Francisco Mejía

Francisco MejíaC Rochester Red Wings

Age 30 S/R 5'8" / 188 lbs AAA HR -9% Svc 8.000 · Ctrl thru 2026 peak 0.4 · 2026

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .269 / .362

PA209

HR6

K%23

BB%6

xwOBA.242

Barrel%4.3%

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

45→45

PWR

50→50

SPD

45→45

EYE

42↘30

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.3peak

2026

Barrel%

204.3

xwOBA

100.242

Avg EV

2987.5

Whiff%

460.114

Chase%

100.521

Speed

2626.3

Bat Spd

1767.8

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2018

Service 8.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+0.4	$2M	-$0.6M
Totals		$2M		$2M	-$0.6M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	17	ROK	AZL Indians	113	107	24	6	1	3	3	26	2	3	1	.224	.259	.383	.642	.159	.269	23	3	.265	61	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2015	19	A	Lake County Captains	446	403	82	11	0	6	26	98	10	4	1	.203	.269	.275	.544	.072	.252	22	6	.242	43	-29	+0	+0	+8	+13	-0.8
2016	20	A	3 teams	467	439	132	26	4	8	18	88	2	2	2	.301	.331	.433	.764	.132	.355	19	4	.329	110	+5	-0	+0	+8	+13	2.7
2017	21	AA	2 teams	465	431	117	20	2	15	19	83	7	7	2	.271	.313	.432	.744	.160	.300	18	4	.320	103	+2	+1	+0	+8	+13	2.4
2018	22	AAA	3 teams	601	557	123	26	1	15	24	145	8	2	0	.221	.263	.352	.615	.131	.267	24	4	.269	64	-24	+0	-1	+11	+17	0.3
2019	23	MLB	2 teams	317	291	80	18	4	11	16	69	6	1	1	.275	.326	.478	.804	.203	.321	22	5	.350	126	+9	-0	-0	+6	+9	2.4
2020	24	INTL	2 teams	102	96	6	2	0	2	2	22	2	0	0	.062	.100	.146	.246	.083	.055	22	2	.139	-35	-16	+0	-0	+2	+3	-1.1
2021	25	MLB	2 teams	292	264	67	16	2	7	18	52	7	0	0	.254	.318	.409	.727	.155	.290	18	6	.313	97	-1	+0	+1	+5	+8	1.4
2022	26	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	299	289	72	23	0	6	7	65	2	0	0	.249	.272	.391	.663	.142	.301	22	2	.288	78	-7	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.6
2023	27	MLB	3 teams	353	332	80	19	1	13	12	88	3	0	1	.241	.274	.422	.695	.181	.284	25	3	.296	84	-6	-0	-3	+6	+10	0.7
2024	28	AAA	2 teams	474	430	105	14	2	13	33	100	5	4	0	.244	.306	.377	.682	.133	.285	21	7	.293	82	-9	+1	+0	+8	+13	1.4
2025	29	AAA	2 teams	254	243	44	5	0	8	9	60	0	2	0	.181	.210	.300	.511	.119	.203	24	4	.224	30	-20	+0	+0	+5	+7	-0.8
▸ 2026 Season
2026	30	MLB	WSH	209	194	43	7	1	6	12	47	1	2	0	.222	.271	.361	.631	.139	.261	22	6	.282	74	-6	+0	-0	+4	+6	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	31	MLB 20%	WSH	188	175	38	6	1	5	10	43	1	0	0	.217	.263	.349	.612	.131	.259	23	5	.278	71	-6	+0	-3	+3	+5	-0.0
2028	32	MLB 33%	WSH	164	153	34	5	1	5	9	39	1	0	0	.222	.270	.366	.636	.144	.257	24	5	.273	67	-6	+0	-4	+3	+5	-0.2
2029	33	MLB 43%	WSH	132	123	25	4	0	3	7	32	1	0	0	.203	.252	.309	.561	.106	.256	24	5	.266	62	-6	+0	-4	+2	+4	-0.4
2030	34	MLB 52%	WSH	92	87	17	3	0	2	5	23	0	0	0	.195	.239	.299	.538	.103	.253	25	5	.259	57	-5	+0	-5	+2	+3	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4968	4614	1089	211	20	128	230	1080	58	27	8	.236	.281	.374	.655	.138	.278	22	5	.286	77	-130	+2	-20	+89	+141	8.4
/ 162G	—			650	604	144	28	3	17	30	141	8	4	1	.238	.283	.379	.663	.141	.281	22	5	.286	77	-17	+0	-3	+12	+18	1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	17	ROK	AZL Indians	113	105	32	9	1	4	5	18	2	3	1	.305	.348	.524	.872	.219	.337	16	4	.378	148	+6	+0	—	—	+3	1.0
2015	19	A	Lake County Captains	446	391	95	13	0	9	38	78	10	4	1	.243	.326	.345	.671	.102	.281	17	9	.303	90	-5	+0	—	—	+13	0.8
2016	20	A+	Lynchburg Hillcats	184	168	56	12	1	4	13	24	1	1	2	.333	.385	.488	.873	.155	.366	13	7	.383	151	+11	-1	—	—	+5	1.6
2016	20	A	Lake County Captains	259	239	83	17	3	7	15	39	1	1	0	.347	.388	.531	.920	.184	.388	15	6	.398	163	+18	+0	—	—	+7	2.6
2016	20	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	24	22	5	0	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	.227	.227	.227	.455	.000	.312	29	0	.189	3	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2017	21	AA	Akron RubberDucks	383	347	103	21	2	14	24	53	5	7	2	.297	.351	.490	.841	.193	.311	14	6	.364	137	+16	+1	—	—	+11	2.8
2017	21	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	82	77	26	1	0	2	2	7	2	0	0	.338	.370	.429	.799	.091	.348	9	2	.355	130	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2018	22	MLB	San Diego Padres	62	56	10	2	0	3	5	19	1	0	0	.179	.258	.375	.633	.196	.206	31	8	.283	75	-2	+0	-1	+11	+2	1.0
2018	22	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	468	427	125	30	2	14	25	83	7	0	0	.293	.342	.471	.813	.178	.331	18	5	.352	128	+15	+0	—	—	+13	2.9
2018	22	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	71	66	17	1	0	0	2	10	0	2	0	.258	.279	.273	.552	.015	.293	14	3	.242	43	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2019	23	MLB	San Diego Padres	244	226	60	11	2	8	13	56	4	1	1	.265	.317	.438	.755	.173	.319	23	5	.333	113	+4	-0	-0	+6	+7	1.6
2019	23	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	73	63	23	8	2	4	5	10	2	0	0	.365	.429	.746	1.175	.381	.365	14	7	.478	224	+10	+0	—	—	+2	1.3
2020	24	MLB	San Diego Padres	42	39	3	1	0	1	1	9	2	0	0	.077	.143	.179	.322	.103	.069	21	2	.153	-24	-6	+0	-0	+2	+1	-0.3
2020	24	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	60	55	9	1	0	1	3	14	0	0	0	.164	.207	.236	.443	.073	.195	23	5	.197	9	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2021	25	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	277	250	65	15	3	6	17	49	7	0	0	.260	.325	.416	.741	.156	.299	18	6	.327	109	+3	+0	+1	+5	+8	1.7
2021	25	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	15	14	1	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	.071	.133	.071	.205	.000	.111	33	7	.107	-60	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2022	26	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	299	289	70	22	0	6	7	65	2	0	0	.242	.265	.381	.646	.138	.292	22	2	.285	76	-8	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.5
2023	27	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	160	150	34	11	0	5	6	38	1	0	1	.227	.261	.400	.661	.173	.266	24	4	.286	77	-4	-0	-3	+6	+5	0.4
2023	27	AAA	Durham Bulls	92	86	28	3	1	6	4	21	1	0	0	.326	.363	.593	.956	.267	.367	23	4	.411	172	+8	+0	—	—	+3	1.0
2023	27	INTL	Tigres del Licey	101	88	26	1	0	1	10	13	1	0	0	.295	.374	.341	.715	.045	.329	13	10	.325	107	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2024	28	AAA	Nashville Sounds	376	332	91	14	2	11	38	65	2	1	0	.274	.352	.428	.780	.154	.308	17	10	.346	123	+10	+0	—	—	+11	2.1
2024	28	INTL	Dominican Republic	98	86	20	7	1	0	7	7	3	3	0	.233	.312	.337	.650	.105	.247	7	7	.291	81	-2	+1	—	—	+3	0.1
2025	29	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	159	149	32	4	0	6	9	32	0	2	0	.215	.259	.362	.622	.148	.232	20	6	.276	69	-6	+0	—	—	+5	-0.1
2025	29	INTL	Tigres del Licey	95	87	27	10	1	1	6	11	0	0	0	.310	.351	.483	.834	.172	.342	12	6	.361	134	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			1084	1010	242	62	5	29	49	236	17	1	2	.240	.286	.397	.683	.157	.284	22	5	.302	89	-14	-1	-4	+35	+31	4.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Francisco Mejía (OGILVIE)	30	45	50	45	30	.221/.269/.362	.141	.261	6	2	23%	6%	74	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brett Nicholas 2018 · MLB	30	48→50	46→50	43→40	40	.238/.278/.366	.128	.294	14	4	24%	5%	78	+0.2	.229/.277/.362	.133	.287	14	5	25%	5%	76	+0.1	.217/.270/.348	.131	.269	15	1	25%	6%	66	-0.5
✕Bryan Holaday 2018 · MLB	30	45	47→45	37→40	42	.226/.271/.359	.133	.262	14	3	20%	4%	73	-0.1	.227/.286/.345	.118	.263	12	4	18%	6%	76	+0.1	.217/.286/.341	.124	.252	13	2	19%	7%	71	-0.1
✕Koyie Hill 2009 · MLB	30	43	47→45	44→40	44	.220/.271/.358	.137	.267	14	5	24%	6%	72	-0.2	.223/.280/.333	.110	.296	9	5	26%	7%	70	-0.3	.214/.277/.295	.082	.293	4	2	27%	8%	47	-0.7
✕Brett Hayes 2014 · MLB	30	39	51→45	49→40	37	.211/.251/.370	.159	.270	19	5	30%	5%	68	-0.5	.193/.230/.327	.134	.249	16	6	29%	4%	47	-1.9	.153/.195/.232	.080	.211	9	0	32%	4%	5	-1.5
✕Dustin Garneau 2017 · MLB	29	40→38	49→50	45	45	.211/.268/.357	.146	.241	18	6	22%	6%	72	-0.2	.207/.272/.362	.155	.252	18	4	25%	7%	76	+0.0	.184/.263/.355	.171	.225	21	0	29%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Anthony Recker 2014 · MLB	30	43→48	51→50	43→45	47	.220/.295/.378	.157	.286	19	7	29%	9%	89	+0.9	.211/.280/.369	.158	.286	20	6	32%	8%	80	+0.4	.200/.280/.351	.151	.266	19	3	31%	9%	71	-0.1
✕Francisco Peña 2019 · MLB	29	44→43	46→55	47→40	41	.223/.259/.345	.122	.267	14	5	23%	5%	64	-0.8	.221/.262/.382	.161	.258	21	5	24%	5%	76	+0.0	.196/.243/.367	.171	.216	26	1	24%	5%	64	-0.5
✕Brandon Larson 2006 · MLB	30	43→42	49→50	45	45	.221/.292/.366	.145	.284	17	7	28%	8%	85	+0.7	.227/.277/.383	.156	.291	20	6	29%	6%	82	+0.5	.217/.262/.366	.149	.273	21	5	29%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Andrew Knapp 2023 · MLB	31	39→49	47→45	44→40	43	.199/.269/.331	.132	.271	15	5	32%	8%	66	-0.6	.211/.279/.335	.124	.296	13	5	31%	8%	71	-0.3	.212/.285/.326	.115	.299	12	3	31%	8%	69	-0.3
✕Jason Vosler 2023 · MLB	29	41→44	52→55	49→40	45	.217/.282/.379	.162	.265	21	6	27%	7%	84	+0.6	.214/.274/.387	.173	.271	22	5	29%	7%	82	+0.5	.207/.268/.386	.179	.258	24	4	30%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Mark Saccomanno 2010 · AAA	30	44→46	49→55	47→40	41	.225/.263/.368	.143	.266	17	5	23%	4%	72	-0.2	.217/.257/.345	.128	.271	14	5	25%	5%	63	-0.8	.202/.241/.324	.123	.258	13	0	27%	4%	48	-1.5
✕Dusty Brown 2012 · MLB	30	42	45	43→30	44	.212/.270/.334	.122	.272	12	4	26%	7%	66	-0.6	.213/.286/.364	.151	.271	16	6	26%	9%	82	+0.5	.184/.291/.331	.147	.224	15	0	25%	13%	76	+0.0
✕Pat Valaika 2022 · MLB	29	43→46	47→55	42→50	40	.221/.265/.350	.129	.288	16	5	29%	6%	68	-0.5	.207/.256/.314	.107	.266	12	5	26%	6%	55	-1.4	.193/.245/.290	.097	.246	11	3	26%	6%	43	-1.3
✕Stevie Wilkerson 2021 · MLB	29	46→56	48→45	46→50	42	.232/.288/.377	.145	.297	16	8	27%	6%	85	+0.7	.221/.284/.330	.109	.321	10	9	32%	7%	71	-0.3	.198/.263/.262	.064	.311	4	5	35%	8%	42	-0.8
✕Brooks Conrad 2011 · MLB	31	41→44	52→55	52→50	43	.217/.277/.384	.167	.274	20	11	29%	7%	83	+0.6	.230/.298/.415	.185	.307	23	9	31%	8%	100	+1.7	.210/.276/.403	.193	.274	26	2	33%	8%	85	+0.3
✕Pedro Severino 2023 · MLB	30	51→50	47→50	49→45	46	.251/.310/.385	.134	.318	15	5	25%	8%	96	+1.5	.225/.283/.360	.135	.285	15	11	26%	7%	79	+0.3	.189/.246/.307	.118	.234	15	13	26%	7%	45	-0.9
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2014 · MLB	30	47→48	52→55	46→50	47	.240/.297/.410	.170	.281	20	8	22%	7%	98	+1.6	.216/.285/.374	.158	.262	17	6	24%	8%	84	+0.6	.180/.259/.335	.155	.212	17	2	24%	9%	64	-0.2
✕Jaime Pedroza 2017 · AAA	30	47→52	45	42→50	43	.233/.285/.360	.127	.290	12	9	24%	6%	79	+0.3	.243/.311/.368	.125	.316	12	11	25%	8%	92	+1.2	.267/.350/.381	.115	.359	10	11	26%	10%	113	+0.8
✕Humberto Sosa 2016 · AAA	30	46→50	44→50	45	42	.229/.268/.341	.111	.275	13	4	22%	5%	66	-0.6	.221/.266/.322	.101	.279	11	5	24%	6%	61	-1.0	.219/.271/.353	.134	.268	17	2	25%	6%	70	-0.1
✕Charlie Culberson 2019 · MLB	30	47→52	45	46→50	42	.236/.279/.361	.125	.295	13	9	24%	5%	76	+0.1	.246/.294/.401	.155	.314	17	9	26%	6%	94	+1.3	.246/.289/.382	.136	.317	13	10	26%	5%	83	+0.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)