Keibert Ruiz — OGILVIE

Keibert RuizC Washington Nationals

Age 28 S/R 5'11" / 238 lbs MLB HR -9% Svc 5.000 · Ctrl thru 2032 peak 0.5 · 2026

wRC+†vL 5973vR 55

AVG/OBP/SLG.244 / .286 / .368

PA412

HR9

K%11

BB%4

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

55→55

PWR

35→35

SPD

30→30

EYE

33↗35

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.1peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-3

MLB Debut 2021

Service 5.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

DEF 10%

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-3	$5M	+0.5	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2027	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+0.1	$0.4M	-$5M
2028	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	—	—	—
2029	Ext / FA-deal	$9M	—	—	—
2030	Ext / FA-deal	$9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext / FA-deal	$12M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$14M	—	—	—
Totals		$60M		$-11M	-$70M

Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$70M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	17	ROK	DSL Dodgers	159	153	37	6	1	1	5	22	1	4	2	.242	.270	.314	.584	.072	.277	14	3	.246	46	-10	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.2
2016	18	ROK	Ogden Raptors	245	228	62	15	2	1	9	39	3	0	0	.272	.308	.368	.677	.096	.316	16	4	.298	86	-4	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.8
2017	19	A	2 teams	411	385	108	19	1	7	16	69	4	0	0	.281	.316	.390	.706	.109	.322	17	4	.306	92	-4	+0	+0	+7	+12	1.6
2018	20	AA	2 teams	471	439	105	14	0	11	19	50	9	0	1	.239	.285	.346	.631	.107	.246	11	4	.277	70	-16	-0	+0	+8	+13	0.6
2019	21	AA	2 teams	350	325	72	7	0	5	19	29	4	0	0	.222	.273	.289	.562	.068	.229	8	5	.254	53	-19	+0	+0	+6	+10	-0.3
2020	22	INTL	Leones del Caracas	36	31	4	1	0	0	5	1	0	1	0	.129	.250	.161	.411	.032	.133	3	14	—	—	—	—	-0	+1	—	—
2021	23	AAA	2 teams	412	382	101	22	0	22	26	49	3	0	0	.264	.316	.495	.811	.230	.253	12	6	.344	121	+10	+0	+2	+7	+12	3.2
2022	24	MLB	Washington Nationals	433	394	101	22	0	7	30	50	6	6	1	.256	.319	.365	.684	.109	.277	12	7	.305	91	-4	+1	+4	+8	+12	2.1
2023	25	MLB	Washington Nationals	562	523	134	24	0	18	31	58	6	1	1	.256	.305	.405	.711	.149	.258	10	6	.314	98	-1	-0	-13	+10	+16	1.2
2024	26	MLB	Washington Nationals	485	459	103	22	0	11	16	54	5	3	1	.224	.258	.344	.603	.120	.231	11	3	.264	60	-22	+0	+0	+9	+14	0.1
2025	27	MLB	Washington Nationals	267	255	64	13	0	2	8	26	3	0	2	.251	.282	.325	.607	.075	.272	10	3	.269	64	-11	-1	-5	+5	+8	-0.5
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	28	MLB	Washington Nationals	50	47	9	3	0	1	1	7	1	0	0	.191	.224	.319	.544	.128	.200	14	2	.235	38	-3	+0	+2	+1	+1	0.1
ROS	28	MLB	WSH	362	340	81	18	0	8	15	42	4	2	1	.238	.279	.362	.640	.124	.250	12	4	.286	77	-9	+0	-3	+6	+10	0.4
TOT	28	MLB	WSH	412	387	90	21	0	9	16	49	5	2	1	.233	.272	.357	.629	.124	.244	12	4	.280	73	-13	+0	-1	+7	+12	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	29	MLB	WSH	406	381	91	20	0	9	17	41	5	1	0	.239	.280	.362	.643	.123	.245	10	4	.284	76	-11	+0	-5	+7	+12	0.3
2028	30	MLB	WSH	401	376	88	19	0	9	17	42	5	0	0	.234	.276	.356	.633	.122	.243	10	4	.281	73	-12	+0	-6	+7	+11	0.1
2029	31	MLB	WSH	374	351	82	18	0	8	16	41	4	0	0	.234	.275	.353	.628	.120	.242	11	4	.277	71	-12	+0	-6	+7	+11	-0.2
2030	32	MLB	WSH	345	324	74	16	0	7	14	40	4	0	0	.228	.269	.343	.612	.114	.240	12	4	.272	66	-13	+0	-7	+6	+10	-0.4
2031	33	MLB	WSH	307	288	65	14	0	6	13	37	3	0	0	.226	.266	.337	.603	.111	.238	12	4	.265	61	-13	+0	-7	+5	+9	-0.6
2032	34	MLB	WSH	258	242	53	11	0	4	11	34	3	0	0	.219	.262	.314	.576	.095	.236	13	4	.258	56	-13	+0	-7	+5	+7	-0.9
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6284	5876	1425	281	4	136	287	724	72	18	9	.243	.286	.361	.647	.119	.255	12	5	.284	75	-174	+0	-54	+112	+178	6.4
/ 162G	—			650	608	147	29	0	14	30	75	7	2	1	.242	.285	.359	.644	.117	.254	12	5	.284	75	-18	+0	-6	+12	+18	0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	17	ROK	DSL Dodgers	159	150	45	8	1	1	8	15	1	4	2	.300	.340	.387	.726	.087	.328	9	5	.327	108	+1	+0	—	—	+5	0.6
2016	18	ROK	Ogden Raptors	245	222	83	22	3	2	15	27	3	0	0	.374	.421	.527	.948	.153	.409	11	6	.411	172	+20	+0	—	—	+7	2.8
2017	19	A+	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	160	149	47	7	1	6	7	23	1	0	0	.315	.350	.497	.847	.181	.333	14	4	.366	138	+7	+0	—	—	+5	1.2
2017	19	A	Great Lakes Loons	251	227	72	16	1	2	18	30	3	0	0	.317	.375	.423	.798	.106	.355	12	7	.355	130	+8	+0	—	—	+7	1.6
2018	20	AA	Tulsa Drillers	415	377	101	14	0	12	26	33	9	0	1	.268	.330	.401	.731	.133	.266	8	6	.327	108	+4	-0	—	—	+12	1.6
2018	20	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	56	49	14	1	0	0	6	2	0	0	0	.286	.364	.306	.670	.020	.292	4	11	.308	94	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2019	21	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	40	38	12	0	0	2	2	1	0	0	0	.316	.350	.474	.824	.158	.286	2	5	.365	138	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2019	21	AA	Tulsa Drillers	310	276	70	9	0	4	28	21	4	0	0	.254	.331	.330	.661	.076	.261	7	9	.303	90	-3	+0	—	—	+9	0.5
2020	22	INTL	Leones del Caracas	36	31	4	1	0	0	5	1	0	1	0	.129	.250	.161	.411	.032	.133	3	14	.208	17	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2021	23	MLB	Washington Nationals	96	88	24	3	0	3	6	9	2	0	0	.273	.333	.409	.742	.136	.276	9	6	.334	114	+1	+0	+2	+7	+3	1.4
2021	23	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	316	284	88	24	0	21	30	33	1	0	0	.310	.378	.616	.994	.306	.290	10	9	.428	185	+30	+0	—	—	+9	4.0
2022	24	MLB	Washington Nationals	433	394	99	22	0	7	30	50	6	6	1	.251	.314	.360	.674	.109	.271	12	7	.304	91	-5	+1	+4	+8	+12	2.1
2023	25	MLB	Washington Nationals	562	523	136	24	0	18	31	58	6	1	1	.260	.309	.409	.718	.149	.263	10	6	.319	102	+2	-0	-13	+10	+16	1.5
2024	26	MLB	Washington Nationals	485	459	105	21	0	13	16	54	5	3	1	.229	.263	.359	.622	.131	.232	11	3	.274	68	-17	+0	+0	+9	+14	0.6
2025	27	MLB	Washington Nationals	267	255	63	12	0	2	8	26	3	0	2	.247	.278	.318	.596	.071	.268	10	3	.269	64	-11	-1	-5	+5	+8	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			1843	1719	427	82	0	43	91	197	22	10	5	.248	.295	.371	.666	.123	.258	11	5	.297	86	-30	+0	-11	+39	+52	5.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Keibert Ruiz (OGILVIE)	28	55	35	30	35	.237/.278/.362	.124	.245	9	2	10%	4%	77	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Enrique Wilson 2002 · MLB	29	50	43→45	36→40	49	.241/.285/.351	.109	.264	10	5	13%	6%	76	+0.1	.221/.268/.337	.116	.240	12	7	13%	6%	66	-0.6	.204/.252/.319	.115	.210	12	6	11%	6%	53	-0.5
✕Fernando Flores 2019 · AAA	27	51	41→40	37→40	41	.246/.274/.347	.101	.293	8	4	20%	4%	70	-0.3	.224/.261/.319	.095	.271	9	7	20%	5%	57	-1.2	.207/.240/.260	.054	.248	5	0	18%	4%	33	-0.8
✕Robinzon Diaz 2012 · MLB	28	52→61	41→45	40→45	45	.248/.275/.343	.096	.256	9	3	8%	3%	69	-0.4	.251/.276/.359	.108	.266	10	5	10%	3%	74	-0.1	.256/.277/.353	.097	.275	9	2	11%	3%	69	-0.2
✕Rubén Tejada 2018 · MLB	28	51→60	41→40	39→50	50	.243/.306/.346	.103	.278	8	3	16%	7%	85	+0.7	.228/.284/.322	.094	.274	8	6	19%	6%	69	-0.4	.220/.283/.285	.065	.278	5	5	21%	6%	55	-0.7
✕Toby Hall 2005 · MLB	29	52→59	45	35→45	50	.251/.297/.374	.122	.257	13	2	9%	5%	88	+0.9	.259/.297/.370	.111	.271	11	2	9%	4%	86	+0.8	.261/.291/.360	.099	.273	10	0	9%	3%	77	+0.1
✕Xorge Carrillo 2017 · AAA	28	48	41→40	40→30	45	.232/.290/.325	.093	.273	9	3	18%	6%	72	-0.2	.225/.276/.329	.104	.282	11	4	23%	5%	67	-0.5	.228/.278/.334	.106	.282	12	1	23%	5%	66	-0.3
✕Conor Gillaspie 2015 · MLB	28	51→58	47→50	36→40	50	.253/.307/.393	.140	.284	14	2	16%	7%	97	+1.5	.245/.293/.381	.136	.278	12	4	16%	6%	88	+0.9	.232/.272/.359	.127	.258	12	4	15%	5%	66	-0.2
●Terry Tiffee 2008 · MLB	29	49→59	43→45	41→30	44	.239/.270/.349	.110	.262	11	3	14%	4%	69	-0.4	.267/.294/.387	.120	.297	11	3	14%	4%	89	+1.0	.296/.317/.426	.130	.330	10	1	13%	3%	108	+1.0
✕Kevin Flores 2014 · AAA	29	53→51	43→45	36→45	42	.260/.296/.369	.110	.304	11	2	19%	4%	85	+0.7	.259/.300/.351	.092	.308	8	3	18%	5%	82	+0.5	.259/.302/.333	.074	.316	5	2	19%	4%	75	-0.0
✕Neifi Perez 2001 · MLB	28	56→59	45	43→45	48	.271/.305/.407	.136	.286	10	5	10%	5%	99	+1.7	.260/.291/.369	.109	.281	7	7	10%	4%	82	+0.5	.255/.287/.348	.093	.270	6	5	8%	4%	71	-0.2
✕Edwin Bellorin 2010 · AAA	28	50	42→45	42→30	43	.242/.274/.349	.107	.270	9	4	14%	4%	70	-0.3	.203/.244/.277	.074	.247	5	5	19%	5%	40	-2.4	.157/.204/.188	.031	.199	2	0	21%	5%	-3	-2.5
✕Taylor Davis 2018 · AAA	28	52→53	42→45	40	49	.251/.299/.361	.110	.283	8	3	15%	6%	85	+0.7	.231/.285/.320	.089	.274	8	3	18%	7%	68	-0.5	.219/.285/.278	.059	.260	7	0	18%	8%	56	-0.4
✕Brandon Pinckney 2010 · AAA	28	51	39→40	39→40	41	.247/.272/.332	.085	.285	7	3	17%	3%	65	-0.7	.230/.268/.323	.093	.281	7	5	20%	5%	61	-1.0	.214/.259/.302	.089	.264	5	0	20%	5%	50	-0.7
✕Cesar Izturis 2008 · MLB	28	54→60	36→40	40→55	52	.250/.299/.323	.072	.267	3	7	8%	6%	74	-0.1	.250/.299/.314	.064	.269	3	18	8%	6%	72	-0.2	.244/.292/.294	.050	.266	2	20	8%	5%	61	-0.7
✕Carlos Leon 2008 · AAA	28	52→60	36→30	38→45	47	.244/.308/.307	.063	.289	3	8	16%	6%	75	-0.0	.226/.296/.302	.076	.269	5	7	17%	7%	69	-0.4	.218/.295/.283	.066	.258	5	6	16%	8%	60	-0.3
✕Rey Navarro 2016 · MLB	26	48→50	44→45	40→50	45	.238/.272/.354	.117	.262	12	6	15%	4%	72	-0.2	.222/.260/.319	.097	.260	9	6	18%	5%	57	-1.2	.211/.251/.301	.090	.247	9	4	18%	5%	46	-1.1
✕Jose Heberto Felix 2017 · AAA	29	51	39→40	39→40	43	.244/.270/.325	.081	.264	8	6	11%	3%	63	-0.9	.240/.265/.321	.081	.259	9	6	11%	3%	59	-1.1	.242/.266/.309	.067	.259	8	2	10%	2%	52	-0.7
✕Erick Rodriguez 2008 · AAA	28	56	39→40	39→40	47	.264/.300/.349	.086	.289	6	4	11%	5%	81	+0.4	.277/.317/.352	.075	.303	6	4	10%	5%	89	+1.0	.283/.326/.375	.092	.301	9	2	9%	6%	96	+0.9
✕Deivi Cruz 2001 · MLB	28	58→61	46→45	39→40	45	.281/.306/.424	.143	.289	11	4	8%	3%	104	+2.0	.264/.294/.390	.126	.279	11	4	10%	4%	90	+1.0	.262/.289/.386	.124	.272	12	1	9%	3%	82	+0.3
✕Tuffy Gosewisch 2012 · AAA	28	45→44	44→45	38→40	44	.221/.275/.338	.117	.264	11	4	21%	6%	69	-0.4	.210/.255/.320	.110	.254	10	4	21%	5%	56	-1.3	.220/.265/.328	.108	.255	11	2	18%	5%	59	-0.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)