Max Kepler — OGILVIE

Max KeplerLF Philadelphia Phillies

Age 33 L/L 6'4" / 225 lbs MLB HR +11%H +4% Svc 10.000 · Ctrl thru 2026 peak 0.8 · 2026

wRC+†vL 85100vR 91

AVG/OBP/SLG.230 / .302 / .406

PA402

HR15

K%20

BB%8

xwOBA.332

Barrel%11.6%

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

50→50

PWR

50→50

SPD

50→50

EYE

49↗50

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.5peak

2026

Barrel%

7311.6

xwOBA

700.332

Avg EV

7590.8

Whiff%

540.105

Chase%

610.295

Speed

4027.0

Bat Spd

5071.3

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2016

Service 10.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+0.8	$3M	+$1M
Totals		$2M		$3M	+$1M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2010	17	ROK	GCL Twins	153	145	31	4	1	0	8	39	0	6	1	.214	.255	.255	.510	.041	.292	25	5	.229	33	-12	+1	+0	-2	+4	-0.8
2011	18	ROK	Elizabethton Twins	221	199	39	8	2	1	15	77	3	1	1	.196	.263	.271	.534	.075	.309	35	7	.233	37	-16	-0	+0	-2	+6	-1.2
2012	19	ROK	Elizabethton Twins	269	242	56	12	4	8	17	47	8	7	0	.231	.303	.413	.717	.182	.254	17	6	.302	89	-3	+1	+0	-3	+8	0.3
2013	20	A	2 teams	335	312	62	11	3	8	19	73	2	2	0	.199	.249	.330	.579	.131	.232	22	6	.254	53	-18	+0	+0	-4	+9	-1.2
2014	21	A+	2 teams	489	449	97	21	6	5	30	106	6	9	2	.216	.274	.323	.597	.107	.271	22	6	.262	59	-23	+1	+0	-5	+14	-1.3
2015	22	AA	2 teams	508	458	125	31	11	7	42	90	2	19	4	.273	.337	.434	.771	.162	.322	18	8	.335	114	+8	+2	+0	-5	+14	2.0
2016	23	MLB	2 teams	575	511	125	23	8	19	53	110	3	7	3	.245	.319	.432	.752	.188	.272	19	9	.323	105	+3	+0	+8	-6	+16	2.2
2017	24	MLB	Minnesota Twins	568	511	123	32	1	18	47	114	6	6	1	.241	.312	.413	.725	.172	.275	20	8	.309	94	-4	+1	+5	-6	+16	1.2
2018	25	MLB	Minnesota Twins	611	532	114	32	2	17	71	96	5	4	5	.214	.312	.378	.690	.164	.230	16	12	.300	88	-8	-1	+5	-7	+17	0.6
2019	26	MLB	Minnesota Twins	596	524	133	29	0	38	60	99	8	1	5	.254	.340	.527	.866	.273	.243	17	10	.369	140	+27	-2	+4	-6	+17	4.0
2020	27	MLB	Minnesota Twins	196	171	39	8	0	10	22	36	2	3	0	.228	.323	.450	.773	.222	.230	18	11	.329	110	+2	+1	+1	-2	+6	0.7
2021	28	MLB	Minnesota Twins	490	426	91	22	4	20	54	96	6	10	0	.214	.311	.425	.736	.211	.226	20	11	.315	99	-0	+2	+5	-5	+14	1.6
2022	29	MLB	Minnesota Twins	446	388	86	18	1	8	49	66	5	3	2	.222	.317	.335	.652	.113	.245	15	11	.294	83	-8	-0	+6	-5	+13	0.6
2023	30	MLB	Minnesota Twins	491	438	117	22	2	26	45	106	4	1	1	.267	.341	.505	.845	.237	.294	22	9	.366	138	+21	-0	+2	-5	+14	3.2
2024	31	MLB	Minnesota Twins	399	369	89	20	1	8	22	80	5	1	0	.241	.293	.366	.659	.125	.285	20	6	.289	79	-9	+0	+1	-4	+11	-0.1
2025	32	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	474	417	86	19	0	16	48	93	4	3	0	.206	.294	.367	.661	.161	.224	20	10	.289	79	-11	+1	-3	-5	+13	-0.5
▸ 2026 Season
2026	33	MLB	PHI	402	361	83	17	1	15	34	82	4	3	1	.230	.303	.407	.710	.177	.257	20	8	.316	100	-0	+0	+1	-4	+11	0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	34	MLB	PHI	357	321	73	15	1	13	30	75	3	1	0	.227	.299	.402	.701	.174	.254	21	8	.309	95	-2	+0	-4	-4	+10	0.0
2028	35	MLB	PHI	303	272	60	12	1	10	25	67	3	0	0	.221	.293	.382	.676	.162	.252	22	8	.300	88	-4	+0	-5	-3	+9	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7883	7046	1629	356	49	247	691	1552	79	87	26	.231	.307	.401	.708	.170	.261	20	9	.308	94	-57	+7	+25	-84	+223	11.6
/ 162G	—			650	581	134	29	4	20	57	128	7	7	2	.231	.307	.398	.705	.167	.260	20	9	.308	94	-5	+1	+2	-7	+18	1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2010	17	ROK	GCL Twins	153	140	40	6	1	0	13	27	0	6	1	.286	.346	.343	.689	.057	.354	18	8	.315	100	-0	+1	—	—	+4	0.5
2011	18	ROK	Elizabethton Twins	221	191	50	11	3	1	23	54	3	1	1	.262	.350	.366	.717	.105	.355	24	10	.321	104	+1	-0	—	—	+6	0.7
2012	19	ROK	Elizabethton Twins	269	232	69	16	5	10	27	33	8	7	0	.297	.390	.539	.928	.241	.309	12	10	.403	167	+20	+1	—	—	+8	3.0
2013	20	A	Cedar Rapids Kernels	263	236	56	11	3	9	24	43	2	2	0	.237	.313	.424	.737	.186	.254	16	9	.326	108	+2	+0	—	—	+7	1.0
2013	20	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	72	64	15	5	0	0	7	13	0	0	0	.234	.310	.312	.622	.078	.288	18	10	.283	75	-2	+0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2014	21	A+	Fort Myers Miracle	407	364	96	20	6	5	34	62	5	6	2	.264	.335	.393	.728	.129	.304	15	8	.324	106	+3	+0	—	—	+12	1.5
2014	21	INTL	Salt River Rafters	82	75	23	4	3	0	6	14	1	3	0	.307	.366	.440	.806	.133	.377	17	7	.358	132	+3	+1	—	—	+2	0.6
2015	22	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	482	407	131	32	13	9	67	63	2	18	4	.322	.420	.531	.951	.209	.359	13	14	.412	174	+40	+2	—	—	+14	5.7
2015	22	A+	Fort Myers Miracle	26	24	6	2	0	0	2	5	0	1	0	.250	.308	.333	.641	.083	.316	19	8	.292	81	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2016	23	MLB	Minnesota Twins	447	396	93	20	2	17	42	93	3	6	2	.235	.313	.424	.737	.189	.261	21	9	.324	106	+3	+0	+8	-6	+13	1.8
2016	23	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	128	110	31	4	6	1	16	14	0	1	1	.282	.373	.455	.828	.173	.309	11	12	.361	134	+5	-0	—	—	+4	0.9
2017	24	MLB	Minnesota Twins	568	511	124	32	2	19	47	114	6	6	1	.243	.314	.425	.738	.182	.276	20	8	.326	108	+5	+1	+5	-6	+16	2.1
2018	25	MLB	Minnesota Twins	611	532	119	30	4	20	71	96	5	4	5	.224	.321	.408	.729	.184	.236	16	12	.325	107	+5	-1	+5	-7	+17	1.9
2019	26	MLB	Minnesota Twins	596	524	132	32	0	36	60	99	8	1	5	.252	.338	.519	.857	.267	.244	17	10	.372	143	+29	-2	+4	-6	+17	4.2
2020	27	MLB	Minnesota Twins	196	171	39	9	0	9	22	36	2	3	0	.228	.323	.439	.762	.211	.236	18	11	.337	116	+4	+1	+1	-2	+6	0.9
2021	28	MLB	Minnesota Twins	490	426	90	21	4	19	54	96	6	10	0	.211	.309	.413	.722	.202	.225	20	11	.320	103	+2	+2	+5	-5	+14	1.7
2022	29	MLB	Minnesota Twins	446	388	88	18	1	9	49	66	5	3	2	.227	.321	.348	.669	.121	.249	15	11	.304	91	-5	-0	+6	-5	+13	1.0
2023	30	MLB	Minnesota Twins	491	438	114	22	2	24	45	106	4	1	1	.260	.335	.484	.819	.224	.288	22	9	.357	132	+18	-0	+2	-5	+14	2.8
2024	31	MLB	Minnesota Twins	399	368	93	21	1	8	22	80	5	1	0	.253	.303	.380	.683	.128	.300	20	6	.304	91	-4	+0	+1	-4	+11	0.4
2025	32	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	474	417	90	19	0	18	48	93	4	3	0	.216	.303	.391	.694	.175	.232	20	10	.309	94	-3	+1	-3	-5	+13	0.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			4718	4171	982	224	16	179	460	879	48	38	16	.235	.318	.426	.744	.190	.255	19	10	.329	110	+53	+1	+33	-52	+134	17.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Max Kepler (OGILVIE)	33	50	50	50	50	.230/.302/.406	.176	.257	15	3	20%	8%	100	+1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Mitch Moreland 2019 · MLB	33	45→55	55→60	46→40	52	.237/.313/.427	.190	.270	23	3	22%	10%	109	+2.4	.243/.318/.454	.211	.275	27	3	22%	10%	118	+3.0	.239/.312/.465	.226	.261	31	1	22%	9%	115	+1.1
✕John Mabry 2004 · MLB	33	47	54→60	46→30	51	.243/.317/.425	.181	.273	22	5	20%	8%	110	+2.4	.252/.321/.428	.176	.297	21	3	22%	9%	112	+2.6	.242/.310/.404	.162	.290	20	0	23%	9%	96	+0.6
✕Yonder Alonso 2019 · MLB	32	49→57	53→55	46→45	54	.253/.328/.427	.174	.286	22	3	20%	10%	115	+2.8	.231/.314/.391	.160	.269	20	3	21%	10%	100	+1.7	.202/.300/.343	.141	.235	16	0	21%	11%	76	+0.0
●Aaron Guiel 2006 · MLB	33	45→53	54→60	43→45	48	.235/.309/.420	.185	.266	22	6	21%	7%	106	+2.2	.232/.318/.424	.192	.268	23	6	22%	9%	111	+2.5	.222/.327/.430	.209	.249	25	3	22%	10%	115	+2.0
✕Andy Abad 2006 · MLB	33	49→51	52→50	41→45	47	.252/.299/.421	.169	.272	20	6	17%	6%	102	+1.8	.247/.294/.387	.140	.268	17	6	15%	5%	90	+1.0	.241/.289/.355	.114	.263	14	4	14%	5%	79	+0.1
✕Alex Dickerson 2022 · MLB	32	49→54	56→55	48→45	48	.255/.326/.453	.198	.293	24	4	22%	8%	121	+3.2	.222/.282/.386	.164	.268	20	5	25%	7%	85	+0.7	.196/.249/.341	.145	.238	17	1	25%	6%	56	-0.8
✕Greg Dobbs 2011 · MLB	33	46→56	50→55	48→50	47	.237/.287/.389	.152	.267	18	8	19%	6%	88	+0.9	.252/.297/.367	.115	.295	12	5	18%	6%	85	+0.7	.260/.307/.357	.097	.304	9	3	17%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Garrett Jones 2014 · MLB	33	48→53	58→60	48→50	48	.252/.310/.460	.208	.284	25	5	22%	8%	116	+2.8	.240/.298/.406	.166	.284	19	3	22%	8%	97	+1.5	.234/.294/.381	.147	.279	16	0	22%	8%	82	+0.3
✕Jason Kipnis 2020 · MLB	33	44→54	51→55	48→55	51	.229/.298/.391	.162	.254	19	8	19%	8%	93	+1.3	.238/.315/.403	.165	.289	19	7	23%	9%	104	+2.0	.236/.327/.409	.173	.310	19	3	28%	10%	106	+0.6
✕Kole Calhoun 2020 · MLB	32	43→53	55→60	47→50	53	.230/.314/.416	.186	.265	24	6	24%	10%	107	+2.2	.228/.310/.427	.199	.268	26	5	25%	10%	108	+2.3	.211/.289/.384	.173	.256	23	4	27%	8%	87	+0.4
✕Jeff Liefer 2008 · MLB	33	50→52	54→60	48→30	44	.257/.302/.442	.186	.297	22	7	22%	6%	108	+2.3	.220/.275/.345	.125	.302	12	9	30%	7%	71	-0.3	.195/.253/.303	.108	.270	10	3	30%	7%	51	-0.4
✕Jason Krizan 2022 · AAA	33	50→57	49→55	48→45	49	.250/.301/.398	.148	.276	16	4	17%	7%	95	+1.4	.235/.283/.388	.153	.273	16	5	20%	6%	85	+0.7	.217/.267/.386	.169	.247	18	1	20%	6%	75	-0.0
✕Ricky Ledee 2007 · MLB	33	49→47	50→60	50	51	.245/.316/.405	.160	.286	17	6	21%	9%	104	+2.0	.228/.285/.367	.139	.279	16	5	24%	7%	82	+0.5	.215/.269/.337	.122	.265	15	2	25%	6%	65	-0.4
✕Preston Tucker 2023 · AAA	33	47→45	47→55	48→40	46	.236/.295/.373	.137	.274	15	6	20%	6%	88	+0.9	.241/.323/.403	.162	.292	18	6	23%	9%	107	+2.2	.238/.350/.432	.194	.288	21	2	23%	13%	122	+1.3
✕Shelley Duncan 2012 · MLB	32	43	55→60	45	49	.229/.301/.412	.184	.263	23	3	23%	8%	101	+1.8	.205/.276/.358	.153	.244	19	4	24%	8%	76	+0.1	.178/.249/.316	.138	.209	17	1	25%	8%	51	-1.0
✕Didi Gregorius 2022 · MLB	32	46→55	53→60	47→50	48	.237/.293/.408	.171	.246	21	6	15%	6%	95	+1.4	.215/.277/.344	.129	.238	13	6	16%	6%	72	-0.2	.186/.248/.281	.095	.212	6	3	15%	5%	41	-0.7
●Dan Johnson 2014 · MLB	34	43→53	54→60	45→30	56	.229/.312/.403	.175	.246	23	2	19%	10%	103	+1.9	.208/.294/.356	.148	.241	18	3	21%	10%	83	+0.6	.202/.300/.350	.148	.232	18	0	21%	11%	84	+0.4
✕Michael Ryan 2010 · AAA	33	46→49	51→50	44→30	42	.238/.279/.400	.162	.280	19	4	23%	5%	87	+0.8	.229/.270/.350	.121	.271	10	6	19%	5%	69	-0.4	.219/.256/.322	.104	.259	5	3	17%	5%	54	-0.9
✕Corey Hart 2015 · MLB	33	46→56	52→60	52→55	46	.236/.300/.406	.170	.280	20	6	24%	7%	98	+1.6	.220/.274/.367	.147	.283	18	7	28%	6%	77	+0.1	.182/.203/.311	.129	.250	22	0	37%	2%	24	-0.6
✕Jesús Aguilar 2023 · MLB	33	46→50	54→60	44→40	49	.244/.305/.419	.175	.274	23	2	21%	8%	104	+2.0	.237/.300/.380	.143	.289	19	4	24%	8%	91	+1.1	.232/.301/.344	.112	.291	16	0	25%	8%	79	+0.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)