Vinny Capra — OGILVIE

Vinny Capra3B Worcester Red Sox

Age 30 R/R 5'8" / 188 lbs AAA HR -5%K -4% Svc 3.000 · Ctrl thru 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION453 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 6764vR 55

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP267

ISO77

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 47 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025

CONTACT47

Whiff%

619.9%

xAVG

100.168

POWER37

Barrel%

102.0

Avg EV

1079.1

Bat Spd

2368.5

EYE58

Chase%

6828.1%

SPEED63

Sprint

7128.3

Platoon Splits2025 · 105 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

-24

—

wOBA

168

133

◀◀L

ISO

058

046

◀◀L

BABIP

184

118

◀◀L

25.0%

22.4%

▶R

BB%

0.0%

6.1%

—

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2023

Service 3.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.0M	+0.0	$0.0M	+$0.0M (cut)
2027	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	22	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	103	94	25	8	0	0	8	19	0	1	0	266	324	351	675	85	333	18	8	303	91	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2019	23	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	435	388	89	20	1	3	33	83	5	15	4	229	297	309	606	80	281	19	8	274	71	-15	+1	—	—	+9	-0.4
2021	25	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	282	248	81	17	4	10	25	74	5	4	1	327	398	548	946	222	428	26	9	409	163	+21	+0	—	—	+6	2.8
2022	26	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	222	191	54	6	1	5	29	29	1	5	2	283	380	403	783	120	310	13	13	355	126	+7	+0	—	—	+5	1.2
2022	26	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	26	24	4	0	0	0	2	8	0	2	0	167	231	167	397		250	31	8	193	17	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	27	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	21	18	3	1	0	0	2	5	0	0	0	167	250	222	472	56	231	24	10	214	31	-2	+0	+1	+1	+0	0.1
2023	27	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	262	218	63	13	1	2	38	40	3	6	2	289	402	385	787	96	341	15	15	358	128	+9	+0	—	—	+6	1.5
2024	28	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	489	429	112	26	1	8	52	91	6	10	2	261	349	382	731	121	313	19	11	331	110	+6	+1	—	—	+11	1.8
2025	29	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	105	96	12	2	0	1	3	25	1	2	0	125	160	177	337	52	153	24	3	149	-13	-14	+0	+0	+1	+2	-1.1
2025	29	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	99	84	24	2	1	3	12	23	2	3	0	286	388	440	828	155	356	23	12	369	136	+4	+1	—	—	+2	0.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	126	114	15	3	0	1	5	30	1	2	0	132	175	184	359	53	165	24	4	160	-6	-16	+0	+1	+2	+3	-1.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	22	A MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	103	96	20	6	0	0	6	26	0	1	0	208	255	271	526	62	280	25	6	228	40	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2019	23	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	435	399	77	16	1	3	24	100	5	15	4	193	248	261	508	68	239	23	6	223	37	-33	+1	—	—	+9	-2.2
2021	25	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	282	256	67	13	4	8	18	91	5	4	1	262	323	438	760	176	364	32	6	323	105	+2	+0	—	—	+6	0.8
2022	26	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	222	201	53	5	1	4	19	34	1	5	2	264	330	358	689	95	296	15	9	304	92	-2	+0	—	—	+5	0.3
2023	27	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	21	18	3	1	0	0	2	5	0	0	0	167	250	222	472	56	231	24	10	212	30	-2	+0	+1	+1	+0	0.1
2023	27	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	262	231	57	11	1	1	25	50	3	6	2	247	328	316	644	69	296	19	10	289	82	-6	+0	—	—	+6	0.0
2024	28	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	489	446	102	21	1	6	35	111	6	10	2	229	294	321	614	92	289	23	7	274	72	-17	+1	—	—	+11	-0.5
2025	29	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	105	96	12	2	0	1	3	25	1	2	0	125	160	177	337	52	153	24	3	147	-15	-14	+0	+0	+1	+2	-1.1
2025	29	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	99	88	21	2	1	2	8	28	2	3	0	239	316	352	669	114	309	28	8	286	80	-2	+1	—	—	+2	0.0
2018	22	A MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	103	96	20	6	0	0	6	26	0	1	0	208	255	271	526	62	286	25	6	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A RAW	Lansing Lugnuts	—	103	94	25	8	0	0	8	19	0	1	0	266	324	351	675	85	333	18	8	303	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	435	399	77	16	1	3	24	100	5	15	4	193	248	261	508	68	247	23	6	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA RAW	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	435	388	89	20	1	3	33	83	5	15	4	229	297	309	606	80	281	19	8	274	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	282	256	67	13	4	8	18	91	5	4	1	262	323	438	760	176	371	32	6	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA RAW	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	282	248	81	17	4	10	25	74	5	4	1	327	398	548	946	222	428	26	9	409	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	248	224	59	6	1	4	22	38	1	7	2	263	332	353	685	89	301	15	9	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	248	215	58	6	1	5	31	37	1	7	2	270	364	377	741	107	305	15	12	338	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	283	249	60	12	1	1	27	55	3	6	2	241	323	309	632	68	301	19	10	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	283	236	66	14	1	2	40	45	3	6	2	280	391	373	764	93	333	16	14	347	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	489	446	102	21	1	6	35	111	6	10	2	229	294	321	614	92	290	23	7	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA RAW	Nashville Sounds	—	489	429	112	26	1	8	52	91	6	10	2	261	349	382	731	121	313	19	11	331	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	204	184	33	4	1	3	11	53	3	5	0	179	237	261	498	82	229	26	5	214	31	-17	+1	+0	+1	+4	-1.1
2025	29	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	204	180	36	4	1	4	15	48	3	5	0	200	273	300	573	100	244	24	7	256	31	-17	+1	+0	+1	+4	-1.1
2018	22	A MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	103	96	20	6	0	0	6	26	0	1	0	208	255	271	526	62	280	25	6	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	435	403	77	16	1	3	24	100	5	15	4	191	248	258	506	67	239	23	6	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	282	257	67	13	4	8	18	91	5	4	1	261	323	436	758	175	364	32	6	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	248	223	59	6	1	4	22	38	1	7	2	265	332	354	686	90	296	15	9	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	283	251	60	12	1	1	27	55	3	6	2	239	323	307	629	68	291	19	10	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	489	445	102	21	1	6	35	111	6	10	2	229	294	321	615	92	289	23	7	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	204	188	33	4	1	3	11	53	3	5	0	176	237	255	493	80	229	26	5	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	283	251	60	12	1	1	27	55	3	6	2	239	323	307	629	68	291	19	10	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	489	445	102	21	1	6	35	111	6	10	2	229	294	321	615	92	289	23	7	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	204	188	33	4	1	3	11	53	3	5	0	176	237	255	493	80	229	26	5	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	30	AAA MLE	BOS	—	453	401	93	17	1	7	39	107	6	12	2	232	309	332	641	100	294	24	9	287	80	-11	+2	+0	+2	+10	0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	30	AAA RAW	BOS	—	453	383	105	21	1	10	57	89	6	12	2	274	377	413	789	138	328	20	13	352	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	30	AAA MLE	BOS	10%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		262	22	11	262	64	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	30	MLB CTX	BOS	10%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						267	0	0	256	64	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	30	MLB A+C	BOS	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	256	80	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	30	AAA MLE	BOS	—	462	409	94	17	1	7	40	109	6	12	2	230	308	328	635	98	291	24	9	287	80	-11	+2	-0	+2	+10	0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	BOS	27%	239	216	46	8	1	4	18	57	3	5	1	213	283	315	598	102	261	24	8	264	65	-10	+1	-4	+1	+5	-0.7
2028	32	MLB MLE	BOS	37%	220	198	41	7	1	3	17	53	3	4	1	207	280	298	578	91	260	24	8	262	64	-9	+0	-4	+1	+5	-0.8
2027	31	MLB CTX	BOS	27%	65	59	12	2	0	1	5	15	1	1	0	203	277	288	565	85	267	23	8	258	65	-3	+0	-1	+0	+1	-0.2
2028	32	MLB CTX	BOS	37%	82	75	15	3	0	1	6	20	1	1	0	200	268	280	548	80	266	24	7	257	64	-4	+0	-2	+0	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	274	249	42	8	0	3	16	65	3	4	0	169	228	237	465	68	213	24	6	213	66	-22	+1	-2	+2	+6	-1.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	100	19	0	7	38	154	7	9	0	169	228	237	465	68	214	24	6	213	66	-53	+2	-4	+5	+14	-3.6
Career	—	MLE		—	2512	2276	506	93	11	32	179	586	29	57	13	222	287	315	602	93	283	23	7	266	66	-36	+1	-7	+3	+13	-2.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	131	24	3	8	46	152	8	15	3	222	288	314	602	92	284	23	7	266	66	-39	+2	-8	+4	+14	-2.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	4.5	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.2	10.8
/162	664	12	3	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3John McDonaldlast yr '14 career totals — 13 seasons, 2,596 PA	3.9	2,596	28	34	233	273	324	+20	+54	4.2	5.1
/162	664	7	9	+5.0	+13.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.4	278	4	5	171	226	246	+1	+1	-1.3	-1.2
/162	664	8	12	+2.4	+2.4	-3.2	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Vinny Capra (OGILVIE)	30	47	37	63	58	205/276/293	87	262	3	6	24%	8%	64	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Eric Stamets 2022 · MLB	30	36→46	42→45	54→50	42	185/250/290	106	250	10	13	30%	7%	53	-2.1	190/262/302	112	274	11	13	33%	7%	61	-1.5	142/221/231	89	212	10	16	36%	6%	28	-1.5
✕Juan Ciriaco 2014 · AAA	30	43→47	41→45	53→50	46	210/261/307	97	250	9	14	20%	6%	59	-1.6	223/260/322	99	265	9	20	19%	5%	63	-1.4	226/257/318	92	268	8	23	19%	4%	58	-0.6
✕Deven Marrero 2021 · MLB	30	39→48	45	53→50	41	201/255/317	116	274	13	12	31%	7%	61	-1.5	210/273/319	109	294	12	10	31%	8%	68	-1.0	194/260/282	88	272	11	8	31%	8%	51	-0.7
✕Jonathan Diaz 2015 · MLB	30	45→47	36→30	48→50	50	209/286/276	66	260	3	12	20%	8%	63	-1.4	205/282/267	62	257	3	8	20%	8%	59	-1.6	196/280/244	48	247	2	6	20%	9%	52	-1.3
✕Jack Reinheimer 2021 · MLB	29	43→52	40	51→55	44	211/267/300	90	273	7	16	25%	7%	61	-1.5	207/260/290	83	290	7	20	29%	6%	56	-1.9	189/238/249	61	260	4	22	28%	5%	36	-1.4
✕Kristopher Negrón 2016 · MLB	30	42→50	41→45	52→55	41	205/262/300	94	269	8	13	26%	6%	59	-1.6	220/275/340	120	295	12	17	28%	5%	73	-0.6	226/289/352	126	323	14	14	32%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Kevin Hooper 2006 · AAA	29	47→54	37→30	54→55	46	220/260/291	71	250	4	20	14%	5%	55	-1.9	243/276/302	59	283	3	20	15%	4%	63	-1.4	255/284/298	43	297	1	22	14%	3%	62	-1.0
✕Tyler Ladendorf 2018 · MLB	30	42→49	38→40	49→50	42	203/251/281	78	261	5	9	24%	5%	50	-2.3	209/269/296	87	267	7	8	23%	7%	61	-1.5	195/252/289	94	243	10	1	23%	6%	51	-0.7
✕Pete Kozma 2019 · MLB	31	39→47	38→40	48→50	41	189/234/268	79	239	5	10	23%	5%	40	-3.0	208/261/311	103	254	8	7	21%	6%	61	-1.5	203/255/293	90	250	6	5	21%	6%	53	-1.4
✕Jack López 2023 · MLB	30	38→46	40→45	54→55	33	187/229/281	94	289	8	19	37%	4%	42	-2.9	208/251/323	115	302	12	15	34%	5%	60	-1.6	207/250/316	109	295	12	15	33%	4%	56	-1.4
✕Darin Mastroianni 2016 · MLB	30	46→56	37→40	55→60	44	219/267/293	73	275	5	23	22%	6%	59	-1.7	223/273/300	77	282	5	19	22%	6%	63	-1.4	221/272/267	46	283	1	21	21%	5%	52	-1.1
✕Bo Hart 2007 · AAA	30	44→47	40→45	49→45	45	213/264/309	96	255	8	10	20%	6%	61	-1.5	209/259/304	95	264	8	11	23%	5%	59	-1.7	175/207/223	48	228	0	8	22%	3%	17	-1.0
✕Pete Orr 2010 · MLB	31	47	40→45	56→55	41	225/267/324	99	275	7	20	21%	4%	65	-1.2	224/269/328	104	275	7	22	21%	4%	68	-1.0	239/268/327	88	307	5	16	23%	3%	63	-0.9
✕Brian Bocock 2014 · AAA	29	40→47	39→40	50	43	196/243/279	83	244	6	14	22%	6%	47	-2.6	215/261/299	84	283	6	9	25%	6%	58	-1.7	219/262/283	64	293	2	5	25%	5%	51	-1.6
✕Chris Basak 2008 · AAA	29	45→46	42→45	54→55	44	220/269/326	106	267	9	19	21%	5%	68	-1.0	218/262/325	107	271	9	16	22%	5%	65	-1.2	209/247/306	96	260	7	16	22%	4%	52	-1.3
✕Pedro Florimón 2017 · MLB	30	44→52	40→45	57→55	40	212/262/311	99	303	6	21	31%	6%	61	-1.5	220/280/332	112	330	10	9	34%	7%	73	-0.6	212/277/321	110	322	11	4	35%	7%	68	-0.6
✕Paul Hoover 2006 · AAA	30	43	42→45	50→45	44	211/269/319	108	265	9	10	24%	6%	66	-1.1	225/277/339	114	297	10	7	26%	6%	74	-0.6	223/273/333	109	299	10	3	28%	6%	68	-0.4
✕Bubba Crosby 2006 · MLB	29	45	43→40	51→50	44	220/271/324	104	253	11	13	18%	5%	68	-1.0	214/278/328	114	260	11	17	21%	6%	72	-0.7	203/271/307	103	250	7	28	21%	6%	62	-0.5
✕Anderson Machado 2010 · AAA	29	39→44	39→40	53→45	50	187/268/272	85	254	6	14	27%	10%	55	-1.9	208/279/297	89	286	5	7	27%	9%	65	-1.2	230/300/318	88	324	2	0	27%	9%	74	-0.3
✕Zach Remillard 2023 · AAA	29	45→50	41→40	51→55	44	215/286/306	91	293	9	18	28%	7%	70	-0.8	206/270/292	86	278	7	17	27%	7%	61	-1.5	190/252/263	73	255	6	19	26%	6%	45	-1.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps