K.C. Hunt
P
Durham Bulls
Age 26
RHP
6'3" / 200 lbs
AAA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 1.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION38 act + 80 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.36
FIP4.36
K%20.3%
BB%8.6%
K-BB%11.6%
ROS IP80
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 118 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | ROK | ACL Brewers | 4 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 9.5% | 14.3% | 0.0% | 4.15 | 2.30 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | ROK | ACL Brewers | 4 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 9.5% | 14.3% | 0.0% | 4.15 | 2.18 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 14 | 102 | 401 | 139 | 25 | 6 | 56% | 4.1 | 26.8% | 7.1% | 19.8% | 1.7% | 2.03 | 2.65 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 14 | 102 | 401 | 139 | 25 | 6 | 56% | 4.1 | 34.7% | 6.2% | 28.4% | 1.5% | 2.03 | 1.87 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 26 | 26 | 121 | 513 | 122 | 42 | 15 | 100% | 4.7 | 19.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 2.6% | 4.45 | 4.05 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 26 | 26 | 121 | 513 | 122 | 42 | 15 | 100% | 4.7 | 23.8% | 8.2% | 15.6% | 2.9% | 4.45 | 3.73 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 17 | 3 | 38 | 177 | 33 | 29 | 10 | 18% | 2.2 | 12.2% | 19.7% | -7.5% | 4.6% | 6.16 | 7.08 | -1.1 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | TB | 77 | 0 | 80 | 339 | 69 | 29 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.3% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 2.7% | 4.36 | 4.36 | +0.6 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | TB | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.3% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 2.6% | 4.32 | 4.32 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | TB | — | — | 118 | 516 | 102 | 58 | 19 | — | — | 19.7% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 4.94 | 5.23 | +0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | TB | — | — | 8 | 34 | 7 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 20.3% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 2.6% | 4.32 | 3.94 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | TB | 13 | 13 | 79 | 334 | 75 | 26 | 9 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.4% | 7.8% | 14.6% | 2.8% | 4.21 | 4.11 | +0.8 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | TB | 12 | 12 | 77 | 324 | 73 | 26 | 9 | 100% | 6.4 | 22.4% | 8.1% | 14.3% | 2.9% | 4.22 | 4.21 | +0.6 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | TB | 12 | 12 | 73 | 309 | 69 | 26 | 10 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.2% | 8.4% | 13.8% | 3.1% | 4.30 | 4.35 | +0.4 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | TB | 6 | 6 | 34 | 144 | 32 | 11 | 4 | 100% | 5.7 | 22.4% | 7.8% | 14.6% | 2.7% | 4.17 | 4.07 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | TB | 8 | 8 | 48 | 203 | 45 | 16 | 6 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.4% | 8.1% | 14.3% | 2.8% | 4.18 | 4.17 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | TB | 9 | 9 | 53 | 224 | 50 | 19 | 7 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.2% | 8.4% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 4.25 | 4.30 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 30 | 22 | 143 | 604 | 134 | 49 | 17 | 73% | 4.8 | 22.2% | 8.2% | 14.0% | 2.9% | 4.21 | 3.83 | +2.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 41 | 31 | 200 | 844 | 187 | 68 | 24 | 74% | 4.8 | 22.2% | 8.2% | 14.0% | 2.9% | 4.21 | 3.83 | +3.7 | ||
| Career | — | 72 | 43 | 266 | 1112 | 233 | 111 | 28 | 60% | 3.7 | 21.0% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 2.5% | 3.76 | 3.99 | +4.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 54 | 32 | 200 | 837 | 175 | 84 | 21 | 60% | 3.7 | 21.0% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 2.5% | 3.76 | 3.99 | +3.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| K.C. Hunt (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.36 | 20.3% | 8.6% | 2.7% | — | 4.22 | 22.3% | 14.3% | 229 | -0.14 | — | — | — |
| Aaron Northcraft R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.16 | 16.1% | 8.3% | 2.5% | .309 | 3.28 | 24.1% | 13.4% | 34 | -0.88 | 3.28 | 252 | 83 |
| Lisalverto Bonilla R 2026 · 3.25 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.25 | 21.3% | 8.8% | 1.5% | .330 | 4.63 | 18.0% | 7.3% | 110 | +1.38 | 3.25 | 221 | 81 |
| Dawson Netz R 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 80 |
| David Griffin R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.94 | 16.6% | 9.8% | 3.7% | .285 | 6.04 | 14.5% | 4.2% | 81 | +1.10 | 4.52 | 239 | 80 |
| Ryan Tapani R 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.89 | 19.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .331 | 5.46 | 20.8% | 10.6% | 47 | +1.57 | 3.89 | 141 | 80 |
| Luis Santos R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.96 | 19.7% | 9.7% | 4.2% | .262 | 3.81 | 22.1% | 13.0% | 127 | -1.15 | 3.50 | 472 | 79 |
| Preston Johnson R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 146 | 78 |
| Michael Bowden R 2028 · 3.25 FIP | 28 | SP- | 3.25 | 17.3% | 6.4% | 1.4% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 141 | 78 |
| Patrick Johnson R 2027 · 3.52 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.52 | 17.3% | 6.9% | 1.8% | .286 | 4.03 | 15.7% | 6.4% | 120 | +0.51 | 3.52 | 248 | 78 |
| Cody Sedlock R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.83 | 19.9% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .301 | 4.18 | 20.1% | 7.1% | 80 | -0.65 | 4.16 | 378 | 78 |
| Alex Wimmers R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.57 | 16.6% | 9.7% | 1.2% | .324 | 3.73 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 114 | +0.16 | 3.57 | 230 | 77 |
| Trent Baker R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.74 | 20.2% | 8.3% | 2.4% | .304 | 4.64 | 16.6% | 7.0% | 39 | +0.90 | 3.74 | 459 | 77 |
| Hector Noesí R 2028 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 77 |
| Kutter Crawford R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.47 | 21.9% | 7.7% | 4.1% | .316 | 4.08 | 24.1% | 17.4% | 313 | -0.39 | 3.35 | 741 | 77 |
| Forrest Snow R 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.80 | 16.1% | 8.2% | 3.7% | .263 | 4.19 | 21.8% | 14.2% | 256 | -0.61 | 3.14 | 406 | 77 |
| Jake Walkinshaw R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.66 | 17.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | .296 | 4.92 | 13.3% | 3.1% | 116 | +0.26 | 2.20 | 286 | 77 |
| Chase Centala R 2024 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.16 | 17.4% | 6.6% | 3.1% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 124 | 77 |
| Roberto Gómez R 2027 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.13 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .315 | 5.25 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.12 | 4.13 | 115 | 77 |
| Bryce Conley R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.60 | 17.9% | 12.2% | 2.7% | .285 | 4.61 | 16.4% | 5.3% | 48 | +0.01 | 4.60 | 529 | 77 |
| Phil Klein R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.83 | 18.1% | 11.0% | 1.6% | .280 | 3.17 | 24.5% | 17.9% | 97 | -0.66 | 3.17 | 178 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 77 | 21.8% | 8.2% | 1.11 | 4.27 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Adam Warren ('19) | 5 | 67 | 20.8% | 8.3% | 1.08 | 3.55 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Fernando Salas ('18) | 4 | 59 | 22.5% | 6.6% | 1.22 | 4.42 |