Angel Martínez
LF Cleveland Guardians| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | AAACLE | 249 | .274/.361/.456 | 7 | 5 | 92 | — | .247/.311/.386 |
| 2024 | 22 | MLBCLE | 169 | .232/.301/.338 | 3 | 3 | 79 | -0.1 | |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 81 | .243/.329/.400 | 1 | 3 | 92 | — | .312/.312/.469 |
| 2025 | 23 | MLBCLE | 484 | .224/.272/.359 | 11 | 8 | 74 | -0.7 | |
| 2026 | 24 | MLBCLE | 416 | .254/.291/.465 | 18 | 11 | 107 | 0.9 | |
| 2027PROJ | 25 | MLBCLE | 403 | .231/.276/.395 | 13 | 9 | 86 | -0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ82% MLB | 26 | MLBCLE | 337 | .230/.276/.395 | 11 | 8 | 86 | -0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ82% MLB | 27 | MLBCLE | 331 | .229/.275/.392 | 10 | 7 | 85 | -0.2 |
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 35
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Indians | — | 261 | 222 | 68 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 29 | 29 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 306 | 403 | 428 | 831 | 122 | 347 | 11 | 11 | 371 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 424 | 377 | 91 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 43 | 88 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 241 | 321 | 382 | 703 | 141 | 296 | 21 | 10 | 314 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 103 | 82 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 244 | 367 | 451 | 819 | 207 | 266 | 17 | 12 | 349 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ | Lake County Captains | — | 331 | 281 | 81 | 17 | 3 | 10 | 40 | 58 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 288 | 387 | 477 | 863 | 189 | 330 | 18 | 12 | 378 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | — | 85 | 73 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 260 | 349 | 342 | 692 | 82 | 283 | 15 | 11 | 312 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 154 | 142 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 36 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 268 | 320 | 401 | 722 | 134 | 340 | 23 | 6 | 321 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 437 | 383 | 94 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 37 | 83 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 245 | 325 | 392 | 716 | 146 | 282 | 19 | 8 | 316 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | — | 169 | 151 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 33 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 232 | 301 | 338 | 639 | 106 | 274 | 20 | 9 | 286 | 79 | -4 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 249 | 215 | 59 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 40 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 274 | 361 | 456 | 816 | 181 | 304 | 16 | 10 | 357 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | — | 484 | 446 | 100 | 23 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 110 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 224 | 272 | 359 | 630 | 135 | 271 | 23 | 5 | 277 | 74 | -15 | +1 | -5 | +2 | +10 | -0.7 |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 34 | 32 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 344 | 344 | 531 | 875 | 188 | 440 | 26 | 0 | 360 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | INTL | Estrellas Orientales | — | 47 | 38 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 158 | 319 | 289 | 609 | 132 | 192 | 23 | 13 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | — | 416 | 389 | 99 | 24 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 91 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 254 | 291 | 465 | 756 | 211 | 288 | 22 | 3 | 326 | 107 | +3 | +1 | -0 | -4 | +9 | 0.9 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 1069 | 986 | 234 | 54 | 4 | 32 | 51 | 234 | 13 | 22 | 6 | 237 | 284 | 398 | 681 | 160 | 278 | 22 | 5 | 297 | 87 | -16 | +2 | -7 | -1 | +23 | 0.1 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians | — | 261 | 230 | 44 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 21 | 35 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 191 | 279 | 252 | 531 | 61 | 222 | 13 | 8 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 424 | 390 | 78 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 119 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 200 | 259 | 313 | 572 | 113 | 264 | 28 | 7 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 103 | 85 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 235 | 337 | 435 | 772 | 200 | 254 | 22 | 9 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 331 | 292 | 74 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 72 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 253 | 331 | 394 | 725 | 140 | 308 | 22 | 9 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 154 | 145 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 43 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 241 | 281 | 345 | 626 | 103 | 323 | 28 | 5 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 437 | 392 | 91 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 104 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 232 | 297 | 365 | 662 | 133 | 274 | 24 | 6 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 169 | 151 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 33 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 232 | 301 | 338 | 639 | 106 | 274 | 20 | 9 | 285 | 79 | -4 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 249 | 223 | 55 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 51 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 247 | 311 | 386 | 697 | 139 | 287 | 20 | 7 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 484 | 446 | 100 | 23 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 110 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 224 | 272 | 359 | 630 | 135 | 271 | 23 | 5 | 277 | 74 | -15 | +1 | -5 | +2 | +10 | -0.7 |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 34 | 32 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 312 | 312 | 469 | 781 | 156 | 392 | 32 | 0 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 416 | 389 | 99 | 24 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 91 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 254 | 291 | 465 | 756 | 211 | 288 | 22 | 3 | 326 | 107 | +3 | +1 | -0 | -4 | +9 | 0.9 |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians | — | 261 | 230 | 44 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 21 | 35 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 191 | 279 | 252 | 531 | 61 | 224 | 13 | 8 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Indians | — | 261 | 222 | 68 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 29 | 29 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 306 | 403 | 428 | 831 | 122 | 347 | 11 | 11 | 371 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 424 | 390 | 78 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 119 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 200 | 259 | 313 | 572 | 113 | 270 | 28 | 7 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A RAW | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 424 | 377 | 91 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 43 | 88 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 241 | 321 | 382 | 703 | 141 | 296 | 21 | 10 | 314 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 519 | 451 | 114 | 25 | 5 | 12 | 46 | 114 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 253 | 335 | 410 | 746 | 157 | 307 | 22 | 9 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 519 | 436 | 120 | 23 | 4 | 15 | 61 | 89 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 275 | 377 | 450 | 826 | 174 | 310 | 17 | 12 | 362 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 591 | 538 | 126 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 146 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 234 | 291 | 359 | 650 | 125 | 296 | 25 | 6 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 591 | 525 | 132 | 23 | 5 | 14 | 47 | 119 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 251 | 324 | 394 | 718 | 143 | 297 | 20 | 8 | 317 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 418 | 374 | 90 | 21 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 84 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 241 | 307 | 366 | 674 | 126 | 286 | 20 | 8 | 296 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 418 | 366 | 94 | 23 | 1 | 10 | 40 | 73 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 257 | 337 | 407 | 744 | 150 | 292 | 17 | 10 | 328 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 565 | 520 | 120 | 30 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 132 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 231 | 278 | 369 | 647 | 138 | 283 | 23 | 4 | 280 | 76 | -16 | +1 | -5 | +2 | +12 | -0.6 |
| 2025 | 23 | MLB RAW | 3 teams | — | 565 | 516 | 117 | 31 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 130 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 227 | 280 | 364 | 644 | 138 | 276 | 23 | 5 | 283 | 76 | -16 | +1 | -5 | +2 | +12 | -0.6 |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 416 | 389 | 99 | 24 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 91 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 254 | 291 | 465 | 756 | 211 | 288 | 22 | 3 | 326 | 107 | +3 | +1 | -0 | -4 | +9 | 0.9 |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB RAW | Cleveland Guardians | — | 416 | 389 | 99 | 24 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 91 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 254 | 291 | 465 | 756 | 211 | 288 | 22 | 3 | 326 | 107 | +3 | +1 | -0 | -4 | +9 | 0.9 |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Indians | — | 261 | 231 | 44 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 21 | 35 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 190 | 279 | 251 | 530 | 61 | 222 | 13 | 8 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A MLE | Lynchburg Hillcats | — | 424 | 390 | 78 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 119 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 200 | 259 | 313 | 572 | 113 | 264 | 28 | 7 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 519 | 458 | 114 | 25 | 5 | 12 | 46 | 114 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 249 | 335 | 404 | 739 | 155 | 295 | 22 | 9 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 591 | 543 | 126 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 146 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 232 | 291 | 355 | 646 | 123 | 287 | 25 | 6 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 418 | 379 | 90 | 21 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 84 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 237 | 307 | 361 | 669 | 124 | 282 | 20 | 8 | 296 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 565 | 526 | 120 | 30 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 132 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 228 | 278 | 365 | 643 | 137 | 278 | 23 | 4 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 416 | 393 | 99 | 24 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 91 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 252 | 291 | 461 | 752 | 209 | 288 | 22 | 3 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 418 | 379 | 90 | 21 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 84 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 237 | 307 | 361 | 669 | 124 | 282 | 20 | 8 | 296 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 565 | 526 | 120 | 30 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 132 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 228 | 278 | 365 | 643 | 137 | 278 | 23 | 4 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 416 | 393 | 99 | 24 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 91 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 252 | 291 | 461 | 752 | 209 | 288 | 22 | 3 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | CLE | 100% | 486 | 455 | 105 | 24 | 3 | 15 | 21 | 107 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 230 | 276 | 396 | 671 | 165 | 266 | 22 | 4 | 295 | 86 | -8 | +1 | +0 | -5 | +11 | 0.3 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | CLE | 100% | 403 | 376 | 87 | 20 | 2 | 13 | 18 | 88 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 231 | 276 | 395 | 671 | 164 | 266 | 22 | 4 | 295 | 86 | -7 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +9 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | CLE | 82% | 411 | 384 | 88 | 20 | 2 | 13 | 18 | 90 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 230 | 276 | 395 | 671 | 165 | 265 | 22 | 4 | 295 | 86 | -7 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +9 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB MLE | CLE | 82% | 404 | 377 | 87 | 20 | 2 | 13 | 18 | 89 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 229 | 275 | 393 | 668 | 164 | 265 | 22 | 4 | 294 | 85 | -7 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +9 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB MLE | CLE | 82% | 396 | 370 | 84 | 19 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 88 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 228 | 273 | 389 | 662 | 161 | 264 | 22 | 5 | 292 | 83 | -8 | +1 | -1 | -4 | +9 | -0.3 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB MLE | CLE | 82% | 381 | 356 | 80 | 18 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 86 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 225 | 270 | 383 | 654 | 158 | 263 | 23 | 4 | 288 | 81 | -9 | +0 | -1 | -4 | +8 | -0.5 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB MLE | CLE | 82% | 366 | 342 | 77 | 17 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 84 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 223 | 267 | 376 | 643 | 153 | 262 | 23 | 4 | 284 | 78 | -10 | +0 | -2 | -4 | +8 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | CLE | 82% | 337 | 314 | 73 | 17 | 1 | 11 | 15 | 74 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 230 | 276 | 395 | 671 | 164 | 266 | 22 | 4 | 295 | 86 | -6 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +7 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB CTX | CLE | 82% | 331 | 308 | 70 | 16 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 73 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 229 | 275 | 392 | 667 | 163 | 265 | 22 | 5 | 294 | 85 | -6 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +7 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB CTX | CLE | 82% | 325 | 303 | 69 | 16 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 73 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 228 | 273 | 388 | 661 | 160 | 265 | 22 | 5 | 291 | 83 | -6 | +0 | -0 | -3 | +7 | -0.3 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB CTX | CLE | 82% | 312 | 291 | 65 | 15 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 71 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 226 | 271 | 383 | 653 | 157 | 264 | 23 | 4 | 288 | 81 | -7 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +7 | -0.4 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB CTX | CLE | 82% | 300 | 280 | 63 | 15 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 69 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 223 | 267 | 375 | 643 | 152 | 262 | 23 | 4 | 284 | 78 | -8 | +0 | -2 | -3 | +6 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2674 | 2482 | 574 | 133 | 9 | 81 | 123 | 594 | 35 | 51 | 14 | 231 | 277 | 390 | 667 | 159 | 270 | 22 | 5 | 293 | 82 | -49 | +5 | -10 | -18 | +58 | -1.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 603 | 139 | 32 | 2 | 20 | 30 | 144 | 9 | 12 | 3 | 231 | 277 | 390 | 667 | 159 | 269 | 22 | 5 | 293 | 82 | -12 | +1 | -2 | -4 | +14 | -0.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5555 | 5097 | 1174 | 257 | 37 | 141 | 306 | 1246 | 80 | 123 | 43 | 230 | 285 | 378 | 663 | 148 | 276 | 22 | 6 | 289 | 82 | -63 | +6 | -10 | -26 | +74 | -1.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 596 | 136 | 30 | 4 | 16 | 36 | 146 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 228 | 282 | 372 | 655 | 144 | 273 | 22 | 6 | 289 | 82 | -12 | +1 | -2 | -5 | +14 | -0.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AAAColumbus Clippers · 34 PAwOBA .371 → .322 (−49)K% 26.5% → 33.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.47% | ÷0.956 | ×1.200 | — | — | 33.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.014 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.74% | ÷0.997 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.050 | 21.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 26.09% | ÷1.064 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 21.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.042 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.093 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 99, 2B 113, 3B 108, K 91, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .371 → .322; ISO .188 → .152; BABIP .440 → .392. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAColumbus Clippers · 249 PAwOBA .351 → .304 (−47)K% 16.1% → 20.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.06% | ÷0.939 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.04% | ÷1.036 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 7.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.61% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.977 | ×0.930 | ×0.990 | ×1.050 | 19.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.14% | ÷0.985 | ×0.830 | ×0.990 | ×1.050 | 8.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.57% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.990 | ×1.050 | 0.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.00% | ÷1.060 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 2.77% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 95, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 88, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .351 → .304; ISO .181 → .144; BABIP .304 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAkron RubberDucks · 437 PAwOBA .312 → .283 (−28)K% 19.0% → 23.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.99% | ÷0.977 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.47% | ÷0.988 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 6.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.83% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.050 | 1.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.33% | ÷0.995 | ×0.970 | ×0.966 | ×1.050 | 21.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷0.933 | ×0.860 | ×0.966 | ×1.050 | 4.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.33% | ÷1.053 | ×0.950 | ×0.966 | ×1.050 | 1.22% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.67% | ÷0.909 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 3.30% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 99, 2B 87, 3B 111, K 95, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.
Result: wOBA .312 → .283; ISO .146 → .133; BABIP .282 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAColumbus Clippers · 154 PAwOBA .309 → .271 (−39)K% 23.4% → 27.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.38% | ÷1.008 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.84% | ÷0.994 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 4.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.65% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.53% | ÷0.963 | ×0.930 | ×0.977 | ×1.050 | 24.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.55% | ÷1.018 | ×0.830 | ×0.977 | ×1.050 | 6.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.94% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.977 | ×1.050 | 1.04% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.83% | ÷1.037 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 2.01% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 93, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 102, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.
Result: wOBA .309 → .271; ISO .134 → .105; BABIP .340 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Lake County Captains · 331 PAwOBA .370 → .319 (−50)K% 17.5% → 21.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.52% | ÷1.015 | ×1.270 | — | — | 21.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.78% | ÷0.975 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.042 | 8.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.51% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.042 | 1.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.87% | ÷0.983 | ×0.920 | ×1.003 | ×1.042 | 22.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.62% | ÷1.005 | ×0.810 | ×1.003 | ×1.042 | 6.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.35% | ÷0.970 | ×0.850 | ×1.003 | ×1.042 | 1.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.48% | ÷1.134 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 3.30% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 97, 2B 101, 3B 94, K 103, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .370 → .319; ISO .189 → .150; BABIP .330 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAkron RubberDucks · 103 PAwOBA .350 → .321 (−29)K% 17.5% → 22.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.48% | ÷0.969 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.65% | ÷0.995 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 8.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.88% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.050 | 3.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.62% | ÷1.052 | ×0.970 | ×0.988 | ×1.050 | 14.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.38% | ÷0.926 | ×0.860 | ×0.988 | ×1.050 | 9.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.56% | ÷0.980 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | ×1.050 | 1.57% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.69% | ÷1.014 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 3.79% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 110, 2B 85, 3B 96, K 94, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .350 → .321; ISO .207 → .195; BABIP .266 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ALynchburg Hillcats · 424 PAwOBA .307 → .249 (−58)K% 20.8% → 28.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.75% | ÷1.008 | ×1.360 | — | — | 28.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.91% | ÷1.024 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 6.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.24% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 0.19% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.07% | ÷1.014 | ×0.920 | ×0.972 | ×1.045 | 18.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.92% | ÷0.988 | ×0.830 | ×0.972 | ×1.045 | 5.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.08% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.972 | ×1.045 | 1.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.42% | ÷0.950 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 2.13% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 103, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 102, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.
Result: wOBA .307 → .249; ISO .141 → .114; BABIP .296 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 DSLDSL Indians · 261 PAwOBA .363 → .243 (−120)K% 11.1% → 13.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 13.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 7.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.68% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 1.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.91% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×0.950 | ×1.022 | 17.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.022 | 3.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.022 | 2.11% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.25% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .363 → .243; ISO .122 → .072; BABIP .347 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .