Michael Busch — OGILVIE

Michael Busch1B Chicago Cubs

Age 28 L/R 5'11" / 210 lbs MLB HR -8% Svc 2.262S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION655 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 94120vR 129

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP290

ISO213

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$28M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

877.2%

xAVG

320.237

POWER60

Barrel%

7812.4

Avg EV

6590.1

Bat Spd

1267.3

EYE55

Chase%

9017.6%

SPEED45

Sprint

1725.9

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%26%▼27% over 111 PA (30d) · proj 24%

BB%10%▼9% over 172 PA (45d) · proj 11%

ISO.185▼.163 over 209 AB (60d) · proj .214xISO .173 vs .251 prior — approach backs the move

HR/BB6.0%▼5.2% over 154 BBE (60d) · proj 7.0%barrel% 9.2% vs 14.2% prior — approach backs the move

BABIP.287·.281 over 146 BIP (60d) · proj .288xBABIP .253 vs .296 prior

SLASH.235/.321/.420▼▼proj .246/.336/.459

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1267 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

232

1035

—

wRC+

131

▶▶R

wOBA

300

361

▶▶R

ISO

135

235

▶▶R

BABIP

282

306

▶R

24.6%

25.9%

◀L

BB%

9.1%

10.2%

▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2023

Service 2.262 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.1M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.3M
2027	Arb-2	$6M	+2.6	$20M	+$15M
2028	Arb-3	$9M	+2.3	$16M	+$8M
2029	Arb-4	$12M	+2.0	$13M	+$4M
Totals		$28M		$49M	+$27M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	21	A	Great Lakes Loons	—	19	11	2	0	0	0	6	3	1	0	0	182	500	182	682		222	16	32	354	126	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2019	21	ROK	AZL Dodgers Lasorda	—	16	13	1	0	0	0	1	2	2	0	0	77	250	77	327		91	12	6	192	16	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2019	21	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	22	13	3	0	0	1	9	4	0	1	0	231	545	462	1.007	231	250	18	41	462	199	+3	+0	—	—	+0	0.3
2021	23	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	495	409	109	27	1	20	70	129	12	2	3	267	389	484	873	218	337	26	14	385	147	+28	-1	—	—	+11	3.8
2022	24	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	504	444	118	32	0	21	50	131	5	3	2	266	347	480	826	214	327	26	10	361	131	+18	-0	—	—	+11	3.0
2022	24	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	137	108	33	6	0	11	24	36	4	1	0	306	449	667	1.115	361	355	26	18	473	206	+17	+0	—	—	+3	2.1
2023	25	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	81	72	12	3	0	2	8	27	0	1	0	167	250	292	542	125	227	33	10	246	53	-5	+0	-3	+2	+2	-0.4
2023	25	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	469	390	126	26	4	27	65	88	11	4	0	323	433	618	1.051	295	356	19	14	452	192	+51	+1	—	—	+10	6.4
2024	26	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	567	496	123	28	2	21	63	162	4	2	1	248	337	440	777	192	322	29	11	344	119	+13	+0	-4	-10	+12	1.1
2025	27	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	592	524	137	25	5	34	56	139	10	4	0	261	344	523	867	261	292	23	9	377	142	+29	+1	-6	-11	+13	2.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1240	1092	272	56	7	57	127	328	14	7	1	249	335	470	805	221	301	26	10	353	125	+37	+1	-13	-19	+27	3.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	21	A MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	19	13	2	0	0	0	4	4	1	0	0	154	389	154	543		209	21	21	300	89	-0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2019	21	ROK MLE	AZL Dodgers Lasorda	—	16	13	1	0	0	0	1	3	2	0	0	77	250	77	327		75	19	6	137	-21	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2021	23	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	495	433	96	23	1	16	46	163	12	2	3	222	314	390	704	169	301	33	9	308	95	-3	-1	—	—	+11	0.7
2022	24	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	504	461	96	26	0	16	33	167	5	3	2	208	269	369	637	161	278	33	7	276	73	-16	-0	—	—	+11	-0.6
2022	24	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	137	115	29	5	0	9	17	45	4	1	0	252	368	530	898	278	312	33	12	372	138	+6	+0	—	—	+3	1.0
2023	25	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	81	72	12	3	0	2	8	27	0	1	0	167	250	292	542	125	227	33	10	246	53	-5	+0	-3	+2	+2	-0.4
2023	25	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	469	409	104	21	3	21	46	113	11	4	0	254	345	474	820	220	293	24	10	351	124	+13	+1	—	—	+10	2.5
2024	26	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	567	496	124	28	2	22	63	162	4	2	1	250	339	448	787	198	322	29	11	340	116	+11	+0	-4	-10	+12	0.9
2025	27	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	592	524	137	25	4	35	56	139	10	4	0	261	344	525	869	263	292	23	9	373	139	+27	+1	-6	-11	+13	2.4
2019	21	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	57	45	5	0	0	0	8	11	3	1	0	111	286	111	397		143	19	14	225	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	INTL RAW	3 teams	—	57	37	6	0	0	1	16	9	3	1	0	162	446	243	690	81	179	16	28	350	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	495	433	96	23	1	16	46	163	12	2	3	222	314	390	704	169	310	33	9	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA RAW	Tulsa Drillers	—	495	409	109	27	1	20	70	129	12	2	3	267	389	484	873	218	337	26	14	385	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	641	576	124	31	0	24	50	213	9	4	2	215	288	394	682	179	290	33	8	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	641	552	151	38	0	32	74	167	9	4	2	274	369	516	885	243	331	26	12	385	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	550	481	116	24	3	23	54	140	11	5	0	241	332	447	778	206	289	25	10	336	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	550	462	138	29	4	29	73	115	11	5	0	299	407	567	974	268	339	21	13	422	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	567	496	124	28	2	22	63	162	4	2	1	250	339	448	787	198	323	29	11	340	116	+11	+0	-4	-10	+12	0.9
2024	26	MLB RAW	Chicago Cubs	—	567	496	123	28	2	21	63	162	4	2	1	248	337	440	777	192	322	29	11	344	116	+11	+0	-4	-10	+12	0.9
2025	27	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	592	524	137	25	4	35	56	139	10	4	0	261	344	525	869	263	290	23	9	373	139	+27	+1	-6	-11	+13	2.4
2025	27	MLB RAW	Chicago Cubs	—	592	524	137	25	5	34	56	139	10	4	0	261	344	523	867	261	292	23	9	377	139	+27	+1	-6	-11	+13	2.4
2019	21	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	57	46	5	0	0	0	8	11	3	1	0	109	286	109	394		148	19	14	225	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	495	434	96	23	1	16	46	163	12	2	3	221	314	389	703	168	301	33	9	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	641	577	124	31	0	24	50	213	9	4	2	215	288	393	682	179	285	33	8	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	550	480	116	24	3	23	54	140	11	5	0	242	332	448	779	206	283	25	10	336	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	567	495	124	28	2	22	63	162	4	2	1	251	339	448	788	198	322	29	11	340	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	592	521	137	25	4	35	56	139	10	4	0	263	344	528	872	265	292	23	9	373	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	550	480	116	24	3	23	54	140	11	5	0	242	332	448	779	206	283	25	10	336	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	567	495	124	28	2	22	63	162	4	2	1	251	339	448	788	198	322	29	11	340	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	592	521	137	25	4	35	56	139	10	4	0	263	344	528	872	265	292	23	9	373	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	28	MLB MLE	CHC	—	655	556	133	27	2	20	82	150	12	2	1	239	349	403	752	164	289	23	13	331	110	+8	+0	+1	-12	+14	1.2
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	28	MLB RAW	CHC	—	655	556	132	27	2	19	82	150	12	2	1	237	348	396	743	158	288	23	13	335	110	+8	+0	+1	-12	+14	1.2
YTD	28	MLB RAW	CHC	—	655	556	132	27	2	19	82	150	12	2	1	237	348	396	743	158	288	23	13	335	113	+10	+0	+1	-12	+14	1.4
ROS	28	MLB MLE	CHC	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		289	22	11	345	120	+0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
ROS	28	MLB CTX	CHC	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		290	22	11	331	120	+0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
FULL	28	MLB A+C	CHC	—	664	564	133	27	2	19	83	152	12	2	1	236	346	392	738	156	286	23	12	335	110	+8	+0	+1	-12	+14	1.2
TOT	28	MLB MLE	CHC	—	664	564	134	27	2	20	83	152	12	2	1	238	347	399	746	161	287	23	12	331	110	+8	+0	+1	-12	+14	1.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	CHC	100%	660	566	141	30	3	24	78	156	11	3	1	249	351	440	791	191	300	24	12	351	124	+19	+0	+4	-12	+14	2.6
2028	30	MLB MLE	CHC	100%	660	566	138	29	3	23	78	158	11	2	1	244	347	428	774	184	298	24	12	348	122	+17	+0	+3	-12	+14	2.3
2029	31	MLB MLE	CHC	100%	660	566	137	29	3	23	78	160	11	2	1	242	345	426	771	184	294	24	12	343	118	+14	+0	+3	-12	+14	2.0
2030	32	MLB MLE	CHC	100%	657	563	133	27	3	22	78	162	11	2	1	236	340	412	753	176	288	25	12	335	113	+10	+0	+2	-12	+14	1.5
2031	33	MLB MLE	CHC	100%	567	486	111	22	2	18	67	143	9	1	0	228	333	393	726	165	281	25	12	326	107	+5	+0	+1	-10	+12	0.8
2032	34	MLB MLE	CHC	100%	479	412	89	17	2	14	56	123	8	1	0	216	321	369	690	153	272	26	12	315	99	-0	+0	-1	-9	+10	0.1
2027	29	MLB CTX	CHC	100%	660	566	141	30	4	23	78	156	11	3	1	249	351	438	789	189	302	24	12	338	124	+19	+0	+4	-12	+14	2.6
2028	30	MLB CTX	CHC	100%	660	566	139	30	3	22	78	158	11	2	1	246	348	426	774	180	299	24	12	334	122	+17	+0	+3	-12	+14	2.3
2029	31	MLB CTX	CHC	100%	660	566	137	29	3	22	78	160	11	2	1	242	345	420	766	178	296	24	12	330	118	+14	+0	+3	-12	+14	2.0
2030	32	MLB CTX	CHC	100%	657	563	133	28	3	21	78	162	11	2	1	236	340	409	749	172	290	25	12	322	113	+10	+0	+2	-12	+14	1.5
2031	33	MLB CTX	CHC	100%	567	486	110	22	2	17	67	143	9	1	0	226	331	385	716	158	283	25	12	313	107	+5	+0	+1	-10	+12	0.8
2032	34	MLB CTX	CHC	100%	479	412	90	17	2	14	56	123	8	1	0	218	324	371	695	153	274	26	12	303	99	-0	+0	-1	-9	+10	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4932	4259	1023	212	24	176	563	1232	75	18	5	240	339	425	764	185	295	25	11	332	112	+102	+2	-1	-85	+107	12.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	561	135	28	3	23	74	162	10	2	1	241	339	424	763	184	296	25	11	332	112	+13	+0	-0	-11	+14	1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	6594	5722	1352	285	26	244	713	1732	110	29	10	236	332	423	755	187	293	26	11	334	112	+102	+2	-1	-85	+107	12.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	564	134	28	3	24	70	171	11	3	1	238	333	426	759	188	295	26	11	334	112	+13	+0	-0	-11	+14	1.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Anthony Rizzolast yr '24 career totals — 14 seasons, 7,336 PA	11.0	7,336	303	72	261	361	467	-131	-79	28.7	27.3
/162	664	27	7	-11.9	-7.1	2.6	pk7: 26
#2Nick Swisherlast yr '15 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,308 PA	9.5	6,308	245	13	249	351	447	-62	-56	24.5	24.4
/162	664	26	1	-6.5	-5.9	2.6	pk7: 24
#3Brandon Beltlast yr '23 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,483 PA	8.3	5,483	194	47	261	357	460	-96	-62	19.4	18.2
/162	664	23	6	-11.7	-7.5	2.3	pk7: 17
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	9.5	6,276	231	23	242	338	431	-112	-55	18.0	17.1
/162	664	24	2	-11.9	-5.8	1.9	pk7: 16
#4Carlos Penalast yr '14 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,856 PA	8.8	5,856	285	29	231	346	462	-98	-110	14.3	15.3
/162	664	32	3	-11.2	-12.5	1.6	pk7: 16
#5Adam LaRochelast yr '15 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,329 PA	9.5	6,329	255	13	260	336	462	-113	-125	10.8	12.1
/162	664	27	1	-11.9	-13.1	1.1	pk7: 13
#6Trey Mancinilast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 3,367 PA	5.1	3,367	126	2	262	327	445	-47	-48	6.3	6.3
/162	664	25	0	-9.2	-9.4	1.2	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Michael Busch (OGILVIE)	28	50	60	45	55	240/343/426	186	289	26	3	23%	12%	120	+3.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Eric Valent 2005 · MLB	28	50	55→60	43→30	51	259/325/447	188	293	23	4	20%	9%	117	+2.6	224/299/349	125	281	13	4	23%	10%	84	+0.2	206/295/311	105	257	10	1	23%	11%	70	-0.6
✕Chris Duncan 2009 · MLB	28	49→50	54→60	43→40	55	252/339/433	181	306	23	4	25%	12%	119	+2.7	210/288/327	117	267	12	5	25%	10%	76	-0.4	187/264/284	97	241	10	3	25%	9%	55	-1.1
✕Matt Adams 2017 · MLB	28	49→57	56→65	43→40	46	256/308/450	193	297	24	4	23%	7%	112	+2.2	254/310/488	234	291	33	2	25%	7%	122	+2.9	247/303/493	246	282	36	0	27%	7%	115	+1.4
●Seth Smith 2011 · MLB	28	49→55	55→60	51→50	56	255/332/447	193	278	22	7	18%	10%	119	+2.7	253/329/431	178	295	18	7	20%	10%	114	+2.4	255/350/433	179	298	17	0	19%	12%	118	+2.1
✕Ji Man Choi 2020 · MLB	29	50	54→55	43→45	56	252/345/439	187	304	21	4	24%	12%	122	+2.9	241/343/419	178	309	19	3	26%	13%	117	+2.6	229/340/397	168	308	17	0	28%	14%	107	+0.9
✕Jake Lamb 2019 · MLB	28	45→55	57→60	44→45	56	238/333/440	202	284	24	6	25%	12%	118	+2.7	213/313/375	162	267	19	4	26%	11%	97	+1.1	221/311/373	152	291	19	1	29%	10%	93	+0.5
✕Kila Ka'aihue 2011 · MLB	27	45→50	56→55	42→30	59	239/335/427	187	264	24	3	20%	12%	116	+2.5	232/313/396	164	282	20	3	24%	10%	101	+1.4	226/307/384	158	276	20	1	25%	10%	95	+0.6
●Kole Calhoun 2016 · MLB	28	52→57	53→60	46→50	47	265/318/436	172	308	21	6	22%	7%	112	+2.2	251/325/411	160	295	18	5	20%	9%	109	+2.0	241/323/397	157	281	18	4	20%	10%	102	+1.5
●Adam Lind 2011 · MLB	28	51→60	57→60	45→40	48	266/320/470	204	299	24	2	20%	7%	120	+2.8	262/318/450	188	295	25	2	20%	7%	115	+2.4	288/362/471	183	329	20	0	18%	10%	127	+2.6
✕Hee-Seop Choi 2006 · MLB	27	48→49	55	40→30	57	248/347/442	194	293	22	3	23%	12%	124	+3.1	222/309/373	151	269	17	5	23%	10%	94	+0.9	170/267/280	110	208	13	0	24%	11%	57	-0.8
●Matt Joyce 2013 · MLB	28	49→54	55→60	48→50	56	253/342/448	195	293	22	9	22%	11%	123	+3.0	237/330/400	163	280	18	6	21%	12%	108	+1.9	239/353/454	216	268	26	3	21%	15%	124	+1.9
●Chas McCormick 2023 · MLB	28	49→52	54→55	44→55	50	249/327/423	174	317	23	7	28%	10%	112	+2.2	241/314/402	161	304	21	17	27%	8%	103	+1.5	230/304/381	151	291	20	22	27%	8%	93	+0.4
✕Mitch Moreland 2014 · MLB	28	46→56	55→60	42→40	49	242/305/424	182	271	23	2	21%	8%	104	+1.6	245/306/418	173	287	22	3	22%	7%	103	+1.6	241/323/449	208	273	25	1	22%	10%	112	+1.7
✕Gabe Gross 2009 · MLB	29	48→54	53→55	49→50	58	246/339/429	182	283	20	8	20%	12%	118	+2.6	236/316/365	129	287	12	11	21%	10%	94	+0.9	230/310/333	103	286	7	12	21%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Terrmel Sledge 2005 · MLB	28	51→52	53→55	46→45	54	261/327/445	184	279	20	6	15%	9%	117	+2.6	251/326/430	179	287	21	7	20%	10%	113	+2.3	241/322/418	178	284	22	5	23%	10%	105	+1.1
●Ian Happ 2023 · MLB	28	50→55	54→60	46→50	52	255/335/444	189	315	22	9	25%	10%	120	+2.8	249/346/436	187	305	21	10	24%	12%	122	+2.9	243/348/431	188	294	21	10	23%	13%	119	+3.0
●Lucas Duda 2014 · MLB	28	47→55	51→65	39→30	54	238/333/396	158	299	19	3	26%	11%	108	+1.9	248/345/459	211	295	26	3	24%	11%	127	+3.3	250/349/478	228	287	29	1	23%	11%	125	+2.3
●Josh Reddick 2015 · MLB	28	49→59	55→60	51→50	51	254/317/448	194	282	22	8	19%	8%	114	+2.3	275/333/442	167	296	19	9	14%	8%	118	+2.7	282/342/442	160	302	17	9	13%	8%	118	+2.3
✕Stephen Piscotty 2019 · MLB	28	51→54	57→60	41→45	51	263/337/468	205	295	24	5	20%	9%	126	+3.2	250/310/426	176	297	22	6	23%	7%	107	+1.8	240/297/395	155	291	20	5	24%	7%	93	+0.3
✕Tyler White 2019 · MLB	28	49→56	56→60	42→40	50	255/325/450	195	290	25	4	22%	8%	118	+2.6	241/329/391	150	298	16	4	23%	11%	105	+1.7	208/309/329	121	262	12	3	24%	12%	83	+0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps