Kyle Manzardo — OGILVIE

Kyle Manzardo1B Cleveland Guardians

Age 26 L/R 5'11" / 205 lbs MLB Svc 1.424 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION310 act + 221 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 76105vR 116

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .306 / .400

PA221

HR8

K%28

BB%10

BABIP278

ISO179

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT40

Whiff%

778.2%

xwOBA

520.311

POWER55

Barrel%

7011.1

Avg EV

5989.7

Bat Spd

3970.1

EYE50

Chase%

9022.2%

SPEED35

Sprint

1025.4

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 760 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

115

645

—

wRC+

108

▶▶R

wOBA

285

326

▶R

ISO

210

199

◀L

BABIP

209

283

▶▶R

26.1%

26.8%

—

BB%

7.0%

8.4%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2024

Service 1.424 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.8M
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$1M		$2M	+$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	ROK	FCL Rays	—	50	45	13	4	0	2	2	9	3	0	0	289	360	511	871	222	324	18	4	340	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK	FCL Rays	—	50	43	15	5	0	2	4	6	3	0	0	349	440	605	1.045	256	371	12	8	456	207	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	2 teams	—	397	346	92	19	1	19	37	84	4	1	1	266	344	491	835	225	289	21	9	361	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	2 teams	—	397	324	106	26	1	22	59	65	4	1	1	327	437	617	1.054	290	340	16	15	445	198	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA	2 teams	—	508	451	92	27	1	17	47	117	3	1	1	204	283	381	665	177	231	23	9	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA	2 teams	—	508	435	108	34	2	23	63	101	3	1	1	248	347	494	842	246	267	20	12	365	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA	2 teams	—	520	460	102	29	1	20	47	133	7	3	1	222	304	420	723	198	262	26	9	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA	2 teams	—	520	437	112	32	1	25	70	108	7	3	1	256	368	506	873	249	281	21	13	380	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	531	470	110	19	2	27	48	135	8	2	0	234	316	455	771	221	265	25	9	331	112	+7	+0	-4	-9	+15	0.9
2025	25	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	531	470	110	19	2	27	48	135	8	2	0	234	316	455	771	221	265	25	9	338	117	+10	+0	-4	-9	+15	1.2
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	MLB	CLE	—	310	270	58	7	1	10	33	96	5	0	0	215	312	359	671	144	289	31	11	301	88	-4	+0	+0	-6	+9	-0.1
YTD	26	MLB	CLE	—	310	270	58	7	1	10	33	96	5	0	0	215	312	359	671	144	289	31	11	304	91	-3	+0	+0	-6	+9	0.0
ROS	26	MLB	CLE	100%	221	195	43	9	1	8	21	62	3	1	0	221	306	400	706	179	273	28	10	317	101	+0	+0	-0	-4	+6	0.3
ROS	26	MLB	CLE	100%	221	195	43	9	1	8	21	62	3	1	0	221	306	400	706	179	274	28	10	306	92	-2	+0	-0	-4	+6	0.1
FULL	26	MLB	CLE	—	531	465	101	16	2	18	54	158	8	1	0	217	309	376	686	159	284	30	10	303	90	-6	+0	-0	-9	+15	-0.0
TOT	26	MLB	CLE	—	531	465	101	16	2	18	54	158	8	1	0	217	309	376	686	159	284	30	10	308	94	-4	+0	-0	-9	+15	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	CLE	82%	526	462	100	21	1	20	51	147	8	1	1	216	305	396	701	180	271	28	10	315	100	-0	-0	-0	-9	+15	0.5
2027	27	MLB	CLE	82%	431	380	83	17	1	17	42	121	6	1	0	218	306	403	709	184	271	28	10	305	91	-4	+0	-0	-8	+12	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1339	1190	270	57	4	57	120	359	18	4	0	227	307	425	732	198	272	27	9	319	102	+3	+1	-5	-30	+38	0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	132	28	2	28	58	174	9	2	0	228	309	429	738	201	274	27	9	319	102	+1	+0	-2	-15	+18	0.3
Career	—			—	2753	2429	552	128	7	113	253	687	36	9	4	227	309	425	735	198	264	25	9	321	104	+12	+0	-5	-49	+78	3.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	131	30	2	27	60	162	8	2	1	228	310	429	739	200	265	25	9	321	104	+3	+0	-1	-12	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	ROK	FCL Rays	—	50	43	15	5	0	2	4	6	3	0	0	349	440	605	1.045	256	371	12	8	456	207	+6	+0	—	—	+1	0.8
2022	22	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	122	99	32	10	0	5	14	19	3	1	1	323	422	576	998	253	333	16	11	415	176	+10	-0	—	—	+3	1.4
2022	22	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	275	225	74	16	1	17	45	46	1	0	0	329	443	636	1.078	307	343	17	16	458	208	+34	+0	—	—	+8	4.2
2023	23	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	405	343	83	27	1	17	54	79	2	1	1	242	348	475	824	233	261	20	13	359	133	+15	-0	—	—	+11	2.7
2023	23	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	103	92	25	7	1	6	9	22	1	0	0	272	343	565	908	293	292	21	9	389	156	+6	+0	—	—	+3	1.0
2024	24	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	156	145	34	12	0	5	9	41	1	0	0	234	284	421	705	186	290	26	6	309	95	-1	+0	-0	-9	+4	-0.6
2024	24	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	364	292	78	20	1	20	61	67	6	3	1	267	404	548	952	281	276	18	17	410	172	+30	+0	—	—	+10	4.1
2025	25	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	531	470	110	19	2	27	48	135	8	2	0	234	316	455	771	221	265	25	9	338	117	+10	+0	-4	-9	+15	1.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	687	615	144	31	2	32	57	176	9	2	0	234	308	447	756	213	271	26	8	331	112	+9	+0	-4	-19	+19	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	11	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	4	242	316	418	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#2Brandon Mosslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,459 PA	8	3,459	160	11	238	315	455	-53	-41	5.9	5.9
	/162	664	31	2	238	315	455	-10.2	-7.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#3Jesús Aguilarlast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,594 PA	7	2,594	114	1	255	324	452	-46	-35	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	29	0	255	324	452	-11.9	-9.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Justin Smoaklast yr '20 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,750 PA	11	4,750	196	3	229	322	419	-85	-77	1.9	3.8
	/162	664	27	0	229	322	419	-11.9	-10.7	0.3	pk7: 6
#5Chris Carterlast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,807 PA	7	2,807	158	12	219	314	462	-50	-50	3.3	3.3
	/162	664	37	3	219	314	462	-11.7	-11.9	0.8	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	1,959	81	6	225	304	417	-35	-10	2.5	2.5
	/162	664	27	2	225	304	417	-11.9	-3.4	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	6	2,377	81	7	239	332	416	-42	-36	1.7	1.7
#6Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	/162	664	23	2	239	332	416	-11.9	-10.1	0.5	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kyle Manzardo (OGILVIE)	26	40	55	35	50	217/309/376	159	284	18	1	30%	10%	94	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jeff Larish 2009 · MLB	26	44→46	54→55	42→45	47	231/301/412	181	287	22	5	28%	8%	100	+1.7	232/302/406	174	302	21	4	29%	8%	99	+1.7	224/299/402	178	292	22	2	30%	9%	96	+0.9
✕Preston Tucker 2016 · MLB	26	45→46	54→55	40	44	237/286/411	173	275	22	3	23%	6%	94	+1.3	218/271/376	158	263	19	3	25%	6%	78	+0.2	232/310/385	153	274	16	1	21%	8%	95	+0.6
✕Jeff Clement 2011 · MLB	27	43→48	53→55	38→30	42	228/280/401	172	278	21	3	26%	6%	89	+0.9	218/263/369	151	276	16	3	27%	6%	72	-0.2	203/250/350	146	254	15	1	26%	6%	59	-0.7
✕Seth Beer 2022 · AAA	25	44→45	54→55	41→30	44	229/317/406	177	268	22	3	23%	6%	107	+2.2	209/293/341	132	263	15	2	26%	7%	79	+0.3	202/284/322	120	262	14	0	27%	7%	68	-0.3
✕Joe Koshansky 2008 · MLB	26	45→46	54→60	42→40	43	236/295/410	174	305	22	4	30%	7%	97	+1.5	209/274/385	176	304	22	5	37%	8%	82	+0.5	190/262/370	179	281	24	4	40%	8%	73	-0.1
✕John-Ford Griffin 2006 · AAA	26	41→39	55	41→40	43	224/279/400	175	276	25	4	29%	7%	88	+0.9	217/271/382	165	276	20	5	29%	7%	80	+0.4	215/275/369	154	277	17	4	28%	7%	76	+0.1
●Gavin Sheets 2022 · MLB	26	46→52	52→55	44→40	47	238/297/399	161	283	21	4	24%	8%	95	+1.4	229/289/378	149	267	18	3	21%	7%	86	+0.8	239/316/405	166	277	19	4	21%	9%	102	+1.4
✕Christin Stewart 2020 · MLB	26	46→50	53→60	45	48	237/309/412	175	290	21	2	26%	8%	104	+2.0	219/290/399	180	285	23	5	31%	8%	92	+1.2	192/271/381	190	259	27	7	36%	8%	78	+0.1
✕Tommy Giles 2010 · AA	26	43→41	54→55	41→40	43	226/286/405	179	293	22	5	31%	7%	92	+1.2	218/279/363	145	286	17	6	29%	7%	78	+0.2	184/247/312	128	230	15	2	27%	6%	48	-0.6
✕Matt Clark 2012 · AAA	25	44→49	55→60	40→30	41	231/288/409	178	306	24	2	32%	7%	94	+1.3	229/284/394	165	298	22	2	30%	7%	88	+0.9	226/281/409	183	271	26	0	27%	6%	89	+0.8
✕Oswaldo Arcia 2016 · MLB	25	42→51	55→60	40→45	41	224/282/404	180	279	24	3	29%	6%	91	+1.1	220/285/396	176	295	23	4	32%	7%	89	+1.0	215/292/414	198	292	26	3	34%	8%	95	+0.7
✕AJ Reed 2019 · MLB	26	38→48	56→60	46→30	43	212/277/400	188	273	25	2	32%	8%	87	+0.8	199/261/351	152	290	19	5	37%	7%	68	-0.5	147/216/267	120	228	15	0	41%	7%	25	-1.8
✕Chris Parmelee 2015 · MLB	27	47→51	49→55	37→45	47	239/300/387	149	285	17	3	23%	8%	93	+1.3	229/285/368	139	286	17	4	25%	7%	82	+0.5	213/273/348	134	269	16	2	27%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Marvin Lowrance 2010 · AA	26	42→48	52→55	40	44	222/284/389	166	280	20	3	28%	7%	87	+0.8	227/283/361	134	290	15	7	26%	7%	79	+0.3	241/296/373	133	295	17	6	24%	6%	83	+0.4
✕Andy Wilkins 2015 · MLB	26	45→46	52→55	43→45	42	234/277/402	168	282	20	4	25%	6%	87	+0.8	205/255/366	161	257	20	4	28%	6%	69	-0.4	164/243/338	174	220	25	3	38%	9%	56	-0.5
●Chris Duncan 2007 · MLB	26	47→50	57→60	39→40	48	246/312/441	195	297	26	3	27%	9%	112	+2.6	245/329/420	175	305	21	4	25%	11%	114	+2.7	234/330/390	156	291	18	2	24%	12%	101	+1.1
✕Greg Bird 2019 · MLB	26	39→49	54→55	46→30	52	210/298/392	183	243	22	3	24%	10%	95	+1.4	210/292/376	166	265	20	4	28%	10%	87	+0.8	177/249/320	143	226	18	1	30%	8%	53	-0.9
●Rowdy Tellez 2021 · MLB	26	47→50	58→65	41→45	46	251/314/456	205	292	27	4	24%	7%	118	+3.0	240/313/456	216	263	29	3	21%	9%	117	+2.9	229/307/441	212	247	30	1	21%	9%	103	+1.5
✕DJ Stewart 2022 · MLB	28	41→47	55→60	42→50	56	218/324/402	184	266	23	4	27%	12%	108	+2.3	225/328/415	190	281	26	6	28%	11%	113	+2.6	211/325/400	189	260	26	6	29%	12%	106	+1.0
✕Matt LaPorta 2011 · MLB	26	47→49	53→55	41→30	52	242/315/416	174	267	21	3	19%	9%	107	+2.2	229/291/384	155	270	18	3	22%	7%	89	+0.9	219/278/372	153	259	18	1	23%	6%	79	+0.2