Kyle Manzardo — OGILVIE

Kyle Manzardo1B Cleveland Guardians

Age 26 L/R 5'11" / 205 lbs MLB Svc 1.424 · Ctrl thru 2030 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION491 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 8399vR 104

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP282

ISO194

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT40

Whiff%

817.8%

xAVG

100.218

POWER55

Barrel%

7211.5

Avg EV

6189.8

Bat Spd

3970.1

EYE50

Chase%

9021.2%

SPEED35

Sprint

1025.4

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%32%▼▼39% over 46 PA (60d) · proj 26%

BB%8%▼7% over 46 PA (60d) · proj 9%

ISO.213▲.286 over 42 AB (60d) · proj .194xISO .160 vs .213 prior — approach does NOT back the move

BABIP.257·.286 over 21 BIP (60d) · proj .256xBABIP .237 vs .247 prior

SLASH.207/.281/.420·proj .218/.296/.413

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 760 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

115

645

—

wRC+

107

▶▶R

wOBA

285

326

▶R

ISO

210

199

◀L

BABIP

209

283

▶▶R

26.1%

26.8%

—

BB%

7.0%

8.4%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2024

Service 1.424 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.1M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-1	$0.3M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.1M		$-2M	-$0.2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	21	ROK	FCL Rays	—	50	43	15	5	0	2	4	6	3	0	0	349	440	605	1.045	256	371	12	8	456	195	+6	+0	—	—	+1	0.7
2022	22	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	122	99	32	10	0	5	14	19	3	1	1	323	422	576	998	253	333	16	11	415	167	+10	-0	—	—	+3	1.2
2022	22	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	275	225	74	16	1	17	45	46	1	0	0	329	443	636	1.078	307	343	17	16	458	196	+31	+0	—	—	+6	3.8
2023	23	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	405	343	83	27	1	17	54	79	2	1	1	242	348	475	824	233	261	20	13	359	129	+14	-0	—	—	+9	2.3
2023	23	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	103	92	25	7	1	6	9	22	1	0	0	272	343	565	908	293	292	21	9	389	149	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2024	24	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	156	145	34	12	0	5	9	41	1	0	0	234	284	421	705	186	290	26	6	309	95	-1	+0	-0	-9	+3	-0.7
2024	24	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	364	292	78	20	1	20	61	67	6	3	1	267	404	548	952	281	276	18	17	410	164	+28	+0	—	—	+8	3.6
2025	25	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	531	470	110	19	2	27	48	135	8	2	0	234	316	455	771	221	265	25	9	338	115	+9	+0	-4	-9	+12	0.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	687	615	144	31	2	32	57	176	9	2	0	234	308	447	756	213	271	26	8	331	110	+8	+0	-4	-19	+15	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	21	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	50	44	13	4	0	2	2	9	3	0	0	295	360	523	883	227	289	18	4	335	113	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2022	22	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	122	104	29	8	0	4	9	22	3	1	1	279	353	471	825	192	279	18	7	365	133	+5	-0	—	—	+3	0.7
2022	22	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	275	241	64	12	1	14	29	62	1	0	0	266	347	498	845	232	290	23	11	362	131	+10	+0	—	—	+6	1.6
2023	23	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	405	359	71	22	1	12	38	94	2	1	1	198	278	365	643	167	220	23	9	278	74	-12	-0	—	—	+9	-0.4
2024	24	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	156	145	34	12	0	5	9	41	1	0	0	234	284	421	705	186	290	26	6	306	93	-1	+0	-0	-9	+3	-0.8
2024	24	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	364	314	67	17	1	14	39	86	6	3	1	213	312	408	720	194	234	24	11	313	98	-1	+0	—	—	+8	0.7
2025	25	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	531	470	110	19	2	27	48	135	8	2	0	234	316	455	771	221	265	25	9	332	111	+7	+0	-4	-9	+12	0.5
2021	21	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	50	45	13	4	0	2	2	9	3	0	0	289	360	511	871	222	324	18	4	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	—	50	43	15	5	0	2	4	6	3	0	0	349	440	605	1.045	256	371	12	8	456	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	397	345	94	21	1	18	38	84	4	1	1	272	351	496	847	223	300	21	10	363	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	397	324	106	26	1	22	59	65	4	1	1	327	437	617	1.054	290	340	16	15	445	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	508	451	88	27	1	15	47	118	3	1	1	195	275	359	635	164	225	23	9	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	508	435	108	34	2	23	63	101	3	1	1	248	347	494	842	246	267	20	12	365	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	520	459	101	29	1	19	48	127	7	3	1	220	304	412	715	192	257	24	9	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	520	437	112	32	1	25	70	108	7	3	1	256	368	506	873	249	281	21	13	380	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	531	470	110	19	2	27	48	135	8	2	0	234	316	455	771	221	265	25	9	332	111	+7	+0	-4	-9	+12	0.5
2025	25	MLB RAW	Cleveland Guardians	—	531	470	110	19	2	27	48	135	8	2	0	234	316	455	771	221	265	25	9	338	111	+7	+0	-4	-9	+12	0.5
2021	21	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	50	45	13	4	0	2	2	9	3	0	0	289	360	511	871	222	289	18	4	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	397	352	94	21	1	18	38	84	4	1	1	267	351	486	837	219	287	21	10	363	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	508	453	88	27	1	15	47	118	3	1	1	194	275	358	633	163	220	23	9	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	520	460	101	29	1	19	48	127	7	3	1	220	304	411	714	191	251	24	9	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	531	470	110	19	2	27	48	135	8	2	0	234	316	455	771	221	265	25	9	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	508	453	88	27	1	15	47	118	3	1	1	194	275	358	633	163	220	23	9	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	520	460	101	29	1	19	48	127	7	3	1	220	304	411	714	191	251	24	9	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	531	470	110	19	2	27	48	135	8	2	0	234	316	455	771	221	265	25	9	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	26	MLB MLE	CLE	—	491	434	96	17	1	17	46	154	6	1	0	221	305	382	687	161	295	31	9	302	90	-6	+0	+0	-9	+11	-0.4
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	26	MLB RAW	CLE	—	356	312	67	10	1	13	36	114	6	0	0	215	308	378	686	163	289	32	10	309	90	-4	+0	+0	-9	+8	-0.5
YTD	26	AAA RAW	CLE	—	135	118	34	9	0	5	14	33	0	1	0	288	364	492	855	203	349	24	10	369	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	26	MLB RAW	CLE	—	356	312	67	10	1	13	36	114	6	0	0	215	308	378	686	163	289	32	10	309	95	-2	+0	+0	-6	+8	-0.1
ROS	26	MLB MLE	CLE	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		282	33	11	315	99	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
ROS	26	MLB CTX	CLE	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		282	33	11	305	99	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
FULL	26	MLB A+C	CLE	—	365	320	68	10	1	13	37	117	6	0	0	212	306	372	678	159	286	32	10	309	90	-4	+0	+0	-7	+8	-0.3
TOT	26	MLB MLE	CLE	—	500	442	97	17	1	17	47	157	6	1	0	219	303	378	681	158	293	31	9	302	90	-6	+0	+0	-9	+11	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	CLE	82%	526	466	98	21	1	20	48	152	7	2	0	210	294	388	682	178	263	29	9	304	92	-5	+0	+1	-9	+11	-0.2
2028	28	MLB MLE	CLE	82%	518	458	95	20	1	19	48	151	7	1	0	207	292	380	672	172	262	29	9	303	91	-5	+0	+0	-9	+11	-0.3
2029	29	MLB MLE	CLE	82%	506	448	94	20	1	19	47	148	6	1	0	210	293	386	680	176	260	29	9	301	90	-6	+0	-0	-9	+11	-0.5
2027	27	MLB CTX	CLE	82%	431	383	80	17	1	16	40	125	5	1	0	209	292	384	676	175	263	29	9	294	92	-4	+0	+1	-8	+9	-0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	CLE	82%	425	377	79	17	1	16	40	124	5	1	0	210	294	387	681	178	262	29	9	293	91	-4	+0	+0	-8	+9	-0.2
2029	29	MLB CTX	CLE	82%	415	368	76	16	1	15	39	121	5	1	0	207	291	378	669	171	260	29	9	291	90	-5	+0	-0	-7	+9	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1967	1751	380	81	5	79	177	549	24	5	0	217	298	404	702	187	265	28	9	306	97	-5	+1	-4	-42	+43	-0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	126	27	2	26	58	181	8	2	0	218	298	406	704	188	266	28	9	306	97	-2	+0	-1	-14	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	3565	3150	694	161	8	139	327	927	45	11	3	220	303	409	712	189	262	26	9	312	97	-8	+1	-4	-47	+49	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	125	29	1	25	60	169	8	2	1	218	301	402	703	185	258	26	9	312	97	-2	+0	-1	-13	+14	-0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#2Brandon Mosslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,459 PA	5.2	3,459	160	11	238	315	455	-53	-41	5.9	5.9
/162	664	31	2	-10.2	-7.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#3Justin Smoaklast yr '20 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,750 PA	7.2	4,750	196	3	229	322	419	-85	-77	1.9	3.9
/162	664	27	0	-11.9	-10.7	0.3	pk7: 6
#4Chris Carterlast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,807 PA	4.2	2,807	158	12	219	314	462	-50	-50	3.3	3.3
/162	664	37	3	-11.7	-11.9	0.8	pk7: 3
#5Logan Morrisonlast yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,713 PA	5.6	3,713	137	23	239	325	427	-58	-79	1.7	2.6
/162	664	24	4	-10.4	-14.1	0.3	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	4.2	2,802	113	8	219	298	407	-50	-12	2.0	2.1
/162	664	27	2	-11.9	-2.9	0.5	pk7: 2
#6Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	3.6	2,377	81	7	239	332	416	-42	-36	1.7	1.7
/162	664	23	2	-11.9	-10.1	0.5	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kyle Manzardo (OGILVIE)	26	40	55	35	50	222/303/399	178	282	19	2	29%	9%	99	+1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jeff Larish 2009 · MLB	26	44	52→55	42→45	47	227/298/393	167	284	20	5	27%	8%	95	+0.9	226/298/387	161	299	19	4	29%	9%	93	+0.8	218/294/380	162	289	20	2	30%	9%	89	+0.3
✕Preston Tucker 2016 · MLB	26	45→46	53→55	40	44	239/288/412	173	276	22	3	23%	6%	95	+1.0	217/271/377	160	261	19	3	24%	6%	80	-0.1	230/306/378	148	272	15	1	21%	8%	93	+0.4
✕Joe Koshansky 2008 · MLB	26	46	53→55	42→40	44	235/295/403	168	303	21	4	29%	7%	96	+1.0	209/275/383	174	304	22	5	37%	8%	84	+0.1	191/262/369	178	283	24	4	40%	8%	76	-0.4
✕Cody Decker 2013 · AAA	26	38→39	58→65	38→30	42	214/275/416	202	268	27	3	32%	7%	92	+0.7	200/263/381	181	276	23	2	35%	7%	79	-0.2	182/253/337	156	264	21	0	38%	8%	65	-0.4
✕Jeff Clement 2011 · MLB	27	44→48	52→55	38→30	43	228/280/393	166	279	19	3	26%	6%	88	+0.4	216/263/357	141	276	15	3	26%	6%	73	-0.6	200/248/330	130	254	13	1	26%	6%	58	-1.0
✕Rowdy Tellez 2021 · MLB	26	47→49	58→60	41→45	46	250/312/450	200	290	26	4	24%	7%	114	+2.3	235/308/436	201	261	27	3	21%	9%	108	+1.9	222/300/417	195	243	27	1	21%	9%	95	+0.7
✕Bobby Dalbec 2021 · MLB	26	38→44	57→60	42→50	42	208/289/402	194	286	27	5	36%	8%	94	+0.9	225/293/431	206	309	28	7	35%	7%	102	+1.5	214/288/415	200	301	28	9	37%	8%	94	+0.7
✕Matt Clark 2012 · AAA	25	44→45	52→55	40→30	42	229/286/392	164	299	22	2	31%	7%	90	+0.6	231/287/392	161	298	21	2	29%	7%	91	+0.6	222/280/391	169	270	22	0	26%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Tommy Giles 2010 · AA	26	43→41	53→55	41→40	43	225/285/400	174	291	21	5	30%	7%	91	+0.7	217/279/354	137	283	15	6	28%	7%	78	-0.3	184/248/301	117	230	13	2	26%	6%	52	-0.8
✕Michael Johnson 2007 · AA	27	42→38	56→60	42→30	44	224/290/417	193	289	25	3	31%	8%	97	+1.1	216/294/378	162	306	19	4	33%	10%	90	+0.6	197/285/367	170	279	20	0	35%	11%	82	-0.0
✕Greg Bird 2019 · MLB	26	39→48	54→55	46→30	53	210/299/392	182	243	22	3	24%	10%	95	+1.0	213/295/377	164	268	20	4	27%	10%	91	+0.6	185/259/322	138	237	17	1	29%	8%	62	-0.8
✕Juan Yepez 2023 · MLB	25	42→49	58→60	40→45	44	234/290/436	202	264	28	3	24%	6%	102	+1.5	226/284/371	145	264	17	4	21%	7%	84	+0.1	219/278/342	124	253	13	3	19%	7%	73	-0.4
✕David Villar 2023 · MLB	26	42→43	59→60	43→40	46	227/316/441	213	294	28	4	32%	9%	113	+2.3	214/295/375	161	287	20	5	31%	9%	90	+0.6	202/283/336	134	271	17	4	31%	9%	74	-0.4
✕Gavin Sheets 2022 · MLB	26	46→52	52→55	44→40	47	238/298/398	160	284	20	4	24%	8%	95	+1.0	230/290/382	152	268	19	3	21%	7%	89	+0.5	233/312/389	156	270	18	3	20%	9%	96	+0.9
✕AJ Reed 2019 · MLB	26	37→47	56→60	46→30	44	208/276/391	183	267	25	2	32%	8%	86	+0.3	199/266/349	150	287	19	5	36%	7%	73	-0.6	151/223/270	119	229	15	0	40%	7%	37	-1.7
✕MJ Melendez 2023 · MLB	24	41→48	57→60	41→50	53	222/307/419	197	259	25	5	26%	11%	104	+1.6	219/293/396	177	279	20	8	28%	9%	93	+0.8	209/278/382	173	271	19	10	29%	8%	82	+0.0
✕John-Ford Griffin 2006 · AAA	26	41→38	51→50	41→40	43	218/275/373	155	274	21	4	29%	7%	81	-0.1	213/268/363	150	276	17	5	29%	7%	76	-0.4	212/273/357	145	276	15	4	28%	7%	75	-0.4
✕Chris Jacobs 2015 · AA	26	43→41	55	43→40	44	222/302/402	181	302	23	3	33%	8%	99	+1.2	219/283/337	118	313	13	4	32%	7%	76	-0.4	212/266/290	78	316	8	2	33%	6%	54	-0.8
✕Seth Beer 2022 · AAA	25	45→46	51→50	41→30	44	230/318/391	161	274	18	3	23%	6%	103	+1.5	214/297/340	126	269	14	2	25%	7%	83	+0.1	207/288/323	116	267	13	0	26%	7%	73	-0.5
●Chris Duncan 2007 · MLB	26	47→50	57→60	39→40	48	246/313/441	195	298	26	3	26%	9%	111	+2.1	245/330/420	175	305	21	4	25%	11%	112	+2.2	234/330/388	155	290	18	2	24%	12%	101	+0.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps