Ryan Mountcastle

Ryan Mountcastle1B Baltimore Orioles

Age 29 R/R 6'3" / 230 lbs MLB HR +8% Svc 5.610 · Ctrl thru 2026 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

2026 ROS PROJECTION15 act + 287 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 105100vR 88

AVG/OBP/SLG.254 / .298 / .403

PA287

HR8

K%24

BB%5

BABIP314

ISO149

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

2214.2%

xwOBA

650.326

POWER55

Barrel%

619.8

Avg EV

7490.7

Bat Spd

7974.4

EYE35

Chase%

1040.4%

SPEED50

Sprint

2326.2

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 864 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

233

631

—

wRC+

105

◀◀L

wOBA

323

300

◀L

ISO

110

150

▶▶R

BABIP

355

315

◀L

21.0%

25.8%

◀◀L

BB%

5.6%

4.6%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-3

MLB Debut 2020

Service 5.610 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

OPT

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$3M	+0.2	$0.6M	-$2M
Totals		$3M		$0.6M	-$2M

Options · projected decision
2027	CLUB OPT	$6.8M / $0.0M buyout	DECLINE
2028	CLUB OPT	$7.5M / $0.0M buyout	DECLINE

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	18	ROK	GCL Orioles	—	175	166	38	5	0	2	6	52	1	10	4	229	260	295	555	66	316	30	3	242	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	18	ROK	GCL Orioles	—	175	163	51	7	0	3	9	36	1	10	4	313	353	411	764	98	381	21	5	339	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	19	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	489	466	107	22	3	9	14	127	3	5	4	230	257	348	604	118	292	26	3	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	19	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	489	455	128	28	4	10	25	95	3	5	4	281	323	426	749	145	331	19	5	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	A+	3 teams	—	625	605	140	48	1	13	11	158	5	10	2	231	251	379	630	147	290	25	2	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	A+	3 teams	—	625	595	167	52	1	21	21	115	5	10	2	281	311	477	788	197	315	18	3	343	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	428	403	100	16	4	10	17	111	3	2	0	248	284	382	666	134	314	26	4	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	428	394	117	19	4	13	26	79	3	2	0	297	345	464	810	168	339	18	6	354	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	553	531	134	27	1	26	13	165	4	2	1	252	276	454	729	202	313	30	2	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	553	520	162	35	1	25	24	130	4	2	1	312	347	527	874	215	370	24	4	379	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	23	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	140	126	41	5	0	5	11	30	1	0	1	325	384	484	868	159	387	21	8	371	142	+7	-0	-1	-2	+4	0.8
2020	23	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	140	126	42	5	0	5	11	30	1	0	1	333	391	492	883	159	398	21	8	387	154	+9	-0	-1	-2	+4	1.0
2021	24	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	586	534	131	22	1	31	41	161	4	4	3	245	304	464	768	219	287	27	7	327	108	+5	-0	-12	-10	+17	-0.1
2021	24	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	586	534	136	23	1	33	41	161	4	4	3	255	313	487	799	232	297	27	7	346	123	+15	-0	-12	-10	+17	0.9
2022	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	609	555	133	26	1	20	43	154	4	4	1	240	299	398	697	159	291	25	7	306	92	-5	+0	-2	-11	+17	-0.1
2022	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	609	555	139	28	1	22	43	154	4	4	1	250	309	423	732	173	303	25	7	322	104	+3	+0	-2	-11	+17	0.7
2023	26	MLB	2 teams	—	528	478	120	20	1	18	40	128	3	3	1	251	313	410	723	159	301	24	8	312	97	-2	+0	-3	-9	+15	0.1
2023	26	MLB	2 teams	—	528	477	126	22	1	19	41	124	3	3	1	264	326	434	760	170	314	23	8	334	114	+8	+0	-3	-9	+15	1.1
2024	27	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	507	473	123	28	2	12	27	114	1	3	0	260	301	404	705	144	314	22	5	308	94	-3	+1	-3	-9	+14	-0.0
2024	27	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	507	473	128	30	2	13	27	114	1	3	0	271	311	425	736	154	327	22	5	322	105	+3	+1	-3	-9	+14	0.6
2025	28	MLB	2 teams	—	394	365	91	20	0	9	18	104	5	3	0	249	294	378	672	129	318	26	5	296	85	-7	+1	-2	-7	+11	-0.4
2025	28	MLB	2 teams	—	394	363	95	22	0	10	20	103	5	3	0	262	309	405	714	143	332	26	5	314	98	-1	+1	-2	-7	+11	0.2
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	29	MLB	BAL	—	15	14	4	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	286	333	357	690	71	333	13	7	310	95	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
YTD	29	MLB	BAL	—	15	14	4	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	286	333	357	690	71	333	13	7	313	98	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
ROS	29	MLB	BAL	100%	287	268	68	14	1	8	15	70	2	3	1	254	298	403	701	149	315	24	5	311	96	-1	+0	+2	-5	+8	0.4
ROS	29	MLB	BAL	100%	287	268	70	15	1	8	15	70	2	3	1	261	305	414	719	153	320	24	5	310	96	-1	+0	+2	-5	+8	0.4
FULL	29	MLB	BAL	—	302	282	74	16	1	8	16	72	2	3	1	262	307	411	718	149	325	24	5	310	96	-2	+0	+2	-5	+9	0.4
TOT	29	MLB	BAL	—	302	282	72	15	1	8	16	72	2	3	1	255	300	401	701	145	315	24	5	311	96	-1	+0	+2	-5	+9	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	BAL	100%	438	408	103	21	1	12	23	109	4	4	1	252	299	397	696	145	313	25	5	308	94	-3	+0	+1	-8	+12	0.3
2027	30	MLB	BAL	100%	438	408	104	22	1	12	23	109	4	4	1	255	301	402	703	147	318	25	5	307	93	-3	+0	+1	-8	+12	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3394	3119	816	162	7	118	212	843	23	24	8	262	313	432	745	170	318	25	6	325	107	+28	+2	-20	-61	+96	4.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	156	31	1	23	41	161	4	5	2	261	313	432	745	171	317	25	6	325	107	+5	+0	-4	-12	+18	0.8
Career	—			—	5759	5378	1329	274	16	175	279	1483	40	53	19	247	289	402	691	155	305	26	5	299	87	-84	+3	-20	-102	+163	-4.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	607	151	31	2	20	31	167	5	6	2	249	291	405	696	157	307	26	5	299	87	-9	+0	-2	-11	+18	-0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	18	ROK	GCL Orioles	—	175	163	51	7	0	3	9	36	1	10	4	313	353	411	764	98	381	21	5	339	118	+3	+0	—	—	+5	0.9
2016	19	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	489	455	128	28	4	10	25	95	3	5	4	281	323	426	749	145	331	19	5	329	110	+5	-1	—	—	+14	1.9
2017	20	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	159	153	34	13	0	3	3	35	1	0	0	222	242	366	608	144	265	22	2	264	61	-7	+0	—	—	+5	-0.3
2017	20	A+	Frederick Keys	—	379	360	113	35	1	15	14	61	3	8	2	314	345	542	886	228	343	16	4	385	153	+23	+1	—	—	+11	3.5
2017	20	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	87	82	20	4	0	3	4	19	1	2	0	244	287	402	690	159	283	22	5	307	93	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2018	21	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	428	394	117	19	4	13	26	79	3	2	0	297	345	464	810	168	339	18	6	354	129	+14	+0	—	—	+12	2.7
2019	22	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	553	520	162	35	1	25	24	130	4	2	1	312	347	527	874	215	370	24	4	379	148	+30	+0	—	—	+16	4.7
2020	23	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	140	126	42	5	0	5	11	30	1	0	1	333	391	492	883	159	398	21	8	387	154	+9	-0	-1	-2	+4	1.0
2021	24	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	586	534	136	23	1	33	41	161	4	4	3	255	313	487	799	232	297	27	7	346	123	+15	-0	-12	-10	+17	0.9
2022	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	609	555	139	28	1	22	43	154	4	4	1	250	309	423	732	173	303	25	7	322	104	+3	+0	-2	-11	+17	0.7
2023	26	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	470	423	114	21	1	18	37	107	3	3	1	270	333	452	784	182	315	23	8	343	120	+11	+0	-3	-9	+13	1.2
2023	26	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	58	54	12	1	0	1	4	17	0	0	0	222	276	296	572	74	306	29	7	262	59	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2024	27	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	507	473	128	30	2	13	27	114	1	3	0	271	311	425	736	154	327	22	5	322	105	+3	+1	-3	-9	+14	0.6
2025	28	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	357	332	83	18	0	7	15	98	4	3	0	250	291	367	658	117	326	27	4	290	80	-8	+1	-2	-7	+10	-0.7
2025	28	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	37	31	12	4	0	3	5	5	1	0	0	387	486	806	1.293	419	391	14	14	544	274	+7	+0	—	—	+1	0.9
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2669	2443	642	125	5	98	174	664	17	17	6	263	316	438	755	176	317	25	7	330	111	+33	+1	-24	-48	+76	3.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1C.J. Cronlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,043 PA	10	4,043	187	10	260	320	471	-72	-46	8.9	8.9
#1C.J. Cronlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,043 PA	/162	664	31	2	260	320	471	-11.9	-7.6	1.5	pk7: 9
#2Mitch Morelandlast yr '21 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,536 PA	12	4,536	186	11	251	318	446	-81	-56	5.9	6.1
	/162	664	27	2	251	318	446	-11.9	-8.1	0.9	pk7: 6
#3Yuli Gurriellast yr '24 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,699 PA	9	3,699	98	28	280	326	438	-63	-54	4.2	5.8
	/162	664	18	5	280	326	438	-11.3	-9.8	0.8	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,409	119	24	261	309	430	-61	-43	5.6	5.6
	/162	664	23	5	261	309	430	-11.9	-8.5	1.1	pk7: 6
#4Jesús Aguilarlast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,594 PA	7	2,594	114	1	255	324	452	-46	-35	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	29	0	255	324	452	-11.9	-9.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Gaby Sanchezlast yr '14 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,240 PA	5	2,240	59	12	254	332	411	-40	-26	2.2	2.2
	/162	664	17	4	254	332	411	-11.9	-7.8	0.6	pk7: 2
#6Garrett Joneslast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,228 PA	8	3,228	122	28	251	312	445	-51	-70	0.9	1.3
	/162	664	25	6	251	312	445	-10.4	-14.3	0.2	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ryan Mountcastle (OGILVIE)	29	55	55	50	35	255/300/401	145	315	8	3	24%	5%	96	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nick Stavinoha 2011 · MLB	29	51→56	48→55	49→45	42	258/293/399	141	297	15	4	19%	4%	92	+1.2	244/287/426	182	284	24	6	23%	5%	98	+1.6	236/280/433	198	265	27	4	23%	5%	94	+1.3
✕Mauro Gomez 2013 · MLB	28	48→52	50→60	47→40	40	242/287/403	161	307	17	4	27%	5%	92	+1.2	237/285/457	220	303	31	5	32%	6%	106	+2.2	219/269/491	271	261	44	2	36%	6%	106	+1.6
✕Rob Segedin 2018 · MLB	29	48→53	52→50	43→45	41	246/294/414	168	301	19	5	25%	5%	98	+1.6	220/275/350	130	277	14	7	25%	6%	72	-0.2	162/232/241	79	201	10	0	25%	8%	28	-0.7
●Joey Meneses 2021 · AAA	29	50→57	52→60	48→40	41	255/296/418	163	319	20	6	27%	6%	99	+1.7	259/300/438	179	309	21	3	23%	5%	106	+2.2	268/312/435	167	318	20	1	22%	5%	108	+2.1
✕Delmon Young 2015 · MLB	29	53→61	49→55	46→55	42	269/309/414	145	314	18	3	21%	5%	103	+1.9	255/296/373	118	299	13	6	19%	5%	87	+0.8	261/282/325	64	304	6	0	16%	2%	66	-0.2
✕Chris Heisey 2014 · MLB	29	47→52	50→55	51→55	42	242/291/399	157	285	18	9	22%	5%	92	+1.2	216/282/390	174	255	22	9	25%	7%	87	+0.8	198/274/383	185	226	26	8	26%	8%	78	+0.1
✕Yermín Mercedes 2022 · MLB	29	48→53	49→50	47→45	45	247/296/386	139	281	18	5	20%	6%	91	+1.1	232/297/373	141	287	17	9	24%	8%	88	+0.9	211/291/352	140	267	18	10	27%	9%	79	+0.2
✕Jason Rogers 2017 · MLB	29	50→53	47→55	50→45	48	250/310/385	135	302	14	3	22%	8%	95	+1.4	257/314/400	143	302	17	7	20%	7%	102	+1.8	290/347/448	158	324	23	5	18%	7%	121	+1.5
✕Chris Marrero 2017 · AAA	29	48→52	51→55	47→30	43	246/286/409	163	287	19	2	22%	5%	92	+1.2	231/280/382	151	276	18	6	23%	6%	83	+0.6	152/220/276	123	169	17	0	23%	6%	30	-0.6
✕Drew Locke 2012 · AAA	29	48→58	48→50	48→45	42	242/286/389	146	292	15	8	23%	5%	87	+0.8	240/283/373	133	297	13	8	23%	5%	82	+0.5	255/290/376	120	315	12	2	22%	4%	82	+0.2
✕Ricardo Vazquez 2014 · AAA	29	50	48→55	50→45	41	249/290/388	139	298	16	13	22%	4%	89	+0.9	241/285/372	131	296	15	9	24%	5%	82	+0.5	247/301/393	146	291	17	5	21%	6%	91	+0.4
●Balbino Fuenmayor 2019 · AAA	29	53→54	51→60	47→30	42	267/303/422	154	300	19	4	18%	4%	103	+1.9	280/313/506	226	305	34	6	21%	4%	131	+3.9	299/327/548	249	317	41	2	20%	3%	148	+3.8
✕Marquez Smith 2014 · AAA	29	46→53	47→55	46→40	44	232/288/367	135	284	14	4	24%	6%	82	+0.5	232/309/370	138	307	13	5	27%	9%	92	+1.2	233/316/372	140	311	12	3	27%	10%	94	+1.1
✕Patrick Kivlehan 2019 · MLB	29	44→50	51→60	44→50	39	224/279/387	163	302	18	7	32%	6%	84	+0.6	216/275/406	190	287	25	5	33%	6%	89	+0.9	194/255/382	187	253	26	3	35%	6%	71	-0.2
✕David Dahl 2023 · MLB	29	49→54	45→55	50→55	43	241/288/371	130	305	12	7	25%	6%	83	+0.6	237/287/392	155	295	17	8	25%	6%	89	+0.9	233/283/395	163	283	19	6	25%	6%	84	+0.3
✕Russ Canzler 2015 · MLB	29	44→54	48→55	44→45	44	226/280/371	145	286	16	4	27%	7%	80	+0.4	231/278/370	139	277	17	6	23%	6%	79	+0.3	226/269/351	125	262	17	2	21%	5%	66	-0.4
✕Matt McBride 2014 · MLB	29	48→50	51→55	46→40	42	243/274/406	163	266	18	3	17%	4%	86	+0.8	236/275/383	147	266	16	5	18%	5%	82	+0.5	207/266/383	176	238	20	1	23%	7%	75	+0.0
✕Taylor Jones 2023 · MLB	29	47→48	50→55	43→40	45	235/308/396	162	313	18	3	30%	8%	99	+1.7	218/290/370	152	291	17	10	30%	8%	85	+0.7	174/257/333	158	220	18	12	29%	9%	58	-0.4
✕Jason Coats 2019 · MLB	29	43→50	50→55	49→45	40	222/264/383	161	265	18	6	24%	4%	76	+0.1	213/251/362	149	273	18	9	29%	4%	66	-0.6	198/232/337	140	254	20	8	31%	4%	49	-1.1
✕Doug Deeds 2010 · AAA	29	49→59	47→50	48→45	39	243/285/390	147	320	14	8	28%	5%	87	+0.8	222/273/344	122	302	10	8	28%	6%	69	-0.4	214/268/325	112	292	8	7	28%	6%	60	-0.7