Ezequiel Duran — OGILVIE

Ezequiel DuranSS Texas Rangers

Age 27 R/R 5'10" / 185 lbs MLB K +3% Svc 3.291 · Ctrl thru 2028 peak 0.5 · 2026

wRC+†vL 4583vR 83

AVG/OBP/SLG.232 / .279 / .343

PA350

HR6

SB13

K%25

BB%5

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

40→40

PWR

35→35

SPD

60→60

EYE

37↘35

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.6peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2022

Service 3.291 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-1	$1M	+0.5	$2M	+$0.6M
2027	Arb-2	$2M	+0.4	$2M	+$0.0M
2028	Arb-3	$2M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$4M		$5M	+$0.7M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	18	ROK	DSL Yankees	65	62	17	3	3	2	2	22	0	4	1	.274	.297	.516	.813	.242	.385	34	3	.335	115	+1	+0	+0	+0	+2	0.4
2018	19	ROK	Pulaski Yankees	235	222	30	5	1	3	6	92	6	7	0	.135	.179	.207	.387	.072	.211	39	3	.168	-13	-30	+1	+0	+1	+7	-2.2
2021	22	A+	2 teams	549	501	99	16	6	20	32	207	11	19	11	.198	.261	.373	.634	.176	.283	38	6	.278	71	-18	-1	+0	+2	+16	-0.1
2022	23	MLB	4 teams	629	592	144	39	2	21	29	169	3	19	8	.243	.282	.422	.704	.179	.303	27	5	.302	90	-7	+1	-0	+2	+18	1.3
2023	24	MLB	Texas Rangers	439	406	110	22	3	11	23	120	7	8	4	.271	.321	.421	.742	.150	.357	27	5	.320	103	+2	+0	-2	+5	+12	1.7
2024	25	MLB	3 teams	500	473	114	19	1	9	22	116	2	8	4	.241	.278	.342	.620	.101	.299	23	4	.275	69	-18	+0	+2	+2	+14	0.1
2025	26	MLB	3 teams	431	404	96	30	0	5	17	109	6	23	3	.238	.279	.349	.628	.111	.311	25	4	.275	68	-15	+3	+2	+5	+12	0.7
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	27	MLB	Texas Rangers	54	50	14	4	0	1	4	12	0	3	0	.280	.333	.420	.753	.140	.351	22	7	.332	113	+1	+1	-1	-1	+2	0.1
ROS	27	MLB	TEX	296	276	65	14	1	5	15	73	3	10	2	.236	.282	.348	.630	.112	.305	25	5	.286	77	-8	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.4
TOT	27	MLB	TEX	350	326	79	18	1	6	19	85	3	13	2	.242	.290	.359	.649	.117	.309	24	5	.293	83	-7	+2	-1	+0	+10	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	28	MLB	TEX	386	359	86	19	1	7	20	86	4	12	2	.240	.287	.357	.644	.117	.293	22	5	.285	76	-10	+2	-0	+1	+11	0.4
2028	29	MLB	TEX	385	357	85	19	1	6	21	87	4	11	1	.238	.288	.347	.635	.109	.292	23	5	.283	75	-11	+2	-1	+1	+11	0.2
2029	30	MLB	TEX	384	356	83	18	1	6	21	88	4	11	1	.233	.283	.340	.623	.107	.291	23	5	.280	72	-12	+2	-1	+1	+11	0.1
2030	31	MLB	TEX	369	342	79	17	1	6	20	86	4	8	0	.231	.281	.339	.621	.108	.290	23	5	.276	70	-13	+2	-2	+1	+10	-0.2
2031	32	MLB	TEX	350	325	74	16	1	5	19	84	3	6	0	.228	.277	.329	.606	.102	.288	24	5	.272	66	-13	+1	-3	+1	+10	-0.4
2032	33	MLB	TEX	320	297	66	14	1	4	17	79	3	5	0	.222	.271	.316	.588	.094	.287	25	5	.266	62	-14	+1	-4	+1	+9	-0.6
2033	34	MLB	TEX	276	257	55	12	0	3	14	70	3	3	0	.214	.263	.296	.558	.082	.285	25	5	.260	57	-13	+1	-4	+1	+8	-0.9
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5614	5229	1203	263	23	113	278	1488	63	154	37	.230	.277	.354	.631	.124	.298	27	5	.279	72	-180	+16	-13	+26	+159	0.8
/ 162G	—			650	605	139	30	3	13	32	172	7	18	4	.230	.276	.354	.630	.124	.297	26	5	.279	72	-21	+2	-2	+3	+18	0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	18	ROK	DSL Yankees	65	61	24	5	4	3	3	15	0	4	1	.393	.422	.754	1.176	.361	.477	23	5	.493	236	+10	+0	—	—	+2	1.2
2018	19	ROK	Pulaski Yankees	235	219	44	8	2	4	9	65	6	7	0	.201	.252	.311	.563	.110	.265	28	4	.254	52	-13	+1	—	—	+7	-0.5
2021	22	A+	Hickory Crawdads	471	416	111	22	6	19	40	130	10	19	9	.267	.345	.486	.831	.219	.338	28	8	.362	135	+19	+0	—	—	+13	3.3
2021	22	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	78	72	20	7	4	3	5	9	1	0	2	.278	.333	.611	.944	.333	.283	12	6	.402	166	+6	-1	—	—	+2	0.7
2022	23	MLB	Texas Rangers	220	208	49	10	1	5	12	54	0	4	1	.236	.277	.365	.643	.130	.295	25	5	.287	78	-6	+0	-0	+2	+6	0.3
2022	23	AAA	Round Rock Express	155	145	41	9	0	9	7	43	1	7	5	.283	.320	.531	.851	.248	.337	28	5	.366	138	+7	-1	—	—	+4	1.1
2022	23	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	200	183	58	24	1	7	14	36	1	7	2	.317	.369	.574	.942	.257	.359	18	7	.405	168	+15	+1	—	—	+6	2.2
2022	23	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	54	51	13	3	0	2	1	7	1	1	0	.255	.283	.431	.714	.176	.262	13	2	.309	95	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2023	24	MLB	Texas Rangers	439	406	112	22	2	14	23	120	7	8	4	.276	.326	.443	.769	.167	.358	27	5	.339	118	+9	+0	-2	+5	+12	2.4
2024	25	MLB	Texas Rangers	285	268	66	11	0	3	14	63	2	1	2	.246	.289	.321	.610	.075	.310	22	5	.276	69	-10	-1	+2	+2	+8	0.2
2024	25	AAA	Round Rock Express	86	83	23	4	2	5	3	19	0	5	1	.277	.302	.554	.857	.277	.305	22	3	.369	140	+4	+1	—	—	+2	0.7
2024	25	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	129	109	33	4	1	3	18	24	0	2	1	.303	.402	.440	.842	.138	.357	19	14	.373	144	+6	+0	—	—	+4	1.0
2025	26	MLB	Texas Rangers	219	205	46	14	0	0	8	55	4	11	2	.224	.267	.293	.560	.068	.305	25	4	.253	52	-12	+1	+2	+5	+6	0.2
2025	26	AAA	Round Rock Express	59	55	19	6	0	4	4	13	0	5	0	.345	.390	.673	1.063	.327	.395	22	7	.457	208	+7	+1	—	—	+2	1.0
2025	26	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	153	136	46	9	1	2	13	20	2	7	1	.338	.404	.463	.867	.125	.379	13	8	.383	151	+9	+1	—	—	+4	1.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			1163	1087	273	57	3	22	57	292	13	24	9	.251	.296	.370	.666	.119	.323	25	5	.297	86	-19	+1	+2	+13	+33	3.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ezequiel Duran (OGILVIE)	27	40	35	60	35	.237/.285/.351	.114	.293	6	12	22%	5%	77	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Abiatal Avelino 2022 · AAA	27	48→51	42→45	54→55	44	.233/.278/.341	.108	.282	9	17	21%	5%	70	-0.3	.225/.277/.346	.121	.272	13	16	22%	6%	72	-0.2	.201/.247/.325	.124	.233	16	18	22%	4%	52	-0.6
✕Jorge Mateo 2022 · MLB	27	45→46	45→50	54→65	36	.221/.262/.351	.129	.304	12	21	31%	4%	67	-0.5	.222/.269/.367	.145	.284	14	36	26%	5%	75	-0.0	.217/.264/.366	.149	.272	14	44	25%	5%	70	-0.2
✕Josh Wilson 2008 · MLB	27	46→50	44→45	52→50	46	.228/.282/.348	.120	.268	11	15	20%	6%	75	-0.0	.228/.281/.330	.102	.272	8	11	19%	5%	70	-0.3	.224/.273/.319	.094	.274	6	6	19%	4%	61	-0.5
✕Ben DeLuzio 2022 · AAA	27	47→50	41→45	55→60	40	.224/.281/.333	.109	.318	6	21	30%	6%	70	-0.3	.215/.274/.325	.110	.302	9	26	30%	6%	66	-0.6	.203/.267/.305	.102	.285	9	30	30%	6%	54	-0.7
✕Daniel Hinojosa 2011 · AAA	27	50	39→40	57→55	40	.236/.277/.323	.087	.305	5	23	24%	4%	65	-0.7	.235/.275/.322	.087	.312	6	19	25%	5%	64	-0.8	.206/.260/.280	.074	.304	9	11	33%	6%	46	-0.5
✕Kristopher Negrón 2013 · AAA	27	41→50	43→45	56→55	39	.205/.257/.315	.110	.268	11	20	27%	5%	56	-1.3	.208/.259/.310	.102	.282	9	16	28%	5%	56	-1.3	.225/.289/.349	.123	.323	14	14	32%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Tyler Saladino 2016 · MLB	27	47→46	42→45	58→55	45	.229/.281/.331	.102	.277	9	25	21%	6%	69	-0.4	.235/.288/.341	.106	.290	10	20	22%	6%	76	+0.0	.228/.288/.326	.099	.289	10	17	24%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Stephen Bruno 2018 · AAA	27	46→51	43→40	52→50	39	.226/.279/.333	.107	.284	11	13	24%	4%	70	-0.3	.214/.269/.312	.098	.260	10	11	22%	4%	60	-1.0	.192/.251/.253	.061	.235	5	8	20%	3%	35	-1.4
✕Jonathan Davis 2019 · MLB	27	47→52	43→45	54→55	47	.228/.304/.346	.118	.294	10	20	25%	8%	84	+0.6	.219/.304/.340	.121	.287	11	19	26%	8%	83	+0.6	.221/.303/.332	.112	.308	10	22	29%	9%	76	+0.0
✕Garrett Hampson 2022 · MLB	27	44→54	45	54→60	44	.221/.276/.343	.122	.283	13	21	26%	7%	71	-0.3	.230/.293/.334	.104	.305	8	20	25%	8%	76	+0.0	.236/.301/.316	.080	.322	3	22	25%	8%	71	-0.1
✕Chris Basak 2006 · AAA	27	47→46	47→45	57→55	45	.233/.285/.374	.140	.275	14	22	21%	6%	83	+0.6	.224/.273/.342	.118	.273	11	19	21%	6%	69	-0.4	.217/.263/.323	.106	.265	9	19	21%	5%	56	-0.8
✕Jared Oliva 2023 · MLB	27	44→46	43→50	57→65	38	.217/.263/.332	.115	.296	9	24	29%	5%	62	-0.9	.224/.284/.356	.132	.289	13	36	26%	6%	78	+0.2	.224/.292/.359	.135	.282	14	55	25%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Orlando Calixte 2019 · MLB	27	44→48	45	54→55	40	.221/.258/.338	.117	.281	13	18	26%	5%	61	-1.0	.222/.264/.325	.103	.295	11	18	27%	5%	60	-1.0	.211/.256/.276	.065	.286	6	25	27%	6%	41	-0.6
✕Richie Martin Jr. 2022 · MLB	27	44→53	42→45	50→60	42	.218/.277/.323	.105	.285	10	15	26%	6%	66	-0.6	.211/.284/.309	.098	.287	5	30	26%	7%	66	-0.6	.203/.282/.295	.092	.280	4	40	26%	7%	58	-0.7
✕Gerardo Bustamante 2013 · AAA	27	44	43→40	51→50	41	.220/.263/.322	.102	.273	11	14	24%	5%	59	-1.1	.218/.255/.320	.102	.274	12	11	25%	4%	56	-1.3	.203/.238/.291	.088	.255	12	9	25%	3%	36	-0.6
✕Noel Cuevas 2019 · MLB	27	50	42→45	50→55	40	.245/.280/.353	.108	.300	9	12	22%	4%	74	-0.1	.227/.280/.340	.113	.290	10	10	24%	6%	72	-0.2	.204/.271/.299	.095	.275	8	7	27%	8%	54	-0.6
✕Tim Lopes 2022 · MLB	28	44→54	45	52→55	44	.222/.279/.351	.129	.282	12	19	26%	6%	74	-0.1	.217/.280/.338	.121	.295	13	23	29%	7%	72	-0.2	.218/.288/.324	.106	.301	11	31	29%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Luis Bolivar 2009 · AAA	28	49→54	43→45	56→55	40	.239/.283/.353	.114	.305	9	19	24%	4%	76	+0.1	.213/.254/.317	.104	.278	9	24	26%	4%	54	-1.4	.195/.232/.283	.088	.256	7	28	26%	3%	32	-1.9
✕Matt Lipka 2019 · AAA	27	42→52	41→45	55→60	42	.205/.259/.304	.099	.267	8	20	26%	6%	53	-1.5	.223/.272/.330	.107	.302	9	25	28%	6%	66	-0.6	.227/.278/.333	.106	.323	9	40	31%	5%	64	-0.4
✕Greg Golson 2013 · MLB	27	48→51	43→45	57→55	36	.234/.270/.349	.115	.313	9	18	28%	4%	69	-0.4	.239/.282/.350	.111	.333	8	24	29%	4%	75	-0.0	.259/.313/.348	.089	.368	5	31	29%	5%	82	+0.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)