Austin Dean
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 25 | AAANew Orleans B… | 282 | .337/.404/.635 | 18 | 4 | 113 | — | .268/.318/.483 | |
| 2019 | 25 | MLBMIA | 189 | .225/.262/.404 | 6 | 0 | 89 | -1.0 | ||
| 2021 | 27 | AAASTL | 56 | .213/.339/.404 | 1 | 0 | 49 | — | .163/.268/.306 | |
| 2021 | 27 | MLBSTL | 38 | .233/.361/.400 | 1 | 0 | 111 | -0.1 | ||
| 2022 | 28 | AAASF | 438 | .268/.345/.467 | 17 | 10 | 75 | — | .222/.279/.369 | |
| 2023 | 29 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 18 | ROK | GCL Marlins | — | 182 | 148 | 33 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 35 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 223 | 343 | 338 | 681 | 115 | 272 | 19 | 13 | 304 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 26 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 360 | 400 | 760 | 200 | 200 | 19 | 15 | 335 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 449 | 403 | 124 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 38 | 72 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 308 | 373 | 444 | 817 | 136 | 354 | 16 | 8 | 362 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A+ | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 578 | 519 | 139 | 32 | 2 | 5 | 39 | 76 | 4 | 18 | 10 | 268 | 324 | 366 | 690 | 98 | 299 | 13 | 7 | 303 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | — | 66 | 62 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 323 | 364 | 452 | 815 | 129 | 365 | 14 | 6 | 362 | 131 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AA | Jacksonville Suns | — | 536 | 480 | 114 | 23 | 5 | 11 | 48 | 110 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 237 | 309 | 375 | 684 | 138 | 283 | 21 | 9 | 305 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 251 | 234 | 66 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 46 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 282 | 325 | 427 | 753 | 145 | 333 | 18 | 6 | 331 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | ROK | GCL Marlins | — | 17 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 412 | 412 | 706 | 1.118 | 294 | 429 | 12 | 0 | 486 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MLB | Miami Marlins | — | 122 | 113 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 221 | 279 | 363 | 642 | 142 | 241 | 18 | 6 | 289 | 88 | -2 | +0 | -3 | -6 | +3 | -0.8 |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA | New Orleans Baby Cakes | — | 358 | 316 | 103 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 49 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 326 | 400 | 475 | 875 | 149 | 360 | 14 | 9 | 387 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 88 | 81 | 34 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 420 | 466 | 654 | 1.120 | 235 | 437 | 8 | 7 | 488 | 177 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB | Miami Marlins | — | 189 | 178 | 40 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 47 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 225 | 262 | 404 | 667 | 180 | 270 | 25 | 5 | 290 | 89 | -2 | -1 | -6 | -5 | +4 | -1.0 |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA | New Orleans Baby Cakes | — | 282 | 252 | 85 | 19 | 1 | 18 | 28 | 52 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 337 | 404 | 635 | 1.038 | 298 | 364 | 18 | 10 | 445 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 38 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 233 | 361 | 400 | 761 | 167 | 300 | 29 | 16 | 328 | 111 | +0 | +0 | -1 | -1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 56 | 47 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 213 | 339 | 404 | 744 | 191 | 333 | 34 | 12 | 337 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 438 | 392 | 105 | 17 | 5 | 17 | 38 | 94 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 268 | 345 | 467 | 812 | 199 | 313 | 21 | 9 | 359 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 349 | 321 | 72 | 20 | 0 | 11 | 22 | 80 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 224 | 278 | 389 | 668 | 165 | 262 | 23 | 6 | 294 | 85 | -6 | -1 | -10 | -12 | +8 | -2.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Marlins | — | 182 | 157 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 50 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 172 | 257 | 261 | 518 | 89 | 214 | 27 | 8 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 26 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 320 | 381 | 701 | 190 | 183 | 27 | 12 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 449 | 416 | 110 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 98 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 264 | 312 | 365 | 678 | 101 | 324 | 22 | 6 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 578 | 531 | 132 | 30 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 106 | 4 | 18 | 10 | 249 | 290 | 341 | 631 | 92 | 283 | 18 | 5 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 536 | 496 | 102 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 136 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 206 | 257 | 302 | 559 | 97 | 263 | 25 | 6 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 251 | 239 | 58 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 57 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 243 | 273 | 360 | 633 | 117 | 302 | 23 | 4 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | ROK MLE | GCL Marlins | — | 17 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 294 | 294 | 529 | 824 | 235 | 316 | 18 | 0 | 330 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 122 | 113 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 221 | 279 | 363 | 642 | 142 | 241 | 18 | 6 | 298 | 88 | -2 | +0 | -3 | -6 | +3 | -0.8 |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Baby Cakes | — | 358 | 325 | 90 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 60 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 277 | 338 | 403 | 741 | 126 | 314 | 17 | 7 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 88 | 83 | 32 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 386 | 420 | 590 | 1.011 | 205 | 407 | 9 | 5 | 430 | 177 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 189 | 179 | 41 | 15 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 229 | 262 | 413 | 675 | 184 | 270 | 25 | 4 | 300 | 89 | -2 | -1 | -6 | -5 | +4 | -1.0 |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Baby Cakes | — | 282 | 261 | 70 | 15 | 1 | 13 | 19 | 71 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 268 | 318 | 483 | 801 | 215 | 310 | 25 | 7 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB MLE | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 38 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 233 | 361 | 400 | 761 | 167 | 300 | 29 | 16 | 332 | 111 | +0 | +0 | -1 | -1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 56 | 49 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 163 | 268 | 306 | 574 | 143 | 276 | 43 | 9 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 438 | 406 | 90 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 114 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 222 | 279 | 369 | 648 | 148 | 275 | 26 | 5 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Marlins | — | 182 | 157 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 50 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 172 | 257 | 261 | 518 | 89 | 231 | 27 | 8 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Marlins | — | 182 | 148 | 33 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 35 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 223 | 343 | 338 | 681 | 115 | 272 | 19 | 13 | 304 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 26 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 320 | 381 | 701 | 190 | 214 | 27 | 12 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A RAW | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 26 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 360 | 400 | 760 | 200 | 200 | 19 | 15 | 335 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 449 | 416 | 110 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 98 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 264 | 312 | 365 | 678 | 101 | 330 | 22 | 6 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A RAW | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 449 | 403 | 124 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 38 | 72 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 308 | 373 | 444 | 817 | 136 | 354 | 16 | 8 | 362 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 644 | 594 | 146 | 33 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 118 | 4 | 20 | 10 | 246 | 287 | 338 | 625 | 93 | 292 | 18 | 5 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 644 | 581 | 159 | 33 | 4 | 6 | 43 | 85 | 4 | 20 | 10 | 274 | 328 | 375 | 703 | 102 | 306 | 13 | 7 | 309 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 536 | 496 | 102 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 136 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 206 | 257 | 302 | 559 | 97 | 267 | 25 | 6 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AA RAW | Jacksonville Suns | — | 536 | 480 | 114 | 23 | 5 | 11 | 48 | 110 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 237 | 309 | 375 | 684 | 138 | 283 | 21 | 9 | 305 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 268 | 256 | 62 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 60 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 242 | 271 | 355 | 626 | 113 | 303 | 22 | 3 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 268 | 251 | 73 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 48 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 291 | 331 | 446 | 777 | 155 | 340 | 18 | 5 | 341 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 568 | 521 | 148 | 24 | 4 | 14 | 35 | 90 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 284 | 340 | 426 | 766 | 142 | 319 | 16 | 6 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 568 | 510 | 162 | 24 | 5 | 16 | 46 | 78 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 318 | 384 | 478 | 863 | 161 | 348 | 14 | 8 | 382 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 471 | 440 | 111 | 30 | 1 | 19 | 27 | 118 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 252 | 296 | 455 | 750 | 202 | 301 | 25 | 6 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 471 | 430 | 125 | 33 | 1 | 24 | 37 | 99 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 291 | 347 | 540 | 886 | 249 | 326 | 21 | 8 | 383 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 94 | 79 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 190 | 304 | 342 | 646 | 152 | 295 | 37 | 12 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 94 | 77 | 17 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 221 | 348 | 403 | 750 | 182 | 319 | 32 | 14 | 333 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 438 | 406 | 90 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 114 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 222 | 279 | 369 | 648 | 148 | 279 | 26 | 5 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA RAW | Sacramento River Cats | — | 438 | 392 | 105 | 17 | 5 | 17 | 38 | 94 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 268 | 345 | 467 | 812 | 199 | 313 | 21 | 9 | 359 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Marlins | — | 182 | 162 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 50 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 167 | 257 | 253 | 510 | 86 | 214 | 27 | 8 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | A MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 26 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 320 | 364 | 684 | 182 | 183 | 27 | 12 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | A MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 449 | 417 | 110 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 98 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 264 | 312 | 365 | 677 | 101 | 324 | 22 | 6 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 644 | 605 | 146 | 33 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 118 | 4 | 20 | 10 | 241 | 287 | 332 | 619 | 91 | 283 | 18 | 5 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 536 | 497 | 102 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 136 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 205 | 257 | 302 | 558 | 97 | 263 | 25 | 6 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 268 | 256 | 62 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 60 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 242 | 271 | 355 | 626 | 113 | 303 | 22 | 3 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 568 | 519 | 148 | 24 | 4 | 14 | 35 | 90 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 285 | 340 | 428 | 768 | 143 | 313 | 16 | 6 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 471 | 441 | 111 | 30 | 1 | 19 | 27 | 118 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 252 | 296 | 454 | 749 | 202 | 294 | 25 | 6 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 94 | 81 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 185 | 304 | 333 | 638 | 148 | 286 | 37 | 12 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 438 | 403 | 90 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 114 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 223 | 279 | 372 | 651 | 149 | 275 | 26 | 5 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 349 | 321 | 72 | 20 | 0 | 11 | 22 | 80 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 224 | 278 | 389 | 668 | 165 | 262 | 23 | 6 | 294 | 80 | -6 | -1 | -10 | -12 | +8 | -2.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 598 | 133 | 37 | 0 | 20 | 41 | 149 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 222 | 277 | 385 | 662 | 162 | 260 | 23 | 6 | 294 | 80 | -12 | -1 | -19 | -23 | +14 | -4.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3676 | 3386 | 815 | 168 | 23 | 71 | 211 | 826 | 34 | 47 | 29 | 241 | 292 | 367 | 659 | 126 | 295 | 22 | 6 | 287 | 80 | -6 | -1 | -10 | -12 | +8 | -2.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 599 | 145 | 30 | 4 | 13 | 37 | 146 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 242 | 293 | 371 | 663 | 129 | 296 | 22 | 6 | 287 | 80 | -12 | -1 | -19 | -23 | +14 | -4.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 AAASacramento River Cats · 438 PAwOBA .347 → .279 (−68)K% 21.5% → 26.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.46% | ÷0.986 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.99% | ÷0.984 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 5.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.83% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 1.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.15% | ÷0.968 | ×0.930 | ×0.962 | ×0.982 | 20.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.70% | ÷0.967 | ×0.830 | ×0.962 | ×0.982 | 4.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.68% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.962 | ×0.982 | 1.71% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.70% | ÷0.989 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 3.97% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 94, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.
Result: wOBA .347 → .279; ISO .199 → .149; BABIP .313 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 56 PAwOBA .328 → .241 (−87)K% 33.9% → 42.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.93% | ÷0.955 | ×1.200 | — | — | 42.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.056 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 8.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.57% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 3.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 10.71% | ÷1.016 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.992 | 9.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷1.029 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.992 | 17.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.57% | ÷0.949 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 2.61% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 103, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 91, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .328 → .241; ISO .191 → .137; BABIP .333 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAANew Orleans Baby Cakes · 282 PAwOBA .436 → .335 (−101)K% 18.4% → 25.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.44% | ÷0.950 | ×1.290 | — | — | 25.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.93% | ÷1.085 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 6.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.50% | ÷0.971 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 21.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.50% | ÷0.952 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 7.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.50% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 0.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.00% | ÷1.100 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 6.49% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 94, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 90, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .436 → .335; ISO .298 → .215; BABIP .364 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAANew Orleans Baby Cakes · 358 PAwOBA .380 → .325 (−55)K% 13.7% → 16.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.69% | ÷1.055 | ×1.290 | — | — | 16.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.22% | ÷0.990 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 6.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.68% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 1.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.21% | ÷1.054 | ×0.900 | ×0.990 | ×1.033 | 25.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.49% | ÷0.906 | ×0.810 | ×0.990 | ×1.033 | 4.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.50% | ÷1.031 | ×0.810 | ×0.990 | ×1.033 | 1.20% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.37% | ÷0.952 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 2.85% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 111, 2B 81, 3B 106, K 111, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .380 → .325; ISO .149 → .128; BABIP .360 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 88 PAwOBA .475 → .430 (−44)K% 8.0% → 9.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 7.95% | ÷1.052 | ×1.220 | — | — | 9.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.82% | ÷1.122 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 4.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.14% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.73% | ÷1.050 | ×0.920 | ×1.024 | ×0.998 | 26.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.81% | ÷0.875 | ×0.910 | ×1.024 | ×0.998 | 11.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.35% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×1.024 | ×0.998 | 1.35% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.05% | ÷1.041 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 3.11% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 110, 2B 75, 3B 80, K 110, BB 124 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.
Result: wOBA .475 → .430; ISO .235 → .219; BABIP .437 → .407. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 251 PAwOBA .325 → .272 (−52)K% 18.3% → 22.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.33% | ÷0.978 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.58% | ÷1.042 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 3.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.40% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.40% | ÷1.029 | ×0.920 | ×1.005 | ×1.012 | 21.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.45% | ÷0.985 | ×0.910 | ×1.005 | ×1.012 | 7.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.13% | ÷1.070 | ×0.880 | ×1.005 | ×1.012 | 1.78% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.13% | ÷1.185 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 1.45% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 106, 2B 97, 3B 114, K 96, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .325 → .272; ISO .145 → .117; BABIP .333 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ROKGCL Marlins · 17 PAwOBA .471 → .330 (−141)K% 11.8% → 16.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.76% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 16.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.955 | 20.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 9.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.955 | 4.97% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .471 → .330; ISO .294 → .200; BABIP .429 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAJacksonville Suns · 536 PAwOBA .299 → .248 (−51)K% 20.5% → 25.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.52% | ÷0.986 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.77% | ÷1.029 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 5.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.37% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 0.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.27% | ÷0.993 | ×0.920 | ×0.988 | ×1.027 | 19.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.22% | ÷0.957 | ×0.910 | ×0.988 | ×1.027 | 6.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.35% | ÷1.013 | ×0.880 | ×0.988 | ×1.027 | 1.19% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.97% | ÷1.423 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 1.72% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 185, 1B 99, 2B 91, 3B 103, K 97, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .299 → .248; ISO .138 → .103; BABIP .283 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).