Ezequiel Duran — OGILVIE

Ezequiel DuranSS Texas Rangers

Age 27 R/R 5'10" / 185 lbs MLB Svc 3.291 · Ctrl thru 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION325 act + 216 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 5567vR 96

AVG/OBP/SLG.265 / .317 / .406

PA216

HR5

SB8

K%24

BB%6

BABIP332

ISO140

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT40

Whiff%

837.6%

xwOBA

210.274

POWER35

Barrel%

204.3

Avg EV

2587.2

Bat Spd

6673.1

EYE35

Chase%

8724.5%

SPEED60

Sprint

9029.0

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 545 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

186

359

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

233

289

▶▶R

ISO

045

095

▶▶R

BABIP

308

316

—

27.4%

21.2%

▶▶R

BB%

3.8%

4.7%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2022

Service 3.291 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.6M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2027	Arb-2	$4M	+1.3	$10M	+$6M
2028	Arb-3	$6M	+1.2	$8M	+$3M
Totals		$11M		$21M	+$11M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	18	ROK	DSL Yankees	—	65	62	17	3	3	2	2	22	0	4	1	274	297	516	813	242	385	34	3	335	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK	DSL Yankees	—	65	61	24	5	4	3	3	15	0	4	1	393	422	754	1.176	361	477	23	5	493	236	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK	Pulaski Yankees	—	235	222	30	5	1	3	6	92	6	7	0	135	179	207	387	72	211	39	3	168	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK	Pulaski Yankees	—	235	219	44	8	2	4	9	65	6	7	0	201	252	311	563	110	265	28	4	254	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+	2 teams	—	549	500	98	15	6	22	33	209	11	19	11	196	261	382	643	186	277	38	6	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+	2 teams	—	549	488	131	29	10	22	45	139	11	19	11	268	344	504	848	236	328	25	8	368	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	MLB	4 teams	—	629	592	145	39	2	22	29	168	3	19	8	245	284	429	713	184	303	27	5	305	92	-6	+1	-0	+2	+18	1.5
2022	23	MLB	4 teams	—	629	587	161	46	2	23	34	140	3	19	8	274	317	477	794	203	322	22	5	346	123	+16	+1	-0	+2	+18	3.7
2023	24	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	439	406	111	22	2	14	23	120	7	8	4	273	323	441	764	167	354	27	5	330	110	+5	+0	-2	+5	+12	2.1
2023	24	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	439	406	112	22	2	14	23	120	7	8	4	276	326	443	769	167	358	27	5	339	118	+9	+0	-2	+5	+12	2.4
2024	25	MLB	3 teams	—	500	473	115	19	2	10	22	114	2	8	4	243	280	355	635	112	298	23	4	277	71	-17	+0	+3	+2	+14	0.2
2024	25	MLB	3 teams	—	500	460	122	19	3	11	35	106	2	8	4	265	320	391	711	126	321	21	7	317	101	+0	+0	+3	+2	+14	1.9
2025	26	MLB	3 teams	—	431	404	97	31	0	6	17	107	6	23	3	240	281	361	642	121	310	25	4	281	73	-13	+3	+2	+5	+12	0.9
2025	26	MLB	3 teams	—	431	396	111	29	1	6	25	88	6	23	3	280	333	404	737	124	344	20	6	327	109	+4	+3	+2	+5	+12	2.7
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	MLB	TEX	—	325	296	80	15	2	10	24	74	1	7	1	270	327	436	763	166	326	23	7	331	111	+4	+1	-1	-3	+9	1.0
YTD	27	MLB	TEX	—	325	296	80	15	2	10	24	74	1	7	1	270	327	436	763	166	326	23	7	335	114	+5	+1	-1	-3	+9	1.1
ROS	27	MLB	TEX	100%	216	199	53	11	1	5	13	51	2	8	1	265	317	406	722	140	323	24	6	314	99	-0	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.8
ROS	27	MLB	TEX	100%	217	200	53	11	1	5	13	51	2	8	1	265	316	405	721	140	325	24	6	311	96	-1	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.7
FULL	27	MLB	TEX	—	542	496	133	26	3	15	37	125	3	15	2	268	323	423	746	155	328	23	7	323	105	+3	+2	-1	-3	+15	1.7
TOT	27	MLB	TEX	—	541	495	133	26	3	15	37	125	3	15	2	268	323	424	747	155	328	23	7	324	106	+4	+2	-1	-3	+15	1.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	TEX	92%	378	349	90	18	1	9	23	90	3	13	2	258	309	393	702	135	323	24	6	313	98	-1	+2	-1	+1	+11	1.3
2028	29	MLB	TEX	92%	379	349	90	18	1	9	24	91	3	12	2	258	311	393	704	135	322	24	6	311	96	-2	+2	-1	+1	+11	1.1
2029	30	MLB	TEX	92%	380	350	89	18	1	8	24	92	3	11	2	254	308	380	688	126	321	24	6	309	94	-2	+1	-2	+1	+11	0.9
2030	31	MLB	TEX	92%	365	337	85	17	1	8	23	90	2	9	2	252	304	380	684	128	319	25	6	304	91	-4	+1	-3	+1	+10	0.6
2031	32	MLB	TEX	92%	346	320	80	16	1	7	21	86	2	7	1	250	300	372	672	122	315	25	6	299	87	-5	+1	-3	+1	+10	0.3
2032	33	MLB	TEX	92%	316	292	71	14	1	6	19	80	2	5	1	243	294	360	654	116	311	25	6	291	81	-7	+1	-4	+1	+9	-0.0
2033	34	MLB	TEX	88%	272	251	60	11	1	5	17	71	2	3	1	239	293	351	643	112	304	26	6	281	74	-8	+0	-5	+1	+8	-0.4
2027	28	MLB	TEX	92%	348	321	84	17	1	8	22	83	2	12	2	262	313	396	709	134	325	24	6	310	95	-2	+2	-1	+1	+10	1.0
2028	29	MLB	TEX	92%	349	322	84	17	1	8	22	84	2	11	2	261	312	394	707	134	324	24	6	308	94	-2	+1	-1	+1	+10	0.9
2029	30	MLB	TEX	92%	350	323	83	17	1	8	22	85	2	10	2	257	308	390	698	133	323	24	6	306	92	-3	+1	-2	+1	+10	0.7
2030	31	MLB	TEX	92%	336	310	79	16	1	7	21	82	2	9	2	255	306	381	687	126	321	24	6	301	89	-4	+1	-3	+1	+10	0.5
2031	32	MLB	TEX	92%	318	293	74	15	1	7	20	79	2	7	1	253	305	382	687	130	317	25	6	296	84	-6	+1	-3	+1	+9	0.2
2032	33	MLB	TEX	92%	291	269	66	13	1	6	18	74	2	5	1	245	298	368	666	123	312	25	6	288	79	-7	+1	-4	+1	+8	-0.1
2033	34	MLB	TEX	88%	238	220	51	10	0	4	15	62	1	3	1	232	284	332	616	100	306	26	6	279	71	-8	+0	-4	+1	+7	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3610	3345	847	173	10	75	210	892	28	89	21	253	303	378	681	125	322	25	6	300	87	-51	+9	-16	+22	+102	6.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	602	153	31	2	14	38	161	5	16	4	254	304	382	686	128	323	25	6	300	87	-9	+2	-3	+4	+18	1.2
Career	—			—	5500	5106	1231	257	24	136	296	1483	54	156	43	241	290	381	670	140	311	27	5	294	83	-106	+14	-18	+26	+156	7.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	603	145	30	3	16	35	175	6	18	5	240	288	380	668	139	310	27	5	294	83	-13	+2	-2	+3	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	18	ROK	DSL Yankees	—	65	61	24	5	4	3	3	15	0	4	1	393	422	754	1.176	361	477	23	5	493	236	+10	+0	—	—	+2	1.2
2018	19	ROK	Pulaski Yankees	—	235	219	44	8	2	4	9	65	6	7	0	201	252	311	563	110	265	28	4	254	52	-13	+1	—	—	+7	-0.5
2021	22	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	471	416	111	22	6	19	40	130	10	19	9	267	345	486	831	219	338	28	8	362	135	+19	+0	—	—	+13	3.3
2021	22	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	78	72	20	7	4	3	5	9	1	0	2	278	333	611	944	333	283	12	6	402	166	+6	-1	—	—	+2	0.7
2022	23	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	220	208	49	10	1	5	12	54	0	4	1	236	277	365	643	130	295	25	5	287	78	-6	+0	-0	+2	+6	0.3
2022	23	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	155	145	41	9	0	9	7	43	1	7	5	283	320	531	851	248	337	28	5	366	138	+7	-1	—	—	+4	1.1
2022	23	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	200	183	58	24	1	7	14	36	1	7	2	317	369	574	942	257	359	18	7	405	168	+15	+1	—	—	+6	2.2
2022	23	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	—	54	51	13	3	0	2	1	7	1	1	0	255	283	431	714	176	262	13	2	309	95	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2023	24	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	439	406	112	22	2	14	23	120	7	8	4	276	326	443	769	167	358	27	5	339	118	+9	+0	-2	+5	+12	2.4
2024	25	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	285	268	66	11	0	3	14	63	2	1	2	246	289	321	610	75	310	22	5	276	69	-10	-1	+3	+2	+8	0.2
2024	25	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	86	83	23	4	2	5	3	19	0	5	1	277	302	554	857	277	305	22	3	369	140	+4	+1	—	—	+2	0.7
2024	25	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	—	129	109	33	4	1	3	18	24	0	2	1	303	402	440	842	138	357	19	14	373	144	+6	+0	—	—	+4	1.0
2025	26	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	219	205	46	14	0	0	8	55	4	11	2	224	267	293	560	68	305	25	4	253	52	-12	+1	+2	+5	+6	0.2
2025	26	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	59	55	19	6	0	4	4	13	0	5	0	345	390	673	1.063	327	395	22	7	457	208	+7	+1	—	—	+2	1.0
2025	26	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	—	153	136	46	9	1	2	13	20	2	7	1	338	404	463	867	125	379	13	8	383	151	+9	+1	—	—	+4	1.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1163	1087	273	57	3	22	57	292	13	24	9	251	296	370	666	119	323	25	5	297	86	-19	+1	+2	+13	+33	3.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cameron Maybinlast yr '20 ASSS career totals — 13 seasons, 4,182 PA	13	4,182	72	182	254	322	375	+9	+6	13.1	12.8
	/162	664	11	29	254	322	375	+1.4	+1.0	2.1	pk7: 13
#2Kevin Pillarlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,353 PA	11	4,353	114	108	256	294	407	+9	+16	12.6	12.4
	/162	664	17	16	256	294	407	+1.4	+2.5	1.9	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	12	4,241	90	113	252	298	378	+29	+4	10.4	10.0
	/162	664	14	18	252	298	378	+4.6	+0.6	1.6	pk7: 10
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Mike Avileslast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,234 PA	10	3,234	60	78	261	295	376	+13	+4	5.8	7.2
	/162	664	12	16	261	295	376	+2.7	+0.8	1.2	pk7: 9
#5Angel Berroalast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,794 PA	8	2,794	46	50	259	303	375	+27	-6	6.8	7.1
	/162	664	11	12	259	303	375	+6.5	-1.4	1.6	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ezequiel Duran (OGILVIE)	27	40	35	60	35	268/323/424	155	328	15	15	23%	7%	106	+1.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jonathan Davis 2019 · MLB	27	47→52	43→45	54→55	46	228/302/343	115	291	10	20	24%	8%	82	+0.5	216/304/336	120	286	11	19	27%	8%	82	+0.5	224/306/341	117	313	11	22	29%	9%	81	+0.2
✕Mark Mathias 2022 · MLB	27	48→47	46→50	52→50	43	236/287/370	134	291	13	14	23%	6%	82	+0.5	254/332/399	145	343	17	18	28%	9%	109	+2.4	258/344/393	135	350	16	20	28%	10%	111	+1.3
●Tyler Greene 2011 · MLB	27	48→53	45→50	56→55	42	233/292/361	129	313	12	20	29%	6%	82	+0.5	235/298/383	148	321	15	24	30%	7%	91	+1.1	228/291/378	150	315	16	26	31%	7%	83	+0.3
✕Tyler Saladino 2017 · MLB	28	51→47	44→45	56→55	44	252/296/368	116	298	12	23	20%	5%	85	+0.7	219/282/335	116	282	12	16	26%	7%	72	-0.2	198/271/322	124	259	14	15	28%	8%	62	-0.5
✕Max Schuemann 2023 · AAA	26	46→47	46→45	59→60	46	223/313/356	133	303	14	29	29%	9%	92	+1.2	222/312/331	109	296	11	21	26%	10%	85	+0.7	215/311/310	95	283	9	20	25%	10%	77	+0.1
✕Dylan Moore 2020 · MLB	27	42→47	47→50	50→65	44	214/283/357	143	275	14	20	27%	7%	79	+0.3	222/315/398	176	288	20	30	28%	9%	103	+1.9	210/332/386	176	289	16	41	30%	12%	104	+1.0
✕Jorge Mateo 2022 · MLB	27	45→46	45→50	54→65	37	223/266/351	128	303	12	21	30%	4%	69	-0.4	217/265/355	138	277	13	36	26%	6%	69	-0.4	222/263/355	133	288	13	49	27%	5%	66	-0.2
✕Nate Eaton 2023 · MLB	26	46→49	46→50	60	44	226/292/355	129	295	13	29	27%	7%	82	+0.5	218/266/356	138	283	16	27	28%	5%	70	-0.3	219/272/357	138	284	14	27	27%	5%	70	-0.2
✕Craig Gentry 2011 · MLB	27	51→56	40	57→60	45	245/303/334	89	294	7	25	19%	6%	80	+0.4	253/320/341	88	306	5	32	18%	7%	89	+0.9	272/345/345	73	330	2	40	17%	7%	95	+0.7
✕Chris Basak 2006 · AAA	27	47→46	47→45	57→55	45	233/285/373	140	274	13	22	21%	6%	82	+0.5	223/271/339	116	272	11	19	22%	5%	68	-0.5	216/263/322	106	265	9	19	21%	5%	56	-0.8
✕Phillip Ervin 2019 · MLB	27	46→50	47→50	54→55	46	227/294/362	135	282	14	23	24%	7%	84	+0.6	225/296/365	140	291	14	15	26%	8%	85	+0.7	214/283/361	147	278	16	16	28%	7%	77	+0.1
●Derek Hill 2023 · MLB	27	48→51	44→50	55→60	39	232/278/357	125	327	11	16	32%	6%	75	-0.0	244/293/389	145	324	15	19	28%	6%	90	+1.0	248/301/422	175	338	22	29	32%	6%	100	+0.7
✕Shawn McGill 2011 · AA	27	46	43→45	53→45	39	223/271/339	116	304	10	14	30%	5%	68	-0.5	231/281/335	104	284	9	9	21%	5%	71	-0.3	236/287/336	100	287	7	6	19%	5%	70	-0.1
✕Garrett Hampson 2022 · MLB	27	42→52	44→45	54→60	44	208/265/326	118	266	11	20	26%	7%	62	-0.9	232/295/334	102	308	7	20	25%	8%	76	+0.1	244/308/328	85	331	3	22	25%	8%	78	+0.1
✕Orlando Calixte 2019 · MLB	27	46→51	45	54→55	40	230/266/354	123	290	13	18	26%	5%	69	-0.4	227/269/332	105	300	11	18	27%	5%	64	-0.8	210/255/278	67	288	5	25	28%	6%	41	-0.6
✕Chris Owings 2019 · MLB	27	48→58	44→50	53→55	43	237/282/362	125	291	11	18	23%	6%	78	+0.2	222/281/366	144	306	16	15	31%	7%	79	+0.3	184/261/307	123	264	15	11	35%	8%	53	-0.8
✕JaCoby Jones 2019 · MLB	27	43→46	46→50	52→50	38	213/268/352	139	299	13	16	32%	6%	70	-0.3	229/293/393	164	321	17	11	32%	7%	92	+1.2	222/288/377	154	325	17	7	35%	7%	82	+0.2
✕Carlos Sosa 2007 · AAA	26	48	44→45	53→50	47	233/298/348	115	273	11	15	19%	6%	82	+0.5	242/303/347	105	273	10	13	15%	7%	83	+0.6	253/317/358	105	275	9	13	11%	7%	89	+0.5
✕Willie Bloomquist 2005 · MLB	27	51→56	40	55→60	47	246/300/341	96	303	7	23	21%	7%	79	+0.3	247/298/327	80	294	5	26	17%	6%	76	+0.0	284/325/360	76	328	3	18	13%	5%	90	+0.5
✕Riley Unroe 2023 · AAA	27	46→48	45→50	54→55	49	228/299/352	124	289	12	20	25%	9%	83	+0.6	228/305/365	137	299	15	23	27%	10%	89	+1.0	227/311/367	139	295	15	26	27%	10%	89	+0.5