| Colton Murray R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.05 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .295 | 4.28 | 21.8% | 13.1% | 41 | +0.23 | 3.34 | 187 | 77 |
| Tyler Kinley R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.72 | 25.0% | 10.3% | 2.6% | .295 | 3.80 | 25.0% | 11.7% | 140 | +0.08 | 1.58 | 544 | 77 |
| J.B. Wendelken R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.92 | 23.2% | 8.4% | 3.1% | .293 | 3.50 | 23.3% | 13.1% | 122 | -0.42 | 3.02 | 393 | 77 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2028 · 3.91 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.91 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 2.9% | .348 | 3.55 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.36 | 2.38 | 160 | 77 |
| Matt Pushard R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.86 | 24.1% | 8.9% | 3.0% | .242 | 2.97 | 25.1% | 15.7% | 62 | -0.89 | 2.97 | 167 | 77 |
| Shawn Armstrong R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.33 | 22.1% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .282 | 3.20 | 26.9% | 17.2% | 144 | -1.13 | 1.79 | 618 | 77 |
| Spencer Patton R 2027 · 3.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.49 | 26.8% | 9.6% | 2.6% | .295 | 2.83 | 30.3% | 18.1% | 57 | -0.66 | 2.83 | 239 | 77 |
| Fernery Ozuna R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.86 | 22.4% | 8.7% | 2.8% | .324 | 5.86 | 19.5% | 6.0% | 49 | +2.00 | 3.86 | 157 | 76 |
| Ben Casparius R 2026 · 3.25 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.25 | 21.3% | 6.3% | 2.1% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 364 | 76 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2
MLB Debut 2023
Service 2.465 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2029
First FA Year 2027
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +1.1 | $9M | +$8M |
| 2027 | Arb-2 | $2M | +0.8 | $3M | +$1M |
| 2028 | Arb-3 | $3M | +0.8 | $3M | +$0.2M |
| 2029 | Arb-4 | $4M | +0.7 | $3M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| Totals | $9M | $19M | +$10M | ||