Keibert Ruiz

C Washington Nationals
Age 29 S/R 5'11" / 238 lbs MLB Svc 5.372 · Ctrl thru 2030
Overview
MLB40-MANExtFA 2028
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WAR
202426MLBWSH485.229/.262/.359133710.3
202527MLBWSH267.247/.278/.3182067-0.6
202628MLBWSH354.280/.319/.4431021102.1
2027PROJ29MLBWSH250.246/.285/.37752840.1
2028PROJ30MLBWSH256.243/.281/.3695181-0.2
2029PROJ31MLBWSH230.238/.276/.3594176-0.4
Last 3 seasons WAR 1.8  ·  Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2030Service5.372First FA2028Options3
2027Ext$6M2028Ext$6M2029Ext$6M2030Ext$6M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
xwOBA31
Avg EV15
Barrel%14
Speed10
Bat Spd10
Form.250/.278/.375 · rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .245/.282/.375
CompsKevin Flores (age 29) · Enrique Wilson (age 29) · Bryan Holaday (age 30)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 8484vR 84
AVG/OBP/SLG.246 / .285 / .377
PA250
HR5
K%12
BB%4
BABIP259
ISO123
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: -0.9 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-1RUNFLD: -3.9 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-4FLDPOS: +4.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +5.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.30+0.3WAR
0.00.51.00.30.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$16M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT55
xAVG
530.254
POWER35
Barrel%
143.5
Avg EV
1586.5
Bat Spd
1066.6
EYE35
scouting grade only
SPEED30
Sprint
1025.1
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%10%▲8% over 48 PA (60d) · proj 12%
BB%3%▼0% over 48 PA (60d) · proj 4%
ISO.125·.106 over 47 AB (60d) · proj .130
HR/BB2.5%·2.3% over 43 BBE (60d) · proj 2.6%
BABIP.260·.286 over 42 BIP (60d) · proj .258
SLASH.250/.278/.375·proj .245/.282/.375
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 805 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
206
599
—
wRC+
77
64
◀◀L
wOBA
283
263
◀L
ISO
116
109
◀L
BABIP
260
236
◀L
K%
10.2%
11.0%
◀L
BB%
2.9%
3.2%
▶R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-3
MLB Debut   2021
Service   5.372 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2030
First FA Year   2028
OPT
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Ext$6M+0.3$1M-$5M
2028Ext$6M———
2029Ext$6M———
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $19M $-0.9M -$18M
Options · projected decision
2031CLUB OPT$7.8M / $0.0M buyoutDECLINE
2032CLUB OPT$12.0M / $0.0M buyoutDECLINE
2033CLUB OPT$14.0M / $0.0M buyoutDECLINE

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201517 ROKDSL Dodgers — 159150 45811 8151 42 300340387726 87328 95 327 34 — — — — — —
201618 ROKOgden Raptors — 245222 832232 15273 00 374421527948 153409 116 411 92 — — — — — —
201719 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes — 160149 47716 7231 00 315350497847 181333 144 366 99 — — — — — —
201719 AGreat Lakes Loons — 251227 721612 18303 00 317375423798 106355 127 355 102 — — — — — —
201820 AATulsa Drillers — 415377 10114012 26339 01 268330401731 133266 86 327 78 — — — — — —
201820 INTLGlendale Desert Dogs — 5649 14100 620 00 286364306670 20292 411 308 94 — — — — — —
201921 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers — 4038 12002 210 00 316350474824 158286 25 365 91 — — — — — —
201921 AATulsa Drillers — 310276 70904 28214 00 254331330661 76261 79 303 61 — — — — — —
202022 INTLLeones del Caracas — 3631 4100 510 10 129250161411 32133 314 208 27 — — — — — —
202123 MLBWashington Nationals — 9688 24303 692 00 273333409742 136276 96 334 112 +1 +0 +2 +7 +2 1.3
202123 AAARochester Red Wings — 316284 8824021 30331 00 310378616994 306290 109 428 119 — — — — — —
202224 MLBWashington Nationals — 433394 992207 30506 61 251314360674 109271 127 304 91 -5 +1 +4 +8 +9 1.8
202325 MLBWashington Nationals — 562523 13624018 31586 11 260309409718 149263 106 319 101 +0 -0 -13 +10 +12 1.0
202426 MLBWashington Nationals — 485459 10521013 16545 31 229263359622 131232 113 274 71 -17 +0 +0 +9 +11 0.3
202527 MLBWashington Nationals — 267255 631202 8263 02 247278318596 71268 103 269 67 -10 -1 -5 +5 +6 -0.6
202628 MLBWashington Nationals — 354332 9324010 16373 21 280319443762 163288 105 334 110 +4 +0 +2 +6 +8 2.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 21972051 520106053 10723425 126 254299383681 129263 115 303 91 -23 +0 -9 +45 +48 6.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201517 ROK MLEDSL Dodgers — 159152 31510 6181 42 204239250489 46228 114 218 34 — — — — — —
201618 ROK MLEOgden Raptors — 245228 641522 9393 00 281317390707 110314 164 304 92 — — — — — —
201719 A+ MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 160153 43615 3311 00 281299431731 150303 192 314 99 — — — — — —
201719 A MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 251233 701412 12413 00 300343395738 94349 165 319 102 — — — — — —
201820 AA MLETulsa Drillers — 415385 961309 18429 01 249299353652 104254 104 284 78 — — — — — —
201921 AAA MLEOklahoma City Dodgers — 4038 11002 210 00 289325447772 158254 25 303 91 — — — — — —
201921 AA MLETulsa Drillers — 310286 65704 18274 00 227282294576 66236 96 259 61 — — — — — —
202123 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 9688 24303 692 00 273333409742 136276 96 333 112 +1 +0 +2 +7 +2 1.3
202123 AAA MLERochester Red Wings — 316293 7720016 21401 00 263314495809 232254 137 344 119 — — — — — —
202224 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 433394 992207 30506 61 251314360674 109271 127 303 91 -5 +1 +4 +8 +9 1.8
202325 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 562524 13624018 30586 11 260307408716 149263 105 317 101 +0 -0 -13 +10 +12 1.0
202426 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 485459 10521013 16545 31 229263359622 131232 113 274 71 -17 +0 +0 +9 +11 0.3
202527 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 267255 631202 8263 02 247278318596 71268 103 268 67 -10 -1 -5 +5 +6 -0.6
202628 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 354333 9324010 15373 21 279316441758 162288 104 331 110 +4 +0 +2 +6 +8 2.1
201517 ROK MLEDSL Dodgers — 159152 31510 6181 42 204239250489 46231 114 218 34 — — — — — —
201517 ROK RAWDSL Dodgers — 159150 45811 8151 42 300340387726 87328 95 327 34 — — — — — —
201618 ROK MLEOgden Raptors — 245228 641522 9393 00 281317390707 110323 164 304 92 — — — — — —
201618 ROK RAWOgden Raptors — 245222 832232 15273 00 374421527948 153409 116 411 92 — — — — — —
201719 A MLE2 teams — 411385 1121927 16724 00 291326405731 114338 184 317 101 — — — — — —
201719 A RAW2 teams — 411376 1192328 25534 00 316365452818 136347 136 359 101 — — — — — —
201820 AA MLE2 teams — 471438 10814010 20489 01 247293347640 100255 104 284 78 — — — — — —
201820 AA RAW2 teams — 471426 11515012 32359 01 270334390724 120269 77 324 78 — — — — — —
201921 AA MLE2 teams — 350324 75705 20284 00 231284299584 68239 86 264 65 — — — — — —
201921 AA RAW2 teams — 350314 82906 30224 00 261333347680 86264 69 310 65 — — — — — —
202022 INTL MLELeones del Caracas — 3631 4100 510 10 129250161411 32133 314 — — — — — — — —
202022 INTL RAWLeones del Caracas — 3631 4100 510 10 129250161411 32133 314 208 27 — — — — — —
202123 AAA MLE2 teams — 412381 10123019 27493 00 265319475794 210261 127 341 117 — — — — — —
202123 AAA RAW2 teams — 412372 11227024 36423 00 301367567935 266287 109 406 117 — — — — — —
202224 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 433394 992207 30506 61 251314360674 109271 127 303 91 -5 +1 +4 +8 +9 1.8
202224 MLB RAWWashington Nationals — 433394 992207 30506 61 251314360674 109271 127 304 91 -5 +1 +4 +8 +9 1.8
202325 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 562524 13624018 30586 11 260307408716 149262 105 317 101 +0 -0 -13 +10 +12 1.0
202325 MLB RAWWashington Nationals — 562523 13624018 31586 11 260309409718 149263 106 319 101 +0 -0 -13 +10 +12 1.0
202426 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 485459 10521013 16545 31 229263359622 131232 113 274 71 -17 +0 +0 +9 +11 0.3
202426 MLB RAWWashington Nationals — 485459 10521013 16545 31 229263359622 131232 113 274 71 -17 +0 +0 +9 +11 0.3
202527 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 267255 631202 8263 02 247278318596 71268 103 268 67 -10 -1 -5 +5 +6 -0.6
202527 MLB RAWWashington Nationals — 267255 631202 8263 02 247278318596 71268 103 269 67 -10 -1 -5 +5 +6 -0.6
202628 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 354333 9324010 15373 21 279316441758 162287 104 331 110 +4 +0 +2 +6 +8 2.1
202628 MLB RAWWashington Nationals — 354332 9324010 16373 21 280319443762 163288 105 334 110 +4 +0 +2 +6 +8 2.1
201517 ROK MLEDSL Dodgers — 159151 31510 6181 42 205239252491 46228 114 218 34 — — — — — —
201618 ROK MLEOgden Raptors — 245231 641522 9393 00 277317385702 108314 164 304 92 — — — — — —
201719 A MLE2 teams — 411388 1121927 16724 00 289326402728 113331 184 317 101 — — — — — —
201820 AA MLE2 teams — 471439 10814010 20489 01 246293346640 100254 104 284 78 — — — — — —
201921 AA MLE2 teams — 350323 75705 20284 00 232284300585 68238 86 264 65 — — — — — —
202123 AAA MLE2 teams — 412379 10123019 27493 00 266319478796 211259 127 341 117 — — — — — —
202224 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 433394 992207 30506 61 251314360674 109271 127 303 91 — — — — — —
202325 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 562521 13624018 30586 11 261307411718 150263 105 317 101 — — — — — —
202426 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 485461 10521013 16545 31 228263358620 130232 113 274 71 — — — — — —
202527 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 267254 631202 8263 02 248278319597 71268 103 268 67 — — — — — —
202628 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 354333 9324010 15373 21 279316441758 162288 104 331 110 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202426 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 485461 10521013 16545 31 228263358620 130232 113 274 71 — — — — — —
202527 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 267254 631202 8263 02 248278319597 71268 103 268 67 — — — — — —
202628 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 354333 9324010 15373 21 279316441758 162288 104 331 110 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202729 MLB MLEWSH 100% 361340 842108 15423 21 245284376660 130258 124 292 84 -7 +0 -6 +6 +8 0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202729 MLB CTXWSH 100% 250236 571405 10292 21 246285377662 131259 124 293 84 -5 +0 -4 +4 +5 0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202830 MLB MLEWSH 100% 256241 581405 11312 11 242281368648 126256 124 287 81 -6 -0 -6 +5 +6 -0.2
202931 MLB MLEWSH 100% 230217 511304 9282 10 237275357632 120253 124 281 76 -7 +0 -6 +4 +5 -0.4
202830 MLB CTXWSH 100% 256241 591505 11312 11 243281369651 126257 124 288 81 -6 -0 -6 +5 +6 -0.2
202931 MLB CTXWSH 100% 230217 511304 9282 10 238276359635 121254 124 282 76 -7 +0 -6 +4 +5 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 26832509 630134062 12729329 147 251295379674 128262 115 300 85 -35 +0 -21 +54 +58 5.7
/ 162G— A+C — 650608 15232015 31717 32 250295377671 127260 115 300 85 -9 +0 -5 +13 +14 1.4
Career— MLE — 49214598 11572285107 23256853 2111 252295373669 122265 125 294 85 -40 +0 -25 +58 +64 5.8
/ 162G— MLE — 650607 15330114 31757 31 252296374670 122266 125 294 85 -9 +0 -6 +13 +14 1.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2021 AAARochester Red Wings · 316 PAwOBA .416 → .344 (−72)K% 10.4% → 12.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA10.44%÷0.979×1.200——12.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.18%÷1.014×0.690—×1.0506.56%
HBP% /PA0.32%—×0.940—×1.0500.31%
Singles /BIP17.13%÷0.994×0.930×0.950×1.05015.98%
Doubles /BIP9.56%÷1.005×0.830×0.950×1.0507.88%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.920×0.950×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP8.37%÷0.968×0.700—×1.0506.35%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 99, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .416 → .344; ISO .306 → .241; BABIP .290 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AATulsa Drillers · 310 PAwOBA .295 → .259 (−36)K% 6.8% → 8.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA6.77%÷0.954×1.220——8.67%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.39%÷1.063×0.700—×1.0505.80%
HBP% /PA1.29%—×0.870—×1.0501.18%
Singles /BIP22.35%÷0.997×0.920×0.950×1.05020.57%
Doubles /BIP3.53%÷1.048×0.840×0.950×1.0502.82%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.925×0.940×0.950×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP1.57%÷0.909×0.800—×1.0501.45%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 99, 2B 110, 3B 85, K 91, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .295 → .259; ISO .076 → .068; BABIP .261 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 40 PAwOBA .355 → .303 (−52)K% 2.5% → 3.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA2.50%÷1.014×1.290——3.18%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.00%÷0.993×0.710—×1.0503.75%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.980—×1.0500.00%
Singles /BIP27.03%÷1.048×0.900—×1.05024.38%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.012×0.810—×1.0500.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.045×0.810—×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP5.41%÷1.073×0.780—×1.0504.13%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 110, 2B 102, 3B 109, K 103, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .355 → .303; ISO .158 → .121; BABIP .286 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AATulsa Drillers · 415 PAwOBA .319 → .284 (−35)K% 8.0% → 10.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA7.95%÷0.964×1.220——10.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.02%÷1.033×0.700—×1.0504.29%
HBP% /PA2.17%—×0.870—×1.0501.98%
Singles /BIP21.80%÷0.987×0.920×1.000×1.05021.35%
Doubles /BIP4.07%÷0.991×0.840×1.000×1.0503.62%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.907×0.940×1.000×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP3.49%÷1.147×0.800—×1.0502.55%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 97, 2B 98, 3B 81, K 93, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.

Result: wOBA .319 → .284; ISO .133 → .104; BABIP .266 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AGreat Lakes Loons · 251 PAwOBA .348 → .319 (−30)K% 12.0% → 16.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.95%÷0.990×1.360——16.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.17%÷1.048×0.690—×1.0454.93%
HBP% /PA1.20%—×0.780—×1.0450.97%
Singles /BIP26.90%÷0.965×0.920×1.020×1.04527.33%
Doubles /BIP8.12%÷1.013×0.830×1.020×1.0457.10%
Triples /BIP0.51%÷1.013×0.910×1.020×1.0450.49%
Home runs /BIP1.02%÷0.970×0.800—×1.0450.88%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 93, 2B 103, 3B 103, K 98, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.

Result: wOBA .348 → .319; ISO .106 → .092; BABIP .355 → .349. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes · 160 PAwOBA .358 → .314 (−44)K% 14.4% → 19.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.37%÷0.990×1.340——19.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA3.12%÷1.099×0.710—×1.0502.12%
HBP% /PA0.62%—×0.790—×1.0500.52%
Singles /BIP26.19%÷1.006×0.910×0.993×1.05024.71%
Doubles /BIP5.56%÷1.064×0.820×0.993×1.0504.47%
Triples /BIP0.79%÷1.150×0.760×0.993×1.0500.55%
Home runs /BIP4.76%÷1.085×0.920—×1.0504.24%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 101, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 98, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .358 → .314; ISO .181 → .153; BABIP .333 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 ROKOgden Raptors · 245 PAwOBA .408 → .304 (−104)K% 11.0% → 15.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.02%÷1.000×1.440——15.87%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.12%÷1.000×0.610—×1.0223.82%
HBP% /PA1.22%—×0.720—×1.0220.90%
Singles /BIP28.72%÷1.000×0.820×0.955×1.02222.99%
Doubles /BIP11.28%÷1.000×0.720×0.955×1.0227.93%
Triples /BIP1.54%÷1.000×0.720×0.955×1.0221.08%
Home runs /BIP1.03%÷1.000×0.750—×1.0220.79%

Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.

Result: wOBA .408 → .304; ISO .153 → .109; BABIP .409 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 DSLDSL Dodgers · 159 PAwOBA .318 → .218 (−101)K% 9.4% → 11.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA9.43%÷1.000×1.220——11.51%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.03%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0223.60%
HBP% /PA0.63%—×0.700—×1.0220.45%
Singles /BIP25.93%÷1.000×0.680×1.029×1.02218.56%
Doubles /BIP5.93%÷1.000×0.600×1.029×1.0223.74%
Triples /BIP0.74%÷1.000×0.600×1.029×1.0220.47%
Home runs /BIP0.74%÷1.000×0.470—×1.0220.36%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.

Result: wOBA .318 → .218; ISO .087 → .051; BABIP .328 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .