Spencer Torkelson

Spencer Torkelson1B Detroit Tigers

Age 26 R/R 6'1" / 220 lbs MLB HR -8% Svc 3.442 · Ctrl thru 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION558 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 109105vR 94

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP270

ISO199

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

897.0%

xAVG

100.217

POWER55

Barrel%

7111.4

Avg EV

5789.6

Bat Spd

6773.2

EYE60

Chase%

9016.9%

SPEED45

Sprint

2726.4

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%32%▼▼35% over 82 PA (30d) · proj 27%

BB%11%·11% over 136 PA (45d) · proj 11%

ISO.173▼.146 over 164 AB (60d) · proj .199xISO .181 vs .200 prior — approach backs the move

HR/BB6.1%▼5.3% over 114 BBE (60d) · proj 6.9%barrel% 12.1% vs 11.0% prior — approach does NOT back the move

BABIP.277▲.315 over 108 BIP (60d) · proj .272xBABIP .233 vs .256 prior — approach does NOT back the move

SLASH.209/.303/.382▼▼proj .226/.316/.426

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1128 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

303

825

—

wRC+

131

◀◀L

wOBA

361

314

◀L

ISO

246

171

◀◀L

BABIP

279

286

—

20.8%

29.0%

◀◀L

BB%

11.6%

9.7%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2022

Service 3.442 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.0	$0.1M	-$0.3M
2027	Arb-2	$4M	+0.8	$3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Arb-3	$6M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$0.3M		$5M	-$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	21	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	177	147	35	8	1	11	23	36	4	1	0	238	356	531	887	293	233	20	13	380	144	+9	+0	—	—	+4	1.3
2021	21	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	212	175	46	10	0	14	30	50	3	1	1	263	380	560	940	297	278	24	14	401	158	+15	-0	—	—	+5	1.9
2021	21	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	141	109	34	11	1	5	24	28	4	3	2	312	453	569	1.021	257	362	20	17	434	180	+13	-0	—	—	+3	1.7
2021	21	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	28	20	9	2	0	0	8	5	0	0	0	450	607	550	1.157	100	600	18	29	517	236	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2022	22	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	404	360	73	16	1	8	37	99	5	0	1	203	286	319	606	117	255	25	9	277	73	-13	-0	-5	-10	+9	-2.0
2022	22	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	155	131	30	6	0	5	23	41	1	1	1	229	348	389	738	160	294	26	15	336	114	+2	-0	—	—	+3	0.6
2023	23	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	684	606	141	34	1	31	67	171	6	3	0	233	315	446	761	213	269	25	10	335	113	+10	+1	-11	-12	+15	0.2
2024	24	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	381	342	75	21	1	10	33	105	4	0	0	219	295	374	669	155	285	28	9	300	89	-5	+0	-4	-12	+8	-1.3
2024	24	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	275	226	54	13	0	11	42	85	2	1	0	239	363	442	805	204	319	31	15	355	126	+9	+0	—	—	+6	1.5
2025	25	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	649	563	135	27	1	31	72	169	9	2	1	240	335	456	792	217	283	26	11	349	122	+17	+0	-7	-12	+14	1.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2118	1871	424	98	4	80	209	544	24	5	2	227	312	412	724	185	273	26	10	322	104	+10	+0	-27	-46	+46	-1.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	21	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	177	155	29	6	1	8	15	43	4	1	0	187	276	394	669	206	192	24	8	288	81	-4	+0	—	—	+4	0.0
2021	21	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	212	183	40	9	0	11	22	59	3	1	1	219	312	448	761	230	240	28	10	323	105	+1	-0	—	—	+5	0.6
2021	21	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	141	116	30	9	1	5	17	39	4	3	2	259	372	483	855	224	309	28	12	363	132	+5	-0	—	—	+3	0.8
2022	22	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	404	360	74	16	1	8	37	99	5	0	1	206	289	322	611	117	255	25	9	278	74	-12	-0	-5	-10	+9	-1.9
2022	22	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	155	138	25	5	0	3	16	49	1	1	1	181	271	283	554	101	252	32	10	254	58	-8	-0	—	—	+3	-0.5
2023	23	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	684	606	144	35	1	32	67	171	6	3	0	238	320	457	777	219	269	25	10	337	114	+12	+1	-11	-12	+15	0.4
2024	24	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	381	343	77	22	1	10	33	105	4	0	0	224	300	382	682	157	285	28	9	302	91	-4	+0	-4	-12	+8	-1.2
2024	24	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	275	240	44	10	0	10	28	100	2	1	0	183	274	350	624	167	246	36	10	278	74	-8	+0	—	—	+6	-0.2
2025	25	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	649	563	138	28	1	32	72	169	9	2	1	245	340	469	809	224	283	26	11	346	120	+16	+0	-7	-12	+14	1.1
2021	21	AA MLE	4 teams	—	558	480	103	26	2	24	56	150	11	5	3	215	311	427	738	212	249	27	10	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	AA RAW	4 teams	—	558	451	124	31	2	30	85	119	11	5	3	275	402	552	954	277	300	21	15	409	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	559	498	100	21	1	12	53	148	6	1	2	201	285	319	605	118	259	26	9	271	70	-20	-1	-5	-10	+12	-2.4
2022	22	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	559	491	103	22	1	13	60	140	6	1	2	210	303	338	641	128	265	25	11	293	70	-20	-1	-5	-10	+12	-2.4
2023	23	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	684	606	144	35	1	32	67	171	6	3	0	238	320	457	777	219	275	25	10	337	114	+12	+1	-11	-12	+15	0.4
2023	23	MLB RAW	Detroit Tigers	—	684	606	141	34	1	31	67	171	6	3	0	233	315	446	761	213	269	25	10	335	114	+12	+1	-11	-12	+15	0.4
2024	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	656	583	121	32	1	20	61	205	6	1	0	208	289	369	658	161	277	31	9	292	84	-13	+0	-4	-12	+14	-1.4
2024	24	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	656	568	129	34	1	21	75	190	6	1	0	227	323	401	724	174	298	29	11	323	84	-13	+0	-4	-12	+14	-1.4
2025	25	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	649	563	138	28	1	32	72	169	9	2	1	245	340	469	809	224	289	26	11	346	120	+16	+0	-7	-12	+14	1.1
2025	25	MLB RAW	Detroit Tigers	—	649	563	135	27	1	31	72	169	9	2	1	240	335	456	792	217	283	26	11	349	120	+16	+0	-7	-12	+14	1.1
2021	21	AA MLE	4 teams	—	558	486	103	26	2	24	56	150	11	5	3	212	311	422	733	210	242	27	10	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	559	495	100	21	1	12	53	148	6	1	2	202	285	321	607	119	254	26	9	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	684	606	144	35	1	32	67	171	6	3	0	238	320	457	777	219	269	25	10	337	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	656	584	121	32	1	20	61	205	6	1	0	207	289	368	657	161	269	31	9	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	649	563	138	28	1	32	72	169	9	2	1	245	340	469	809	224	283	26	11	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	684	606	144	35	1	32	67	171	6	3	0	238	320	457	777	219	269	25	10	337	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	656	584	121	32	1	20	61	205	6	1	0	207	289	368	657	161	269	31	9	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	649	563	138	28	1	32	72	169	9	2	1	245	340	469	809	224	283	26	11	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	26	MLB MLE	DET	—	558	487	110	25	0	23	60	174	7	0	1	226	319	419	738	193	296	31	11	323	105	+3	-0	-3	-10	+12	0.2
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	26	MLB RAW	DET	—	558	486	107	24	0	22	60	174	7	0	1	220	314	405	719	185	289	31	11	320	105	+3	-0	-3	-10	+12	0.2
YTD	26	MLB RAW	DET	—	558	486	107	24	0	22	60	174	7	0	1	220	314	405	719	185	289	31	11	320	103	+2	-0	-3	-10	+12	0.1
ROS	26	MLB MLE	DET	100%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		276	30	10	324	105	+0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
ROS	26	MLB CTX	DET	100%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		270	30	10	308	105	+0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
FULL	26	MLB A+C	DET	—	568	495	108	24	0	22	61	177	7	0	1	218	312	400	712	182	287	31	11	320	105	+3	-0	-3	-10	+12	0.2
TOT	26	MLB MLE	DET	—	568	496	111	25	0	23	61	177	7	0	1	224	317	413	731	190	293	31	11	323	105	+3	-0	-3	-10	+12	0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	DET	100%	660	576	126	28	1	28	71	194	8	1	1	219	313	417	730	198	273	29	11	323	104	+3	-0	+2	-12	+14	0.8
2028	28	MLB MLE	DET	100%	651	567	123	27	1	27	71	192	8	1	1	217	313	411	724	194	272	29	11	321	104	+3	-0	+2	-12	+14	0.7
2029	29	MLB MLE	DET	100%	638	555	120	27	1	26	70	190	8	1	1	216	313	409	722	193	270	30	11	319	102	+2	-0	+1	-11	+14	0.5
2030	30	MLB MLE	DET	100%	625	544	115	26	0	25	68	187	8	1	1	211	308	397	705	186	268	30	11	316	100	-0	-0	+0	-11	+14	0.2
2031	31	MLB MLE	DET	100%	613	534	111	25	0	24	67	186	7	1	1	208	304	390	694	182	264	30	11	311	97	-2	-0	-1	-11	+13	-0.1
2027	27	MLB CTX	DET	100%	660	576	122	27	1	26	71	194	8	1	1	212	307	398	704	186	267	29	11	307	104	+3	-0	+2	-12	+14	0.8
2028	28	MLB CTX	DET	100%	651	567	121	27	1	26	71	192	8	1	1	213	310	402	712	189	266	29	11	306	104	+3	-0	+2	-12	+14	0.7
2029	29	MLB CTX	DET	100%	638	555	117	26	1	25	70	190	8	1	1	211	308	396	704	186	265	30	11	304	102	+2	-0	+1	-11	+14	0.5
2030	30	MLB CTX	DET	100%	625	544	112	25	0	24	68	187	8	1	1	206	303	384	687	178	262	30	11	301	100	-0	-0	+0	-11	+14	0.2
2031	31	MLB CTX	DET	100%	613	534	108	24	0	23	67	186	7	1	1	202	299	376	676	174	258	30	11	296	97	-2	-0	-1	-11	+13	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5315	4656	1005	227	7	204	557	1496	63	10	7	216	308	399	707	183	268	28	10	310	100	+15	-1	-23	-103	+115	0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	569	123	28	1	25	68	183	8	1	1	216	308	401	709	185	269	28	10	310	100	+2	-0	-3	-13	+14	0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	6303	5515	1202	275	9	250	657	1795	77	17	11	218	310	407	717	189	271	28	10	317	100	+15	-1	-23	-103	+115	0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	569	124	28	1	26	68	185	8	2	1	218	311	408	718	190	270	28	10	317	100	+2	-0	-3	-13	+14	0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Carlos Penalast yr '14 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,856 PA	8.8	5,856	285	29	231	346	462	-98	-110	14.3	15.3
/162	664	32	3	-11.2	-12.5	1.6	pk7: 16
#2Chris Davislast yr '20 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,630 PA	8.5	5,630	295	19	233	315	459	-96	-102	6.3	9.8
/162	664	35	2	-11.3	-12.0	0.7	pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	9.8	6,512	260	11	221	310	411	-116	-96	8.1	8.4
/162	664	27	1	-11.9	-9.8	0.8	pk7: 9
#3Mark Trumbolast yr '18 career totals — 8 seasons, 4,372 PA	6.6	4,372	218	23	250	303	462	-58	-63	6.2	6.6
/162	664	33	3	-8.9	-9.6	0.9	pk7: 7
#4Brandon Mosslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,459 PA	5.2	3,459	160	11	238	315	455	-53	-41	5.9	5.9
/162	664	31	2	-10.2	-7.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#5Justin Smoaklast yr '20 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,750 PA	7.2	4,750	196	3	229	322	419	-85	-77	1.9	3.9
/162	664	27	0	-11.9	-10.7	0.3	pk7: 6
#6Chris Carterlast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,807 PA	4.2	2,807	158	12	219	314	462	-50	-50	3.3	3.3
/162	664	37	3	-11.7	-11.9	0.8	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Spencer Torkelson (OGILVIE)	26	45	55	45	60	218/311/412	193	276	27	1	29%	11%	105	+1.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ryan Mountcastle 2023 · MLB	26	48→54	56→55	44→40	45	249/307/434	184	300	24	5	26%	7%	107	+1.9	254/306/415	161	313	19	5	24%	7%	102	+1.5	256/305/405	150	317	17	4	24%	6%	97	+0.9
✕David Villar 2023 · MLB	26	42→43	59→60	43→40	46	227/316/441	213	294	28	4	32%	9%	113	+2.3	214/295/375	161	287	20	5	31%	9%	90	+0.6	202/283/336	134	271	17	4	31%	9%	74	-0.4
●Chris Carter 2013 · MLB	26	42→52	58→65	48→45	48	225/305/425	200	287	26	5	31%	10%	105	+1.7	225/314/456	231	293	32	5	33%	11%	116	+2.5	214/312/469	255	257	36	3	32%	11%	114	+2.2
✕Greg Bird 2019 · MLB	26	39→48	54→55	46→30	53	210/299/392	182	243	22	3	24%	10%	95	+1.0	213/295/377	164	268	20	4	27%	10%	91	+0.6	185/259/322	138	237	17	1	29%	8%	62	-0.8
✕AJ Reed 2018 · MLB	25	41→51	56→60	46→30	45	223/293/409	187	289	25	2	32%	9%	97	+1.1	199/267/365	166	272	22	3	34%	8%	77	-0.3	180/249/340	160	240	21	0	34%	7%	64	-0.9
✕Bobby Dalbec 2021 · MLB	26	38→44	57→60	42→50	42	208/289/402	194	286	27	5	36%	8%	94	+0.9	225/293/431	206	309	28	7	35%	7%	102	+1.5	214/288/415	200	301	28	9	37%	8%	94	+0.7
✕Blaine Crim 2023 · AAA	26	47→49	54→55	47→45	43	247/298/418	171	285	24	4	23%	6%	101	+1.4	232/299/389	157	279	19	4	23%	8%	95	+0.9	221/295/377	156	267	18	4	24%	8%	88	+0.4
✕Tommy Medica 2014 · MLB	26	49→52	58→60	45	44	255/319/464	210	318	25	4	28%	7%	119	+2.7	224/279/369	145	290	16	8	28%	6%	82	-0.0	207/260/328	122	269	13	9	27%	5%	63	-0.8
●Wes Helms 2002 · MLB	26	44→50	56→55	48→30	50	235/304/432	197	271	23	6	23%	9%	106	+1.8	247/311/417	170	299	20	3	24%	7%	105	+1.7	288/355/449	162	341	14	0	19%	8%	125	+1.3
✕Rowdy Tellez 2021 · MLB	26	47→49	58→60	41→45	46	250/312/450	200	290	26	4	24%	7%	114	+2.3	235/308/436	201	261	27	3	21%	9%	108	+1.9	222/300/417	195	243	27	1	21%	9%	95	+0.7
✕Ike Davis 2014 · MLB	27	43→53	56→60	45→40	57	230/325/424	194	273	24	4	25%	12%	112	+2.2	227/317/374	147	277	16	3	22%	12%	97	+1.1	220/308/349	129	270	13	0	22%	11%	85	+0.1
✕Tommy Joseph 2018 · MLB	27	45→47	56→60	43→30	44	242/290/430	188	273	25	3	22%	6%	101	+1.4	235/290/407	172	289	22	4	26%	6%	95	+1.0	226/284/412	185	268	25	0	26%	5%	93	+0.5
✕Chad Pinder 2019 · MLB	27	47→56	55→60	42→45	42	244/304/426	182	310	23	5	29%	7%	105	+1.7	247/305/430	183	302	22	4	25%	7%	105	+1.7	241/285/415	174	303	21	2	27%	5%	93	+0.5
✕Tyler Austin 2019 · MLB	27	43→53	58→60	44→45	41	228/285/431	202	303	26	4	33%	7%	99	+1.2	227/300/427	200	316	26	9	35%	9%	103	+1.6	205/301/412	208	285	29	11	37%	12%	97	+0.5
✕Kennys Vargas 2017 · MLB	26	44→52	52→55	45→30	50	229/306/389	160	287	20	2	27%	10%	97	+1.1	220/290/379	159	288	20	2	30%	8%	88	+0.5	215/280/369	155	280	20	0	30%	8%	81	-0.1
●Mark Trumbo 2012 · MLB	26	46→53	57→65	44→45	42	246/286/440	194	283	25	7	24%	5%	101	+1.4	248/300/456	208	293	29	6	26%	7%	110	+2.1	248/305/461	213	286	30	2	25%	7%	110	+1.8
●Daniel Vogelbach 2019 · MLB	26	48→51	53→60	42→40	55	247/331/417	170	287	22	3	22%	11%	112	+2.2	229/342/428	199	269	27	3	24%	14%	119	+2.7	238/357/415	177	289	23	0	24%	15%	118	+1.6
●Tyler White 2018 · MLB	27	46→56	53→60	43→40	47	240/302/409	169	283	22	5	24%	8%	100	+1.3	248/328/421	173	299	20	4	23%	10%	112	+2.2	245/340/405	160	294	17	1	21%	11%	111	+1.5
✕Matt LaPorta 2010 · MLB	25	47→49	54→55	42→30	48	244/311/427	184	271	22	4	20%	7%	107	+1.9	236/303/391	155	275	18	3	21%	8%	96	+1.0	227/295/371	144	268	17	0	21%	8%	86	+0.3
✕Chris Jacobs 2015 · AA	26	43→41	55	43→40	44	222/302/402	181	302	23	3	33%	8%	99	+1.2	219/283/337	118	313	13	4	32%	7%	76	-0.4	212/266/290	78	316	8	2	33%	6%	54	-0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps