Braden Bishop
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 26 | MLBSEA | 34 | .167/.242/.233 | 0 | 1 | 35 | -0.2 | ||
| 2021 | 27 | AAASF | 340 | .318/.385/.531 | 12 | 10 | 112 | — | .275/.328/.441 | |
| 2022 | 28 | AAAMIN | 284 | .230/.304/.348 | 6 | 12 | 45 | — | .197/.251/.292 | |
| 2023 | 29 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 22 | A+ | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 184 | 166 | 41 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 39 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 247 | 302 | 319 | 621 | 72 | 310 | 21 | 6 | 276 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A | Clinton LumberKings | — | 284 | 248 | 72 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 48 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 290 | 365 | 331 | 695 | 40 | 355 | 17 | 9 | 315 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 145 | 125 | 42 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 336 | 420 | 448 | 868 | 112 | 373 | 10 | 10 | 386 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ | Modesto Nuts | — | 412 | 355 | 105 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 65 | 7 | 16 | 4 | 296 | 386 | 400 | 786 | 104 | 356 | 16 | 11 | 353 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | — | 63 | 56 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 232 | 306 | 304 | 610 | 71 | 302 | 21 | 6 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 394 | 345 | 98 | 20 | 0 | 8 | 37 | 68 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 284 | 363 | 412 | 775 | 128 | 331 | 17 | 9 | 345 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | — | 60 | 56 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 107 | 153 | 107 | 260 | 171 | 35 | 5 | 125 | -29 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.6 | |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 211 | 185 | 51 | 15 | 0 | 8 | 23 | 44 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 276 | 362 | 486 | 848 | 211 | 321 | 21 | 11 | 373 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | A+ | Modesto Nuts | — | 29 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 240 | 345 | 360 | 705 | 120 | 375 | 31 | 7 | 324 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | — | 34 | 30 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 167 | 242 | 233 | 476 | 67 | 250 | 29 | 6 | 218 | 35 | -3 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 340 | 305 | 97 | 19 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 60 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 318 | 385 | 531 | 916 | 213 | 362 | 18 | 8 | 400 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | — | 284 | 256 | 59 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 66 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 230 | 304 | 348 | 652 | 117 | 286 | 23 | 8 | 295 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 94 | 86 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 128 | 185 | 151 | 336 | 23 | 200 | 33 | 5 | 159 | -6 | -12 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.9 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 22 | A+ MLE | Bakersfield Blaze | — | 184 | 169 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 52 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 207 | 251 | 266 | 518 | 59 | 277 | 28 | 4 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 284 | 256 | 66 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 65 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 258 | 314 | 297 | 611 | 39 | 326 | 23 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 145 | 130 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 315 | 378 | 415 | 793 | 100 | 356 | 13 | 7 | 347 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 412 | 368 | 91 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 89 | 7 | 16 | 4 | 247 | 319 | 326 | 645 | 79 | 315 | 22 | 8 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 394 | 358 | 92 | 19 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 81 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 257 | 314 | 369 | 683 | 112 | 305 | 21 | 6 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 60 | 56 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 107 | 153 | 107 | 260 | 171 | 35 | 5 | 126 | -29 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.6 | |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 211 | 192 | 41 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 57 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 214 | 281 | 365 | 646 | 151 | 268 | 27 | 8 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | A+ MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 29 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 276 | 308 | 584 | 115 | 311 | 41 | 3 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 34 | 30 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 167 | 242 | 233 | 476 | 67 | 250 | 29 | 6 | 220 | 35 | -3 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 340 | 313 | 86 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 70 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 275 | 328 | 441 | 769 | 166 | 326 | 21 | 6 | 333 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA MLE | St. Paul Saints | — | 284 | 264 | 52 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 81 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 197 | 251 | 292 | 543 | 95 | 256 | 29 | 6 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 468 | 426 | 102 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 117 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 239 | 289 | 289 | 578 | 49 | 321 | 25 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 468 | 414 | 113 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 36 | 87 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 273 | 340 | 326 | 666 | 53 | 337 | 19 | 8 | 300 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 620 | 554 | 147 | 30 | 3 | 3 | 46 | 120 | 12 | 24 | 6 | 265 | 335 | 347 | 682 | 81 | 333 | 19 | 7 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 620 | 536 | 160 | 36 | 5 | 3 | 64 | 93 | 12 | 24 | 6 | 299 | 386 | 401 | 787 | 103 | 355 | 15 | 10 | 353 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 394 | 358 | 92 | 19 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 81 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 257 | 314 | 369 | 683 | 112 | 311 | 21 | 6 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA RAW | Arkansas Travelers | — | 394 | 345 | 98 | 20 | 0 | 8 | 37 | 68 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 284 | 363 | 412 | 775 | 128 | 331 | 17 | 9 | 345 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 300 | 274 | 52 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 91 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 190 | 255 | 307 | 562 | 117 | 258 | 30 | 7 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 300 | 266 | 63 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 74 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 237 | 319 | 395 | 714 | 158 | 297 | 25 | 9 | 319 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 34 | 30 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 167 | 242 | 233 | 476 | 67 | 250 | 29 | 6 | 220 | 35 | -3 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB RAW | Seattle Mariners | — | 34 | 30 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 167 | 242 | 233 | 476 | 67 | 250 | 29 | 6 | 218 | 35 | -3 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 340 | 313 | 86 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 70 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 275 | 328 | 441 | 769 | 166 | 329 | 21 | 6 | 333 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA RAW | Sacramento River Cats | — | 340 | 305 | 97 | 19 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 60 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 318 | 385 | 531 | 916 | 213 | 362 | 18 | 8 | 400 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA MLE | St. Paul Saints | — | 284 | 264 | 52 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 81 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 197 | 251 | 292 | 543 | 95 | 263 | 29 | 6 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA RAW | St. Paul Saints | — | 284 | 256 | 59 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 66 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 230 | 304 | 348 | 652 | 117 | 286 | 23 | 8 | 295 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 468 | 435 | 102 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 117 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 234 | 289 | 283 | 572 | 48 | 307 | 25 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 620 | 557 | 147 | 30 | 3 | 3 | 46 | 120 | 12 | 24 | 6 | 264 | 335 | 345 | 680 | 81 | 326 | 19 | 7 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 394 | 361 | 92 | 19 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 81 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 255 | 314 | 366 | 680 | 111 | 305 | 21 | 6 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 300 | 273 | 52 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 91 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 190 | 255 | 308 | 563 | 117 | 253 | 30 | 7 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 34 | 31 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 161 | 242 | 226 | 468 | 65 | 250 | 29 | 6 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 340 | 312 | 86 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 70 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 276 | 328 | 442 | 771 | 167 | 326 | 21 | 6 | 333 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA MLE | St. Paul Saints | — | 284 | 263 | 52 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 81 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 198 | 251 | 293 | 544 | 95 | 256 | 29 | 6 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 94 | 86 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 128 | 185 | 151 | 336 | 23 | 200 | 33 | 5 | 159 | 75 | -12 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.9 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 595 | 76 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 214 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 128 | 186 | 151 | 337 | 24 | 199 | 33 | 5 | 159 | 75 | -82 | +1 | +2 | +5 | +14 | -6.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2440 | 2219 | 536 | 97 | 12 | 32 | 151 | 570 | 38 | 62 | 16 | 242 | 301 | 339 | 640 | 98 | 310 | 23 | 6 | 279 | 75 | -12 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 591 | 143 | 26 | 3 | 9 | 40 | 152 | 10 | 17 | 4 | 242 | 301 | 342 | 643 | 100 | 309 | 23 | 6 | 279 | 75 | -82 | +1 | +2 | +5 | +14 | -6.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 AAASt. Paul Saints · 284 PAwOBA .289 → .234 (−55)K% 23.2% → 28.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.24% | ÷0.981 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.45% | ÷1.012 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 5.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.06% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.98% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.016 | ×0.982 | 20.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.21% | ÷1.079 | ×0.830 | ×1.016 | ×0.982 | 3.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.05% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.016 | ×0.982 | 0.89% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.16% | ÷0.881 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 2.46% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 100, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 96, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .289 → .234; ISO .117 → .089; BABIP .286 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAASacramento River Cats · 340 PAwOBA .391 → .333 (−58)K% 17.6% → 20.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.65% | ÷1.034 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.94% | ÷0.956 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 5.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.76% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.90% | ÷1.049 | ×0.930 | ×1.026 | ×0.992 | 22.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.76% | ÷0.916 | ×0.830 | ×1.026 | ×0.992 | 7.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.04% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.026 | ×0.992 | 2.12% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.90% | ÷0.995 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 3.42% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 110, 2B 83, 3B 80, K 107, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.
Result: wOBA .391 → .333; ISO .213 → .174; BABIP .362 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAATacoma Rainiers · 211 PAwOBA .365 → .282 (−83)K% 20.9% → 27.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.85% | ÷0.990 | ×1.290 | — | — | 27.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.90% | ÷1.039 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 7.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.95% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.86% | ÷0.985 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 17.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.64% | ÷0.998 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 8.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.073 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.67% | ÷1.049 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 4.29% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 97, 2B 100, 3B 115, K 98, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .365 → .282; ISO .211 → .156; BABIP .321 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Modesto Nuts · 29 PAwOBA .302 → .222 (−80)K% 31.0% → 42.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.03% | ÷0.976 | ×1.340 | — | — | 42.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.45% | ÷1.052 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.968 | 2.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.90% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.968 | 5.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.005 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.968 | 21.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.050 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.968 | 4.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.022 | ×0.760 | — | ×0.968 | 4.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.768 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 54, 1B 101, 2B 110, 3B 104, K 95, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .302 → .222; ISO .120 → .079; BABIP .375 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAArkansas Travelers · 394 PAwOBA .339 → .298 (−41)K% 17.3% → 20.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.26% | ÷1.022 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.39% | ÷1.097 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 5.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.52% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 1.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.27% | ÷1.015 | ×0.920 | ×1.022 | ×0.998 | 23.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.22% | ÷0.920 | ×0.840 | ×1.022 | ×0.998 | 6.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.925 | ×0.940 | ×1.022 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.89% | ÷0.925 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 2.49% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 103, 2B 84, 3B 85, K 104, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .339 → .298; ISO .128 → .117; BABIP .331 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+Modesto Nuts · 412 PAwOBA .345 → .285 (−60)K% 15.8% → 21.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.78% | ÷0.972 | ×1.340 | — | — | 21.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.92% | ÷0.995 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 7.70% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.70% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 1.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.86% | ÷1.008 | ×0.910 | ×1.036 | ×0.988 | 23.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.62% | ÷1.082 | ×0.820 | ×1.036 | ×0.988 | 6.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.03% | ÷1.041 | ×0.760 | ×1.036 | ×0.988 | 0.77% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.69% | ÷0.866 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 0.72% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 102, 2B 116, 3B 108, K 94, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .345 → .285; ISO .104 → .084; BABIP .356 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAArkansas Travelers · 145 PAwOBA .377 → .347 (−30)K% 10.3% → 13.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.34% | ÷0.973 | ×1.220 | — | — | 12.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.66% | ÷1.005 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 6.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.07% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 1.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.18% | ÷0.974 | ×0.920 | ×1.027 | ×1.012 | 27.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.18% | ÷0.993 | ×0.840 | ×1.027 | ×1.012 | 7.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.91% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.027 | ×1.012 | 0.77% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.91% | ÷1.024 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.72% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 95, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 95, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.
Result: wOBA .377 → .347; ISO .112 → .099; BABIP .373 → .356. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AClinton LumberKings · 284 PAwOBA .308 → .265 (−43)K% 16.9% → 22.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.90% | ÷1.003 | ×1.360 | — | — | 22.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.80% | ÷1.019 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 5.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.41% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 1.09% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.50% | ÷1.055 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.990 | 29.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.50% | ÷0.832 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.990 | 2.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.50% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×0.990 | 0.53% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.50% | ÷0.976 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 0.41% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 111, 2B 66, 3B 80, K 101, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .308 → .265; ISO .040 → .039; BABIP .355 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .