Wyatt Olds
P
Worcester Red Sox
Age 26
RHP
6'0" / 183 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION39 act + 131 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 147138vR 129
ERA5.72
FIP5.72
K%22.1%
BB%18.4%
K-BB%3.7%
ROS IP131
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 170 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 3 | 12 | 55 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 50% | 2.0 | 29.6% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 0.0% | 2.25 | 2.39 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 3 | 12 | 55 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 50% | 2.0 | 38.2% | 12.7% | 25.5% | 0.0% | 2.25 | 1.35 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 26 | 111 | 521 | 133 | 64 | 9 | 96% | 4.1 | 20.0% | 13.5% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 5.92 | 4.37 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 26 | 111 | 521 | 133 | 64 | 9 | 96% | 4.1 | 25.5% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 1.7% | 5.92 | 3.49 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 12 | 66 | 323 | 75 | 52 | 5 | 43% | 2.3 | 18.0% | 17.9% | 0.0% | 1.8% | 7.54 | 4.85 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 12 | 66 | 323 | 75 | 52 | 5 | 43% | 2.3 | 23.2% | 16.1% | 7.1% | 1.5% | 7.54 | 4.18 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 1 | 78 | 367 | 109 | 55 | 9 | 2% | 1.8 | 24.7% | 16.1% | 8.6% | 2.8% | 6.09 | 4.59 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 1 | 78 | 367 | 109 | 55 | 9 | 2% | 1.8 | 29.7% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 2.5% | 6.09 | 3.92 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 71 | 322 | 77 | 49 | 11 | 0% | 1.7 | 20.7% | 16.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.05 | 5.47 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 71 | 322 | 77 | 49 | 11 | 0% | 1.7 | 23.9% | 15.2% | 8.7% | 3.4% | 5.05 | 5.01 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Worcester Red Sox | 30 | 0 | 39 | 170 | 60 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 31.1% | 13.0% | 18.1% | 3.2% | 4.85 | 3.90 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | BOS | 125 | 0 | 131 | 553 | 122 | 102 | 18 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.1% | 18.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.72 | 5.72 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | BOS | 12 | 0 | 13 | 55 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 18.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.72 | 5.72 | -0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 170 | 723 | 182 | 123 | 23 | — | — | 25.2% | 17.0% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 5.52 | 5.30 | +0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 13 | 55 | 12 | 10 | 2 | — | — | 22.1% | 18.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.72 | 5.34 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | BOS | 123 | 0 | 129 | 545 | 120 | 95 | 18 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 17.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.60 | 5.61 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | BOS | 119 | 0 | 125 | 528 | 116 | 89 | 18 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 16.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 5.56 | 5.59 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | BOS | 114 | 0 | 120 | 505 | 109 | 84 | 18 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 16.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.59 | 5.66 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | BOS | 52 | 0 | 55 | 232 | 51 | 40 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 17.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.60 | 5.61 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | BOS | 74 | 0 | 78 | 329 | 72 | 55 | 11 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 16.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 5.56 | 5.59 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | BOS | 83 | 0 | 87 | 367 | 80 | 61 | 13 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 16.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.59 | 5.66 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 222 | 0 | 233 | 985 | 215 | 167 | 33 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 16.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.59 | 5.25 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 184 | 143 | 28 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 16.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.59 | 5.25 | +0.4 | ||
| Career | — | 176 | 42 | 377 | 1758 | 388 | 270 | 46 | 24% | 2.1 | 22.1% | 15.3% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 5.84 | 4.60 | +3.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 93 | 22 | 200 | 932 | 206 | 143 | 24 | 24% | 2.1 | 22.1% | 15.3% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 5.84 | 4.60 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Wyatt Olds (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.72 | 22.1% | 18.4% | 3.2% | — | 5.62 | 21.9% | 5.0% | 374 | -0.10 | — | — | — |
| Jesús Reyes R 2026 · 5.80 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.80 | 15.9% | 15.7% | 3.7% | .283 | 5.04 | 17.5% | 5.6% | 118 | -0.76 | 3.79 | 554 | 70 |
| Andrew Bash R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.81 | 18.1% | 13.6% | 2.8% | .249 | 4.41 | 17.7% | 5.9% | 249 | -0.40 | 3.64 | 500 | 69 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2025 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.61 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 69 |
| Nick Ernst R 2025 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.99 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 117 | 69 |
| Stephen Johnson R 2025 · 5.44 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.44 | 16.7% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 141 | 69 |
| Fernando Baez R 2025 · 5.39 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.39 | 24.3% | 21.2% | 3.0% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 129 | 69 |
| Tyler Bradt R 2024 · 5.09 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.09 | 19.0% | 18.7% | 2.2% | .241 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 135 | 68 |
| Nick Frasso R 2026 · 5.17 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.17 | 17.3% | 12.7% | 3.5% | .310 | 3.68 | 30.1% | 14.0% | 24 | -1.49 | 2.60 | 248 | 68 |
| Gabriel Ponce R 2024 · 4.73 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.73 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 3.1% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 161 | 67 |
| Dusty Isaacs R 2026 · 5.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.36 | 19.3% | 14.1% | 3.8% | .287 | 3.16 | 26.8% | 20.6% | 26 | -2.20 | 3.16 | 253 | 66 |
| Hunter Dollander R 2026 · 6.73 FIP | 26 | SU | 6.73 | 17.6% | 18.3% | 5.1% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 106 | 66 |
| Noah Denoyer R 2025 · 5.50 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.50 | 22.7% | 16.4% | 4.1% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 181 | 66 |
| Jake Gilbert R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.59 | 18.2% | 16.2% | 1.8% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.18 | 103 | 66 |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 66 |
| Ryan Jennings R 2026 · 5.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.51 | 25.3% | 16.2% | 4.6% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.29 | 142 | 66 |
| Matt Lollis R 2025 · 5.05 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.05 | 19.2% | 14.5% | 3.2% | .221 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 120 | 66 |
| Ryan Sublette R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.77 | 19.0% | 15.8% | 2.3% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 203 | 66 |
| Ralston Cash R 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.22 | 21.2% | 13.8% | 3.9% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 242 | 65 |
| Michael Gomez R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.78 | 17.2% | 14.4% | 2.4% | .287 | 4.40 | 21.3% | 9.8% | 90 | -0.38 | 3.33 | 286 | 65 |
| Tyler Baum R 2026 · 5.07 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.07 | 22.1% | 13.9% | 3.8% | .309 | 4.90 | 20.7% | 8.5% | 32 | -0.17 | 3.35 | 177 | 65 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 126 | 21.9% | 17.3% | 1.29 | 5.62 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Brandon Finnegan ('18) | 3 | 80 | 19.7% | 11.6% | 1.57 | 4.19 |
| Francisco Liriano ('19) | 5 | 130 | 22.3% | 11.2% | 1.09 | 4.30 |
| Tyson Ross ('19) | 4 | 107 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 0.84 | 4.31 |
| Josiah Gray ('23) | 3 | 126 | 22.6% | 10.8% | 1.88 | 4.64 |