Nick Loftin — OGILVIE

Nick Loftin2B Kansas City Royals

Age 27 R/R 5'11" / 180 lbs MLB HR -15%K -8% Svc 1.471 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION436 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 10097vR 89

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%11

BB%11

BABIP264

ISO123

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$5M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

903.4%

xAVG

190.226

POWER40

Barrel%

214.5

Avg EV

1686.5

Bat Spd

4070.3

EYE60

Chase%

9012.6%

SPEED60

Sprint

6628.1

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%22%▼▼26% over 100 PA (30d) · proj 17%

BB%10%·10% over 147 PA (45d) · proj 10%

ISO.124·.124 over 169 AB (60d) · proj .123xISO .107 vs .110 prior

HR/BB2.5%·2.4% over 127 BBE (60d) · proj 2.6%barrel% 4.2% vs 4.8% prior

BABIP.262·.274 over 124 BIP (60d) · proj .260xBABIP .243 vs .270 prior

SLASH.211/.298/.335▼proj .229/.311/.351

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 359 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

120

239

—

wRC+

◀◀L

wOBA

275

258

◀L

ISO

103

099

◀L

BABIP

218

220

—

14.2%

—

BB%

8.3%

9.6%

▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2023

Service 1.471 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.1M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.3M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$2M
2028	Arb-1	$2M	+0.5	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	410	356	103	22	5	10	42	60	7	11	2	289	375	463	839	174	323	15	10	369	136	+18	+1	—	—	+9	2.8
2022	23	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	168	153	33	7	0	5	10	41	4	5	2	216	281	359	641	144	259	24	6	288	81	-4	+0	—	—	+4	-0.0
2022	23	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	425	363	98	17	1	12	45	57	5	24	4	270	357	421	779	152	288	13	11	341	117	+9	+3	—	—	+9	2.1
2023	24	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	68	62	20	5	1	0	4	12	1	2	0	323	373	435	809	113	392	18	6	356	127	+2	+0	-0	+2	+1	0.6
2023	24	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	358	315	85	13	0	14	34	47	4	6	4	270	348	444	793	175	274	13	9	349	122	+10	-0	—	—	+8	1.7
2023	24	ROK	ACL Royals	—	26	17	8	1	0	1	6	4	2	1	0	471	640	706	1.346	235	538	15	23	556	262	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
2024	25	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	171	148	28	4	0	1	19	24	1	1	0	189	286	236	522	47	216	14	11	246	52	-10	+0	+2	+2	+4	-0.2
2024	25	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	254	212	64	13	0	7	37	37	3	4	2	302	413	462	875	160	335	15	15	390	150	+15	+0	—	—	+6	2.1
2025	26	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	188	168	35	9	2	4	14	27	3	1	1	208	281	357	638	149	223	14	7	283	78	-5	-0	+1	-4	+4	-0.4
2025	26	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	197	152	46	12	0	4	39	24	3	12	1	303	454	461	914	158	331	12	20	408	162	+15	+2	—	—	+4	2.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	427	378	83	18	3	5	37	63	5	4	1	220	298	323	620	103	248	15	9	280	75	-12	+0	+3	-1	+9	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	410	368	85	18	4	8	30	80	7	11	2	231	301	367	668	136	267	20	7	289	82	-9	+1	—	—	+9	0.1
2022	23	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	168	156	26	5	0	3	7	51	4	5	2	167	222	256	478	90	223	30	4	218	34	-13	+0	—	—	+4	-1.0
2022	23	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	425	378	93	15	1	11	31	71	5	24	4	246	312	378	690	132	262	17	7	297	87	-7	+3	—	—	+9	0.6
2023	24	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	68	62	20	5	1	0	4	12	1	2	0	323	373	435	809	113	392	18	6	355	126	+2	+0	-0	+2	+1	0.5
2023	24	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	358	326	80	11	0	11	23	57	4	6	4	245	303	380	683	135	256	16	6	296	86	-6	-0	—	—	+8	0.2
2023	24	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	26	19	8	1	0	1	4	6	2	1	0	421	560	632	1.192	211	420	23	15	454	193	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2024	25	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	171	148	28	4	0	1	19	24	1	1	0	189	286	236	522	47	216	14	11	246	52	-10	+0	+2	+2	+4	-0.2
2024	25	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	254	225	59	12	0	5	24	45	3	4	2	262	341	382	723	120	298	18	9	314	99	-0	+0	—	—	+6	0.5
2025	26	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	188	168	35	9	2	4	14	27	3	1	1	208	281	357	638	149	223	14	7	284	79	-5	-0	+1	-4	+4	-0.4
2025	26	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	197	162	39	10	0	3	29	29	3	12	1	241	366	358	724	117	260	15	15	324	105	+1	+2	—	—	+4	0.8
2021	22	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	410	368	85	18	4	8	30	80	7	11	2	231	301	367	668	136	273	20	7	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	410	356	103	22	5	10	42	60	7	11	2	289	375	463	839	174	323	15	10	369	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	593	535	119	20	1	14	37	122	9	29	6	222	284	342	626	120	259	21	6	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	593	516	131	24	1	17	55	98	9	29	6	254	336	403	739	149	280	17	9	326	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	452	407	107	17	1	12	31	74	7	9	4	263	326	398	724	135	290	16	7	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	452	394	113	19	1	15	44	63	7	9	4	287	369	454	823	168	303	14	10	362	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	425	373	87	16	0	6	43	69	4	5	2	233	319	324	643	91	268	16	10	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	425	360	92	17	0	8	56	61	4	5	2	256	362	369	731	114	285	14	13	332	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	385	330	74	19	2	7	43	56	6	13	2	224	325	358	682	133	246	15	11	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	385	320	81	21	2	8	53	51	6	13	2	253	369	406	776	153	274	13	14	347	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	410	370	85	18	4	8	30	80	7	11	2	230	301	365	666	135	267	20	7	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	593	542	119	20	1	14	37	122	9	29	6	220	284	338	622	118	251	21	6	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	452	411	107	17	1	12	31	74	7	9	4	260	326	394	720	134	286	16	7	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	425	375	87	16	0	6	43	69	4	5	2	232	319	323	642	91	265	16	10	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	385	333	74	19	2	7	43	56	6	13	2	222	325	354	679	132	242	15	11	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	452	411	107	17	1	12	31	74	7	9	4	260	326	394	720	134	286	16	7	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	425	375	87	16	0	6	43	69	4	5	2	232	319	323	642	91	265	16	10	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	385	333	74	19	2	7	43	56	6	13	2	222	325	354	679	132	242	15	11	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	MLB MLE	KC	—	436	378	92	27	4	8	40	73	9	4	1	243	330	399	730	156	278	17	9	315	99	-0	+0	-2	+2	+9	0.9
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	27	MLB RAW	KC	—	397	344	80	25	2	7	39	69	6	3	1	233	321	378	699	145	268	17	10	310	99	-0	+0	-2	+2	+9	0.8
YTD	27	AAA RAW	KC	—	39	33	10	1	2	0	2	3	3	1	0	303	395	455	849	152	323	8	5	370	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	MLB RAW	KC	—	397	344	80	25	2	7	39	69	6	3	1	233	321	378	699	145	268	17	10	310	96	-2	+0	-2	+1	+9	0.7
ROS	27	MLB MLE	KC	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		267	11	11	312	97	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
ROS	27	MLB CTX	KC	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		264	11	11	295	97	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	27	MLB A+C	KC	—	406	352	81	25	2	7	40	70	6	3	1	230	319	372	691	142	265	17	10	310	99	-0	+0	-2	+1	+9	0.8
TOT	27	MLB MLE	KC	—	445	386	93	27	4	8	41	74	9	4	1	241	328	394	722	153	275	17	9	315	99	-0	+0	-2	+2	+10	1.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	KC	65%	435	384	89	23	3	8	41	73	7	6	1	232	317	370	687	138	264	17	9	307	94	-3	+1	+0	+2	+9	0.9
2028	29	MLB MLE	KC	65%	426	375	85	22	2	7	41	72	7	5	1	227	314	352	666	125	263	17	10	305	93	-4	+1	-0	+2	+9	0.7
2029	30	MLB MLE	KC	65%	418	368	84	22	2	7	40	72	7	5	1	228	316	356	672	128	261	17	10	302	91	-5	+1	-1	+1	+9	0.5
2027	28	MLB CTX	KC	65%	283	249	57	14	2	5	27	47	5	4	1	229	317	361	678	133	261	17	10	290	94	-2	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.6
2028	29	MLB CTX	KC	65%	277	243	55	14	2	4	27	47	5	3	1	226	316	350	666	123	260	17	10	288	93	-2	+0	-0	+1	+6	0.5
2029	30	MLB CTX	KC	65%	272	240	54	14	2	4	26	47	4	3	1	225	311	350	661	125	258	17	10	285	91	-3	+0	-1	+1	+6	0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1268	1118	250	60	9	18	118	205	19	14	4	224	308	342	650	118	257	16	9	285	87	-20	+1	+2	+2	+27	1.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	129	31	5	9	60	105	10	7	2	225	309	344	653	119	259	16	9	285	87	-10	+1	+1	+1	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	3553	3148	731	157	15	69	307	619	54	83	19	232	311	357	669	125	266	17	9	297	87	-24	+2	+2	+4	+37	2.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	135	29	3	13	56	113	10	15	3	234	313	363	676	128	268	17	9	297	87	-9	+1	+1	+1	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.0	2,005	33	23	228	309	354	-5	+0	2.2	2.4
/162	664	11	8	-1.6	+0.1	0.7	pk7: 3
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nick Loftin (OGILVIE)	27	45	40	60	60	233/318/370	138	267	6	5	17%	9%	97	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Ha-Seong Kim 2023 · MLB	27	49→53	46→50	53→60	51	240/311/377	137	280	13	12	19%	8%	95	+1.0	245/331/377	132	286	14	25	18%	11%	103	+1.5	240/333/364	124	279	14	31	18%	12%	98	+0.9
✕Mark Mathias 2022 · MLB	27	47→46	45→50	52→50	45	232/289/358	126	289	11	14	23%	6%	82	+0.0	250/329/390	140	343	16	18	29%	10%	105	+1.7	250/337/379	129	345	16	20	29%	10%	104	+0.8
✕Jeff Salazar 2008 · MLB	27	48→51	44→50	54→55	52	234/303/365	131	276	10	16	19%	9%	89	+0.5	227/293/349	122	272	11	17	20%	8%	82	-0.0	213/276/317	104	255	11	21	21%	7%	66	-0.7
✕Carlos Sosa 2007 · AAA	26	48	43→45	53→50	48	233/302/343	111	274	10	15	19%	7%	84	+0.2	241/303/339	98	274	9	13	15%	7%	84	+0.1	250/314/346	97	274	8	13	11%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Zelous Wheeler 2014 · AAA	27	49→53	45	48→45	47	240/301/363	123	282	12	7	20%	7%	88	+0.5	238/293/360	122	291	12	6	22%	6%	84	+0.2	238/292/357	119	292	11	1	22%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Jimmy Herron 2023 · AAA	27	43→45	47→45	53→55	49	218/294/356	138	264	15	16	23%	8%	84	+0.2	221/293/346	125	274	14	24	24%	8%	82	-0.0	215/286/326	111	267	12	28	23%	8%	73	-0.5
✕Joey Rickard 2019 · MLB	28	48→58	44→45	50→55	46	235/293/355	120	284	12	11	21%	7%	84	+0.1	242/311/388	146	300	14	9	23%	8%	98	+1.2	245/320/399	154	306	14	6	23%	8%	101	+1.1
✕Adam Everett 2004 · MLB	27	50→53	44→45	54→50	50	242/309/359	118	273	11	12	16%	7%	91	+0.6	247/296/362	115	278	11	16	15%	5%	86	+0.3	243/289/353	110	273	9	16	14%	5%	78	-0.3
✕Pablo Ozuna 2003 · MLB	28	50	45→40	51→55	49	245/297/374	129	262	11	12	12%	6%	88	+0.5	240/299/347	107	270	9	20	14%	6%	84	+0.1	288/324/385	97	318	4	16	10%	3%	98	+0.3
✕Vinny Capra 2023 · AAA	27	52→48	46→45	50	47	252/314/382	130	315	13	10	24%	8%	97	+1.1	231/297/325	94	292	8	11	22%	8%	78	-0.3	218/286/308	91	279	8	12	24%	7%	68	-0.6
✕Óscar Mercado 2022 · MLB	27	44→52	47→50	55→60	49	219/288/360	141	253	14	20	20%	8%	83	+0.1	221/284/368	147	261	15	23	21%	7%	84	+0.1	214/274/365	151	250	16	28	22%	6%	77	-0.2
✕Kramer Robertson 2022 · AAA	27	44→51	44→40	51→55	50	217/299/336	119	268	11	13	23%	9%	82	+0.0	205/307/292	87	273	8	22	25%	10%	76	-0.4	189/303/255	65	260	6	26	26%	11%	64	-1.1
✕Jeff Corsaletti 2010 · AAA	27	47→52	41→45	49→50	53	227/301/333	106	268	8	10	18%	9%	81	-0.1	229/303/332	103	277	9	10	19%	9%	82	-0.0	240/326/326	86	290	9	9	19%	11%	86	+0.1
✕Adam Rosales 2010 · MLB	27	48	46→55	51→45	47	235/299/374	138	278	12	8	20%	6%	91	+0.6	234/291/359	125	284	13	6	22%	7%	84	+0.1	230/302/383	153	299	17	10	28%	8%	89	+0.3
●Jonah Bride 2023 · MLB	27	49→50	46→50	49→45	55	240/334/371	131	281	13	4	19%	10%	103	+1.5	240/334/381	141	287	15	5	21%	11%	105	+1.7	236/334/372	137	285	15	3	21%	12%	100	+1.0
✕Stuart Fairchild 2022 · MLB	26	45→42	49→50	52→55	46	225/296/377	152	281	16	12	25%	8%	90	+0.6	223/302/373	150	297	16	17	29%	8%	92	+0.7	218/314/364	146	281	15	27	26%	9%	91	+0.4
✕Alex Call 2022 · AAA	27	43→48	46→50	48→50	48	218/284/345	127	257	14	14	21%	8%	78	-0.3	226/320/367	141	263	15	15	19%	11%	97	+1.1	238/341/359	122	289	11	12	20%	12%	103	+0.8
✕Nate Spears 2012 · AAA	27	44→54	44→45	53→50	51	217/291/335	118	256	11	12	20%	8%	78	-0.3	209/277/313	104	274	9	10	25%	8%	68	-1.0	202/267/295	93	272	7	8	27%	8%	58	-0.8
✕Jake Smolinski 2015 · MLB	26	47→50	43→55	50→45	48	229/296/345	116	280	10	9	22%	8%	82	+0.0	235/297/383	148	268	16	7	19%	7%	92	+0.7	229/294/391	162	256	20	6	19%	7%	90	+0.3
✕Eric Fryer 2014 · MLB	28	43→53	42→45	54→50	49	212/286/321	110	268	9	12	24%	8%	74	-0.6	230/294/317	87	301	6	10	24%	8%	74	-0.5	245/306/306	62	322	2	6	23%	8%	73	-0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps