Tyler Moore
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 28 | MLBWSH | 200 | .203/.251/.364 | 6 | 0 | 65 | -1.4 | ||
| 2016 | 29 | AAAGwinnett Brav… | 106 | .229/.282/.375 | 3 | 0 | 38 | — | .184/.223/.286 | |
| 2017 | 30 | AAANew Orleans B… | 46 | .231/.348/.359 | 1 | 0 | 51 | — | .195/.283/.317 | |
| 2017 | 30 | MLBMIA | 203 | .230/.273/.401 | 6 | 0 | 92 | -0.1 | ||
| 2018 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2019 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 38 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 39 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 22 | A | Hagerstown Suns | — | 477 | 421 | 125 | 30 | 3 | 9 | 40 | 111 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 297 | 369 | 447 | 815 | 150 | 375 | 23 | 8 | 358 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A+ | Potomac Nationals | — | 553 | 502 | 135 | 43 | 3 | 31 | 40 | 125 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 269 | 325 | 552 | 877 | 283 | 295 | 23 | 7 | 373 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 561 | 519 | 140 | 35 | 4 | 31 | 30 | 139 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 270 | 317 | 532 | 849 | 262 | 307 | 25 | 5 | 365 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | MLB | Washington Nationals | — | 171 | 156 | 41 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 263 | 327 | 513 | 840 | 250 | 310 | 27 | 8 | 367 | 134 | +7 | +1 | -3 | -3 | +4 | 0.5 |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 115 | 101 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 307 | 381 | 653 | 1.034 | 347 | 324 | 23 | 10 | 435 | 139 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | MLB | Washington Nationals | — | 178 | 167 | 37 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 58 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 261 | 347 | 609 | 126 | 311 | 33 | 4 | 269 | 65 | -7 | +0 | -7 | -4 | +4 | -1.5 |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 200 | 173 | 55 | 14 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 39 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 318 | 401 | 584 | 985 | 266 | 354 | 20 | 12 | 422 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | MLB | Washington Nationals | — | 100 | 91 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 300 | 385 | 685 | 154 | 293 | 29 | 7 | 308 | 94 | -1 | +0 | -2 | -10 | +2 | -1.0 |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 354 | 302 | 80 | 21 | 0 | 10 | 47 | 77 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 265 | 369 | 434 | 803 | 169 | 323 | 22 | 13 | 359 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | INTL | Toros del Este | — | 98 | 77 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 299 | 438 | 584 | 1.022 | 286 | 321 | 20 | 18 | 436 | 181 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | MLB | Washington Nationals | — | 200 | 187 | 38 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 45 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 203 | 251 | 364 | 615 | 160 | 234 | 22 | 6 | 272 | 65 | -8 | +0 | -5 | -4 | +4 | -1.4 |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 18 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 278 | 278 | 556 | 833 | 278 | 364 | 33 | 0 | 359 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA | Gwinnett Braves | — | 106 | 96 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 229 | 282 | 375 | 657 | 146 | 284 | 26 | 7 | 285 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | MLB | Miami Marlins | — | 203 | 187 | 43 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 273 | 401 | 674 | 171 | 287 | 28 | 5 | 291 | 92 | -2 | +0 | +1 | -4 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA | New Orleans Baby Cakes | — | 46 | 39 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 348 | 359 | 707 | 128 | 296 | 24 | 15 | 325 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 852 | 788 | 180 | 46 | 0 | 30 | 50 | 234 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 228 | 280 | 401 | 681 | 173 | 283 | 27 | 6 | 299 | 89 | -12 | +1 | -17 | -25 | +18 | -3.6 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 22 | A MLE | Hagerstown Suns | — | 477 | 435 | 101 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 149 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 232 | 288 | 345 | 633 | 113 | 317 | 31 | 5 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 553 | 516 | 105 | 29 | 2 | 27 | 26 | 181 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 203 | 244 | 424 | 669 | 221 | 241 | 33 | 5 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 561 | 529 | 123 | 29 | 4 | 25 | 20 | 167 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 233 | 268 | 444 | 713 | 212 | 278 | 30 | 4 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 171 | 156 | 41 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 263 | 327 | 513 | 840 | 250 | 310 | 27 | 8 | 366 | 134 | +7 | +1 | -3 | -3 | +4 | 0.5 |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 115 | 104 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 32 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 269 | 327 | 567 | 895 | 298 | 286 | 28 | 8 | 373 | 139 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 178 | 168 | 37 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 58 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 256 | 345 | 601 | 125 | 311 | 33 | 4 | 264 | 65 | -7 | +0 | -7 | -4 | +4 | -1.5 |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 200 | 179 | 49 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 48 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 274 | 340 | 503 | 843 | 229 | 310 | 24 | 8 | 360 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 100 | 91 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 300 | 385 | 685 | 154 | 293 | 29 | 7 | 308 | 94 | -1 | +0 | -2 | -10 | +2 | -1.0 |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 354 | 315 | 67 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 96 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 213 | 295 | 340 | 635 | 127 | 272 | 27 | 10 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | MLB MLE | Washington Nationals | — | 200 | 189 | 38 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 45 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 201 | 241 | 360 | 601 | 159 | 234 | 22 | 4 | 264 | 65 | -8 | +0 | -5 | -4 | +4 | -1.4 |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 18 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 222 | 444 | 667 | 222 | 296 | 39 | 0 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 106 | 98 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 184 | 223 | 286 | 509 | 102 | 234 | 30 | 5 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 203 | 187 | 44 | 15 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 278 | 412 | 690 | 176 | 287 | 28 | 5 | 304 | 92 | -2 | +0 | +1 | -4 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Baby Cakes | — | 46 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 195 | 283 | 317 | 600 | 122 | 253 | 33 | 11 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A MLE | Hagerstown Suns | — | 477 | 435 | 101 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 149 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 232 | 288 | 345 | 633 | 113 | 328 | 31 | 5 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A RAW | Hagerstown Suns | — | 477 | 421 | 125 | 30 | 3 | 9 | 40 | 111 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 297 | 369 | 447 | 815 | 150 | 375 | 23 | 8 | 358 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 553 | 516 | 105 | 29 | 2 | 27 | 26 | 181 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 203 | 244 | 424 | 669 | 221 | 248 | 33 | 5 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A+ RAW | Potomac Nationals | — | 553 | 502 | 135 | 43 | 3 | 31 | 40 | 125 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 269 | 325 | 552 | 877 | 283 | 295 | 23 | 7 | 373 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 561 | 529 | 123 | 29 | 4 | 25 | 20 | 167 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 233 | 268 | 444 | 713 | 212 | 286 | 30 | 4 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA RAW | Harrisburg Senators | — | 561 | 519 | 140 | 35 | 4 | 31 | 30 | 139 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 270 | 317 | 532 | 849 | 262 | 307 | 25 | 5 | 365 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 286 | 260 | 69 | 14 | 1 | 18 | 23 | 78 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 265 | 327 | 535 | 862 | 269 | 307 | 27 | 8 | 369 | 136 | +12 | +1 | -3 | -3 | +6 | 1.3 |
| 2012 | 25 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 286 | 257 | 72 | 15 | 1 | 19 | 26 | 72 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 280 | 349 | 568 | 917 | 288 | 315 | 25 | 9 | 394 | 136 | +12 | +1 | -3 | -3 | +6 | 1.3 |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 378 | 347 | 85 | 20 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 106 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 245 | 298 | 421 | 718 | 176 | 310 | 28 | 6 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 378 | 340 | 92 | 23 | 1 | 14 | 31 | 97 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 271 | 335 | 468 | 803 | 197 | 335 | 26 | 8 | 350 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 552 | 493 | 107 | 22 | 0 | 15 | 49 | 151 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 217 | 296 | 353 | 649 | 136 | 278 | 27 | 9 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 552 | 470 | 124 | 27 | 0 | 20 | 72 | 126 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 264 | 369 | 449 | 818 | 185 | 317 | 23 | 13 | 363 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 218 | 207 | 42 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 203 | 240 | 367 | 607 | 164 | 235 | 24 | 4 | 263 | 64 | -9 | +0 | -5 | -4 | +5 | -1.4 |
| 2015 | 28 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 218 | 205 | 43 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 51 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 210 | 253 | 380 | 634 | 171 | 243 | 23 | 5 | 279 | 64 | -9 | +0 | -5 | -4 | +5 | -1.4 |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 106 | 98 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 184 | 223 | 286 | 509 | 102 | 242 | 30 | 5 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA RAW | Gwinnett Braves | — | 106 | 96 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 229 | 282 | 375 | 657 | 146 | 284 | 26 | 7 | 285 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 249 | 228 | 52 | 17 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 71 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 228 | 279 | 395 | 673 | 167 | 292 | 29 | 6 | 293 | 84 | -5 | +0 | +1 | -4 | +5 | -0.3 |
| 2017 | 30 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 249 | 226 | 52 | 16 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 67 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 287 | 394 | 681 | 164 | 288 | 27 | 7 | 297 | 84 | -5 | +0 | +1 | -4 | +5 | -0.3 |
| 2009 | 22 | A MLE | Hagerstown Suns | — | 477 | 440 | 101 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 149 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 230 | 288 | 341 | 629 | 111 | 317 | 31 | 5 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 553 | 520 | 105 | 29 | 2 | 27 | 26 | 181 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 202 | 244 | 421 | 666 | 219 | 241 | 33 | 5 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 561 | 530 | 123 | 29 | 4 | 25 | 20 | 167 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 232 | 268 | 443 | 712 | 211 | 278 | 30 | 4 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 286 | 260 | 69 | 14 | 1 | 18 | 23 | 78 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 265 | 327 | 535 | 862 | 269 | 300 | 27 | 8 | 369 | 136 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 378 | 349 | 85 | 20 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 106 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 244 | 298 | 418 | 716 | 175 | 311 | 28 | 6 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 552 | 492 | 107 | 22 | 0 | 15 | 49 | 151 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 217 | 296 | 354 | 649 | 136 | 277 | 27 | 9 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 218 | 206 | 42 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 240 | 369 | 609 | 165 | 239 | 24 | 4 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Braves | — | 106 | 100 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 180 | 223 | 280 | 503 | 100 | 234 | 30 | 5 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 249 | 231 | 52 | 17 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 71 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 279 | 390 | 668 | 165 | 281 | 29 | 6 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 852 | 788 | 180 | 46 | 0 | 30 | 50 | 234 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 228 | 280 | 401 | 681 | 173 | 283 | 27 | 6 | 299 | 85 | -12 | +1 | -17 | -25 | +18 | -3.6 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 601 | 137 | 35 | 0 | 23 | 38 | 179 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 228 | 280 | 401 | 681 | 173 | 282 | 28 | 6 | 299 | 85 | -9 | +0 | -13 | -19 | +14 | -2.7 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3380 | 3113 | 702 | 170 | 11 | 121 | 197 | 987 | 27 | 11 | 4 | 226 | 277 | 404 | 681 | 178 | 284 | 29 | 6 | 294 | 85 | -12 | +1 | -17 | -25 | +18 | -3.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 599 | 135 | 33 | 2 | 23 | 38 | 190 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 225 | 277 | 402 | 680 | 177 | 285 | 29 | 6 | 294 | 85 | -9 | +0 | -13 | -19 | +14 | -2.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAANew Orleans Baby Cakes · 46 PAwOBA .317 → .244 (−74)K% 23.9% → 31.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.91% | ÷0.971 | ×1.290 | — | — | 31.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.22% | ÷1.005 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.972 | 10.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷1.015 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.972 | 18.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷0.918 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.972 | 6.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.977 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.57% | ÷0.928 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.972 | 2.92% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 103, 2B 84, 3B 95, K 94, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .317 → .244; ISO .128 → .101; BABIP .296 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAGwinnett Braves · 106 PAwOBA .283 → .224 (−58)K% 26.4% → 30.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.42% | ÷1.046 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.60% | ÷1.022 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 4.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.59% | ÷1.017 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 17.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.35% | ÷0.991 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 5.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.41% | ÷1.132 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.982 | 3.22% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 103, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 109, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .283 → .224; ISO .146 → .111; BABIP .284 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 18 PAwOBA .347 → .252 (−96)K% 33.3% → 38.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.33% | ÷1.043 | ×1.200 | — | — | 38.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷0.938 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.010 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.992 | 15.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.088 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.992 | 12.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.947 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.183 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.992 | 5.87% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 102, 2B 118, 3B 89, K 109, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .347 → .252; ISO .278 → .186; BABIP .364 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 354 PAwOBA .352 → .283 (−69)K% 21.8% → 27.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.75% | ÷0.965 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.28% | ÷0.972 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 9.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.85% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.78% | ÷1.003 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 19.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.33% | ÷1.027 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 7.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.063 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.44% | ÷0.985 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 3.80% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 101, 2B 105, 3B 113, K 93, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .352 → .283; ISO .169 → .137; BABIP .323 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 200 PAwOBA .416 → .360 (−57)K% 19.5% → 23.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.50% | ÷0.979 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.50% | ÷0.966 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 8.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.50% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.39% | ÷0.991 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 20.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.45% | ÷0.979 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 8.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.75% | ÷1.055 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 0.66% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.46% | ÷0.914 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 6.98% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 98, 2B 96, 3B 111, K 96, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .416 → .360; ISO .266 → .240; BABIP .354 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 115 PAwOBA .430 → .373 (−57)K% 22.6% → 28.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.61% | ÷0.964 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.43% | ÷0.984 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 7.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.992 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 18.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.00% | ÷1.002 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 6.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.33% | ÷1.008 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 1.26% |
| Home runs /BIP | 12.00% | ÷0.925 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 11.26% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 98, 2B 100, 3B 102, K 93, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .430 → .373; ISO .347 → .313; BABIP .324 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAHarrisburg Senators · 561 PAwOBA .357 → .302 (−55)K% 24.8% → 29.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.78% | ÷1.014 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.99% | ÷1.023 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 3.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.07% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.42% | ÷0.981 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 17.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.21% | ÷0.976 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 7.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.05% | ÷0.934 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 1.03% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.16% | ÷0.936 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 6.88% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 96, 2B 95, 3B 87, K 103, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .357 → .302; ISO .262 → .217; BABIP .307 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 A+Potomac Nationals · 553 PAwOBA .367 → .283 (−84)K% 22.6% → 32.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.60% | ÷0.982 | ×1.420 | — | — | 32.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.05% | ÷0.936 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.998 | 4.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.36% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 0.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷0.998 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 13.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.41% | ÷1.079 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 8.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.80% | ÷0.965 | ×0.800 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.22% | ÷0.940 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.998 | 7.86% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 100, 2B 116, 3B 93, K 96, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .367 → .283; ISO .283 → .227; BABIP .295 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .