Ezequiel Duran

LF Texas Rangers
Age 28 R/R 5'10" / 185 lbs MLB HR +15%BB +5% Svc 4.291 · Ctrl thru 2028
Overview
MLB40-MANArb-2FA 2029
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202425AAA/INTL2 orgs215.292/.362/.49087121—.250/.267/.476
202425MLBTEX285.246/.289/.32131720.0
202526AAA/INTL2 orgs212.340/.400/.524612145—.304/.339/.571
202526MLBTEX219.224/.267/.293011590.2
202627MLBTEX597.260/.324/.41917121051.0
2027PROJ28MLBTEX537.241/.300/.364112586-0.1
2028PROJ29MLBTEX522.238/.297/.358102184-0.4
2029PROJ30MLBTEX507.235/.294/.35091781-0.7
Last 3 seasons WAR 1.2  ·  Next 3 projected WAR -1.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2028Service4.291First FA2029
2027Arb-2$5M2028Arb-3$5M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Speed87
Bat Spd66
Avg EV32
xwOBA24
Barrel%22
Form.243/.304/.359 · rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .240/.297/.361
CompsBen DeLuzio (age 28) · Tyler Saladino (age 28) · Jonathan Davis (age 28)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 8886vR 80
AVG/OBP/SLG.241 / .300 / .364
PA537
HR11
SB25
K%23
BB%7
BABIP300
ISO126
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -8.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-9BATRUN: +4.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+4RUNFLD: -0.6 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: -5.8 runs (Positional adjustment)-6POSREP: +11.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+12REPTotal WAR: +1.60+1.6WAR
0.01.12.11.60.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$2M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT40
xAVG
240.230
POWER35
Barrel%
224.7
Avg EV
3287.8
Bat Spd
6673.1
EYE35
scouting grade only
SPEED60
Sprint
8728.9
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%22%▲21% over 112 PA (60d) · proj 23%
BB%7%▲8% over 112 PA (60d) · proj 7%
ISO.116·.109 over 101 AB (60d) · proj .121
HR/BB3.2%·3.8% over 78 BBE (60d) · proj 2.7%
BABIP.295▼.240 over 75 BIP (60d) · proj .300
SLASH.243/.304/.359·proj .240/.297/.361
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 545 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
186
359
—
wRC+
44
82
▶▶R
wOBA
233
289
▶▶R
ISO
045
095
▶▶R
BABIP
308
316
—
K%
27.4%
21.2%
▶▶R
BB%
3.8%
4.7%
▶▶R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-2
MLB Debut   2022
Service   4.291 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2028
First FA Year   2029
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Arb-2$5M+1.6$13M+$7M
2028Arb-3$5M———
Totals $5M $11M +$7M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201718 ROKDSL Yankees — 6561 24543 3150 41 3934227541.176 361477 235 493 82 — — — — — —
201819 ROKPulaski Yankees — 235219 44824 9656 70 201252311563 110265 284 254 1 — — — — — —
202122 A+Hickory Crawdads — 471416 11122619 4013010 199 267345486831 219338 288 362 71 — — — — — —
202122 INTLSurprise Saguaros — 7872 20743 591 02 278333611944 333283 126 402 158 — — — — — —
202223 MLBTexas Rangers — 220208 491015 12540 41 236277365643 130295 255 287 79 -6 +0 -0 +2 +5 0.1
202223 AAARound Rock Express — 155145 41909 7431 75 283320531851 248337 285 366 92 — — — — — —
202223 AAFrisco RoughRiders — 200183 582417 14361 72 317369574942 257359 187 405 111 — — — — — —
202223 INTLAguilas Cibaenas — 5451 13302 171 10 255283431714 176262 132 309 95 — — — — — —
202324 MLBTexas Rangers — 439406 11222214 231207 84 276326443769 167358 275 339 112 +6 +0 -2 +5 +10 1.9
202425 MLBTexas Rangers — 285268 661103 14632 12 246289321610 75310 225 276 72 -9 -1 +3 +2 +6 0.0
202425 AAARound Rock Express — 8683 23425 3190 51 277302554857 277305 223 369 93 — — — — — —
202425 INTLAguilas Cibaenas — 129109 33413 18240 21 303402440842 138357 1914 373 139 — — — — — —
202526 MLBTexas Rangers — 219205 461400 8554 112 224267293560 68305 254 253 59 -11 +1 +2 +5 +5 0.2
202526 AAARound Rock Express — 5955 19604 4130 50 3453906731.063 327395 227 457 143 — — — — — —
202526 INTLAguilas Cibaenas — 153136 46912 13202 71 338404463867 125379 138 383 146 — — — — — —
202627 MLBTexas Rangers — 597539 14027417 461415 124 260324419743 160318 248 328 105 +4 +1 -1 -6 +13 1.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 17601626 41384739 10343318 3613 254306386692 132321 256 308 94 -12 +2 +0 +7 +38 3.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201718 ROK MLEDSL Yankees — 6562 14321 2180 41 226250387637 161300 283 290 82 — — — — — —
201819 ROK MLEPulaski Yankees — 235222 30513 6926 70 135179207387 72210 393 169 1 — — — — — —
202122 A+ MLEHickory Crawdads — 471428 8515516 2817710 199 199264369633 171278 386 273 71 — — — — — —
202223 MLB MLETexas Rangers — 220208 491015 12540 41 236277365643 130295 255 284 79 -6 +0 -0 +2 +5 0.1
202223 AAA MLERound Rock Express — 155147 37807 5511 75 252281449730 197317 333 304 92 — — — — — —
202223 AA MLEFrisco RoughRiders — 200187 491916 10431 72 262303471774 209306 225 332 111 — — — — — —
202324 MLB MLETexas Rangers — 439407 11223213 221207 84 275323437761 162358 275 334 112 +6 +0 -2 +5 +10 1.9
202425 MLB MLETexas Rangers — 285268 661103 14632 12 246289321610 75310 225 275 72 -9 -1 +3 +2 +6 0.0
202425 AAA MLERound Rock Express — 8684 21324 2210 51 250267476744 226285 242 305 93 — — — — — —
202526 MLB MLETexas Rangers — 219205 471500 8554 112 229272302574 73305 254 255 59 -11 +1 +2 +5 +5 0.2
202526 AAA MLERound Rock Express — 5956 17603 3140 50 304339571910 268356 245 380 143 — — — — — —
202627 MLB MLETexas Rangers — 597539 14028416 461415 124 260324416739 156318 248 324 105 +4 +1 -1 -6 +13 1.0
201718 ROK MLEDSL Yankees — 6562 14321 2180 41 226250387637 161295 283 290 82 — — — — — —
201718 ROK RAWDSL Yankees — 6561 24543 3150 41 3934227541.176 361477 235 493 82 — — — — — —
201819 ROK MLEPulaski Yankees — 235222 30513 6926 70 135179207387 72211 393 169 1 — — — — — —
201819 ROK RAWPulaski Yankees — 235219 44824 9656 70 201252311563 110265 284 254 1 — — — — — —
202122 A+ MLE2 teams — 549501 9917619 3220611 1911 198261369630 172285 386 273 71 — — — — — —
202122 A+ RAW2 teams — 549488 131291022 4513911 1911 268344504848 236328 258 368 71 — — — — — —
202223 MLB MLE4 teams — 629591 14741219 301623 198 249288421710 173309 265 306 93 -5 +1 -0 +2 +14 1.1
202223 MLB RAW4 teams — 629587 16146223 341403 198 274317477794 203322 225 346 93 -5 +1 -0 +2 +14 1.1
202324 MLB MLETexas Rangers — 439407 11223213 221207 84 275323437761 162359 275 334 112 +6 +0 -2 +5 +10 1.9
202324 MLB RAWTexas Rangers — 439406 11222214 231207 84 276326443769 167358 275 339 112 +6 +0 -2 +5 +10 1.9
202425 MLB MLE3 teams — 500473 1162029 221142 84 245282353635 108303 234 282 77 -14 +0 +3 +2 +11 0.1
202425 MLB RAW3 teams — 500460 12219311 351062 84 265320391711 126321 217 317 77 -14 +0 +3 +2 +11 0.1
202526 MLB MLE3 teams — 431404 983105 171086 233 243283356640 114316 254 282 77 -12 +3 +2 +5 +9 0.8
202526 MLB RAW3 teams — 431396 1112916 25886 233 280333404737 124344 206 327 77 -12 +3 +2 +5 +9 0.8
202627 MLB MLETexas Rangers — 597539 14028416 461415 124 260324416739 156320 248 324 105 +4 +1 -1 -6 +13 1.0
202627 MLB RAWTexas Rangers — 597539 14027417 461415 124 260324419743 160318 248 328 105 +4 +1 -1 -6 +13 1.0
201718 ROK MLEDSL Yankees — 6563 14321 2180 41 222250381631 159300 283 290 82 — — — — — —
201819 ROK MLEPulaski Yankees — 235221 30513 6926 70 136179208388 72210 393 169 1 — — — — — —
202122 A+ MLE2 teams — 549501 9917619 3220611 1911 198261369630 172278 386 273 71 — — — — — —
202223 MLB MLE4 teams — 629591 14741219 301623 198 249288421710 173305 265 306 93 — — — — — —
202324 MLB MLETexas Rangers — 439407 11223213 221207 84 275323437761 162358 275 334 112 — — — — — —
202425 MLB MLE3 teams — 500472 1162029 221142 84 246282354636 108304 234 282 77 — — — — — —
202526 MLB MLE3 teams — 431405 983105 171086 233 242283356639 114316 254 282 77 — — — — — —
202627 MLB MLETexas Rangers — 597541 14028416 461415 124 259324414738 155318 248 324 105 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202425 MLB MLE3 teams — 500472 1162029 221142 84 246282354636 108304 234 282 77 — — — — — —
202526 MLB MLE3 teams — 431405 983105 171086 233 242283356639 114316 254 282 77 — — — — — —
202627 MLB MLETexas Rangers — 597541 14028416 461415 124 259324414738 155318 248 324 105 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202728 MLB MLETEX 100% 517472 1132339 351215 245 240300361661 121300 237 296 86 -8 +3 -1 -6 +11 1.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202728 MLB CTXTEX 100% 537491 11923311 361265 255 241300364664 123300 237 297 86 -9 +3 -1 -6 +12 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202829 MLB MLETEX 100% 522477 1132329 351245 214 238297355652 117299 247 292 84 -10 +3 -2 -6 +11 -0.4
202930 MLB MLETEX 100% 507463 1082228 341225 174 235293347641 112298 247 288 81 -12 +2 -3 -5 +11 -0.7
203031 MLB MLETEX 100% 489450 1042128 321194 123 231288338626 107295 247 281 77 -14 +1 -3 -5 +11 -1.1
203132 MLB MLETEX 100% 467430 982027 301164 72 225282325607 100290 256 273 71 -16 +1 -4 -5 +10 -1.5
202829 MLB CTXTEX 100% 522477 11423210 351245 214 238297358655 119298 247 293 84 -10 +3 -2 -6 +11 -0.4
202930 MLB CTXTEX 100% 507463 1092229 341225 174 235294350644 115297 247 289 81 -12 +2 -3 -5 +11 -0.7
203031 MLB CTXTEX 100% 489450 1032028 321194 123 231289340628 109294 247 282 77 -14 +1 -3 -5 +11 -1.1
203132 MLB CTXTEX 100% 467430 971927 301164 72 225282327609 101289 256 274 71 -16 +1 -4 -5 +10 -1.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 37453446 8361681573 23491436 9326 243298364661 121308 246 296 82 -63 +8 -12 -14 +81 0.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650598 14629313 411596 165 244299368667 124310 246 296 82 -11 +1 -2 -2 +14 0.0
Career— MLE — 59675510 129727830127 344156863 18253 235288366654 130304 266 289 82 -72 +11 -12 -20 +93 -0.0
/ 162G— MLE — 650600 14130314 371717 206 235287365652 130303 266 289 82 -11 +2 -2 -3 +14 -0.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 AAARound Rock Express · 59 PAwOBA .443 → .380 (−64)K% 22.0% → 24.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.03%÷1.086×1.200——24.35%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.78%÷0.962×0.690—×1.0184.95%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0180.00%
Singles /BIP21.43%÷1.053×0.930—×1.01819.27%
Doubles /BIP14.29%÷0.881×0.830—×1.01813.70%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.921×0.970—×1.0180.00%
Home runs /BIP9.52%÷0.913×0.700—×1.0187.43%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 111, 2B 76, 3B 84, K 117, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .443 → .380; ISO .327 → .273; BABIP .395 → .356. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAARound Rock Express · 86 PAwOBA .358 → .305 (−52)K% 22.1% → 24.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.09%÷1.069×1.200——24.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA3.49%÷1.040×0.690—×1.0332.39%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0330.00%
Singles /BIP18.75%÷0.989×0.930×1.015×1.03318.49%
Doubles /BIP6.25%÷0.987×0.830×1.015×1.0335.51%
Triples /BIP3.12%÷1.150×0.970×1.015×1.0332.76%
Home runs /BIP7.81%÷0.928×0.700—×1.0336.09%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 98, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 114, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.

Result: wOBA .358 → .305; ISO .277 → .221; BABIP .305 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 200 PAwOBA .398 → .332 (−66)K% 18.0% → 21.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.00%÷1.010×1.220——21.75%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.00%÷1.012×0.700—×1.0274.97%
HBP% /PA0.50%—×0.870—×1.0270.45%
Singles /BIP17.69%÷1.003×0.920×0.956×1.02715.92%
Doubles /BIP16.33%÷1.030×0.840×0.956×1.02713.07%
Triples /BIP0.68%÷0.900×0.940×0.956×1.0270.70%
Home runs /BIP4.76%÷0.915×0.800—×1.0274.28%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 101, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 102, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.956.

Result: wOBA .398 → .332; ISO .257 → .217; BABIP .359 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAARound Rock Express · 155 PAwOBA .360 → .304 (−56)K% 27.7% → 32.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.74%÷1.015×1.200——32.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.52%÷0.997×0.690—×1.0503.28%
HBP% /PA0.65%—×0.940—×1.0500.64%
Singles /BIP22.55%÷0.986×0.930×0.989×1.05022.07%
Doubles /BIP8.82%÷0.938×0.830×0.989×1.0508.10%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.970×0.989×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP8.82%÷0.957×0.700—×1.0506.77%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 97, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 103, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.

Result: wOBA .360 → .304; ISO .248 → .192; BABIP .337 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 A+Hickory Crawdads · 471 PAwOBA .354 → .273 (−81)K% 27.6% → 37.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.60%÷0.990×1.350——37.63%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.86%÷0.964×0.710—×1.0125.85%
HBP% /PA2.12%—×0.810—×1.0121.74%
Singles /BIP22.38%÷1.024×0.910×0.950×1.01219.12%
Doubles /BIP7.69%÷1.091×0.830×0.950×1.0125.63%
Triples /BIP2.10%÷0.900×0.820×0.950×1.0121.84%
Home runs /BIP6.64%÷0.881×0.830—×1.0126.33%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 105, 2B 118, 3B 80, K 98, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .354 → .273; ISO .219 → .176; BABIP .338 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 ROKPulaski Yankees · 235 PAwOBA .248 → .169 (−79)K% 27.7% → 39.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.66%÷1.000×1.420——39.28%
BB% (unintentional) /PA3.83%÷1.000×0.640—×1.0082.47%
HBP% /PA2.55%—×0.740—×1.0081.90%
Singles /BIP19.48%÷1.000×0.840×0.972×1.00816.03%
Doubles /BIP5.19%÷1.000×0.740×0.972×1.0083.77%
Triples /BIP1.30%÷1.000×0.740×0.972×1.0080.94%
Home runs /BIP2.60%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0082.09%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.

Result: wOBA .248 → .169; ISO .110 → .072; BABIP .265 → .210. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 DSLDSL Yankees · 65 PAwOBA .487 → .290 (−197)K% 23.1% → 28.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.08%÷1.000×1.220——28.15%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.62%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0083.26%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.700—×1.0080.00%
Singles /BIP26.09%÷1.000×0.680—×1.00817.87%
Doubles /BIP10.87%÷1.000×0.600—×1.0086.57%
Triples /BIP8.70%÷1.000×0.600—×1.0085.26%
Home runs /BIP6.52%÷1.000×0.470—×1.0083.09%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .487 → .290; ISO .361 → .193; BABIP .477 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .