Triston Casas — OGILVIE

Triston Casas1B Boston Red Sox

INJURED · Injured 60-Day (D60)

Age 26 L/R 6'4" / 244 lbs MLB Svc 3.186 · Ctrl thru 2028 peak 0.4 · 2027

wRC+†vL 113118vR 91

AVG/OBP/SLG.228 / .323 / .443

PA74

HR4

K%28

BB%12

xwOBA.304

Barrel%9.7%

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

40→40

PWR

55→55

SPD

30→30

EYE

61↘55

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.1peak

2028

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2022

Service 3.186 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-1	$2M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2027	Arb-2	$2M	+0.4	$2M	+$0.1M
2028	Arb-3	$2M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$0.1M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	19	A	Greenville Drive	493	448	83	18	3	15	32	159	7	3	2	.185	.251	.339	.590	.154	.243	32	6	.255	53	-26	-0	+0	-9	+14	-2.1
2021	21	AA	3 teams	468	414	102	16	4	19	46	111	5	7	4	.246	.329	.442	.771	.196	.289	24	10	.330	111	+6	-0	+0	-8	+13	1.1
2022	22	AAA	4 teams	444	384	85	18	1	16	52	110	3	1	1	.221	.319	.398	.717	.177	.262	25	12	.320	103	+2	-0	-0	-8	+13	0.6
2023	23	MLB	Boston Red Sox	502	429	113	19	2	26	70	126	1	0	0	.263	.368	.499	.867	.235	.312	25	14	.371	142	+24	+0	-12	-9	+14	1.8
2024	24	MLB	2 teams	292	256	61	13	0	15	34	94	2	0	1	.238	.332	.465	.797	.227	.313	32	12	.332	112	+4	-0	-4	-5	+8	0.3
2025	25	MLB	Boston Red Sox	112	99	18	3	0	3	11	27	2	0	0	.182	.277	.303	.580	.121	.217	24	10	.249	49	-6	+0	-3	-2	+3	-0.9
▸ 2026 Season
2026	26	MLB	BOS	74	64	15	3	0	4	9	20	1	0	0	.234	.338	.469	.807	.234	.274	27	12	.340	118	+2	+0	-1	-1	+2	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	27	MLB	BOS	324	281	65	12	1	16	38	89	2	1	0	.231	.327	.452	.779	.221	.274	27	12	.340	119	+7	+0	-5	-6	+9	0.5
2028	28	MLB	BOS	357	310	71	14	1	17	42	99	2	1	0	.229	.325	.445	.770	.216	.273	28	12	.339	118	+7	+0	-6	-6	+10	0.5
2029	29	MLB	BOS	364	316	72	14	1	17	43	102	2	0	0	.228	.324	.440	.764	.212	.272	28	12	.337	116	+7	+0	-7	-7	+10	0.3
2030	30	MLB	BOS	369	320	72	14	1	17	44	105	2	0	0	.225	.322	.434	.757	.209	.271	28	12	.334	114	+6	+0	-8	-7	+10	0.2
2031	31	MLB	BOS	354	307	68	13	1	16	42	102	2	0	0	.221	.319	.427	.746	.205	.269	29	12	.330	111	+4	+0	-8	-6	+10	-0.0
2032	32	MLB	BOS	335	291	64	12	1	15	39	98	2	0	0	.220	.316	.423	.739	.203	.267	29	12	.325	107	+3	+0	-9	-6	+9	-0.3
2033	33	MLB	BOS	305	264	56	11	0	13	36	92	2	0	0	.212	.311	.402	.713	.189	.265	30	12	.319	102	+1	+0	-9	-5	+9	-0.5
2034	34	MLB	BOS	262	228	47	9	0	11	31	81	1	0	0	.206	.304	.390	.694	.184	.263	31	12	.312	97	-1	+0	-9	-5	+7	-0.7
2035	35	MLB	BOS	210	183	36	7	0	8	24	67	1	0	0	.197	.293	.366	.659	.169	.260	32	11	.304	91	-2	+0	-9	-4	+6	-0.9
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5265	4594	1028	196	16	228	593	1482	37	13	8	.224	.317	.422	.740	.199	.274	28	11	.324	106	+35	-1	-91	-94	+149	-0.1
/ 162G	—			650	567	127	24	2	28	73	183	5	2	1	.224	.318	.422	.739	.198	.275	28	11	.324	106	+4	+0	-11	-12	+18	-0.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	19	A	Greenville Drive	493	422	107	25	5	19	58	116	7	3	2	.254	.353	.472	.825	.218	.300	24	12	.361	134	+19	-0	—	—	+14	3.3
2021	21	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	42	33	8	3	1	1	8	8	0	1	0	.242	.390	.485	.875	.242	.280	19	19	.377	147	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2021	21	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	329	275	78	12	2	13	49	63	3	6	3	.284	.398	.484	.881	.200	.323	19	15	.390	156	+21	+0	—	—	+9	3.1
2021	21	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	97	78	29	6	0	1	17	18	2	0	1	.372	.495	.487	.982	.115	.475	19	18	.444	198	+11	-0	—	—	+3	1.3
2022	22	MLB	Boston Red Sox	95	76	15	1	0	5	19	23	0	1	0	.197	.358	.408	.766	.211	.208	24	20	.348	125	+3	+0	-0	-8	+3	-0.3
2022	22	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	317	264	72	20	1	11	46	68	3	0	0	.273	.387	.481	.868	.208	.323	21	15	.381	149	+18	+0	—	—	+9	2.7
2022	22	ROK	FCL Red Sox	17	14	6	3	0	1	3	2	0	0	0	.429	.529	.857	1.387	.429	.455	12	18	.579	301	+4	+0	—	—	+0	0.4
2022	22	INTL	Tigres del Licey	15	9	2	0	0	0	5	3	0	0	1	.222	.500	.222	.722	.000	.286	20	33	.353	128	+0	-0	—	—	+0	0.1
2023	23	MLB	Boston Red Sox	502	429	113	21	2	24	70	126	1	0	0	.263	.368	.490	.858	.226	.317	25	14	.377	147	+27	+0	-12	-9	+14	2.0
2024	24	MLB	Boston Red Sox	243	212	51	8	0	13	30	77	1	0	1	.241	.337	.462	.800	.222	.311	32	12	.354	129	+8	-0	-4	-5	+7	0.6
2024	24	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	49	42	12	7	0	1	6	14	1	0	0	.286	.388	.524	.912	.238	.407	29	12	.400	164	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2025	25	MLB	Boston Red Sox	112	99	18	3	0	3	11	27	2	0	0	.182	.277	.303	.580	.121	.217	24	10	.269	64	-5	+0	-3	-2	+3	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			952	816	197	33	2	45	130	253	4	1	1	.241	.348	.452	.801	.211	.292	27	14	.356	130	+33	-0	-19	-24	+27	1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Triston Casas (OGILVIE)	26	40	55	30	55	.228/.323/.443	.215	.274	4	0	28%	12%	118	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ike Davis 2013 · MLB	26	47→53	60	39→40	55	.251/.333/.468	.217	.286	28	3	23%	11%	128	+3.6	.230/.326/.410	.180	.273	21	3	23%	13%	110	+2.4	.221/.326/.370	.149	.266	16	2	22%	13%	95	+0.9
●Chris Duncan 2007 · MLB	26	46→50	56→60	40	48	.244/.310/.435	.191	.296	25	3	27%	9%	110	+2.4	.245/.329/.425	.180	.304	22	4	26%	11%	115	+2.7	.234/.330/.390	.156	.291	18	2	24%	12%	101	+1.1
●Adam LaRoche 2007 · MLB	27	51→55	61→65	35→40	51	.270/.336/.499	.228	.302	28	2	21%	9%	137	+4.3	.271/.343/.485	.214	.316	25	2	22%	10%	136	+4.2	.271/.347/.477	.206	.318	23	1	22%	10%	127	+3.6
●Kerry Carpenter 2023 · MLB	25	45→53	59→65	36→45	40	.243/.292/.449	.207	.290	28	5	27%	5%	107	+2.2	.258/.312/.477	.219	.309	29	5	26%	6%	122	+3.3	.257/.312/.484	.226	.299	31	3	25%	6%	120	+2.2
✕Rowdy Tellez 2021 · MLB	26	47→50	57→60	41→45	46	.250/.310/.445	.195	.291	25	5	24%	7%	113	+2.6	.235/.307/.436	.201	.261	27	3	22%	9%	109	+2.4	.219/.297/.410	.192	.238	26	1	21%	9%	87	+0.7
●Daniel Vogelbach 2020 · MLB	27	43→50	57→60	43→40	59	.231/.333/.425	.194	.265	26	2	24%	13%	117	+2.9	.231/.347/.429	.198	.273	26	2	24%	15%	124	+3.4	.241/.360/.423	.182	.292	24	0	24%	15%	120	+1.9
★Kyle Schwarber 2020 · MLB	27	41→48	67→70	40→45	56	.236/.336/.494	.257	.269	36	4	27%	12%	136	+4.2	.237/.338/.497	.260	.273	36	5	27%	13%	137	+4.3	.219/.352/.476	.257	.251	36	4	29%	16%	129	+4.4
●Jay Gibbons 2004 · MLB	27	50→54	57→60	36→30	52	.261/.320/.464	.203	.263	25	2	13%	8%	121	+3.2	.265/.318/.452	.187	.277	22	2	14%	7%	118	+3.0	.266/.320/.456	.190	.275	23	0	13%	7%	115	+2.0
●Karim Garcia 2004 · MLB	28	50→52	61→60	34→50	44	.270/.310/.482	.212	.291	32	3	20%	5%	123	+3.3	.244/.289/.414	.170	.269	23	7	19%	6%	95	+1.4	.287/.334/.485	.198	.325	24	10	19%	6%	131	+2.1
✕Hee-Seop Choi 2006 · MLB	27	48→49	55	40→30	57	.246/.348/.441	.194	.294	22	4	24%	12%	127	+3.6	.225/.313/.385	.160	.271	19	4	23%	10%	98	+1.6	.175/.271/.299	.124	.210	15	0	24%	11%	58	-0.5
●Joc Pederson 2020 · MLB	28	43→52	64→65	40→55	53	.240/.325/.484	.244	.253	32	4	21%	10%	129	+3.7	.241/.321/.463	.222	.270	29	4	23%	9%	122	+3.3	.257/.362/.473	.216	.296	28	5	22%	12%	134	+3.0
●Anthony Santander 2023 · MLB	28	44→49	59→65	37→45	48	.241/.307/.452	.210	.257	28	2	20%	7%	114	+2.7	.241/.313/.458	.217	.266	28	3	21%	9%	118	+3.0	.234/.310/.453	.219	.258	29	3	22%	9%	111	+2.2
●Kila Ka'aihue 2010 · MLB	26	43→50	55→60	42→30	58	.231/.324/.411	.180	.249	24	3	19%	11%	110	+2.4	.234/.322/.402	.168	.276	21	3	23%	11%	106	+2.2	.229/.316/.395	.166	.274	21	2	24%	11%	101	+1.5
●Max Kepler 2020 · MLB	27	44→54	58→60	38→50	56	.238/.321/.445	.207	.248	26	4	17%	10%	117	+2.9	.231/.320/.435	.204	.244	25	7	18%	11%	115	+2.7	.233/.321/.423	.190	.255	23	6	19%	10%	108	+1.8
✕Mike Carp 2012 · MLB	26	46→55	54→55	41→40	45	.241/.302/.418	.177	.286	23	4	25%	7%	102	+1.9	.240/.307/.402	.162	.298	19	5	25%	8%	100	+1.7	.225/.305/.361	.136	.287	14	2	25%	9%	85	+0.3
✕Oswaldo Arcia 2016 · MLB	25	42→52	55→60	40→45	41	.226/.285/.408	.182	.285	24	3	30%	6%	93	+1.3	.219/.283/.393	.174	.289	23	3	31%	7%	88	+0.9	.213/.292/.399	.186	.286	24	3	33%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Jordan Luplow 2022 · MLB	28	44→47	60→65	40→50	57	.236/.337/.462	.226	.277	27	7	25%	12%	128	+3.6	.214/.301/.409	.195	.246	26	10	25%	10%	100	+1.7	.202/.285/.379	.177	.228	25	13	24%	9%	82	+0.2
●Franmil Reyes 2020 · MLB	25	45→52	62→65	42→45	45	.247/.307/.467	.220	.300	32	2	29%	8%	118	+3.0	.249/.314/.464	.215	.316	30	3	30%	9%	119	+3.1	.238/.303/.434	.195	.313	27	3	32%	8%	104	+1.3
●Matt Adams 2014 · MLB	25	49→57	60→65	42→40	42	.264/.305/.474	.210	.306	29	3	25%	6%	118	+3.0	.267/.309/.441	.174	.318	21	4	22%	6%	111	+2.5	.253/.313/.496	.243	.279	34	0	23%	7%	122	+1.9
✕Tommy Joseph 2017 · MLB	26	46→49	58→60	41→30	43	.249/.294/.446	.198	.268	27	3	20%	5%	107	+2.2	.237/.287/.414	.177	.280	23	3	24%	6%	95	+1.4	.227/.280/.399	.172	.270	22	1	25%	6%	85	+0.6

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)