Justin Foscue — OGILVIE

Justin Foscue1B Round Rock Express

Age 27 R/R 5'11" / 205 lbs MLB Svc 2.000S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION258 act + 172 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†117

AVG/OBP/SLG.252 / .335 / .437

PA172

HR6

K%20

BB%9

BABIP286

ISO185

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

903.8%

xwOBA

280.283

POWER60

Barrel%

6310.1

Avg EV

1084.1

Bat Spd

4871.1

EYE50

Chase%

9010.5%

SPEED45

Sprint

4727.4

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2024

Service 2.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.3M	+0.6	$2M	+$2M
2027	Arb-2	$2M	+1.1	$8M	+$6M
2028	Arb-3	$3M	+0.8	$3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Arb-4	$4M	+0.6	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$15M	+$8M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A+	3 teams	—	343	304	68	18	1	21	23	119	14	4	3	224	308	497	805	273	283	35	7	334	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+	3 teams	—	343	288	78	22	1	21	39	91	14	4	3	271	384	573	957	302	320	27	11	414	175	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	460	415	104	25	1	17	30	84	9	3	4	251	315	439	754	188	272	18	7	322	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	460	400	115	31	1	15	45	66	9	3	4	287	372	482	855	195	308	14	10	374	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	563	486	101	22	4	13	61	97	14	14	7	208	314	350	664	142	233	17	11	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	563	462	123	31	4	18	85	70	14	14	7	266	396	468	863	201	279	12	15	385	153	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	3 teams	—	284	248	54	10	0	10	30	63	5	3	2	218	314	379	694	161	250	22	11	306	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	3 teams	—	284	233	57	12	0	10	45	57	5	3	2	245	378	425	803	180	281	20	16	363	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	453	410	93	29	0	18	34	69	5	7	0	227	294	429	723	202	230	15	8	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	453	399	104	28	0	19	45	63	5	7	0	261	343	474	817	213	266	14	10	358	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	AAA	TEX	—	258	226	59	15	0	9	26	57	4	3	0	261	348	447	795	186	309	22	10	342	120	+6	+1	+0	-5	+7	0.9
YTD	27	AAA	TEX	—	258	220	63	17	0	9	32	51	4	3	0	286	387	486	873	200	333	20	12	385	153	+15	+1	+0	-5	+7	1.9
ROS	27	AAA	TEX	100%	172	151	38	10	0	6	16	34	3	2	0	252	335	437	772	185	280	20	9	338	117	+3	+0	+0	-3	+5	0.6
ROS	27	MLB	TEX	100%	172	151	38	10	0	6	16	34	3	2	0	252	335	437	772	185	281	20	9	329	110	+2	+0	+0	-3	+5	0.4
FULL	27	AAA	TEX	—	430	377	97	25	0	15	42	91	7	5	0	257	343	443	786	186	299	21	10	337	116	+8	+1	+0	-8	+12	1.4
TOT	27	AAA	TEX	—	430	377	97	25	0	15	42	91	7	5	0	257	343	443	786	186	299	21	10	340	119	+9	+1	+0	-8	+12	1.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	TEX	82%	392	346	85	21	1	13	37	79	6	5	1	246	329	425	754	179	280	20	9	334	114	+6	+1	-0	-7	+11	1.1
2028	29	MLB	TEX	82%	390	344	85	21	1	13	37	80	6	4	1	247	331	427	758	180	280	21	9	331	112	+5	+0	-1	-7	+11	0.9
2029	30	MLB	TEX	82%	388	344	84	20	1	13	36	81	5	4	1	244	325	422	746	177	279	21	9	328	109	+4	+0	-2	-7	+11	0.7
2030	31	MLB	TEX	82%	373	330	79	19	1	12	35	79	5	3	1	239	322	412	734	173	276	21	9	323	106	+2	+0	-2	-7	+11	0.4
2031	32	MLB	TEX	82%	354	313	72	17	0	11	33	77	5	3	0	230	313	390	703	160	272	22	9	317	101	+0	+1	-3	-6	+10	0.1
2032	33	MLB	TEX	82%	324	287	64	15	0	9	30	72	4	2	0	223	305	369	675	146	267	22	9	309	95	-2	+0	-4	-6	+9	-0.2
2027	28	MLB	TEX	82%	321	283	70	17	1	11	30	65	5	4	1	247	330	431	761	184	281	20	9	325	107	+3	+0	-0	-6	+9	0.6
2028	29	MLB	TEX	82%	320	282	70	17	1	11	30	66	5	4	1	248	331	433	764	184	281	21	9	323	105	+2	+0	-1	-6	+9	0.5
2029	30	MLB	TEX	82%	318	281	69	17	1	10	30	67	4	3	1	246	327	420	747	174	280	21	9	319	103	+1	+0	-1	-6	+9	0.3
2030	31	MLB	TEX	82%	306	270	65	16	0	10	29	65	4	3	0	241	323	411	735	170	278	21	9	315	99	-0	+1	-2	-5	+9	0.2
2031	32	MLB	TEX	82%	290	257	60	14	0	9	27	63	4	2	0	233	316	393	709	160	274	22	9	309	94	-2	+0	-3	-5	+8	-0.1
2032	33	MLB	TEX	82%	266	235	53	12	0	8	25	59	4	2	0	226	311	379	689	153	269	22	9	301	88	-3	+0	-3	-5	+8	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2037	1801	427	104	3	65	189	437	29	20	3	237	319	406	726	169	276	21	9	312	97	-7	+3	-10	-41	+58	0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	136	33	1	21	60	139	9	6	1	237	318	407	725	170	274	21	9	312	97	-2	+1	-3	-13	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	4496	3978	927	227	10	156	402	934	81	54	20	233	316	413	729	180	264	21	9	320	103	+15	+3	-12	-80	+127	5.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	134	33	1	23	58	135	12	8	3	233	316	414	730	181	264	21	9	320	103	+2	+0	-2	-12	+18	0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	104	93	23	7	0	2	8	29	2	0	1	247	320	387	707	140	333	28	8	316	100	+0	-0	—	—	+3	0.3
2021	22	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	150	125	37	11	1	14	16	39	8	1	1	296	409	736	1.145	440	315	26	11	479	225	+21	-0	—	—	+4	2.6
2021	22	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	89	70	18	4	0	5	15	23	4	3	1	257	416	529	944	271	310	26	17	417	177	+8	+0	—	—	+3	1.1
2022	23	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	460	400	115	31	1	15	45	66	9	3	4	287	372	482	855	195	308	14	10	374	145	+23	-1	—	—	+13	3.6
2023	24	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	563	462	123	31	4	18	85	70	14	14	7	266	396	468	863	201	279	12	15	385	153	+33	+0	—	—	+16	5.0
2024	25	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	44	42	2	1	0	0	2	18	0	0	0	48	91	71	162	24	83	41	5	81	-79	-9	+0	-0	-5	+1	-1.3
2024	25	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	219	174	48	8	0	9	39	37	5	2	2	276	422	477	899	201	302	17	18	402	165	+16	-0	—	—	+6	2.2
2024	25	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	21	17	7	3	0	1	4	2	0	1	0	412	524	765	1.289	353	429	10	19	545	275	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2025	26	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	453	399	104	28	0	19	45	63	5	7	0	261	343	474	817	213	266	14	10	358	132	+16	+1	—	—	+13	3.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	44	42	2	1	0	0	2	18	0	0	0	48	91	71	162	24	83	41	5	81	-79	-9	+0	-0	-5	+1	-1.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Stephen Piscottylast yr '22 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,802 PA	8	2,802	93	23	255	324	430	-30	-35	5.0	5.3
	/162	664	22	5	255	324	430	-7.1	-8.4	1.2	pk7: 6
#2Emil Brownlast yr '08 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,335 PA	6	2,335	57	47	263	326	406	-24	-8	5.3	5.3
#2Emil Brownlast yr '08 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,335 PA	/162	664	16	13	263	326	406	-6.7	-2.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#3Robert Ficklast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,585 PA	8	2,585	63	4	258	327	400	-24	-19	4.0	4.6
	/162	664	16	1	258	327	400	-6.3	-4.8	1.0	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	2,154	72	20	242	321	419	-38	-0	4.3	4.3
	/162	664	22	6	242	321	419	-11.9	-0.0	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Nomar Mazaralast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,690 PA	7	2,690	85	7	256	315	414	-29	-21	3.7	3.7
	/162	664	21	2	256	315	414	-7.1	-5.3	0.9	pk7: 4
#5Garrett Cooperlast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,846 PA	6	1,846	57	1	264	333	429	-31	-18	3.3	3.3
	/162	664	21	0	264	333	429	-11.2	-6.5	1.2	pk7: 3
#6Nate Schierholtzlast yr '14 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,275 PA	8	2,275	52	30	253	302	405	-24	-6	2.0	2.8
	/162	664	15	9	253	302	405	-7.1	-1.8	0.6	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Justin Foscue (OGILVIE)	27	55	60	45	50	257/343/443	186	299	15	5	21%	10%	119	+1.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Renato Núñez 2021 · MLB	27	46→51	56→60	44→30	46	243/308/431	189	288	25	3	26%	8%	108	+2.3	244/314/463	219	292	30	5	27%	7%	120	+3.1	232/307/469	237	267	35	1	28%	7%	116	+2.1
✕Nolan Reimold 2010 · MLB	26	52→58	56→60	49→50	52	267/338/463	196	300	24	10	20%	9%	128	+3.7	231/306/382	151	270	18	11	21%	9%	95	+1.4	234/310/359	125	308	13	5	27%	9%	87	+0.4
●Scott Hairston 2007 · MLB	27	47→51	56→60	50	46	250/309/443	193	289	25	6	23%	7%	111	+2.5	249/309/449	200	283	24	7	21%	7%	113	+2.6	250/308/455	205	279	24	9	20%	7%	112	+1.6
●Trevor Plouffe 2013 · MLB	27	43→52	56→60	40→45	47	233/293/423	191	259	24	5	22%	7%	100	+1.7	248/312/416	168	288	19	3	20%	8%	105	+2.1	249/314/413	164	290	17	2	20%	8%	103	+1.9
✕Luis Montanez 2009 · MLB	27	54→58	53→55	41→45	45	276/317/449	173	305	21	5	17%	5%	116	+2.8	255/297/393	138	292	14	7	17%	5%	93	+1.3	245/292/351	106	288	7	7	17%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Brennan Boesch 2012 · MLB	27	53→58	54→60	48→50	47	272/327/456	184	314	21	8	21%	7%	122	+3.3	254/302/416	162	302	18	9	22%	6%	102	+1.8	243/282/383	141	301	16	9	25%	5%	81	+0.3
●Mike Jacobs 2008 · MLB	27	51→53	57→65	43→40	47	266/320/474	208	306	24	3	22%	7%	124	+3.4	241/297/442	201	280	26	2	24%	7%	107	+2.2	227/284/418	191	261	26	1	24%	7%	90	+0.9
●Ryan Garko 2008 · MLB	27	52→57	53→55	37→30	47	265/336/438	173	297	21	3	18%	6%	121	+3.2	254/327/399	145	281	18	2	16%	7%	108	+2.3	237/313/365	128	262	16	0	16%	8%	89	+0.8
✕Ryon Healy 2019 · MLB	27	49→55	57→60	41→30	42	261/299/451	190	297	27	2	23%	5%	110	+2.4	246/299/436	190	281	24	5	22%	7%	105	+2.1	238/295/462	224	269	24	0	21%	7%	109	+0.7
✕Luis Urías 2023 · MLB	26	47→57	53→55	43→45	54	244/335/417	174	281	21	4	21%	10%	116	+2.8	221/317/358	137	264	16	6	22%	10%	94	+1.3	226/309/345	119	258	14	6	18%	9%	85	+0.4
●C.J. Cron 2017 · MLB	27	51→53	54→60	43→40	44	262/306/446	185	293	22	5	20%	5%	111	+2.5	253/313/461	208	291	27	4	23%	6%	118	+3.0	246/324/466	219	279	29	1	23%	8%	120	+2.8
●Jason Kubel 2009 · MLB	27	52→57	53→60	49→40	52	265/326/447	182	294	20	4	18%	8%	119	+3.1	272/340/469	197	308	23	2	19%	9%	131	+3.9	271/342/464	193	310	23	1	20%	9%	123	+2.9
✕Yasmany Tomás 2018 · MLB	27	49→54	57→60	41→40	43	257/301/455	198	307	25	4	25%	6%	111	+2.5	213/246/376	163	288	21	4	33%	4%	67	-0.5	192/217/342	150	263	20	3	35%	3%	42	-1.5
★Jorge Soler 2019 · MLB	27	45→54	58→70	46→45	51	238/325/441	202	296	26	5	28%	10%	118	+3.0	255/342/515	260	300	35	4	27%	11%	144	+4.8	245/337/506	261	279	36	1	26%	11%	137	+3.4
✕Tyler Moore 2014 · MLB	27	46→48	60→65	51→40	41	248/297/462	214	305	28	5	29%	6%	112	+2.6	222/283/375	153	283	18	3	27%	7%	82	+0.5	208/253/359	151	261	17	0	27%	5%	62	-0.3
●Edward Olivares 2023 · MLB	27	50→55	50→55	45→55	45	254/309/410	156	293	19	13	20%	6%	102	+1.9	255/313/415	160	291	18	16	19%	6%	105	+2.1	255/316/420	165	287	19	18	18%	6%	106	+1.3
●Rowdy Tellez 2022 · MLB	27	47→50	59→65	43→45	48	253/320/464	211	284	27	3	22%	8%	121	+3.2	234/308/438	204	257	28	3	21%	9%	110	+2.4	227/302/422	195	249	27	1	22%	9%	97	+1.2
✕Nate Freiman 2014 · MLB	27	50→51	54→60	44→30	44	259/309/435	176	293	22	3	20%	6%	109	+2.4	230/289/368	138	282	15	2	23%	7%	83	+0.6	214/277/342	127	268	13	0	24%	7%	70	-0.2
●Jorge Cantu 2009 · MLB	27	51→61	53→60	45→40	47	262/314/436	175	290	20	5	18%	6%	112	+2.6	263/315/414	151	294	16	3	16%	6%	106	+2.2	263/319/464	201	283	27	4	18%	6%	122	+2.1
●Xavier Nady 2007 · MLB	28	53→59	53→60	42→45	47	270/327/443	174	298	20	5	18%	6%	119	+3.1	284/338/475	191	321	23	4	19%	6%	132	+4.0	281/335/455	174	326	21	2	20%	6%	122	+2.6