Kyle Manzardo

1B Cleveland Guardians
Age 27 L/R 5'11" / 205 lbs MLB Svc 2.186 · Ctrl thru 2030
Overview
MLB40-MANPre-ArbFA 2031
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202424AAACLE364.267/.404/.548203107—.218/.320/.413
202424MLBCLE156.234/.284/.4215094-0.7
202525MLBCLE531.234/.316/.4552721130.7
202626AAACLE165.283/.358/.4695180—.240/.296/.387
202626MLBCLE356.215/.308/.37813095-0.4
2027PROJ27MLBCLE391.213/.295/.38815292-0.1
2028PROJ65% MLB28MLBCLE289.211/.293/.38311090-0.2
Last 3 seasons WAR -0.4  ·  Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2030Service2.186First FA2031
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Arb-1$0.3M2029Ext$0.4M2030Ext$0.7M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Barrel%72
Avg EV61
xwOBA51
Bat Spd39
Speed10
CompsPreston Tucker (age 27) · Jeff Clement (age 27) · Joe Borchard (age 28)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 7692vR 97
AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .295 / .388
PA391
HR15
K%28
BB%9
BABIP261
ISO176
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: -0.9 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-1RUNFLD: +0.9 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: -7.0 runs (Positional adjustment)-7POSREP: +8.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+8REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.10.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 55
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT40
xAVG
100.218
POWER55
Barrel%
7211.5
Avg EV
6189.8
Bat Spd
3970.1
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED35
Sprint
1025.4
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 760 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
115
645
—
wRC+
79
107
▶▶R
wOBA
285
326
▶R
ISO
210
199
◀L
BABIP
209
283
▶▶R
K%
26.1%
26.8%
—
BB%
7.0%
8.4%
▶▶R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2024
Service   2.186 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2030
First FA Year   2031
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.1$0.4M+$0.0M (cut)
2028Arb-1$0.3M———
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.3M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202121 ROKFCL Rays — 5043 15502 463 00 3494406051.045 256371 128 456 110 — — — — — —
202222 AAMontgomery Biscuits — 12299 321005 14193 11 323422576998 253333 1611 415 145 — — — — — —
202222 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods — 275225 7416117 45461 00 3294436361.078 307343 1716 458 132 — — — — — —
202323 AAAColumbus Clippers — 405343 8327117 54792 11 242348475824 233261 2013 359 82 — — — — — —
202323 INTLPeoria Javelinas — 10392 25716 9221 00 272343565908 293292 219 389 149 — — — — — —
202424 MLBCleveland Guardians — 156145 341205 9411 00 234284421705 186290 266 309 94 -1 +0 -0 -9 +3 -0.7
202424 AAAColumbus Clippers — 364292 7820120 61676 31 267404548952 281276 1817 410 107 — — — — — —
202525 MLBCleveland Guardians — 531470 11019227 481358 20 234316455771 221265 259 338 113 +8 +0 -4 -9 +12 0.7
202626 MLBCleveland Guardians — 356312 6710113 361146 00 215308378686 163289 3210 309 95 -2 +0 +0 -9 +8 -0.4
202626 AAAColumbus Clippers — 165145 411205 17400 10 283358469827 186350 2410 360 80 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 1043927 21141345 9329015 20 228308424732 196277 289 324 105 +6 +0 -4 -28 +23 -0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202121 ROK MLEFCL Rays — 5045 12402 293 00 267340489829 222284 184 331 110 — — — — — —
202222 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 122104 31905 9223 11 298371529900 231292 187 382 145 — — — — — —
202222 A+ MLEBowling Green Hot Rods — 275244 6512116 26601 00 266339520860 254279 229 363 132 — — — — — —
202323 AAA MLEColumbus Clippers — 405358 7222112 39942 11 201283369652 168231 2310 290 82 — — — — — —
202424 MLB MLECleveland Guardians — 156145 341205 9411 00 234284421705 186290 266 307 94 -1 +0 -0 -9 +3 -0.7
202424 AAA MLEColumbus Clippers — 364312 6817114 41866 31 218320413734 196246 2411 326 107 — — — — — —
202525 MLB MLECleveland Guardians — 531472 11019227 461358 20 233312453765 220265 259 335 113 +8 +0 -4 -9 +12 0.7
202626 MLB MLECleveland Guardians — 356312 6710113 361146 00 215308378686 163289 3210 309 95 -2 +0 +0 -9 +8 -0.4
202626 AAA MLEColumbus Clippers — 165150 361004 12480 10 240296387683 147299 297 286 80 — — — — — —
202121 ROK MLEFCL Rays — 5045 12402 293 00 267340489829 222294 184 331 110 — — — — — —
202121 ROK RAWFCL Rays — 5043 15502 463 00 3494406051.045 256371 128 456 110 — — — — — —
202222 A+ MLE2 teams — 397347 9521120 36834 11 274349513862 239295 219 369 136 — — — — — —
202222 A+ RAW2 teams — 397324 10626122 59654 11 3274376171.054 290340 1615 445 136 — — — — — —
202323 AAA MLE2 teams — 508449 9128115 491183 11 203285370655 167235 2310 290 82 — — — — — —
202323 AAA RAW2 teams — 508435 10834223 631013 11 248347494842 246267 2012 365 82 — — — — — —
202424 AAA MLE2 teams — 520457 10229119 501277 31 223309416725 193262 2410 320 103 — — — — — —
202424 AAA RAW2 teams — 520437 11232125 701087 31 256368506873 249281 2113 380 103 — — — — — —
202525 MLB MLECleveland Guardians — 531472 11019227 461358 20 233312453765 220263 259 335 113 +8 +0 -4 -9 +12 0.7
202525 MLB RAWCleveland Guardians — 531470 11019227 481358 20 234316455771 221265 259 338 113 +8 +0 -4 -9 +12 0.7
202626 MLB MLE2 teams — 521462 10119117 481626 10 219300374675 156292 319 302 90 -6 +0 +0 -9 +11 -0.4
202626 MLB RAW2 teams — 521457 10822118 531546 10 236324407731 171310 3010 325 90 -6 +0 +0 -9 +11 -0.4
202121 ROK MLEFCL Rays — 5045 12402 293 00 267340489829 222284 184 331 110 — — — — — —
202222 A+ MLE2 teams — 397354 9521120 36834 11 268349503852 234283 219 369 136 — — — — — —
202323 AAA MLE2 teams — 508451 9128115 491183 11 202285368654 166231 2310 290 82 — — — — — —
202424 AAA MLE2 teams — 520458 10229119 501277 31 223309415724 192259 2410 320 103 — — — — — —
202525 MLB MLECleveland Guardians — 531472 11019227 461358 20 233312453765 220265 259 335 113 — — — — — —
202626 MLB MLE2 teams — 521462 10119117 481626 10 219300374675 156292 319 302 90 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202424 AAA MLE2 teams — 520458 10229119 501277 31 223309415724 192259 2410 320 103 — — — — — —
202525 MLB MLECleveland Guardians — 531472 11019227 461358 20 233312453765 220265 259 335 113 — — — — — —
202626 MLB MLE2 teams — 521462 10119117 481626 10 219300374675 156292 319 302 90 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202727 MLB MLECLE 100% 527467 10019220 481477 21 212295388683 176260 289 304 92 -5 +0 +1 -9 +11 0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202727 MLB CTXCLE 100% 391347 7414115 361095 21 213295388683 175261 289 304 92 -4 +0 +1 -7 +8 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202828 MLB MLECLE 65% 444395 8216116 401256 11 210293383676 173259 289 301 90 -5 -0 +0 -8 +10 -0.4
202828 MLB CTXCLE 65% 289257 5511111 26814 00 211293383676 172259 289 301 90 -3 +0 +0 -5 +6 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 13321184 26652456 11937119 20 225306417723 193274 289 319 100 +3 +0 -4 -33 +29 -0.5
/ 162G— A+C — 650578 12925227 581819 10 223303413717 190273 289 319 100 +1 +0 -2 -16 +14 -0.3
Career— MLE — 33622974 6671508131 30786842 115 224306412718 188266 269 317 100 -3 +0 -3 -43 +41 -0.8
/ 162G— MLE — 650575 12929225 591688 21 224305412717 188267 269 317 100 -1 +0 -1 -15 +14 -0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAAColumbus Clippers · 165 PAwOBA .357 → .286 (−71)K% 24.2% → 29.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.24%÷1.000×1.200——29.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.30%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0187.24%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0180.00%
Singles /BIP22.86%÷1.000×0.930×0.950×1.01820.56%
Doubles /BIP11.43%÷1.000×0.830×0.950×1.0189.17%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.970×0.950×1.0180.00%
Home runs /BIP4.76%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0183.39%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .357 → .286; ISO .186 → .140; BABIP .350 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAAColumbus Clippers · 364 PAwOBA .404 → .326 (−78)K% 18.4% → 23.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.41%÷0.939×1.200——23.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.21%÷1.036×0.690—×1.04811.31%
HBP% /PA1.65%—×0.940—×1.0481.62%
Singles /BIP16.44%÷0.977×0.930×0.956×1.04815.68%
Doubles /BIP8.89%÷0.985×0.830×0.956×1.0487.50%
Triples /BIP0.44%÷0.900×0.970×0.956×1.0480.48%
Home runs /BIP8.89%÷1.060×0.700—×1.0486.15%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 95, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 88, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.956.

Result: wOBA .404 → .326; ISO .281 → .213; BABIP .276 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAAColumbus Clippers · 405 PAwOBA .354 → .290 (−64)K% 19.5% → 23.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.51%÷1.008×1.200——23.23%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.33%÷0.994×0.690—×1.0509.71%
HBP% /PA0.49%—×0.940—×1.0500.49%
Singles /BIP14.39%÷0.963×0.930×0.950×1.05013.87%
Doubles /BIP10.23%÷1.018×0.830×0.950×1.0508.32%
Triples /BIP0.38%÷0.900×0.970×0.950×1.0500.41%
Home runs /BIP6.44%÷1.037×0.700—×1.0504.56%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 93, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 102, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .354 → .290; ISO .233 → .179; BABIP .261 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods · 275 PAwOBA .452 → .363 (−89)K% 16.7% → 21.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.73%÷1.002×1.310——21.87%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.36%÷1.038×0.600—×1.0129.57%
HBP% /PA0.36%—×0.770—×1.0120.28%
Singles /BIP22.35%÷1.011×0.870×0.989×1.01219.24%
Doubles /BIP8.94%÷1.079×0.780×0.989×1.0126.46%
Triples /BIP0.56%÷0.900×0.850×0.989×1.0120.53%
Home runs /BIP9.50%÷1.020×0.880—×1.0128.29%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 102, 2B 116, 3B 80, K 100, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.

Result: wOBA .452 → .363; ISO .307 → .270; BABIP .343 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 122 PAwOBA .422 → .382 (−40)K% 15.6% → 18.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.57%÷1.032×1.220——18.41%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.66%÷0.984×0.680—×1.0427.67%
HBP% /PA2.46%—×0.840—×1.0422.15%
Singles /BIP21.25%÷1.001×0.920×0.950×1.04219.33%
Doubles /BIP12.50%÷1.090×0.910×0.950×1.04210.33%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.955×0.880×0.950×1.0420.00%
Home runs /BIP6.25%÷0.970×0.800—×1.0425.37%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 100, 2B 118, 3B 91, K 106, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .422 → .382; ISO .253 → .234; BABIP .333 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ROKFCL Rays · 50 PAwOBA .444 → .331 (−113)K% 12.0% → 17.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.00%÷1.005×1.440——17.19%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.00%÷0.999×0.620—×0.9854.89%
HBP% /PA6.00%—×0.720—×0.9854.26%
Singles /BIP21.62%÷0.990×0.820—×0.98517.63%
Doubles /BIP13.51%÷1.006×0.720—×0.9859.52%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.065×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Home runs /BIP5.41%÷0.948×0.780—×0.9854.38%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 98, 2B 101, 3B 113, K 101, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .444 → .331; ISO .256 → .194; BABIP .371 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .