Ryan O'Hearn — OGILVIE

Ryan O'Hearn1B Pittsburgh Pirates

Age 33 L/L 6'2" / 220 lbs MLB Svc 7.012 · Ctrl thru 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION339 act + 226 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 120123vR 125

AVG/OBP/SLG.264 / .339 / .453

PA226

HR9

K%20

BB%9

BABIP299

ISO189

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT60

Whiff%

906.5%

xwOBA

810.344

POWER45

Barrel%

457.5

Avg EV

5689.5

Bat Spd

4570.8

EYE55

Chase%

9022.3%

SPEED50

Sprint

3326.7

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1138 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

181

957

—

wRC+

123

126

—

wOBA

346

350

—

ISO

154

164

▶R

BABIP

346

306

◀L

19.9%

16.5%

▶▶R

BB%

7.2%

10.1%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2018

Service 7.012 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2027

OPT

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$6M	+1.4	$11M	+$5M
2027	Ext	$14M	+1.4	$10M	-$3M
Totals		$20M		$21M	+$2M

Options · projected decision
2028	CLUB OPT	$14.5M / $0.0M buyout	DECLINE
2029	CLUB OPT	$7.5M / $0.0M buyout	DECLINE

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	21	ROK	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	293	265	72	12	1	9	23	85	1	3	2	272	332	426	759	155	360	29	8	330	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	ROK	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	293	249	90	16	1	13	39	59	1	3	2	361	450	590	1.040	229	425	20	13	449	201	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	A	2 teams	—	537	502	106	16	0	24	28	201	2	7	2	211	256	386	642	175	291	37	5	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	A	2 teams	—	537	475	125	21	0	27	55	141	2	7	2	263	342	478	820	215	314	26	10	359	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	AA	3 teams	—	663	621	140	32	2	25	36	230	4	3	5	225	272	404	677	179	312	35	5	292	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	AA	3 teams	—	663	588	163	36	2	23	69	184	4	3	5	277	357	463	820	185	366	28	10	363	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AAA	2 teams	—	539	500	105	23	2	18	34	166	1	1	0	210	262	372	634	162	274	31	6	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	AAA	2 teams	—	539	479	121	27	2	22	55	139	1	1	0	253	331	455	786	203	309	26	10	345	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	AAA	3 teams	—	639	572	121	33	3	22	55	187	7	2	0	212	289	395	684	184	270	29	9	297	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	AAA	3 teams	—	639	558	131	33	3	24	69	164	7	2	0	235	326	434	760	199	287	26	11	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	MLB	2 teams	—	519	464	96	22	2	21	49	141	3	0	1	207	287	399	686	192	246	27	9	300	88	-7	-0	-6	-9	+15	-0.8
2019	26	MLB	2 teams	—	519	457	102	23	2	23	56	130	3	0	1	223	312	433	745	210	257	25	11	329	110	+6	-0	-6	-9	+15	0.5
2020	27	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	132	113	22	6	0	2	18	37	0	0	0	195	305	301	606	106	267	28	14	274	68	-5	+0	-1	-2	+4	-0.5
2020	27	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	132	113	22	6	0	2	18	37	0	0	0	195	305	301	606	106	267	28	14	281	73	-4	+0	-1	-2	+4	-0.4
2021	28	MLB	2 teams	—	336	311	76	9	1	19	19	90	3	3	0	244	294	463	757	219	278	27	6	324	106	+2	+1	-0	-4	+10	0.9
2021	28	MLB	2 teams	—	336	308	80	9	1	21	22	86	3	3	0	260	315	500	815	240	289	26	7	353	129	+11	+1	-0	-4	+10	1.7
2022	29	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	145	134	32	6	1	1	8	35	2	0	0	239	292	321	613	82	313	24	6	280	73	-5	+0	-1	-2	+4	-0.3
2022	29	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	145	134	32	6	1	1	8	35	2	0	0	239	292	321	613	82	313	24	6	277	70	-5	+0	-1	-2	+4	-0.4
2023	30	MLB	2 teams	—	420	395	110	24	2	16	18	100	3	5	1	278	315	471	786	192	333	24	4	335	115	+7	+1	-0	-8	+12	1.2
2023	30	MLB	2 teams	—	420	394	117	26	2	18	19	96	3	5	1	297	334	510	844	213	350	23	5	366	138	+18	+1	-0	-8	+12	2.4
2024	31	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	494	443	113	20	3	14	46	69	2	3	1	255	328	409	736	153	273	14	9	322	105	+3	+0	-4	-9	+14	0.4
2024	31	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	494	443	117	21	3	15	46	69	2	3	1	264	336	427	763	163	282	14	9	338	117	+10	+0	-4	-9	+14	1.2
2025	32	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	544	474	136	22	1	18	58	109	8	3	1	287	374	451	826	165	336	20	11	360	134	+21	+0	+1	-10	+15	2.9
2025	32	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	544	474	133	21	1	17	58	109	8	3	1	281	369	437	805	156	330	20	11	359	133	+20	+0	+1	-10	+15	2.8
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	33	MLB	PIT	—	339	306	88	13	0	16	26	74	5	1	0	288	353	487	840	199	330	22	8	363	136	+14	+0	+0	-4	+10	2.1
YTD	33	MLB	PIT	—	339	306	88	13	0	16	26	74	5	1	0	288	353	487	840	199	330	22	8	369	141	+16	+0	+0	-4	+10	2.3
ROS	33	MLB	PIT	100%	226	201	53	9	1	9	20	46	3	1	0	264	339	453	792	189	300	20	9	351	127	+7	+0	+3	-4	+6	1.3
ROS	33	MLB	PIT	100%	226	201	53	9	1	9	20	46	3	1	0	264	339	453	792	189	299	20	9	340	118	+5	+0	+3	-4	+6	1.1
FULL	33	MLB	PIT	—	565	507	141	22	1	25	46	120	8	2	0	278	348	473	821	195	318	21	8	354	129	+19	+0	+3	-8	+16	3.1
TOT	33	MLB	PIT	—	565	507	141	22	1	25	46	120	8	2	0	278	348	473	821	195	318	21	8	358	132	+21	+0	+3	-8	+16	3.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	34	MLB	PIT	100%	421	377	94	16	1	16	36	88	5	2	0	249	323	424	747	175	287	21	9	337	116	+8	+0	+1	-8	+12	1.4
2028	35	MLB	PIT	100%	367	328	80	13	1	14	31	80	5	1	0	244	319	418	736	174	278	22	8	324	107	+3	+0	-0	-7	+10	0.6
2027	34	MLB	PIT	100%	421	377	94	16	1	16	36	88	5	2	0	249	323	424	747	175	286	21	9	326	108	+4	+0	+1	-8	+12	1.0
2028	35	MLB	PIT	100%	367	328	80	13	1	14	31	80	5	1	0	244	319	418	736	174	277	22	8	314	98	-1	+0	-0	-7	+10	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3491	3129	787	142	13	123	304	761	32	15	4	252	324	423	747	172	293	22	9	329	110	+38	+1	-10	-72	+99	5.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	146	26	2	23	57	142	6	3	1	250	324	420	744	170	291	22	9	329	110	+7	+0	-2	-13	+18	1.1
Career	—			—	6275	5700	1356	263	21	228	479	1664	49	34	13	238	303	411	714	174	293	27	8	312	97	-24	+2	-10	-109	+178	3.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	140	27	2	24	50	172	5	4	1	237	302	412	714	175	291	26	8	312	97	-2	+0	-1	-11	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	21	ROK	Idaho Falls Chukars	—	293	249	90	16	1	13	39	59	1	3	2	361	450	590	1.040	229	425	20	13	449	201	+34	-0	—	—	+8	4.3
2015	22	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	181	161	38	10	0	8	19	54	0	0	0	236	317	447	764	211	300	30	10	336	115	+3	+0	—	—	+5	0.8
2015	22	A	Lexington Legends	—	356	314	87	11	0	19	36	87	2	7	2	277	355	494	849	217	321	24	10	370	142	+17	+1	—	—	+10	2.8
2016	23	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	466	414	107	25	2	15	48	131	3	3	5	258	340	437	777	179	342	28	10	346	123	+12	-1	—	—	+13	2.4
2016	23	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	98	88	31	7	0	7	8	27	1	0	0	352	412	670	1.083	318	436	28	8	462	212	+12	+0	—	—	+3	1.5
2016	23	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	99	86	25	4	0	1	13	26	0	0	0	291	384	372	756	81	407	26	13	347	124	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.6
2017	24	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	463	413	104	26	1	18	45	119	1	1	0	252	327	450	777	199	309	26	10	341	119	+10	+0	—	—	+13	2.4
2017	24	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	76	66	17	1	1	4	10	20	0	0	0	258	355	485	840	227	310	26	13	370	142	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.6
2018	25	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	170	149	39	10	2	12	20	45	1	0	0	262	353	597	950	336	293	26	12	408	170	+13	+0	-2	-11	+5	0.5
2018	25	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	406	353	82	21	1	11	45	97	3	2	0	232	324	391	715	159	286	24	11	319	102	+1	+0	—	—	+12	1.3
2018	25	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	63	56	10	2	0	1	4	22	3	0	0	179	270	268	538	89	273	35	6	254	52	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2019	26	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	370	328	64	13	1	14	39	99	1	0	1	195	283	369	652	174	230	27	11	292	81	-8	-0	-6	-9	+10	-1.3
2019	26	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	149	129	38	10	1	9	17	31	2	0	0	295	385	597	982	302	322	21	11	422	181	+14	+0	—	—	+4	1.8
2020	27	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	132	113	22	6	0	2	18	37	0	0	0	195	305	301	606	106	267	28	14	281	73	-4	+0	-1	-2	+4	-0.4
2021	28	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	254	236	53	5	1	9	13	71	2	0	0	225	271	369	640	144	277	28	5	282	74	-7	+0	-0	-4	+7	-0.4
2021	28	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	82	72	27	4	0	12	9	15	1	3	0	375	451	931	1.382	556	333	18	11	574	297	+18	+1	—	—	+2	2.2
2022	29	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	145	134	32	6	1	1	8	35	2	0	0	239	292	321	613	82	313	24	6	277	70	-5	+0	-1	-2	+4	-0.4
2023	30	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	368	346	100	22	1	14	15	82	3	5	1	289	324	480	804	191	340	22	4	350	126	+11	+1	-0	-8	+10	1.4
2023	30	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	52	48	17	4	1	4	4	14	0	0	0	354	404	729	1.133	375	433	27	8	483	228	+7	+0	—	—	+1	0.9
2024	31	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	494	443	117	21	3	15	46	69	2	3	1	264	336	427	763	163	282	14	9	338	117	+10	+0	-4	-9	+14	1.2
2025	32	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	544	474	133	21	1	17	58	109	8	3	1	281	369	437	805	156	330	20	11	359	133	+20	+0	+1	-10	+15	2.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2477	2223	560	104	10	84	217	547	19	11	4	252	324	421	745	169	296	22	9	330	111	+30	+1	-13	-54	+70	3.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kendrys Moraleslast yr '19 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,357 PA	13	5,357	213	6	265	327	453	-95	-16	14.9	15.2
	/162	664	26	1	265	327	453	-11.8	-2.0	1.8	pk7: 16
#2Josh Reddicklast yr '21 career totals — 13 seasons, 4,879 PA	13	4,879	146	61	262	321	426	-52	-8	13.1	13.0
	/162	664	20	8	262	321	426	-7.1	-1.1	1.8	pk7: 13
#3Ryan Ludwicklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,938 PA	11	3,938	150	17	261	330	451	-42	-34	11.8	12.7
	/162	664	25	3	261	330	451	-7.0	-5.8	2.0	pk7: 14
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	12	4,159	150	20	258	327	432	-74	-32	10.0	10.5
	/162	664	24	3	258	327	432	-11.9	-5.2	1.6	pk7: 11
#4Juan Riveralast yr '12 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,739 PA	10	3,739	130	17	274	324	443	-42	-22	9.5	10.4
	/162	664	23	3	274	324	443	-7.5	-3.9	1.7	pk7: 11
#5Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	11	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	4	242	316	418	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#6Mitch Morelandlast yr '21 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,536 PA	12	4,536	186	11	251	318	446	-81	-56	5.9	6.1
	/162	664	27	2	251	318	446	-11.9	-8.1	0.9	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ryan O'Hearn (OGILVIE)	33	60	45	50	55	278/348/473	195	318	25	2	21%	8%	132	+3.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yadiel Hernandez 2022 · MLB	34	50→55	55	46→45	46	261/316/438	177	310	24	7	24%	7%	113	+2.6	251/298/392	141	314	17	7	25%	6%	93	+1.3	267/312/407	140	326	16	4	23%	6%	101	+1.0
✕Garrett Jones 2014 · MLB	33	48→53	57→60	49→50	48	251/307/455	204	285	24	5	22%	7%	114	+2.7	245/303/417	172	291	19	3	22%	8%	102	+1.8	244/304/409	165	291	18	0	22%	8%	95	+0.8
✕Yonder Alonso 2019 · MLB	32	49→59	55	46→45	54	258/333/443	185	291	24	3	21%	10%	121	+3.2	225/309/379	154	263	19	4	21%	10%	95	+1.4	184/284/308	124	214	14	0	21%	11%	62	-0.6
✕Alex Dickerson 2022 · MLB	32	50→55	58→60	48→45	48	263/333/474	211	301	26	4	22%	8%	130	+3.8	225/284/391	166	272	20	5	25%	7%	88	+0.9	196/249/345	149	237	17	1	25%	6%	58	-0.8
✕Juan Miranda 2016 · AAA	33	52→60	51→50	45→40	53	260/359/415	155	312	19	5	22%	10%	125	+3.5	234/321/368	134	293	15	7	24%	9%	98	+1.6	215/297/347	132	272	16	4	26%	9%	79	+0.1
✕Todd Hollandsworth 2005 · MLB	32	55→56	53→55	43→50	52	275/341/459	184	317	19	7	20%	9%	128	+3.7	249/301/408	159	295	16	6	20%	7%	98	+1.6	243/288/393	150	289	14	4	21%	6%	85	+0.3
●Adam Lind 2016 · MLB	33	57→60	53→60	46→40	56	287/361/471	184	323	20	2	18%	10%	139	+4.4	259/318/442	183	289	24	2	19%	8%	115	+2.7	244/294/418	174	270	24	1	20%	7%	93	+0.7
●Charlie Blackmon 2019 · MLB	33	52→57	54→60	50→55	51	265/334/448	183	297	21	12	19%	8%	123	+3.3	257/322/422	165	289	18	6	17%	8%	111	+2.5	251/321/403	152	281	16	3	16%	8%	101	+1.5
✕Seth Smith 2017 · MLB	34	51→56	53→55	46→50	56	256/346/440	183	297	19	2	20%	11%	125	+3.5	251/333/421	170	295	20	5	21%	10%	115	+2.8	247/332/411	163	291	19	3	21%	10%	107	+1.4
✕Jeff Liefer 2008 · MLB	33	49→52	54→60	48→30	44	253/300/432	179	295	21	8	22%	6%	105	+2.1	220/276/346	126	302	13	9	30%	7%	72	-0.2	195/253/303	108	270	10	3	30%	7%	51	-0.4
✕Jose Ruiz 2017 · AAA	32	52→62	54→55	45	47	271/318/444	173	292	23	9	17%	6%	115	+2.8	245/284/389	144	287	18	9	21%	5%	86	+0.8	240/274/364	124	289	16	6	22%	4%	73	-0.1
✕Ricky Ledee 2006 · MLB	32	51→47	52→60	50	53	256/332/430	174	300	19	5	21%	10%	117	+2.9	232/292/376	144	280	16	5	23%	7%	86	+0.8	215/269/337	122	265	15	2	25%	6%	65	-0.4
●Roberto Mendez 2006 · AAA	33	56→59	54→50	43→45	57	282/360/464	182	317	21	6	18%	11%	137	+4.3	270/354/413	143	312	16	8	18%	12%	121	+3.2	264/355/389	124	304	14	8	17%	12%	115	+1.8
✕John Mabry 2004 · MLB	33	47	54→60	46→30	52	244/320/425	181	272	21	5	20%	9%	111	+2.5	251/319/424	173	298	21	3	22%	9%	111	+2.5	242/310/404	162	290	20	0	23%	9%	96	+0.6
●Michael Cuddyer 2012 · MLB	33	55→58	52→60	51→50	53	276/339/452	176	302	19	9	16%	8%	126	+3.5	265/326/434	169	300	18	11	18%	8%	115	+2.8	278/334/433	155	322	17	8	19%	7%	115	+1.8
●Tino Martinez 2002 · MLB	34	52→54	57→55	43→40	52	270/327/467	197	275	25	3	13%	7%	125	+3.5	266/341/446	180	277	22	3	13%	10%	125	+3.5	262/350/437	174	273	21	3	13%	11%	116	+2.6
✕David Peralta 2021 · MLB	33	55→62	52→60	51→45	49	278/335/450	172	326	19	4	21%	8%	124	+3.4	257/317/405	148	308	12	4	20%	8%	104	+2.0	253/313/398	145	302	11	3	19%	7%	96	+1.2
●Asdrúbal Cabrera 2019 · MLB	33	52→62	53→55	44→50	50	267/327/446	179	298	21	3	18%	8%	120	+3.1	250/324/425	175	290	20	4	20%	10%	112	+2.6	241/324/407	166	282	18	3	21%	10%	104	+1.2
●Lee Stevens 2001 · MLB	34	50→51	58→60	47→30	52	263/334/471	208	297	25	3	21%	9%	129	+3.7	238/327/432	194	281	23	3	23%	11%	116	+2.8	226/324/417	191	265	23	2	24%	12%	101	+1.6
✕Rob Refsnyder 2023 · MLB	32	53→60	50	48→50	50	258/343/417	159	330	18	7	26%	10%	119	+3.1	255/344/405	150	322	16	10	24%	10%	116	+2.8	255/349/406	151	320	16	9	24%	11%	114	+1.1