Francisco Mejía

Francisco MejíaC Rochester Red Wings

Age 30 S/R 5'8" / 188 lbs AAA Svc 8.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 209 proj PA

wRC+†78

AVG/OBP/SLG.225 / .273 / .370

PA209

HR7

K%22

BB%6

ISO146

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2021-2023

CONTACT45

Whiff%

4012.1%

xwOBA

140.267

POWER50

Barrel%

153.7

Avg EV

1686.5

Bat Spd

1767.8

EYE30

Chase%

1050.2%

SPEED45

Sprint

2626.3

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2018

Service 8.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	+0.0	$0.0M	-$0.5M
Totals		$0.6M		$0.0M	-$0.5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	17	ROK	AZL Indians	—	113	107	24	6	1	3	3	26	2	3	1	224	259	383	642	159	269	23	3	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	17	ROK	AZL Indians	—	113	105	32	9	1	4	5	18	2	3	1	305	348	524	872	219	337	16	4	378	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A	Lake County Captains	—	446	403	81	13	0	5	26	103	10	4	1	201	267	270	537	69	256	23	6	238	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A	Lake County Captains	—	446	391	95	13	0	9	38	78	10	4	1	243	326	345	671	102	281	17	9	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	A	3 teams	—	467	440	132	26	4	8	17	92	2	2	2	300	329	432	761	132	358	20	4	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	A	3 teams	—	467	429	144	29	4	11	28	70	2	2	2	336	379	499	878	163	376	15	6	381	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	AA	2 teams	—	465	432	116	20	2	15	18	85	7	7	2	269	309	428	737	160	298	18	4	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	AA	2 teams	—	465	424	129	22	2	16	26	60	7	7	2	304	354	479	833	175	318	13	6	363	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	AAA	3 teams	—	601	556	120	25	1	15	25	147	8	2	0	216	260	345	605	129	262	24	4	262	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	AAA	3 teams	—	601	549	152	33	2	17	32	112	8	2	0	277	326	437	763	160	316	19	5	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	MLB	2 teams	—	317	291	81	18	4	12	16	70	6	1	1	278	329	491	820	213	324	22	5	353	128	+10	-0	-0	+6	+9	2.5
2019	23	MLB	2 teams	—	317	289	83	19	4	12	18	66	6	1	1	287	342	505	847	218	330	21	6	367	139	+14	-0	-0	+6	+9	2.8
2020	24	INTL	2 teams	—	102	96	8	3	0	3	2	22	2	0	0	83	120	208	328	125	69	22	2	157	-21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	24	INTL	2 teams	—	102	94	12	2	0	2	4	23	2	0	0	128	180	213	393	85	143	23	4	179	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	MLB	2 teams	—	292	264	68	16	3	7	18	52	7	0	0	258	322	420	742	163	295	18	6	322	105	+2	+0	+1	+5	+8	1.6
2021	25	MLB	2 teams	—	292	264	66	15	3	6	18	54	7	0	0	250	315	398	713	148	291	18	6	316	100	+0	+0	+1	+5	+8	1.5
2022	26	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	299	289	69	23	0	6	7	65	2	0	0	239	262	381	642	142	288	22	2	283	75	-9	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.5
2022	26	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	299	289	70	22	0	6	7	65	2	0	0	242	265	381	646	138	292	22	2	285	76	-8	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.5
2023	27	MLB	3 teams	—	353	332	80	19	1	13	12	88	3	0	1	241	274	422	695	181	284	25	3	297	85	-6	-0	-3	+6	+10	0.8
2023	27	MLB	3 teams	—	353	324	88	15	1	12	20	72	3	0	1	272	320	435	755	164	310	20	6	329	110	+4	-0	-3	+6	+10	1.8
2024	28	AAA	2 teams	—	474	431	111	14	2	14	32	102	5	4	0	258	316	397	713	139	302	22	7	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	2 teams	—	474	418	111	21	3	11	45	72	5	4	0	266	344	409	753	144	293	15	9	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA	2 teams	—	254	243	46	5	0	9	9	58	0	2	0	189	218	321	539	132	208	23	4	232	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA	2 teams	—	254	236	59	14	1	7	15	43	0	2	0	250	294	407	700	157	277	17	6	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	30	MLB	WSH	—	209	194	45	7	1	7	12	47	1	2	1	232	280	387	667	155	264	22	6	287	78	-5	+0	-2	+4	+6	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	31	MLB	WSH	27%	188	175	40	6	1	6	10	43	1	1	0	229	274	377	651	149	261	23	5	283	74	-5	+0	-5	+3	+5	-0.1
2028	32	MLB	WSH	37%	164	153	34	5	1	5	9	38	1	1	0	222	270	366	636	144	257	23	5	276	69	-6	+0	-5	+3	+5	-0.3
2027	31	MLB	WSH	27%	51	48	11	2	0	2	3	12	0	0	0	229	275	396	670	167	261	24	6	279	71	-2	+0	-1	+1	+1	-0.1
2028	32	MLB	WSH	37%	61	58	13	2	0	2	3	14	0	0	0	224	262	362	624	138	257	23	5	272	66	-2	+0	-2	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1196	1116	266	66	5	33	55	262	17	1	2	238	285	395	680	157	282	22	5	299	87	-18	-1	-7	+37	+34	4.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	607	145	36	3	18	30	142	9	1	1	239	285	397	682	158	282	22	5	299	87	-10	-0	-4	+20	+18	2.6
Career	—			—	4744	4406	1055	206	21	128	216	1038	57	29	9	239	284	383	667	143	282	22	5	288	79	-114	+2	-15	+85	+134	9.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	604	145	28	3	18	30	142	8	4	1	240	285	386	671	146	282	22	5	288	79	-16	+0	-2	+12	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	17	ROK	AZL Indians	—	113	105	32	9	1	4	5	18	2	3	1	305	348	524	872	219	337	16	4	378	148	+6	+0	—	—	+3	1.0
2015	19	A	Lake County Captains	—	446	391	95	13	0	9	38	78	10	4	1	243	326	345	671	102	281	17	9	303	90	-5	+0	—	—	+13	0.8
2016	20	A+	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	184	168	56	12	1	4	13	24	1	1	2	333	385	488	873	155	366	13	7	383	151	+11	-1	—	—	+5	1.6
2016	20	A	Lake County Captains	—	259	239	83	17	3	7	15	39	1	1	0	347	388	531	920	184	388	15	6	398	163	+18	+0	—	—	+7	2.6
2016	20	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	24	22	5	0	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	227	227	227	455		312	29	0	189	3	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2017	21	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	383	347	103	21	2	14	24	53	5	7	2	297	351	490	841	193	311	14	6	364	137	+16	+1	—	—	+11	2.8
2017	21	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	82	77	26	1	0	2	2	7	2	0	0	338	370	429	799	91	348	9	2	355	130	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2018	22	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	62	56	10	2	0	3	5	19	1	0	0	179	258	375	633	196	206	31	8	283	75	-2	+0	-1	+11	+2	1.0
2018	22	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	468	427	125	30	2	14	25	83	7	0	0	293	342	471	813	178	331	18	5	352	128	+15	+0	—	—	+13	2.9
2018	22	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	71	66	17	1	0	0	2	10	0	2	0	258	279	273	552	15	293	14	3	242	43	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2019	23	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	244	226	60	11	2	8	13	56	4	1	1	265	317	438	755	173	319	23	5	333	113	+4	-0	-0	+6	+7	1.6
2019	23	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	73	63	23	8	2	4	5	10	2	0	0	365	429	746	1.175	381	365	14	7	478	224	+10	+0	—	—	+2	1.3
2020	24	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	42	39	3	1	0	1	1	9	2	0	0	77	143	179	322	103	69	21	2	153	-24	-6	+0	-0	+2	+1	-0.3
2020	24	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	60	55	9	1	0	1	3	14	0	0	0	164	207	236	443	73	195	23	5	197	9	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2021	25	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	277	250	65	15	3	6	17	49	7	0	0	260	325	416	741	156	299	18	6	327	109	+3	+0	+1	+5	+8	1.7
2021	25	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	15	14	1	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	71	133	71	205		111	33	7	107	-60	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2022	26	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	299	289	70	22	0	6	7	65	2	0	0	242	265	381	646	138	292	22	2	285	76	-8	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.5
2023	27	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	160	150	34	11	0	5	6	38	1	0	1	227	261	400	661	173	266	24	4	286	77	-4	-0	-3	+6	+5	0.4
2023	27	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	92	86	28	3	1	6	4	21	1	0	0	326	363	593	956	267	367	23	4	411	172	+8	+0	—	—	+3	1.0
2023	27	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	101	88	26	1	0	1	10	13	1	0	0	295	374	341	715	45	329	13	10	325	107	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2024	28	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	376	332	91	14	2	11	38	65	2	1	0	274	352	428	780	154	308	17	10	346	123	+10	+0	—	—	+11	2.1
2024	28	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	98	86	20	7	1	0	7	7	3	3	0	233	312	337	650	105	247	7	7	291	81	-2	+1	—	—	+3	0.1
2025	29	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	159	149	32	4	0	6	9	32	0	2	0	215	259	362	622	148	232	20	6	276	69	-6	+0	—	—	+5	-0.1
2025	29	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	95	87	27	10	1	1	6	11	0	0	0	310	351	483	834	172	342	12	6	361	134	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1084	1010	242	62	5	29	49	236	17	1	2	240	286	397	683	157	284	22	5	302	89	-14	-1	-4	+35	+31	4.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Stephen Vogtlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,571 PA	9	2,571	82	5	241	303	410	+36	-11	9.3	9.4
	/162	664	21	1	241	303	410	+9.2	-2.8	2.4	pk7: 9
#2Jorge Alfarolast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,693 PA	7	1,693	48	18	254	303	396	+30	+17	9.1	9.1
	/162	664	19	7	254	303	396	+11.9	+6.6	3.6	pk7: 9
#3Devin Mesoracolast yr '18 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,574 PA	8	1,574	58	4	232	309	406	+28	-13	6.0	6.2
	/162	664	24	2	232	309	406	+11.9	-5.3	2.5	pk7: 6
#4Brendan Harrislast yr '13 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,819 PA	6	1,819	31	5	256	313	380	+18	-14	4.3	4.3
	/162	664	11	2	256	313	380	+6.6	-5.2	1.6	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	1,176	32	2	245	287	403	+21	-3	4.1	4.1
	/162	664	18	1	245	287	403	+11.9	-1.7	2.3	pk7: 4
#5Jason Phillipslast yr '07 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,508 PA	5	1,508	29	0	248	314	368	+11	-10	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	13	0	248	314	368	+4.7	-4.4	1.2	pk7: 3
#6Conor Gillaspielast yr '17 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,503 PA	5	1,503	32	1	252	305	394	+5	-14	2.2	2.2
	/162	664	14	0	252	305	394	+2.4	-6.1	1.0	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Francisco Mejía (OGILVIE)	30	45	50	45	30	225/273/370	145	264	7	2	22%	6%	78	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Koyie Hill 2009 · MLB	30	44→43	47→45	44→40	44	222/273/363	140	269	15	5	24%	6%	75	-0.0	222/280/329	107	296	9	5	26%	7%	69	-0.4	214/277/296	82	294	4	2	27%	8%	48	-0.7
✕Brett Nicholas 2018 · MLB	30	48→54	46→50	43→40	40	242/280/373	131	297	14	4	24%	4%	80	+0.4	224/273/355	131	282	14	5	25%	6%	72	-0.2	208/262/332	124	259	14	1	25%	6%	59	-0.9
✕Francisco Peña 2021 · MLB	31	43→46	51→55	48→40	41	229/267/387	159	267	20	7	24%	5%	79	+0.3	210/260/392	182	238	26	6	25%	5%	79	+0.3	180/232/364	185	186	30	1	25%	4%	60	-0.8
✕Bryan Holaday 2018 · MLB	30	45	47→45	36→40	42	228/272/367	139	262	15	3	20%	4%	76	+0.1	229/289/348	119	266	12	4	18%	6%	78	+0.2	223/289/353	130	256	14	2	19%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Austin Wynns 2022 · MLB	31	44→51	46→45	48→30	46	222/280/346	124	262	15	6	22%	6%	74	-0.1	240/303/354	114	301	12	5	23%	7%	85	+0.7	240/304/338	98	308	10	2	24%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Dusty Brown 2012 · MLB	30	42	47→45	42→30	44	215/272/352	137	271	14	5	26%	7%	72	-0.2	218/293/379	161	275	18	6	26%	9%	88	+0.9	197/307/365	169	234	18	0	24%	13%	90	+0.3
✕Pedro Severino 2023 · MLB	30	50→48	47→50	49→45	46	249/307/386	138	316	15	5	26%	7%	95	+1.4	225/282/357	132	285	15	11	26%	7%	77	+0.1	192/248/303	111	240	13	13	25%	6%	44	-0.9
✕Mike Rivera 2007 · MLB	30	46	54→55	43→45	42	242/284/417	174	266	23	7	20%	4%	95	+1.4	220/272/376	156	254	20	8	22%	6%	79	+0.3	192/275/296	104	262	10	4	28%	9%	55	-0.5
✕Brandon Larson 2006 · MLB	30	45→42	50	46→45	44	229/296/383	154	293	18	6	28%	7%	91	+1.1	226/275/382	156	289	20	6	28%	6%	81	+0.4	216/261/366	150	271	21	5	29%	5%	68	-0.3
✕Jett Bandy 2019 · MLB	29	43	48→50	47→45	41	218/283/355	137	263	16	6	24%	5%	79	+0.3	206/269/342	136	270	17	5	30%	5%	69	-0.4	174/240/294	120	233	17	0	33%	5%	42	-0.7
✕Andrew Knapp 2023 · MLB	31	38→48	47→45	44→40	42	197/265/331	134	270	16	4	32%	7%	64	-0.8	221/288/352	131	304	14	5	30%	7%	79	+0.3	224/294/348	124	309	13	3	30%	8%	78	+0.1
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2014 · MLB	30	46→48	51→55	45→50	47	237/295/399	163	280	18	7	23%	7%	94	+1.3	215/284/374	159	260	18	6	24%	8%	83	+0.6	182/261/345	163	213	18	2	24%	9%	65	-0.2
✕Nick Hundley 2014 · MLB	30	45→46	49→55	40	45	229/288/378	149	279	17	3	25%	7%	85	+0.7	239/287/375	136	292	15	5	23%	6%	84	+0.6	241/291/409	168	298	18	1	25%	6%	89	+0.5
✕Anthony Recker 2014 · MLB	30	42→48	52→55	43→45	47	220/295/386	166	285	21	6	30%	9%	92	+1.2	208/278/363	155	281	19	6	32%	8%	78	+0.2	196/276/340	144	260	18	3	31%	9%	67	-0.2
✕Stevie Wilkerson 2021 · MLB	29	45→55	49→45	46→50	42	228/285/375	146	293	16	9	27%	6%	83	+0.6	221/283/330	109	323	10	9	32%	8%	71	-0.3	197/261/261	64	312	4	5	35%	8%	41	-0.9
✕Raffy Lopez 2018 · MLB	30	42→50	53→50	48→40	42	223/279/392	168	285	21	4	30%	7%	85	+0.7	215/275/375	160	299	20	5	33%	7%	79	+0.3	173/240/302	129	250	17	2	37%	8%	40	-1.3
✕Brett Hayes 2014 · MLB	30	39	51→45	49→40	36	211/248/371	161	271	19	5	31%	4%	67	-0.5	191/227/321	130	248	16	6	30%	4%	45	-2.1	151/193/229	78	208	8	0	31%	4%	3	-1.5
✕Michael McKenry 2014 · MLB	29	45→47	51→55	45→40	48	232/299/392	160	279	19	4	24%	8%	94	+1.3	231/315/383	152	289	17	7	24%	10%	98	+1.6	214/312/358	144	276	15	5	26%	11%	87	+0.3
✕Nick Dini 2023 · AAA	30	42	52→50	49→50	44	224/282/384	160	260	22	7	24%	6%	85	+0.7	207/292/345	138	268	16	11	28%	9%	79	+0.3	157/276/271	115	204	15	12	29%	12%	54	-0.6
✕Brad Davis 2011 · MLB	28	43	48→50	44→45	45	219/279/365	145	272	15	5	25%	7%	79	+0.3	213/262/323	110	282	10	6	27%	6%	59	-1.1	198/242/289	91	267	7	4	28%	5%	40	-1.0