Chase Meidroth — OGILVIE

Chase MeidrothSS Chicago White Sox

Age 25 R/R 5'9" / 190 lbs MLB HR +4% Svc 0.994 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION392 act + 261 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 10398vR 83

AVG/OBP/SLG.254 / .332 / .349

PA261

HR4

K%21

BB%10

BABIP315

ISO95

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

902.4%

xwOBA

380.294

POWER35

Barrel%

102.8

Avg EV

3588.0

Bat Spd

1167.1

EYE60

Chase%

9014.1%

SPEED50

Sprint

4327.2

Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 615 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

186

429

—

wRC+

105

◀◀L

wOBA

323

289

◀L

ISO

079

066

◀◀L

BABIP

344

278

◀◀L

17.7%

14.2%

▶▶R

BB%

9.7%

9.3%

◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.994 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.9	$4M	+$3M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.1	$16M	+$15M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.1	$14M	+$14M
2029	Arb-1	$4M	+1.9	$12M	+$9M
2030	Arb-2	$6M	+1.6	$9M	+$5M
2031	Arb-3	$8M	+1.4	$8M	+$3M
Totals		$21M		$63M	+$49M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Salem Red Sox	—	85	72	21	5	0	5	8	15	3	4	2	292	386	569	955	278	296	18	9	390	157	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	Salem Red Sox	—	85	68	21	5	0	4	12	9	3	4	2	309	434	559	993	250	298	11	14	426	184	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA	2 teams	—	493	427	102	14	1	8	52	128	13	13	1	239	339	333	672	94	322	26	11	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA	2 teams	—	493	399	108	19	1	9	80	98	13	13	1	271	409	391	800	120	338	20	16	368	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	558	476	122	20	2	6	66	84	11	13	6	256	360	345	704	88	297	15	12	322	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	558	437	128	20	3	7	105	71	11	13	6	293	441	400	842	108	332	13	19	386	153	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	MLB	2 teams	—	545	482	120	16	0	6	51	78	8	16	4	249	331	320	650	71	286	14	9	296	85	-10	+2	+4	+6	+15	1.8
2025	24	MLB	2 teams	—	545	480	122	16	0	8	53	77	8	16	4	254	338	338	676	83	288	14	10	310	95	-3	+2	+4	+6	+15	2.4
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	MLB	CWS	—	392	347	93	17	0	7	37	94	2	2	2	268	342	378	719	110	347	24	9	318	102	+1	-0	+0	+1	+11	1.3
YTD	25	MLB	CWS	—	392	346	93	17	0	7	37	94	2	2	2	269	342	379	721	110	348	24	9	322	104	+2	-0	+0	+1	+11	1.5
ROS	25	MLB	CWS	100%	261	232	59	10	0	4	25	55	2	3	1	254	332	349	680	95	317	21	10	315	99	-0	+0	-0	+1	+7	0.8
ROS	25	MLB	CWS	100%	261	232	59	10	0	4	25	55	2	3	1	254	332	349	681	95	318	21	10	310	95	-1	+0	-0	+1	+7	0.7
FULL	25	MLB	CWS	—	653	579	152	27	0	11	62	149	4	5	3	263	338	366	704	104	334	23	9	315	99	-1	-0	+0	+2	+19	2.0
TOT	25	MLB	CWS	—	653	579	152	27	0	11	62	149	4	5	3	262	338	366	704	104	334	23	9	317	101	+0	-0	+0	+2	+19	2.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	CWS	98%	640	568	147	25	1	11	61	134	6	8	3	259	337	364	701	106	316	21	10	316	100	-0	+0	-0	+2	+18	2.1
2028	27	MLB	CWS	98%	627	555	144	24	1	11	61	131	6	8	3	259	339	366	705	106	316	21	10	316	100	-0	+0	-0	+2	+18	2.0
2029	28	MLB	CWS	98%	615	545	139	23	0	10	60	130	5	8	3	255	334	352	687	97	316	21	10	315	99	-1	+0	-1	+2	+17	1.9
2030	29	MLB	CWS	98%	603	534	136	23	0	10	59	128	5	7	3	255	334	354	688	99	316	21	10	313	98	-2	+0	-2	+2	+17	1.6
2031	30	MLB	CWS	98%	591	523	132	22	0	9	58	127	5	6	3	252	333	346	679	94	315	21	10	310	96	-3	+0	-3	+2	+17	1.4
2032	31	MLB	CWS	98%	579	512	128	21	0	9	57	126	5	5	2	250	331	344	675	94	312	22	10	306	92	-5	+0	-3	+2	+16	1.1
2033	32	MLB	CWS	98%	567	501	123	20	0	8	56	126	5	4	2	246	327	333	661	88	309	22	10	300	88	-8	+0	-4	+2	+16	0.6
2034	33	MLB	CWS	98%	489	434	103	16	0	6	48	111	4	3	1	237	319	316	635	78	304	23	10	292	82	-10	+0	-5	+2	+14	0.1
2035	34	MLB	CWS	94%	425	378	88	13	0	5	41	99	3	2	1	233	313	307	620	74	298	23	10	283	75	-12	+0	-5	+2	+12	-0.4
2036	35	MLB	CWS	89%	371	329	74	10	0	4	36	90	3	1	0	225	307	292	599	67	291	24	10	273	67	-14	+0	-6	+1	+11	-0.8
2027	26	MLB	CWS	98%	627	556	144	24	1	11	60	131	6	8	3	259	338	365	703	106	317	21	10	310	96	-3	+0	-0	+2	+18	1.7
2028	27	MLB	CWS	98%	614	543	142	24	1	11	60	129	6	8	3	262	342	370	712	109	317	21	10	310	96	-3	+0	-0	+2	+17	1.7
2029	28	MLB	CWS	98%	603	534	137	23	0	10	59	127	5	7	3	257	336	356	692	99	317	21	10	309	95	-3	+0	-1	+2	+17	1.5
2030	29	MLB	CWS	98%	591	523	133	22	0	10	58	126	5	7	3	254	334	354	688	99	316	21	10	308	94	-4	+0	-2	+2	+17	1.3
2031	30	MLB	CWS	98%	579	512	130	22	0	9	57	125	5	6	3	254	334	350	684	96	315	22	10	305	92	-6	+0	-2	+2	+16	1.1
2032	31	MLB	CWS	98%	567	501	125	21	0	8	56	124	5	5	2	250	331	339	670	90	313	22	10	301	88	-7	+0	-3	+2	+16	0.8
2033	32	MLB	CWS	98%	556	491	121	20	0	8	55	124	5	4	2	246	328	336	665	90	309	22	10	295	84	-10	+0	-4	+2	+16	0.4
2034	33	MLB	CWS	98%	479	425	102	16	0	6	47	109	4	3	1	240	321	320	641	80	305	23	10	288	78	-12	+0	-4	+2	+14	-0.1
2035	34	MLB	CWS	94%	397	352	82	12	0	5	39	93	3	2	1	233	315	310	624	77	298	23	10	279	71	-13	+0	-5	+1	+11	-0.5
2036	35	MLB	CWS	89%	330	293	65	9	0	3	32	80	2	1	0	222	303	283	586	61	291	24	10	269	64	-14	+0	-5	+1	+9	-0.8
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	6109	5412	1354	218	2	90	593	1295	54	68	26	250	330	341	671	91	312	21	10	300	88	-84	+3	-24	+26	+173	9.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	144	23	0	10	63	138	6	7	3	250	330	342	672	92	311	21	10	300	88	-9	+0	-3	+3	+18	1.0
Career	—			—	7449	6568	1638	262	5	112	739	1562	84	101	35	249	333	342	675	93	309	21	10	306	93	-63	+6	-26	+30	+211	16.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	143	23	0	10	64	136	7	9	3	250	332	342	674	92	309	21	10	306	93	-5	+1	-2	+3	+18	1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Salem Red Sox	—	85	68	21	5	0	4	12	9	3	4	2	309	434	559	993	250	298	11	14	426	184	+8	+0	—	—	+2	1.1
2023	22	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	396	325	83	16	1	7	59	78	11	9	1	255	387	375	763	120	315	20	15	352	127	+12	+1	—	—	+11	2.5
2023	22	A+	Greenville Drive	—	97	74	25	3	0	2	21	20	2	4	0	338	495	459	954	122	442	21	22	435	191	+10	+1	—	—	+3	1.4
2024	23	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	558	437	128	20	3	7	105	71	11	13	6	293	441	400	842	108	332	13	19	386	153	+34	+0	—	—	+16	5.1
2025	24	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	505	450	114	15	0	5	45	72	6	14	4	253	329	320	649	67	291	14	9	298	86	-8	+1	+4	+6	+14	1.8
2025	24	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	40	30	8	1	0	3	8	5	2	2	0	267	450	600	1.050	333	227	12	20	455	206	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	505	450	114	15	0	5	45	72	6	14	4	253	329	320	649	67	291	14	9	298	86	-8	+1	+4	+6	+14	1.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	11	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
	/162	664	7	18	271	314	372	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
#2César Hernándezlast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,797 PA	10	4,797	71	91	267	341	375	+17	+1	17.8	18.0
	/162	664	10	13	267	341	375	+2.4	+0.2	2.5	pk7: 18
#3Kolten Wonglast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,283 PA	11	4,283	86	120	256	330	390	+15	+21	18.4	17.8
	/162	664	13	19	256	330	390	+2.4	+3.2	2.8	pk7: 17
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 13 projected seasons	13	6,886	101	81	251	327	342	+58	+31	19.2	17.1
	/162	664	10	8	251	327	342	+5.6	+3.0	1.8	pk7: 15
#4Alberto Callaspolast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,909 PA	9	3,909	52	22	265	329	365	+14	+17	12.4	12.9
	/162	664	9	4	265	329	365	+2.4	+2.9	2.1	pk7: 13
#5Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#6Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Chase Meidroth (OGILVIE)	25	55	35	50	60	262/338/366	104	334	11	5	23%	9%	101	+2.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Guillorme 2021 · MLB	26	53→62	43→40	46→45	54	257/332/371	114	307	10	9	19%	10%	102	+1.8	253/337/339	86	302	6	5	17%	11%	95	+1.4	250/339/317	67	297	4	1	16%	11%	86	+0.3
✕Ryan Hanigan 2006 · AA	25	56→59	39→40	48→40	53	268/335/354	86	307	7	7	15%	8%	98	+1.6	254/325/332	78	298	6	4	16%	8%	89	+0.9	275/360/360	86	304	8	1	11%	10%	102	+1.1
✕Francisco Urbaez 2023 · AAA	25	49→56	41→45	47→45	48	235/299/338	103	290	8	6	21%	7%	79	+0.3	239/299/346	107	294	9	8	21%	7%	82	+0.5	254/315/364	110	294	7	6	15%	7%	91	+0.7
✕Antonio Perez 2005 · MLB	25	50	46→45	51→55	54	244/328/378	135	303	13	13	23%	11%	102	+1.9	233/302/346	113	316	10	14	27%	8%	83	+0.6	221/292/321	100	306	7	14	28%	7%	70	-0.1
✕Marty Costes 2022 · AAA	26	54→59	43→45	48→50	51	255/338/366	111	323	9	12	23%	9%	103	+1.9	238/315/350	112	303	10	14	23%	8%	90	+1.0	225/300/326	101	282	9	14	22%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Jamie Ritchie 2019 · AAA	26	50→52	39→40	49→45	48	234/309/320	86	311	6	6	25%	8%	79	+0.3	240/315/344	104	308	8	6	23%	8%	88	+0.9	239/322/328	89	301	6	1	21%	9%	84	+0.3
✕Johnny Giavotella 2012 · MLB	25	57→61	41→45	49→50	46	271/313/375	104	314	7	12	16%	6%	94	+1.3	260/308/365	105	299	8	11	15%	6%	89	+1.0	265/310/377	112	292	8	5	12%	6%	92	+0.8
✕Daniel Robertson 2020 · MLB	26	49→54	44→45	42→40	53	235/333/348	114	301	11	5	24%	10%	98	+1.6	209/298/315	106	280	11	5	27%	10%	75	-0.0	175/262/273	98	229	10	0	27%	8%	45	-0.7
●Alec Bohm 2022 · MLB	25	52→56	45→50	47→45	47	252/312/373	121	316	13	7	24%	8%	94	+1.3	266/316/399	133	308	14	5	18%	6%	102	+1.9	270/324/418	148	300	16	4	15%	6%	108	+2.2
●D'Angelo Jimenez 2003 · MLB	25	54→56	40→45	46→50	57	256/333/357	101	303	6	7	17%	10%	98	+1.6	262/343/388	126	297	11	11	15%	11%	111	+2.5	260/346/385	126	290	12	13	14%	12%	108	+2.3
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2020 · MLB	25	50→56	39→40	49→55	47	239/298/332	93	287	6	11	19%	6%	77	+0.1	256/308/346	90	296	7	17	15%	6%	85	+0.7	264/312/341	77	299	6	21	14%	5%	81	+0.3
✕Lou Marson 2010 · MLB	24	55→54	39→40	45→50	51	257/328/347	90	331	6	5	23%	9%	93	+1.3	220/298/309	89	279	6	11	21%	10%	72	-0.2	205/295/288	83	258	5	13	21%	11%	63	-0.4
✕Jose Tabata 2014 · MLB	25	54→60	42→45	46→55	51	260/323/374	114	298	7	12	15%	7%	98	+1.6	256/309/343	87	296	5	7	14%	6%	84	+0.6	263/316/328	65	305	2	5	14%	6%	81	+0.2
●Rafael Lantigua 2023 · AAA	25	51→55	43→45	47→55	47	244/307/361	117	318	10	17	26%	8%	89	+0.9	246/322/352	106	315	9	18	23%	10%	93	+1.3	241/323/339	98	303	9	20	22%	10%	88	+0.8
✕Greg Garcia 2015 · MLB	25	50→54	40	49→50	45	236/306/331	95	310	7	11	25%	7%	81	+0.4	244/326/331	87	313	5	11	22%	9%	89	+1.0	242/351/334	92	309	6	3	21%	13%	98	+0.8
✕Zelous Wheeler 2012 · AAA	25	49→52	44→50	50→45	50	237/313/360	122	284	11	9	20%	8%	92	+1.2	242/303/377	135	289	14	6	21%	7%	92	+1.2	245/304/378	133	293	14	4	21%	6%	88	+0.6
✕Willie Bloomquist 2004 · MLB	26	53→56	40	52→60	53	253/323/350	97	300	7	13	17%	9%	92	+1.2	245/296/332	87	297	5	25	18%	7%	76	+0.0	284/325/360	76	328	3	18	13%	5%	90	+0.5
●Nico Hoerner 2022 · MLB	25	53→62	38→45	46→60	51	250/318/334	84	296	5	13	17%	8%	86	+0.8	273/331/382	109	302	9	26	12%	7%	104	+2.0	280/340/376	96	305	7	31	10%	7%	103	+2.2
✕Tim Fedroff 2013 · AAA	26	56→62	41→40	49→50	49	267/323/373	106	324	7	10	19%	7%	98	+1.6	231/297/309	78	305	6	13	24%	8%	70	-0.3	217/289/272	56	293	4	14	25%	9%	55	-1.2
✕Boog Powell 2018 · MLB	25	56→57	43→45	48→50	49	272/326/384	112	321	11	15	19%	7%	102	+1.8	229/298/330	101	306	9	16	26%	9%	77	+0.1	202/280/282	80	285	6	17	29%	10%	54	-0.7