Santiago Espinal3B Los Angeles Dodgers
Age 31 R/R 5'9" / 185 lbs MLB HR -6% Svc 5.866 · Ctrl thru 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION84 act + 56 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†vL 11294vR 50
AVG/OBP/SLG.264 / .304 / .377
PA56
HR1
K%14
BB%5
BABIP295
ISO113
MLB%100%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -6.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +0.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.8 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: +0.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +4.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: -0.00-0.0WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.10.1-0.12628
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT50
Whiff%
905.6%
xwOBA
230.277
POWER35
Barrel%
101.4
Avg EV
1286.2
Bat Spd
2969.1
EYE55
Chase%
7526.8%
SPEED50
Sprint
2726.4
Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 719 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
257
462
wRC+
109
47
◀◀L
wOBA
327
247
◀◀L
ISO
141
044
◀◀L
BABIP
285
261
L
K%
9.7%
14.5%
◀◀L
BB%
7.4%
5.4%
◀◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-3
MLB Debut   2020
Service   5.866 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2026
First FA Year   2027
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt$1M
Totals $1M $0.0M -$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201621 ROKGCL Red Sox 9990 17100 6161 10 189247200447 11230 166 211 20
201621 ROKGCL Red Sox 9986 21200 10111 10 244330267597 23280 1110 278 71
201722 AGreenville Drive 544506 1251632 25893 206 247287302589 55293 165 256 54
201722 AGreenville Drive 544492 1381844 39663 206 280337358695 77314 127 310 95
201823 A+3 teams 582538 1322758 311057 138 245295359654 113288 185 285 76
201823 A+3 teams 582524 15330710 45747 138 292356433789 141321 138 349 125
201924 AA2 teams 521482 1142018 31932 1213 237285332617 95277 186 270 65
201924 AA2 teams 521471 1352717 42732 1213 287348393740 106327 148 330 111
202025 MLBToronto Blue Jays 6660 16400 4160 10 267312333646 67356 246 280 72 -2 +0 +3 +1 +2 0.3
202025 MLBToronto Blue Jays 6660 16400 4160 10 267312333646 67356 246 285 76 -2 +0 +3 +1 +2 0.4
202126 MLBToronto Blue Jays 246222 681312 22301 61 306371401772 95347 129 345 123 +6 +1 +4 +1 +7 2.0
202126 MLBToronto Blue Jays 246222 691312 22301 61 311376405781 95353 129 352 127 +8 +1 +4 +1 +7 2.1
202227 MLBToronto Blue Jays 491449 1192507 36682 66 265322367690 102297 147 305 92 -5 -1 +8 +2 +14 1.8
202227 MLBToronto Blue Jays 491449 1202507 36682 66 267324370694 102300 147 311 96 -2 -1 +8 +2 +14 2.1
202328 MLB2 teams 269244 601502 19393 31 246308332640 86284 147 285 76 -7 +0 -2 +1 +8 -0.1
202328 MLB2 teams 269243 611502 20383 31 251316337653 86289 147 295 84 -5 +0 -2 +1 +8 0.2
202429 MLBCincinnati Reds 391357 861109 24542 111 241292347640 106258 146 278 71 -13 +2 -2 +1 +11 -0.0
202429 MLBCincinnati Reds 391357 881209 24542 111 246298356653 109265 146 289 79 -9 +2 -2 +1 +11 0.3
202530 MLBCincinnati Reds 328301 711100 21381 21 236288272560 37268 126 256 54 -17 +0 +1 +1 +9 -0.5
202530 MLBCincinnati Reds 328301 731200 21381 21 243294282577 40275 126 262 59 -15 +0 +1 +1 +9 -0.3
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD31 MLBLAD 8478 18301 2170 20 231250308558 77274 202 246 46 -5 +0 +1 +0 +2 -0.1
YTD31 MLBLAD 8477 19301 3150 20 247275325600 78286 184 257 55 -4 +0 +1 +0 +2 -0.1
ROS31 MLBLAD 100% 5653 14301 380 10 264304377681 113294 145 293 83 -1 +0 +0 +0 +2 0.1
ROS31 MLBLAD 100% 5653 13201 380 10 245286340625 94290 145 287 78 -1 +0 +0 +0 +2 0.1
FULL31 MLBLAD 140131 31502 5250 30 237265321585 84274 184 262 59 -7 +1 +1 +0 +4 -0.1
TOT31 MLBLAD 140131 32602 5250 30 244272336608 92283 184 265 61 -6 +1 +1 +0 +4 -0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202732 MLBLAD 100% 334310 791503 20491 41 255302332634 77291 156 287 78 -8 +0 -2 +1 +9 0.0
202833 MLBLAD 100% 304282 701203 18461 31 248296323618 74285 156 279 72 -10 +0 -3 +1 +9 -0.3
202732 MLBLAD 100% 334310 771403 20491 41 248296323619 74287 156 281 73 -10 +0 -2 +1 +9 -0.1
202833 MLBLAD 100% 304282 691203 18461 31 245292319612 74282 156 273 67 -11 +0 -3 +1 +9 -0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career 24702264 582108127 16634511 3612 257311341652 84291 147 293 83 -49 +2 +6 +9 +70 4.0
/ 162G 650596 1522807 44913 93 255310337647 82289 147 293 83 -13 +1 +2 +2 +18 1.0
Career 42313894 9711731045 26065124 8339 249300334634 84287 156 280 73 -130 +1 +6 +16 +120 1.3
/ 162G 650598 1502727 401004 136 251302338640 87289 156 280 73 -20 +0 +1 +2 +18 0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201621 ROKGCL Red Sox 9986 21200 10111 10 244330267597 23280 1110 278 71 -3 +0 +3 -0.0
201722 AGreenville Drive 544492 1381844 39663 206 280337358695 77314 127 310 95 -3 +2 +15 1.5
201823 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats 164147 42921 14222 21 286356395750 109328 139 337 116 +3 +0 +5 0.8
201823 A+Dunedin Blue Jays 354321 971849 24455 94 302360467827 165326 137 363 136 +14 +0 +10 2.5
201823 INTLSurprise Saguaros 6456 14310 770 23 250333339673 89280 1111 303 90 -1 -1 +2 0.0
201924 AAABuffalo Bisons 112104 33602 7230 22 317360433793 115392 216 352 127 +3 -0 +3 0.6
201924 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats 409367 1022115 35502 1011 278344381726 104310 129 325 107 +3 -2 +12 1.2
202025 MLBToronto Blue Jays 6660 16400 4160 10 267312333646 67356 246 285 76 -2 +0 +3 +1 +2 0.4
202126 MLBToronto Blue Jays 246222 691312 22301 61 311376405781 95353 129 352 127 +8 +1 +4 +1 +7 2.1
202227 MLBToronto Blue Jays 491449 1202507 36682 66 267324370694 102300 147 311 96 -2 -1 +8 +2 +14 2.1
202328 MLBToronto Blue Jays 254230 571402 18363 21 248311335646 87285 147 291 81 -5 +0 -2 +1 +7 0.0
202328 ADunedin Blue Jays 1513 4100 220 10 308400385785 77364 1313 360 133 +1 +0 +0 0.1
202429 MLBCincinnati Reds 391357 881209 24542 111 246298356653 109265 146 289 79 -9 +2 -2 +1 +11 0.3
202530 MLBCincinnati Reds 328301 731200 21381 21 243294282577 40275 126 262 59 -15 +0 +1 +1 +9 -0.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 17761619 42380120 1252429 2810 261318349667 88295 147 299 87 -26 +2 +12 +7 +50 4.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Alex Coralast yr '11
career totals — 12 seasons, 3,756 PA
123,7563547245312341+8+297.88.1
/16266468+1.4+5.21.4pk7: 9
#2Ramon Santiagolast yr '14
career totals — 11 seasons, 2,736 PA
112,7363030244314332+18+317.47.8
/16266477+4.4+7.41.8pk7: 8
#3Eric Sogardlast yr '21
career totals — 10 seasons, 2,484 PA
102,4842646246312337+10+226.06.6
/162664712+2.7+5.91.6pk7: 7
#4Leury Garcíalast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,387 PA
92,3873463253293351+5+103.14.3
/162664918+1.4+2.70.9pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons
102,5992937259308344+9+213.33.6
/162664710+2.4+5.40.8pk7: 4
#5Jose Vizcainolast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,971 PA
71,9711515269315355+3+22.82.8
/16266455+0.9+0.60.9pk7: 3
#6Abraham O. Nunezlast yr '07
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,389 PA
82,3891724246315322+2+92.52.7
/16266457+0.5+2.50.7pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Santiago Espinal (OGILVIE) 31 50 35 50 55 244/272/336 92283 23 18% 4% 61 -0.0
Kevin Plawecki
2023 · MLB
32 51→56 41→45 47→30 50 244/309/343 99283 84 17% 7% 85 +0.7 223/286/334 111272 113 21% 7% 72 -0.2 211/272/31310225911022%7%59-0.5
Angel Sanchez
2014 · MLB
30 50→60 38→40 45 50 236/290/308 71263 67 13% 6% 67 -0.5 220/263/313 93262 97 19% 5% 57 -1.2 214/242/281672565018%3%39-0.8
Gary Bennett
2004 · MLB
32 51 40 45→40 50 244/300/334 90278 75 15% 7% 79 +0.3 229/296/324 95263 84 15% 8% 75 -0.0 218/289/304852517115%8%58-0.4
Juan Centeno
2021 · MLB
31 47 41→45 48→40 46 226/281/321 95269 87 19% 6% 67 -0.5 235/279/347 112289 115 22% 5% 72 -0.2 231/273/3321012949324%5%62-0.4
Dixon Machado
2023 · MLB
31 53→55 39→45 48→55 49 251/314/340 89297 710 17% 7% 85 +0.7 226/305/322 96274 97 20% 9% 79 +0.3 208/300/290822549421%11%66-0.3
Gerald Laird
2011 · MLB
31 47 42→50 47→50 50 226/292/333 107260 97 17% 7% 76 +0.0 245/311/357 112283 96 16% 8% 89 +1.0 268/338/3691013106314%8%97+0.4
Michel Hernandez
2010 · MLB
31 49 40 43→40 48 234/279/321 87263 76 14% 6% 66 -0.6 229/285/313 84263 66 15% 6% 66 -0.6 222/281/292702554214%6%58-0.4
Josh Wilson
2012 · MLB
31 48→50 41→45 50 42 231/279/336 104280 78 20% 4% 70 -0.3 202/250/299 97271 87 27% 5% 48 -1.9 210/255/282722936729%3%44-1.2
Sergio Palafox
2011 · AAA
31 50 38→40 46→45 49 234/288/314 80268 510 15% 7% 68 -0.5 219/266/307 88254 711 16% 6% 57 -1.2 224/257/270462642815%3%39-0.6
Cory Sullivan
2011 · MLB
31 51→60 40→45 51→50 50 242/298/337 95282 611 16% 7% 78 +0.2 216/287/312 96264 811 20% 9% 67 -0.5 166/261/200342060818%11%28-0.7
Miguel Cairo
2005 · MLB
31 54→58 44→45 52→55 47 260/315/384 124283 1012 13% 5% 98 +1.6 245/296/338 93272 521 12% 6% 77 +0.1 258/308/370112285121014%5%88+0.4
Rubén Tejada
2021 · AAA
31 48→58 42→40 46→50 45 232/291/334 102282 98 21% 6% 75 -0.0 221/286/297 76287 67 24% 7% 63 -0.8 208/280/235262781223%7%42-1.1
Rob Johnson
2013 · MLB
31 42→52 43→45 47→50 46 208/268/316 109251 118 22% 7% 61 -1.0 215/271/340 125261 147 23% 7% 68 -0.5 197/255/31311523913023%7%53-0.7
Valentin Gamez
2014 · AAA
31 54 38→40 42→40 48 254/299/336 82288 55 14% 6% 78 +0.2 230/275/295 65278 44 18% 5% 57 -1.2 197/242/242452503121%4%28-0.7
Luis Ordaz
2007 · AAA
31 52 42→40 51→50 44 252/280/362 109275 98 13% 4% 76 +0.1 255/284/353 98297 811 17% 3% 76 +0.0 268/295/3558631461016%3%80+0.2
Wiki Gonzalez
2005 · MLB
31 47 42→45 48→30 56 227/310/340 113262 97 16% 10% 85 +0.7 251/302/380 129263 145 11% 6% 92 +1.2 250/296/3721222561529%5%84+0.2
Fernando Rios
2010 · AAA
31 51 38→40 41→50 50 242/298/322 80275 59 14% 7% 74 -0.1 238/288/325 87276 88 16% 6% 71 -0.3 254/299/313592816311%6%68-0.1
Joe McEwing
2004 · MLB
31 49→55 40→45 46→50 47 234/295/328 94282 89 20% 7% 75 -0.0 239/285/321 82290 712 19% 6% 68 -0.5 251/284/3297730171619%4%65-0.3
Jorge Velandia
2006 · MLB
31 49→53 40 43→45 48 233/288/328 95273 66 17% 6% 72 -0.2 235/276/330 95292 89 21% 5% 67 -0.5 230/273/314852907823%5%58-0.9
Yunesky Sanchez
2015 · AAA
31 53→61 41→40 43→45 43 259/291/351 93293 99 16% 4% 78 +0.2 240/278/323 83277 710 16% 4% 66 -0.6 248/290/302542822912%4%66-0.3