Santiago Espinal

Santiago Espinal3B Los Angeles Dodgers

Age 31 R/R 5'9" / 185 lbs MLB HR +15%K -3% Svc 5.866 · Ctrl thru 2026 peak 0.7 · 2026

wRC+†vL 10481vR 44

AVG/OBP/SLG.255 / .310 / .343

PA349

HR5

SB5

K%13

BB%7

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

50→50

PWR

35→35

SPD

50→50

EYE

44↗55

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.5peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-3

MLB Debut 2020

Service 5.866 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-3	$2M	+0.7	$3M	+$0.3M
Totals		$2M		$3M	+$0.3M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	21	ROK	GCL Red Sox	99	90	17	1	0	0	6	16	1	1	0	.189	.247	.200	.447	.011	.230	16	6	.211	20	-9	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.6
2017	22	A	Greenville Drive	544	508	119	15	3	2	23	87	3	20	6	.234	.272	.287	.559	.053	.276	16	4	.246	46	-33	+2	+0	+2	+15	-1.4
2018	23	A+	3 teams	582	538	133	27	5	8	31	104	7	13	8	.247	.297	.361	.657	.113	.290	18	5	.290	80	-13	-1	+0	+2	+16	0.5
2019	24	AA	2 teams	521	483	118	21	1	7	30	92	2	12	13	.244	.291	.335	.627	.091	.288	18	6	.274	68	-19	-3	+0	+2	+15	-0.5
2020	25	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	66	60	16	4	0	0	4	16	0	1	0	.267	.312	.333	.646	.067	.356	24	6	.280	73	-2	+0	+3	+1	+2	0.3
2021	26	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	246	222	69	12	0	2	22	30	1	6	1	.311	.376	.392	.767	.081	.353	12	9	.349	125	+7	+1	+4	+1	+7	2.0
2022	27	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	491	449	123	26	0	6	36	68	2	6	6	.274	.331	.372	.703	.098	.310	14	7	.313	98	-1	-1	+8	+2	+14	2.1
2023	28	MLB	2 teams	269	244	63	15	0	2	19	39	3	3	1	.258	.320	.344	.664	.086	.299	14	7	.295	84	-5	+0	-2	+1	+8	0.2
2024	29	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	391	357	86	12	0	8	24	54	2	11	1	.241	.292	.342	.634	.101	.261	14	6	.276	69	-14	+2	-2	+1	+11	-0.1
2025	30	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	328	301	71	11	0	0	21	38	1	2	1	.236	.288	.272	.560	.037	.268	12	6	.252	51	-18	+0	+1	+1	+9	-0.6
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	31	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	20	18	4	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	.222	.222	.278	.500	.056	.250	10	0	.198	10	-2	+0	+1	+0	+1	-0.1
ROS	31	MLB	LAD	329	302	77	13	0	4	22	42	2	5	1	.255	.310	.338	.648	.083	.284	13	7	.297	85	-5	+1	+2	+1	+9	0.8
TOT	31	MLB	LAD	349	320	81	14	0	4	22	44	2	5	1	.253	.305	.334	.640	.081	.281	13	6	.291	81	-8	+1	+2	+1	+10	0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	32	MLB	LAD	330	303	77	13	0	4	22	44	2	4	1	.254	.309	.337	.646	.083	.283	13	7	.292	82	-7	+0	-2	+1	+9	0.2
2028	33	MLB	LAD	300	275	68	11	0	3	20	42	2	2	0	.247	.303	.320	.623	.073	.281	14	7	.286	77	-8	+0	-2	+1	+8	-0.0
2029	34	MLB	LAD	257	237	58	9	0	3	17	38	1	1	0	.245	.298	.321	.619	.076	.280	15	7	.280	72	-8	+0	-3	+1	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4753	4369	1095	190	9	49	297	710	29	87	39	.251	.303	.332	.635	.081	.287	15	6	.283	75	-135	+2	+6	+17	+135	2.5
/ 162G	—			650	597	150	26	1	7	41	97	4	12	5	.251	.304	.333	.637	.082	.288	15	6	.283	75	-18	+0	+1	+2	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	21	ROK	GCL Red Sox	99	86	21	2	0	0	10	11	1	1	0	.244	.330	.267	.597	.023	.280	11	10	.278	71	-3	+0	—	—	+3	-0.0
2017	22	A	Greenville Drive	544	492	138	18	4	4	39	66	3	20	6	.280	.337	.358	.695	.077	.314	12	7	.310	95	-3	+2	—	—	+15	1.5
2018	23	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	164	147	42	9	2	1	14	22	2	2	1	.286	.356	.395	.750	.109	.328	13	9	.337	116	+3	+0	—	—	+5	0.8
2018	23	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	354	321	97	18	4	9	24	45	5	9	4	.302	.360	.467	.827	.165	.326	13	7	.363	136	+14	+0	—	—	+10	2.5
2018	23	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	64	56	14	3	1	0	7	7	0	2	3	.250	.333	.339	.673	.089	.280	11	11	.303	90	-1	-1	—	—	+2	0.0
2019	24	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	112	104	33	6	0	2	7	23	0	2	2	.317	.360	.433	.793	.115	.392	21	6	.352	127	+3	-0	—	—	+3	0.6
2019	24	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	409	367	102	21	1	5	35	50	2	10	11	.278	.344	.381	.726	.104	.310	12	9	.325	107	+3	-2	—	—	+12	1.2
2020	25	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	66	60	16	4	0	0	4	16	0	1	0	.267	.312	.333	.646	.067	.356	24	6	.285	76	-2	+0	+3	+1	+2	0.4
2021	26	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	246	222	69	13	1	2	22	30	1	6	1	.311	.376	.405	.781	.095	.353	12	9	.352	127	+8	+1	+4	+1	+7	2.1
2022	27	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	491	449	120	25	0	7	36	68	2	6	6	.267	.324	.370	.694	.102	.300	14	7	.311	96	-2	-1	+8	+2	+14	2.1
2023	28	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	254	230	57	14	0	2	18	36	3	2	1	.248	.311	.335	.646	.087	.285	14	7	.291	81	-5	+0	-2	+1	+7	0.1
2023	28	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	15	13	4	1	0	0	2	2	0	1	0	.308	.400	.385	.785	.077	.364	13	13	.360	133	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2024	29	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	391	357	88	12	0	9	24	54	2	11	1	.246	.298	.356	.653	.109	.265	14	6	.289	79	-9	+2	-2	+1	+11	0.3
2025	30	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	328	301	73	12	0	0	21	38	1	2	1	.243	.294	.282	.577	.040	.275	12	6	.262	59	-15	+0	+1	+1	+9	-0.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			1776	1619	423	80	1	20	125	242	9	28	10	.261	.318	.349	.667	.088	.295	14	7	.299	87	-26	+2	+12	+7	+50	4.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Santiago Espinal (OGILVIE)	31	50	35	50	55	.255/.310/.343	.088	.284	5	5	13%	7%	85	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dixon Machado 2023 · MLB	31	51→55	39→45	48→55	49	.244/.306/.332	.088	.287	7	10	17%	7%	80	+0.4	.222/.302/.313	.091	.269	9	7	20%	9%	75	-0.0	.201/.296/.278	.077	.247	8	4	20%	11%	62	-0.4
✕Sergio Palafox 2010 · AAA	30	53	39→40	50→45	51	.252/.303/.338	.086	.278	6	10	12%	7%	80	+0.4	.227/.277/.310	.083	.263	6	10	15%	6%	62	-0.9	.227/.269/.281	.054	.269	2	7	16%	5%	47	-0.5
✕Fernando Rios 2010 · AAA	31	51	38→40	42→50	50	.241/.299/.322	.081	.274	6	10	14%	7%	75	-0.0	.244/.294/.330	.086	.280	8	8	15%	6%	75	-0.0	.261/.307/.323	.062	.288	6	3	11%	6%	74	-0.0
✕Valentin Gamez 2014 · AAA	31	55	38→40	42→40	49	.260/.306/.342	.082	.293	5	5	13%	6%	82	+0.5	.240/.286/.306	.066	.286	4	4	16%	6%	64	-0.8	.227/.271/.263	.036	.279	1	1	18%	5%	45	-0.6
✕Miguel Cairo 2005 · MLB	31	53→58	44→45	52→55	47	.257/.313/.380	.123	.281	10	12	13%	5%	96	+1.5	.246/.298/.341	.095	.272	6	20	11%	6%	79	+0.3	.260/.310/.370	.111	.287	11	10	14%	5%	89	+0.5
✕Francisco Arias 2009 · AAA	31	50	39→40	47→45	44	.239/.280/.325	.085	.264	6	7	13%	4%	67	-0.5	.256/.303/.359	.103	.277	8	7	11%	4%	86	+0.8	.270/.319/.375	.105	.289	8	5	9%	4%	95	+0.7
✕Luis Ordaz 2007 · AAA	31	52	42→40	50	44	.250/.279/.359	.109	.274	9	8	13%	4%	76	+0.0	.256/.284/.352	.096	.298	7	11	16%	3%	76	+0.0	.269/.295/.355	.086	.314	6	10	16%	3%	80	+0.2
✕Angel Sanchez 2014 · MLB	30	51→60	38→40	46→45	51	.239/.294/.309	.070	.266	6	7	13%	7%	69	-0.4	.222/.266/.314	.092	.261	8	6	18%	5%	58	-1.2	.217/.246/.288	.071	.258	6	0	18%	3%	42	-0.8
✕Rubén Tejada 2021 · AAA	31	48→58	41→40	46→50	44	.230/.287/.326	.096	.282	8	8	21%	6%	71	-0.3	.222/.289/.299	.077	.289	6	7	24%	7%	66	-0.6	.207/.283/.237	.030	.276	2	2	23%	8%	43	-1.1
●Sergio Guerrero 2006 · AAA	31	52	38→40	47→40	47	.242/.302/.323	.082	.264	4	6	11%	4%	77	+0.1	.262/.314/.354	.092	.277	8	5	9%	4%	89	+1.0	.263/.319/.341	.078	.277	7	3	8%	5%	85	+0.4
✕Daniel Robertson 2017 · MLB	31	52→58	39→45	49→55	49	.248/.297/.341	.092	.278	6	13	13%	6%	78	+0.2	.249/.304/.350	.101	.288	8	15	16%	6%	84	+0.6	.251/.313/.348	.097	.295	9	17	17%	7%	84	+0.4
✕Cory Sullivan 2011 · MLB	31	51→60	40→45	50	49	.244/.298/.341	.097	.285	7	12	17%	7%	79	+0.3	.218/.288/.308	.090	.266	7	10	19%	9%	66	-0.6	.173/.266/.206	.033	.215	0	8	18%	11%	32	-0.6
✕Erick Almonte 2009 · AAA	31	50→48	43→40	44→45	51	.242/.308/.356	.114	.291	10	7	20%	9%	88	+0.9	.248/.302/.340	.092	.316	7	7	22%	7%	80	+0.4	.257/.308/.335	.078	.331	5	5	23%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Will Rhymes 2014 · MLB	31	53→61	38→40	45→55	54	.249/.309/.328	.078	.270	5	9	10%	8%	80	+0.4	.230/.281/.326	.096	.259	7	8	14%	6%	68	-0.5	.221/.266/.319	.098	.254	6	6	15%	5%	58	-0.9
✕Adrián Sanchez 2022 · MLB	31	53→46	43→45	48→50	44	.257/.297/.369	.111	.305	11	13	19%	5%	86	+0.8	.231/.273/.337	.106	.290	8	10	22%	5%	67	-0.5	.217/.255/.315	.098	.279	4	6	22%	5%	49	-0.8
✕Eddy Garabito 2008 · MLB	31	50→53	41→40	49→50	50	.240/.292/.339	.098	.267	8	16	14%	6%	76	+0.1	.243/.306/.341	.098	.277	9	16	15%	8%	83	+0.6	.253/.323/.338	.085	.286	8	16	14%	9%	86	+0.6
✕Royce Huffman 2008 · AAA	31	48→52	41→45	46→45	52	.231/.306/.336	.105	.276	8	7	19%	9%	82	+0.5	.232/.298/.337	.105	.293	9	6	22%	8%	79	+0.3	.235/.300/.337	.102	.300	9	5	23%	7%	76	+0.1
✕Jermaine Curtis 2018 · AAA	31	52→61	41→40	48→50	51	.250/.331/.346	.095	.300	8	8	19%	8%	95	+1.4	.224/.312/.315	.091	.292	7	9	24%	9%	80	+0.4	.177/.293/.222	.046	.239	4	9	24%	10%	52	-0.4
✕Darwin Barney 2017 · MLB	31	50→58	41→40	45→50	47	.240/.288/.336	.096	.271	9	7	15%	6%	73	-0.1	.236/.284/.343	.107	.274	11	10	18%	6%	73	-0.1	.231/.274/.323	.092	.269	10	12	18%	5%	63	-0.5
✕Joe McEwing 2004 · MLB	31	49→55	42→45	46→50	47	.237/.298/.340	.102	.284	9	10	20%	7%	79	+0.3	.238/.285/.320	.082	.289	7	12	19%	6%	68	-0.5	.251/.284/.329	.077	.301	7	16	19%	4%	65	-0.3

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)