Kade Morris — OGILVIE

Kade Morris P Las Vegas Aviators

Age 24 RHP 6'3" / 190 lbs AAA ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION108 act + 14 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114106vR 98

ERA4.24

FIP4.24

K%15.6%

BB%7.1%

K-BB%8.5%

ROS IP14

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 122 IP

Grades · Statcast · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF5050

CTRL4545

CMD5060

K†4045

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5094.5

Whiff%

p1018.2%

p1011.2%

xwOBA vs

p100.359

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	2	2	3	16	3	2	0	100%	1.7	18.8%	12.5%	6.2%	0.0%	2.70	3.10	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	2	2	3	16	3	2	0	100%	1.7	18.8%	12.5%	6.2%	0.0%	2.70	3.10	—
2023	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	2	2	3	16	3	2	0	100%	1.7	18.8%	12.5%	6.2%	0.0%	2.70	3.10	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	24	136	592	121	45	15	89%	5.0	16.1%	8.4%	7.6%	3.5%	4.50	4.72	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	24	136	592	121	45	15	89%	5.0	16.1%	8.4%	7.6%	3.5%	4.50	4.72	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	27	24	136	592	121	45	15	89%	5.0	20.4%	7.6%	12.8%	2.5%	4.50	3.75	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	28	150	643	128	48	16	100%	5.4	16.4%	7.1%	9.3%	2.4%	4.38	3.92	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	28	150	643	128	48	16	100%	5.4	16.4%	7.1%	9.3%	2.4%	4.38	3.92	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	28	150	643	128	48	16	100%	5.4	19.9%	7.5%	12.4%	2.5%	4.38	3.74	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			6	2	17	89	10	7	5	33%	2.9	11.2%	7.9%	3.4%	5.6%	10.90	6.91	-0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	MLB MLE	Athletics	23	19	108	481	76	39	18	83%	4.7	13.5%	7.4%	6.0%	4.0%	5.40	5.12	—
YTD	24	MLB MLE	Athletics	23	19	108	481	76	39	18	83%	4.7	13.5%	7.4%	6.0%	4.0%	5.40	5.12	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	AAA RAW	OAK	17	17	91	392	66	32	13	100%	5.4	16.8%	8.2%	8.7%	3.3%	4.35	4.53	—
2026	24	MLB RAW	OAK	6	2	17	89	10	7	5	33%	2.9	11.2%	7.9%	3.4%	5.6%	10.90	6.23	-0.3
SO FAR	24	MLB RAW	OAK	6	2	17	89	10	7	5	33%	2.9	11.2%	7.9%	3.4%	5.6%	10.90	6.23	-0.3
ROS	24	MLB MLE	OAK	2	2	14	59	9	4	2	100%	6.9	15.6%	7.1%	8.5%	2.8%	4.24	4.24	+0.1
ROS	24	MLB CTX	OAK	2	2	14	59	9	4	2	100%	7.0	15.6%	7.1%	8.5%	2.8%	4.24	4.24	+0.1
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	OAK	—	—	122	540	85	43	20	—	—	15.8%	8.0%	7.8%	3.6%	5.27	5.02	-0.2
FULL	24	MLB A+C	OAK	—	—	31	132	85	43	20	—	—	64.6%	32.7%	31.8%	14.9%	20.62	9.98	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	OAK	30	30	175	739	127	53	24	100%	5.8	17.2%	7.1%	10.1%	3.2%	4.73	4.68	+0.4
2028	26	MLB MLE	OAK	29	29	175	739	136	53	23	100%	6.0	18.4%	7.1%	11.3%	3.2%	4.62	4.57	+0.7
2029	27	MLB MLE	OAK	29	29	172	728	135	53	23	100%	5.9	18.6%	7.2%	11.4%	3.2%	4.60	4.59	+0.6
2030	28	MLB MLE	OAK	29	29	172	728	135	54	24	100%	5.9	18.6%	7.4%	11.2%	3.3%	4.64	4.67	+0.5
2031	29	MLB MLE	OAK	27	27	165	695	127	53	24	100%	6.1	18.3%	7.6%	10.7%	3.5%	4.73	4.80	+0.2
2032	30	MLB MLE	OAK	26	26	155	653	117	52	24	100%	5.9	18.0%	7.9%	10.1%	3.7%	4.88	4.97	-0.1
2027	25	MLB CTX	OAK	28	28	166	701	121	50	22	100%	5.9	17.2%	7.1%	10.1%	3.2%	4.73	4.68	+0.4
2028	26	MLB CTX	OAK	28	28	166	701	129	50	22	100%	5.9	18.4%	7.1%	11.3%	3.2%	4.62	4.57	+0.6
2029	27	MLB CTX	OAK	27	27	164	692	129	50	22	100%	6.1	18.6%	7.2%	11.4%	3.2%	4.60	4.59	+0.6
2030	28	MLB CTX	OAK	27	27	164	692	128	51	23	100%	6.1	18.6%	7.4%	11.2%	3.3%	4.64	4.67	+0.4
2031	29	MLB CTX	OAK	26	26	156	659	121	50	23	100%	6.0	18.3%	7.6%	10.7%	3.5%	4.73	4.80	+0.2
2032	30	MLB CTX	OAK	24	24	147	621	111	49	23	100%	6.1	18.0%	7.9%	10.1%	3.7%	4.88	4.97	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		170	166	995	4215	758	312	142	98%	5.9	18.0%	7.4%	10.6%	3.4%	4.80	4.37	+6.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	33	200	848	152	63	29	98%	5.9	18.0%	7.4%	10.6%	3.4%	4.80	4.37	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		80	73	398	1732	268	133	55	91%	5.0	15.5%	7.7%	7.8%	3.2%	4.68	4.52	+2.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		40	37	200	871	135	67	28	91%	5.0	15.5%	7.7%	7.8%	3.2%	4.68	4.52	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kade Morris (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.53	16.4%	7.0%	2.8%	—	4.61	18.1%	10.9%	522	+0.08	—	—	—
Kyle Luckham R 2023 · 4.40 FIP	23	SP	4.40	14.5%	6.5%	3.1%	.286	4.27	13.7%	6.7%	376	-0.13	3.78	501	89
Jose Reyes R 2015 · 4.25 FIP	24	SP	4.25	14.6%	6.5%	2.8%	.289	5.11	11.0%	2.8%	100	+0.86	4.25	225	89
Brady Feigl R 2019 · 3.93 FIP	23	SP	3.93	15.9%	7.0%	2.3%	.333	5.26	19.4%	9.8%	122	+1.33	3.93	257	88
Gabriel Arias R 2015 · 4.42 FIP	25	SP	4.42	13.1%	7.2%	2.8%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	195	88
Rainy Lara R 2015 · 4.33 FIP	24	SP	4.33	13.9%	7.5%	2.7%	.305	4.94	11.4%	2.4%	108	+0.61	4.33	242	87
Reggie McClain R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	24	SP	4.44	15.0%	6.2%	3.3%	.315	4.26	16.2%	9.0%	227	-0.18	2.99	452	87
Nick Martinez R 2015 · 4.22 FIP	24	SP	4.22	13.6%	7.5%	2.4%	.288	4.74	13.3%	7.5%	287	+0.52	2.94	1,134	87
James Needy R 2015 · 4.72 FIP	24	SP	4.72	14.2%	8.6%	3.1%	.326	2.82	18.1%	8.2%	36	-1.90	2.82	167	86
Jonathan Cannon R 2023 · 4.74 FIP	23	SP	4.74	16.1%	8.5%	3.5%	.311	4.68	17.7%	9.7%	415	-0.06	4.33	536	86
Derek Diamond R 2023 · 4.73 FIP	22	SP	4.73	14.4%	6.9%	3.6%	.307	4.58	15.9%	10.1%	151	-0.15	3.53	270	86
Kendall Graveman R 2015 · 4.46 FIP	24	SP	4.46	14.8%	7.8%	2.9%	.288	4.52	14.5%	8.0%	360	+0.06	2.63	723	86
Tyler Cleveland R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	23	SP-	3.99	14.5%	5.4%	2.6%	.284	4.41	18.9%	5.6%	149	+0.42	2.66	285	86
Blayne Weller R 2015 · 4.15 FIP	25	SP	4.15	16.0%	9.7%	2.1%	.326	5.65	17.6%	8.4%	103	+1.50	4.15	254	85
Dustin Beggs R 2017 · 5.07 FIP	24	SP	5.07	13.0%	6.0%	4.2%	.283	3.87	17.5%	11.3%	210	-1.20	3.40	407	85
Blake Battenfield R 2019 · 4.73 FIP	24	SP	4.73	13.7%	6.9%	3.5%	.302	4.52	13.7%	8.7%	106	-0.21	3.35	389	85
Lindsey Caughel R 2017 · 4.49 FIP	26	SP	4.49	14.6%	6.5%	3.3%	.276	5.12	13.3%	5.0%	29	+0.63	4.49	187	85
Austin Peterson R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	23	SP	4.31	15.0%	6.3%	3.1%	.335	3.52	19.5%	13.8%	405	-0.79	2.69	522	85
Trent Baker R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	24	SP	3.88	16.3%	6.0%	2.5%	.279	4.28	19.1%	10.1%	247	+0.40	3.88	490	84
Shane Greene R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	26	SP	4.50	13.0%	6.6%	3.0%	.309	3.60	24.1%	15.6%	191	-0.90	2.86	484	84
Ian Mejia R 2023 · 4.62 FIP	23	SP	4.62	16.8%	6.4%	3.9%	.300	4.73	17.1%	6.8%	318	+0.11	3.94	439	84

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	5.8	167	17.9%	7.3%	1.26	4.67
Julio Teheran ('23)	5.2	147	20.4%	8.8%	1.34	4.12
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)	4.0	134	21.4%	7.7%	1.46	4.45
Zach Davies ('23)	5.2	116	17.5%	8.1%	1.16	4.36
Jordan Montgomery ('24)	4.3	124	21.4%	6.9%	1.07	4.01
Dylan Bundy ('22)	4.5	130	22.0%	7.3%	1.61	4.75
Alex Cobb ('23)	4.0	114	19.5%	6.6%	1.03	4.14