Matt Wallner — OGILVIE

Matt WallnerRF Minnesota Twins

Age 28 L/R 6'4" / 220 lbs MLB BB +3% Svc 2.250S2 · Ctrl thru 2029 peak 1.5 · 2027

wRC+†vL 90115vR 122

AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .329 / .487

PA507

HR29

K%31

BB%10

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

40→40

PWR

60→60

SPD

45→45

EYE

55↘50

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.8peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 2.250 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-1	$0.8M	+1.1	$9M	+$8M
2027	Arb-2	$3M	+1.5	$12M	+$9M
2028	Arb-3	$5M	+1.3	$11M	+$6M
2029	Arb-4	$5M	+0.9	$4M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$13M		$36M	+$23M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	21	A	Cedar Rapids Kernels	53	45	7	2	1	1	4	18	4	0	0	.156	.283	.311	.594	.156	.231	34	8	.266	62	-2	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
2021	23	A+	2 teams	373	337	67	13	2	15	24	169	10	0	1	.199	.272	.383	.655	.184	.335	45	6	.280	72	-12	-0	+0	-4	+11	-0.6
2022	24	AA	3 teams	636	548	118	27	3	26	70	246	13	10	5	.215	.319	.418	.736	.203	.327	39	11	.320	103	+2	+0	-1	-7	+18	1.3
2023	25	AAA	2 teams	559	483	115	21	4	24	51	189	23	2	1	.238	.339	.447	.787	.209	.335	34	9	.344	122	+14	+0	-4	-6	+16	2.0
2024	26	AAA	2 teams	558	488	110	28	2	28	47	205	19	8	0	.225	.318	.463	.781	.238	.317	37	8	.334	114	+9	+2	-3	-6	+16	1.7
2025	27	MLB	2 teams	419	362	73	16	3	25	47	121	8	4	3	.202	.307	.470	.777	.268	.220	29	11	.330	110	+5	-0	-4	-4	+12	0.8
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	28	MLB	Minnesota Twins	89	79	15	2	0	3	7	36	3	0	1	.190	.281	.329	.610	.139	.300	40	8	.277	70	-3	-0	-2	-1	+3	-0.4
ROS	28	MLB	MIN	418	361	80	16	2	22	42	138	12	4	2	.222	.323	.460	.783	.238	.286	33	10	.348	124	+11	+0	-4	-4	+12	1.5
TOT	28	MLB	MIN	507	440	95	18	2	25	49	174	15	4	3	.216	.315	.436	.752	.220	.288	34	10	.335	115	+8	-0	-6	-5	+14	1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	29	MLB	MIN	495	428	94	19	2	26	50	128	14	4	2	.220	.321	.456	.777	.236	.248	26	10	.345	122	+13	+0	-6	-5	+14	1.5
2028	30	MLB	MIN	483	418	91	19	2	25	48	127	14	2	1	.218	.319	.452	.771	.234	.246	26	10	.342	120	+11	+0	-7	-5	+14	1.3
2029	31	MLB	MIN	468	405	87	18	2	24	47	125	13	0	1	.215	.316	.447	.763	.232	.244	27	10	.338	117	+9	-0	-7	-5	+13	1.0
2030	32	MLB	MIN	449	388	83	17	2	23	45	122	13	0	0	.214	.316	.446	.762	.232	.242	27	10	.334	113	+7	+0	-8	-5	+13	0.7
2031	33	MLB	MIN	419	362	76	15	2	21	42	117	12	0	0	.210	.312	.436	.749	.227	.240	28	10	.327	109	+4	+0	-8	-4	+12	0.3
2032	34	MLB	MIN	373	323	66	13	2	18	37	107	10	0	0	.204	.305	.424	.730	.220	.237	29	10	.320	103	+1	+0	-9	-4	+11	-0.1
2033	35	MLB	MIN	320	277	55	11	1	15	31	95	9	0	0	.199	.300	.408	.708	.209	.234	30	10	.311	97	-1	+0	-9	-3	+9	-0.5
2034	36	MLB	MIN	261	227	42	8	1	11	25	80	7	0	0	.185	.286	.374	.660	.189	.229	31	10	.301	89	-3	+0	-9	-3	+7	-0.8
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6284	5452	1164	243	31	304	610	1987	181	34	16	.213	.313	.437	.750	.223	.269	32	10	.328	109	+67	+0	-80	-67	+178	10.1
/ 162G	—			650	564	120	25	3	31	63	206	19	4	2	.213	.313	.433	.745	.220	.270	32	10	.328	109	+7	+0	-8	-7	+18	1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	21	A	Cedar Rapids Kernels	53	44	9	3	1	2	5	14	4	0	0	.205	.340	.455	.794	.250	.250	26	9	.354	129	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2021	23	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	294	258	68	14	2	15	28	98	7	0	1	.264	.352	.508	.859	.244	.363	33	10	.376	146	+15	-0	—	—	+8	2.4
2021	23	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	79	66	20	2	0	6	9	27	3	0	0	.303	.410	.606	1.016	.303	.412	34	11	.435	191	+8	+0	—	—	+2	1.1
2022	24	MLB	Minnesota Twins	65	57	13	3	0	2	6	25	2	1	0	.228	.323	.386	.709	.158	.367	38	9	.322	104	+0	+0	-1	-7	+2	-0.6
2022	24	AAA	St. Paul Saints	229	190	47	17	3	6	35	63	4	1	0	.247	.376	.463	.839	.216	.339	28	15	.373	144	+11	+0	—	—	+6	1.8
2022	24	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	342	268	80	15	1	21	62	107	7	8	5	.299	.442	.597	1.039	.299	.407	31	18	.444	198	+38	-0	—	—	+10	4.8
2023	25	MLB	Minnesota Twins	254	213	53	11	1	14	28	80	13	2	1	.249	.370	.507	.877	.258	.328	31	11	.387	155	+16	+0	-4	-6	+7	1.3
2023	25	AAA	St. Paul Saints	305	254	74	20	3	11	39	87	10	0	0	.291	.406	.524	.930	.232	.399	29	13	.407	170	+24	+0	—	—	+9	3.3
2024	26	MLB	Minnesota Twins	261	220	57	17	1	13	24	95	16	3	0	.259	.373	.523	.896	.264	.389	36	9	.393	159	+17	+1	-3	-6	+7	1.7
2024	26	AAA	St. Paul Saints	297	259	67	15	1	19	32	91	3	5	0	.259	.347	.544	.891	.286	.316	31	11	.384	152	+17	+1	—	—	+8	2.7
2025	27	MLB	Minnesota Twins	392	336	68	16	3	22	46	114	8	4	3	.202	.313	.464	.777	.262	.228	29	12	.341	119	+8	-0	-4	-4	+11	1.1
2025	27	AAA	St. Paul Saints	27	25	8	1	0	5	2	6	0	0	0	.320	.370	.960	1.330	.640	.214	22	7	.552	280	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			972	826	191	47	5	51	104	314	39	10	4	.231	.345	.485	.830	.254	.302	32	11	.366	138	+42	+0	-12	-23	+28	3.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Matt Wallner (OGILVIE)	28	40	60	45	50	.222/.322/.463	.241	.249	27	5	26%	10%	124	+2.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
★Kyle Schwarber 2021 · MLB	28	41→48	65→70	42→45	56	.234/.335/.483	.249	.266	34	4	27%	13%	133	+4.0	.231/.339/.496	.265	.265	37	5	28%	13%	137	+4.3	.219/.352/.476	.257	.251	36	4	29%	16%	129	+4.4
●Pedro Álvarez 2015 · MLB	28	43→47	62→65	47→45	48	.241/.311/.464	.224	.287	32	6	28%	9%	118	+3.0	.240/.308/.455	.215	.285	30	5	27%	9%	115	+2.7	.233/.295/.442	.208	.275	29	2	27%	8%	98	+1.3
●Joc Pederson 2019 · MLB	27	43→52	61→65	41→55	54	.237/.326/.468	.231	.262	28	6	22%	10%	125	+3.5	.238/.321/.472	.234	.259	31	4	22%	9%	124	+3.4	.257/.362/.473	.216	.296	28	5	22%	12%	134	+3.0
●Daniel Vogelbach 2021 · MLB	28	40→50	60	43→40	61	.225/.337/.438	.213	.252	29	2	24%	14%	122	+3.3	.239/.353/.427	.188	.289	24	2	24%	15%	126	+3.5	.241/.360/.423	.182	.292	24	0	24%	15%	120	+1.9
✕Jordan Luplow 2023 · MLB	29	37→47	61→65	44→50	53	.212/.305/.430	.219	.236	30	8	26%	11%	108	+2.3	.218/.299/.393	.175	.256	23	12	24%	9%	95	+1.4	.209/.291/.363	.153	.248	19	15	24%	9%	81	+0.2
●Hunter Renfroe 2020 · MLB	28	41→46	66→70	50→45	44	.237/.297/.487	.250	.272	35	5	28%	8%	119	+3.1	.235/.301/.474	.239	.265	33	5	26%	8%	117	+2.9	.241/.303/.447	.207	.272	27	1	23%	8%	106	+2.0
●Max Kepler 2022 · MLB	29	42→52	61→60	49→50	56	.233/.322/.460	.227	.240	29	8	18%	10%	121	+3.2	.237/.318/.412	.175	.264	20	6	19%	10%	107	+2.2	.243/.317/.406	.163	.275	19	2	19%	9%	102	+1.4
✕Austin Meadows 2022 · MLB	27	47→56	61→65	45→55	52	.251/.329/.480	.229	.281	28	8	22%	10%	129	+3.7	.233/.312/.389	.156	.265	17	6	18%	9%	98	+1.6	.221/.313/.301	.080	.257	3	0	14%	10%	76	+0.0
✕Paul DeJong 2022 · MLB	28	42→50	58→65	46→45	50	.229/.311/.429	.200	.262	27	7	25%	9%	109	+2.4	.208/.274/.386	.178	.258	25	6	30%	7%	83	+0.6	.223/.274/.393	.170	.292	24	5	32%	5%	83	+0.3
●Joey Gallo 2021 · MLB	27	39→34	67→70	44→45	54	.219/.331/.482	.263	.287	35	6	36%	14%	131	+3.9	.200/.328/.441	.241	.269	33	6	36%	15%	120	+3.1	.181/.316/.424	.243	.236	35	4	38%	16%	106	+1.6
✕Aristides Aquino 2022 · MLB	28	40	64→65	49→50	46	.228/.304/.463	.235	.273	34	10	30%	9%	115	+2.8	.214/.283/.394	.180	.307	23	8	36%	8%	89	+0.9	.199/.258/.376	.177	.288	24	6	39%	6%	69	-0.2
✕Gary Sánchez 2021 · MLB	28	33→43	64→65	43→45	49	.205/.295/.437	.232	.231	33	3	29%	10%	105	+2.1	.209/.298/.413	.204	.250	28	3	29%	10%	100	+1.7	.219/.305/.417	.199	.255	30	1	27%	9%	101	+0.8
✕Randal Grichuk 2020 · MLB	28	43→51	61→70	47→45	41	.238/.288/.467	.229	.279	30	5	27%	6%	110	+2.4	.244/.289/.435	.191	.283	25	4	23%	6%	102	+1.8	.251/.306/.434	.183	.285	20	1	20%	6%	103	+1.2
●Marcus Thames 2006 · MLB	29	47→46	62→70	45→40	48	.254/.322/.485	.231	.289	31	5	24%	8%	128	+3.7	.253/.314/.514	.261	.282	37	4	25%	8%	133	+4.0	.245/.304/.521	.275	.264	41	2	25%	7%	129	+2.1
★Matt Olson 2023 · MLB	29	44→54	63→70	46→40	57	.245/.338/.482	.238	.268	30	3	22%	12%	134	+4.1	.259/.353/.506	.247	.296	32	2	23%	12%	145	+4.9	.263/.361/.508	.245	.306	32	1	24%	12%	144	+5.6
●Jeff Liefer 2002 · MLB	27	47→52	64→60	43→30	47	.257/.317/.496	.239	.289	33	5	24%	8%	129	+3.7	.235/.294/.413	.178	.290	24	4	27%	8%	97	+1.5	.243/.293/.420	.177	.292	22	1	25%	6%	95	+0.6
✕Eric Munson 2006 · MLB	28	42→43	59→60	45→40	48	.233/.296/.438	.205	.254	29	4	22%	8%	105	+2.1	.224/.290/.390	.166	.254	21	4	21%	8%	90	+1.0	.209/.286/.342	.134	.246	14	1	21%	9%	74	-0.0
●Rhys Hoskins 2022 · MLB	29	44→52	61→60	43→45	59	.236/.347/.469	.233	.271	28	4	24%	13%	134	+4.1	.237/.324/.449	.212	.281	27	4	25%	11%	120	+3.1	.226/.317/.410	.184	.276	25	3	27%	11%	103	+1.7
★Max Muncy 2019 · MLB	28	47→46	58→65	45	57	.245/.346/.446	.201	.298	26	6	26%	13%	128	+3.6	.243/.360/.477	.234	.282	31	5	25%	14%	141	+4.6	.233/.359/.465	.232	.259	31	3	23%	15%	134	+3.2
✕Rougned Odor 2022 · MLB	28	36→46	60	40→50	45	.208/.282/.417	.209	.246	29	6	29%	8%	95	+1.4	.212/.287/.378	.166	.253	20	7	24%	8%	86	+0.8	.201/.278/.355	.154	.238	17	8	23%	8%	73	-0.1

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)