Brooks Wilson
P
Gwinnett Stripers
+0.2
WAR
Age 30
RHP
6'2" / 205 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA4.56
FIP4.56
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%24.2%
BB%11.4%
K-BB%12.9%
IP36
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
K†6060
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 22 | A | Rome Braves | 17 | 0 | 28 | 108 | 25 | 9 | 3 | 15.8% | 10.3% | 3.8% | 1.30 | 5.17 | -0.1 |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Florida Fire Frogs | 24 | 11 | 87 | 364 | 73 | 25 | 2 | 15.4% | 7.9% | 0.8% | 2.47 | 3.21 | +2.0 |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 39 | 0 | 50 | 203 | 84 | 19 | 3 | 32.9% | 10.4% | 2.5% | 2.34 | 3.03 | +1.1 |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 11 | 0 | 13 | 52 | 18 | 7 | 1 | — | — | — | 2.70 | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 30 | 0 | 47 | 211 | 63 | 33 | 7 | 26.1% | 15.9% | 3.5% | 4.98 | 4.83 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | ATL | 36 | — | 36 | 152 | 37 | 17 | 5 | 24.2% | 11.4% | 3.1% | 4.56 | 4.56 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | ATL | 35 | — | 35 | 147 | 35 | 17 | 5 | 23.9% | 11.3% | 3.1% | 4.58 | 4.61 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | ATL | 33 | — | 33 | 141 | 33 | 16 | 5 | 23.6% | 11.3% | 3.2% | 4.63 | 4.68 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | ATL | 32 | — | 32 | 134 | 31 | 15 | 4 | 23.3% | 11.3% | 3.3% | 4.70 | 4.76 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 34 | MLB | ATL | 30 | — | 30 | 128 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 22.9% | 11.5% | 3.4% | 4.79 | 4.85 | +0.0 |
| 2031 | 35 | MLB | ATL | 28 | — | 28 | 120 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 22.6% | 11.7% | 3.5% | 4.90 | 4.98 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 121 | 11 | 225 | 938 | 213 | 101 | 20 | 22.7% | 10.8% | 2.2% | 2.84 | 3.75 | +4.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 107 | 10 | 200 | 833 | 189 | 90 | 18 | 22.7% | 10.8% | 2.2% | 2.84 | 3.75 | +3.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brooks Wilson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.56 | 24.2% | 11.4% | 3.1% | — | 4.68 | 23.6% | 12.3% | 100 | +0.12 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2029 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 91 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 102 | 84 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.83 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .292 | 1.31 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.52 | 1.30 | 218 | 82 |
| David Hernandez R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.62 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.5% | .287 | 3.18 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.44 | 2.56 | 268 | 82 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2027 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.73 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 3.0% | .325 | 3.80 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.07 | 3.65 | 137 | 80 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.72 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.6% | .287 | 3.88 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.16 | 3.38 | 129 | 79 |
| Erik Davis R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.24 | 22.2% | 11.1% | 2.9% | .349 | 3.54 | 17.4% | 8.5% | 65 | -0.70 | 3.05 | 227 | 79 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2028 · 3.45 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.45 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.18 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.27 | 2.48 | 147 | 79 |
| Javy Guerra R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.30 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.3% | .303 | 3.87 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.43 | 3.01 | 260 | 79 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.06 | 24.4% | 11.8% | 2.8% | .301 | 3.94 | 24.1% | 15.2% | 140 | -0.12 | 1.69 | 468 | 79 |
| J.J. Hoover R 2025 · 4.26 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.26 | 27.4% | 12.7% | 3.4% | .360 | 6.40 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 96 | +2.14 | 4.26 | 258 | 78 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2027 · 3.38 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.38 | 26.5% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .241 | 3.98 | 23.3% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.60 | 3.38 | 212 | 78 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.62 | 22.3% | 11.0% | 1.8% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 224 | 78 |
| Esteban Haro R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.58 | 17.1% | 10.2% | 3.0% | .338 | 3.79 | 11.6% | 6.3% | 75 | -0.79 | 3.73 | 164 | 77 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.33 | 23.4% | 8.8% | 3.8% | .245 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 160 | 77 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2029 · 4.47 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.47 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.9% | .263 | 3.98 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.49 | 3.98 | 104 | 77 |
| Adam Warren R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.56 | 23.3% | 8.5% | 2.5% | .288 | 4.73 | 20.6% | 9.9% | 86 | +1.17 | 2.72 | 392 | 77 |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.46 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .241 | 5.68 | 16.9% | 7.2% | 90 | +2.22 | 3.46 | 160 | 77 |
| Leonel Campos R 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.71 | 25.7% | 11.8% | 2.3% | .241 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63 | 168 | 77 |
| AJ Ramos R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.96 | 27.9% | 12.8% | 2.9% | .288 | 5.08 | 25.0% | 8.0% | 20 | +1.12 | 2.55 | 266 | 76 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.