Ryan O'Hearn — OGILVIE

Ryan O'Hearn1B Pittsburgh Pirates

Age 33 L/L 6'2" / 220 lbs MLB BB +7% Svc 7.012 · Ctrl thru 2027 peak 2.7 · 2026

wRC+†vL 131139vR 137

AVG/OBP/SLG.267 / .341 / .437

PA464

HR16

SB5

K%18

BB%9

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

60→60

PWR

45→45

SPD

50→50

EYE

57↘55

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.5peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2018

Service 7.012 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

OPT

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$14M	+2.7	$22M	+$7M
2027	Ext / FA-deal	$14M	+1.3	$11M	-$4M
Totals		$29M		$32M	+$3M

Options · projected decision
2028	CLUB OPT	$2025.0M / $0.0M buyout	DECLINE
2029	CLUB OPT	$7.5M / $0.0M buyout	DECLINE

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	21	ROK	Idaho Falls Chukars	293	265	72	12	1	9	23	85	1	3	2	.272	.332	.426	.759	.155	.360	29	8	.330	111	+4	-0	+0	-5	+8	0.7
2015	22	A	2 teams	537	501	104	16	0	23	29	193	2	7	2	.208	.254	.377	.631	.170	.279	36	5	.272	66	-21	+1	+0	-10	+15	-1.5
2016	23	AA	3 teams	663	618	135	30	2	23	39	238	4	3	5	.218	.269	.385	.654	.167	.312	36	6	.284	76	-18	-1	+0	-12	+19	-1.3
2017	24	AAA	2 teams	539	498	102	22	2	17	36	175	1	1	0	.205	.260	.359	.619	.155	.276	32	7	.270	65	-21	+0	+0	-10	+15	-1.6
2018	25	AAA	3 teams	639	571	121	31	3	23	56	188	7	2	0	.212	.290	.398	.688	.186	.270	29	9	.297	85	-11	+0	-2	-11	+18	-0.6
2019	26	MLB	2 teams	519	463	95	20	2	22	50	140	3	0	1	.205	.287	.400	.686	.194	.240	27	10	.298	86	-8	-0	-6	-9	+15	-0.9
2020	27	MLB	Kansas City Royals	132	113	21	6	0	2	18	37	0	0	0	.186	.298	.292	.590	.106	.253	28	14	.259	56	-7	+0	-1	-2	+4	-0.7
2021	28	MLB	2 teams	336	311	75	8	1	19	19	89	3	3	0	.241	.291	.457	.748	.215	.272	26	6	.319	102	+1	+1	-0	-4	+10	0.7
2022	29	MLB	Kansas City Royals	145	134	31	6	1	1	8	35	2	0	0	.231	.285	.313	.598	.082	.303	24	6	.268	63	-6	+0	-1	-2	+4	-0.5
2023	30	MLB	2 teams	420	395	114	26	2	16	18	99	3	5	1	.289	.325	.486	.811	.197	.346	24	4	.345	122	+10	+1	-0	-8	+12	1.6
2024	31	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	494	443	119	24	3	14	46	69	2	3	1	.269	.340	.431	.771	.163	.289	14	9	.338	117	+9	+0	-4	-9	+14	1.1
2025	32	MLB	San Diego Padres	544	474	132	23	1	15	58	109	8	3	1	.278	.367	.426	.793	.148	.331	20	11	.342	120	+12	+0	+1	-10	+15	2.0
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	33	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	96	80	26	3	0	4	13	16	1	1	0	.325	.426	.512	.938	.187	.355	17	14	.396	161	+7	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.9
ROS	33	MLB	PIT	368	324	91	16	1	13	37	67	4	4	1	.281	.362	.457	.818	.176	.313	18	10	.359	133	+14	+0	-0	-7	+10	1.8
TOT	33	MLB	PIT	464	404	117	19	1	17	50	83	5	5	1	.290	.375	.468	.843	.178	.325	18	11	.367	139	+20	+1	+0	-8	+13	2.7
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	34	MLB	PIT	417	369	100	17	1	14	41	66	4	3	0	.271	.350	.436	.787	.165	.297	16	10	.352	128	+13	+1	-5	-7	+12	1.3
2028	35	MLB	PIT	363	321	86	14	1	12	36	61	3	2	0	.268	.347	.430	.777	.162	.295	17	10	.344	121	+9	+0	-6	-6	+10	0.7
2029	36	MLB	PIT	304	269	71	12	1	9	29	54	3	1	0	.264	.342	.416	.759	.152	.293	18	10	.334	114	+5	+0	-6	-5	+9	0.2
2030	37	MLB	PIT	240	213	55	9	1	7	23	45	2	0	0	.258	.336	.408	.745	.150	.289	19	10	.324	106	+2	+0	-7	-4	+7	-0.3
2031	38	MLB	PIT	172	153	38	6	1	4	16	34	1	0	0	.248	.324	.379	.703	.131	.284	20	9	.312	97	-1	+0	-8	-3	+5	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7125	6435	1562	298	24	243	582	1784	53	40	14	.243	.311	.410	.721	.167	.296	25	8	.314	98	-14	+2	-46	-124	+202	2.1
/ 162G	—			650	587	142	27	2	22	53	163	5	4	1	.242	.310	.407	.717	.165	.296	25	8	.314	98	-1	+0	-4	-11	+18	0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	21	ROK	Idaho Falls Chukars	293	249	90	16	1	13	39	59	1	3	2	.361	.450	.590	1.040	.229	.425	20	13	.449	201	+34	-0	—	—	+8	4.3
2015	22	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	181	161	38	10	0	8	19	54	0	0	0	.236	.317	.447	.764	.211	.300	30	10	.336	115	+3	+0	—	—	+5	0.8
2015	22	A	Lexington Legends	356	314	87	11	0	19	36	87	2	7	2	.277	.355	.494	.849	.217	.321	24	10	.370	142	+17	+1	—	—	+10	2.8
2016	23	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	466	414	107	25	2	15	48	131	3	3	5	.258	.340	.437	.777	.179	.342	28	10	.346	123	+12	-1	—	—	+13	2.4
2016	23	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	98	88	31	7	0	7	8	27	1	0	0	.352	.412	.670	1.083	.318	.436	28	8	.462	212	+12	+0	—	—	+3	1.5
2016	23	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	99	86	25	4	0	1	13	26	0	0	0	.291	.384	.372	.756	.081	.407	26	13	.347	124	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.6
2017	24	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	463	413	104	26	1	18	45	119	1	1	0	.252	.327	.450	.777	.199	.309	26	10	.341	119	+10	+0	—	—	+13	2.4
2017	24	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	76	66	17	1	1	4	10	20	0	0	0	.258	.355	.485	.840	.227	.310	26	13	.370	142	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
2018	25	MLB	Kansas City Royals	170	149	39	10	2	12	20	45	1	0	0	.262	.353	.597	.950	.336	.293	26	12	.408	170	+13	+0	-2	-11	+5	0.5
2018	25	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	406	353	82	21	1	11	45	97	3	2	0	.232	.324	.391	.715	.159	.286	24	11	.319	102	+1	+0	—	—	+12	1.3
2018	25	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	63	56	10	2	0	1	4	22	3	0	0	.179	.270	.268	.538	.089	.273	35	6	.254	52	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2019	26	MLB	Kansas City Royals	370	328	64	13	1	14	39	99	1	0	1	.195	.283	.369	.652	.174	.230	27	11	.292	81	-8	-0	-6	-9	+10	-1.3
2019	26	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	149	129	38	10	1	9	17	31	2	0	0	.295	.385	.597	.982	.302	.322	21	11	.422	181	+14	+0	—	—	+4	1.8
2020	27	MLB	Kansas City Royals	132	113	22	6	0	2	18	37	0	0	0	.195	.305	.301	.606	.106	.267	28	14	.281	73	-4	+0	-1	-2	+4	-0.4
2021	28	MLB	Kansas City Royals	254	236	53	5	1	9	13	71	2	0	0	.225	.271	.369	.640	.144	.277	28	5	.282	74	-7	+0	-0	-4	+7	-0.4
2021	28	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	82	72	27	4	0	12	9	15	1	3	0	.375	.451	.931	1.382	.556	.333	18	11	.574	297	+18	+1	—	—	+2	2.2
2022	29	MLB	Kansas City Royals	145	134	32	6	1	1	8	35	2	0	0	.239	.292	.321	.613	.082	.313	24	6	.277	70	-5	+0	-1	-2	+4	-0.4
2023	30	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	368	346	100	22	1	14	15	82	3	5	1	.289	.324	.480	.804	.191	.340	22	4	.350	126	+11	+1	-0	-8	+10	1.4
2023	30	AAA	Norfolk Tides	52	48	17	4	1	4	4	14	0	0	0	.354	.404	.729	1.133	.375	.433	27	8	.483	228	+7	+0	—	—	+1	0.9
2024	31	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	494	443	117	21	3	15	46	69	2	3	1	.264	.336	.427	.763	.163	.282	14	9	.338	117	+10	+0	-4	-9	+14	1.2
2025	32	MLB	San Diego Padres	544	474	133	21	1	17	58	109	8	3	1	.281	.369	.437	.805	.156	.330	20	11	.359	133	+20	+0	+1	-10	+15	2.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			2477	2223	560	104	10	84	217	547	19	11	4	.252	.324	.421	.745	.169	.296	22	9	.330	111	+30	+1	-14	-54	+70	3.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ryan O'Hearn (OGILVIE)	33	60	45	50	55	.277/.356/.449	.173	.299	16	4	15%	10%	133	+3.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Adam Lind 2016 · MLB	33	56→61	54→60	46→40	56	.283/.356/.467	.184	.317	21	2	18%	10%	137	+4.3	.260/.320/.446	.186	.289	24	2	19%	8%	117	+2.9	.245/.296/.426	.181	.269	25	1	20%	7%	95	+0.8
●Michael Cuddyer 2012 · MLB	33	54→64	53→60	51→50	53	.274/.338/.456	.183	.298	20	8	16%	8%	126	+3.5	.283/.342/.471	.188	.320	20	11	18%	8%	132	+4.0	.297/.355/.500	.203	.336	22	11	18%	8%	139	+2.8
✕Todd Hollandsworth 2005 · MLB	32	55→56	52→55	43→50	52	.274/.339/.456	.182	.318	18	8	20%	9%	126	+3.5	.251/.304/.409	.158	.297	16	6	20%	7%	100	+1.7	.243/.288/.393	.150	.289	14	4	21%	6%	85	+0.3
✕Sean Casey 2007 · MLB	33	60→64	47→50	45→40	55	.297/.358/.440	.144	.304	14	3	8%	8%	131	+3.9	.287/.347/.392	.105	.313	7	4	10%	8%	113	+2.6	.303/.361/.392	.089	.333	3	3	9%	8%	106	+1.3
✕Yonder Alonso 2019 · MLB	32	49→57	53→55	46→45	54	.253/.328/.427	.174	.286	22	3	20%	10%	115	+2.8	.231/.314/.391	.160	.269	20	3	21%	10%	100	+1.7	.202/.300/.343	.141	.235	16	0	21%	11%	76	+0.0
✕Juan Miranda 2016 · AAA	33	55→61	52→55	45→40	55	.274/.372/.440	.167	.323	21	5	21%	10%	137	+4.3	.240/.329/.376	.136	.298	15	6	23%	9%	102	+1.9	.220/.303/.354	.134	.276	16	4	25%	9%	84	+0.2
●Matt Lawton III 2005 · MLB	33	52→62	51→50	47→55	61	.261/.352/.418	.157	.266	19	16	11%	11%	123	+3.3	.259/.351/.403	.144	.280	15	17	13%	11%	118	+3.0	.252/.355/.393	.141	.275	13	18	13%	12%	116	+2.8
✕Lyle Overbay 2010 · MLB	33	52→62	50→55	43→40	60	.259/.350/.428	.169	.298	16	2	18%	12%	124	+3.4	.243/.329/.400	.157	.292	15	3	21%	11%	108	+2.3	.233/.316/.375	.143	.284	13	1	22%	10%	90	+0.7
●Hideki Matsui 2007 · MLB	33	58→60	56→60	46→40	60	.296/.373/.495	.199	.309	23	4	13%	11%	150	+5.2	.284/.364/.471	.187	.296	22	4	12%	11%	141	+4.5	.280/.367/.474	.193	.290	24	2	13%	11%	138	+3.7
✕Jacque Jones 2008 · MLB	33	54→61	51→60	49→50	49	.272/.327/.441	.169	.307	19	10	18%	7%	118	+3.0	.245/.299/.363	.118	.295	10	7	20%	7%	85	+0.7	.219/.263/.299	.080	.289	5	4	25%	5%	49	-0.8
✕Seth Smith 2017 · MLB	34	50→56	52→60	46→50	57	.253/.343/.430	.177	.292	18	2	20%	11%	122	+3.3	.254/.337/.427	.173	.299	20	5	21%	10%	119	+3.1	.256/.340/.425	.169	.303	19	3	21%	10%	111	+1.6
●Shawn Green 2006 · MLB	33	54→60	54→65	46→50	56	.276/.352/.463	.187	.299	21	6	16%	10%	134	+4.1	.278/.345/.440	.162	.305	16	8	14%	8%	125	+3.5	.282/.347/.429	.147	.310	14	8	13%	8%	116	+2.6
●Aubrey Huff 2009 · MLB	32	55→60	56→60	49→45	54	.285/.346/.491	.206	.298	23	3	14%	8%	139	+4.4	.264/.336/.442	.178	.284	20	4	14%	9%	122	+3.3	.250/.330/.407	.157	.271	17	4	15%	10%	104	+2.1
✕Ross Gload 2007 · MLB	31	58	52→55	48→40	47	.293/.334/.463	.170	.317	18	8	14%	6%	127	+3.6	.273/.316/.404	.131	.295	12	6	12%	6%	103	+1.9	.270/.320/.386	.115	.292	9	3	11%	6%	93	+0.7
✕Alex Dickerson 2022 · MLB	32	49→54	56→55	48→45	48	.255/.326/.453	.198	.293	24	4	22%	8%	121	+3.2	.222/.282/.386	.164	.268	20	5	25%	7%	85	+0.7	.196/.249/.341	.145	.238	17	1	25%	6%	56	-0.8
✕Brian Myrow 2010 · MLB	33	53→59	49→55	44→40	54	.263/.346/.416	.153	.316	16	4	21%	10%	119	+3.1	.227/.311/.351	.124	.282	13	7	23%	10%	89	+0.9	.188/.285/.280	.092	.240	10	6	24%	10%	57	-0.7
✕Eric Hosmer 2023 · MLB	33	53→63	46→55	44→50	52	.264/.329/.393	.129	.299	14	5	17%	8%	106	+2.2	.251/.313/.379	.128	.299	14	6	20%	8%	96	+1.5	.235/.281/.329	.095	.299	12	0	25%	6%	67	-0.1
●Raul Ibanez 2004 · MLB	32	56→61	54→60	46→45	53	.286/.343/.479	.192	.303	21	6	14%	8%	134	+4.1	.289/.348/.465	.176	.313	20	5	14%	8%	133	+4.0	.288/.354/.487	.199	.314	23	1	16%	9%	131	+4.4
✕David Peralta 2021 · MLB	33	56→59	54→60	50→45	49	.284/.341/.468	.185	.328	22	4	20%	8%	131	+3.9	.260/.320/.406	.146	.312	12	4	20%	8%	105	+2.1	.253/.313/.395	.142	.302	11	3	19%	7%	93	+1.0
✕Josh Reddick 2020 · MLB	33	54→63	49→60	48→50	53	.270/.327/.417	.147	.290	16	8	14%	8%	111	+2.5	.250/.305/.382	.132	.290	14	6	18%	7%	93	+1.3	.241/.296/.362	.121	.296	11	1	21%	7%	81	+0.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)