Spencer Torkelson

Spencer Torkelson1B Detroit Tigers

Age 26 R/R 6'1" / 220 lbs MLB HR +5%H +3% Svc 3.442 · Ctrl thru 2028 peak 0.4 · 2027

wRC+†vL 129105vR 92

AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .315 / .423

PA649

HR28

K%26

BB%10

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

45→45

PWR

55→55

SPD

45→45

EYE

58↗60

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.5peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2022

Service 3.442 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-1	$4M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-2	$2M	+0.4	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Arb-3	$2M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$0.0M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	AA	4 teams	558	479	107	26	2	28	57	152	11	5	3	.223	.320	.461	.781	.238	.255	27	10	.333	113	+8	-0	+0	-10	+16	1.4
2022	22	MLB	2 teams	559	498	99	22	1	13	53	148	6	1	2	.199	.284	.325	.609	.127	.254	26	9	.274	68	-21	-1	-5	-10	+16	-2.1
2023	23	MLB	Detroit Tigers	684	606	144	34	1	33	67	171	6	3	0	.238	.320	.460	.780	.223	.273	25	10	.335	114	+11	+1	-11	-12	+19	0.8
2024	24	MLB	2 teams	656	583	121	30	1	22	61	205	6	1	0	.208	.289	.376	.665	.168	.273	31	9	.295	84	-12	+0	-4	-12	+19	-0.9
2025	25	MLB	Detroit Tigers	649	563	131	26	1	30	72	169	9	2	1	.233	.329	.442	.771	.210	.274	26	11	.329	110	+7	+0	-7	-12	+18	0.7
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	26	MLB	Detroit Tigers	94	78	15	3	0	2	15	28	1	0	1	.192	.330	.308	.637	.115	.271	30	16	.297	86	-2	-0	-3	-2	+3	-0.4
ROS	26	MLB	DET	555	479	108	23	1	22	64	146	7	2	2	.225	.325	.415	.741	.190	.269	26	12	.326	108	+5	-0	-6	-10	+16	0.4
TOT	26	MLB	DET	649	557	123	26	1	24	79	174	8	2	3	.221	.326	.400	.726	.180	.273	27	12	.322	105	+3	-1	-9	-12	+18	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	27	MLB	DET	644	557	123	26	1	25	74	134	8	2	2	.221	.321	.406	.727	.185	.245	21	11	.326	108	+6	-0	-7	-12	+18	0.5
2028	28	MLB	DET	636	550	122	26	1	25	74	134	7	1	1	.222	.322	.409	.731	.187	.244	21	12	.325	107	+5	-0	-8	-11	+18	0.4
2029	29	MLB	DET	624	539	118	25	1	24	73	133	7	0	1	.219	.320	.403	.722	.184	.243	21	12	.323	105	+4	-0	-8	-11	+18	0.1
2030	30	MLB	DET	612	528	114	24	1	23	72	132	7	0	0	.216	.318	.396	.714	.180	.242	22	12	.320	103	+2	+0	-9	-11	+17	-0.1
2031	31	MLB	DET	597	515	110	23	1	22	70	132	7	0	0	.214	.316	.390	.706	.177	.240	22	12	.316	100	+0	+0	-10	-11	+17	-0.3
2032	32	MLB	DET	578	500	104	22	0	21	67	130	6	0	0	.208	.309	.378	.687	.170	.238	22	12	.311	96	-2	+0	-10	-10	+16	-0.6
2033	33	MLB	DET	548	473	97	20	0	19	64	127	6	0	0	.205	.308	.368	.675	.163	.236	23	12	.305	92	-5	+0	-10	-10	+16	-1.0
2034	34	MLB	DET	500	433	87	18	0	17	58	120	5	0	0	.201	.302	.360	.663	.159	.234	24	12	.299	87	-8	+0	-11	-9	+14	-1.3
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8400	7303	1585	345	12	324	926	2033	98	17	12	.217	.313	.401	.714	.184	.252	24	11	.316	100	+1	-1	-107	-150	+238	-2.0
/ 162G	—			650	565	123	27	1	25	72	157	8	1	1	.218	.315	.402	.716	.184	.253	24	11	.316	100	+0	-0	-8	-12	+18	-0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	177	147	35	8	1	11	23	36	4	1	0	.238	.356	.531	.887	.293	.233	20	13	.380	149	+10	+0	—	—	+5	1.5
2021	21	AA	Erie SeaWolves	212	175	46	10	0	14	30	50	3	1	1	.263	.380	.560	.940	.297	.278	24	14	.401	165	+16	-0	—	—	+6	2.2
2021	21	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	141	109	34	11	1	5	24	28	4	3	2	.312	.453	.569	1.021	.257	.362	20	17	.434	190	+14	-0	—	—	+4	1.9
2021	21	INTL	Salt River Rafters	28	20	9	2	0	0	8	5	0	0	0	.450	.607	.550	1.157	.100	.600	18	29	.517	254	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
2022	22	MLB	Detroit Tigers	404	360	73	16	1	8	37	99	5	0	1	.203	.286	.319	.606	.117	.255	25	9	.277	70	-14	-0	-5	-10	+11	-1.8
2022	22	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	155	131	30	6	0	5	23	41	1	1	1	.229	.348	.389	.738	.160	.294	26	15	.336	115	+3	-0	—	—	+4	0.7
2023	23	MLB	Detroit Tigers	684	606	141	34	1	31	67	171	6	3	0	.233	.315	.446	.761	.213	.269	25	10	.335	114	+11	+1	-11	-12	+19	0.8
2024	24	MLB	Detroit Tigers	381	342	75	21	1	10	33	105	4	0	0	.219	.295	.374	.669	.155	.285	28	9	.300	88	-5	+0	-4	-12	+11	-1.0
2024	24	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	275	226	54	13	0	11	42	85	2	1	0	.239	.363	.442	.805	.204	.319	31	15	.355	129	+9	+0	—	—	+8	1.8
2025	25	MLB	Detroit Tigers	649	563	135	27	1	31	72	169	9	2	1	.240	.335	.456	.792	.217	.283	26	11	.349	125	+18	+0	-7	-12	+18	1.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			2118	1871	424	98	4	80	209	544	24	5	2	.227	.312	.412	.724	.185	.273	26	10	.322	104	+10	+0	-27	-46	+60	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Spencer Torkelson (OGILVIE)	26	45	55	45	60	.221/.319/.407	.186	.245	26	2	21%	11%	108	+2.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Kila Ka'aihue 2010 · MLB	26	43→50	55→60	42→30	58	.231/.324/.411	.180	.249	24	3	19%	11%	110	+2.4	.234/.322/.402	.168	.276	21	3	23%	11%	106	+2.2	.229/.316/.395	.166	.274	21	2	24%	11%	101	+1.5
✕Greg Bird 2019 · MLB	26	40→46	55	47→30	53	.215/.303/.403	.188	.249	22	3	24%	10%	99	+1.7	.213/.297/.386	.173	.267	21	4	28%	10%	92	+1.2	.184/.260/.333	.149	.236	20	1	31%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Matt LaPorta 2011 · MLB	26	46→49	54→55	41→30	51	.239/.313/.418	.178	.263	22	3	19%	8%	107	+2.2	.230/.292/.387	.157	.268	19	3	22%	7%	90	+1.0	.220/.278/.377	.157	.257	19	1	23%	6%	80	+0.2
●Wes Helms 2002 · MLB	26	45→50	56→55	48→30	50	.236/.306/.432	.195	.274	23	7	23%	9%	107	+2.2	.246/.310/.418	.172	.297	20	4	24%	7%	105	+2.1	.288/.355/.449	.162	.341	14	0	19%	8%	128	+1.6
●Enrique Hernández 2019 · MLB	27	45→55	55→60	53→45	56	.236/.319/.428	.192	.264	22	6	20%	11%	111	+2.5	.241/.315/.424	.183	.273	21	5	20%	9%	108	+2.3	.237/.314/.418	.181	.269	21	3	20%	9%	104	+1.3
✕Lance Niekro 2006 · MLB	27	47	55→60	42→30	47	.248/.300/.440	.192	.269	23	5	18%	6%	107	+2.2	.244/.287/.418	.174	.271	22	4	19%	6%	95	+1.4	.244/.280/.412	.168	.273	22	1	20%	5%	88	+0.4
●Rhys Hoskins 2020 · MLB	27	42→52	59→60	44→45	61	.228/.344/.447	.219	.258	26	4	23%	14%	128	+3.6	.236/.344/.459	.223	.277	27	4	24%	13%	130	+3.8	.239/.335/.472	.233	.276	30	3	25%	11%	127	+2.6
✕Jordan Luplow 2020 · MLB	26	48→47	55→65	46→50	50	.250/.323/.440	.190	.290	22	9	22%	9%	116	+2.8	.229/.321/.438	.209	.269	25	8	24%	11%	115	+2.8	.196/.295/.398	.202	.217	28	7	25%	11%	90	+0.5
✕Blaine Crim 2023 · AAA	26	46→48	57→55	47→40	42	.247/.299/.434	.187	.284	27	4	24%	6%	105	+2.1	.233/.300/.396	.163	.279	20	4	24%	7%	95	+1.4	.221/.294/.378	.157	.266	19	4	24%	8%	86	+0.7
●Mike Ford 2020 · MLB	28	45→50	57→60	44→30	52	.241/.314/.437	.195	.258	25	2	19%	9%	112	+2.6	.210/.286/.382	.172	.243	22	3	24%	9%	87	+0.8	.224/.307/.411	.187	.267	26	2	26%	9%	100	+0.8
●Daniel Vogelbach 2019 · MLB	26	48→50	53→60	43→40	55	.247/.329/.415	.168	.289	21	3	22%	11%	113	+2.6	.227/.337/.427	.200	.264	27	3	24%	14%	119	+3.1	.241/.360/.423	.182	.292	24	0	24%	15%	120	+1.9
●Vinnie Pasquantino 2023 · MLB	25	48→49	57→60	50→40	55	.253/.328/.453	.199	.261	25	5	15%	9%	121	+3.2	.252/.320/.443	.191	.261	23	3	14%	8%	116	+2.8	.253/.317/.449	.195	.259	25	1	14%	8%	111	+2.1
●Max Kepler 2019 · MLB	26	45→55	51→60	45→50	55	.231/.311/.402	.171	.255	18	6	18%	10%	102	+1.8	.236/.322/.453	.217	.246	27	6	18%	10%	120	+3.1	.232/.323/.469	.237	.234	31	7	18%	11%	120	+2.2
●Spencer Steer 2023 · MLB	25	42→52	53→55	44→50	46	.220/.292/.391	.171	.263	21	6	25%	8%	91	+1.1	.237/.319/.406	.169	.283	18	13	22%	9%	106	+2.2	.237/.324/.405	.168	.281	18	15	21%	10%	104	+2.1
✕Jerry Sands 2013 · MLB	25	43→46	54→60	47→45	46	.227/.292/.406	.179	.277	23	6	27%	8%	95	+1.4	.214/.281/.357	.143	.281	17	3	29%	8%	77	+0.1	.236/.302/.383	.147	.286	16	2	23%	8%	90	+0.6
✕Renato Núñez 2020 · MLB	26	44→51	55→60	44→30	44	.235/.296/.415	.180	.285	24	3	27%	7%	99	+1.7	.243/.309/.448	.205	.293	28	3	27%	7%	114	+2.7	.233/.304/.458	.225	.279	32	1	29%	7%	111	+1.4
✕Maikel Franco 2019 · MLB	26	48→57	53→55	45→40	49	.248/.298/.417	.169	.259	22	2	15%	6%	100	+1.7	.235/.290/.395	.160	.249	20	2	15%	7%	91	+1.1	.225/.266/.352	.128	.252	15	1	18%	5%	67	-0.3
●Scott Hairston 2006 · MLB	26	46→51	56→60	49→50	44	.242/.294/.433	.191	.280	24	7	24%	6%	102	+1.9	.249/.311/.447	.198	.287	25	6	22%	8%	114	+2.7	.249/.315/.457	.208	.283	26	4	22%	8%	114	+1.7
✕Jeff Clement 2010 · MLB	26	46→48	52→55	44→30	47	.235/.303/.411	.176	.279	20	3	23%	8%	101	+1.8	.228/.276/.390	.162	.285	18	4	26%	6%	84	+0.6	.220/.260/.376	.156	.278	17	1	27%	5%	69	-0.2
●Tyler White 2017 · MLB	26	47→56	50→60	43→40	52	.236/.313/.388	.153	.273	17	3	21%	9%	99	+1.7	.247/.317/.421	.174	.295	21	4	23%	8%	109	+2.4	.250/.328/.427	.176	.302	21	3	23%	9%	113	+2.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)