Tanner Gordon
P
Albuquerque Isotopes
+0.0
WAR
Age 28
RHP
6'5" / 220 lbs
AAA
ERA5.80
FIP4.94
xFIP4.04
SIERA3.56
K%18.3%
BB%5.6%
K-BB%12.7%
IP61
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
STUF3535
CTRL6565
CMD4545
K†3030
FB Velo
p1992.3
Whiff%
p1018.0%
K%
p2418.4%
xwOBA vs
p100.368
SI (10%)
CU (10%)
CH (17%)
FB-1.3 (45%)
SL-1.5 (28%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Rome Braves | 22 | 21 | 108 | 443 | 109 | 21 | 13 | 18.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.90 | 4.39 | +1.1 |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Mississippi Braves | 25 | 25 | 120 | 511 | 133 | 37 | 17 | 20.8% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 4.64 | 4.69 | +0.8 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 27 | 26 | 140 | 607 | 131 | 41 | 19 | 18.1% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 5.53 | 4.41 | +1.4 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 21 | 21 | 96 | 419 | 79 | 21 | 22 | 16.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.83 | 5.30 | -0.0 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 27 | 27 | 134 | 590 | 109 | 27 | 25 | 17.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.86 | 4.65 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 4 | 3 | 20 | 77 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 21.0% | 6.7% | 1.7% | 2.21 | 3.13 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | COL | 57 | — | 57 | 241 | 36 | 13 | 10 | 15.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.04 | 5.17 | -0.1 |
| 2026 Total | 28 | MLB | COL | — | — | 77 | 318 | 55 | 18 | 11 | 17.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 5.03 | 4.63 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | COL | 60 | — | 60 | 252 | 37 | 14 | 11 | 14.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.56 | 5.24 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | COL | 58 | — | 58 | 244 | 34 | 13 | 10 | 14.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.43 | 5.34 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | COL | 56 | — | 56 | 236 | 32 | 13 | 10 | 13.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.44 | 5.44 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB | COL | 54 | — | 54 | 226 | 29 | 13 | 10 | 12.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.51 | 5.56 | -0.4 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB | COL | 51 | — | 51 | 216 | 26 | 13 | 10 | 12.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.61 | 5.68 | -0.4 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB | COL | 49 | — | 49 | 205 | 24 | 13 | 9 | 11.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.74 | 5.82 | -0.5 |
| 2033 | 35 | MLB | COL | 46 | — | 46 | 193 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 10.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.88 | 5.97 | -0.5 |
| 2034 | 36 | MLB | COL | 43 | — | 43 | 181 | 18 | 12 | 9 | 10.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.03 | 6.14 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 126 | 123 | 618 | 2647 | 487 | 163 | 111 | 18.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.08 | 4.62 | +4.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 41 | 40 | 200 | 856 | 158 | 53 | 36 | 18.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.08 | 4.62 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tanner Gordon (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.17 | 15.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | — | 5.34 | 14.1% | 8.5% | 173 | +0.17 | — | — | — |
| Ramon Delgado R 2027 · 4.66 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.66 | 13.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | .332 | 4.35 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 74 | -0.31 | 4.35 | 135 | 81 |
| Bryan Evans R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.19 | 17.8% | 6.2% | 3.3% | .250 | 4.61 | 19.7% | 14.9% | 132 | +0.42 | 3.86 | 231 | 81 |
| Christian Bergman R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.86 | 15.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | .309 | 4.58 | 15.0% | 9.1% | 322 | -0.28 | 4.13 | 467 | 79 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2026 · 5.29 FIP | 28 | SW | 5.29 | 15.9% | 7.4% | 4.7% | .244 | 5.54 | 11.2% | 2.3% | 115 | +0.25 | 4.51 | 224 | 77 |
| Ronnie Shaban R 2024 · 4.37 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.37 | 14.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | .263 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.02 | 104 | 77 |
| Andrew Triggs R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.11 | 17.7% | 6.7% | 3.0% | .288 | 4.76 | 23.6% | 13.7% | 41 | +0.65 | 1.66 | 242 | 76 |
| Rob Wooten R 2028 · 4.91 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.91 | 19.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | .299 | 3.86 | 17.7% | 14.4% | 111 | -1.05 | 3.19 | 191 | 76 |
| Chasen Bradford R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.37 | 16.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | .269 | 5.02 | 17.7% | 11.9% | 69 | +0.65 | 3.00 | 322 | 76 |
| Vinny Nittoli R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.20 | 19.0% | 6.9% | 3.3% | .302 | 3.84 | 26.9% | 20.4% | 93 | -0.36 | 3.68 | 331 | 76 |
| Rodolfo Aguirre R 2028 · 4.29 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.29 | 12.4% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .288 | 4.78 | 11.4% | 1.3% | 125 | +0.49 | 3.39 | 212 | 75 |
| Pedro Echemendia R 2024 · 4.37 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.37 | 11.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.37 | 141 | 74 |
| Tyler Herron R 2027 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.39 | 13.4% | 6.9% | 2.8% | .389 | 3.99 | 16.4% | 7.7% | 60 | -0.40 | 3.99 | 117 | 74 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.78 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .297 | 3.85 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.93 | 3.85 | 102 | 74 |
| Rolando Valdez R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 13.3% | 5.9% | 2.4% | .301 | 3.68 | 13.2% | 7.9% | 176 | -0.38 | 3.02 | 258 | 74 |
| Chris Leroux R 2029 · 4.22 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.22 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.4% | .279 | 4.06 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.16 | 4.06 | 219 | 73 |
| George Kontos R 2028 · 4.06 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.06 | 15.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | .216 | 3.70 | 19.0% | 13.0% | 171 | -0.36 | 3.57 | 290 | 73 |
| Theo Denlinger R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.24 | 15.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.90 | 140 | 73 |
| Eder Llamas R 2027 · 4.85 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.85 | 12.3% | 8.8% | 3.1% | .261 | 3.65 | 11.3% | 4.6% | 120 | -1.20 | 3.23 | 171 | 72 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2029 · 5.21 FIP | 31 | SW | 5.21 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.6% | .253 | 3.95 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.26 | 3.80 | 132 | 72 |
| Casey Cobb R 2025 · 5.66 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.66 | 18.7% | 8.4% | 5.6% | .343 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.52 | 191 | 72 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.