Each row shows the player's YTD 2026 actual rate (YTD) vs the current build's projected full-season rate (PROJ).
Score = (YTD − PROJ) × √(sample size) — sample-weighted gap. Positive = beating projection; negative = falling short.
Hitters use OPS; pitchers use ERA (sign flipped — lower ERA = improvement).
Min 80 PA (hitters) / 15 IP (pitchers). Generated 2026-09-13 07:20.
| # | Player | YTD OPS | PROJ | Δ OPS | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Jonah Cox  SF · 113 PA · 4 HR | 0.785 | 0.736 | +0.049 | +0.5 |
| 2 |  Tyrone Taylor  CHC · 226 PA · 11 HR | 0.832 | 0.801 | +0.031 | +0.5 |
| 3 |  Isiah Kiner-Falefa  BOS · 155 PA · 2 HR | 0.692 | 0.656 | +0.036 | +0.5 |
| 4 |  Christian Encarnacion-Strand  BAL · 171 PA · 8 HR | 0.792 | 0.758 | +0.034 | +0.4 |
| 5 |  Jordan Lawlar  ARI · 105 PA · 4 HR | 0.728 | 0.685 | +0.043 | +0.4 |
| 6 |  Ben Malgeri  DET · 117 PA · 3 HR | 0.695 | 0.654 | +0.041 | +0.4 |
| 7 |  Everson Pereira  STL · 111 PA · 5 HR | 0.748 | 0.707 | +0.041 | +0.4 |
| 8 |  Nick Allen  HOU · 150 PA · 2 HR | 0.678 | 0.645 | +0.033 | +0.4 |
| 9 |  Nick Sogard BOS · 225 PA · 4 HR | 0.770 | 0.744 | +0.026 | +0.4 |
| 10 |  Brett Bateman  TOR · 139 PA · 2 HR | 0.844 | 0.811 | +0.033 | +0.4 |
| 11 |  John Rave  KC · 123 PA · 5 HR | 0.741 | 0.707 | +0.034 | +0.4 |
| 12 |  Jhonny Pereda  SEA · 89 PA · 2 HR | 0.691 | 0.652 | +0.039 | +0.4 |
| 13 |  Joshua Báez STL · 100 PA · 7 HR | 0.854 | 0.817 | +0.037 | +0.4 |
| 14 |  MJ Melendez  NYM · 144 PA · 4 HR | 0.665 | 0.635 | +0.030 | +0.4 |
| 15 |  Alika Williams  OAK · 204 PA · 4 HR | 0.694 | 0.669 | +0.025 | +0.4 |
| 16 |  Mickey Gasper BOS · 202 PA · 9 HR | 0.861 | 0.836 | +0.025 | +0.4 |
| 17 |  Spencer Jones  NYY · 243 PA · 9 HR | 0.793 | 0.770 | +0.023 | +0.4 |
| 18 |  Joey Wiemer  WSH · 83 PA · 3 HR | 0.912 | 0.872 | +0.040 | +0.4 |
| 19 |  Curtis Mead BOS · 329 PA · 17 HR | 0.851 | 0.833 | +0.018 | +0.3 |
| 20 |  Eduardo Valencia DET · 100 PA · 6 HR | 0.938 | 0.905 | +0.033 | +0.3 |
| 21 |  Jake Bauers  MIL · 532 PA · 25 HR | 0.888 | 0.874 | +0.014 | +0.3 |
| 22 |  Victor Bericoto SF · 87 PA · 4 HR | 0.671 | 0.637 | +0.034 | +0.3 |
| 23 |  Cody Freeman  TEX · 93 PA · 1 HR | 0.651 | 0.618 | +0.033 | +0.3 |
| 24 |  Sean Murphy  ATL · 88 PA · 3 HR | 0.643 | 0.610 | +0.033 | +0.3 |
| 25 |  Braden Shewmake MIL · 91 PA · 3 HR | 0.693 | 0.662 | +0.031 | +0.3 |
| 26 |  Ty France  SD · 442 PA · 20 HR | 0.873 | 0.859 | +0.014 | +0.3 |
| 27 |  Luis Campusano SD · 215 PA · 7 HR | 0.841 | 0.821 | +0.020 | +0.3 |
| 28 |  Rodolfo Durán SD · 91 PA · 3 HR | 0.527 | 0.498 | +0.029 | +0.3 |
| 29 |  Brice Turang MIL · 626 PA · 19 HR | 0.803 | 0.792 | +0.011 | +0.3 |
| 30 |  Josh Jung TEX · 401 PA · 9 HR | 0.802 | 0.788 | +0.014 | +0.3 |
| # | Player | YTD OPS | PROJ | Δ OPS | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ha-Seong Kim ATL · 119 PA · 0 HR | 0.359 | 0.438 | -0.079 | -0.9 |
| 2 |  Lenyn Sosa TOR · 117 PA · 1 HR | 0.490 | 0.562 | -0.072 | -0.8 |
| 3 |  Leo Rivas SEA · 139 PA · 0 HR | 0.460 | 0.515 | -0.055 | -0.7 |
| 4 |  Christopher Morel NYM · 97 PA · 1 HR | 0.514 | 0.574 | -0.060 | -0.6 |
| 5 |  Bo Naylor MIL · 94 PA · 2 HR | 0.441 | 0.502 | -0.061 | -0.6 |
| 6 |  Edgar Quero  CWS · 217 PA · 3 HR | 0.540 | 0.578 | -0.038 | -0.6 |
| 7 |  Giancarlo Stanton NYY · 96 PA · 3 HR | 0.724 | 0.777 | -0.053 | -0.5 |
| 8 |  Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR · 568 PA · 8 HR | 0.683 | 0.703 | -0.020 | -0.5 |
| 9 |  Carlos Narváez BAL · 272 PA · 3 HR | 0.476 | 0.504 | -0.028 | -0.5 |
| 10 |  Ke'Bryan Hayes  CIN · 224 PA · 5 HR | 0.445 | 0.475 | -0.030 | -0.5 |
| 11 |  Jake Rogers DET · 165 PA · 4 HR | 0.578 | 0.612 | -0.034 | -0.4 |
| 12 |  Zach Dezenzo HOU · 82 PA · 1 HR | 0.587 | 0.632 | -0.045 | -0.4 |
| 13 |  Christian Moore  LAA · 100 PA · 1 HR | 0.525 | 0.566 | -0.041 | -0.4 |
| 14 |  Jarren Duran BOS · 577 PA · 20 HR | 0.624 | 0.641 | -0.017 | -0.4 |
| 15 |  Matt Wallner  MIN · 135 PA · 4 HR | 0.551 | 0.586 | -0.035 | -0.4 |
| 16 |  Adolis García  PHI · 259 PA · 7 HR | 0.599 | 0.624 | -0.025 | -0.4 |
| 17 |  Aaron Judge NYY · 276 PA · 17 HR | 0.882 | 0.906 | -0.024 | -0.4 |
| 18 |  Jase Bowen SD · 95 PA · 2 HR | 0.472 | 0.511 | -0.039 | -0.4 |
| 19 |  Shay Whitcomb SF · 85 PA · 4 HR | 0.543 | 0.583 | -0.040 | -0.4 |
| 20 |  Joey Bart CWS · 128 PA · 4 HR | 0.662 | 0.695 | -0.033 | -0.4 |
| 21 |  José Ramírez  CLE · 494 PA · 11 HR | 0.683 | 0.699 | -0.016 | -0.4 |
| 22 |  Noelvi Marte CIN · 201 PA · 6 HR | 0.550 | 0.574 | -0.024 | -0.3 |
| 23 |  Yoán Moncada LAA · 130 PA · 3 HR | 0.605 | 0.634 | -0.029 | -0.3 |
| 24 |  Matt McLain CIN · 458 PA · 15 HR | 0.624 | 0.639 | -0.015 | -0.3 |
| 25 |  Trevor Story BOS · 225 PA · 3 HR | 0.603 | 0.624 | -0.021 | -0.3 |
| 26 |  TJ Friedl CIN · 268 PA · 4 HR | 0.494 | 0.513 | -0.019 | -0.3 |
| 27 |  Kyle Tucker  LAD · 571 PA · 14 HR | 0.696 | 0.709 | -0.013 | -0.3 |
| 28 |  Jake Cronenworth SD · 368 PA · 5 HR | 0.581 | 0.597 | -0.016 | -0.3 |
| 29 |  Ramón Laureano SD · 206 PA · 7 HR | 0.660 | 0.681 | -0.021 | -0.3 |
| 30 |  Zach McKinstry DET · 398 PA · 4 HR | 0.601 | 0.616 | -0.015 | -0.3 |
| # | Pitcher | YTD ERA | PROJ | Δ ERA | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paul Blackburn NYY · 79.7 IP · 7.5 K/9 | 1.69 | 4.01 | +2.32 | +20.7 |
| 2 |  Eduardo Rodriguez ARI · 173.0 IP · 6.7 K/9 | 2.55 | 4.11 | +1.56 | +20.5 |
| 3 |  Louis Varland TOR · 73.3 IP · 11.2 K/9 | 1.23 | 3.37 | +2.14 | +18.3 |
| 4 |  Hagen Smith CWS · 20.0 IP · 13.1 K/9 | 0.45 | 4.51 | +4.06 | +18.2 |
| 5 |  Troy Melton DET · 108.0 IP · 7.2 K/9 | 2.42 | 4.03 | +1.61 | +16.7 |
| 6 |  Ben Brown CHC · 68.0 IP · 8.6 K/9 | 1.85 | 3.82 | +1.97 | +16.2 |
| 7 |  Alec Gamboa BOS · 28.0 IP · 6.4 K/9 | 1.29 | 4.31 | +3.02 | +16.0 |
| 8 |  Bryan Baker  TB · 58.3 IP · 9.6 K/9 | 1.54 | 3.62 | +2.08 | +15.9 |
| 9 |  Randy Dobnak KC · 69.3 IP · 6.1 K/9 | 2.73 | 4.63 | +1.90 | +15.8 |
| 10 |  Cal Quantrill TEX · 102.7 IP · 6.8 K/9 | 2.89 | 4.39 | +1.50 | +15.2 |
| 11 |  Max Meyer  MIA · 111.0 IP · 9.8 K/9 | 2.68 | 4.11 | +1.43 | +15.1 |
| 12 |  Robert Suarez ATL · 32.0 IP · 7.3 K/9 | 0.56 | 3.13 | +2.57 | +14.5 |
| 13 |  Taylor Clarke ARI · 67.0 IP · 5.4 K/9 | 2.42 | 4.18 | +1.76 | +14.4 |
| 14 |  Walbert Urena LAA · 137.3 IP · 8.6 K/9 | 2.88 | 4.10 | +1.22 | +14.3 |
| 15 |  Yuki Matsui SD · 58.0 IP · 9.6 K/9 | 2.02 | 3.86 | +1.84 | +14.0 |
| 16 |  Nate Pearson KC · 41.0 IP · 7.9 K/9 | 1.98 | 4.15 | +2.17 | +13.9 |
| 17 |  Ryan Rolison CHC · 58.7 IP · 7.8 K/9 | 2.76 | 4.54 | +1.78 | +13.6 |
| 18 |  Martín Pérez ATL · 131.7 IP · 6.7 K/9 | 3.08 | 4.26 | +1.18 | +13.5 |
| 19 |  DL Hall MIL · 52.0 IP · 9.5 K/9 | 2.08 | 3.94 | +1.86 | +13.4 |
| 20 |  Alimber Santa HOU · 15.3 IP · 5.3 K/9 | 1.17 | 4.59 | +3.42 | +13.4 |
| 21 |  Gordon Graceffo STL · 74.0 IP · 6.6 K/9 | 2.68 | 4.17 | +1.49 | +12.8 |
| 22 |  Brent Headrick NYY · 73.3 IP · 11.2 K/9 | 1.96 | 3.30 | +1.34 | +11.5 |
| 23 |  Josh Hader HOU · 41.3 IP · 11.8 K/9 | 0.87 | 2.65 | +1.78 | +11.4 |
| 24 |  Brock Burke CIN · 69.3 IP · 9.3 K/9 | 2.47 | 3.83 | +1.36 | +11.3 |
| 25 |  Yerry De los Santos NYY · 20.0 IP · 6.8 K/9 | 1.35 | 3.88 | +2.53 | +11.3 |
| 26 |  Jacob Latz TEX · 64.7 IP · 10.0 K/9 | 1.81 | 3.16 | +1.35 | +10.9 |
| 27 |  Dylan Dodd ATL · 45.3 IP · 9.3 K/9 | 2.38 | 3.98 | +1.60 | +10.8 |
| 28 |  Josh Walker BAL · 25.0 IP · 8.6 K/9 | 1.80 | 3.95 | +2.15 | +10.8 |
| 29 |  Cam Schlittler NYY · 178.7 IP · 11.1 K/9 | 2.01 | 2.81 | +0.80 | +10.7 |
| 30 |  Tyler Rogers TOR · 66.7 IP · 5.0 K/9 | 1.75 | 3.05 | +1.30 | +10.6 |
| # | Pitcher | YTD ERA | PROJ | Δ ERA | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Luis Morales OAK · 16.0 IP · 7.3 K/9 | 13.50 | 4.29 | -9.21 | -36.8 |
| 2 |  Jack Perkins OAK · 103.3 IP · 10.4 K/9 | 6.53 | 3.75 | -2.78 | -28.2 |
| 3 |  Kade Morris OAK · 17.3 IP · 5.2 K/9 | 10.90 | 4.24 | -6.66 | -27.7 |
| 4 |  Michael Lorenzen TOR · 124.3 IP · 6.4 K/9 | 7.02 | 4.58 | -2.44 | -27.2 |
| 5 |  Aaron Bummer KC · 16.7 IP · 7.0 K/9 | 10.26 | 3.74 | -6.52 | -26.6 |
| 6 |  Matt Svanson STL · 43.3 IP · 8.5 K/9 | 7.27 | 3.23 | -4.04 | -26.6 |
| 7 |  Sean Sullivan  COL · 22.3 IP · 6.4 K/9 | 8.87 | 3.56 | -5.31 | -25.1 |
| 8 |  Kodai Senga NYM · 58.0 IP · 10.6 K/9 | 7.14 | 3.90 | -3.24 | -24.7 |
| 9 |  Kyle Freeland COL · 124.3 IP · 7.5 K/9 | 6.37 | 4.21 | -2.16 | -24.1 |
| 10 |  Connor Thomas KC · 16.7 IP · 5.9 K/9 | 9.72 | 4.11 | -5.61 | -22.9 |
| 11 |  Ryan Walker SF · 32.7 IP · 6.3 K/9 | 7.16 | 3.27 | -3.89 | -22.2 |
| 12 |  Jason Alexander HOU · 18.3 IP · 6.9 K/9 | 9.33 | 4.31 | -5.02 | -21.5 |
| 13 |  Max Kranick WSH · 18.3 IP · 5.4 K/9 | 9.33 | 4.47 | -4.86 | -20.8 |
| 14 |  Jayden Murray CHC · 16.3 IP · 7.7 K/9 | 9.37 | 4.23 | -5.14 | -20.8 |
| 15 |  Grayson Rodriguez LAA · 81.7 IP · 8.3 K/9 | 6.28 | 4.10 | -2.18 | -19.7 |
| 16 |  Luis García MIN · 15.0 IP · 3.6 K/9 | 9.00 | 3.93 | -5.07 | -19.6 |
| 17 |  Tanner Banks PHI · 29.0 IP · 9.9 K/9 | 7.14 | 3.51 | -3.63 | -19.6 |
| 18 |  Rhett Lowder CIN · 119.3 IP · 7.1 K/9 | 5.81 | 4.03 | -1.78 | -19.4 |
| 19 |  Trey Gibson BAL · 33.0 IP · 8.2 K/9 | 7.36 | 3.99 | -3.37 | -19.4 |
| 20 |  Hunter Greene CIN · 27.7 IP · 10.7 K/9 | 6.83 | 3.20 | -3.63 | -19.1 |
| 21 |  Luis Castillo CWS · 128.7 IP · 7.8 K/9 | 5.67 | 4.02 | -1.65 | -18.7 |
| 22 |  Justin Lawrence WSH · 34.3 IP · 11.3 K/9 | 7.34 | 4.16 | -3.18 | -18.6 |
| 23 |  Gage Jump OAK · 98.7 IP · 9.9 K/9 | 5.47 | 3.62 | -1.85 | -18.4 |
| 24 |  Tony Santillan CIN · 38.7 IP · 8.1 K/9 | 6.75 | 3.83 | -2.92 | -18.2 |
| 25 |  Hayden Juenger OAK · 16.0 IP · 3.4 K/9 | 9.00 | 4.48 | -4.52 | -18.1 |
| 26 |  Simeon Woods Richardson TOR · 66.0 IP · 5.5 K/9 | 6.68 | 4.46 | -2.22 | -18.0 |
| 27 |  Pete Fairbanks MIA · 41.3 IP · 12.4 K/9 | 6.10 | 3.31 | -2.79 | -17.9 |
| 28 |  Zac Gallen ARI · 101.3 IP · 5.5 K/9 | 6.22 | 4.44 | -1.78 | -17.9 |
| 29 |  Jimmy Herget COL · 46.0 IP · 8.2 K/9 | 6.26 | 3.64 | -2.62 | -17.8 |
| 30 |  Garrett Crochet BOS · 30.0 IP · 11.1 K/9 | 6.30 | 3.06 | -3.24 | -17.8 |