Jorge Guzman

PosRF

B/TL/R

Born1983-11-28

Age (2027)43

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2016

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2013	29	AAA/INTL2 orgs	474	.236/.300/.400	17	2	55	—	.210/.251/.346
2014	30	AAAToros de Tiju…	300	.244/.326/.361	7	0	49	—	.209/.262/.284
2016	32	AAAOlmecas de Ta…	139	.231/.321/.281	1	1	32	—	.189/.248/.228

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2005	21	AAA	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	66	58	15	3	0	1	7	18	0	0	0	259	338	362	701	103	350	27	11	315	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AAA	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	262	229	51	12	1	8	27	61	1	0	0	223	307	389	696	166	264	23	10	307	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	AAA	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	285	255	72	13	2	8	21	55	3	3	3	282	344	443	787	161	330	19	7	343	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	AAA	Petroleros de Minatitlan	—	217	192	53	11	2	9	20	33	2	0	1	276	350	495	845	219	288	15	9	367	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	AAA	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	171	147	32	9	2	3	19	40	0	0	1	218	307	367	675	150	276	23	11	296	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	AAA	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	409	362	86	10	1	22	40	67	2	2	3	238	317	453	770	215	232	16	10	336	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	INTL	Aguilas de Mexicali	—	230	202	44	5	1	12	25	57	1	0	0	218	307	431	738	213	237	25	11	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	AAA	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	458	397	115	15	0	39	56	95	1	2	4	290	379	622	1.001	332	286	21	12	427	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	INTL	Aguilas de Mexicali	—	253	214	58	9	0	13	34	57	3	0	0	271	378	495	874	224	308	23	13	384	146	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	AAA	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	474	415	121	18	3	21	50	72	6	5	2	292	376	501	877	210	310	15	11	385	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	INTL	Aguilas de Mexicali	—	193	161	33	6	0	5	26	37	2	0	2	205	323	335	658	130	230	19	13	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	AAA	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	427	390	98	18	1	16	33	88	4	1	2	251	316	426	742	174	287	21	8	330	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	47	43	4	0	0	1	3	12	0	1	0	93	152	163	315	70	97	26	6	147	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	AAA	Toros de Tijuana	—	300	266	65	10	0	7	31	76	1	0	0	244	326	361	686	117	317	25	10	311	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	AAA	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	139	121	28	3	0	1	14	24	2	1	2	231	321	281	602	50	276	17	10	280	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2005	21	AAA MLE	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	66	60	15	3	0	1	5	22	0	0	0	250	308	350	658	100	332	33	8	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AAA MLE	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	262	239	46	10	1	6	17	73	1	0	0	192	249	318	567	126	238	28	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	AAA MLE	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	285	263	67	11	2	6	13	66	3	3	3	255	297	380	678	125	306	23	5	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	AAA MLE	Petroleros de Minatitlan	—	217	199	48	9	2	7	13	39	2	0	1	241	294	412	706	171	262	18	6	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	AAA MLE	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	171	155	29	8	2	2	11	48	0	0	1	187	241	303	544	116	246	28	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	AAA MLE	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	409	375	71	8	1	12	27	77	2	2	3	189	248	312	560	123	201	19	7	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	AAA MLE	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	458	419	100	13	0	28	34	112	1	2	4	239	297	470	768	232	252	24	7	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	AAA MLE	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	474	438	112	14	3	15	27	86	6	5	2	256	308	404	712	148	282	18	6	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	AAA MLE	Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz	—	427	405	85	14	1	13	18	101	4	1	2	210	251	346	596	136	249	24	4	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	AAA MLE	Toros de Tijuana	—	300	278	58	9	0	4	19	86	1	0	0	209	262	284	546	76	284	29	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	AAA MLE	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	139	127	24	2	0	1	8	29	2	1	2	189	248	228	477	39	225	21	6	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	21	AAA MLE	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	66	60	15	3	0	1	5	22	0	0	0	250	308	350	658	100	368	33	8	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	21	AAA RAW	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	66	58	15	3	0	1	7	18	0	0	0	259	338	362	701	103	350	27	11	315	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AAA MLE	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	262	239	46	10	1	6	17	73	1	0	0	192	249	318	567	126	245	28	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AAA RAW	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	262	229	51	12	1	8	27	61	1	0	0	223	307	389	696	166	264	23	10	307	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	AAA MLE	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	285	263	67	11	2	6	13	66	3	3	3	255	297	380	678	125	316	23	5	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	AAA RAW	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	285	255	72	13	2	8	21	55	3	3	3	282	344	443	787	161	330	19	7	343	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	AAA MLE	Petroleros de Minatitlan	—	217	199	48	9	2	7	13	39	2	0	1	241	294	412	706	171	263	18	6	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	AAA RAW	Petroleros de Minatitlan	—	217	192	53	11	2	9	20	33	2	0	1	276	350	495	845	219	288	15	9	367	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	AAA MLE	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	171	155	29	8	2	2	11	48	0	0	1	187	241	303	544	116	255	28	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	AAA RAW	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	171	147	32	9	2	3	19	40	0	0	1	218	307	367	675	150	276	23	11	296	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	639	587	112	12	2	19	42	120	3	2	3	191	248	315	564	124	205	19	7	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	639	564	130	15	2	34	65	124	3	2	3	230	313	445	758	215	234	19	10	332	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	711	648	155	21	0	43	53	174	4	2	4	239	301	471	771	231	257	24	7	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	711	611	173	24	0	52	90	152	4	2	4	283	379	578	956	295	294	21	13	411	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	667	613	156	19	4	21	39	121	8	5	4	254	308	401	709	147	284	18	6	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	667	576	154	24	3	26	76	109	8	5	4	267	361	455	815	188	288	16	11	360	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	474	449	95	16	1	14	20	112	4	2	2	212	252	345	597	134	250	24	4	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	474	433	102	18	1	17	36	100	4	2	2	236	300	400	700	164	268	21	8	312	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	AAA MLE	Toros de Tijuana	—	300	278	58	9	0	4	19	86	1	0	0	209	262	284	546	76	287	29	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	AAA RAW	Toros de Tijuana	—	300	266	65	10	0	7	31	76	1	0	0	244	326	361	686	117	317	25	10	311	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	AAA MLE	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	139	127	24	2	0	1	8	29	2	1	2	189	248	228	477	39	232	21	6	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	AAA RAW	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	139	121	28	3	0	1	14	24	2	1	2	231	321	281	602	50	276	17	10	280	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2005	21	AAA MLE	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	66	61	15	3	0	1	5	22	0	0	0	246	308	344	652	98	332	33	8	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	22	AAA MLE	Saraperos de Saltillo	—	262	242	46	10	1	6	17	73	1	0	0	190	249	314	563	124	238	28	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	23	AAA MLE	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	285	267	67	11	2	6	13	66	3	3	3	251	297	375	672	124	306	23	5	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	24	AAA MLE	Petroleros de Minatitlan	—	217	200	48	9	2	7	13	39	2	0	1	240	294	410	704	170	262	18	6	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	25	AAA MLE	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	171	158	29	8	2	2	11	48	0	0	1	184	241	297	538	114	246	28	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	639	589	112	12	2	19	42	120	3	2	3	190	248	314	563	124	201	19	7	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	711	648	155	21	0	43	53	174	4	2	4	239	301	471	771	231	252	24	7	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	667	615	156	19	4	21	39	121	8	5	4	254	308	400	708	146	282	18	6	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	474	447	95	16	1	14	20	112	4	2	2	213	252	347	598	134	249	24	4	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	30	AAA MLE	Toros de Tijuana	—	300	277	58	9	0	4	19	86	1	0	0	209	262	285	547	76	284	29	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	32	AAA MLE	Olmecas de Tabasco	—	139	128	24	2	0	1	8	29	2	1	2	188	248	227	475	39	225	21	6	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	3931	3618	805	120	14	124	240	890	28	15	20	222	276	366	642	144	259	23	6	279	75	-116	-5	+0	-42	+85	-7.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	598	133	20	2	21	40	147	5	2	3	222	277	368	645	145	258	23	6	279	75	-19	-1	+0	-7	+14	-1.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2016 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 139 PAwOBA .268 → .216 (−52)K% 17.3% → 21.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.27%	÷0.977	×1.200	—	—	21.20%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.91%	÷0.933	×0.690	—	×0.942	5.51%
HBP% /PA	1.44%	—	×0.940	—	×0.942	1.27%
Singles /BIP	24.74%	÷1.022	×0.930	×0.977	×0.942	20.73%
Doubles /BIP	3.09%	÷1.142	×0.830	×0.977	×0.942	2.07%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.977	×0.942	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.03%	÷0.872	×0.700	—	×0.942	0.78%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 104, 2B 128, 3B 100, K 95, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.

Result: wOBA .268 → .216; ISO .050 → .036; BABIP .276 → .225. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAToros de Tijuana · 300 PAwOBA .301 → .241 (−60)K% 25.3% → 28.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.33%	÷1.058	×1.200	—	—	28.74%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.00%	÷1.035	×0.690	—	×0.962	6.41%
HBP% /PA	0.33%	—	×0.940	—	×0.962	0.30%
Singles /BIP	25.26%	÷0.982	×0.930	×1.015	×0.962	23.36%
Doubles /BIP	5.26%	÷0.956	×0.830	×1.015	×0.962	4.46%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.901	×0.920	×1.015	×0.962	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.68%	÷1.271	×0.700	—	×0.962	1.95%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 154, 1B 96, 2B 91, 3B 80, K 112, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.

Result: wOBA .301 → .241; ISO .117 → .075; BABIP .317 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAARojos del Aguila de Veracruz · 427 PAwOBA .317 → .261 (−56)K% 20.6% → 23.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.61%	÷1.044	×1.200	—	—	23.68%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.56%	÷1.011	×0.690	—	×0.972	4.35%
HBP% /PA	0.94%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	0.86%
Singles /BIP	20.86%	÷0.995	×0.930	×0.995	×0.972	18.85%
Doubles /BIP	5.96%	÷1.015	×0.830	×0.995	×0.972	4.71%
Triples /BIP	0.33%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.995	×0.972	0.26%
Home runs /BIP	5.30%	÷0.867	×0.700	—	×0.972	4.16%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 99, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 109, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.

Result: wOBA .317 → .261; ISO .174 → .138; BABIP .287 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAARojos del Aguila de Veracruz · 474 PAwOBA .371 → .308 (−63)K% 15.2% → 18.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.19%	÷1.004	×1.200	—	—	18.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.28%	÷1.087	×0.690	—	×0.982	5.79%
HBP% /PA	1.27%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	1.17%
Singles /BIP	23.03%	÷0.959	×0.930	×1.022	×0.982	22.41%
Doubles /BIP	5.25%	÷1.125	×0.830	×1.022	×0.982	3.88%
Triples /BIP	0.87%	÷1.027	×0.920	×1.022	×0.982	0.79%
Home runs /BIP	6.12%	÷1.014	×0.700	—	×0.982	4.15%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 92, 2B 125, 3B 105, K 101, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.

Result: wOBA .371 → .308; ISO .210 → .153; BABIP .310 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAARojos del Aguila de Veracruz · 458 PAwOBA .414 → .329 (−85)K% 20.7% → 24.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.74%	÷1.017	×1.200	—	—	24.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.92%	÷1.016	×0.690	—	×0.992	7.35%
HBP% /PA	0.22%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	0.20%
Singles /BIP	20.20%	÷0.963	×0.930	×0.977	×0.992	18.91%
Doubles /BIP	4.97%	÷0.941	×0.830	×0.977	×0.992	4.25%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.920	×0.977	×0.992	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	12.91%	÷1.007	×0.700	—	×0.992	8.90%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 93, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 103, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.

Result: wOBA .414 → .329; ISO .332 → .243; BABIP .286 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAARojos del Aguila de Veracruz · 409 PAwOBA .328 → .248 (−80)K% 16.4% → 18.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.38%	÷1.045	×1.200	—	—	18.81%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.29%	÷0.992	×0.690	—	×1.003	6.48%
HBP% /PA	0.49%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.46%
Singles /BIP	17.97%	÷0.982	×0.930	×0.970	×1.003	16.56%
Doubles /BIP	3.39%	÷1.050	×0.830	×0.970	×1.003	2.61%
Triples /BIP	0.34%	÷0.900	×0.920	×0.970	×1.003	0.34%
Home runs /BIP	7.46%	÷1.287	×0.700	—	×1.003	4.07%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 157, 1B 96, 2B 110, 3B 80, K 109, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.

Result: wOBA .328 → .248; ISO .215 → .130; BABIP .232 → .201. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 171 PAwOBA .283 → .242 (−41)K% 23.4% → 28.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.39%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	28.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.36%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.018	6.57%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	0.00%
Singles /BIP	16.82%	÷1.000	×0.930	×0.983	×1.018	15.65%
Doubles /BIP	8.41%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.983	×1.018	6.98%
Triples /BIP	1.87%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.983	×1.018	1.72%
Home runs /BIP	2.80%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.018	2.00%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.

Result: wOBA .283 → .242; ISO .150 → .125; BABIP .276 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2008 AAAPetroleros de Minatitlan · 217 PAwOBA .360 → .306 (−54)K% 15.2% → 18.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.21%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	18.25%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.76%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.033	6.24%
HBP% /PA	0.92%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	0.89%
Singles /BIP	19.50%	÷1.000	×0.930	×0.989	×1.033	18.52%
Doubles /BIP	6.92%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.989	×1.033	5.87%
Triples /BIP	1.26%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.989	×1.033	1.18%
Home runs /BIP	5.66%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.033	4.09%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.

Result: wOBA .360 → .306; ISO .219 → .173; BABIP .288 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .