Bryce Eldridge
1B San Francisco Giants| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | AAA/AA/A+/A/INTL2 orgs | 565 | .292/.378/.515 | 25 | 6 | 103 | — | .247/.314/.427 |
| 2025 | 20 | AAA/AASF | 426 | .259/.335/.513 | 25 | 1 | 87 | — | .222/.275/.416 |
| 2025 | 20 | MLBSF | 37 | .107/.306/.179 | 0 | 0 | 52 | -1.0 | |
| 2026 | 21 | AAASF | 137 | .333/.445/.518 | 5 | 0 | 122 | — | .283/.372/.425 |
| 2026 | 21 | MLBSF | 448 | .269/.366/.461 | 17 | 1 | 138 | 2.0 | |
| 2027PROJ | 22 | MLBSF | 501 | .242/.335/.409 | 17 | 2 | 116 | 1.1 | |
| 2028PROJ98% MLB | 23 | MLBSF | 575 | .248/.342/.433 | 22 | 3 | 124 | 1.9 | |
| 2029PROJ98% MLB | 24 | MLBSF | 602 | .252/.346/.449 | 25 | 3 | 130 | 2.4 |
Tools · Recent Form · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 18 | A | San Jose Giants | — | 69 | 58 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 293 | 406 | 379 | 785 | 86 | 410 | 26 | 16 | 362 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | ACL Giants Orange | — | 61 | 51 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 294 | 400 | 647 | 1.047 | 353 | 323 | 26 | 15 | 441 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 35 | 31 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 258 | 343 | 258 | 601 | 400 | 31 | 11 | 287 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 19 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 40 | 37 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 270 | 325 | 459 | 784 | 189 | 321 | 20 | 8 | 345 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | — | 215 | 173 | 58 | 11 | 1 | 12 | 35 | 52 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 335 | 452 | 618 | 1.071 | 283 | 404 | 24 | 16 | 453 | 140 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A | San Jose Giants | — | 229 | 205 | 54 | 14 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 61 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 263 | 329 | 478 | 807 | 215 | 319 | 27 | 7 | 349 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 46 | 41 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 293 | 356 | 512 | 868 | 220 | 417 | 35 | 7 | 373 | 139 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | — | 37 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 107 | 306 | 179 | 484 | 71 | 188 | 35 | 19 | 246 | 52 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -8 | +1 | -1.0 |
| 2025 | 20 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 286 | 253 | 63 | 13 | 0 | 18 | 28 | 88 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 249 | 326 | 514 | 840 | 265 | 298 | 31 | 10 | 361 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 140 | 125 | 35 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 280 | 353 | 512 | 865 | 232 | 350 | 28 | 9 | 377 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | — | 448 | 386 | 104 | 23 | 0 | 17 | 59 | 119 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 269 | 366 | 461 | 827 | 192 | 344 | 27 | 13 | 366 | 138 | +20 | -0 | +0 | -10 | +10 | 2.0 |
| 2026 | 21 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 137 | 114 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 41 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 445 | 518 | 963 | 184 | 485 | 30 | 15 | 428 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 485 | 414 | 107 | 25 | 0 | 17 | 66 | 132 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 258 | 362 | 442 | 804 | 184 | 335 | 27 | 14 | 357 | 128 | +16 | -0 | -0 | -19 | +11 | 0.8 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 18 | A MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 69 | 61 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 230 | 319 | 311 | 630 | 82 | 373 | 38 | 12 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Giants Orange | — | 61 | 55 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 267 | 400 | 667 | 200 | 233 | 36 | 8 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 35 | 32 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 314 | 250 | 564 | 400 | 34 | 9 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 19 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 40 | 39 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 256 | 275 | 436 | 711 | 179 | 314 | 25 | 2 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A+ MLE | Eugene Emeralds | — | 215 | 184 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 24 | 72 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 283 | 371 | 511 | 882 | 228 | 369 | 33 | 11 | 375 | 140 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 229 | 209 | 44 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 87 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 211 | 267 | 373 | 640 | 163 | 291 | 38 | 6 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MLB MLE | San Francisco Giants | — | 37 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 107 | 306 | 179 | 484 | 71 | 188 | 35 | 19 | 246 | 52 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -8 | +1 | -1.0 |
| 2025 | 20 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 286 | 263 | 56 | 12 | 0 | 14 | 18 | 104 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 213 | 266 | 418 | 684 | 205 | 275 | 36 | 6 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 140 | 129 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 47 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 240 | 295 | 411 | 706 | 171 | 322 | 34 | 6 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | MLB MLE | San Francisco Giants | — | 448 | 387 | 106 | 23 | 0 | 18 | 58 | 119 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 274 | 369 | 473 | 841 | 199 | 344 | 27 | 13 | 373 | 138 | +20 | -0 | +0 | -10 | +10 | 2.0 |
| 2026 | 21 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 137 | 120 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 49 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 283 | 372 | 425 | 797 | 142 | 452 | 36 | 10 | 349 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 130 | 116 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 48 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 207 | 287 | 336 | 623 | 129 | 308 | 37 | 10 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 130 | 109 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 34 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 294 | 403 | 505 | 908 | 211 | 371 | 26 | 15 | 399 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | 5 teams | — | 565 | 505 | 123 | 24 | 2 | 20 | 44 | 197 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 244 | 312 | 418 | 730 | 174 | 346 | 35 | 8 | 315 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A RAW | 5 teams | — | 565 | 487 | 142 | 30 | 2 | 25 | 62 | 148 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 292 | 378 | 515 | 894 | 224 | 361 | 26 | 11 | 386 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 463 | 420 | 90 | 21 | 0 | 19 | 34 | 164 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 214 | 278 | 400 | 678 | 186 | 292 | 35 | 7 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 463 | 406 | 101 | 23 | 0 | 25 | 48 | 140 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 249 | 333 | 490 | 823 | 241 | 308 | 30 | 10 | 357 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 585 | 507 | 140 | 28 | 0 | 22 | 72 | 168 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 276 | 369 | 462 | 831 | 185 | 369 | 29 | 12 | 367 | 135 | +24 | -0 | +0 | -10 | +13 | 2.7 |
| 2026 | 21 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 585 | 500 | 142 | 29 | 0 | 22 | 79 | 160 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 284 | 385 | 474 | 859 | 190 | 374 | 27 | 14 | 381 | 135 | +24 | -0 | +0 | -10 | +13 | 2.7 |
| 2023 | 18 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 130 | 116 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 48 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 207 | 287 | 336 | 623 | 129 | 307 | 37 | 10 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | 5 teams | — | 565 | 510 | 123 | 24 | 2 | 20 | 44 | 197 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 241 | 312 | 414 | 725 | 173 | 332 | 35 | 8 | 315 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 463 | 423 | 90 | 21 | 0 | 19 | 34 | 164 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 213 | 278 | 397 | 675 | 184 | 282 | 35 | 7 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 585 | 505 | 140 | 28 | 0 | 22 | 72 | 168 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 277 | 369 | 463 | 833 | 186 | 369 | 29 | 12 | 367 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | 5 teams | — | 565 | 510 | 123 | 24 | 2 | 20 | 44 | 197 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 241 | 312 | 414 | 725 | 173 | 332 | 35 | 8 | 315 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 463 | 423 | 90 | 21 | 0 | 19 | 34 | 164 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 213 | 278 | 397 | 675 | 184 | 282 | 35 | 7 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 585 | 505 | 140 | 28 | 0 | 22 | 72 | 168 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 277 | 369 | 463 | 833 | 186 | 369 | 29 | 12 | 367 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB MLE | SF | 100% | 632 | 550 | 136 | 27 | 1 | 23 | 73 | 164 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 247 | 340 | 423 | 763 | 176 | 307 | 26 | 12 | 340 | 116 | +12 | +0 | -1 | -11 | +14 | 1.5 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB CTX | SF | 100% | 501 | 435 | 106 | 21 | 1 | 17 | 58 | 130 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 242 | 335 | 409 | 744 | 167 | 303 | 26 | 12 | 332 | 116 | +10 | +0 | -1 | -9 | +11 | 1.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 23 | MLB MLE | SF | 98% | 587 | 509 | 129 | 25 | 1 | 24 | 69 | 150 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 254 | 347 | 449 | 796 | 195 | 309 | 26 | 12 | 352 | 124 | +17 | +0 | -1 | -10 | +13 | 1.9 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB MLE | SF | 98% | 614 | 533 | 138 | 26 | 1 | 28 | 72 | 156 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 258 | 351 | 467 | 818 | 209 | 310 | 25 | 12 | 360 | 130 | +22 | +0 | -1 | -11 | +13 | 2.4 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB MLE | SF | 98% | 614 | 532 | 139 | 26 | 1 | 29 | 73 | 155 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 261 | 354 | 478 | 832 | 217 | 311 | 25 | 12 | 365 | 133 | +24 | +0 | -1 | -11 | +13 | 2.7 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB MLE | SF | 98% | 614 | 532 | 139 | 26 | 1 | 30 | 73 | 155 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 262 | 355 | 484 | 839 | 222 | 311 | 25 | 12 | 368 | 135 | +26 | +0 | -1 | -11 | +13 | 2.8 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB MLE | SF | 98% | 606 | 525 | 137 | 25 | 1 | 30 | 72 | 154 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 260 | 354 | 480 | 834 | 220 | 310 | 25 | 12 | 366 | 134 | +24 | +0 | -1 | -11 | +13 | 2.7 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB MLE | SF | 98% | 592 | 513 | 133 | 25 | 0 | 29 | 70 | 152 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 258 | 352 | 475 | 826 | 217 | 308 | 26 | 12 | 363 | 132 | +22 | -0 | -1 | -11 | +13 | 2.4 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB MLE | SF | 98% | 571 | 495 | 126 | 23 | 0 | 27 | 68 | 148 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 255 | 348 | 467 | 816 | 212 | 306 | 26 | 12 | 359 | 129 | +20 | +0 | -2 | -10 | +12 | 2.1 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB MLE | SF | 98% | 555 | 482 | 121 | 22 | 0 | 26 | 65 | 146 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 251 | 344 | 458 | 802 | 207 | 303 | 26 | 12 | 354 | 126 | +17 | +0 | -3 | -10 | +12 | 1.7 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB MLE | SF | 98% | 536 | 465 | 115 | 21 | 0 | 24 | 63 | 143 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 247 | 339 | 448 | 787 | 201 | 299 | 27 | 12 | 348 | 121 | +14 | +0 | -3 | -10 | +12 | 1.3 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB MLE | SF | 98% | 512 | 446 | 107 | 19 | 0 | 22 | 59 | 139 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 241 | 332 | 434 | 767 | 193 | 294 | 27 | 12 | 339 | 116 | +10 | +0 | -4 | -9 | +11 | 0.8 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB MLE | SF | 98% | 476 | 417 | 97 | 17 | 0 | 20 | 54 | 132 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 233 | 324 | 417 | 741 | 184 | 288 | 28 | 11 | 329 | 109 | +5 | +0 | -5 | -8 | +10 | 0.2 |
| 2039 | 34 | MLB MLE | SF | 94% | 419 | 368 | 83 | 14 | 0 | 17 | 47 | 119 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 314 | 396 | 710 | 173 | 279 | 28 | 11 | 317 | 101 | +0 | +0 | -5 | -7 | +9 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB CTX | SF | 98% | 575 | 499 | 124 | 25 | 1 | 22 | 67 | 147 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 248 | 342 | 433 | 775 | 185 | 304 | 26 | 12 | 344 | 124 | +17 | +0 | -1 | -10 | +12 | 1.9 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB CTX | SF | 98% | 602 | 522 | 132 | 26 | 1 | 25 | 71 | 153 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 252 | 346 | 449 | 795 | 197 | 305 | 25 | 12 | 352 | 130 | +21 | +0 | -1 | -11 | +13 | 2.4 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB CTX | SF | 98% | 602 | 522 | 134 | 26 | 1 | 27 | 71 | 152 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 255 | 349 | 460 | 808 | 205 | 306 | 25 | 12 | 356 | 133 | +24 | +0 | -1 | -11 | +13 | 2.6 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB CTX | SF | 98% | 602 | 521 | 134 | 26 | 1 | 27 | 72 | 152 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 255 | 350 | 465 | 814 | 209 | 305 | 25 | 12 | 359 | 135 | +25 | +0 | -1 | -11 | +13 | 2.8 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB CTX | SF | 98% | 594 | 514 | 131 | 25 | 1 | 27 | 71 | 151 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 254 | 348 | 462 | 810 | 207 | 304 | 25 | 12 | 357 | 134 | +24 | +0 | -1 | -11 | +13 | 2.6 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB CTX | SF | 98% | 580 | 502 | 126 | 24 | 0 | 26 | 69 | 149 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 252 | 346 | 456 | 802 | 204 | 303 | 26 | 12 | 354 | 132 | +22 | -0 | -1 | -10 | +13 | 2.3 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB CTX | SF | 98% | 560 | 486 | 121 | 23 | 0 | 25 | 66 | 145 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 249 | 343 | 449 | 792 | 200 | 301 | 26 | 12 | 350 | 129 | +19 | +0 | -2 | -10 | +12 | 2.0 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB CTX | SF | 98% | 544 | 472 | 116 | 22 | 0 | 23 | 64 | 143 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 245 | 339 | 440 | 779 | 195 | 298 | 26 | 12 | 345 | 126 | +17 | +0 | -3 | -10 | +12 | 1.6 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB CTX | SF | 98% | 525 | 456 | 110 | 21 | 0 | 22 | 61 | 140 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 241 | 334 | 430 | 764 | 190 | 294 | 27 | 12 | 339 | 121 | +13 | +0 | -3 | -9 | +11 | 1.2 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB CTX | SF | 98% | 502 | 437 | 103 | 19 | 0 | 20 | 58 | 136 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 327 | 417 | 745 | 182 | 289 | 27 | 12 | 331 | 116 | +9 | +0 | -4 | -9 | +11 | 0.8 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB CTX | SF | 98% | 466 | 408 | 93 | 17 | 0 | 18 | 53 | 129 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 228 | 319 | 401 | 720 | 173 | 283 | 28 | 11 | 321 | 109 | +5 | +0 | -5 | -8 | +10 | 0.2 |
| 2039 | 34 | MLB CTX | SF | 94% | 392 | 344 | 75 | 13 | 0 | 14 | 44 | 111 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 309 | 381 | 690 | 163 | 275 | 28 | 11 | 309 | 101 | +0 | +0 | -5 | -7 | +8 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 7029 | 6097 | 1506 | 292 | 5 | 293 | 833 | 1840 | 39 | 17 | 7 | 247 | 341 | 441 | 782 | 194 | 303 | 26 | 12 | 346 | 121 | +213 | +1 | -25 | -136 | +152 | 20.9 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 564 | 139 | 27 | 0 | 27 | 77 | 170 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 246 | 342 | 438 | 780 | 191 | 302 | 26 | 12 | 346 | 121 | +20 | +0 | -2 | -13 | +14 | 1.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 8940 | 7800 | 1949 | 366 | 8 | 389 | 1006 | 2456 | 53 | 27 | 9 | 250 | 340 | 448 | 788 | 199 | 311 | 27 | 11 | 347 | 121 | +226 | +1 | -26 | -147 | +166 | 22.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 567 | 142 | 27 | 1 | 28 | 73 | 179 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 250 | 340 | 450 | 790 | 199 | 313 | 28 | 11 | 347 | 121 | +19 | +0 | -2 | -12 | +14 | 1.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAASacramento River Cats · 137 PAwOBA .416 → .349 (−66)K% 29.9% → 35.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.93% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 35.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.87% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 10.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.19% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 2.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 36.99% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.993 | ×1.050 | 35.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.993 | ×1.050 | 7.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.993 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 5.03% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .416 → .349; ISO .184 → .138; BABIP .485 → .452. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAASacramento River Cats · 286 PAwOBA .353 → .295 (−58)K% 30.8% → 36.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.77% | ÷1.010 | ×1.200 | — | — | 36.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.74% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 6.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.35% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.39% | ÷1.030 | ×0.930 | ×1.012 | ×1.050 | 18.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.88% | ÷0.959 | ×0.830 | ×1.012 | ×1.050 | 7.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.012 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.91% | ÷0.938 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 8.55% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 106, 2B 92, 3B 80, K 102, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .353 → .295; ISO .265 → .211; BABIP .298 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 140 PAwOBA .367 → .300 (−67)K% 27.9% → 33.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.86% | ÷1.018 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.57% | ÷0.962 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 6.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.71% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.050 | 0.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.26% | ÷1.004 | ×0.970 | ×0.959 | ×1.050 | 22.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.30% | ÷0.992 | ×0.860 | ×0.959 | ×1.050 | 8.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.959 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.14% | ÷1.183 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 5.64% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 101, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 104, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.
Result: wOBA .367 → .300; ISO .232 → .167; BABIP .350 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ASan Jose Giants · 229 PAwOBA .346 → .271 (−74)K% 26.6% → 37.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.64% | ÷0.957 | ×1.360 | — | — | 37.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.42% | ÷0.966 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 5.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.31% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 1.05% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.83% | ÷0.961 | ×0.920 | ×0.983 | ×1.030 | 20.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.72% | ÷1.012 | ×0.830 | ×0.983 | ×1.030 | 8.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.983 | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.94% | ÷0.959 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 5.97% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 92, 2B 102, 3B 100, K 91, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .346 → .271; ISO .215 → .161; BABIP .319 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Eugene Emeralds · 215 PAwOBA .449 → .375 (−75)K% 24.2% → 33.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.19% | ÷0.968 | ×1.350 | — | — | 33.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.35% | ÷1.024 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.042 | 11.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.93% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.042 | 0.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.10% | ÷1.016 | ×0.910 | ×1.005 | ×1.042 | 26.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.950 | ×0.830 | ×1.005 | ×1.042 | 8.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.83% | ÷1.150 | ×0.820 | ×1.005 | ×1.042 | 0.62% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.92% | ÷1.010 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.042 | 8.50% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 103, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 94, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .449 → .375; ISO .283 → .237; BABIP .404 → .369. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 40 PAwOBA .326 → .300 (−26)K% 20.0% → 23.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷1.025 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.00% | ÷0.988 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 3.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.69% | ÷0.999 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.050 | 21.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.90% | ÷1.110 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.050 | 5.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.45% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.050 | 3.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.45% | ÷1.062 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 2.66% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 100, 2B 122, 3B 80, K 105, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .326 → .300; ISO .189 → .166; BABIP .321 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAASacramento River Cats · 35 PAwOBA .280 → .256 (−24)K% 31.4% → 34.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.43% | ÷1.081 | ×1.200 | — | — | 34.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.43% | ÷1.032 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 8.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 40.00% | ÷0.976 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.050 | 40.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.052 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.091 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.010 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 95, 2B 110, 3B 118, K 116, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .280 → .256; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .400 → .400. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ASan Jose Giants · 69 PAwOBA .354 → .273 (−81)K% 26.1% → 37.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.09% | ÷0.935 | ×1.360 | — | — | 37.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.94% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 11.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 35.00% | ÷1.049 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.045 | 32.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷1.005 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.045 | 4.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.50% | ÷0.890 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 2.35% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 110, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 87, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .354 → .273; ISO .086 → .068; BABIP .410 → .373. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .