Nick Loftin — OGILVIE

Nick LoftinLF Kansas City Royals

Age 27 R/R 5'11" / 180 lbs MLB HR -6% Svc 1.471 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION244 act + 162 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 7773vR 63

AVG/OBP/SLG.230 / .315 / .362

PA162

HR3

K%15

BB%9

BABIP255

ISO132

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

904.5%

xwOBA

430.300

POWER40

Barrel%

254.9

Avg EV

1986.7

Bat Spd

4070.3

EYE60

Chase%

9016.9%

SPEED60

Sprint

6628.1

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 359 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

120

239

—

wRC+

◀◀L

wOBA

275

258

◀L

ISO

103

099

◀L

BABIP

218

220

—

14.2%

—

BB%

8.3%

9.6%

▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2023

Service 1.471 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.5	$11M	+$10M
2028	Arb-1	$3M	+1.4	$10M	+$7M
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$4M		$23M	+$20M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	410	368	82	18	4	8	30	79	7	11	2	223	294	359	653	136	261	19	7	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	410	356	103	22	5	10	42	60	7	11	2	289	375	463	839	174	323	15	10	369	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	2 teams	—	593	535	122	20	1	18	37	129	9	29	6	228	289	370	659	142	264	22	6	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	2 teams	—	593	516	131	24	1	17	55	98	9	29	6	254	336	403	739	149	280	17	9	326	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA	3 teams	—	452	408	112	17	1	15	30	75	7	9	4	275	335	431	766	157	298	17	7	330	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA	3 teams	—	452	394	113	19	1	15	44	63	7	9	4	287	369	454	823	168	303	14	10	362	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	2 teams	—	425	374	87	16	0	6	42	71	4	5	2	233	317	324	640	91	269	17	10	288	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	2 teams	—	425	360	92	17	0	8	56	61	4	5	2	256	362	369	731	114	285	14	13	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	2 teams	—	385	328	72	19	2	8	45	55	6	13	2	220	325	363	687	143	237	14	12	306	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	2 teams	—	385	320	81	21	2	8	53	51	6	13	2	253	369	406	776	153	274	13	14	347	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	MLB	KC	—	244	209	53	16	3	4	22	30	8	2	0	254	347	416	764	163	274	12	9	332	112	+3	+0	-2	+1	+7	1.0
YTD	27	MLB	KC	—	244	208	53	16	3	4	23	29	8	2	0	255	351	418	770	163	274	12	9	339	118	+5	+0	-2	+1	+7	1.2
ROS	27	MLB	KC	100%	162	143	33	8	1	3	15	24	3	3	0	230	315	362	677	132	265	15	9	318	101	+0	+1	+1	+1	+5	0.7
ROS	27	MLB	KC	100%	163	144	33	8	1	3	15	24	3	3	0	229	315	361	676	132	262	15	9	299	87	-2	+1	+1	+1	+5	0.4
FULL	27	MLB	KC	—	407	353	86	24	4	7	37	54	11	5	0	244	334	394	728	150	266	13	9	319	102	+1	+1	-1	+1	+12	1.4
TOT	27	MLB	KC	—	406	352	86	24	4	7	37	54	11	5	0	244	334	394	729	150	266	13	9	326	108	+4	+1	-1	+1	+12	1.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	KC	82%	435	381	90	22	3	8	42	65	9	6	1	236	326	373	699	136	261	15	10	314	98	-1	+1	+1	+2	+12	1.5
2028	29	MLB	KC	82%	426	373	87	21	3	8	41	65	9	6	1	233	324	370	694	137	260	15	10	312	97	-2	+1	-0	+2	+12	1.3
2027	28	MLB	KC	82%	357	313	73	18	2	7	34	54	7	5	1	233	322	371	693	137	258	15	10	295	84	-6	+1	+1	+1	+10	0.6
2028	29	MLB	KC	82%	349	305	70	17	2	6	34	53	7	5	1	230	321	357	678	128	257	15	10	293	83	-7	+1	-0	+1	+10	0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1296	1140	259	61	8	21	120	194	22	17	3	227	313	350	663	123	255	15	9	290	80	-29	+2	+4	+2	+37	1.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	131	31	4	11	60	97	11	9	2	229	314	355	669	126	256	15	9	290	80	-15	+1	+2	+1	+18	0.8
Career	—			—	3288	2910	685	141	15	74	282	563	54	82	18	235	314	370	685	135	265	17	9	303	90	-37	+9	+4	+6	+93	7.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	136	28	3	15	56	111	11	16	4	237	317	374	691	137	266	17	9	303	90	-7	+2	+1	+1	+18	1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	410	356	103	22	5	10	42	60	7	11	2	289	375	463	839	174	323	15	10	369	141	+19	+1	—	—	+12	3.2
2022	23	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	168	153	33	7	0	5	10	41	4	5	2	216	281	359	641	144	259	24	6	288	78	-4	+0	—	—	+5	0.1
2022	23	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	425	363	98	17	1	12	45	57	5	24	4	270	357	421	779	152	288	13	11	341	119	+9	+3	—	—	+12	2.5
2023	24	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	68	62	20	5	1	0	4	12	1	2	0	323	373	435	809	113	392	18	6	356	131	+2	+0	-0	+2	+2	0.6
2023	24	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	358	315	85	13	0	14	34	47	4	6	4	270	348	444	793	175	274	13	9	349	125	+10	-0	—	—	+10	2.0
2023	24	ROK	ACL Royals	—	26	17	8	1	0	1	6	4	2	1	0	471	640	706	1.346	235	538	15	23	556	283	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
2024	25	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	171	148	28	4	0	1	19	24	1	1	0	189	286	236	522	47	216	14	11	246	46	-10	+0	+2	+2	+5	-0.2
2024	25	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	254	212	64	13	0	7	37	37	3	4	2	302	413	462	875	160	335	15	15	390	157	+16	+0	—	—	+7	2.4
2025	26	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	188	168	35	9	2	4	14	27	3	1	1	208	281	357	638	149	223	14	7	283	75	-5	-0	+1	-4	+5	-0.3
2025	26	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	197	152	46	12	0	4	39	24	3	12	1	303	454	461	914	158	331	12	20	408	170	+16	+2	—	—	+6	2.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	427	378	83	18	3	5	37	63	5	4	1	220	298	323	620	103	248	15	9	280	72	-13	+0	+3	-1	+12	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	10	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
	/162	664	10	19	228	318	337	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Ehire Adrianzalast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,519 PA	9	1,519	20	19	240	310	353	+10	+13	4.0	4.4
	/162	664	9	8	240	310	353	+4.2	+5.5	1.8	pk7: 5
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#6Chris Woodwardlast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,835 PA	9	1,835	33	9	242	299	370	+2	-0	2.2	2.7
	/162	664	12	3	242	299	370	+0.6	-0.0	0.8	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	1,688	30	22	231	314	361	-4	+0	2.5	2.5
	/162	664	12	9	231	314	361	-1.6	+0.2	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nick Loftin (OGILVIE)	27	45	40	60	60	244/334/394	150	266	7	5	13%	9%	108	+1.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cole Gillespie 2011 · MLB	27	47→57	46→50	52→50	48	229/298/367	138	289	12	14	25%	8%	86	+0.8	226/296/347	121	288	11	15	24%	8%	81	+0.4	256/320/365	109	307	9	13	19%	8%	94	+0.7
✕Pablo Ozuna 2003 · MLB	28	50	45→40	51→55	49	245/297/374	129	262	11	12	12%	6%	87	+0.8	240/299/347	107	270	9	20	14%	6%	82	+0.5	288/324/385	97	318	4	16	10%	3%	98	+0.4
✕Tim Olson 2005 · MLB	26	45	47→50	50	59	224/316/369	145	252	14	9	17%	12%	95	+1.4	229/280/371	142	289	15	12	25%	6%	80	+0.4	225/270/363	138	287	15	12	27%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Carlos Sosa 2007 · AAA	26	48	44→45	53→50	47	233/298/348	115	273	11	15	19%	6%	82	+0.5	242/303/347	105	273	10	13	15%	7%	83	+0.6	253/317/358	105	275	9	13	11%	7%	89	+0.5
●TJ Friedl 2023 · MLB	27	46→54	47→50	55	48	231/299/374	143	270	14	16	20%	7%	89	+0.9	245/325/396	151	276	16	19	17%	9%	106	+2.2	248/339/390	142	278	16	18	16%	10%	108	+2.0
✕Mark Mathias 2022 · MLB	27	48→47	46→50	52→50	43	236/287/370	134	291	13	14	23%	6%	82	+0.5	254/332/399	145	343	17	18	28%	9%	109	+2.4	258/344/393	135	350	16	20	28%	10%	111	+1.3
●Alex Call 2022 · AAA	27	43→49	48→50	48→50	48	222/287/364	142	260	17	14	22%	8%	82	+0.5	229/323/378	149	265	16	15	19%	11%	101	+1.8	221/327/368	147	257	16	17	20%	12%	99	+1.3
✕Shane Robinson 2012 · MLB	27	50→59	45	53→55	49	247/299/376	129	266	12	17	13%	6%	89	+1.0	248/312/354	106	285	9	13	16%	8%	89	+0.9	244/314/326	82	285	5	11	15%	9%	78	+0.1
●Ryan Roberts 2009 · MLB	28	48→52	45→50	50→55	50	236/302/363	127	289	12	10	22%	8%	87	+0.8	238/312/372	134	286	13	16	20%	9%	94	+1.3	235/316/376	141	276	15	19	20%	10%	94	+1.0
✕Andrew Knizner 2022 · MLB	27	43	43→50	48→40	50	212/293/324	112	254	11	6	21%	8%	75	-0.0	218/287/334	116	270	13	4	23%	7%	74	-0.1	218/299/361	142	257	17	2	22%	7%	83	+0.2
✕Steve Tolleson 2011 · MLB	27	52→53	44→45	48→50	48	255/310/380	125	296	11	11	18%	7%	95	+1.4	232/294/336	104	291	9	15	22%	8%	76	+0.1	236/304/337	101	299	9	14	22%	8%	80	+0.2
✕Jeff Corsaletti 2010 · AAA	27	47→51	42→45	49→50	53	227/301/338	111	269	9	10	19%	9%	80	+0.4	227/301/330	103	275	9	10	20%	9%	78	+0.2	235/322/316	82	286	8	9	19%	11%	81	+0.2
✕Zelous Wheeler 2014 · AAA	27	49→52	47→50	49→45	46	243/303/378	135	287	14	7	20%	6%	92	+1.2	242/296/371	129	298	13	6	22%	6%	87	+0.8	244/298/372	128	302	12	1	22%	5%	83	+0.4
✕Dwight Smith Jr. 2020 · MLB	27	49→53	48→50	48→50	48	243/304/390	147	284	15	9	20%	7%	95	+1.4	223/285/345	122	285	13	8	25%	7%	76	+0.0	186/249/234	48	274	3	3	31%	8%	27	-0.8
✕Óscar Mercado 2023 · MLB	28	45→54	48→55	53→60	48	226/291/371	145	259	15	18	19%	7%	85	+0.7	223/287/384	161	257	19	28	21%	7%	87	+0.8	213/283/368	154	240	19	36	20%	7%	79	+0.2
●Ha-Seong Kim 2023 · MLB	27	49→53	47→50	52→60	51	244/315/389	145	283	14	12	19%	8%	100	+1.7	250/335/390	140	290	15	25	18%	11%	108	+2.3	245/337/377	132	283	15	31	18%	12%	102	+1.5
✕Jimmy Herron 2023 · AAA	27	42→45	48→45	53→55	48	215/291/358	143	260	16	16	24%	8%	82	+0.5	217/288/337	120	273	13	24	24%	8%	76	+0.0	211/282/316	105	266	12	28	24%	8%	65	-0.5
✕Pablo Reyes 2021 · MLB	27	48→53	49→50	47→55	46	240/292/394	154	282	16	12	21%	6%	91	+1.1	234/295/367	133	274	14	15	19%	7%	85	+0.7	243/317/375	132	288	13	24	19%	9%	93	+0.8
✕Matt Kata 2005 · MLB	27	50→48	46→50	51→50	51	245/304/385	140	279	12	10	17%	8%	93	+1.3	248/287/370	122	284	10	9	16%	4%	82	+0.5	247/281/367	120	281	9	7	16%	3%	76	+0.1
●Matt Vierling 2023 · MLB	26	49→56	45→50	52→50	46	241/296/363	122	292	12	16	22%	7%	84	+0.6	257/317/401	144	314	14	9	22%	8%	103	+1.9	261/325/409	149	320	15	7	22%	8%	105	+1.5