Jameson Taillon P Chicago Cubs
+0.6 WAR
Age 34 RHP 6'5" / 230 lbs MLB peak 0.6 · 2026
ERA4.41
FIP4.72
xFIP4.68
SIERA4.35
K%19.5%
BB%5.6%
K-BB%13.9%
IP126
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.6peak
2026
K†4550
FB Velo
p1091.4
Whiff%
p7529.2%
K%
p5022.1%
xwOBA vs
p310.334
CT+3.6 (23%)
SL+1.0 (15%)
SI (10%)
CU (11%)
CH-3.0 (14%)
FB-3.7 (37%)

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR K%BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201624MLBPittsburgh Pirates2828166654146221521.2%3.4%2.6%2.883.18+4.0
201725MLBPittsburgh Pirates2828148646146461121.3%7.3%2.0%4.333.33+3.3
201826MLBPittsburgh Pirates3232191785179422022.8%5.4%2.7%3.203.31+4.3
201927MLBPittsburgh Pirates7737158307419.0%4.4%2.7%4.103.56+0.6
202129MLBNew York Yankees3030147616142432423.2%7.1%4.0%4.344.24+1.8
202230MLBNew York Yankees3232177728151322620.7%4.4%3.4%3.913.78+3.1
202331MLBChicago Cubs3029154655140412721.4%6.3%4.1%4.844.36+1.6
202432MLBChicago Cubs3030172706133352118.5%4.9%3.1%3.303.88+2.8
202533MLBChicago Cubs2727146593115302819.0%5.1%4.9%3.944.80+0.8
▸ 2026 Season
202634MLBChicago Cubs331771175523.9%7.0%7.0%4.865.84-0.2
ROS34MLBPIT17179238978231720.0%5.8%4.3%4.154.53+0.7
2026 Total34MLBPIT10946095282220.6%6.0%4.8%4.264.73+0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
202735MLBPIT16168837272231719.3%6.0%4.5%4.855.07+0.1
202836MLBPIT13137129961161420.5%5.5%4.6%4.924.96+0.1
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career24724613555612118030518821.0%5.4%3.3%3.823.85+22.3
/ 200 IP3636200828174452821.0%5.4%3.3%3.823.85+3.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Jameson Taillon (OGILVIE) 4.79 18.6%5.6%4.0% 5.02 19.8%14.0%159 +0.23
Matt Garza R 2025 · 4.57 FIP 33 SP- 4.57 15.7%8.1%3.2%.283 4.03 365 49
Manuel Flores R 2025 · 4.21 FIP 33 SP- 4.21 17.1%7.4%2.9%.291 3.48 515 48
Mike Pelfrey R 2025 · 5.70 FIP 33 SP- 5.70 14.5%10.6%4.5%.266 3.70 404 48
Mitch Talbot R 2026 · 3.81 FIP 34 SP- 3.81 13.7%5.6%2.1%.281 5.01 13.2%8.9%59 +1.20 3.81 162 47
Leo Medrano R 2025 · 4.34 FIP 33 SP- 4.34 11.0%7.3%2.3%.312 3.75 222 47
Kyle Kendrick R 2024 · 5.55 FIP 32 SP- 5.55 13.8%3.9%5.7%.280 4.42 337 47
Jarrett Grube R 2026 · 4.76 FIP 34 SP- 4.76 18.9%7.2%4.3%.280 4.47 15.8%7.7%134 -0.29 3.71 393 46
Jason Berken R 2024 · 4.51 FIP 32 SP- 4.51 11.5%8.3%2.4%.308 4.36 219 46
Frankie De La Cruz R 2025 · 3.74 FIP 33 SP- 3.74 15.2%8.0%1.7%.262 4.37 16.2%8.2%114 +0.63 3.74 240 46
Matt Cain R 2024 · 5.07 FIP 32 SP- 5.07 13.2%7.6%3.9%.322 4.87 294 45
Roberto Hernandez R 2026 · 4.25 FIP 34 SP- 4.25 11.8%6.7%2.4%.287 4.35 13.8%6.8%86 +0.10 4.25 171 45
Andres Ivan Meza R 2024 · 4.35 FIP 32 SP- 4.35 11.7%7.7%2.3%.349 4.14 275 45
Chris Young R 2028 · 4.62 FIP 36 SP- 4.62 16.6%8.6%3.3%.209 6.35 21.1%11.4%119 +1.73 4.62 242 45
Sam LeCure R 2024 · 4.16 FIP 32 SP- 4.16 16.6%6.5%3.0%.311 4.16 171 44
Jesse Estrada R 2025 · 5.34 FIP 33 SP- 5.34 8.3%5.6%4.1%.285 4.36 14.4%7.8%85 -0.98 3.83 257 44
Scott Feldman R 2026 · 4.56 FIP 34 SP- 4.56 19.7%7.0%4.1%.292 3.98 297 43
Esmil Rogers R 2025 · 5.66 FIP 33 SP- 5.66 12.5%8.7%4.6%.346 2.85 199 43
Zach Neal R 2026 · 5.94 FIP 34 SP- 5.94 15.9%6.5%6.1%.291 4.28 732 43
Jorge Martinez R 2026 · 3.66 FIP 34 SP- 3.66 16.3%5.7%2.2%.348 3.48 214 43
Shaun Marcum R 2025 · 4.03 FIP 33 SP- 4.03 17.8%6.0%3.0%.281 4.03 123 42

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.