Willi Castro — OGILVIE

Willi CastroLF Colorado Rockies

Age 29 S/R 6'0" / 209 lbs MLB HR +30%H +12% Svc 6.099 · Ctrl thru 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION320 act + 213 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 9798vR 100

AVG/OBP/SLG.248 / .326 / .396

PA213

HR5

SB5

K%26

BB%8

BABIP322

ISO148

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

5410.6%

xwOBA

520.311

POWER45

Barrel%

386.6

Avg EV

2787.4

Bat Spd

4871.2

EYE45

Chase%

7227.5%

SPEED55

Sprint

7128.3

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1150 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

276

874

—

wRC+

▶R

wOBA

311

314

—

ISO

164

128

◀◀L

BABIP

298

310

▶R

23.2%

24.9%

◀L

BB%

5.4%

9.3%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2019

Service 6.099 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$3M	+0.7	$3M	+$0.3M
2027	Ext	$6M	+1.3	$10M	+$4M
Totals		$9M		$13M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	17	ROK	AZL Indians	—	170	157	29	4	2	1	4	48	4	9	4	185	224	255	479	70	259	28	2	205	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	17	ROK	AZL Indians	—	170	155	37	5	3	2	6	33	4	9	4	239	285	348	633	110	292	19	4	276	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	19	A	Lake County Captains	—	548	525	116	18	7	4	12	122	3	16	11	221	243	305	547	84	277	22	2	236	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	19	A	Lake County Captains	—	548	518	134	21	8	7	19	96	3	16	11	259	289	371	660	112	302	18	3	289	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	A+	2 teams	—	541	510	133	18	2	13	18	124	7	20	9	261	295	380	676	120	318	23	3	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	A+	2 teams	—	541	498	149	25	3	12	30	95	7	20	9	299	348	434	781	135	347	18	6	345	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	AA	3 teams	—	648	604	137	31	5	8	27	175	5	19	5	227	266	334	600	108	305	27	4	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	AA	3 teams	—	648	594	154	33	7	11	37	136	5	19	5	259	308	394	702	135	318	21	6	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	AAA	3 teams	—	729	664	170	34	8	15	36	175	16	18	5	256	310	399	709	143	321	24	5	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	AAA	3 teams	—	729	651	182	36	9	12	49	161	16	18	5	280	345	418	763	138	349	22	7	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	23	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	140	129	47	4	2	7	7	38	1	0	1	364	401	589	991	225	465	27	5	413	174	+12	-0	-2	+2	+4	1.5
2020	23	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	140	129	45	4	2	6	7	38	1	0	1	349	387	550	937	202	448	27	5	402	166	+10	-0	-2	+2	+4	1.4
2021	24	MLB	3 teams	—	504	463	109	19	6	11	25	119	10	12	4	235	289	374	663	138	292	24	5	286	77	-13	+1	+1	+2	+14	0.5
2021	24	MLB	3 teams	—	504	465	105	17	6	11	23	116	10	12	4	226	277	359	636	133	276	23	5	282	74	-15	+1	+1	+2	+14	0.3
2022	25	MLB	2 teams	—	428	400	100	21	2	9	16	94	8	12	5	250	292	380	672	130	303	22	4	292	81	-9	+0	+0	-5	+12	-0.1
2022	25	MLB	2 teams	—	428	399	97	20	2	8	17	92	8	12	5	243	288	363	651	120	295	21	4	290	80	-10	+0	+0	-5	+12	-0.2
2023	26	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	409	358	92	18	5	9	34	99	12	33	5	257	342	411	752	154	328	24	8	328	110	+4	+5	+2	-4	+12	1.9
2023	26	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	409	358	92	18	5	9	34	99	12	33	5	257	342	411	752	154	328	24	8	334	114	+6	+5	+2	-4	+12	2.1
2024	27	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	635	558	138	31	5	12	51	150	21	14	9	247	333	385	719	138	315	24	8	319	102	+2	-1	+2	+7	+18	2.8
2024	27	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	635	558	138	31	5	12	51	150	21	14	9	247	333	385	719	138	315	24	8	323	106	+4	-1	+2	+7	+18	3.1
2025	28	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	454	402	91	17	3	11	40	111	11	10	4	226	313	366	679	139	286	24	9	300	88	-6	+0	-7	+2	+13	0.2
2025	28	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	454	402	91	17	3	11	40	111	11	10	4	226	313	366	679	139	286	24	9	308	94	-3	+0	-7	+2	+13	0.5
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	29	MLB	COL	—	320	288	75	13	0	7	27	89	4	6	4	260	332	378	711	118	352	28	8	318	101	+0	-0	+1	+1	+9	1.2
YTD	29	MLB	COL	—	320	288	75	13	0	7	27	89	4	6	4	260	332	378	711	118	352	28	8	321	104	+1	-0	+1	+1	+9	1.3
ROS	29	MLB	COL	100%	213	189	47	9	2	5	18	55	4	5	2	248	326	396	723	148	314	26	8	315	99	-0	+0	-1	+1	+6	0.6
ROS	29	MLB	COL	100%	213	189	49	10	2	5	18	55	4	5	2	259	336	413	749	153	338	26	8	322	105	+1	+0	-1	+1	+6	0.7
FULL	29	MLB	COL	—	533	477	124	23	2	12	45	144	8	11	6	260	334	392	726	132	347	27	8	320	103	+2	-0	+0	+2	+15	1.9
TOT	29	MLB	COL	—	533	477	122	22	2	12	45	144	8	11	6	256	330	385	715	130	340	27	8	317	100	+0	-0	+0	+2	+15	1.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	COL	100%	622	552	130	24	5	13	53	163	12	14	5	236	316	368	684	132	306	26	9	308	94	-4	+1	-5	+2	+18	1.2
2027	30	MLB	COL	100%	622	552	141	27	5	16	53	163	12	14	5	255	334	409	743	154	330	26	9	315	99	-1	+1	-5	+2	+18	1.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3425	3066	758	146	31	77	247	841	79	94	35	247	320	390	710	143	314	25	7	313	98	-9	+5	-10	+14	+97	9.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	145	28	6	15	47	160	15	18	7	249	321	395	717	146	316	25	7	313	98	-2	+1	-2	+3	+18	1.8
Career	—			—	6041	5511	1339	248	54	118	341	1473	114	182	69	243	301	372	672	129	308	24	6	293	83	-119	+9	-10	+20	+171	7.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	145	27	6	13	37	158	12	20	7	245	302	376	678	132	310	24	6	293	83	-13	+1	-1	+2	+18	0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	17	ROK	AZL Indians	—	170	155	37	5	3	2	6	33	4	9	4	239	285	348	633	110	292	19	4	276	70	-6	+0	—	—	+5	-0.1
2016	19	A	Lake County Captains	—	548	518	134	21	8	7	19	96	3	16	11	259	289	371	660	112	302	18	3	289	80	-13	-1	—	—	+16	0.2
2017	20	A+	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	510	469	136	24	3	11	28	90	7	19	9	290	339	424	764	134	336	18	5	337	116	+9	+0	—	—	+14	2.4
2017	20	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	31	29	13	1	0	1	2	5	0	1	0	448	484	586	1.070	138	522	16	6	475	221	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2018	21	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	21	21	6	0	0	0	0	5	0	1	0	286	286	286	571		375	24	0	259	56	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2018	21	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	524	476	125	29	4	9	34	109	4	17	5	263	317	397	714	134	323	21	6	313	98	-1	+1	—	—	+15	1.5
2018	21	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	103	97	23	4	3	2	3	22	1	1	0	237	267	402	669	165	284	21	3	288	78	-3	+0	—	—	+3	0.1
2019	22	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	110	100	23	6	1	1	6	34	2	0	1	230	287	340	627	110	333	31	5	278	71	-4	-0	-1	+8	+3	0.6
2019	22	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	525	465	140	28	8	11	37	110	14	17	4	301	370	467	837	166	369	21	7	366	138	+23	+2	—	—	+15	4.0
2019	22	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	94	86	19	2	0	0	6	17	0	1	0	221	272	244	516	23	268	18	6	236	38	-7	+0	—	—	+3	-0.4
2020	23	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	140	129	45	4	2	6	7	38	1	0	1	349	387	550	937	202	448	27	5	402	166	+10	-0	-2	+2	+4	1.4
2021	24	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	450	413	91	15	6	9	23	109	8	9	4	220	275	351	626	131	275	24	5	277	70	-15	+0	+1	+2	+13	0.1
2021	24	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	23	23	9	2	0	1	0	2	0	2	0	391	391	609	1.000	217	400	9	0	438	193	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2021	24	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	31	29	5	0	0	1	0	5	2	1	0	172	226	276	502	103	174	16	0	231	35	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	25	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	392	365	88	18	2	8	15	82	8	9	4	241	286	367	653	126	288	21	4	290	80	-9	+0	+0	-5	+11	-0.2
2022	25	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	36	34	9	2	0	0	2	10	0	3	1	265	306	324	629	59	375	28	6	286	77	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2023	26	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	409	358	92	18	5	9	34	99	12	33	5	257	342	411	752	154	328	24	8	334	114	+6	+5	+2	-4	+12	2.1
2024	27	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	635	558	138	31	5	12	51	150	21	14	9	247	333	385	719	138	315	24	8	323	106	+4	-1	+2	+7	+18	3.1
2025	28	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	454	402	91	17	3	11	40	111	11	10	4	226	313	366	679	139	286	24	9	308	94	-3	+0	-7	+2	+13	0.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2590	2325	568	109	24	56	176	623	63	75	28	244	315	384	699	140	308	24	7	312	97	-10	+4	-4	+11	+73	7.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cameron Maybinlast yr '20 ASSS career totals — 13 seasons, 4,182 PA	13	4,182	72	182	254	322	375	+9	+6	13.1	12.8
	/162	664	11	29	254	322	375	+1.4	+1.0	2.1	pk7: 13
#2Kevin Pillarlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,353 PA	11	4,353	114	108	256	294	407	+9	+16	12.6	12.4
	/162	664	17	16	256	294	407	+1.4	+2.5	1.9	pk7: 12
#3Marwin Gonzalezlast yr '22 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,882 PA	11	3,882	107	44	252	310	399	-10	+17	10.9	10.9
	/162	664	18	8	252	310	399	-1.6	+2.8	1.9	pk7: 11
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	4,061	88	110	244	314	382	+6	+0	10.0	9.8
	/162	664	14	18	244	314	382	+0.9	+0.0	1.6	pk7: 10
#4Logan Forsythelast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,502 PA	9	3,502	70	42	246	327	370	+5	-11	8.6	9.2
	/162	664	13	8	246	327	370	+0.9	-2.2	1.6	pk7: 10
#5Manuel Margotlast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,154 PA	8	3,154	56	94	254	307	380	-5	+27	8.4	8.8
	/162	664	12	20	254	307	380	-1.1	+5.6	1.8	pk7: 9
#6Damion Easleylast yr '08 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,995 PA	9	2,995	77	33	247	323	396	-2	-15	7.8	8.3
	/162	664	17	7	247	323	396	-0.5	-3.3	1.7	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Willi Castro (OGILVIE)	29	45	45	55	45	256/330/385	130	340	12	11	27%	8%	100	+1.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Phillip Ervin 2021 · MLB	29	47→50	47→50	49→55	48	234/310/381	147	295	14	13	25%	8%	95	+1.4	204/279/332	128	279	15	16	30%	9%	70	-0.3	158/235/263	105	215	15	21	33%	9%	31	-1.3
✕Cooper Hummel 2023 · MLB	28	45→49	49→50	48→55	53	226/316/384	158	294	16	10	27%	11%	99	+1.7	225/326/370	145	307	12	18	28%	12%	100	+1.7	222/332/370	148	300	12	19	27%	12%	99	+1.1
✕George Lombard 2005 · MLB	29	47→44	47→50	55	45	237/295/377	140	297	15	17	25%	7%	88	+0.9	228/299/385	157	314	17	23	31%	8%	92	+1.2	220/293/373	153	305	17	27	32%	8%	84	+0.4
●Abraham Almonte 2018 · MLB	29	51→55	44→55	56→55	49	245/304/380	135	300	9	15	21%	8%	92	+1.2	215/294/369	154	267	14	12	24%	10%	85	+0.7	227/326/416	190	273	22	11	24%	13%	108	+1.4
✕Skye Bolt 2023 · MLB	29	46→39	51→50	54→50	43	236/295/396	160	293	20	14	26%	6%	93	+1.3	232/300/353	121	326	12	10	30%	8%	84	+0.6	229/307/327	97	339	8	5	32%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Ehire Adrianza 2019 · MLB	29	50→49	44→50	49→50	47	246/300/373	127	294	11	11	20%	7%	89	+0.9	243/316/374	131	294	11	6	20%	9%	96	+1.5	241/326/373	132	289	11	1	19%	10%	97	+0.5
✕Jonathan Davis 2021 · MLB	29	46→52	46→45	54→55	45	227/308/358	131	295	12	19	26%	7%	89	+1.0	216/308/331	115	293	11	23	28%	9%	82	+0.5	224/306/341	117	313	11	22	29%	9%	81	+0.2
✕Collin Cowgill 2015 · MLB	29	49→56	45→50	51→55	46	241/304/362	121	303	13	10	24%	7%	88	+0.9	216/273/318	102	285	10	10	26%	6%	63	-0.8	182/252/318	136	245	17	9	32%	7%	53	-0.7
✕Tyler Neslony 2023 · AAA	29	53→47	50→55	51→55	44	259/312/429	170	333	15	17	26%	7%	108	+2.3	221/276/341	120	304	12	19	29%	7%	71	-0.3	195/255/293	98	273	10	22	31%	7%	47	-0.9
✕Drew Ferguson 2021 · AAA	28	50→49	44→45	54→55	48	240/322/359	120	321	12	21	27%	9%	95	+1.4	213/282/319	106	334	10	21	36%	8%	68	-0.5	147/237/187	40	274	4	35	43%	11%	12	-0.8
✕BJ Boyd 2022 · AAA	29	49→56	49→45	56→50	42	249/296/395	146	309	17	13	25%	5%	93	+1.3	259/317/404	145	308	15	12	20%	7%	104	+2.0	289/354/441	153	330	14	10	16%	8%	125	+1.7
✕Dan Black 2016 · AAA	29	49→52	47→50	47→45	48	244/311/380	137	310	15	5	26%	9%	95	+1.4	234/295/344	110	308	12	7	26%	8%	79	+0.3	228/291/310	81	302	10	3	26%	8%	68	-0.3
✕Bobby Scales 2008 · AAA	30	53→57	46→50	53→50	44	254/311/393	140	329	11	11	26%	7%	98	+1.6	252/323/386	134	320	12	10	24%	8%	102	+1.8	248/329/380	132	311	12	8	23%	9%	100	+1.4
●Moisés Sierra 2018 · AAA	29	54→55	44→50	52→50	43	259/309/378	119	324	11	17	23%	6%	94	+1.3	246/312/378	132	300	14	13	22%	7%	95	+1.4	244/319/376	132	292	15	12	21%	8%	96	+1.0
✕Josh Rojas 2023 · MLB	29	53→54	45→50	53→55	54	255/333/381	126	315	11	18	22%	10%	105	+2.1	236/306/347	111	297	10	16	22%	9%	85	+0.7	221/291/320	99	280	9	15	23%	9%	69	-0.2
✕Reid Gorecki 2010 · MLB	29	50→51	45→50	52→55	44	248/298/378	130	304	12	19	23%	6%	89	+1.0	225/281/339	114	291	9	18	25%	7%	72	-0.2	210/272/307	98	277	6	22	25%	7%	56	-1.0
✕Niko Goodrum 2022 · MLB	30	45→54	49→55	53→55	46	224/298/374	150	315	16	19	32%	9%	89	+1.0	229/321/362	133	325	14	15	31%	12%	95	+1.4	235/336/360	125	330	13	14	29%	13%	98	+0.6
✕Todd Linden 2008 · MLB	28	51→53	47→55	53→45	48	245/322/386	141	327	14	10	28%	9%	102	+1.8	252/321/402	150	345	15	8	29%	8%	105	+2.1	248/314/406	158	338	16	5	30%	8%	99	+1.2
✕Xavier Paul 2014 · MLB	29	52→58	47→45	48→55	49	254/317/395	141	310	14	13	22%	8%	102	+1.8	208/263/332	124	277	14	6	29%	6%	63	-0.8	164/211/257	94	234	12	1	35%	5%	19	-2.3
✕Jason Conti 2002 · MLB	27	49→41	47→45	56→50	46	237/304/380	143	315	13	13	28%	8%	92	+1.2	239/298/371	132	310	11	9	25%	7%	87	+0.8	220/270/333	113	288	10	6	27%	6%	63	-0.4