Christian Yelich

LF Milwaukee Brewers

Age 35 L/R 6'4" / 220 lbs MLB HR +10%K +6% Svc 13.401 · Ctrl thru 2028

Overview

MLB40-MANExtFA 2028

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2024	32	MLBMIL	315	.315/.406/.504	11	21	153	2.5
2025	33	MLBMIL	644	.264/.344/.452	29	16	121	2.2
2026	34	MLBMIL	500	.235/.317/.378	12	11	94	0.4
2027PROJ	35	MLBMIL	369	.265/.340/.452	14	9	123	1.5
2028PROJ	36	MLBMIL	271	.251/.325/.422	10	3	110	-0.0

Last 3 seasons WAR 5.0 · Next 2 projected WAR 1.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2028Service13.401First FA2028Options3NTC

2027Ext$24M2028Ext$24M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026

xwOBA70

Avg EV62

Bat Spd60

Barrel%59

Speed50

Form.251/.330/.418 ▼ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .267/.339/.451

CompsJohnny Damon (age 36) · Mike Cameron (age 35) · Michael Cuddyer (age 35)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 99123vR 131

AVG/OBP/SLG.265 / .340 / .452

PA369

HR14

SB9

K%26

BB%9

BABIP328

ISO182

MLB%100%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$37M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · Contract

ToolsStatcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT

xAVG

470.249

POWER

Barrel%

599.5

Avg EV

6289.9

Bat Spd

6072.4

SPEED

Sprint

5027.5

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%29%▼▼31% over 93 PA (60d) · proj 26%

BB%10%▲11% over 93 PA (60d) · proj 9%

ISO.167▼.134 over 82 AB (60d) · proj .184

HR/BB5.7%·5.6% over 54 BBE (60d) · proj 5.8%

BABIP.331·.294 over 51 BIP (60d) · proj .333

SLASH.251/.330/.418▼proj .267/.339/.451

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 997 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

305

692

—

wRC+

109

143

▶▶R

wOBA

329

379

▶R

ISO

129

213

▶▶R

BABIP

340

339

—

24.3%

23.0%

▶R

BB%

8.5%

10.3%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2013

Service 13.401 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2028

NTCOPTDEF 20%

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Ext	$24M	+1.4	$11M	-$13M
2028	Ext	$24M	—	—	—
Totals		$48M		$11M	-$34M

Options · projected decision
2029	MUTUAL OPT	$23.9M / $0.0M buyout	DECLINE
2030	MUTUAL OPT	$20.0M / $6.5M buyout	DECLINE
2031	CLUB OPT	$15.0M / $1.2M buyout	DECLINE

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2010	18	A	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	24	23	8	2	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	348	375	435	810	87	471	25	4	362	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	18	ROK	GCL Marlins	—	26	24	9	1	1	0	2	7	0	1	0	375	423	500	923	125	529	27	8	409	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	19	A	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	521	461	144	32	1	15	55	102	3	32	5	312	389	484	873	171	373	20	11	387	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	A+	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	447	397	131	29	5	12	49	85	0	20	6	330	404	519	922	189	397	19	11	406	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	INTL	Phoenix Desert Dogs	—	99	93	28	6	1	0	5	17	1	3	1	301	343	387	731	86	368	17	5	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	273	240	69	12	1	4	31	66	1	10	0	287	371	396	767	108	380	24	11	347	126	+8	+2	-1	-6	+6	1.0
2013	21	AA	Jacksonville Suns	—	222	193	54	13	6	7	26	52	1	5	5	280	368	518	886	238	346	23	12	384	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	A+	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	30	26	6	0	0	2	4	8	0	0	0	231	333	462	795	231	250	27	13	352	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	ROK	GCL Marlins	—	18	17	5	0	1	0	1	5	0	0	0	294	333	412	745	118	417	28	6	330	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	660	582	165	30	6	9	70	137	3	21	7	284	363	402	765	119	356	21	11	343	123	+18	+1	-0	-7	+14	2.7
2015	23	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	525	476	143	30	2	7	47	101	2	16	5	300	366	416	782	116	370	19	9	352	130	+19	+1	-8	-6	+11	1.8
2016	24	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	659	578	172	38	3	21	72	138	4	9	4	298	379	483	862	185	356	21	11	379	149	+38	+0	+2	-7	+14	4.9
2017	25	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	695	602	170	36	2	18	80	137	6	16	2	282	372	439	810	156	336	20	12	360	135	+29	+2	-3	+2	+15	4.7
2018	26	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	651	574	187	34	7	36	68	135	7	22	4	326	404	598	1.001	272	373	21	10	433	178	+60	+3	-2	-7	+14	7.0
2019	27	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	580	489	161	29	3	44	80	118	8	30	2	329	432	671	1.102	342	355	20	14	469	189	+62	+5	-10	-6	+13	6.5
2020	28	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	247	200	41	7	1	12	46	76	1	4	2	205	356	430	786	225	259	31	19	354	121	+6	+0	-4	-3	+5	0.5
2021	29	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	475	399	99	19	2	9	70	113	3	9	3	248	364	373	738	125	321	24	15	337	111	+6	+1	-2	-5	+10	1.0
2022	30	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	671	575	145	25	4	14	88	162	5	19	3	252	356	383	739	130	327	24	13	335	111	+9	+3	-7	-7	+15	1.2
2023	31	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	632	550	153	34	1	19	78	140	3	28	3	278	371	447	818	169	342	22	12	366	130	+23	+4	-3	-7	+14	3.1
2024	32	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	315	270	85	12	3	11	40	58	2	21	1	315	406	504	909	189	366	18	13	400	153	+20	+4	-3	-3	+7	2.5
2025	33	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	644	573	151	21	0	29	64	167	6	16	6	264	344	452	796	188	323	26	10	354	121	+16	+1	-2	-7	+14	2.2
2026	34	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	500	442	104	23	2	12	49	135	4	11	1	235	317	378	695	143	308	27	10	311	94	-3	+2	-0	-5	+11	0.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	7527	6550	1845	350	37	245	883	1683	55	232	43	282	372	459	830	177	344	22	12	368	135	+318	+29	-42	-74	+163	40.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2010	18	A MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	24	23	7	2	0	0	1	8	0	0	0	304	333	391	725	87	435	33	4	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	18	ROK MLE	GCL Marlins	—	26	25	7	1	1	0	1	10	0	1	0	280	308	400	708	120	426	38	4	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	19	A MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	521	483	129	28	1	11	33	143	3	32	5	267	318	398	715	130	353	27	6	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	A+ MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	447	409	116	28	3	10	37	126	0	20	6	284	343	440	783	156	388	28	8	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	273	241	71	13	1	4	30	66	1	10	0	295	375	407	782	112	380	24	11	354	126	+8	+2	-1	-6	+6	1.0
2013	21	AA MLE	Jacksonville Suns	—	222	201	51	12	5	6	18	62	1	5	5	254	318	453	771	199	332	28	8	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	A+ MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	30	27	5	0	0	2	3	11	0	0	0	185	267	407	674	222	225	37	10	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	ROK MLE	GCL Marlins	—	18	17	4	0	1	0	1	7	0	0	0	235	278	353	631	118	325	39	6	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	660	585	170	33	6	9	67	137	3	21	7	291	366	414	780	123	356	21	10	351	123	+18	+1	-0	-7	+14	2.7
2015	23	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	525	478	148	33	2	7	45	101	2	16	5	310	371	431	802	121	370	19	9	361	130	+19	+1	-8	-6	+11	1.8
2016	24	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	659	582	178	41	3	22	68	138	4	9	4	306	382	500	882	194	356	21	10	388	149	+38	+0	+2	-7	+14	4.9
2017	25	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	695	607	176	39	2	19	76	137	6	16	2	290	374	455	829	165	336	20	11	368	135	+29	+2	-3	+2	+15	4.7
2018	26	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	651	576	188	36	7	34	66	135	7	22	4	326	402	590	992	264	373	21	10	431	178	+60	+3	-2	-7	+14	7.0
2019	27	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	580	505	161	31	3	42	64	118	8	30	2	319	404	642	1.045	323	355	20	11	448	189	+62	+5	-10	-6	+13	6.5
2020	28	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	247	202	40	7	1	11	44	76	1	4	2	198	344	406	750	208	259	31	18	346	121	+6	+0	-4	-3	+5	0.5
2021	29	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	475	404	100	20	2	9	65	113	3	9	3	248	356	374	730	126	321	24	14	332	111	+6	+1	-2	-5	+10	1.0
2022	30	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	671	580	147	27	4	13	83	162	5	19	3	253	352	381	733	128	327	24	12	332	111	+9	+3	-7	-7	+15	1.2
2023	31	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	632	557	154	36	1	18	71	140	3	28	3	276	361	442	803	165	342	22	11	360	130	+23	+4	-3	-7	+14	3.1
2024	32	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	315	274	85	13	3	10	37	58	2	21	1	310	396	489	885	179	366	18	12	394	153	+20	+4	-3	-3	+7	2.5
2025	33	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	644	579	152	22	0	28	58	167	6	16	6	263	336	446	782	183	323	26	9	346	121	+16	+1	-2	-7	+14	2.2
2026	34	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	500	446	105	25	2	11	45	135	4	11	1	235	311	374	686	139	308	27	9	308	94	-3	+2	-0	-5	+11	0.4
2010	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	50	48	13	2	1	0	2	18	0	1	0	271	300	354	654	83	433	36	4	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	18	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	50	47	17	3	1	0	3	13	0	1	0	362	400	468	868	106	500	26	6	386	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	19	A MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	521	483	129	28	1	11	33	143	3	32	5	267	318	398	715	130	356	27	6	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	19	A RAW	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	521	461	144	32	1	15	55	102	3	32	5	312	389	484	873	171	373	20	11	387	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	546	499	142	34	4	13	45	154	1	23	7	285	345	447	792	162	389	28	8	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	546	490	159	35	6	12	54	102	1	23	7	324	393	494	887	169	391	19	10	392	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	MLB MLE	4 teams	—	543	486	130	25	7	11	52	146	2	15	5	267	341	416	756	148	358	27	10	336	114	+9	+1	-1	-6	+12	1.5
2013	21	MLB RAW	4 teams	—	543	476	134	25	8	13	62	131	2	15	5	282	367	450	816	168	361	24	11	362	114	+9	+1	-1	-6	+12	1.5
2014	22	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	660	585	170	33	6	9	67	137	3	21	7	291	366	414	780	123	365	21	10	351	123	+18	+1	-0	-7	+14	2.7
2014	22	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	—	660	582	165	30	6	9	70	137	3	21	7	284	363	402	765	119	356	21	11	343	123	+18	+1	-0	-7	+14	2.7
2015	23	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	525	478	148	33	2	7	45	101	2	16	5	310	371	431	802	121	381	19	9	361	130	+19	+1	-8	-6	+11	1.8
2015	23	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	—	525	476	143	30	2	7	47	101	2	16	5	300	366	416	782	116	370	19	9	352	130	+19	+1	-8	-6	+11	1.8
2016	24	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	659	582	178	41	3	22	68	138	4	9	4	306	382	500	882	194	365	21	10	388	149	+38	+0	+2	-7	+14	4.9
2016	24	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	—	659	578	172	38	3	21	72	138	4	9	4	298	379	483	862	185	356	21	11	379	149	+38	+0	+2	-7	+14	4.9
2017	25	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	695	607	176	39	2	19	76	137	6	16	2	290	374	455	829	165	344	20	11	368	135	+29	+2	-3	+2	+15	4.7
2017	25	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	—	695	602	170	36	2	18	80	137	6	16	2	282	372	439	810	156	336	20	12	360	135	+29	+2	-3	+2	+15	4.7
2018	26	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	651	576	188	36	7	34	66	135	7	22	4	326	402	590	992	264	377	21	10	431	178	+60	+3	-2	-7	+14	7.0
2018	26	MLB RAW	Milwaukee Brewers	—	651	574	187	34	7	36	68	135	7	22	4	326	404	598	1.001	272	373	21	10	433	178	+60	+3	-2	-7	+14	7.0
2019	27	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	580	505	161	31	3	42	64	118	8	30	2	319	404	642	1.045	323	342	20	11	448	189	+62	+5	-10	-6	+13	6.5
2019	27	MLB RAW	Milwaukee Brewers	—	580	489	161	29	3	44	80	118	8	30	2	329	432	671	1.102	342	355	20	14	469	189	+62	+5	-10	-6	+13	6.5
2020	28	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	247	202	40	7	1	11	44	76	1	4	2	198	344	406	750	208	252	31	18	346	121	+6	+0	-4	-3	+5	0.5
2020	28	MLB RAW	Milwaukee Brewers	—	247	200	41	7	1	12	46	76	1	4	2	205	356	430	786	225	259	31	19	354	121	+6	+0	-4	-3	+5	0.5
2021	29	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	475	404	100	20	2	9	65	113	3	9	3	248	356	374	730	126	319	24	14	332	111	+6	+1	-2	-5	+10	1.0
2021	29	MLB RAW	Milwaukee Brewers	—	475	399	99	19	2	9	70	113	3	9	3	248	364	373	738	125	321	24	15	337	111	+6	+1	-2	-5	+10	1.0
2022	30	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	671	580	147	27	4	13	83	162	5	19	3	253	352	381	733	128	329	24	12	332	111	+9	+3	-7	-7	+15	1.2
2022	30	MLB RAW	Milwaukee Brewers	—	671	575	145	25	4	14	88	162	5	19	3	252	356	383	739	130	327	24	13	335	111	+9	+3	-7	-7	+15	1.2
2023	31	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	632	557	154	36	1	18	71	140	3	28	3	276	361	442	803	165	340	22	11	360	130	+23	+4	-3	-7	+14	3.1
2023	31	MLB RAW	Milwaukee Brewers	—	632	550	153	34	1	19	78	140	3	28	3	278	371	447	818	169	342	22	12	366	130	+23	+4	-3	-7	+14	3.1
2024	32	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	315	274	85	13	3	10	37	58	2	21	1	310	396	489	885	179	362	18	12	394	153	+20	+4	-3	-3	+7	2.5
2024	32	MLB RAW	Milwaukee Brewers	—	315	270	85	12	3	11	40	58	2	21	1	315	406	504	909	189	366	18	13	400	153	+20	+4	-3	-3	+7	2.5
2025	33	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	644	579	152	22	0	28	58	167	6	16	6	263	336	446	782	183	322	26	9	346	121	+16	+1	-2	-7	+14	2.2
2025	33	MLB RAW	Milwaukee Brewers	—	644	573	151	21	0	29	64	167	6	16	6	264	344	452	796	188	323	26	10	354	121	+16	+1	-2	-7	+14	2.2
2026	34	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	500	446	105	25	2	11	45	135	4	11	1	235	311	374	686	139	309	27	9	308	94	-3	+2	-0	-5	+11	0.4
2026	34	MLB RAW	Milwaukee Brewers	—	500	442	104	23	2	12	49	135	4	11	1	235	317	378	695	143	308	27	10	311	94	-3	+2	-0	-5	+11	0.4
2010	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	50	48	13	2	1	0	2	18	0	1	0	271	300	354	654	83	430	36	4	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	19	A MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	521	480	129	28	1	11	33	143	3	32	5	269	318	400	718	131	353	27	6	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	546	495	142	34	4	13	45	154	1	23	7	287	345	451	795	164	388	28	8	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	MLB MLE	4 teams	—	543	484	130	25	7	11	52	146	2	15	5	269	341	417	758	149	350	27	10	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	660	585	170	33	6	9	67	137	3	21	7	291	366	414	780	123	356	21	10	351	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	525	473	148	33	2	7	45	101	2	16	5	313	371	436	807	123	370	19	9	361	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	659	582	178	41	3	22	68	138	4	9	4	306	382	500	882	194	356	21	10	388	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	25	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	695	608	176	39	2	19	76	137	6	16	2	289	374	454	828	164	336	20	11	368	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	26	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	651	573	188	36	7	34	66	135	7	22	4	328	402	593	996	265	373	21	10	431	178	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	27	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	580	503	161	31	3	42	64	118	8	30	2	320	404	644	1.048	324	355	20	11	448	189	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	28	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	247	200	40	7	1	11	44	76	1	4	2	200	344	410	754	210	259	31	18	346	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	29	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	475	404	100	20	2	9	65	113	3	9	3	248	356	374	730	126	321	24	14	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	30	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	671	578	147	27	4	13	83	162	5	19	3	254	352	382	734	128	327	24	12	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	31	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	632	553	154	36	1	18	71	140	3	28	3	278	361	445	806	166	342	22	11	360	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	32	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	315	273	85	13	3	10	37	58	2	21	1	311	396	491	887	179	366	18	12	394	153	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	33	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	644	575	152	22	0	28	58	167	6	16	6	264	336	449	785	184	323	26	9	346	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	34	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	500	447	105	25	2	11	45	135	4	11	1	235	311	374	685	139	308	27	9	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	32	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	315	273	85	13	3	10	37	58	2	21	1	311	396	491	887	179	366	18	12	394	153	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	33	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	644	575	152	22	0	28	58	167	6	16	6	264	336	449	785	184	323	26	9	346	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	34	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	500	447	105	25	2	11	45	135	4	11	1	235	311	374	685	139	308	27	9	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	35	MLB MLE	MIL	100%	458	409	110	21	2	17	42	118	4	12	3	267	342	451	793	184	333	26	9	350	123	+12	+1	-1	-5	+10	1.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	35	MLB CTX	MIL	100%	369	329	87	16	1	14	34	95	3	9	2	265	340	452	792	187	328	26	9	349	123	+10	+1	-1	-4	+8	1.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	36	MLB MLE	MIL	100%	271	243	61	11	1	9	24	72	2	3	1	253	327	421	748	168	319	27	9	332	110	+3	+0	-7	-3	+6	-0.0
2028	36	MLB CTX	MIL	100%	271	243	61	10	1	10	24	72	2	3	1	251	325	422	747	171	315	27	9	331	110	+3	+0	-7	-3	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	7798	6793	1906	360	38	255	907	1755	57	235	44	281	370	457	827	177	343	23	12	367	129	+321	+29	-49	-77	+169	40.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	566	158	30	3	21	76	146	5	20	4	279	370	454	824	175	341	22	12	367	129	+27	+2	-4	-6	+14	3.3
Career	—	MLE		—	9554	8463	2367	480	51	291	979	2245	65	305	63	280	359	452	810	172	348	23	10	359	129	+331	+30	-50	-80	+177	41.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	161	33	3	20	67	153	4	21	4	280	359	451	811	172	347	24	10	359	129	+26	+2	-4	-6	+14	3.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2013 AAJacksonville Suns · 222 PAwOBA .376 → .332 (−44)K% 23.4% → 27.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.42%	÷1.024	×1.220	—	—	27.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.26%	÷0.980	×0.680	—	×1.042	8.15%
HBP% /PA	0.45%	—	×0.840	—	×1.042	0.39%
Singles /BIP	19.86%	÷0.986	×0.920	×1.029	×1.042	19.88%
Doubles /BIP	9.22%	÷1.029	×0.910	×1.029	×1.042	8.74%
Triples /BIP	4.26%	÷1.082	×0.880	×1.029	×1.042	3.71%
Home runs /BIP	4.96%	÷1.036	×0.800	—	×1.042	3.99%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 97, 2B 106, 3B 116, K 105, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.

Result: wOBA .376 → .332; ISO .238 → .206; BABIP .346 → .332. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 A+Jupiter Hammerheads · 30 PAwOBA .343 → .275 (−68)K% 26.7% → 37.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.67%	÷1.019	×1.420	—	—	37.15%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.33%	÷0.970	×0.750	—	×1.012	10.44%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.930	—	×1.012	0.00%
Singles /BIP	22.22%	÷1.029	×0.920	—	×1.012	20.10%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.073	×0.960	—	×1.012	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.810	—	×1.012	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	11.11%	÷0.942	×0.880	—	×1.012	10.51%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 106, 2B 115, 3B 80, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .343 → .275; ISO .231 → .191; BABIP .250 → .225. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 ROKGCL Marlins · 18 PAwOBA .321 → .208 (−113)K% 27.8% → 40.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.78%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	40.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.56%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×0.975	3.36%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.720	—	×0.975	0.00%
Singles /BIP	33.33%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×0.975	26.65%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.975	0.00%
Triples /BIP	8.33%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.975	5.85%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.975	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .321 → .208; ISO .118 → .070; BABIP .417 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 A+Jupiter Hammerheads · 447 PAwOBA .394 → .343 (−51)K% 19.0% → 28.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.02%	÷0.956	×1.420	—	—	28.25%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.51%	÷0.971	×0.750	—	×1.027	8.34%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.930	—	×1.027	0.00%
Singles /BIP	27.24%	÷1.027	×0.920	×1.050	×1.027	26.31%
Doubles /BIP	9.29%	÷0.977	×0.960	×1.050	×1.027	9.85%
Triples /BIP	1.60%	÷1.150	×0.810	×1.050	×1.027	1.22%
Home runs /BIP	3.85%	÷0.939	×0.880	—	×1.027	3.70%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 105, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 91, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .394 → .343; ISO .189 → .167; BABIP .397 → .388. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AGreensboro Grasshoppers · 521 PAwOBA .377 → .309 (−68)K% 19.6% → 27.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.58%	÷0.958	×1.340	—	—	27.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.36%	÷1.119	×0.660	—	×1.030	6.30%
HBP% /PA	0.58%	—	×0.770	—	×1.030	0.46%
Singles /BIP	26.74%	÷1.023	×0.920	×1.050	×1.030	26.01%
Doubles /BIP	8.91%	÷0.982	×0.820	×1.050	×1.030	8.05%
Triples /BIP	0.28%	÷0.900	×0.940	×1.050	×1.030	0.31%
Home runs /BIP	4.18%	÷1.143	×0.820	—	×1.030	3.09%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 105, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 92, BB 124 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .377 → .309; ISO .171 → .134; BABIP .373 → .353. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 ROKGCL Marlins · 26 PAwOBA .398 → .270 (−128)K% 26.9% → 38.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.92%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	38.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.69%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×1.008	4.81%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.720	—	×1.008	0.00%
Singles /BIP	41.18%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×1.008	34.02%
Doubles /BIP	5.88%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×1.008	4.27%
Triples /BIP	5.88%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×1.008	4.27%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .398 → .270; ISO .125 → .078; BABIP .529 → .426. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AGreensboro Grasshoppers · 24 PAwOBA .353 → .288 (−64)K% 25.0% → 33.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.00%	÷1.001	×1.340	—	—	33.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.17%	÷0.960	×0.660	—	×1.045	2.99%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.770	—	×1.045	0.00%
Singles /BIP	35.29%	÷1.026	×0.920	—	×1.045	33.07%
Doubles /BIP	11.76%	÷0.966	×0.820	—	×1.045	10.43%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.940	—	×1.045	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.414	×0.820	—	×1.045	0.00%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 183, 1B 105, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 100, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .353 → .288; ISO .087 → .069; BABIP .471 → .435. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Abreu'96-'14 * AS×2GGSS career totals — 17 seasons, 10,081 PA	15.2	10,081	288	400	282*	383*	465*	-117	-32	61.4	50.5
/162	664	19	26	-7.7	-2.1	4.0	pk7: 40
#2Matt Hollidaylast yr '18 AS×7SS×4 career totals — 15 seasons, 7,981 PA	12.0	7,981	316	108	299	379	510	-89	-91	52.3	45.5
/162	664	26	9	-7.4	-7.5	4.4	pk7: 39
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 16 projected seasons	12.3	8,167	268	245	282	367	460	-88	-72	49.1	42.0
/162	664	22	20	-7.1	-5.8	4.0	pk7: 35
#3Magglio Ordonez'97-'11 * career totals — 15 seasons, 7,742 PA	11.7	7,742	294	94	297*	358*	491*	-88	-52	39.8	35.9
/162	664	25	8	-7.5	-4.4	3.4	pk7: 32
#4Bobby Murcer'65-'83 * career totals — 15 seasons, 7,718 PA	11.6	7,718	252	127	276*	356*	485*	-39	-83	34.5	31.7
/162	664	22	11	-3.3	-7.1	3.0	pk7: 29
#5Shin-Soo Choolast yr '20 career totals — 14 seasons, 7,116 PA	10.7	7,116	218	157	275	377	449	-66	-95	34.2	31.0
/162	664	20	15	-6.2	-8.8	3.2	pk7: 28
#6Carlos Gonzálezlast yr '19 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,551 PA	8.4	5,551	234	122	285	343	500	-50	-23	32.3	30.2
/162	664	28	15	-6.0	-2.7	3.9	pk7: 28

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Christian Yelich (OGILVIE)	35	—	—	—	—	265/339/447	182	333	14	9	26%	9%	123	+1.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Johnny Damon 2010 · MLB	36	57→65	52→55	55	58	285/361/461	177	308	19	19	15%	11%	132	+3.7	266/338/420	154	296	14	14	15%	10%	114	+2.4	258/329/397	139	287	12	14	14%	9%	107	+1.5
●Mike Cameron 2008 · MLB	35	50→53	54→60	55	53	253/336/449	196	307	20	19	24%	10%	121	+2.9	246/330/447	201	303	23	13	26%	10%	119	+2.7	243/330/446	202	299	24	11	26%	11%	120	+2.1
●Michael Cuddyer 2014 · MLB	35	56→63	53→60	50	50	285/341/467	182	323	20	11	18%	8%	127	+3.3	283/334/453	170	328	19	8	19%	7%	121	+2.9	286/335/452	166	331	18	5	19%	6%	123	+1.6
✕Mark Sweeney 2006 · MLB	36	54	53→55	52→40	59	268/362/451	183	325	20	8	23%	13%	130	+3.5	245/328/378	133	297	12	6	20%	10%	101	+1.4	226/311/331	105	277	8	2	20%	10%	85	+0.1
●Jayson Werth 2014 · MLB	35	58→62	54→60	52→55	56	290/370/473	183	334	22	13	19%	11%	139	+4.1	270/357/441	171	317	19	7	20%	11%	127	+3.3	254/348/417	163	300	18	5	21%	12%	119	+2.5
✕Doug Clark 2012 · AAA	36	51→55	52→50	53→55	50	257/323/424	167	297	19	22	21%	8%	111	+2.1	260/314/405	145	308	15	18	20%	6%	103	+1.5	262/314/394	133	311	13	16	19%	6%	101	+0.7
●Bobby Abreu 2009 · MLB	35	58→62	50→60	52→55	60	288/372/456	168	329	16	20	17%	12%	135	+3.9	273/360/427	154	321	15	22	18%	12%	124	+3.1	264/359/407	144	313	13	23	19%	13%	120	+3.0
●Ruben Rivera 2009 · AAA	35	51→58	54→60	54→55	49	260/332/446	186	297	22	18	21%	8%	119	+2.7	269/342/462	193	286	24	17	15%	9%	126	+3.2	266/341/461	195	275	25	15	14%	9%	126	+2.3
●Torii Hunter 2010 · MLB	35	55→65	56→65	51→55	50	283/340/482	199	311	24	18	18%	7%	130	+3.5	280/344/454	174	320	21	10	19%	8%	125	+3.2	282/348/444	161	328	19	7	19%	8%	125	+3.3
✕Rickie Weeks Jr. 2017 · MLB	34	47→57	53→55	50→55	50	240/324/415	175	297	21	10	26%	9%	109	+2.0	235/321/397	162	339	18	10	33%	10%	104	+1.6	205/311/338	133	377	13	5	43%	11%	88	+0.1
●Shin-Soo Choo 2018 · MLB	36	51→61	51→55	47→55	57	254/350/412	158	302	19	10	22%	12%	118	+2.7	256/356/422	166	317	20	11	24%	12%	123	+3.0	254/360/423	169	318	20	11	24%	12%	121	+2.3
✕Orlando Merced 2002 · MLB	35	49	54→50	53→45	50	255/322/434	180	292	22	15	21%	8%	113	+2.3	252/307/399	147	290	14	10	17%	7%	99	+1.2	254/305/395	141	292	11	8	16%	7%	97	+0.5
✕Asdrúbal Cabrera 2021 · MLB	35	49→59	54→60	51→50	52	253/322/440	187	285	21	4	20%	9%	114	+2.3	237/314/388	151	288	15	5	22%	10%	99	+1.3	225/309/355	130	282	11	2	23%	10%	89	+0.3
●Curtis Granderson 2016 · MLB	35	50→60	54→65	47→50	58	252/347/436	184	298	21	10	22%	12%	122	+3.0	239/336/453	214	275	25	6	22%	12%	122	+3.0	231/332/450	220	264	26	5	23%	12%	122	+2.6
✕Brett Gardner 2020 · MLB	36	48→58	54→55	56→65	55	245/325/430	185	273	20	14	19%	10%	113	+2.3	232/328/397	165	274	17	9	21%	12%	106	+1.8	216/330/354	138	264	14	7	22%	14%	99	+0.6
✕Stephen Vogt 2020 · MLB	35	47→57	56→60	47→40	49	246/306/449	203	282	22	6	22%	8%	110	+2.1	216/287/381	165	257	19	5	23%	9%	88	+0.4	179/259/328	149	204	20	1	24%	9%	66	-0.4
●Charlie Blackmon 2019 · MLB	33	56→59	57→60	49→55	50	287/350/489	202	320	24	12	19%	8%	135	+3.9	279/339/464	185	312	21	6	17%	7%	126	+3.2	276/340/447	171	308	19	3	16%	7%	124	+2.5
✕Jason Kipnis 2021 · MLB	34	46→56	50→55	49→55	52	234/308/394	160	270	18	8	21%	9%	99	+1.2	234/309/390	156	295	18	7	26%	8%	98	+1.2	215/293/362	147	274	17	2	27%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Chris Taylor 2024 · MLB	33	49→59	52→60	55	47	240/321/412	172	337	19	17	32%	10%	107	+1.9	219/301/345	126	315	12	14	32%	9%	85	+0.2	198/285/284	86	295	7	11	32%	9%	67	-0.3
●John Vander Wal 2002 · MLB	36	54→57	55→60	47→50	58	272/360/469	197	323	21	11	22%	12%	134	+3.8	254/331/438	184	322	19	6	25%	10%	117	+2.6	254/331/445	191	324	19	2	26%	10%	119	+1.4

Christian Yelich

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps