Jake Woodford
P
Milwaukee Brewers
Age 29
RHP
6'4" / 215 lbs
MLB
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION30 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.52
FIP4.32
xFIP3.82
SIERA3.93
K%16.4%
BB%7.3%
K-BB%9.0%
IP31
K†3030
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
FB Velo
p3393.3
Whiff%
p2221.4%
K%
p1013.7%
xwOBA vs
p100.399
CH (15%)
SI (29%)
CT (37%)
FB-0.5 (32%)
SL-1.3 (16%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 18 | ROK | GCL Cardinals | 8 | 5 | 26 | 112 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 12.8% | 7.8% | 1.2% | 2.39 | 3.70 | +0.3 |
| 2016 | 19 | A | Peoria Chiefs | 21 | 21 | 109 | 459 | 82 | 37 | 7 | 13.2% | 9.5% | 1.8% | 3.31 | 4.15 | +1.6 |
| 2017 | 20 | A+ | Palm Beach Cardinals | 23 | 21 | 119 | 513 | 72 | 39 | 7 | 10.8% | 8.7% | 2.6% | 3.10 | 4.74 | +0.9 |
| 2018 | 21 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 28 | 28 | 145 | 657 | 101 | 62 | 18 | 12.9% | 10.2% | 2.7% | 4.90 | 4.77 | +1.1 |
| 2019 | 22 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 26 | 26 | 152 | 643 | 131 | 75 | 22 | 17.9% | 12.2% | 3.9% | 4.15 | 5.28 | +0.2 |
| 2020 | 23 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 12 | 1 | 21 | 85 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 18.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 5.57 | 6.80 | -0.6 |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 33 | 15 | 102 | 445 | 75 | 37 | 11 | 16.2% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 4.16 | 4.28 | +1.3 |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 38 | 11 | 91 | 371 | 63 | 29 | 3 | 15.7% | 8.1% | 0.8% | 2.66 | 3.24 | +2.1 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 25 | 17 | 76 | 342 | 63 | 33 | 16 | 15.8% | 10.4% | 4.7% | 4.95 | 5.67 | -0.7 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 29 | 26 | 129 | 565 | 117 | 36 | 18 | 18.8% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 5.02 | 4.51 | +1.3 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 36 | 10 | 98 | 441 | 82 | 32 | 12 | 17.0% | 7.5% | 2.4% | 5.25 | 3.96 | +1.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 16 | 0 | 23 | 112 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 17.9% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 6.94 | 3.85 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | MIL | 8 | — | 8 | 32 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16.4% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 4.52 | 4.32 | +0.0 |
| 2026 Total | 29 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 31 | 144 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 17.5% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 6.35 | 3.97 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | MIL | 29 | — | 29 | 122 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 15.5% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 4.90 | 4.91 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 295 | 181 | 1091 | 4745 | 732 | 428 | 140 | 15.4% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 4.23 | 4.56 | +10.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 54 | 33 | 200 | 870 | 134 | 78 | 26 | 15.4% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 4.23 | 4.56 | +2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jake Woodford (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.84 | 15.6% | 7.6% | 3.1% | — | 4.91 | 15.5% | 7.9% | 29 | +0.07 | — | — | — |
| Vinny Nittoli R 2025 · 4.36 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.36 | 19.0% | 6.9% | 3.6% | .302 | 3.71 | 26.9% | 20.4% | 93 | -0.65 | 3.59 | 331 | 74 |
| Josh Lindblom R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.28 | 18.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | .333 | 3.66 | 27.2% | 18.8% | 45 | -0.62 | 3.66 | 348 | 74 |
| Hunter Strickland R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.23 | 18.4% | 9.5% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.60 | 22.0% | 13.3% | 83 | +0.37 | 2.30 | 523 | 72 |
| Drew Storen R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.86 | 19.5% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .289 | 4.49 | 19.4% | 8.4% | 10 | +0.63 | 2.36 | 172 | 71 |
| Angel Castro R 2029 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 71 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 71 |
| Ramon Delgado R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.73 | 13.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.45 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 74 | -0.28 | 4.45 | 135 | 71 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2028 · 4.02 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.02 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.39 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 270 | -0.63 | 3.19 | 485 | 71 |
| Tim Dillard R 2029 · 3.70 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.70 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 1.8% | .330 | 3.83 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 144 | +0.13 | 3.15 | 352 | 71 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2028 · 3.69 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.69 | 17.5% | 8.8% | 1.8% | .244 | 4.74 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 377 | +1.05 | 3.69 | 521 | 70 |
| Rolando Valdez R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.99 | 13.3% | 5.9% | 2.3% | .301 | 3.60 | 13.2% | 7.9% | 176 | -0.39 | 2.98 | 258 | 70 |
| Francisco Mendoza R 2025 · 4.11 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.11 | 17.9% | 7.7% | 2.8% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 120 | 70 |
| Chris Leroux R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.50 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .279 | 3.94 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.56 | 3.94 | 219 | 70 |
| Zack Segovia R 2029 · 5.00 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.00 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .314 | 3.41 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.59 | 3.41 | 144 | 69 |
| Rodolfo Aguirre R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.28 | 12.4% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .288 | 4.99 | 11.4% | 1.3% | 125 | +0.71 | 3.49 | 212 | 69 |
| Eder Llamas R 2026 · 5.20 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.20 | 12.3% | 8.8% | 3.7% | .261 | 3.71 | 11.3% | 4.6% | 120 | -1.49 | 3.27 | 171 | 69 |
| Pedro Beato R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.86 | 19.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .275 | 3.73 | 18.5% | 11.1% | 152 | -1.13 | 3.40 | 295 | 69 |
| Tyler Herron R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.29 | 13.4% | 6.9% | 2.6% | .389 | 4.17 | 16.4% | 7.7% | 60 | -0.12 | 4.17 | 117 | 69 |
| Collin Balester R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.25 | 14.2% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .240 | 3.40 | 21.2% | 15.4% | 43 | -0.85 | 3.40 | 116 | 69 |
| Craig Stammen R 2029 · 3.86 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.86 | 17.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | .333 | 3.42 | 23.9% | 18.6% | 241 | -0.44 | 1.87 | 407 | 68 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.