Tyler White
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 30 | AAATOR | 443 | .292/.429/.476 | 13 | 2 | 92 | — | .228/.329/.357 |
| 2022 | 31 | AAAATL | 437 | .230/.362/.412 | 16 | 5 | 61 | — | .178/.274/.304 |
| 2023 | 32 | AAANYM | 120 | .257/.375/.356 | 2 | 0 | 57 | — | .194/.275/.250 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 22 | ROK | Greeneville Astros | — | 151 | 127 | 45 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 354 | 450 | 520 | 969 | 165 | 378 | 10 | 9 | 427 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 186 | 150 | 40 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 405 | 527 | 932 | 260 | 276 | 15 | 15 | 408 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 290 | 239 | 73 | 20 | 1 | 7 | 35 | 40 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 305 | 420 | 485 | 905 | 180 | 337 | 14 | 12 | 399 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 259 | 213 | 77 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 42 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 362 | 471 | 559 | 1.030 | 197 | 412 | 15 | 16 | 450 | 141 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 236 | 190 | 54 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 42 | 35 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 284 | 419 | 426 | 845 | 142 | 313 | 15 | 18 | 382 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | INTL | Estrellas de Oriente | — | 195 | 158 | 47 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 37 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 297 | 425 | 494 | 919 | 196 | 345 | 19 | 16 | 406 | 161 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 276 | 249 | 54 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 23 | 65 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 217 | 288 | 378 | 666 | 161 | 258 | 24 | 8 | 297 | 83 | -6 | +0 | -0 | -8 | +6 | -0.8 |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 190 | 174 | 42 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 16 | 30 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 241 | 305 | 500 | 805 | 259 | 221 | 16 | 8 | 351 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 67 | 61 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 279 | 333 | 525 | 858 | 246 | 326 | 24 | 6 | 369 | 133 | +3 | -0 | -1 | -10 | +1 | -0.8 |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 497 | 436 | 131 | 22 | 1 | 25 | 47 | 101 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 300 | 376 | 528 | 904 | 227 | 334 | 20 | 9 | 391 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 237 | 210 | 58 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 49 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 276 | 356 | 533 | 889 | 257 | 307 | 21 | 10 | 386 | 146 | +13 | -0 | -1 | -10 | +5 | 0.7 |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 313 | 255 | 85 | 18 | 0 | 14 | 46 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 333 | 450 | 569 | 1.018 | 235 | 345 | 12 | 15 | 441 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 279 | 240 | 50 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 36 | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 312 | 304 | 616 | 96 | 290 | 28 | 13 | 284 | 83 | -5 | +0 | -2 | -5 | +6 | -0.6 |
| 2021 | 30 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 443 | 353 | 103 | 26 | 0 | 13 | 80 | 73 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 292 | 429 | 476 | 905 | 184 | 331 | 16 | 18 | 401 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 31 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 437 | 357 | 82 | 13 | 2 | 16 | 70 | 88 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 230 | 362 | 412 | 774 | 182 | 255 | 20 | 16 | 346 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 32 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | — | 120 | 101 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 257 | 375 | 356 | 731 | 99 | 316 | 19 | 15 | 339 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 859 | 760 | 179 | 48 | 3 | 26 | 87 | 208 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 236 | 318 | 409 | 727 | 174 | 287 | 24 | 10 | 323 | 105 | +5 | -1 | -5 | -33 | +19 | -1.6 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 22 | ROK MLE | Greeneville Astros | — | 151 | 133 | 34 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 256 | 336 | 361 | 696 | 105 | 280 | 14 | 5 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 186 | 159 | 34 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 38 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 324 | 409 | 733 | 195 | 235 | 20 | 10 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 290 | 251 | 62 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 54 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 247 | 339 | 378 | 718 | 131 | 283 | 19 | 8 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 259 | 224 | 69 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 31 | 48 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 308 | 397 | 451 | 848 | 143 | 368 | 19 | 12 | 376 | 141 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 236 | 203 | 48 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 44 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 236 | 338 | 335 | 673 | 99 | 271 | 19 | 12 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 276 | 250 | 53 | 15 | 0 | 8 | 22 | 65 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 212 | 281 | 368 | 649 | 156 | 258 | 24 | 8 | 291 | 83 | -6 | +0 | -0 | -8 | +6 | -0.8 |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 190 | 179 | 34 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 190 | 237 | 385 | 622 | 196 | 184 | 21 | 6 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 67 | 61 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 279 | 333 | 525 | 858 | 246 | 326 | 24 | 6 | 365 | 133 | +3 | -0 | -1 | -10 | +1 | -0.8 |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 497 | 450 | 112 | 18 | 1 | 20 | 33 | 131 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 249 | 309 | 427 | 735 | 178 | 293 | 26 | 7 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 237 | 210 | 57 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 49 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 271 | 352 | 524 | 876 | 252 | 307 | 21 | 10 | 385 | 146 | +13 | -0 | -1 | -10 | +5 | 0.7 |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 313 | 270 | 75 | 15 | 0 | 12 | 31 | 51 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 278 | 369 | 467 | 836 | 189 | 292 | 16 | 10 | 361 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 279 | 240 | 51 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 36 | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 315 | 312 | 628 | 100 | 290 | 28 | 13 | 292 | 83 | -5 | +0 | -2 | -5 | +6 | -0.6 |
| 2021 | 30 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 443 | 381 | 87 | 22 | 0 | 9 | 52 | 91 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 228 | 329 | 357 | 686 | 129 | 267 | 21 | 12 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 31 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 437 | 381 | 68 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 46 | 105 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 178 | 274 | 304 | 578 | 126 | 204 | 24 | 11 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 32 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Mets | — | 120 | 108 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 275 | 250 | 525 | 56 | 259 | 24 | 9 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | ROK MLE | Greeneville Astros | — | 151 | 133 | 34 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 256 | 336 | 361 | 696 | 105 | 286 | 14 | 5 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | ROK RAW | Greeneville Astros | — | 151 | 127 | 45 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 354 | 450 | 520 | 969 | 165 | 378 | 10 | 9 | 427 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 476 | 409 | 96 | 27 | 2 | 11 | 43 | 92 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 235 | 335 | 391 | 727 | 156 | 273 | 19 | 9 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 476 | 389 | 113 | 33 | 2 | 15 | 63 | 67 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 290 | 414 | 501 | 915 | 211 | 314 | 14 | 13 | 403 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 690 | 595 | 165 | 29 | 1 | 15 | 82 | 129 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 277 | 371 | 405 | 776 | 128 | 328 | 19 | 12 | 343 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 690 | 561 | 178 | 35 | 1 | 21 | 116 | 110 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 317 | 440 | 496 | 936 | 178 | 360 | 16 | 17 | 414 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 466 | 429 | 87 | 18 | 1 | 18 | 33 | 104 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 203 | 263 | 375 | 638 | 172 | 223 | 22 | 7 | 279 | 75 | -14 | +0 | -0 | -8 | +10 | -1.2 |
| 2016 | 25 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 466 | 423 | 96 | 20 | 1 | 21 | 39 | 95 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 227 | 295 | 428 | 723 | 201 | 243 | 20 | 8 | 319 | 75 | -14 | +0 | -0 | -8 | +10 | -1.2 |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 564 | 511 | 129 | 24 | 1 | 23 | 37 | 147 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 252 | 312 | 438 | 750 | 186 | 304 | 26 | 7 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 564 | 497 | 148 | 28 | 1 | 28 | 51 | 117 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 298 | 371 | 527 | 898 | 229 | 333 | 21 | 9 | 388 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 550 | 480 | 132 | 26 | 3 | 24 | 55 | 100 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 275 | 361 | 492 | 853 | 217 | 299 | 18 | 10 | 371 | 137 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 550 | 465 | 143 | 30 | 3 | 26 | 70 | 88 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 308 | 409 | 553 | 962 | 245 | 329 | 16 | 13 | 418 | 137 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 279 | 240 | 51 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 36 | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 315 | 312 | 628 | 100 | 296 | 28 | 13 | 292 | 83 | -5 | +0 | -2 | -5 | +6 | -0.6 |
| 2019 | 28 | MLB RAW | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 279 | 240 | 50 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 36 | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 312 | 304 | 616 | 96 | 290 | 28 | 13 | 284 | 83 | -5 | +0 | -2 | -5 | +6 | -0.6 |
| 2021 | 30 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 443 | 381 | 87 | 22 | 0 | 9 | 52 | 91 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 228 | 329 | 357 | 686 | 129 | 273 | 21 | 12 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 30 | AAA RAW | Buffalo Bisons | — | 443 | 353 | 103 | 26 | 0 | 13 | 80 | 73 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 292 | 429 | 476 | 905 | 184 | 331 | 16 | 18 | 401 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 31 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 437 | 381 | 68 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 46 | 105 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 178 | 274 | 304 | 578 | 126 | 210 | 24 | 11 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 31 | AAA RAW | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 437 | 357 | 82 | 13 | 2 | 16 | 70 | 88 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 230 | 362 | 412 | 774 | 182 | 255 | 20 | 16 | 346 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 32 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Mets | — | 120 | 108 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 275 | 250 | 525 | 56 | 256 | 24 | 9 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 32 | AAA RAW | Syracuse Mets | — | 120 | 101 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 257 | 375 | 356 | 731 | 99 | 316 | 19 | 15 | 339 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | ROK MLE | Greeneville Astros | — | 151 | 134 | 34 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 254 | 336 | 358 | 694 | 104 | 280 | 14 | 5 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 476 | 411 | 96 | 27 | 2 | 11 | 43 | 92 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 234 | 335 | 389 | 725 | 156 | 264 | 19 | 9 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 690 | 596 | 165 | 29 | 1 | 15 | 82 | 129 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 277 | 371 | 404 | 776 | 128 | 322 | 19 | 12 | 343 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 466 | 428 | 87 | 18 | 1 | 18 | 33 | 104 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 203 | 263 | 376 | 639 | 173 | 228 | 22 | 7 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 564 | 515 | 129 | 24 | 1 | 23 | 37 | 147 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 250 | 312 | 435 | 747 | 184 | 297 | 26 | 7 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 550 | 480 | 132 | 26 | 3 | 24 | 55 | 100 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 275 | 361 | 492 | 853 | 217 | 298 | 18 | 10 | 371 | 137 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Dodgers | — | 279 | 241 | 51 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 36 | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 315 | 311 | 626 | 100 | 290 | 28 | 13 | 292 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 30 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 443 | 383 | 87 | 22 | 0 | 9 | 52 | 91 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 227 | 329 | 355 | 684 | 128 | 267 | 21 | 12 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 31 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 437 | 384 | 68 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 46 | 105 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 177 | 274 | 302 | 576 | 125 | 204 | 24 | 11 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 32 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Mets | — | 120 | 107 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 196 | 275 | 252 | 527 | 56 | 259 | 24 | 9 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 859 | 760 | 179 | 48 | 3 | 26 | 87 | 208 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 236 | 318 | 409 | 727 | 174 | 287 | 24 | 10 | 323 | 98 | +5 | -1 | -5 | -33 | +19 | -1.6 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 575 | 135 | 36 | 2 | 20 | 66 | 157 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 235 | 318 | 409 | 727 | 174 | 285 | 24 | 10 | 323 | 98 | +4 | -0 | -4 | -25 | +14 | -1.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4176 | 3667 | 870 | 183 | 10 | 117 | 403 | 896 | 63 | 20 | 15 | 237 | 323 | 388 | 712 | 151 | 279 | 21 | 10 | 313 | 98 | +5 | -1 | -5 | -33 | +19 | -1.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 571 | 135 | 28 | 2 | 18 | 63 | 139 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 236 | 323 | 387 | 711 | 151 | 278 | 21 | 10 | 313 | 98 | +4 | -0 | -4 | -25 | +14 | -1.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AAASyracuse Mets · 120 PAwOBA .328 → .253 (−75)K% 19.2% → 23.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.17% | ÷0.961 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.17% | ÷0.967 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.942 | 9.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.83% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.942 | 0.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.64% | ÷0.997 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.942 | 21.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.13% | ÷0.933 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.942 | 4.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.942 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.56% | ÷1.003 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.942 | 1.69% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 99, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 92, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .328 → .253; ISO .099 → .071; BABIP .316 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 437 PAwOBA .342 → .259 (−83)K% 20.1% → 24.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.14% | ÷1.002 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.02% | ÷0.998 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 10.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.92% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 0.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.96% | ÷1.018 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.952 | 15.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.83% | ÷0.966 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.952 | 3.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.74% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.952 | 0.57% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.95% | ÷0.981 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.952 | 4.04% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 104, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 100, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .342 → .259; ISO .182 → .134; BABIP .255 → .204. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAABuffalo Bisons · 443 PAwOBA .396 → .304 (−92)K% 16.5% → 20.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.48% | ÷0.965 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.06% | ÷1.024 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 11.70% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.13% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 1.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.86% | ÷1.071 | ×0.930 | ×0.985 | ×0.962 | 18.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.29% | ÷0.962 | ×0.830 | ×0.985 | ×0.962 | 7.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.985 | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.64% | ÷1.081 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 2.89% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 114, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 93, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .396 → .304; ISO .184 → .136; BABIP .331 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAAFresno Grizzlies · 313 PAwOBA .435 → .361 (−74)K% 12.5% → 16.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.46% | ÷0.982 | ×1.290 | — | — | 16.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.38% | ÷1.025 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 9.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.56% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 2.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.54% | ÷0.962 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 21.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷0.974 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 6.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.48% | ÷0.951 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 5.27% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 92, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 96, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .435 → .361; ISO .235 → .196; BABIP .345 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAFresno Grizzlies · 497 PAwOBA .385 → .316 (−70)K% 20.3% → 26.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.32% | ÷0.992 | ×1.290 | — | — | 26.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.46% | ÷1.028 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 6.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.21% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 1.19% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.78% | ÷0.978 | ×0.900 | ×0.976 | ×1.003 | 22.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.57% | ÷0.926 | ×0.810 | ×0.976 | ×1.003 | 5.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.30% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.976 | ×1.003 | 0.21% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.46% | ÷0.963 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 6.06% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 96, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 98, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .385 → .316; ISO .227 → .182; BABIP .334 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAFresno Grizzlies · 190 PAwOBA .341 → .262 (−79)K% 15.8% → 20.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.79% | ÷0.996 | ×1.290 | — | — | 20.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.42% | ÷1.008 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 6.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.900 | ×0.956 | ×1.018 | 14.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.78% | ÷1.061 | ×0.810 | ×0.956 | ×1.018 | 2.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.69% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.956 | ×1.018 | 0.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.03% | ÷1.040 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 6.89% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 100, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 99, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.956.
Result: wOBA .341 → .262; ISO .259 → .190; BABIP .221 → .184. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAFresno Grizzlies · 259 PAwOBA .441 → .376 (−66)K% 14.7% → 18.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.67% | ÷1.020 | ×1.290 | — | — | 18.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.83% | ÷0.987 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 11.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.77% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.78% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.57% | ÷0.972 | ×0.900 | ×0.990 | ×1.033 | 27.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.86% | ÷1.051 | ×0.810 | ×0.990 | ×1.033 | 8.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.57% | ÷1.021 | ×0.810 | ×0.990 | ×1.033 | 0.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.00% | ÷1.060 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 3.04% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 94, 2B 110, 3B 104, K 104, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .441 → .376; ISO .197 → .156; BABIP .412 → .368. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 236 PAwOBA .375 → .307 (−67)K% 14.8% → 18.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.83% | ÷0.964 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.37% | ÷1.003 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 12.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.85% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 0.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.45% | ÷1.022 | ×0.920 | ×0.978 | ×0.998 | 23.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.87% | ÷0.963 | ×0.840 | ×0.978 | ×0.998 | 3.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.978 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.52% | ÷1.059 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 3.41% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 104, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 93, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .375 → .307; ISO .142 → .115; BABIP .313 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).