Matt Mervis1B
Reno Aces
Age 28
L/R
6'2" / 225 lbs
AAA
HR -5%
Svc 3.000 · Ctrl thru 2028
wRC+†83
AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .268 / .392
PA350
HR16
K%32
BB%8
xwOBA.223
Barrel%8.5%
MLB%10%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
45→45
PWR
60→60
SPD
50→50
EYE
47↘40
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.3peak
2026
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status Arb-1
MLB Debut 2023
Service 3.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2028
First FA Year 2029
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Arb-1 | $0.3M | — | — | — |
| 2027 | Arb-2 | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2028 | Arb-3 | $0.7M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $-12M | $-12M | +$0.0M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A | 2 teams | 304 | 273 | 46 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 96 | 3 | 6 | 0 | .168 | .243 | .300 | .544 | .132 | .220 | 32 | 8 | .238 | 40 | -21 | +1 | +0 | -5 | +9 | -1.6 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | 4 teams | 646 | 591 | 154 | 38 | 2 | 35 | 37 | 153 | 12 | 4 | 0 | .261 | .317 | .509 | .826 | .249 | .291 | 24 | 6 | .349 | 125 | +18 | +1 | +0 | -12 | +18 | 2.6 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | 2 teams | 540 | 474 | 105 | 20 | 1 | 23 | 53 | 150 | 8 | 2 | 1 | .222 | .310 | .414 | .724 | .192 | .268 | 28 | 10 | .316 | 100 | -0 | +0 | -2 | -10 | +15 | 0.4 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | 2 teams | 378 | 339 | 61 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 28 | 134 | 7 | 4 | 2 | .180 | .257 | .316 | .572 | .136 | .253 | 35 | 7 | .256 | 54 | -20 | +0 | -0 | -7 | +11 | -1.6 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | 2 teams | 401 | 368 | 67 | 14 | 2 | 22 | 27 | 136 | 4 | 5 | 0 | .182 | .246 | .410 | .656 | .228 | .212 | 34 | 7 | .282 | 74 | -12 | +1 | -2 | -7 | +11 | -0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | ARI | 350 | 314 | 61 | 13 | 1 | 16 | 28 | 112 | 5 | 3 | 1 | .194 | .271 | .395 | .666 | .201 | .237 | 32 | 8 | .294 | 83 | -7 | +0 | -3 | -6 | +10 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB 20% | ARI | 380 | 341 | 64 | 13 | 1 | 17 | 31 | 123 | 5 | 2 | 1 | .188 | .265 | .381 | .646 | .194 | .236 | 32 | 8 | .292 | 81 | -8 | +0 | -5 | -7 | +11 | -0.9 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB 33% | ARI | 380 | 341 | 64 | 13 | 1 | 17 | 31 | 124 | 5 | 2 | 1 | .188 | .265 | .381 | .646 | .194 | .234 | 33 | 8 | .289 | 79 | -9 | +0 | -6 | -7 | +11 | -1.1 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB 43% | ARI | 365 | 327 | 61 | 13 | 1 | 16 | 30 | 121 | 5 | 0 | 0 | .187 | .265 | .379 | .644 | .193 | .232 | 33 | 8 | .285 | 76 | -10 | +0 | -6 | -7 | +10 | -1.2 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB 52% | ARI | 346 | 311 | 57 | 12 | 1 | 15 | 28 | 116 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .183 | .259 | .373 | .632 | .190 | .230 | 34 | 8 | .280 | 72 | -11 | +0 | -7 | -6 | +10 | -1.4 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB 64% | ARI | 316 | 283 | 50 | 10 | 1 | 13 | 26 | 108 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .177 | .256 | .357 | .612 | .180 | .228 | 34 | 8 | .274 | 68 | -11 | +0 | -7 | -6 | +9 | -1.6 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB 73% | ARI | 272 | 245 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 22 | 96 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .176 | .252 | .355 | .607 | .180 | .225 | 35 | 8 | .267 | 63 | -11 | +0 | -7 | -5 | +8 | -1.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4678 | 4207 | 833 | 178 | 13 | 204 | 365 | 1469 | 65 | 28 | 6 | .198 | .272 | .392 | .664 | .194 | .245 | 31 | 8 | .291 | 81 | -101 | +3 | -45 | -84 | +133 | -9.6 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 585 | 116 | 25 | 2 | 28 | 51 | 204 | 9 | 4 | 1 | .198 | .273 | .391 | .665 | .193 | .246 | 31 | 8 | .291 | 81 | -14 | +0 | -6 | -12 | +18 | -1.3 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 15 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .286 | .333 | .357 | .690 | .071 | .400 | 27 | 7 | .313 | 98 | -0 | +0 | — | — | +0 | 0.0 |
| 2021 | 23 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 289 | 245 | 50 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 36 | 66 | 3 | 6 | 0 | .204 | .312 | .367 | .680 | .163 | .236 | 23 | 12 | .305 | 91 | -3 | +1 | — | — | +8 | 0.7 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 240 | 209 | 62 | 15 | 1 | 15 | 25 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 0 | .297 | .385 | .593 | .978 | .297 | .294 | 15 | 10 | .422 | 181 | +22 | +0 | — | — | +7 | 2.9 |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 230 | 203 | 61 | 16 | 1 | 14 | 20 | 46 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .300 | .374 | .596 | .971 | .296 | .322 | 20 | 9 | .415 | 175 | +20 | +0 | — | — | +7 | 2.7 |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 108 | 100 | 35 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .350 | .393 | .650 | 1.043 | .300 | .412 | 24 | 5 | .447 | 200 | +12 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 1.6 |
| 2022 | 24 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | 68 | 61 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .262 | .328 | .590 | .919 | .328 | .208 | 12 | 7 | .390 | 157 | +4 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.7 |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 99 | 90 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .167 | .242 | .289 | .531 | .122 | .218 | 32 | 8 | .244 | 45 | -6 | +0 | -2 | -10 | +3 | -1.5 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 441 | 362 | 102 | 23 | 1 | 22 | 67 | 100 | 7 | 2 | 1 | .282 | .404 | .533 | .937 | .251 | .327 | 23 | 15 | .407 | 170 | +35 | +0 | — | — | +12 | 4.8 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 28 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .115 | .143 | .154 | .297 | .038 | .167 | 29 | 4 | .135 | -38 | -4 | +0 | -0 | -7 | +1 | -1.1 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 350 | 302 | 71 | 15 | 0 | 15 | 37 | 105 | 7 | 4 | 2 | .235 | .332 | .434 | .766 | .199 | .301 | 30 | 11 | .339 | 117 | +7 | +0 | — | — | +10 | 1.7 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 134 | 120 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .175 | .256 | .383 | .639 | .208 | .219 | 37 | 8 | .283 | 75 | -4 | +0 | -2 | -7 | +4 | -0.9 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Reno Aces | 267 | 242 | 60 | 15 | 3 | 19 | 22 | 68 | 2 | 5 | 0 | .248 | .316 | .570 | .886 | .322 | .263 | 25 | 8 | .379 | 148 | +15 | +1 | — | — | +8 | 2.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | 261 | 236 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 20 | 90 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .165 | .238 | .322 | .560 | .157 | .212 | 34 | 8 | .252 | 51 | -14 | +0 | -3 | -24 | +7 | -3.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Matt Mervis (OGILVIE) | 28 | 45 | 60 | 50 | 40 | .192/.268/.392 | .200 | .237 | 16 | 3 | 32% | 8% | 83 | +0.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Darick Hall 2023 · MLB |
28 | 40→38 | 56→55 | 45→40 | 42 | .218/.275/.408 | .190 | .260 | 25 | 5 | 27% | 6% | 89 | +0.9 | .222/.279/.381 | .159 | .276 | 21 | 4 | 27% | 7% | 83 | +0.6 | .210/.274/.337 | .127 | .266 | 18 | 1 | 28% | 7% | 66 | -0.4 |
|
✕Edwin Rios 2022 · MLB |
28 | 38→47 | 58→60 | 45→30 | 40 | .208/.278/.411 | .204 | .287 | 27 | 5 | 37% | 7% | 92 | +1.2 | .219/.287/.397 | .178 | .314 | 22 | 4 | 36% | 7% | 91 | +1.1 | .217/.288/.399 | .182 | .313 | 23 | 1 | 36% | 8% | 89 | +0.5 |
|
✕Josh Lester 2023 · AAA |
29 | 37→43 | 57→60 | 45→40 | 40 | .211/.260/.408 | .197 | .257 | 26 | 6 | 30% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .212/.257/.387 | .175 | .264 | 23 | 5 | 29% | 5% | 75 | -0.0 | .205/.249/.374 | .169 | .252 | 23 | 2 | 29% | 5% | 66 | -0.5 |
|
✕Lewin Díaz 2023 · MLB |
26 | 37→46 | 57→60 | 48→30 | 42 | .209/.263/.402 | .193 | .237 | 27 | 4 | 26% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .219/.284/.377 | .158 | .264 | 20 | 5 | 25% | 8% | 84 | +0.6 | .218/.292/.354 | .137 | .263 | 18 | 2 | 24% | 9% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
✕Daniel Palka 2021 · MLB |
29 | 39→43 | 57→60 | 43→50 | 44 | .216/.281/.405 | .189 | .275 | 26 | 4 | 32% | 8% | 91 | +1.1 | .222/.287/.396 | .174 | .277 | 23 | 5 | 28% | 8% | 90 | +1.0 | .216/.278/.385 | .169 | .267 | 24 | 3 | 28% | 8% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
●Matt Clark 2015 · MLB |
28 | 45 | 55→60 | 46→30 | 42 | .237/.292/.416 | .179 | .292 | 25 | 3 | 28% | 6% | 98 | +1.6 | .229/.283/.398 | .169 | .281 | 23 | 3 | 27% | 6% | 89 | +1.0 | .226/.284/.410 | .184 | .271 | 25 | 0 | 26% | 7% | 93 | +0.9 |
|
✕Christin Stewart 2022 · MLB |
28 | 41→45 | 54→55 | 46→45 | 42 | .218/.282/.394 | .176 | .278 | 22 | 4 | 30% | 7% | 88 | +0.9 | .211/.290/.389 | .178 | .300 | 24 | 10 | 36% | 9% | 90 | +1.0 | .185/.284/.351 | .166 | .264 | 24 | 11 | 38% | 10% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Sam Hilliard 2022 · MLB |
28 | 34→44 | 56→55 | 55 | 41 | .193/.259/.383 | .190 | .265 | 25 | 15 | 37% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 | .209/.283/.382 | .173 | .289 | 22 | 15 | 34% | 9% | 85 | +0.7 | .203/.279/.381 | .178 | .280 | 21 | 18 | 34% | 9% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Bill Rhinehart 2012 · AA |
27 | 42→45 | 55 | 44→40 | 43 | .225/.278/.410 | .185 | .269 | 24 | 5 | 27% | 6% | 90 | +1.0 | .221/.277/.374 | .153 | .276 | 18 | 5 | 26% | 7% | 80 | +0.4 | .198/.249/.307 | .109 | .254 | 11 | 1 | 26% | 6% | 46 | -1.1 |
|
●Cory Aldridge 2006 · AAA |
27 | 38→48 | 58→55 | 51→45 | 37 | .217/.256/.414 | .198 | .266 | 27 | 12 | 31% | 5% | 82 | +0.5 | .218/.269/.358 | .140 | .305 | 15 | 9 | 32% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .240/.288/.418 | .178 | .307 | 23 | 2 | 29% | 6% | 94 | +0.7 |
|
✕Brad Eldred 2008 · MLB |
28 | 35→39 | 58→65 | 48→45 | 36 | .204/.253/.403 | .199 | .253 | 28 | 10 | 33% | 5% | 79 | +0.3 | .201/.251/.395 | .194 | .257 | 27 | 8 | 34% | 4% | 76 | +0.0 | .206/.259/.420 | .215 | .256 | 30 | 9 | 33% | 5% | 82 | +0.3 |
|
✕John-Ford Griffin 2008 · AAA |
28 | 39 | 53→55 | 48→40 | 42 | .213/.267/.384 | .171 | .269 | 22 | 4 | 30% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .223/.280/.370 | .147 | .288 | 15 | 6 | 27% | 7% | 80 | +0.4 | .225/.285/.357 | .132 | .289 | 12 | 4 | 25% | 6% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Andy Wilkins 2019 · MLB |
30 | 34→44 | 54→55 | 51→45 | 42 | .192/.258/.362 | .170 | .249 | 23 | 6 | 33% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .192/.261/.346 | .154 | .301 | 20 | 6 | 41% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .130/.214/.248 | .118 | .223 | 17 | 0 | 48% | 9% | 22 | -1.3 |
|
✕Stewart Ijames 2017 · AA |
28 | 39 | 54→65 | 44→45 | 39 | .211/.271/.392 | .182 | .293 | 23 | 5 | 36% | 7% | 83 | +0.6 | .207/.269/.356 | .149 | .313 | 17 | 7 | 37% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .173/.240/.327 | .153 | .267 | 20 | 6 | 41% | 8% | 52 | -0.4 |
|
✕Cody Thomas 2022 · AAA |
27 | 38→47 | 57→60 | 48→45 | 37 | .207/.260/.407 | .200 | .291 | 25 | 5 | 38% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .228/.279/.402 | .174 | .313 | 20 | 6 | 33% | 6% | 89 | +0.9 | .240/.291/.424 | .184 | .300 | 21 | 5 | 27% | 6% | 95 | +1.2 |
|
✕Brendan Katin 2011 · AAA |
28 | 38→48 | 56→60 | 50→45 | 35 | .205/.264/.395 | .189 | .287 | 24 | 5 | 37% | 5% | 81 | +0.4 | .217/.279/.418 | .201 | .299 | 27 | 6 | 36% | 6% | 93 | +1.3 | .163/.222/.419 | .255 | .201 | 37 | 0 | 42% | 6% | 67 | -0.1 |
|
✕AJ Reed 2019 · MLB |
26 | 38→48 | 55→60 | 46→30 | 44 | .208/.276/.388 | .181 | .267 | 24 | 2 | 32% | 8% | 84 | +0.6 | .200/.266/.361 | .161 | .282 | 21 | 4 | 35% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .158/.231/.296 | .138 | .232 | 19 | 0 | 39% | 7% | 39 | -1.3 |
|
✕J.J. Matijevic 2023 · MLB |
27 | 42→41 | 56→55 | 52→50 | 41 | .221/.283/.410 | .189 | .306 | 24 | 12 | 35% | 8% | 92 | +1.2 | .215/.277/.376 | .161 | .297 | 18 | 11 | 32% | 7% | 81 | +0.4 | .197/.263/.349 | .152 | .270 | 15 | 8 | 32% | 8% | 64 | -0.6 |
|
●Ryan O'Hearn 2022 · MLB |
29 | 41→51 | 57→60 | 47→45 | 47 | .225/.292/.414 | .189 | .266 | 26 | 4 | 27% | 8% | 97 | +1.5 | .254/.307/.424 | .170 | .304 | 21 | 6 | 23% | 6% | 105 | +2.1 | .277/.344/.445 | .168 | .320 | 19 | 5 | 19% | 8% | 120 | +2.5 |
|
✕Chris Shaw 2021 · MLB |
27 | 42→44 | 54→55 | 45→30 | 36 | .221/.271/.398 | .177 | .302 | 23 | 4 | 34% | 5% | 85 | +0.7 | .195/.268/.338 | .143 | .327 | 17 | 7 | 42% | 9% | 68 | -0.5 | .128/.227/.288 | .160 | .223 | 24 | 2 | 52% | 11% | 36 | -1.0 |