Jameson Taillon — OGILVIE

Jameson Taillon P Toronto Blue Jays

Age 34 RHP 6'5" / 230 lbs MLB peak 0.8 · 2026 ILInjured 15-Day (D15)

2026 ROS PROJECTION97 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131122vR 114

ERA4.45

FIP4.79

K%19.9%

BB%7.0%

K-BB%12.9%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 99 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1291.8

Whiff%

p5826.5%

p3820.5%

xwOBA vs

p100.367

CT+3.6 (19%)

SL+1.0 (17%)

SI (10%)

CU (11%)

CH-3.0 (16%)

FB-3.7 (37%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	28	166	654	146	22	15	100%	5.9	21.2%	3.4%	17.8%	2.5%	2.88	3.12	+3.7
2016	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	28	166	654	146	22	15	100%	5.9	22.3%	3.4%	19.0%	2.3%	2.88	2.91	+4.2
2017	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	28	148	646	146	46	11	100%	5.3	21.3%	7.3%	14.0%	2.0%	4.33	3.34	+2.8
2017	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	28	28	148	646	146	46	11	100%	5.3	22.6%	7.1%	15.5%	1.7%	4.33	3.03	+3.5
2018	26	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	32	32	191	785	179	42	20	100%	6.0	22.8%	5.4%	17.5%	2.8%	3.20	3.36	+3.6
2018	26	MLB RAW	Pittsburgh Pirates	32	32	191	785	179	42	20	100%	6.0	22.8%	5.4%	17.5%	2.5%	3.20	3.25	+3.9
2019	27	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	7	7	37	158	30	7	4	100%	5.3	19.0%	4.4%	14.6%	2.7%	4.10	3.56	+0.6
2019	27	MLB RAW	Pittsburgh Pirates	7	7	37	158	30	7	4	100%	5.3	19.0%	4.4%	14.6%	2.5%	4.10	3.45	+0.7
2021	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	30	147	616	142	43	24	100%	4.9	23.2%	7.1%	16.1%	3.7%	4.34	4.09	+1.4
2021	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	30	147	616	142	43	24	100%	4.9	23.1%	7.0%	16.1%	3.9%	4.34	4.17	+1.3
2022	30	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	32	32	177	728	151	32	26	100%	5.5	20.7%	4.4%	16.3%	3.3%	3.91	3.74	+2.5
2022	30	MLB RAW	New York Yankees	32	32	177	728	151	32	26	100%	5.5	20.7%	4.4%	16.3%	3.6%	3.91	3.84	+2.2
2023	31	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	30	29	154	655	140	41	27	97%	5.1	21.4%	6.3%	15.1%	4.3%	4.84	4.44	+0.8
2023	31	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	30	29	154	655	140	41	27	97%	5.1	21.4%	6.3%	15.1%	4.3%	4.84	4.44	+0.8
2023	31	MLB RAW	Chicago Cubs	30	29	154	655	140	41	27	97%	5.1	21.4%	6.3%	15.1%	4.1%	4.84	4.36	+1.0
2024	32	MIX MLE	3 levels	30	30	172	706	133	35	21	100%	5.7	18.5%	4.9%	13.6%	3.2%	3.30	3.93	+2.0
2024	32	MIX MLE	3 levels	30	30	172	706	133	35	21	100%	5.7	18.5%	4.9%	13.6%	3.2%	3.30	3.93	+2.0
2024	32	MIX RAW	3 levels	30	30	172	706	133	35	21	100%	5.7	18.8%	5.0%	13.9%	3.0%	3.30	3.75	+2.4
2025	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	27	146	593	115	30	28	100%	5.4	18.9%	5.0%	13.9%	4.9%	3.94	4.81	+0.2
2025	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	27	146	593	115	30	28	100%	5.4	18.9%	5.0%	13.9%	4.9%	3.94	4.81	+0.2
2025	33	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	27	146	593	115	30	28	100%	5.4	19.4%	5.1%	14.3%	4.7%	3.94	4.63	+0.5
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			242	241	1323	5498	1149	315	197	100%	5.5	20.9%	5.7%	15.2%	3.6%	3.99	4.01	+14.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	34	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	21	21	97	414	83	34	27	100%	4.6	20.5%	8.4%	12.2%	7.3%	5.46	6.43	-1.6
YTD	34	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	21	21	97	414	83	34	27	100%	4.6	20.5%	8.4%	12.2%	7.3%	5.46	6.43	-1.6
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	34	A+ RAW	TOR	1	1	3	14	2	0	0	100%	3.3	14.3%	0.0%	14.3%	0.0%	2.70	1.89	—
2026	34	AAA RAW	TOR	2	2	8	30	5	3	0	100%	4.0	16.7%	10.0%	6.7%	0.0%	4.50	2.96	—
2026	34	MLB RAW	TOR	18	18	86	370	76	31	27	100%	4.8	20.5%	8.4%	12.2%	7.3%	5.65	6.43	-1.4
SO FAR	34	MLB RAW	TOR	18	18	86	370	76	31	27	100%	4.8	20.5%	8.4%	12.2%	7.3%	5.65	6.43	-1.4
ROS	34	MLB MLE	TOR	1	1	1	5	1	0	0	100%	1.3	19.9%	7.0%	12.9%	4.5%	4.45	4.79	+0.0
ROS	34	MLB CTX	TOR	1	1	1	4	1	0	0	100%	1.0	19.9%	7.0%	12.9%	4.5%	4.45	4.79	+0.0
2026 TOT	34	MLB MLE	TOR	—	—	99	419	84	34	27	—	—	20.0%	8.2%	11.8%	6.5%	5.44	6.41	-1.6
FULL	34	MLB A+C	TOR	—	—	87	368	84	34	27	—	—	22.8%	9.3%	13.5%	7.4%	6.15	6.41	-1.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	35	MLB MLE	TOR	18	18	110	464	87	35	27	100%	6.1	18.7%	7.5%	11.2%	5.7%	5.74	6.01	-1.3
2028	36	MLB MLE	TOR	16	16	97	411	73	33	25	100%	6.1	17.7%	8.2%	9.5%	6.1%	6.12	6.38	-1.5
2027	35	MLB CTX	TOR	18	18	110	464	87	35	27	100%	6.1	18.7%	7.5%	11.2%	5.7%	5.74	6.01	-1.3
2028	36	MLB CTX	TOR	16	16	97	410	72	33	25	100%	6.1	17.7%	8.2%	9.5%	6.1%	6.12	6.38	-1.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		277	276	1531	6378	1310	384	249	100%	5.5	20.5%	6.0%	14.5%	3.9%	4.25	4.27	+11.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		36	36	200	833	171	50	33	100%	5.5	20.5%	6.0%	14.5%	3.9%	4.25	4.27	+1.5
Career	—	MLE		265	264	1436	5955	1247	334	213	100%	5.4	20.9%	5.6%	15.3%	3.6%	3.92	4.00	+10.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		37	37	200	829	174	47	30	100%	5.4	20.9%	5.6%	15.3%	3.6%	3.92	4.00	+1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jameson Taillon (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.81	18.6%	5.5%	4.0%	—	6.18	18.2%	10.4%	207	+1.37	—	—	—
Ubaldo Jiménez R 2017 · 4.95 FIP	33	SP-	4.95	21.5%	9.0%	4.6%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	3.63	469	74
Mike Fiers R 2019 · 4.98 FIP	34	SP	4.98	16.7%	7.0%	4.4%	.250	4.79	14.4%	8.2%	59	-0.19	3.86	918	71
Jason Hammel R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	34	SP	4.22	18.0%	5.7%	3.5%	.312	4.36	15.8%	9.8%	127	+0.14	3.54	645	70
Marco Estrada R 2017 · 4.48 FIP	34	SP	4.48	21.8%	8.8%	3.9%	.294	5.53	15.6%	7.6%	167	+1.05	4.04	710	69
Ricky Nolasco R 2017 · 4.84 FIP	34	SP	4.84	18.2%	7.0%	4.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.22	425	66
Jeff Samardzija R 2019 · 4.52 FIP	34	SP	4.52	18.9%	6.1%	4.1%	.235	8.49	7.8%	2.6%	17	+3.97	3.62	885	65
Matt Garza R 2017 · 4.57 FIP	33	SP	4.57	15.7%	8.1%	3.2%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	4.00	365	65
Merrill Kelly R 2023 · 3.73 FIP	34	SP	3.73	25.9%	9.6%	2.9%	.276	4.39	19.5%	11.9%	410	+0.66	3.60	1,160	64
Scott Feldman R 2017 · 4.58 FIP	34	SP	4.58	19.7%	7.0%	4.1%	.292	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	297	61
James Shields R 2016 · 5.56 FIP	34	SP	5.56	16.4%	9.6%	4.8%	.296	4.96	18.6%	9.5%	336	-0.60	4.15	720	59
Miles Mikolas R 2023 · 4.11 FIP	34	SP	4.11	15.9%	4.5%	3.2%	.304	4.91	14.8%	10.4%	444	+0.80	3.13	1,296	58
Kyle Kendrick R 2017 · 5.50 FIP	32	SP	5.50	13.8%	3.9%	5.6%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	4.41	337	57
Clay Buchholz R 2019 · 5.36 FIP	34	SP	5.36	15.4%	5.9%	5.1%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	2.51	433	57
Johnny Cueto R 2020 · 4.51 FIP	34	SP	4.51	20.2%	9.4%	3.5%	.280	4.71	17.3%	11.8%	364	+0.20	2.85	1,148	56
Doug Fister R 2018 · 4.77 FIP	34	SP	4.77	13.8%	6.6%	3.7%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	3.63	455	56
Zack Greinke R 2018 · 3.64 FIP	34	SP	3.64	23.7%	4.8%	3.5%	.267	3.64	21.1%	16.9%	447	-0.00	2.56	1,517	56
Ervin Santana R 2017 · 4.29 FIP	34	SP	4.29	19.3%	6.8%	3.6%	.241	5.76	12.7%	4.4%	133	+1.47	3.67	720	55
Justin Verlander R 2017 · 3.73 FIP	34	SP	3.73	25.8%	8.0%	3.3%	.267	2.89	35.1%	30.4%	437	-0.84	2.32	1,584	55
Edwin Jackson R 2018 · 4.32 FIP	34	SP	4.32	17.9%	9.8%	2.7%	.254	6.97	15.1%	4.8%	89	+2.65	3.77	521	55
Yu Darvish R 2021 · 3.63 FIP	34	SP	3.63	29.2%	6.3%	4.0%	.268	3.43	24.9%	18.8%	413	-0.20	1.97	1,253	54

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.6	107	18.4%	7.0%	2.03	5.41
Dan Straily ('19)	2.7	136	20.0%	8.9%	1.72	4.54
Homer Bailey ('19)	1.9	96	18.5%	7.8%	1.34	5.56
Sam Gaviglio ('19)	1.5	98	19.3%	6.9%	1.69	4.84
Adam Plutko ('21)	1.4	68	17.0%	7.2%	2.17	5.37
Adrian Sampson ('22)	1.4	72	17.6%	6.1%	1.66	4.38
Dylan Bundy ('22)	4.5	130	22.0%	7.3%	1.61	4.75