Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 0 | 28 | 108 | 25 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.6 | 15.8% | 10.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.30 | 5.17 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 0 | 28 | 108 | 25 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.6 | 23.1% | 8.3% | 14.8% | 2.8% | 1.30 | 3.68 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Florida Fire Frogs | 24 | 11 | 87 | 364 | 73 | 25 | 2 | 46% | 3.6 | 15.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 0.8% | 2.47 | 3.25 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Florida Fire Frogs | 24 | 11 | 87 | 364 | 73 | 25 | 2 | 46% | 3.6 | 20.1% | 6.9% | 13.2% | 0.5% | 2.47 | 2.58 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 50 | 203 | 84 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 32.9% | 10.4% | 22.5% | 2.8% | 2.34 | 3.16 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 50 | 203 | 84 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 41.4% | 9.4% | 32.0% | 1.5% | 2.34 | 1.66 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 4 levels | 11 | 0 | 13 | 52 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 34.6% | 13.5% | 21.2% | 1.9% | 2.70 | 2.94 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 4 levels | 11 | 0 | 13 | 52 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 34.6% | 13.5% | 21.2% | 1.9% | 2.70 | 2.95 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 0 | 47 | 211 | 63 | 33 | 7 | 0% | 1.6 | 26.1% | 15.9% | 10.3% | 3.7% | 4.98 | 4.92 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 0 | 47 | 211 | 63 | 33 | 7 | 0% | 1.6 | 29.9% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 3.3% | 4.98 | 4.46 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | ATL | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.2% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 3.1% | 4.58 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | ATL | 22 | 0 | 24 | 99 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 3.3% | 4.67 | 4.75 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | ATL | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.8% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 3.3% | 4.67 | 4.75 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 3.3% | 4.67 | 4.37 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 208 | 93 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 3.3% | 4.67 | 4.37 | +2.4 | ||
| Career | — | 121 | 11 | 225 | 938 | 213 | 101 | 21 | 9% | 1.9 | 22.7% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 2.3% | 2.84 | 3.81 | +4.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 107 | 10 | 200 | 833 | 189 | 90 | 19 | 9% | 1.9 | 22.7% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 2.3% | 2.84 | 3.81 | +3.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brooks Wilson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.58 | 24.2% | 11.4% | 3.1% | — | 4.75 | 23.8% | 12.3% | 24 | +0.17 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2029 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 85 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 81 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 79 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 79 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2028 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 79 |
| Javy Guerra R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 78 |
| Erik Davis R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.18 | 22.2% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .349 | 3.44 | 17.4% | 8.5% | 65 | -0.74 | 3.07 | 227 | 78 |
| David Hernandez R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 77 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2027 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 76 |
| Adam Warren R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.76 | 23.3% | 8.5% | 2.8% | .288 | 4.75 | 20.6% | 9.9% | 86 | +0.99 | 2.71 | 392 | 76 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2027 · 3.41 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.41 | 26.5% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .241 | 3.66 | 23.3% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.25 | 3.41 | 212 | 76 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2029 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 75 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.97 | 24.4% | 11.8% | 2.6% | .301 | 4.06 | 24.1% | 15.2% | 140 | +0.09 | 1.74 | 468 | 75 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.57 | 22.3% | 11.0% | 1.7% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 224 | 75 |
| AJ Ramos R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.86 | 27.9% | 12.8% | 2.7% | .288 | 5.03 | 25.0% | 8.0% | 20 | +1.17 | 2.55 | 266 | 74 |
| Leonel Campos R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.78 | 25.7% | 11.8% | 2.5% | .241 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 168 | 74 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2027 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 74 |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.46 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .241 | 5.92 | 16.9% | 7.2% | 90 | +2.46 | 3.46 | 160 | 73 |
| Blake Smith R 2024 · 3.66 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.66 | 22.4% | 8.6% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 124 | 73 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2025 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 23.4% | 8.8% | 3.9% | .245 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 160 | 73 |