Rodolfo Castro — OGILVIE

Rodolfo CastroSS Lehigh Valley IronPigs

Age 27 R/R 6'0" / 205 lbs AAA HR +4% Svc 5.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 350 proj PA

wRC+†80

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .275 / .373

PA350

HR13

SB8

K%27

BB%7

ISO165

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2021-2023

CONTACT45

Whiff%

1714.7%

xwOBA

260.280

POWER55

Barrel%

467.7

Avg EV

2987.5

Bat Spd

5772.1

EYE50

Chase%

5131.5%

SPEED55

Sprint

4627.3

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-3

MLB Debut 2021

Service 5.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-3	$0.6M	+0.0	$0.0M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	17	ROK	DSL Pirates	—	230	202	39	10	2	2	17	69	3	2	1	193	266	292	558	99	270	30	7	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	17	ROK	DSL Pirates	—	230	192	52	15	3	2	27	48	3	2	1	271	369	411	781	141	338	21	12	340	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK	GCL Pirates	—	211	195	39	8	3	4	9	68	4	4	3	200	250	333	583	133	282	32	4	251	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK	GCL Pirates	—	211	188	52	12	4	6	16	47	4	4	3	277	346	479	825	202	338	22	8	358	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A	2 teams	—	453	422	78	18	3	7	16	144	1	6	3	185	216	291	508	107	256	32	4	219	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A	2 teams	—	453	411	96	19	4	12	27	112	1	6	3	234	282	387	669	153	287	25	6	288	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A	2 teams	—	461	428	78	22	3	14	20	170	5	7	5	182	227	346	573	164	255	37	4	244	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A	2 teams	—	461	417	101	26	3	19	31	122	5	7	5	242	302	456	758	213	290	26	7	328	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	AA	4 teams	—	552	516	106	23	1	23	25	169	6	9	5	205	250	388	638	182	252	31	5	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	AA	4 teams	—	552	491	116	26	3	21	50	136	6	9	5	236	314	430	744	193	280	25	9	328	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA	3 teams	—	711	641	138	24	7	25	50	217	13	17	8	215	286	392	677	176	279	31	7	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA	3 teams	—	711	623	148	23	6	24	68	191	13	17	8	238	325	409	735	172	300	27	10	326	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	MLB	3 teams	—	358	320	62	9	0	8	28	116	7	1	4	194	273	297	570	103	273	32	8	259	56	-18	-1	-4	+4	+10	-0.9
2023	24	MLB	3 teams	—	358	320	64	10	0	8	28	106	7	1	4	200	279	306	585	106	269	30	8	268	63	-15	-1	-4	+4	+10	-0.6
2024	25	AAA	2 teams	—	118	112	21	1	0	3	5	33	1	1	2	188	229	277	506	89	237	28	4	226	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	2 teams	—	118	106	21	3	0	2	11	27	1	1	2	198	280	283	563	85	247	23	9	262	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	2 teams	—	636	577	119	25	1	22	39	174	12	19	9	206	271	367	638	161	251	27	6	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	2 teams	—	636	555	131	31	1	25	61	147	12	19	9	236	325	431	755	195	272	23	10	333	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	27	MLB	PHI	—	350	318	67	12	1	13	24	93	5	8	2	211	277	377	654	167	253	27	7	290	80	-8	+1	-1	+1	+10	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	PHI	38%	556	505	106	19	2	20	38	149	8	12	3	210	276	374	650	164	253	27	7	289	80	-13	+1	-3	+2	+16	0.3
2028	29	MLB	PHI	49%	545	494	103	19	1	19	38	147	8	11	3	209	276	366	642	158	252	27	7	288	78	-13	+1	-4	+2	+15	0.2
2029	30	MLB	PHI	55%	534	484	100	18	1	19	37	146	8	10	3	207	274	366	640	159	251	27	7	285	76	-14	+1	-4	+2	+15	-0.1
2030	31	MLB	PHI	59%	523	474	97	18	1	18	36	144	8	8	2	205	272	361	633	156	249	28	7	281	73	-16	+1	-5	+2	+15	-0.3
2031	32	MLB	PHI	61%	513	466	93	17	1	17	35	144	7	7	2	200	266	350	616	150	245	28	7	275	69	-18	+1	-5	+2	+15	-0.7
2027	28	MLB	PHI	38%	209	190	41	7	1	8	14	56	3	5	1	216	280	389	670	174	255	27	7	281	73	-6	+1	-1	+1	+6	-0.0
2028	29	MLB	PHI	49%	265	241	51	9	1	10	18	72	4	5	1	212	278	382	659	170	254	27	7	279	72	-8	+1	-2	+1	+8	-0.1
2029	30	MLB	PHI	55%	295	269	56	10	1	11	20	81	4	5	1	208	273	375	649	167	253	27	7	277	70	-10	+1	-2	+1	+8	-0.2
2030	31	MLB	PHI	59%	309	280	59	11	1	11	21	85	5	5	1	211	278	375	653	164	251	28	7	273	67	-12	+1	-3	+1	+9	-0.4
2031	32	MLB	PHI	61%	314	284	58	10	1	11	22	88	5	4	1	204	273	363	636	158	247	28	7	267	63	-13	+0	-3	+1	+9	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2019	1830	389	64	9	73	146	557	29	30	12	213	281	377	658	164	261	28	7	283	75	-58	+1	-18	+13	+57	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	126	21	3	24	47	179	9	10	4	214	282	382	664	168	262	28	7	283	75	-19	+0	-6	+4	+18	-0.1
Career	—			—	6751	6154	1246	243	27	214	417	1983	96	122	55	202	264	355	619	153	257	29	6	272	66	-258	+2	-28	+27	+191	-6.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	120	23	3	21	40	191	9	12	5	202	263	358	621	155	256	29	6	272	66	-25	+0	-3	+3	+18	-0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	17	ROK	DSL Pirates	—	230	192	52	15	3	2	27	48	3	2	1	271	369	411	781	141	338	21	12	340	119	+5	+0	—	—	+7	1.2
2017	18	ROK	GCL Pirates	—	211	188	52	12	4	6	16	47	4	4	3	277	346	479	825	202	338	22	8	358	132	+8	-0	—	—	+6	1.4
2018	19	A	West Virginia Power	—	426	385	89	19	4	12	26	100	1	6	3	231	282	395	676	164	276	23	6	290	80	-10	+0	—	—	+12	0.3
2018	19	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	27	26	7	0	0	0	1	12	0	0	0	269	296	269	566		500	44	4	260	58	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2019	20	A+	Bradenton Marauders	—	215	202	49	13	1	5	13	54	0	1	0	243	288	391	679	149	308	25	6	302	89	-3	+0	—	—	+6	0.4
2019	20	A	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	246	215	52	13	2	14	18	68	5	6	5	242	315	516	831	274	271	28	7	350	126	+7	-1	—	—	+7	1.4
2021	22	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	93	86	17	2	0	5	6	27	1	0	0	198	258	395	653	198	222	29	6	290	80	-2	+0	-0	+2	+3	0.2
2021	22	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	38	35	10	4	0	3	3	11	0	0	0	286	342	657	999	371	333	29	8	426	184	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2021	22	AA	Altoona Curve	—	312	285	69	14	1	12	19	72	4	7	4	242	299	425	723	182	278	23	6	317	100	+0	-0	—	—	+9	0.9
2021	22	INTL	Toros del Este	—	109	85	20	6	2	1	22	26	1	2	1	235	398	388	786	153	322	24	20	358	132	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.7
2022	23	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	278	253	59	8	4	11	22	74	2	5	3	233	300	427	727	194	284	27	8	320	103	+1	-0	-2	+3	+8	0.9
2022	23	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	314	272	67	13	2	12	32	86	6	6	3	246	339	441	780	195	309	27	10	343	121	+7	+0	—	—	+9	1.7
2022	23	INTL	Toros del Este	—	119	98	22	2	0	1	14	31	5	6	2	224	350	276	626	51	313	26	12	297	85	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2023	24	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	256	227	48	7	0	6	23	74	5	1	4	211	298	322	620	110	284	29	9	285	76	-7	-1	-4	+4	+7	-0.1
2023	24	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	57	52	10	2	0	2	3	21	1	0	0	192	250	346	596	154	267	37	5	263	59	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2023	24	INTL	Toros del Este	—	45	41	6	1	0	0	2	11	1	0	0	146	205	171	375	24	200	24	4	176	-7	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2024	25	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	73	67	14	1	0	2	5	18	1	0	2	209	274	313	587	104	255	25	7	269	64	-3	-1	—	—	+2	-0.2
2024	25	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	45	39	7	2	0	0	6	9	0	1	0	179	289	231	520	51	233	20	13	251	50	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	26	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	525	456	107	26	1	19	54	119	9	18	8	235	328	421	749	186	272	23	10	331	112	+7	+0	—	—	+15	2.3
2025	26	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	111	99	24	5	0	6	7	28	3	1	1	242	312	475	787	232	277	25	6	340	118	+2	-0	—	—	+3	0.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	627	566	124	17	4	22	51	175	8	6	7	219	293	380	673	161	275	28	8	301	89	-8	-2	-6	+8	+18	1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	10	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
	/162	664	21	2	226	311	395	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#2Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,054	72	31	211	277	370	+17	-10	2.3	2.3
	/162	664	23	10	211	277	370	+5.6	-3.3	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rodolfo Castro (OGILVIE)	27	45	55	55	50	209/275/373	164	253	13	8	27%	7%	80	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rylan Bannon 2023 · MLB	27	37→42	49→50	52→50	48	196/278/340	144	250	18	12	29%	9%	72	-0.2	207/297/365	158	271	19	13	29%	11%	87	+0.8	195/295/355	161	251	20	12	30%	12%	82	+0.4
✕Nick Dini 2021 · MLB	28	41	51→50	49→50	42	220/270/377	157	256	20	12	24%	5%	79	+0.3	219/286/373	154	263	20	9	24%	7%	84	+0.6	177/272/313	136	213	19	8	27%	9%	61	-0.4
✕Scott Kingery 2021 · MLB	27	45→51	50→55	51→55	43	229/285/393	164	294	17	13	28%	7%	89	+0.9	197/266/322	125	295	12	18	35%	8%	62	-0.9	198/239/341	143	265	19	17	33%	5%	52	-0.8
✕Eric Wood 2019 · AAA	26	42→48	52→55	51→45	43	222/280/390	169	278	20	8	28%	7%	85	+0.7	225/279/378	153	299	18	8	30%	6%	82	+0.5	206/262/356	150	273	19	2	31%	6%	66	-0.3
✕Corey Smith 2009 · AAA	27	42→46	53→55	47→50	40	225/270/393	168	267	22	11	25%	5%	82	+0.5	220/259/364	144	275	17	9	26%	4%	69	-0.4	217/261/357	139	273	16	6	26%	5%	66	-0.5
✕Kevin Smith 2022 · MLB	26	38→43	54→55	53→50	40	206/264/388	182	272	22	17	33%	7%	79	+0.3	206/253/347	141	293	17	15	35%	5%	63	-0.9	197/240/321	124	286	16	15	36%	5%	48	-1.2
✕Connor Wong 2023 · MLB	27	43→53	50→55	48→50	40	226/272/373	147	286	19	11	28%	5%	78	+0.2	235/289/371	136	309	14	11	28%	6%	84	+0.6	247/314/357	109	313	10	10	23%	7%	89	+0.4
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2012 · MLB	28	46→48	53→55	51→50	44	242/292/414	172	284	21	14	23%	6%	97	+1.5	235/294/398	163	281	19	7	23%	7%	93	+1.3	226/292/385	159	271	18	3	23%	8%	86	+0.5
✕Jayson Nix 2010 · MLB	27	45→49	51→55	51→55	47	234/299/396	163	275	19	19	23%	8%	95	+1.4	217/282/373	156	265	19	11	25%	7%	82	+0.5	205/268/351	146	255	17	9	26%	6%	67	-0.3
✕Brian Anderson 2009 · MLB	27	44→48	51→50	46→45	44	228/279/390	162	272	18	10	24%	6%	85	+0.7	230/294/375	145	293	17	9	26%	8%	88	+0.9	220/293/345	124	287	15	5	27%	8%	76	+0.1
✕Brooks Conrad 2007 · AAA	27	40→44	52→55	54→50	43	210/268/384	174	264	18	14	28%	7%	79	+0.3	194/251/354	160	252	18	10	30%	7%	64	-0.8	225/298/436	211	291	27	7	32%	9%	102	+0.6
✕Dilson Herrera 2021 · MLB	27	39→49	55→50	47→50	41	213/274/394	181	276	23	11	32%	7%	85	+0.7	203/260/354	151	298	19	8	37%	6%	68	-0.5	146/205/283	138	208	20	0	41%	6%	25	-1.1
✕Jack Mayfield 2018 · AAA	27	43→45	50→60	50	40	223/262/374	152	268	18	9	25%	5%	73	-0.1	228/271/398	170	273	21	8	25%	5%	84	+0.6	227/274/412	185	261	24	7	23%	5%	87	+0.6
✕Christian Arroyo 2022 · MLB	27	46→54	51→45	50→45	42	234/297/397	162	287	19	7	25%	6%	95	+1.4	233/279/353	120	283	12	8	21%	5%	75	-0.0	237/285/353	116	300	12	7	25%	5%	75	-0.0
✕Brendon Davis 2023 · AAA	26	39→44	52→50	47→50	44	211/280/381	170	265	20	10	29%	8%	84	+0.6	191/268/323	132	263	14	14	31%	8%	64	-0.8	162/247/274	112	230	12	17	33%	8%	40	-1.3
✕Joe Mather 2010 · MLB	28	40→46	55→60	50	46	217/281/398	182	237	23	12	21%	6%	89	+0.9	216/270/334	118	274	11	10	24%	6%	66	-0.6	204/259/308	104	260	10	8	25%	7%	51	-0.7
✕Stone Garrett 2023 · MLB	27	38→37	56→55	53→50	35	214/252/400	187	277	25	17	33%	4%	77	+0.1	219/282/362	143	318	16	10	34%	7%	79	+0.3	222/301/341	118	337	12	5	34%	9%	79	+0.1
✕Corey Julks 2023 · AAA	27	43→51	55	53→55	42	229/287/409	180	290	23	18	30%	6%	94	+1.3	232/293/371	139	295	15	20	25%	8%	86	+0.8	233/296/352	119	297	11	21	24%	8%	79	+0.2
✕Ryan Cordell 2018 · AAA	26	41→42	50	51→50	40	214/262/365	151	274	18	14	29%	6%	71	-0.3	204/254/325	121	278	13	12	30%	6%	57	-1.2	179/233/303	124	254	15	13	35%	6%	41	-1.0
✕Deibinson Romero 2014 · AAA	27	43→45	54→55	49→40	46	230/294/403	172	272	23	4	25%	7%	95	+1.4	224/290/368	144	267	15	4	22%	7%	84	+0.6	233/301/375	142	254	18	1	16%	8%	90	+0.3