Jameson Taillon
P
Chicago Cubs
Age 34
RHP
6'5" / 230 lbs
MLB
peak 0.9 · 2026
ILInjured 15-Day (D15)
2026 ROS PROJECTION76 act + 45 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134125vR 116
ERA4.67
FIP4.97
K%19.8%
BB%6.5%
K-BB%13.3%
ROS IP45
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 121 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1291.8
Whiff%
p5726.4%
K%
p3920.6%
xwOBA vs
p120.357
CT+3.6 (19%)
SL+1.0 (17%)
SI (9%)
CU (11%)
CH-3.0 (15%)
FB-3.7 (38%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 28 | 166 | 654 | 146 | 22 | 15 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.2% | 3.4% | 17.8% | 2.4% | 2.88 | 3.06 | +4.5 |
| 2016 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 28 | 166 | 654 | 146 | 22 | 15 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.3% | 3.4% | 19.0% | 2.3% | 2.88 | 2.91 | +4.8 |
| 2017 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 28 | 148 | 646 | 146 | 46 | 11 | 100% | 5.3 | 21.3% | 7.3% | 14.0% | 1.9% | 4.33 | 3.27 | +3.7 |
| 2017 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 28 | 148 | 646 | 146 | 46 | 11 | 100% | 5.3 | 22.6% | 7.1% | 15.5% | 1.7% | 4.33 | 3.03 | +4.1 |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 32 | 32 | 191 | 785 | 179 | 42 | 20 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.8% | 5.4% | 17.5% | 2.6% | 3.20 | 3.26 | +4.8 |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 32 | 32 | 191 | 785 | 179 | 42 | 20 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.8% | 5.4% | 17.5% | 2.5% | 3.20 | 3.25 | +4.8 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 7 | 7 | 37 | 158 | 30 | 7 | 4 | 100% | 5.3 | 19.0% | 4.4% | 14.6% | 2.6% | 4.10 | 3.46 | +0.5 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 7 | 7 | 37 | 158 | 30 | 7 | 4 | 100% | 5.3 | 19.0% | 4.4% | 14.6% | 2.5% | 4.10 | 3.45 | +0.5 |
| 2021 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 30 | 147 | 616 | 142 | 43 | 24 | 100% | 4.9 | 23.2% | 7.1% | 16.1% | 3.7% | 4.34 | 4.07 | +2.3 |
| 2021 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 30 | 147 | 616 | 142 | 43 | 24 | 100% | 4.9 | 23.1% | 7.0% | 16.1% | 3.9% | 4.34 | 4.17 | +2.1 |
| 2022 | 30 | MLB | New York Yankees | 32 | 32 | 177 | 728 | 151 | 32 | 26 | 100% | 5.5 | 20.7% | 4.4% | 16.3% | 3.3% | 3.91 | 3.73 | +3.5 |
| 2022 | 30 | MLB | New York Yankees | 32 | 32 | 177 | 728 | 151 | 32 | 26 | 100% | 5.5 | 20.7% | 4.4% | 16.3% | 3.6% | 3.91 | 3.84 | +3.2 |
| 2023 | 31 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 30 | 29 | 154 | 655 | 140 | 41 | 27 | 97% | 5.1 | 21.4% | 6.3% | 15.1% | 4.0% | 4.84 | 4.30 | +2.0 |
| 2023 | 31 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 30 | 29 | 154 | 655 | 140 | 41 | 27 | 97% | 5.1 | 21.4% | 6.3% | 15.1% | 4.1% | 4.84 | 4.36 | +1.9 |
| 2024 | 32 | MIX | 3 levels | 30 | 30 | 172 | 706 | 133 | 35 | 21 | 100% | 5.7 | 18.5% | 4.9% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 3.30 | 3.82 | +3.2 |
| 2024 | 32 | MIX | 3 levels | 30 | 30 | 172 | 706 | 133 | 35 | 21 | 100% | 5.7 | 18.8% | 5.0% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 3.30 | 3.75 | +3.3 |
| 2025 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 146 | 593 | 115 | 30 | 28 | 100% | 5.4 | 19.0% | 5.1% | 14.0% | 4.5% | 3.94 | 4.63 | +1.3 |
| 2025 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 146 | 593 | 115 | 30 | 28 | 100% | 5.4 | 19.4% | 5.1% | 14.3% | 4.7% | 3.94 | 4.63 | +1.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 15 | 15 | 76 | 316 | 64 | 23 | 20 | 100% | 5.0 | 20.6% | 7.7% | 12.9% | 7.0% | 4.76 | 6.16 | -1.1 |
| ROS | 34 | MLB | CHC | 8 | 8 | 45 | 190 | 38 | 12 | 9 | 100% | 5.6 | 19.8% | 6.5% | 13.3% | 4.9% | 4.67 | 4.97 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 34 | MLB | CHC | 8 | 8 | 45 | 190 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 100% | 5.6 | 19.8% | 6.5% | 13.3% | 5.0% | 4.71 | 5.01 | -0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 34 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 121 | 506 | 102 | 35 | 29 | — | — | 20.1% | 7.0% | 13.1% | 5.8% | 4.73 | 5.72 | -0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 34 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 113 | 476 | 102 | 35 | 30 | — | — | 21.4% | 7.4% | 13.9% | 6.2% | 5.07 | 5.64 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | CHC | 18 | 18 | 110 | 464 | 86 | 33 | 25 | 100% | 6.1 | 18.6% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 5.3% | 5.45 | 5.71 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | CHC | 16 | 16 | 97 | 411 | 72 | 32 | 23 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.6% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 5.82 | 6.07 | -0.8 |
| 2029 | 37 | MLB | CHC | 14 | 14 | 85 | 358 | 59 | 30 | 22 | 100% | 6.1 | 16.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.21 | 6.47 | -1.4 |
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | CHC | 18 | 18 | 110 | 464 | 87 | 33 | 25 | 100% | 6.1 | 18.6% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 5.49 | 5.75 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | CHC | 16 | 16 | 97 | 410 | 72 | 31 | 23 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.6% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 5.86 | 6.11 | -0.9 |
| 2029 | 37 | MLB | CHC | 14 | 14 | 85 | 359 | 59 | 30 | 22 | 100% | 6.1 | 16.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.25 | 6.51 | -1.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 295 | 294 | 1642 | 6839 | 1388 | 413 | 270 | 100% | 5.6 | 20.3% | 6.0% | 14.3% | 3.9% | 4.30 | 4.32 | +20.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 36 | 36 | 200 | 833 | 169 | 50 | 33 | 100% | 5.6 | 20.3% | 6.0% | 14.3% | 3.9% | 4.30 | 4.32 | +2.5 | ||
| Career | — | 259 | 258 | 1414 | 5857 | 1228 | 324 | 196 | 100% | 5.5 | 21.0% | 5.5% | 15.4% | 3.3% | 3.86 | 3.87 | +25.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 37 | 36 | 200 | 828 | 174 | 46 | 28 | 100% | 5.5 | 21.0% | 5.5% | 15.4% | 3.3% | 3.86 | 3.87 | +3.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jameson Taillon (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.69 | 18.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | — | 6.05 | 17.7% | 10.0% | 292 | +1.36 | — | — | — |
| Tomoyuki Sugano R 2027 · 4.91 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.91 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | .279 | 5.23 | 13.4% | 7.0% | 84 | +0.32 | 4.91 | 241 | 48 |
| Jake Peavy R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.09 | 17.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% | .278 | 4.36 | 19.6% | 12.9% | 119 | +0.27 | 4.09 | 262 | 48 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez R 2025 · 5.02 FIP | 33 | SP- | 5.02 | 21.5% | 9.0% | 4.7% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 469 | 47 |
| Ricky Nolasco R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.98 | 18.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.21 | 425 | 47 |
| Manuel Flores R 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.08 | 17.1% | 7.4% | 2.7% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 515 | 46 |
| Jason Hammel R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.20 | 18.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | .312 | 4.34 | 15.8% | 9.8% | 127 | +0.14 | 3.43 | 645 | 46 |
| Matt Garza R 2025 · 4.74 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.74 | 15.7% | 8.1% | 3.5% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.12 | 365 | 46 |
| Kyle Kendrick R 2024 · 5.23 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.23 | 13.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 337 | 46 |
| Scott Feldman R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.64 | 19.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 297 | 45 |
| Jarrett Grube R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 34 | SP- | 5.05 | 18.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | .280 | 4.16 | 15.8% | 7.7% | 134 | -0.89 | 3.49 | 393 | 45 |
| Aníbal Sánchez R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.49 | 24.4% | 7.6% | 2.7% | .252 | 4.27 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 219 | +0.78 | 3.49 | 869 | 45 |
| Mike Fiers R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.87 | 16.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% | .250 | 4.69 | 14.4% | 8.2% | 59 | -0.18 | 3.72 | 918 | 45 |
| Marco Estrada R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.48 | 21.8% | 8.8% | 3.9% | .294 | 5.50 | 15.6% | 7.6% | 167 | +1.02 | 4.04 | 710 | 44 |
| Jeremy Guthrie R 2028 · 5.42 FIP | 36 | SP- | 5.42 | 12.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | .309 | 5.00 | 11.6% | 3.0% | 87 | -0.42 | 5.00 | 235 | 44 |
| Aaron Harang R 2029 · 4.54 FIP | 37 | SP | 4.54 | 14.4% | 6.4% | 3.4% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.54 | 172 | 44 |
| Hisashi Iwakuma R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.79 | 21.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | .270 | 4.50 | 16.9% | 11.2% | 230 | +0.71 | 3.79 | 360 | 43 |
| James Shields R 2026 · 5.51 FIP | 34 | SP | 5.51 | 16.4% | 9.6% | 4.7% | .296 | 4.91 | 18.6% | 9.5% | 336 | -0.60 | 4.36 | 720 | 42 |
| Chris Smith R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.93 | 20.0% | 8.1% | 2.7% | .306 | 4.55 | 18.4% | 10.2% | 285 | +0.62 | 3.93 | 413 | 42 |
| Guillermo Moscoso R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 34 | SP- | 5.03 | 18.2% | 8.4% | 4.4% | .318 | 4.19 | 12.6% | 5.9% | 104 | -0.84 | 3.79 | 264 | 42 |
| Jeff Samardzija R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.53 | 18.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | .235 | 8.52 | 7.8% | 2.6% | 17 | +3.99 | 3.63 | 885 | 42 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 101 | 17.9% | 7.1% | 1.98 | 5.40 |
| Jered Weaver ('17) | 3 | 126 | 13.3% | 5.9% | 1.83 | 5.15 |
| Tommy Milone ('20) | 6 | 71 | 18.3% | 5.6% | 1.85 | 5.23 |
| Matt Cain ('17) | 3 | 91 | 15.2% | 8.2% | 1.51 | 5.58 |
| Dan Straily ('19) | 4 | 136 | 20.0% | 8.9% | 1.72 | 4.54 |
| Adam Plutko ('21) | 4 | 68 | 17.0% | 7.2% | 2.17 | 5.37 |
| Aníbal Sánchez ('22) | 7 | 120 | 20.4% | 7.8% | 1.56 | 4.80 |