Ryan McBroom
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 27 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 511 | .310/.401/.565 | 27 | 2 | 112 | — | .255/.321/.453 | |
| 2019 | 27 | MLBKC | 83 | .293/.361/.360 | 0 | 0 | 111 | -0.6 | ||
| 2020 | 28 | MLBKC | 85 | .247/.282/.506 | 6 | 0 | 126 | 0.2 | ||
| 2021 | 29 | AAAKC | 489 | .261/.340/.524 | 32 | 3 | 70 | — | .196/.256/.370 | |
| 2022 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 23 | A | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 538 | 461 | 145 | 39 | 1 | 12 | 49 | 96 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 315 | 396 | 482 | 878 | 167 | 363 | 18 | 9 | 382 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 34 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 138 | 242 | 241 | 484 | 103 | 130 | 18 | 9 | 224 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 514 | 468 | 128 | 26 | 1 | 21 | 34 | 112 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 274 | 328 | 468 | 796 | 194 | 312 | 22 | 7 | 346 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | — | 29 | 28 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 276 | 536 | 812 | 286 | 250 | 21 | 3 | 350 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA | Trenton Thunder | — | 548 | 486 | 120 | 24 | 0 | 16 | 43 | 112 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 247 | 326 | 395 | 721 | 148 | 287 | 20 | 8 | 323 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | INTL | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 126 | 107 | 34 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 318 | 407 | 477 | 883 | 159 | 345 | 17 | 10 | 386 | 148 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 393 | 359 | 106 | 18 | 1 | 11 | 25 | 106 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 295 | 344 | 443 | 787 | 148 | 383 | 27 | 6 | 344 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA | Trenton Thunder | — | 111 | 102 | 33 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 324 | 378 | 510 | 888 | 186 | 408 | 24 | 6 | 392 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | INTL | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 119 | 106 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 226 | 299 | 321 | 620 | 94 | 291 | 24 | 8 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | — | 83 | 75 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 293 | 361 | 360 | 721 | 67 | 440 | 30 | 8 | 330 | 111 | +1 | +0 | -2 | -6 | +2 | -0.6 |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 482 | 413 | 130 | 29 | 0 | 26 | 58 | 100 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 315 | 407 | 574 | 981 | 259 | 356 | 21 | 12 | 423 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | INTL | Tigres del Licey | — | 29 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 310 | 423 | 733 | 192 | 278 | 24 | 7 | 327 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | — | 85 | 81 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 247 | 282 | 506 | 789 | 259 | 311 | 35 | 5 | 342 | 126 | +3 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +2 | 0.2 |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 489 | 433 | 113 | 14 | 2 | 32 | 47 | 109 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 261 | 340 | 524 | 864 | 263 | 274 | 22 | 10 | 374 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 168 | 156 | 42 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 55 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 269 | 321 | 436 | 757 | 167 | 379 | 33 | 7 | 336 | 114 | +3 | +0 | -3 | -8 | +4 | -0.4 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 23 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 538 | 479 | 114 | 26 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 135 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 238 | 305 | 353 | 658 | 115 | 288 | 25 | 6 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 34 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 212 | 233 | 445 | 100 | 127 | 24 | 6 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 514 | 478 | 100 | 20 | 1 | 18 | 24 | 167 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 209 | 253 | 368 | 621 | 159 | 266 | 32 | 5 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 548 | 499 | 111 | 22 | 0 | 13 | 30 | 136 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 222 | 285 | 345 | 630 | 122 | 269 | 25 | 5 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 393 | 369 | 92 | 15 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 127 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 249 | 284 | 369 | 653 | 119 | 337 | 32 | 4 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 111 | 105 | 30 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 286 | 324 | 429 | 753 | 143 | 388 | 30 | 4 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 83 | 75 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 293 | 361 | 360 | 721 | 67 | 440 | 30 | 8 | 332 | 111 | +1 | +0 | -2 | -6 | +2 | -0.6 |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 482 | 435 | 111 | 23 | 0 | 21 | 36 | 119 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 255 | 321 | 453 | 774 | 198 | 295 | 25 | 7 | 334 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 85 | 81 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 247 | 282 | 506 | 789 | 259 | 311 | 35 | 5 | 355 | 126 | +3 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +2 | 0.2 |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 489 | 449 | 88 | 11 | 2 | 21 | 31 | 133 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 196 | 256 | 370 | 625 | 174 | 220 | 27 | 6 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 538 | 479 | 114 | 26 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 135 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 238 | 305 | 353 | 658 | 115 | 302 | 25 | 6 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A RAW | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 538 | 461 | 145 | 39 | 1 | 12 | 49 | 96 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 315 | 396 | 482 | 878 | 167 | 363 | 18 | 9 | 382 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 577 | 535 | 110 | 21 | 1 | 20 | 28 | 183 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 206 | 252 | 361 | 613 | 155 | 264 | 32 | 5 | 262 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 577 | 525 | 139 | 28 | 1 | 24 | 38 | 124 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 265 | 320 | 459 | 779 | 194 | 298 | 21 | 7 | 339 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 674 | 612 | 136 | 27 | 0 | 16 | 37 | 167 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 222 | 285 | 345 | 630 | 123 | 275 | 25 | 5 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 674 | 593 | 154 | 26 | 0 | 21 | 56 | 133 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 260 | 341 | 410 | 751 | 150 | 298 | 20 | 8 | 335 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 623 | 585 | 149 | 23 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 198 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 255 | 291 | 373 | 664 | 118 | 354 | 32 | 4 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 623 | 567 | 163 | 28 | 3 | 16 | 42 | 161 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 287 | 341 | 432 | 774 | 145 | 369 | 26 | 7 | 340 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 594 | 536 | 140 | 30 | 0 | 22 | 45 | 151 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 261 | 328 | 440 | 768 | 179 | 321 | 25 | 8 | 334 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 594 | 514 | 158 | 36 | 0 | 27 | 67 | 132 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 307 | 396 | 535 | 931 | 228 | 364 | 22 | 11 | 406 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 85 | 81 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 247 | 282 | 506 | 789 | 259 | 311 | 35 | 5 | 355 | 126 | +3 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +2 | 0.2 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB RAW | Kansas City Royals | — | 85 | 81 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 247 | 282 | 506 | 789 | 259 | 311 | 35 | 5 | 342 | 126 | +3 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +2 | 0.2 |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 489 | 449 | 88 | 11 | 2 | 21 | 31 | 133 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 196 | 256 | 370 | 625 | 174 | 224 | 27 | 6 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA RAW | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 489 | 433 | 113 | 14 | 2 | 32 | 47 | 109 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 261 | 340 | 524 | 864 | 263 | 274 | 22 | 10 | 374 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 538 | 487 | 114 | 26 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 135 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 234 | 305 | 347 | 652 | 113 | 288 | 25 | 6 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 577 | 539 | 110 | 21 | 1 | 20 | 28 | 183 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 204 | 252 | 358 | 610 | 154 | 257 | 32 | 5 | 262 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 674 | 615 | 136 | 27 | 0 | 16 | 37 | 167 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 221 | 285 | 343 | 628 | 122 | 269 | 25 | 5 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 623 | 588 | 149 | 23 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 198 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 253 | 291 | 371 | 662 | 117 | 348 | 32 | 4 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 594 | 536 | 140 | 30 | 0 | 22 | 45 | 151 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 261 | 328 | 440 | 768 | 179 | 316 | 25 | 8 | 334 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 85 | 81 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 247 | 282 | 506 | 789 | 259 | 311 | 35 | 5 | 355 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 29 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 489 | 450 | 88 | 11 | 2 | 21 | 31 | 133 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 196 | 256 | 369 | 625 | 173 | 220 | 27 | 6 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 168 | 156 | 42 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 55 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 269 | 321 | 436 | 757 | 167 | 379 | 33 | 7 | 336 | 82 | +3 | +0 | -3 | -8 | +4 | -0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 604 | 162 | 31 | 0 | 23 | 43 | 213 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 268 | 322 | 434 | 755 | 166 | 378 | 33 | 7 | 336 | 82 | +11 | +0 | -11 | -30 | +14 | -1.7 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3580 | 3277 | 757 | 141 | 6 | 108 | 202 | 997 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 231 | 287 | 377 | 663 | 146 | 292 | 28 | 6 | 289 | 82 | +3 | +0 | -3 | -8 | +4 | -0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 595 | 138 | 26 | 1 | 20 | 37 | 181 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 232 | 289 | 380 | 668 | 148 | 293 | 28 | 6 | 289 | 82 | +11 | +0 | -11 | -30 | +14 | -1.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2021 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 489 PAwOBA .366 → .272 (−95)K% 22.3% → 27.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.29% | ÷0.985 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.41% | ÷0.990 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 6.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.02% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.06% | ÷1.056 | ×0.930 | ×0.967 | ×0.982 | 16.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.32% | ÷0.978 | ×0.830 | ×0.967 | ×0.982 | 3.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.62% | ÷0.936 | ×0.920 | ×0.967 | ×0.982 | 0.58% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.88% | ÷1.027 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 6.61% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 111, 2B 96, 3B 87, K 97, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.
Result: wOBA .366 → .272; ISO .263 → .181; BABIP .274 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 482 PAwOBA .415 → .334 (−81)K% 20.7% → 24.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.75% | ÷1.007 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.41% | ÷1.066 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 7.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.24% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.96% | ÷1.019 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 20.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.27% | ÷1.009 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 7.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.938 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.31% | ÷1.087 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 6.44% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 104, 2B 102, 3B 88, K 101, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .415 → .334; ISO .259 → .207; BABIP .356 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 393 PAwOBA .339 → .282 (−57)K% 27.0% → 32.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.97% | ÷1.002 | ×1.200 | — | — | 32.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.11% | ÷1.034 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 4.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.51% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.04% | ÷1.032 | ×0.930 | ×0.983 | ×1.018 | 27.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.11% | ÷1.004 | ×0.830 | ×0.983 | ×1.018 | 5.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.40% | ÷1.130 | ×0.970 | ×0.983 | ×1.018 | 0.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.046 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 3.56% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 106, 2B 101, 3B 126, K 100, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .339 → .282; ISO .148 → .119; BABIP .383 → .337. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AATrenton Thunder · 111 PAwOBA .378 → .324 (−55)K% 24.3% → 29.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.32% | ÷1.002 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.41% | ÷0.972 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 3.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.80% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 1.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.67% | ÷0.954 | ×0.970 | ×0.991 | ×0.988 | 30.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.042 | ×0.860 | ×0.991 | ×0.988 | 5.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.33% | ÷0.944 | ×0.950 | ×0.991 | ×0.988 | 1.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.33% | ÷1.034 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 3.98% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 91, 2B 108, 3B 89, K 100, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.
Result: wOBA .378 → .324; ISO .186 → .141; BABIP .408 → .388. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AATrenton Thunder · 548 PAwOBA .316 → .275 (−42)K% 20.4% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.44% | ÷1.007 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.66% | ÷0.979 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 5.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.55% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 2.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.39% | ÷1.020 | ×0.970 | ×1.006 | ×0.998 | 20.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.42% | ÷0.936 | ×0.860 | ×1.006 | ×0.998 | 5.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.006 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.28% | ÷0.960 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 3.47% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 104, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 101, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .316 → .275; ISO .148 → .124; BABIP .287 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Dunedin Blue Jays · 514 PAwOBA .341 → .268 (−73)K% 21.8% → 32.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.79% | ÷0.955 | ×1.420 | — | — | 32.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.61% | ÷1.038 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 4.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.78% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 0.72% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.47% | ÷1.042 | ×0.920 | ×0.980 | ×0.988 | 19.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.30% | ÷1.064 | ×0.960 | ×0.980 | ×0.988 | 6.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.28% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.980 | ×0.988 | 0.19% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.90% | ÷0.912 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 5.62% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 108, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 91, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.
Result: wOBA .341 → .268; ISO .194 → .161; BABIP .312 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 34 PAwOBA .225 → .179 (−46)K% 17.6% → 22.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.65% | ÷0.969 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.82% | ÷1.079 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 5.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.94% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 2.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.04% | ÷0.995 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.012 | 12.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.031 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.292 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 2.66% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 158, 1B 99, 2B 100, 3B 106, K 94, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .225 → .179; ISO .103 → .065; BABIP .130 → .127. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ALansing Lugnuts · 538 PAwOBA .380 → .288 (−92)K% 17.8% → 25.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.84% | ÷0.968 | ×1.360 | — | — | 25.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.74% | ÷1.005 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 5.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.60% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 2.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.48% | ÷1.043 | ×0.920 | ×0.978 | ×0.990 | 21.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.68% | ÷1.210 | ×0.830 | ×0.978 | ×0.990 | 7.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.27% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.978 | ×0.990 | 0.21% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.29% | ÷1.007 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 2.59% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 109, 2B 142, 3B 130, K 94, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .380 → .288; ISO .167 → .119; BABIP .363 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .