Gavin Sheets — OGILVIE

Gavin SheetsLF San Diego Padres

Age 30 L/L 6'3" / 235 lbs MLB HR -7% Svc 4.442 · Ctrl thru 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION322 act + 214 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 77101vR 110

AVG/OBP/SLG.232 / .315 / .406

PA214

HR8

K%21

BB%10

BABIP262

ISO174

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

857.4%

xwOBA

670.328

POWER45

Barrel%

467.7

Avg EV

4588.7

Bat Spd

8374.8

EYE45

Chase%

7726.5%

SPEED50

Sprint

3226.6

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1119 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

245

874

—

wRC+

104

▶▶R

wOBA

279

322

▶R

ISO

116

171

▶▶R

BABIP

280

281

—

20.8%

20.5%

—

BB%

6.1%

8.4%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2021

Service 4.442 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$2M	+0.4	$2M	-$0.2M
2027	Arb-3	$3M	+0.6	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$2M		$4M	-$0.2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	21	A	2 teams	—	235	212	50	9	0	5	15	48	5	0	0	236	302	349	651	113	281	20	6	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	A	2 teams	—	235	204	57	12	0	4	23	34	5	0	0	279	366	397	763	118	317	14	10	343	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	497	459	113	24	1	5	30	134	3	1	0	246	297	336	632	89	332	27	6	279	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	497	437	128	28	2	6	52	81	3	1	0	293	372	407	779	114	344	16	10	349	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA	2 teams	—	608	548	123	16	1	17	50	145	4	3	1	224	294	350	644	126	270	24	8	284	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA	2 teams	—	608	536	142	23	1	16	62	122	4	3	1	265	346	401	747	136	312	20	10	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA	2 teams	—	433	397	95	18	0	17	31	105	2	1	1	239	298	413	711	174	281	24	7	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA	2 teams	—	433	387	107	23	0	22	41	95	2	1	1	276	349	506	855	230	311	22	9	373	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	MLB	2 teams	—	449	415	98	22	0	15	28	94	3	0	0	236	289	398	687	161	269	21	6	300	88	-6	+0	-6	-5	+13	-0.4
2022	26	MLB	2 teams	—	449	414	101	23	0	17	29	92	3	0	0	244	298	423	721	179	273	20	6	317	101	+1	+0	-6	-5	+13	0.3
2023	27	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	344	311	63	10	0	10	28	66	1	1	0	203	271	331	602	129	222	19	8	260	57	-17	+0	-6	-4	+10	-1.7
2023	27	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	344	311	63	10	0	10	28	66	1	1	0	203	271	331	602	129	222	19	8	270	65	-14	+0	-6	-4	+10	-1.4
2024	28	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	501	451	104	23	1	10	43	106	4	2	2	231	303	353	656	122	278	21	9	290	80	-11	-0	-8	-9	+14	-1.5
2024	28	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	501	451	105	24	1	10	43	106	4	2	2	233	305	357	662	124	281	21	9	298	87	-8	-0	-8	-9	+14	-1.1
2025	29	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	545	492	128	30	1	20	44	107	5	2	1	260	327	447	774	187	293	20	8	337	116	+10	+0	-3	-6	+15	1.7
2025	29	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	545	492	124	28	1	19	44	107	5	2	1	252	320	429	749	177	284	20	8	331	111	+7	+0	-3	-6	+15	1.4
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	30	MLB	SD	—	322	280	62	15	0	14	38	70	4	4	0	221	323	425	748	204	245	22	12	331	111	+4	+1	-4	-6	+9	0.5
YTD	30	MLB	SD	—	322	280	62	15	0	14	38	70	4	4	0	221	323	425	748	204	245	22	12	335	114	+5	+1	-4	-6	+9	0.6
ROS	30	MLB	SD	100%	214	189	44	9	0	8	21	45	2	2	0	232	315	406	721	174	265	21	10	327	108	+2	+0	+0	-4	+6	0.5
ROS	30	MLB	SD	100%	215	189	44	9	0	8	22	45	2	2	0	233	319	407	727	175	261	21	10	314	98	-0	+0	+0	-4	+6	0.3
FULL	30	MLB	SD	—	537	469	106	24	0	22	60	115	6	6	0	226	321	418	739	192	252	21	11	324	106	+4	+1	-3	-10	+15	0.8
TOT	30	MLB	SD	—	536	469	106	24	0	22	59	115	6	6	0	226	320	417	737	192	252	21	11	329	110	+6	+1	-3	-10	+15	1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	31	MLB	SD	100%	466	411	96	20	0	17	47	99	5	4	0	234	320	406	726	173	265	21	10	324	106	+3	+1	-2	-8	+13	0.7
2028	32	MLB	SD	100%	447	394	89	18	0	16	45	97	5	3	0	226	313	393	706	168	260	22	10	317	101	+0	+1	-3	-8	+13	0.3
2027	31	MLB	SD	100%	466	411	94	20	0	16	47	99	5	4	0	229	315	394	709	165	261	21	10	311	96	-2	+1	-2	-8	+13	0.2
2028	32	MLB	SD	100%	447	394	88	18	0	15	45	97	5	3	0	223	311	383	694	160	256	22	10	305	91	-4	+1	-3	-8	+13	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3107	2785	649	136	2	104	272	646	27	14	3	233	307	395	703	162	265	21	9	310	96	-15	+2	-30	-48	+88	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	135	28	0	22	57	135	6	3	1	232	307	393	700	161	263	21	9	310	96	-3	+0	-6	-10	+18	-0.1
Career	—			—	4739	4279	1003	199	4	140	382	1046	39	19	5	234	303	381	684	147	276	22	8	301	89	-61	+2	-30	-72	+134	-2.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	138	27	1	19	52	143	5	3	1	235	303	382	684	147	277	22	8	301	89	-8	+0	-4	-10	+18	-0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	21	A	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	218	192	51	10	0	3	20	34	4	0	0	266	347	365	712	99	308	16	9	323	105	+1	+0	—	—	+6	0.8
2017	21	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	17	12	6	2	0	1	3	0	1	0	0	500	625	917	1.542	417	455	0	18	600	317	+4	+0	—	—	+0	0.5
2018	22	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	497	437	128	28	2	6	52	81	3	1	0	293	372	407	779	114	344	16	10	349	125	+14	+0	—	—	+14	2.9
2019	23	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	527	464	124	18	1	16	54	99	4	3	1	267	349	414	762	147	305	19	10	340	118	+11	+0	—	—	+15	2.7
2019	23	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	81	72	18	5	0	0	8	23	0	0	0	250	325	319	644	69	360	28	10	293	83	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2021	25	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	179	160	40	8	0	11	16	40	2	0	0	250	326	506	832	256	264	22	9	362	135	+7	+0	-2	-5	+5	0.5
2021	25	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	254	227	67	15	0	11	25	55	0	1	1	295	365	507	872	211	344	22	10	381	149	+14	-0	—	—	+7	2.2
2022	26	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	410	377	91	19	0	15	27	86	3	0	0	241	297	411	708	170	272	21	7	313	98	-1	+0	-6	-5	+12	-0.0
2022	26	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	39	37	10	4	0	2	2	6	0	0	0	270	308	541	848	270	276	15	5	367	139	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	27	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	344	311	63	10	0	10	28	66	1	1	0	203	271	331	602	129	222	19	8	270	65	-14	+0	-6	-4	+10	-1.4
2024	28	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	501	451	105	24	1	10	43	106	4	2	2	233	305	357	662	124	281	21	9	298	87	-8	-0	-8	-9	+14	-1.1
2025	29	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	545	492	124	28	1	19	44	107	5	2	1	252	320	429	749	177	284	20	8	331	111	+7	+0	-3	-6	+15	1.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1979	1791	423	89	2	65	158	405	15	5	3	236	303	397	700	161	268	20	8	311	96	-8	-0	-26	-28	+56	-0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	11	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	4	242	316	418	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#2Mitch Morelandlast yr '21 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,536 PA	12	4,536	186	11	251	318	446	-81	-56	5.9	6.1
	/162	664	27	2	251	318	446	-11.9	-8.1	0.9	pk7: 6
#3Brandon Mosslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,459 PA	8	3,459	160	11	238	315	455	-53	-41	5.9	5.9
	/162	664	31	2	238	315	455	-10.2	-7.9	1.1	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	3,745	130	19	235	307	404	-60	-56	4.3	5.0
	/162	664	23	3	235	307	404	-10.7	-9.9	0.8	pk7: 6
#4Justin Smoaklast yr '20 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,750 PA	11	4,750	196	3	229	322	419	-85	-77	1.9	3.8
	/162	664	27	0	229	322	419	-11.9	-10.7	0.3	pk7: 6
#5Logan Morrisonlast yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,713 PA	9	3,713	137	23	239	325	427	-58	-79	1.7	2.6
	/162	664	24	4	239	325	427	-10.4	-14.1	0.3	pk7: 3
#6Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	6	2,377	81	7	239	332	416	-42	-36	1.7	1.7
#6Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	/162	664	23	2	239	332	416	-11.9	-10.1	0.5	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gavin Sheets (OGILVIE)	30	55	45	50	45	226/320/417	192	252	22	6	21%	11%	110	+1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nate Schierholtz 2014 · MLB	30	49→58	53→55	47→50	48	251/306/436	184	278	20	8	18%	6%	108	+2.3	219/268/362	143	259	16	7	22%	6%	72	-0.2	193/236/302	109	235	12	5	24%	5%	41	-1.0
✕Terrmel Sledge 2007 · MLB	30	49→52	55	47→45	53	253/324/438	186	287	22	7	21%	10%	116	+2.8	238/316/401	163	290	19	8	24%	10%	103	+1.9	220/315/367	147	270	18	4	24%	11%	89	+0.4
✕Yoshi Tsutsugo 2022 · MLB	30	43	55→50	42→30	53	228/314/412	184	273	23	3	25%	11%	105	+2.1	227/315/379	152	301	18	4	29%	11%	97	+1.5	216/313/352	135	294	17	2	30%	12%	88	+0.5
✕John Rodriguez 2008 · MLB	30	49→47	51→55	51→40	48	244/321/412	168	301	18	6	24%	8%	108	+2.3	226/298/378	152	283	17	4	26%	7%	91	+1.1	213/287/362	149	262	17	1	25%	7%	79	+0.1
●Garrett Jones 2011 · MLB	30	49→53	54→60	48→50	49	257/311/440	183	286	22	11	20%	7%	111	+2.5	254/313/453	199	290	24	7	21%	8%	115	+2.8	251/311/458	207	286	25	4	21%	8%	113	+2.1
✕Andy Phillips 2007 · MLB	30	46→55	54→55	47→40	45	243/291/423	180	277	22	7	22%	6%	98	+1.6	259/309/398	139	292	16	5	17%	6%	99	+1.7	267/318/394	127	298	15	3	15%	6%	100	+0.9
●Max Kepler 2023 · MLB	30	44→54	50→60	50	57	224/315/383	159	245	18	8	17%	11%	98	+1.6	242/314/413	171	275	20	4	20%	9%	106	+2.2	239/310/412	174	271	22	2	20%	8%	101	+1.4
✕DJ Stewart 2023 · MLB	29	44→47	54→60	49→50	54	228/332/403	175	289	23	6	28%	12%	111	+2.5	211/314/395	184	266	25	6	29%	11%	102	+1.9	184/295/360	177	228	25	5	31%	11%	84	+0.3
✕Shane Spencer 2002 · MLB	30	51→50	52→50	48→45	49	260/318/429	169	290	19	7	18%	7%	111	+2.5	252/323/395	143	296	15	6	19%	9%	105	+2.1	251/326/384	132	299	13	5	19%	9%	99	+0.9
✕Mark Payton 2021 · MLB	29	46→53	52→55	45→50	47	238/297/410	172	282	20	10	23%	8%	98	+1.6	235/289/375	140	278	13	12	20%	7%	85	+0.7	240/295/371	131	286	11	10	19%	7%	84	+0.5
●Mike Ford 2021 · MLB	29	42→52	56→55	43→30	50	225/294/417	191	239	25	3	19%	8%	99	+1.7	208/290/375	167	253	22	3	27%	9%	87	+0.8	223/311/397	174	263	23	2	24%	10%	98	+0.8
✕Mitch Moreland 2016 · MLB	30	49→59	54→60	47→40	47	253/314/433	179	292	22	3	22%	7%	111	+2.5	241/311/425	184	279	23	3	22%	8%	108	+2.3	235/317/434	200	266	24	1	22%	10%	108	+1.7
✕Caleb Gindl 2018 · AAA	29	46→55	53→50	50	42	240/281/421	180	287	20	5	25%	5%	93	+1.3	251/302/390	139	315	13	5	23%	7%	93	+1.3	269/323/384	115	337	8	0	21%	7%	99	+0.8
✕Rico Washington 2008 · AAA	30	49→52	51→55	48→45	51	251/314/419	168	278	19	6	18%	8%	107	+2.2	228/311/384	156	265	17	6	20%	9%	97	+1.5	197/307/352	155	222	19	0	21%	12%	87	+0.5
✕Jeff Bailey 2009 · MLB	30	46→49	53→55	45	49	238/318/415	177	283	21	7	24%	9%	108	+2.3	225/303/368	143	279	16	6	24%	8%	90	+1.0	211/290/333	122	267	12	4	25%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Brad Nelson 2013 · AAA	30	44→48	53→50	44→50	48	230/295/400	170	275	21	4	25%	8%	95	+1.4	215/270/347	132	260	16	4	23%	7%	69	-0.4	196/249/303	106	235	13	1	22%	6%	49	-1.1
✕Colin Moran 2023 · MLB	30	45→55	49→55	46→30	48	228/297/369	142	290	17	3	27%	9%	87	+0.8	226/295/354	128	293	15	6	27%	8%	82	+0.5	216/293/304	88	281	11	0	26%	8%	65	-0.2
✕Todd Sears 2005 · MLB	29	49→57	49→50	49→45	50	245/317/396	151	293	17	9	22%	9%	102	+1.9	253/309/385	132	324	15	5	25%	7%	96	+1.5	257/313/377	120	329	13	3	25%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Enrique Hernández 2022 · MLB	30	46→56	54→60	48→45	53	241/319/427	187	269	21	3	20%	9%	111	+2.5	232/299/374	142	267	15	3	19%	8%	89	+1.0	231/286/374	143	268	18	2	21%	7%	81	+0.3
✕Armando Rios 2002 · MLB	30	50	56→55	47→45	55	258/333/461	203	288	22	7	19%	10%	125	+3.5	246/305/374	128	283	13	6	17%	8%	92	+1.2	244/293/317	73	284	5	2	15%	6%	67	-0.2