Ty France — OGILVIE

Ty France1B San Diego Padres

Age 32 R/R 5'10" / 215 lbs MLB HR -7% Svc 6.517 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION229 act + 275 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 103103vR 102

AVG/OBP/SLG.262 / .330 / .427

PA275

HR9

K%21

BB%6

BABIP306

ISO165

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

738.6%

xwOBA

580.318

POWER45

Barrel%

508.1

Avg EV

5689.5

Bat Spd

4470.7

EYE45

Chase%

7127.6%

SPEED35

Sprint

1024.9

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1050 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

275

775

—

wRC+

—

wOBA

303

—

ISO

133

115

◀L

BABIP

279

290

▶R

19.3%

18.7%

—

BB%

6.5%

5.4%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2019

Service 6.517 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.5M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
Totals		$0.5M		$3M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	22	A	2 teams	—	537	464	101	17	0	15	38	130	28	6	7	218	315	351	666	134	265	24	7	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	A	2 teams	—	537	443	120	24	0	14	59	96	28	6	7	271	391	420	810	149	314	18	11	365	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	AA	2 teams	—	533	483	116	20	2	5	20	110	27	2	0	240	308	321	628	81	299	21	4	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	AA	2 teams	—	533	474	132	24	3	5	29	84	27	2	0	278	355	373	728	95	327	16	5	331	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AA	2 teams	—	589	525	118	21	2	28	30	115	27	3	4	225	301	432	733	208	232	20	5	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AA	2 teams	—	589	509	136	30	2	22	46	89	27	3	4	267	359	464	823	196	282	15	8	363	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AAA	2 teams	—	549	491	137	27	2	31	28	120	25	1	2	279	349	532	881	253	307	22	5	375	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AAA	2 teams	—	549	480	161	35	2	34	39	100	25	1	2	335	414	629	1.043	294	362	18	7	448	201	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	26	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	155	141	43	9	1	4	11	37	3	0	0	305	368	468	836	163	390	24	7	375	145	+8	+0	-1	+1	+4	1.3
2020	26	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	155	141	43	9	1	4	11	37	3	0	0	305	368	468	836	163	390	24	7	372	143	+7	+0	-1	+1	+4	1.2
2021	27	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	650	571	169	33	1	19	46	106	27	0	0	296	376	457	833	161	332	16	7	366	138	+28	+0	-7	-12	+18	2.9
2021	27	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	650	571	166	32	1	18	46	106	27	0	0	291	371	445	816	154	327	16	7	363	136	+27	+0	-7	-12	+18	2.7
2022	28	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	613	552	154	28	1	21	35	94	21	0	0	279	345	447	793	168	301	15	6	344	122	+15	+0	-8	-11	+17	1.4
2022	28	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	613	551	151	27	1	20	35	94	21	0	0	274	340	436	776	162	296	15	6	344	122	+15	+0	-8	-11	+17	1.4
2023	29	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	665	587	150	33	0	13	43	117	34	1	0	256	342	378	720	123	299	18	6	325	107	+5	+0	-6	-12	+19	0.6
2023	29	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	665	587	147	32	0	12	43	117	34	1	0	250	337	366	704	116	294	18	6	322	105	+4	+0	-6	-12	+19	0.4
2024	30	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	535	479	109	23	0	12	38	114	13	1	1	228	302	351	653	123	271	21	7	293	82	-11	-0	-13	-10	+15	-1.9
2024	30	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	535	479	112	24	0	13	38	114	13	1	1	234	308	365	673	132	277	21	7	302	90	-6	-0	-13	-10	+15	-1.4
2025	31	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	490	444	113	25	0	7	22	83	21	1	0	255	320	358	678	104	297	17	4	303	90	-5	+0	+3	-9	+14	0.3
2025	31	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	490	444	114	25	0	7	22	83	21	1	0	257	322	360	683	104	300	17	4	310	95	-3	+0	+3	-9	+14	0.6
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	32	MLB	SD	—	229	207	55	9	2	11	12	54	7	1	1	266	327	488	815	222	303	24	5	347	124	+6	-0	+0	-4	+6	0.9
YTD	32	MLB	SD	—	229	206	55	9	2	11	12	54	7	1	1	267	327	490	818	223	306	24	5	354	129	+8	-0	+0	-4	+6	1.0
ROS	32	MLB	SD	100%	275	248	65	12	1	9	16	57	9	1	1	262	330	427	757	165	303	21	6	333	113	+4	-0	+2	-5	+8	0.9
ROS	32	MLB	SD	100%	275	248	63	12	1	8	16	57	9	1	1	254	322	407	730	153	299	21	6	303	90	-3	-0	+2	-5	+8	0.2
FULL	32	MLB	SD	—	504	455	118	21	3	19	28	111	16	2	2	259	325	444	769	185	301	22	6	323	105	+3	-0	+3	-9	+14	1.1
TOT	32	MLB	SD	—	504	455	120	21	3	20	28	111	16	2	2	264	329	455	784	191	305	22	6	339	118	+10	-0	+3	-9	+14	1.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	33	MLB	SD	100%	474	428	108	20	1	14	27	101	16	2	1	252	321	402	722	150	296	21	6	324	106	+3	+0	-0	-8	+13	0.8
2028	34	MLB	SD	100%	427	386	94	17	1	12	24	94	14	1	1	244	311	386	697	142	288	22	6	313	98	-1	-0	-1	-8	+12	0.2
2029	35	MLB	SD	100%	372	337	78	13	1	10	20	84	12	1	0	231	298	365	663	134	279	23	5	300	88	-5	+0	-2	-7	+11	-0.3
2027	33	MLB	SD	100%	474	428	107	20	1	14	27	101	16	2	1	250	318	400	718	150	292	21	6	295	84	-9	+0	-0	-8	+13	-0.4
2028	34	MLB	SD	100%	427	386	93	16	1	12	24	94	14	1	1	241	309	381	690	140	284	22	6	284	75	-12	-0	-1	-8	+12	-0.9
2029	35	MLB	SD	100%	372	337	78	13	1	10	20	84	12	1	0	231	298	365	663	134	275	23	5	272	66	-14	+0	-2	-7	+11	-1.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4857	4356	1117	218	8	125	291	936	177	8	6	256	328	396	725	140	299	19	6	317	101	+5	-1	-34	-78	+138	3.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	150	29	1	17	39	125	24	1	1	257	330	398	728	141	299	19	6	317	101	+1	-0	-5	-10	+18	0.4
Career	—			—	6864	6136	1555	298	13	200	398	1362	277	20	17	253	327	404	731	151	293	20	6	322	105	+36	-3	-34	-107	+194	8.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	147	28	1	19	38	129	26	2	2	253	327	403	730	150	293	20	6	322	105	+3	-0	-3	-10	+18	0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	22	A+	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	256	224	68	16	0	9	15	47	12	3	4	304	378	496	874	192	343	18	6	381	150	+14	-1	—	—	+7	2.1
2016	22	A	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	281	219	52	8	0	5	44	49	16	3	3	237	401	342	744	105	283	17	16	350	126	+8	-1	—	—	+8	1.6
2017	23	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	402	363	100	20	1	5	22	68	15	1	0	275	343	377	720	102	325	17	5	326	108	+3	+0	—	—	+11	1.5
2017	23	A+	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	131	111	32	4	2	0	7	16	12	1	0	288	392	360	753	72	333	12	5	348	125	+4	+0	—	—	+4	0.8
2018	24	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	110	94	27	8	0	5	13	19	2	0	0	287	385	532	917	245	310	17	12	399	163	+8	+0	—	—	+3	1.1
2018	24	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	479	415	109	22	2	17	33	70	25	3	4	263	353	448	801	186	276	15	7	354	129	+16	-1	—	—	+14	2.9
2019	25	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	201	184	43	8	1	7	9	49	7	0	2	234	295	402	697	168	279	24	4	310	95	-1	-1	-1	+2	+6	0.5
2019	25	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	348	296	118	27	1	27	30	51	18	1	0	399	483	770	1.253	372	410	15	9	528	262	+64	+0	—	—	+10	7.5
2020	26	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	155	141	43	9	1	4	11	37	3	0	0	305	368	468	836	163	390	24	7	372	143	+7	+0	-1	+1	+4	1.2
2021	27	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	650	571	166	32	1	18	46	106	27	0	0	291	371	445	816	154	327	16	7	363	136	+27	+0	-7	-12	+18	2.7
2022	28	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	613	551	151	27	1	20	35	94	21	0	0	274	340	436	776	162	296	15	6	344	122	+15	+0	-8	-11	+17	1.4
2023	29	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	665	587	147	32	0	12	43	117	34	1	0	250	337	366	704	116	294	18	6	322	105	+4	+0	-6	-12	+19	0.4
2024	30	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	535	479	112	24	0	13	38	114	13	1	1	234	308	365	673	132	277	21	7	302	90	-6	-0	-13	-10	+15	-1.4
2025	31	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	490	444	114	25	0	7	22	83	21	1	0	257	322	360	683	104	300	17	4	310	95	-3	+0	+3	-9	+14	0.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	3309	2957	776	157	4	81	204	600	126	3	3	262	336	400	737	138	303	18	6	331	111	+42	-1	-32	-50	+94	5.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Lyle Overbaylast yr '14 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,790 PA	12	5,790	151	19	266	348	429	-103	-102	8.8	10.3
	/162	664	17	2	266	348	429	-11.9	-11.7	1.0	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	12	5,315	141	10	258	326	402	-95	-74	7.7	8.0
	/162	664	18	1	258	326	402	-11.9	-9.3	1.0	pk7: 8
#2Mitch Morelandlast yr '21 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,536 PA	12	4,536	186	11	251	318	446	-81	-56	5.9	6.1
	/162	664	27	2	251	318	446	-11.9	-8.1	0.9	pk7: 6
#3Yuli Gurriellast yr '24 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,699 PA	9	3,699	98	28	280	326	438	-63	-54	4.2	5.8
	/162	664	18	5	280	326	438	-11.3	-9.8	0.8	pk7: 7
#4Casey Kotchmanlast yr '12 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,391 PA	9	3,391	71	14	262	328	388	-61	-28	1.3	3.3
	/162	664	14	3	262	328	388	-11.9	-5.5	0.3	pk7: 5
#5Gaby Sanchezlast yr '14 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,240 PA	5	2,240	59	12	254	332	411	-40	-26	2.2	2.2
	/162	664	17	4	254	332	411	-11.9	-7.8	0.6	pk7: 2
#6Yonder Alonsolast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,744 PA	9	3,744	100	22	260	333	405	-66	-62	1.3	2.0
	/162	664	18	4	260	333	405	-11.7	-11.0	0.2	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ty France (OGILVIE)	32	50	45	35	45	264/329/455	191	305	20	2	22%	6%	118	+1.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Shawn Wooten 2004 · MLB	32	51→45	47→50	38→30	49	258/311/388	131	287	16	5	17%	7%	97	+1.5	230/283/352	122	264	14	3	18%	6%	76	+0.1	218/264/315	98	256	11	0	20%	4%	58	-0.7
✕Andy Phillips 2008 · MLB	31	51→55	49→55	41→40	47	257/307/404	147	290	17	5	18%	6%	99	+1.7	257/307/392	135	288	15	6	16%	6%	96	+1.5	264/312/394	130	290	15	3	15%	6%	98	+0.7
✕Aledmys Díaz 2023 · MLB	32	47→57	50→55	41→45	46	242/295/393	151	268	18	3	18%	6%	92	+1.2	226/282/348	122	265	12	5	19%	6%	75	-0.0	229/283/340	110	277	7	2	19%	5%	69	-0.2
✕Tagg Bozied 2011 · AAA	32	48	51→55	43→45	45	242/303/407	165	306	18	6	27%	7%	99	+1.7	226/301/402	176	319	20	6	33%	8%	98	+1.6	182/285/400	218	260	25	0	38%	10%	87	+0.3
✕Troy O'Leary 2002 · MLB	32	49→53	51→50	39→30	50	249/309/419	170	274	17	3	17%	7%	105	+2.1	250/319/386	136	285	13	6	17%	9%	100	+1.7	254/331/362	108	292	9	5	15%	9%	91	+0.5
✕Omar De La Torre 2011 · AAA	31	51→60	46→50	38→45	42	254/289/386	132	296	14	4	20%	4%	88	+0.9	234/264/340	106	287	10	4	22%	3%	65	-0.7	232/260/325	93	288	8	2	22%	3%	58	-0.6
✕Wes Helms 2008 · MLB	32	54→50	49→55	37→30	48	267/326/427	160	313	15	3	20%	7%	114	+2.7	247/308/369	122	311	11	3	23%	7%	91	+1.1	242/307/350	108	314	9	1	24%	7%	82	+0.2
✕Mike Kinkade 2005 · MLB	32	50→60	50	42→45	49	248/349/405	157	289	17	8	20%	7%	120	+3.1	262/332/401	139	302	13	8	17%	5%	111	+2.5	272/340/407	135	315	12	7	17%	4%	113	+1.8
✕Trevor Plouffe 2018 · MLB	32	45→52	50→60	42→45	48	231/293/383	153	270	19	3	22%	8%	89	+1.0	219/305/389	170	285	21	7	29%	11%	96	+1.5	184/294/375	191	237	24	5	32%	13%	89	+0.5
✕Emmanuel Valdez 2011 · AAA	32	50→52	53→55	37→40	52	255/334/427	172	309	20	3	24%	10%	118	+3.0	231/303/392	161	311	20	4	31%	8%	96	+1.5	205/293/384	179	285	23	3	35%	10%	90	+0.6
✕Shane Spencer 2003 · MLB	31	50	48→50	41→45	51	251/320/401	149	288	15	5	19%	8%	105	+2.1	253/324/394	141	300	15	8	20%	9%	105	+2.1	256/328/392	136	304	15	7	20%	9%	104	+1.1
✕John Rodriguez 2010 · AAA	32	44→47	50→55	40	43	225/294/380	156	283	18	3	27%	7%	89	+1.0	218/281/361	143	264	15	8	23%	6%	79	+0.3	189/267/324	135	202	10	8	12%	7%	62	-0.2
✕Edgar Gonzalez 2011 · MLB	33	49→59	48→45	38→50	48	243/308/383	140	290	15	6	22%	8%	95	+1.4	258/306/368	110	306	11	13	18%	6%	89	+1.0	265/308/361	96	317	10	15	19%	5%	85	+0.4
✕Tim Beckham 2021 · MLB	31	46→55	55	39→50	43	239/296/427	189	300	23	5	28%	7%	102	+1.9	256/306/420	164	331	21	7	28%	6%	105	+2.1	269/313/415	146	351	21	4	28%	5%	101	+0.5
✕Andy Abad 2006 · MLB	33	49→51	53→50	40→45	47	254/300/425	171	273	21	6	16%	6%	103	+1.9	246/293/383	137	268	17	6	15%	5%	89	+0.9	241/289/355	114	263	14	4	14%	5%	79	+0.1
✕Paul McAnulty 2012 · MLB	31	46→50	52→60	41→40	45	238/289/404	166	277	21	4	23%	6%	92	+1.2	231/302/424	193	277	25	5	26%	9%	104	+2.0	208/298/429	221	235	30	1	27%	10%	103	+1.6
✕Matt Szczur 2021 · MLB	32	46→56	48→45	44→55	47	230/290/373	143	280	15	8	24%	8%	85	+0.7	214/260/369	155	283	19	9	31%	6%	72	-0.2	146/180/303	157	174	24	0	34%	4%	17	-0.7
✕J.C. Linares 2015 · AAA	30	49→52	51→55	39→40	45	247/309/408	161	298	18	3	24%	7%	102	+1.9	240/307/396	156	286	17	7	22%	7%	98	+1.6	244/316/411	167	277	19	5	19%	8%	102	+0.6
✕Scott Seabol 2007 · MLB	32	44→45	53→60	38→40	45	233/288/410	177	276	21	3	24%	7%	94	+1.3	241/294/434	193	277	24	7	22%	7%	103	+1.9	239/293/445	205	266	26	5	21%	7%	105	+2.0
✕Abraham Valencia 2013 · AAA	33	50→53	52→55	42→45	43	257/309/415	157	278	21	4	17%	4%	105	+2.1	244/302/377	133	290	16	5	22%	5%	92	+1.2	238/301/351	113	292	14	3	23%	5%	81	+0.2