Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 25 | A | Asheville Tourists | 33 | 0 | 42 | 181 | 42 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 17.2% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 1.4% | 4.54 | 3.68 | — |
| 2019 | 25 | A | Asheville Tourists | 33 | 0 | 42 | 181 | 42 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.2% | 8.3% | 14.9% | 1.7% | 4.54 | 3.10 | — |
| 2021 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 57 | 249 | 82 | 29 | 4 | 0% | 1.5 | 26.4% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 2.3% | 3.97 | 3.94 | — |
| 2021 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 57 | 249 | 82 | 29 | 4 | 0% | 1.5 | 32.9% | 11.6% | 21.3% | 1.6% | 3.97 | 2.66 | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 15 | 0 | 14 | 61 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 0% | 0.9 | 18.8% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 4.9% | 5.27 | 5.10 | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 15 | 0 | 14 | 61 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 0% | 0.9 | 21.3% | 6.6% | 14.8% | 4.9% | 5.27 | 4.93 | — |
| 2024 | 30 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 47 | 0 | 55 | 250 | 65 | 35 | 8 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.9% | 14.7% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 5.56 | 4.89 | — |
| 2024 | 30 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 47 | 0 | 55 | 250 | 65 | 35 | 8 | 0% | 1.2 | 26.0% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 3.2% | 5.56 | 4.54 | — |
| 2025 | 31 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 19 | 0 | 22 | 109 | 26 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.0% | 18.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 7.66 | 5.49 | — |
| 2025 | 31 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 19 | 0 | 22 | 109 | 26 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.9% | 17.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 7.66 | 6.23 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | MIN | 17 | 0 | 18 | 76 | 17 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 3.1% | 4.93 | 4.93 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | MIN | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 3.4% | 5.02 | 5.12 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | MIN | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 3.4% | 5.03 | 5.13 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 3.4% | 5.03 | 4.75 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 190 | 109 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 3.4% | 5.03 | 4.75 | +1.5 | ||
| Career | — | 152 | 0 | 189 | 850 | 188 | 114 | 23 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.1% | 13.4% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 5.09 | 4.44 | +2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 161 | 0 | 200 | 898 | 199 | 121 | 25 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.1% | 13.4% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 5.09 | 4.44 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jacob Bosiokovic (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.93 | 22.7% | 13.1% | 3.1% | — | 5.12 | 22.2% | 9.1% | 20 | +0.19 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2027 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 90 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.62 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 221 | 85 |
| Mike Broadway R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 82 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.77 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .331 | 5.83 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.06 | 3.37 | 170 | 82 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 81 |
| Brad Boxberger R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.66 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 4.0% | .280 | 3.59 | 27.2% | 17.5% | 149 | -1.07 | 3.07 | 363 | 79 |
| David Phelps R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.23 | 24.5% | 10.9% | 3.3% | .289 | 3.49 | 26.7% | 16.6% | 84 | -0.74 | 2.51 | 373 | 77 |
| Manny Acosta R 2029 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 77 |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.31 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .319 | 2.62 | 28.5% | 21.7% | 186 | -1.69 | 2.01 | 380 | 76 |
| Jon Edwards R 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.46 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 132 | 76 |
| Junichi Tazawa R 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.28 | 20.4% | 10.1% | 4.8% | .362 | 4.22 | 17.0% | 8.6% | 21 | -1.06 | 2.90 | 227 | 76 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2027 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 75 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2025 · 4.23 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.23 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 2.0% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.46 | 108 | 75 |
| Nate Jones R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.06 | 23.4% | 10.9% | 2.8% | .279 | 6.10 | 21.4% | 13.8% | 38 | +2.04 | 2.54 | 157 | 74 |
| Jean Machi R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.50 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .276 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.44 | 3.92 | 186 | 74 |
| Dalier Hinojosa R 2024 · 4.38 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.38 | 18.7% | 12.6% | 2.3% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 104 | 73 |
| Leonel Campos R 2024 · 3.78 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.78 | 25.7% | 11.8% | 2.5% | .241 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 168 | 73 |
| Rafael Martín R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.79 | 20.5% | 10.7% | 3.8% | .265 | 3.93 | 21.3% | 15.8% | 110 | -0.86 | 2.85 | 227 | 73 |
| Luis García R 2026 · 5.49 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.49 | 20.5% | 11.5% | 4.9% | .273 | 2.50 | 25.7% | 19.8% | 112 | -2.99 | 2.40 | 617 | 72 |
| Jumbo Diaz R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.89 | 22.3% | 9.2% | 2.8% | .247 | 3.30 | 23.0% | 13.8% | 141 | -0.59 | 2.82 | 284 | 72 |