Jake Woodford
P
Milwaukee Brewers
+0.0
WAR
Age 29
RHP
6'4" / 215 lbs
MLB
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA5.49
FIP4.61
xFIP3.82
SIERA3.93
K%18.1%
BB%7.6%
K-BB%10.5%
IP31
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
K†4040
FB Velo
p3393.3
Whiff%
p2221.4%
K%
p1013.7%
xwOBA vs
p100.399
CH (16%)
SI (27%)
CT (39%)
FB-0.5 (29%)
SL-1.3 (16%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 18 | ROK | GCL Cardinals | 8 | 5 | 26 | 112 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 12.8% | 7.8% | 1.2% | 2.39 | 3.70 | +0.4 |
| 2016 | 19 | A | Peoria Chiefs | 21 | 21 | 109 | 459 | 82 | 37 | 7 | 13.2% | 9.5% | 1.8% | 3.31 | 4.18 | +1.4 |
| 2017 | 20 | A+ | Palm Beach Cardinals | 23 | 21 | 119 | 513 | 72 | 39 | 7 | 10.8% | 8.7% | 2.0% | 3.10 | 4.40 | +1.2 |
| 2018 | 21 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 28 | 28 | 145 | 657 | 101 | 62 | 18 | 12.9% | 10.2% | 3.0% | 4.90 | 4.93 | +0.6 |
| 2019 | 22 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 26 | 26 | 152 | 643 | 131 | 75 | 22 | 17.9% | 12.2% | 3.8% | 4.15 | 5.23 | +0.1 |
| 2020 | 23 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 12 | 1 | 21 | 85 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 18.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 5.57 | 6.83 | -0.4 |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 33 | 15 | 102 | 445 | 75 | 37 | 11 | 16.2% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 4.16 | 4.31 | +1.1 |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 38 | 11 | 91 | 371 | 63 | 29 | 3 | 15.7% | 8.1% | 0.8% | 2.66 | 3.24 | +2.0 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 25 | 17 | 76 | 342 | 63 | 33 | 16 | 15.8% | 10.4% | 4.6% | 4.95 | 5.63 | -0.5 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 29 | 26 | 129 | 565 | 117 | 36 | 18 | 18.8% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 5.02 | 4.37 | +1.4 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 36 | 10 | 98 | 441 | 82 | 32 | 12 | 17.0% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 5.25 | 4.09 | +1.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 5 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 5 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 3.68 | — | — |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | STL | 24 | — | 24 | 100 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 16.5% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 5.63 | 4.78 | +0.0 |
| 2026 Total | 29 | MLB | STL | — | — | 31 | 131 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 16.4% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 5.17 | 3.65 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | STL | 30 | — | 30 | 127 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 15.9% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 5.17 | 4.87 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 284 | 181 | 1075 | 4664 | 717 | 423 | 136 | 15.4% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 4.17 | 4.55 | +9.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 53 | 34 | 200 | 868 | 133 | 79 | 25 | 15.4% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 4.17 | 4.55 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jake Woodford (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.78 | 16.5% | 7.6% | 3.2% | — | 4.87 | 15.9% | 8.3% | 30 | +0.09 | — | — | — |
| Zack Segovia R 2029 · 4.81 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.81 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.5% | .314 | 3.37 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.44 | 3.37 | 144 | 72 |
| Rolando Valdez R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 13.3% | 5.9% | 2.4% | .301 | 3.68 | 13.2% | 7.9% | 176 | -0.38 | 3.02 | 258 | 72 |
| Hunter Strickland R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.23 | 18.4% | 9.5% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.41 | 22.0% | 13.3% | 83 | +0.18 | 2.30 | 511 | 72 |
| Luis Angel Daniel R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.50 | 9.9% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .292 | 4.37 | 11.6% | 2.4% | 107 | -0.13 | 4.13 | 156 | 71 |
| Josh Lindblom R 2027 · 3.83 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.83 | 18.7% | 5.5% | 2.9% | .333 | 3.54 | 27.2% | 18.8% | 45 | -0.29 | 3.54 | 348 | 71 |
| Ryan Doolittle R 2025 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.38 | 13.9% | 7.1% | 2.8% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 101 | 71 |
| Esteban Haro R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.03 | 11.6% | 8.4% | 1.5% | .302 | 4.25 | 15.6% | 7.8% | 78 | +0.22 | 3.73 | 164 | 70 |
| Eder Llamas R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.85 | 12.3% | 8.8% | 3.1% | .261 | 3.65 | 11.3% | 4.6% | 120 | -1.20 | 3.23 | 171 | 70 |
| Jose Casilla R 2024 · 4.65 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.65 | 13.0% | 8.0% | 3.0% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 104 | 70 |
| Francisco Rodriguez R 2029 · 4.81 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.81 | 11.1% | 8.1% | 3.0% | .281 | 4.04 | 12.1% | 4.4% | 139 | -0.77 | 3.17 | 273 | 70 |
| Adrian Garza R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.44 | 16.0% | 7.0% | 3.3% | .351 | 5.10 | 9.7% | 4.1% | 113 | +0.66 | 3.95 | 229 | 69 |
| Ronald Belisario R 2029 · 3.71 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.71 | 11.8% | 6.3% | 1.5% | .254 | 2.10 | 18.4% | 14.0% | 48 | -1.61 | 2.10 | 126 | 69 |
| Ramon Delgado R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.66 | 13.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | .332 | 4.35 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 74 | -0.31 | 4.35 | 135 | 69 |
| Angel Castro R 2029 · 4.53 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.53 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.2% | .268 | 4.27 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.26 | 3.50 | 292 | 69 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.78 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.78 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .297 | 3.85 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.93 | 3.85 | 102 | 69 |
| Rodolfo Aguirre R 2027 · 4.29 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.29 | 12.4% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .288 | 4.78 | 11.4% | 1.3% | 125 | +0.49 | 3.39 | 212 | 69 |
| Francisco Cordova R 2028 · 5.49 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.49 | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | .261 | 4.63 | 7.1% | -0.6% | 83 | -0.86 | 4.63 | 115 | 68 |
| Juan Omar Espinoza R 2028 · 4.80 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.80 | 8.9% | 6.6% | 2.9% | .346 | 4.86 | 8.4% | -0.8% | 52 | +0.06 | 4.80 | 104 | 68 |
| Collin Balester R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.23 | 14.2% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .240 | 3.20 | 21.2% | 15.4% | 43 | -1.03 | 3.20 | 116 | 68 |
| Tyler Herron R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.39 | 13.4% | 6.9% | 2.8% | .389 | 3.99 | 16.4% | 7.7% | 60 | -0.40 | 3.99 | 117 | 68 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.