Nate Freiman
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 28 | AAAMIL | 306 | .220/.281/.321 | 4 | 1 | 38 | — | .189/.235/.274 |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 394 | .267/.358/.436 | 11 | 0 | 68 | — | .216/.281/.327 |
| 2017 | 30 | AAAPericos de Pu… | 244 | .298/.423/.480 | 8 | 0 | 93 | — | .230/.320/.362 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 23 | A | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 594 | 523 | 154 | 43 | 0 | 14 | 58 | 117 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 294 | 372 | 457 | 829 | 163 | 352 | 20 | 10 | 367 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 618 | 548 | 158 | 35 | 4 | 22 | 50 | 93 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 288 | 360 | 487 | 847 | 199 | 308 | 15 | 8 | 369 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 581 | 516 | 154 | 31 | 1 | 24 | 49 | 95 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 298 | 373 | 502 | 875 | 203 | 324 | 16 | 8 | 384 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | — | 92 | 79 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 266 | 363 | 367 | 730 | 101 | 299 | 13 | 10 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | — | 208 | 190 | 52 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 274 | 330 | 389 | 720 | 116 | 306 | 15 | 7 | 321 | 106 | +1 | +0 | -3 | -4 | +5 | -0.1 |
| 2014 | 27 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | — | 93 | 87 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 218 | 269 | 448 | 717 | 230 | 237 | 25 | 5 | 314 | 100 | -0 | +0 | -2 | -8 | +2 | -0.8 |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 364 | 310 | 88 | 22 | 1 | 15 | 40 | 73 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 284 | 378 | 506 | 885 | 223 | 319 | 20 | 11 | 383 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 306 | 277 | 61 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 51 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 220 | 281 | 321 | 603 | 101 | 252 | 17 | 7 | 271 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 26 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 154 | 269 | 423 | 115 | 250 | 38 | 0 | 181 | -22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 368 | 311 | 86 | 17 | 2 | 11 | 43 | 68 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 277 | 373 | 450 | 823 | 174 | 311 | 18 | 12 | 360 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA | Pericos de Puebla | — | 244 | 198 | 59 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 37 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 298 | 423 | 480 | 903 | 182 | 329 | 16 | 15 | 400 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 301 | 277 | 71 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 54 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 256 | 311 | 408 | 719 | 152 | 287 | 18 | 6 | 319 | 102 | +1 | +0 | -5 | -12 | +7 | -1.0 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 23 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 594 | 546 | 126 | 32 | 0 | 12 | 35 | 166 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 286 | 355 | 641 | 125 | 300 | 28 | 6 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 618 | 568 | 135 | 28 | 3 | 22 | 30 | 135 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 238 | 289 | 414 | 703 | 176 | 262 | 22 | 5 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 581 | 534 | 136 | 27 | 1 | 21 | 31 | 115 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 255 | 310 | 427 | 737 | 172 | 283 | 20 | 5 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 208 | 190 | 52 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 274 | 330 | 389 | 720 | 116 | 306 | 15 | 7 | 324 | 106 | +1 | +0 | -3 | -4 | +5 | -0.1 |
| 2014 | 27 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 93 | 88 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 258 | 443 | 701 | 227 | 237 | 25 | 4 | 316 | 100 | -0 | +0 | -2 | -8 | +2 | -0.8 |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 364 | 321 | 75 | 19 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 94 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 234 | 311 | 393 | 703 | 159 | 279 | 26 | 8 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 306 | 285 | 54 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 64 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 189 | 235 | 274 | 509 | 84 | 223 | 21 | 5 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 26 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 115 | 115 | 231 | 346 | 115 | 226 | 50 | 0 | 135 | -22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AA MLE | Portland Sea Dogs | — | 368 | 327 | 73 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 84 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 223 | 292 | 333 | 626 | 110 | 262 | 23 | 7 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 244 | 213 | 49 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 50 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 320 | 362 | 681 | 131 | 261 | 20 | 9 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 594 | 546 | 126 | 32 | 0 | 12 | 35 | 166 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 286 | 355 | 641 | 125 | 305 | 28 | 6 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A RAW | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 594 | 523 | 154 | 43 | 0 | 14 | 58 | 117 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 294 | 372 | 457 | 829 | 163 | 352 | 20 | 10 | 367 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 618 | 568 | 135 | 28 | 3 | 22 | 30 | 135 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 238 | 289 | 414 | 703 | 176 | 269 | 22 | 5 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A+ RAW | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 618 | 548 | 158 | 35 | 4 | 22 | 50 | 93 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 288 | 360 | 487 | 847 | 199 | 308 | 15 | 8 | 369 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 673 | 617 | 157 | 31 | 1 | 24 | 36 | 133 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 254 | 311 | 425 | 736 | 170 | 286 | 20 | 5 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 673 | 595 | 175 | 36 | 1 | 25 | 58 | 107 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 294 | 371 | 484 | 855 | 190 | 321 | 16 | 9 | 377 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 208 | 190 | 52 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 274 | 330 | 389 | 720 | 116 | 306 | 15 | 7 | 324 | 106 | +1 | +0 | -3 | -4 | +5 | -0.1 |
| 2013 | 26 | MLB RAW | Oakland Athletics | — | 208 | 190 | 52 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 274 | 330 | 389 | 720 | 116 | 306 | 15 | 7 | 321 | 106 | +1 | +0 | -3 | -4 | +5 | -0.1 |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 457 | 409 | 94 | 23 | 1 | 16 | 33 | 117 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 300 | 408 | 708 | 178 | 276 | 26 | 7 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 457 | 397 | 107 | 27 | 1 | 20 | 45 | 96 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 270 | 356 | 494 | 849 | 224 | 302 | 21 | 10 | 369 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 306 | 285 | 54 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 64 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 189 | 235 | 274 | 509 | 84 | 226 | 21 | 5 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA RAW | Nashville Sounds | — | 306 | 277 | 61 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 51 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 220 | 281 | 321 | 603 | 101 | 252 | 17 | 7 | 271 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 394 | 353 | 76 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 97 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 215 | 281 | 326 | 606 | 110 | 270 | 25 | 7 | 268 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 394 | 337 | 90 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 43 | 78 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 267 | 358 | 436 | 795 | 169 | 307 | 20 | 11 | 348 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 244 | 213 | 49 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 50 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 320 | 362 | 681 | 131 | 269 | 20 | 9 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA RAW | Pericos de Puebla | — | 244 | 198 | 59 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 37 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 298 | 423 | 480 | 903 | 182 | 329 | 16 | 15 | 400 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 594 | 547 | 126 | 32 | 0 | 12 | 35 | 166 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 286 | 355 | 640 | 124 | 300 | 28 | 6 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 618 | 572 | 135 | 28 | 3 | 22 | 30 | 135 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 236 | 289 | 411 | 700 | 175 | 262 | 22 | 5 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 673 | 617 | 157 | 31 | 1 | 24 | 36 | 133 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 254 | 311 | 425 | 736 | 170 | 283 | 20 | 5 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 208 | 190 | 52 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 274 | 330 | 389 | 720 | 116 | 306 | 15 | 7 | 324 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 457 | 413 | 94 | 23 | 1 | 16 | 33 | 117 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 228 | 300 | 404 | 704 | 177 | 271 | 26 | 7 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 306 | 286 | 54 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 64 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 189 | 235 | 273 | 508 | 84 | 223 | 21 | 5 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 394 | 359 | 76 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 97 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 212 | 281 | 320 | 601 | 109 | 260 | 25 | 7 | 268 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 244 | 214 | 49 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 50 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 229 | 320 | 360 | 679 | 131 | 261 | 20 | 9 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 301 | 277 | 71 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 54 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 256 | 311 | 408 | 719 | 152 | 287 | 18 | 6 | 319 | 85 | +1 | +0 | -5 | -12 | +7 | -1.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 598 | 153 | 28 | 2 | 19 | 41 | 117 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 256 | 310 | 405 | 714 | 149 | 288 | 18 | 6 | 319 | 85 | +1 | +0 | -11 | -26 | +14 | -2.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3494 | 3181 | 743 | 155 | 11 | 94 | 211 | 793 | 57 | 7 | 5 | 234 | 293 | 378 | 671 | 144 | 277 | 23 | 6 | 293 | 85 | +1 | +0 | -5 | -12 | +7 | -1.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 592 | 138 | 29 | 2 | 17 | 39 | 148 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 233 | 293 | 375 | 668 | 142 | 278 | 23 | 6 | 293 | 85 | +1 | +0 | -11 | -26 | +14 | -2.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAAPericos de Puebla · 244 PAwOBA .391 → .305 (−85)K% 15.6% → 20.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.57% | ÷0.920 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.93% | ÷1.033 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 8.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.46% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 2.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.055 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.962 | 20.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.946 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.962 | 5.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.62% | ÷1.114 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.962 | 0.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.00% | ÷0.910 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 3.70% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 111, 2B 89, 3B 123, K 84, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .391 → .305; ISO .182 → .144; BABIP .329 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 368 PAwOBA .359 → .277 (−82)K% 18.5% → 22.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.48% | ÷0.985 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.68% | ÷1.050 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.948 | 7.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.36% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.948 | 1.09% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.05% | ÷1.040 | ×0.970 | ×0.989 | ×0.948 | 20.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.00% | ÷0.997 | ×0.860 | ×0.989 | ×0.948 | 5.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.82% | ÷1.031 | ×0.950 | ×0.989 | ×0.948 | 0.71% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.53% | ÷1.371 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.948 | 2.44% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 174, 1B 108, 2B 99, 3B 106, K 97, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 24.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.
Result: wOBA .359 → .277; ISO .174 → .117; BABIP .311 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 26 PAwOBA .176 → .135 (−41)K% 38.5% → 48.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 38.46% | ÷0.949 | ×1.200 | — | — | 48.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.110 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.50% | ÷1.048 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.972 | 10.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.959 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.972 | 5.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.972 | 6.55% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.978 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 110, 2B 92, 3B 80, K 90, BB 122 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .176 → .135; ISO .115 → .094; BABIP .250 → .226. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAANashville Sounds · 306 PAwOBA .267 → .225 (−42)K% 16.7% → 20.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷1.034 | ×1.290 | — | — | 20.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.86% | ÷1.018 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.982 | 4.70% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.98% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.982 | 0.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.58% | ÷0.953 | ×0.900 | ×1.003 | ×0.982 | 17.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.19% | ÷1.063 | ×0.810 | ×1.003 | ×0.982 | 4.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.44% | ÷0.952 | ×0.810 | ×1.003 | ×0.982 | 0.37% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.77% | ÷0.843 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.982 | 1.61% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 91, 2B 113, 3B 90, K 107, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .267 → .225; ISO .101 → .083; BABIP .252 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAASacramento River Cats · 364 PAwOBA .379 → .308 (−71)K% 20.1% → 25.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.05% | ÷0.998 | ×1.290 | — | — | 25.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.71% | ÷0.953 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 7.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.92% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 1.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.10% | ÷0.975 | ×0.900 | ×0.993 | ×0.992 | 19.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.28% | ÷0.929 | ×0.810 | ×0.993 | ×0.992 | 7.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.42% | ÷1.072 | ×0.810 | ×0.993 | ×0.992 | 0.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.33% | ÷1.092 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 4.49% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 95, 2B 86, 3B 114, K 100, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .379 → .308; ISO .223 → .167; BABIP .319 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AASan Antonio Missions · 581 PAwOBA .375 → .317 (−59)K% 16.4% → 19.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.35% | ÷1.006 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.26% | ÷1.067 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 5.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.07% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 1.78% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.28% | ÷1.018 | ×0.920 | ×0.988 | ×0.988 | 20.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.36% | ÷0.946 | ×0.840 | ×0.988 | ×0.988 | 6.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.24% | ÷0.968 | ×0.940 | ×0.988 | ×0.988 | 0.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.70% | ÷0.919 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 4.90% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 104, 2B 89, 3B 94, K 101, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .375 → .317; ISO .203 → .177; BABIP .324 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 A+Lake Elsinore Storm · 618 PAwOBA .362 → .302 (−60)K% 15.0% → 21.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.05% | ÷0.923 | ×1.340 | — | — | 21.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.44% | ÷1.052 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 4.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.78% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.978 | 1.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.32% | ÷1.026 | ×0.910 | ×0.999 | ×0.978 | 18.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.976 | ×0.820 | ×0.999 | ×0.978 | 6.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.88% | ÷1.016 | ×0.760 | ×0.999 | ×0.978 | 0.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.84% | ÷0.874 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 4.98% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 105, 2B 95, 3B 103, K 85, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .362 → .302; ISO .199 → .183; BABIP .308 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AFort Wayne TinCaps · 594 PAwOBA .358 → .281 (−76)K% 19.7% → 28.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.70% | ÷0.956 | ×1.360 | — | — | 28.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.92% | ÷1.020 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 5.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.18% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 0.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.89% | ÷1.022 | ×0.920 | ×1.011 | ×0.980 | 21.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.59% | ÷1.062 | ×0.830 | ×1.011 | ×0.980 | 8.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.995 | ×0.910 | ×1.011 | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.45% | ÷0.881 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 3.07% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 104, 2B 112, 3B 99, K 91, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .358 → .281; ISO .163 → .129; BABIP .352 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .