Matt Wallner — OGILVIE

Matt WallnerRF St. Paul Saints

Age 28 L/R 6'4" / 220 lbs MLB Svc 2.250S2 · Ctrl thru 2029 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION523 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 96109vR 113

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP285

ISO246

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$9M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT40

Whiff%

2214.1%

xAVG

100.213

POWER60

Barrel%

9014.4

Avg EV

8091.2

Bat Spd

8474.9

EYE50

Chase%

8524.9%

SPEED45

Sprint

2026.0

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 750 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

181

569

—

wRC+

131

▶▶R

wOBA

302

363

▶▶R

ISO

189

263

▶▶R

BABIP

267

298

▶R

30.9%

33.4%

◀L

BB%

9.9%

10.5%

▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 2.250 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.1M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-2	$3M	+1.2	$9M	+$6M
2028	Arb-3	$5M	+0.9	$3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Arb-4	$5M	+0.6	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$14M	+$6M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	21	A	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	53	44	9	3	1	2	5	14	4	0	0	205	340	455	794	250	250	26	9	354	126	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2021	23	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	294	258	68	14	2	15	28	98	7	0	1	264	352	508	859	244	363	33	10	376	141	+14	-0	—	—	+6	2.1
2021	23	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	79	66	20	2	0	6	9	27	3	0	0	303	410	606	1.016	303	412	34	11	435	181	+8	+0	—	—	+2	0.9
2022	24	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	65	57	13	3	0	2	6	25	2	1	0	228	323	386	709	158	367	38	9	322	104	+0	+0	-1	-7	+1	-0.6
2022	24	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	229	190	47	17	3	6	35	63	4	1	0	247	376	463	839	216	339	28	15	373	139	+11	+0	—	—	+5	1.6
2022	24	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	342	268	80	15	1	21	62	107	7	8	5	299	442	597	1.039	299	407	31	18	444	187	+35	-0	—	—	+7	4.3
2023	25	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	254	213	53	11	1	14	28	80	13	2	1	249	370	507	877	258	328	31	11	387	148	+15	+0	-4	-6	+6	1.0
2023	25	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	305	254	74	20	3	11	39	87	10	0	0	291	406	524	930	232	399	29	13	407	162	+22	+0	—	—	+7	3.0
2024	26	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	261	220	57	17	1	13	24	95	16	3	0	259	373	523	896	264	389	36	9	393	152	+16	+1	-3	-6	+6	1.4
2024	26	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	297	259	67	15	1	19	32	91	3	5	0	259	347	544	891	286	316	31	11	384	146	+16	+1	—	—	+6	2.4
2025	27	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	392	336	68	16	3	22	46	114	8	4	3	202	313	464	777	262	228	29	12	341	117	+8	-0	-4	-4	+8	0.8
2025	27	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	27	25	8	1	0	5	2	6	0	0	0	320	370	960	1.330	640	214	22	7	552	259	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	972	826	191	47	5	51	104	314	39	10	4	231	345	485	830	254	302	32	11	366	134	+39	+0	-12	-23	+21	2.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	21	A MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	53	45	6	2	1	1	4	20	4	0	0	133	264	289	553	156	217	38	8	260	62	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2021	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	294	267	53	10	2	12	19	133	7	0	1	199	270	386	655	187	325	45	6	277	74	-9	-0	—	—	+6	-0.3
2022	24	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	65	57	13	3	0	2	6	25	2	1	0	228	323	386	709	158	367	38	9	307	94	-0	+0	-1	-7	+1	-0.7
2022	24	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	229	202	39	13	2	5	23	77	4	1	0	193	288	351	640	158	285	34	10	283	78	-6	+0	—	—	+5	-0.1
2022	24	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	342	290	68	12	1	17	40	136	7	8	5	234	341	459	800	224	341	40	12	344	119	+8	-0	—	—	+7	1.5
2023	25	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	254	213	53	11	1	14	28	80	13	2	1	249	370	507	877	258	328	31	11	380	143	+13	+0	-4	-6	+6	0.9
2023	25	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	305	268	59	12	3	7	25	107	10	0	0	220	310	366	676	146	329	35	8	301	90	-4	+0	—	—	+7	0.3
2024	26	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	261	220	57	17	1	13	24	95	16	3	0	259	373	523	896	264	389	36	9	388	149	+15	+1	-3	-6	+6	1.3
2024	26	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	297	269	52	12	1	12	22	110	3	5	0	193	262	379	641	186	261	37	7	279	75	-9	+1	—	—	+6	-0.1
2025	27	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	392	336	68	16	3	22	46	114	8	4	3	202	313	464	777	262	228	29	12	336	114	+6	-0	-4	-4	+8	0.6
2025	27	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	27	26	6	1	0	3	1	7	0	0	0	231	259	615	875	385	176	26	4	337	114	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2019	21	A MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	53	45	6	2	1	1	4	20	4	0	0	133	264	289	553	156	208	38	8	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	53	44	9	3	1	2	5	14	4	0	0	205	340	455	794	250	250	26	9	354	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	373	337	67	13	2	15	24	169	10	0	1	199	272	383	655	184	335	45	6	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	373	324	88	16	2	21	37	125	10	0	1	272	364	528	892	256	372	34	10	389	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	636	549	119	28	3	23	69	238	13	10	5	217	319	404	723	188	328	37	11	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA RAW	3 teams	—	636	515	140	35	4	29	103	195	13	10	5	272	406	524	930	252	375	31	16	406	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	559	481	112	23	4	21	53	187	23	2	1	233	338	428	766	195	331	33	9	337	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	559	467	127	31	4	25	67	167	23	2	1	272	390	516	906	244	368	30	12	398	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	558	489	109	29	2	25	46	205	19	8	0	223	314	444	758	221	319	37	8	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	558	479	124	32	2	32	56	186	19	8	0	259	359	534	894	276	347	33	10	388	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	419	362	74	17	3	25	47	121	8	4	3	204	309	475	784	271	225	29	11	336	114	+7	-0	-4	-4	+9	0.8
2025	27	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	419	361	76	17	3	27	48	120	8	4	3	211	317	499	815	288	227	29	11	354	114	+7	-0	-4	-4	+9	0.8
2019	21	A MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	53	45	6	2	1	1	4	20	4	0	0	133	264	289	553	156	217	38	8	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	373	336	67	13	2	15	24	169	10	0	1	199	272	384	656	185	325	45	6	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	636	549	119	28	3	23	69	238	13	10	5	217	319	404	723	188	323	37	11	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	559	478	112	23	4	21	53	187	23	2	1	234	338	431	768	197	328	33	9	337	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	558	488	109	29	2	25	46	205	19	8	0	223	314	445	759	221	321	37	8	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	419	361	74	17	3	25	47	121	8	4	3	205	309	476	786	271	224	29	11	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	559	478	112	23	4	21	53	187	23	2	1	234	338	431	768	197	328	33	9	337	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	558	488	109	29	2	25	46	205	19	8	0	223	314	445	759	221	321	37	8	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	419	361	74	17	3	25	47	121	8	4	3	205	309	476	786	271	224	29	11	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	28	AAA MLE	MIN	—	523	460	89	15	0	21	43	181	17	8	4	193	287	363	650	170	261	35	8	286	79	-13	+0	-2	-6	+11	-0.9
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	28	MLB RAW	MIN	—	135	120	20	3	0	4	10	53	5	0	1	167	259	292	551	125	254	39	7	256	79	-3	-0	-2	-6	+3	-0.8
YTD	28	AAA RAW	MIN	—	388	325	84	15	0	24	48	107	12	8	3	258	374	526	900	268	305	28	12	392	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	28	MLB RAW	MIN	—	135	120	20	3	0	4	10	53	5	0	1	167	259	292	551	125	254	39	7	256	60	-6	-0	-2	-1	+3	-0.7
ROS	28	AAA MLE	MIN	100%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		285	30	10	329	109	+0	+0	-0	-0	+0	0.0
ROS	28	MLB CTX	MIN	100%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		285	30	10	308	109	+0	+0	-0	-0	+0	0.0
FULL	28	MLB A+C	MIN	—	145	129	21	3	0	4	11	56	5	0	1	163	255	279	534	116	246	39	8	260	80	-3	-0	-2	-2	+3	-0.4
TOT	28	AAA MLE	MIN	—	533	469	90	15	0	21	44	184	17	8	4	192	285	358	643	166	258	35	8	286	80	-13	+0	-2	-6	+12	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	MIN	98%	591	516	113	27	2	27	53	196	17	7	3	219	312	436	748	217	291	33	9	333	111	+8	+0	-3	-6	+13	1.2
2028	30	MLB MLE	MIN	98%	579	505	109	26	2	26	52	193	17	6	3	216	310	430	740	214	289	33	9	330	109	+6	+0	-3	-6	+13	0.9
2029	31	MLB MLE	MIN	98%	567	495	105	25	2	25	51	191	16	5	2	212	306	422	728	210	285	34	9	325	106	+4	+0	-4	-6	+12	0.6
2030	32	MLB MLE	MIN	98%	556	485	101	24	2	24	50	190	16	4	2	208	303	414	718	206	279	34	9	318	101	+1	+0	-5	-6	+12	0.2
2031	33	MLB MLE	MIN	98%	480	421	84	20	1	20	43	166	13	3	1	200	294	394	688	195	271	35	9	310	96	-2	+0	-5	-5	+10	-0.2
2027	29	MLB CTX	MIN	98%	579	505	112	27	2	27	52	192	17	7	3	222	315	444	759	222	291	33	9	312	111	+8	+0	-3	-6	+13	1.2
2028	30	MLB CTX	MIN	98%	567	495	108	26	2	26	51	189	16	6	3	218	311	436	748	218	289	33	9	309	109	+6	+0	-3	-6	+12	0.9
2029	31	MLB CTX	MIN	98%	556	485	104	25	2	25	50	187	16	5	2	214	309	429	737	214	285	34	9	304	106	+4	+0	-4	-6	+12	0.6
2030	32	MLB CTX	MIN	98%	545	476	100	24	2	24	49	186	15	4	2	210	304	420	724	210	279	34	9	298	101	+1	+0	-5	-6	+12	0.2
2031	33	MLB CTX	MIN	98%	470	412	82	19	1	20	42	163	13	3	1	199	293	396	689	197	271	35	9	290	96	-2	+0	-5	-5	+10	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3699	3208	698	168	14	173	349	1234	116	35	15	218	317	440	757	223	289	33	9	320	104	+55	+1	-32	-52	+80	5.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	564	122	30	2	30	61	217	20	6	3	216	315	436	751	220	287	33	9	320	104	+10	+0	-6	-9	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	5381	4694	1000	234	24	232	493	1879	156	49	21	213	309	421	730	208	294	35	9	322	104	+56	+1	-33	-53	+81	5.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	567	121	28	3	28	60	227	19	6	3	213	310	422	732	208	294	35	9	322	104	+10	+0	-6	-9	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Joey Gallolast yr '24 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,373 PA	5.1	3,373	207	32	195	320	459	-29	-11	13.5	14.1
/162	664	41	6	-5.6	-2.1	2.7	pk7: 15
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	6.4	4,280	200	41	218	314	441	-46	-36	12.7	12.3
/162	664	31	6	-7.1	-5.6	2.0	pk7: 12
#2Adam Duvalllast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,723 PA	5.6	3,723	195	22	227	287	459	-31	+11	11.0	11.8
/162	664	35	4	-5.5	+2.0	2.0	pk7: 13
#3Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#4Jonny Gomeslast yr '15 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,978 PA	6.0	3,978	162	50	243	335	438	-43	-67	8.3	9.2
/162	664	27	8	-7.1	-11.1	1.4	pk7: 10
#5Mitch Hanigerlast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,089 PA	4.7	3,089	130	19	250	324	448	-31	-36	7.8	8.4
/162	664	28	4	-6.7	-7.8	1.7	pk7: 9
#6Brandon Mosslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,459 PA	5.2	3,459	160	11	238	315	455	-53	-41	5.9	5.9
/162	664	31	2	-10.2	-7.9	1.1	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Matt Wallner (OGILVIE)	28	40	60	45	50	217/311/427	211	285	21	6	33%	9%	109	+1.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Aristides Aquino 2022 · MLB	28	39→41	60	48→50	48	221/304/433	213	274	29	9	31%	10%	107	+1.8	216/284/387	171	314	21	8	36%	8%	88	+0.5	197/256/365	168	291	22	6	39%	6%	71	-0.5
●Hunter Renfroe 2020 · MLB	28	40→47	65	50→45	45	233/296/479	246	269	34	6	28%	8%	114	+2.4	236/301/474	238	266	33	5	25%	8%	115	+2.4	243/306/456	213	274	28	1	23%	8%	110	+1.9
●Jared Walsh 2021 · MLB	28	44→54	61→60	46→30	44	239/307/466	227	300	30	3	31%	8%	115	+2.4	240/304/434	194	309	25	3	29%	8%	106	+1.8	223/293/402	179	295	23	2	31%	8%	90	+0.5
●Joey Gallo 2021 · MLB	27	39→35	65→70	45	54	218/331/471	254	289	34	7	36%	14%	125	+3.2	194/322/420	226	265	31	6	37%	15%	111	+2.1	177/312/407	230	234	33	4	38%	16%	102	+1.1
●Russell Branyan 2004 · MLB	28	44→45	61→70	43→45	50	231/323/455	224	311	29	5	34%	12%	118	+2.7	242/339/482	240	334	31	5	34%	12%	130	+3.5	248/337/511	263	304	36	3	30%	11%	130	+2.5
✕Randal Grichuk 2020 · MLB	28	43→50	62→70	46→45	42	238/288/470	232	276	30	4	27%	6%	109	+2.0	246/290/439	193	283	26	3	23%	5%	103	+1.5	264/311/490	226	295	26	0	20%	6%	119	+1.2
✕Adam Duvall 2018 · MLB	29	43→45	59→70	44→45	42	234/289/449	215	276	27	6	26%	6%	105	+1.7	224/290/447	223	259	30	4	27%	7%	105	+1.7	225/286/491	266	245	40	3	28%	7%	112	+1.6
●Chris Davis 2015 · MLB	29	42→52	64→65	43→40	49	234/323/472	238	290	33	4	31%	10%	122	+3.0	228/329/460	232	295	32	3	32%	12%	122	+2.9	223/328/452	229	292	32	1	33%	13%	115	+2.5
✕Jordan Luplow 2023 · MLB	29	36→46	61→65	45→50	53	209/302/427	218	232	30	8	26%	11%	105	+1.7	215/295/375	160	256	20	13	24%	9%	90	+0.6	204/286/341	136	246	16	15	24%	9%	77	-0.2
●Pedro Álvarez 2014 · MLB	27	43→47	63→65	48→45	46	239/307/468	228	294	32	3	30%	9%	116	+2.5	244/316/466	222	290	31	6	27%	9%	118	+2.7	240/318/459	219	279	31	5	26%	10%	110	+1.5
●Ian Happ 2022 · MLB	27	43→53	59→60	47→50	53	232/324/441	209	288	28	9	29%	11%	116	+2.5	252/342/439	187	312	21	10	24%	11%	121	+2.9	252/348/436	185	310	20	11	24%	12%	119	+3.0
●Mike Zunino 2019 · MLB	28	42→48	63→65	45→30	41	230/299/461	230	301	32	2	34%	8%	112	+2.2	207/277/428	221	271	31	3	35%	8%	96	+1.0	194/275/458	264	237	40	0	37%	9%	101	+0.5
●Seth Brown 2022 · MLB	30	40→48	64→65	51→50	43	231/288/475	244	275	33	9	30%	7%	111	+2.1	238/302/453	215	285	28	9	27%	8%	110	+2.1	239/301/440	201	288	27	8	27%	8%	104	+1.3
✕Colby Rasmus 2016 · MLB	29	45→55	61→65	47→50	45	241/309/464	223	310	29	4	32%	9%	115	+2.4	226/294/417	191	293	26	6	31%	9%	99	+1.2	209/278/383	174	267	25	4	31%	9%	82	+0.0
✕Rougned Odor 2022 · MLB	28	36→46	57→60	39→50	44	204/279/397	193	243	26	5	29%	8%	89	+0.5	214/289/371	157	258	18	7	24%	8%	86	+0.3	203/280/353	149	243	16	8	23%	8%	77	-0.2
★Kyle Schwarber 2021 · MLB	28	42→48	65→70	43→45	56	236/335/483	247	271	33	4	27%	12%	129	+3.4	231/340/496	265	267	37	5	28%	13%	133	+3.7	233/355/495	262	275	38	5	29%	15%	133	+4.3
●Mark Trumbo 2014 · MLB	28	45→53	60→65	43→45	45	248/301/464	216	288	30	6	26%	7%	112	+2.2	247/303/452	205	292	28	4	25%	7%	110	+2.1	248/305/461	213	286	30	2	25%	7%	110	+1.8
●Jay Bruce 2014 · MLB	27	48→54	58→65	46→50	50	252/324/466	214	301	26	7	25%	10%	121	+2.9	233/299/427	194	277	23	9	25%	9%	103	+1.5	241/309/475	234	265	30	5	22%	9%	112	+2.3
✕Jarrod Saltalamacchia 2013 · MLB	28	41→51	60	44→40	44	226/288/439	213	278	28	3	30%	8%	102	+1.5	240/315/425	185	328	21	4	31%	10%	108	+1.9	237/319/411	175	330	19	2	32%	10%	102	+1.0
●Chris Carter 2015 · MLB	28	41→51	65	47→45	49	230/316/472	242	290	34	5	33%	11%	120	+2.8	216/311/452	236	274	33	4	33%	11%	114	+2.3	204/305/434	230	259	32	2	34%	11%	105	+1.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps