Drew Romo
C Chicago White Sox| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | AAACOL | 370 | .297/.342/.499 | 14 | 3 | 92 | — | .259/.295/.399 |
| 2024 | 22 | MLBCOL | 53 | .176/.208/.235 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 0.4 | |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA/ROKCOL | 261 | .258/.324/.394 | 7 | 3 | 56 | — | .212/.266/.311 |
| 2026 | 24 | AAACWS | 68 | .298/.385/.561 | 4 | 1 | 107 | — | .271/.338/.475 |
| 2026 | 24 | MLBCWS | 206 | .144/.241/.294 | 7 | 1 | 50 | -0.3 | |
| 2027PROJ | 25 | MLBCWS | 213 | .217/.291/.371 | 7 | 2 | 85 | 0.5 | |
| 2028PROJ82% MLB | 26 | MLBCWS | 226 | .217/.291/.370 | 7 | 2 | 85 | 0.5 | |
| 2029PROJ82% MLB | 27 | MLBCWS | 241 | .216/.290/.368 | 7 | 2 | 84 | 0.5 |
Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 50
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 19 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 339 | 312 | 98 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 50 | 0 | 23 | 6 | 314 | 353 | 439 | 793 | 125 | 348 | 15 | 6 | 345 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ | Spokane Indians | — | 420 | 374 | 95 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 81 | 5 | 18 | 3 | 254 | 326 | 372 | 698 | 118 | 306 | 19 | 8 | 311 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 18 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 353 | 389 | 529 | 918 | 176 | 462 | 22 | 0 | 403 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 368 | 327 | 83 | 18 | 2 | 13 | 29 | 67 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 254 | 318 | 440 | 759 | 187 | 277 | 18 | 8 | 327 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 48 | 39 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 375 | 359 | 734 | 128 | 300 | 19 | 17 | 339 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 53 | 51 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 176 | 208 | 235 | 443 | 59 | 273 | 34 | 4 | 201 | 19 | -5 | -0 | +1 | +8 | +1 | 0.4 |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 370 | 343 | 102 | 19 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 66 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 297 | 342 | 499 | 840 | 201 | 331 | 18 | 4 | 365 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 244 | 220 | 58 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 63 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 264 | 331 | 409 | 740 | 145 | 338 | 26 | 7 | 329 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | ROK | ACL Rockies | — | 17 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 188 | 235 | 188 | 423 | 200 | 6 | 6 | 201 | -17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | — | 206 | 180 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 47 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 144 | 241 | 294 | 536 | 150 | 150 | 23 | 10 | 244 | 50 | -12 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +4 | -0.3 |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 68 | 57 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 298 | 385 | 561 | 946 | 263 | 371 | 26 | 10 | 395 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 259 | 231 | 35 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 65 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 152 | 234 | 281 | 516 | 130 | 175 | 25 | 8 | 235 | 45 | -17 | -0 | +1 | +12 | +6 | 0.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 19 | A MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 339 | 318 | 91 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 70 | 0 | 23 | 6 | 286 | 314 | 381 | 695 | 94 | 333 | 21 | 4 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 420 | 384 | 77 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 112 | 5 | 18 | 3 | 201 | 258 | 284 | 542 | 83 | 265 | 27 | 6 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 18 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 353 | 389 | 529 | 918 | 176 | 430 | 28 | 0 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 368 | 336 | 76 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 78 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 226 | 274 | 375 | 649 | 149 | 253 | 21 | 5 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 53 | 51 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 176 | 208 | 235 | 443 | 59 | 273 | 34 | 4 | 196 | 19 | -5 | -0 | +1 | +8 | +1 | 0.4 |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 370 | 348 | 90 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 81 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 259 | 295 | 399 | 695 | 141 | 310 | 22 | 3 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 244 | 225 | 49 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 80 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 218 | 273 | 324 | 597 | 107 | 306 | 33 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 17 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 125 | 176 | 125 | 301 | 153 | 6 | 6 | 143 | -17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB MLE | Chicago White Sox | — | 206 | 180 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 47 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 144 | 241 | 294 | 536 | 150 | 150 | 23 | 10 | 242 | 50 | -12 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +4 | -0.3 |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 68 | 59 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 271 | 338 | 475 | 813 | 203 | 337 | 32 | 7 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 339 | 318 | 91 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 70 | 0 | 23 | 6 | 286 | 314 | 381 | 695 | 94 | 345 | 21 | 4 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A RAW | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 339 | 312 | 98 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 50 | 0 | 23 | 6 | 314 | 353 | 439 | 793 | 125 | 348 | 15 | 6 | 345 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 420 | 384 | 77 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 112 | 5 | 18 | 3 | 201 | 258 | 284 | 542 | 83 | 269 | 27 | 6 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ RAW | Spokane Indians | — | 420 | 374 | 95 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 81 | 5 | 18 | 3 | 254 | 326 | 372 | 698 | 118 | 306 | 19 | 8 | 311 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 434 | 397 | 92 | 19 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 93 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 232 | 281 | 385 | 666 | 154 | 268 | 21 | 5 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 434 | 383 | 98 | 20 | 5 | 13 | 37 | 80 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 256 | 328 | 436 | 764 | 180 | 287 | 18 | 9 | 331 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 423 | 399 | 99 | 19 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 99 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 248 | 284 | 378 | 662 | 130 | 306 | 23 | 3 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 423 | 394 | 111 | 22 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 84 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 282 | 325 | 464 | 789 | 183 | 324 | 20 | 4 | 345 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 261 | 242 | 51 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 81 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 211 | 263 | 310 | 572 | 99 | 293 | 31 | 5 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 261 | 236 | 61 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 64 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 258 | 324 | 394 | 718 | 136 | 325 | 25 | 7 | 321 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 274 | 239 | 42 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 25 | 69 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 176 | 265 | 339 | 604 | 163 | 199 | 25 | 9 | 263 | 64 | -12 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 274 | 237 | 43 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 27 | 65 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 181 | 276 | 359 | 635 | 177 | 198 | 24 | 10 | 281 | 64 | -12 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 19 | A MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 339 | 323 | 91 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 70 | 0 | 23 | 6 | 282 | 314 | 375 | 689 | 93 | 333 | 21 | 4 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 420 | 387 | 77 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 112 | 5 | 18 | 3 | 199 | 258 | 282 | 540 | 83 | 265 | 27 | 6 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 434 | 404 | 92 | 19 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 93 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 228 | 281 | 379 | 659 | 151 | 261 | 21 | 5 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 423 | 400 | 99 | 19 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 99 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 247 | 284 | 378 | 662 | 130 | 305 | 23 | 3 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 261 | 242 | 51 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 81 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 211 | 263 | 310 | 572 | 99 | 296 | 31 | 5 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 274 | 243 | 42 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 25 | 69 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 173 | 265 | 333 | 598 | 160 | 196 | 25 | 9 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 423 | 400 | 99 | 19 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 99 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 247 | 284 | 378 | 662 | 130 | 305 | 23 | 3 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 261 | 242 | 51 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 81 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 211 | 263 | 310 | 572 | 99 | 296 | 31 | 5 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 274 | 243 | 42 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 25 | 69 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 173 | 265 | 333 | 598 | 160 | 196 | 25 | 9 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | CWS | 100% | 324 | 291 | 63 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 26 | 77 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 216 | 290 | 367 | 658 | 151 | 257 | 24 | 8 | 294 | 85 | -6 | +0 | -0 | +6 | +7 | 0.6 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | CWS | 100% | 213 | 191 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 51 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 217 | 291 | 371 | 662 | 154 | 258 | 24 | 8 | 296 | 85 | -4 | +0 | -0 | +4 | +5 | 0.5 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | CWS | 82% | 276 | 247 | 54 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 66 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 216 | 290 | 367 | 657 | 151 | 257 | 24 | 8 | 294 | 85 | -5 | +0 | -0 | +5 | +6 | 0.6 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB MLE | CWS | 82% | 294 | 264 | 57 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 71 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 215 | 289 | 364 | 654 | 150 | 256 | 24 | 8 | 293 | 84 | -6 | +0 | -0 | +5 | +6 | 0.6 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB MLE | CWS | 82% | 302 | 270 | 58 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 73 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 213 | 287 | 360 | 647 | 147 | 255 | 24 | 8 | 290 | 82 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +7 | 0.5 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB MLE | CWS | 82% | 296 | 266 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 73 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 210 | 284 | 353 | 638 | 143 | 254 | 25 | 8 | 286 | 80 | -7 | -0 | -1 | +5 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB MLE | CWS | 82% | 291 | 263 | 55 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 72 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 207 | 281 | 345 | 626 | 138 | 252 | 25 | 8 | 281 | 77 | -8 | +0 | -2 | +5 | +6 | 0.2 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB MLE | CWS | 82% | 260 | 234 | 48 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 66 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 203 | 276 | 335 | 611 | 132 | 248 | 25 | 8 | 275 | 73 | -9 | +0 | -3 | +5 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | CWS | 82% | 226 | 203 | 44 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 54 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 217 | 291 | 370 | 662 | 154 | 258 | 24 | 8 | 296 | 85 | -4 | +0 | -0 | +4 | +5 | 0.5 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB CTX | CWS | 82% | 241 | 216 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 58 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 216 | 290 | 368 | 658 | 152 | 257 | 24 | 8 | 294 | 84 | -5 | +0 | -0 | +4 | +5 | 0.5 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB CTX | CWS | 82% | 248 | 223 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 60 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 214 | 288 | 363 | 651 | 149 | 256 | 24 | 8 | 291 | 82 | -5 | -0 | -1 | +4 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB CTX | CWS | 82% | 243 | 218 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 60 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 211 | 285 | 356 | 642 | 145 | 254 | 25 | 8 | 288 | 80 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB CTX | CWS | 82% | 239 | 215 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 59 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 208 | 282 | 348 | 630 | 140 | 252 | 25 | 8 | 283 | 77 | -7 | +0 | -2 | +4 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB CTX | CWS | 82% | 213 | 192 | 39 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 54 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 277 | 338 | 615 | 134 | 249 | 25 | 8 | 277 | 73 | -7 | +0 | -2 | +4 | +5 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1669 | 1498 | 304 | 63 | 5 | 48 | 136 | 410 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 203 | 278 | 348 | 626 | 145 | 245 | 25 | 8 | 280 | 76 | -50 | +0 | -5 | +38 | +36 | 1.9 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 583 | 119 | 25 | 2 | 19 | 53 | 160 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 204 | 280 | 352 | 631 | 148 | 246 | 25 | 8 | 280 | 76 | -20 | +0 | -2 | +15 | +14 | 0.7 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4083 | 3714 | 821 | 158 | 19 | 98 | 269 | 996 | 49 | 69 | 25 | 221 | 282 | 353 | 635 | 132 | 273 | 24 | 7 | 280 | 76 | -61 | +0 | -6 | +47 | +47 | 2.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 591 | 131 | 25 | 3 | 16 | 43 | 159 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 222 | 283 | 355 | 639 | 134 | 273 | 24 | 7 | 280 | 76 | -18 | +0 | -2 | +14 | +14 | 0.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAACharlotte Knights · 68 PAwOBA .384 → .327 (−57)K% 26.5% → 31.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.47% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 31.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 7.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.47% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.033 | 24.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.033 | 6.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 7.42% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .384 → .327; ISO .263 → .205; BABIP .371 → .337. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 244 PAwOBA .322 → .259 (−63)K% 25.8% → 32.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.82% | ÷0.945 | ×1.200 | — | — | 32.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.38% | ÷1.019 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 5.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.64% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.61% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.48% | ÷1.047 | ×0.930 | ×1.006 | ×1.048 | 23.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.01% | ÷1.029 | ×0.830 | ×1.006 | ×1.048 | 5.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.028 | ×0.970 | ×1.006 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.46% | ÷1.017 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 3.22% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 109, 2B 106, 3B 106, K 89, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .322 → .259; ISO .145 → .104; BABIP .338 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKACL Rockies · 17 PAwOBA .196 → .143 (−53)K% 5.9% → 8.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 5.88% | ÷0.993 | ×1.440 | — | — | 8.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.88% | ÷0.987 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.955 | 3.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.021 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.955 | 15.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.991 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.970 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .196 → .143; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .200 → .153. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 370 PAwOBA .358 → .304 (−53)K% 17.8% → 21.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.84% | ÷0.979 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.32% | ÷1.018 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 3.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.89% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.47% | ÷0.990 | ×0.930 | ×0.993 | ×1.050 | 22.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.86% | ÷0.988 | ×0.830 | ×0.993 | ×1.050 | 6.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.44% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.993 | ×1.050 | 1.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.05% | ÷1.096 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 3.39% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 98, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 96, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .358 → .304; ISO .201 → .148; BABIP .331 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAHartford Yard Goats · 368 PAwOBA .322 → .284 (−39)K% 18.2% → 21.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.21% | ÷1.052 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.61% | ÷1.009 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 5.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.54% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 0.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.23% | ÷1.065 | ×0.970 | ×0.982 | ×1.042 | 17.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×0.982 | ×1.042 | 6.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.77% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | ×1.042 | 0.83% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.00% | ÷1.040 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 3.91% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 113, 2B 100, 3B 80, K 110, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.
Result: wOBA .322 → .284; ISO .187 → .160; BABIP .277 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 18 PAwOBA .392 → .338 (−54)K% 22.2% → 28.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷0.947 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷0.984 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.56% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 5.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.77% | ÷1.018 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.050 | 29.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.002 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 6.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.050 | 6.81% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.062 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 104, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 89, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .392 → .338; ISO .176 → .143; BABIP .462 → .430. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Spokane Indians · 420 PAwOBA .308 → .243 (−65)K% 19.3% → 26.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.29% | ÷0.975 | ×1.350 | — | — | 26.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.33% | ÷1.022 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 5.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.19% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.027 | 0.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.53% | ÷1.039 | ×0.910 | ×0.977 | ×1.027 | 19.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.48% | ÷0.978 | ×0.830 | ×0.977 | ×1.027 | 5.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.71% | ÷0.953 | ×0.820 | ×0.977 | ×1.027 | 1.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.71% | ÷1.316 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.027 | 1.11% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 163, 1B 108, 2B 96, 3B 91, K 95, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.
Result: wOBA .308 → .243; ISO .118 → .088; BABIP .306 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AFresno Grizzlies · 339 PAwOBA .343 → .300 (−43)K% 14.7% → 20.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.75% | ÷0.972 | ×1.360 | — | — | 20.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.60% | ÷1.014 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 3.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.86% | ÷0.967 | ×0.920 | ×1.018 | ×1.030 | 27.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.49% | ÷1.057 | ×0.830 | ×1.018 | ×1.030 | 5.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.76% | ÷1.132 | ×0.910 | ×1.018 | ×1.030 | 0.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.29% | ÷1.218 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 1.55% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 144, 1B 93, 2B 111, 3B 126, K 94, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.
Result: wOBA .343 → .300; ISO .125 → .092; BABIP .348 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .