Blaine Crim
1B Round Rock Express| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27 | AAATEX | 586 | .277/.373/.469 | 20 | 7 | 93 | — | .240/.309/.391 |
| 2025 | 28 | AAACOL | 492 | .281/.372/.494 | 21 | 4 | 80 | — | .221/.286/.366 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLBCOL | 74 | .200/.278/.462 | 5 | 0 | 87 | -1.1 | |
| 2026 | 29 | AAATEX | 252 | .265/.344/.453 | 10 | 2 | 68 | — | .211/.268/.345 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 30 | MLBTEX | 16 | .252/.315/.446 | 1 | 0 | 109 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ33% MLB | 31 | MLBTEX | 174 | .247/.310/.433 | 7 | 0 | 104 | 0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ46% MLB | 32 | MLBTEX | 237 | .241/.303/.418 | 9 | 0 | 99 | -0.1 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 148 | 139 | 40 | 6 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 288 | 331 | 525 | 856 | 237 | 326 | 24 | 5 | 374 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | — | 304 | 270 | 81 | 10 | 0 | 20 | 21 | 64 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 300 | 374 | 559 | 933 | 259 | 324 | 21 | 7 | 406 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | INTL | Indios de Mayaguez | — | 115 | 101 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 406 | 464 | 594 | 1.058 | 188 | 422 | 10 | 6 | 454 | 193 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 57 | 54 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 278 | 304 | 296 | 600 | 19 | 357 | 23 | 4 | 269 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 531 | 461 | 136 | 26 | 0 | 24 | 49 | 82 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 295 | 373 | 508 | 880 | 213 | 304 | 15 | 9 | 379 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 582 | 494 | 143 | 31 | 5 | 22 | 71 | 107 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 289 | 390 | 506 | 896 | 217 | 325 | 18 | 12 | 391 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 68 | 56 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 196 | 328 | 339 | 668 | 143 | 265 | 31 | 16 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 586 | 505 | 140 | 33 | 2 | 20 | 70 | 101 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 277 | 373 | 469 | 842 | 192 | 309 | 17 | 12 | 372 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 74 | 65 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 278 | 462 | 739 | 262 | 235 | 38 | 8 | 315 | 87 | -1 | +0 | -1 | -10 | +2 | -1.1 |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 492 | 427 | 120 | 26 | 1 | 21 | 56 | 90 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 281 | 372 | 494 | 866 | 213 | 310 | 18 | 11 | 381 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 252 | 223 | 59 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 53 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 265 | 344 | 453 | 797 | 188 | 302 | 21 | 11 | 351 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 74 | 65 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 278 | 462 | 739 | 262 | 235 | 38 | 8 | 315 | 99 | -0 | +0 | -1 | -10 | +2 | -1.0 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 148 | 142 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 41 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 264 | 394 | 658 | 162 | 284 | 28 | 3 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 304 | 276 | 66 | 7 | 0 | 17 | 15 | 87 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 239 | 305 | 449 | 754 | 210 | 275 | 29 | 5 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 57 | 55 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 255 | 268 | 273 | 541 | 18 | 346 | 26 | 2 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 531 | 476 | 122 | 21 | 0 | 22 | 34 | 99 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 256 | 317 | 439 | 756 | 183 | 263 | 19 | 6 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 582 | 516 | 126 | 25 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 133 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 244 | 322 | 399 | 721 | 155 | 291 | 23 | 8 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 586 | 529 | 127 | 28 | 2 | 16 | 46 | 113 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 240 | 309 | 391 | 701 | 151 | 273 | 19 | 8 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 74 | 65 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 185 | 264 | 400 | 664 | 215 | 235 | 38 | 8 | 297 | 87 | -1 | +0 | -1 | -10 | +2 | -1.1 |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 492 | 448 | 99 | 21 | 1 | 14 | 35 | 114 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 221 | 286 | 366 | 652 | 145 | 258 | 23 | 7 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 252 | 232 | 49 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 64 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 211 | 268 | 345 | 613 | 134 | 255 | 25 | 7 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 567 | 521 | 125 | 15 | 0 | 30 | 24 | 161 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 240 | 295 | 441 | 737 | 202 | 284 | 28 | 4 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 567 | 510 | 162 | 24 | 1 | 32 | 35 | 110 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 318 | 381 | 557 | 938 | 239 | 349 | 19 | 6 | 407 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 588 | 531 | 137 | 22 | 0 | 22 | 35 | 115 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 258 | 314 | 424 | 737 | 166 | 282 | 20 | 6 | 317 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 588 | 515 | 151 | 27 | 0 | 24 | 51 | 95 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 293 | 366 | 485 | 851 | 192 | 310 | 16 | 9 | 368 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 650 | 577 | 141 | 28 | 6 | 17 | 55 | 149 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 244 | 321 | 402 | 723 | 158 | 296 | 23 | 8 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 650 | 550 | 154 | 33 | 5 | 24 | 82 | 128 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 280 | 383 | 489 | 872 | 209 | 320 | 20 | 13 | 382 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 586 | 529 | 127 | 28 | 2 | 16 | 46 | 113 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 240 | 309 | 391 | 701 | 151 | 275 | 19 | 8 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA RAW | Round Rock Express | — | 586 | 505 | 140 | 33 | 2 | 20 | 70 | 101 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 277 | 373 | 469 | 842 | 192 | 309 | 17 | 12 | 372 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 566 | 513 | 110 | 22 | 1 | 19 | 41 | 142 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 214 | 282 | 372 | 654 | 158 | 255 | 25 | 7 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 566 | 492 | 133 | 28 | 1 | 26 | 62 | 118 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 270 | 360 | 490 | 850 | 220 | 303 | 21 | 11 | 372 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 252 | 232 | 49 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 64 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 211 | 268 | 345 | 613 | 134 | 258 | 25 | 7 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA RAW | Round Rock Express | — | 252 | 223 | 59 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 53 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 265 | 344 | 453 | 797 | 188 | 302 | 21 | 11 | 351 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 567 | 521 | 125 | 15 | 0 | 30 | 24 | 161 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 240 | 295 | 441 | 737 | 202 | 278 | 28 | 4 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 588 | 540 | 137 | 22 | 0 | 22 | 35 | 115 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 254 | 314 | 417 | 730 | 163 | 271 | 20 | 6 | 317 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 650 | 580 | 141 | 28 | 6 | 17 | 55 | 149 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 243 | 321 | 400 | 721 | 157 | 291 | 23 | 8 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 586 | 528 | 127 | 28 | 2 | 16 | 46 | 113 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 241 | 309 | 392 | 701 | 152 | 273 | 19 | 8 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 566 | 513 | 110 | 22 | 1 | 19 | 41 | 142 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 214 | 282 | 372 | 654 | 158 | 255 | 25 | 7 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 252 | 232 | 49 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 64 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 211 | 268 | 345 | 613 | 134 | 255 | 25 | 7 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 27 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 586 | 528 | 127 | 28 | 2 | 16 | 46 | 113 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 241 | 309 | 392 | 701 | 152 | 273 | 19 | 8 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 566 | 513 | 110 | 22 | 1 | 19 | 41 | 142 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 214 | 282 | 372 | 654 | 158 | 255 | 25 | 7 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 29 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 252 | 232 | 49 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 64 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 211 | 268 | 345 | 613 | 134 | 255 | 25 | 7 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB MLE | TEX | 10% | 302 | 274 | 69 | 13 | 1 | 12 | 23 | 71 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 250 | 313 | 436 | 749 | 185 | 294 | 24 | 8 | 329 | 109 | +3 | +0 | -0 | -5 | +7 | 0.3 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB CTX | TEX | 10% | 16 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 252 | 315 | 446 | 760 | 193 | 293 | 25 | 6 | 334 | 109 | +0 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 31 | MLB MLE | TEX | 33% | 532 | 484 | 119 | 23 | 2 | 20 | 39 | 127 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 245 | 308 | 424 | 731 | 178 | 290 | 24 | 7 | 322 | 104 | +3 | -0 | -3 | -10 | +12 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB MLE | TEX | 46% | 517 | 470 | 112 | 21 | 2 | 18 | 38 | 126 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 239 | 301 | 409 | 710 | 169 | 285 | 24 | 7 | 314 | 99 | -1 | -0 | -4 | -9 | +11 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB CTX | TEX | 33% | 174 | 158 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 247 | 310 | 433 | 743 | 186 | 289 | 24 | 7 | 327 | 104 | +1 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB CTX | TEX | 46% | 237 | 216 | 52 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 58 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 241 | 303 | 418 | 721 | 176 | 285 | 24 | 7 | 318 | 99 | -0 | +0 | -2 | -4 | +5 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 485 | 439 | 104 | 18 | 2 | 21 | 36 | 128 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 237 | 301 | 431 | 731 | 194 | 282 | 26 | 7 | 321 | 95 | +0 | +0 | -4 | -17 | +11 | -1.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 588 | 139 | 24 | 3 | 28 | 48 | 172 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 236 | 299 | 430 | 729 | 194 | 282 | 26 | 7 | 321 | 95 | +1 | +0 | -5 | -23 | +14 | -1.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4413 | 3998 | 956 | 174 | 15 | 155 | 308 | 1034 | 58 | 22 | 7 | 239 | 303 | 406 | 709 | 167 | 281 | 23 | 7 | 309 | 95 | +3 | -0 | -8 | -32 | +28 | -0.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 589 | 141 | 26 | 2 | 23 | 45 | 152 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 239 | 304 | 407 | 711 | 168 | 280 | 23 | 7 | 309 | 95 | +2 | -0 | -4 | -16 | +14 | -0.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAARound Rock Express · 252 PAwOBA .345 → .268 (−76)K% 21.0% → 25.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.03% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 7.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.962 | ×0.982 | 19.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.962 | ×0.982 | 4.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.962 | ×0.982 | 0.54% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 4.04% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.
Result: wOBA .345 → .268; ISO .188 → .136; BABIP .302 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 492 PAwOBA .370 → .287 (−84)K% 18.3% → 23.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.29% | ÷0.945 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.57% | ÷1.019 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 7.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.22% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.14% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.36% | ÷1.047 | ×0.930 | ×0.987 | ×0.992 | 18.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.72% | ÷1.029 | ×0.830 | ×0.987 | ×0.992 | 6.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.30% | ÷1.028 | ×0.970 | ×0.987 | ×0.992 | 0.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.23% | ÷1.017 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 4.26% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 109, 2B 106, 3B 106, K 89, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.
Result: wOBA .370 → .287; ISO .213 → .153; BABIP .310 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAARound Rock Express · 586 PAwOBA .365 → .305 (−60)K% 17.2% → 19.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.24% | ÷1.069 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.95% | ÷1.040 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 7.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.19% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.13% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.04% | ÷0.989 | ×0.930 | ×0.976 | ×1.003 | 19.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.17% | ÷0.987 | ×0.830 | ×0.976 | ×1.003 | 6.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.50% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.976 | ×1.003 | 0.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.95% | ÷0.928 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 3.75% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 98, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 114, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .365 → .305; ISO .192 → .156; BABIP .309 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAARound Rock Express · 582 PAwOBA .384 → .317 (−67)K% 18.4% → 22.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.38% | ÷0.964 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.86% | ÷0.991 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 8.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.72% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.96% | ÷0.993 | ×0.930 | ×0.988 | ×1.018 | 20.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.01% | ÷1.044 | ×0.830 | ×0.988 | ×1.018 | 6.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.29% | ÷0.918 | ×0.970 | ×0.988 | ×1.018 | 1.37% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.68% | ÷1.035 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 3.91% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 99, 2B 109, 3B 84, K 93, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .384 → .317; ISO .217 → .165; BABIP .325 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 531 PAwOBA .378 → .324 (−54)K% 15.4% → 18.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.44% | ÷1.010 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.23% | ÷1.012 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 6.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.51% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 1.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.69% | ÷1.003 | ×0.920 | ×0.974 | ×0.998 | 20.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.86% | ÷1.030 | ×0.840 | ×0.974 | ×0.998 | 5.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.974 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.33% | ÷0.915 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 5.53% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 101, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 102, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .378 → .324; ISO .213 → .187; BABIP .304 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAARound Rock Express · 57 PAwOBA .267 → .248 (−19)K% 22.8% → 27.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.81% | ÷1.015 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.51% | ÷0.997 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 2.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 34.15% | ÷0.986 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.033 | 33.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.44% | ÷0.938 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.033 | 2.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.957 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 97, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 103, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .267 → .248; ISO .019 → .017; BABIP .357 → .346. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Hickory Crawdads · 304 PAwOBA .396 → .322 (−73)K% 21.1% → 28.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.05% | ÷0.990 | ×1.350 | — | — | 28.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.58% | ÷0.964 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 4.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.62% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 2.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.76% | ÷1.024 | ×0.910 | ×0.997 | ×0.988 | 21.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.85% | ÷1.091 | ×0.830 | ×0.997 | ×0.988 | 3.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | ×0.997 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.71% | ÷0.881 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 9.04% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 105, 2B 118, 3B 80, K 98, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.
Result: wOBA .396 → .322; ISO .259 → .220; BABIP .324 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 148 PAwOBA .363 → .285 (−78)K% 23.6% → 27.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.65% | ÷1.044 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.73% | ÷1.098 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.012 | 3.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.35% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.04% | ÷1.006 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 21.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.77% | ÷0.957 | ×0.870 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 5.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.995 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.65% | ÷1.114 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 6.13% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 101, 2B 91, 3B 99, K 109, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .363 → .285; ISO .237 → .170; BABIP .326 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .