Vinny Capra — OGILVIE

Vinny Capra3B Worcester Red Sox

Age 30 R/R 5'8" / 188 lbs AAA H +3% Svc 3.000 · Ctrl thru 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION314 act + 209 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL -2-10vR -31

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .265 / .294

PA209

HR3

SB5

K%23

BB%7

BABIP249

ISO95

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 47 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025

CONTACT47

Whiff%

619.9%

xwOBA

100.200

POWER37

Barrel%

102.0

Avg EV

1079.1

Bat Spd

2368.5

EYE58

Chase%

6828.1%

SPEED63

Sprint

7128.3

Platoon Splits2025 · 105 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

-14

-40

◀◀L

wOBA

168

133

◀◀L

ISO

058

046

◀◀L

BABIP

184

118

◀◀L

25.0%

22.4%

▶R

BB%

0.0%

6.1%

—

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2023

Service 3.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.1M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-11M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	22	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	103	96	20	6	0	0	6	26	0	1	0	208	255	271	526	62	286	25	6	223	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	103	94	25	8	0	0	8	19	0	1	0	266	324	351	675	85	333	18	8	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	435	398	74	14	1	4	25	106	5	15	4	186	243	256	499	70	240	24	6	222	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	435	388	89	20	1	3	33	83	5	15	4	229	297	309	606	80	281	19	8	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	282	255	65	12	4	9	19	97	5	4	1	255	319	439	758	184	371	34	7	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	282	248	81	17	4	10	25	74	5	4	1	327	398	548	946	222	428	26	9	409	171	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA	2 teams	—	248	225	62	6	1	5	21	37	1	7	2	276	340	378	718	102	310	15	8	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA	2 teams	—	248	215	58	6	1	5	31	37	1	7	2	270	364	377	741	107	305	15	12	338	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	2 teams	—	283	250	59	12	1	1	26	56	3	6	2	236	315	304	619	68	296	20	9	279	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	2 teams	—	283	236	66	14	1	2	40	45	3	6	2	280	391	373	764	93	333	16	14	347	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	489	447	108	21	1	8	34	113	6	10	2	242	304	347	651	105	305	23	7	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	489	429	112	26	1	8	52	91	6	10	2	261	349	382	731	121	313	19	11	331	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	MLB	2 teams	—	204	183	32	4	1	2	12	53	3	5	0	175	237	240	478	66	229	26	6	213	22	-18	+1	+0	+1	+6	-1.1
2025	29	MLB	2 teams	—	204	180	36	4	1	4	15	48	3	5	0	200	273	300	573	100	244	24	7	256	54	-11	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.3
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	30	AAA	BOS	—	314	277	61	13	1	5	27	71	3	9	1	220	296	329	625	108	271	23	9	279	72	-10	+1	+0	+1	+9	0.1
YTD	30	AAA	BOS	—	314	265	68	16	1	6	39	59	3	9	1	257	358	392	751	136	301	19	12	334	114	+5	+1	+0	+1	+9	1.7
ROS	30	AAA	BOS	10%	209	190	38	7	1	3	15	48	2	5	1	200	265	294	559	95	247	23	7	254	52	-11	+1	-1	+1	+6	-0.5
ROS	30	MLB	BOS	10%	21	19	4	1	0	0	2	5	0	1	0	211	286	263	549	53	252	24	10	250	49	-1	+0	-0	+0	+1	-0.0
FULL	30	AAA	BOS	—	335	296	65	14	1	5	29	76	3	10	1	220	296	324	620	105	271	23	9	277	70	-11	+2	-0	+1	+9	0.1
TOT	30	AAA	BOS	—	523	467	99	20	2	8	42	119	5	14	2	212	284	315	598	103	262	23	8	269	64	-21	+2	-1	+2	+15	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	31	MLB	BOS	27%	554	502	101	19	2	9	41	129	6	11	2	201	270	301	570	100	248	23	7	256	54	-29	+1	-5	+2	+16	-1.5
2028	32	MLB	BOS	37%	543	492	97	18	2	8	40	128	6	9	2	197	266	291	556	93	248	24	7	255	54	-28	+1	-6	+2	+15	-1.6
2027	31	MLB	BOS	27%	151	137	28	6	0	2	11	35	2	3	1	204	273	292	565	88	254	23	7	253	52	-8	+0	-1	+1	+4	-0.5
2028	32	MLB	BOS	37%	203	184	37	7	1	3	15	48	2	3	1	201	269	299	568	98	253	24	7	252	51	-11	+0	-2	+1	+6	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	501	454	84	17	1	6	33	118	5	9	2	185	248	267	514	81	234	24	7	229	33	-38	+1	-3	+3	+14	-2.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	109	22	1	8	43	153	6	12	3	185	247	267	514	81	233	24	7	229	33	-49	+1	-3	+4	+18	-2.9
Career	—			—	3350	3038	656	119	14	49	239	793	37	73	16	216	281	313	594	97	274	24	7	265	61	-149	+8	-11	+8	+95	-4.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	128	23	3	10	46	154	7	14	3	217	281	317	599	100	275	24	7	265	61	-29	+2	-2	+2	+18	-1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	22	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	103	94	25	8	0	0	8	19	0	1	0	266	324	351	675	85	333	18	8	303	90	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2019	23	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	435	388	89	20	1	3	33	83	5	15	4	229	297	309	606	80	281	19	8	274	68	-16	+1	—	—	+12	-0.2
2021	25	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	282	248	81	17	4	10	25	74	5	4	1	327	398	548	946	222	428	26	9	409	171	+23	+0	—	—	+8	3.2
2022	26	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	222	191	54	6	1	5	29	29	1	5	2	283	380	403	783	120	310	13	13	355	129	+7	+0	—	—	+6	1.4
2022	26	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	26	24	4	0	0	0	2	8	0	2	0	167	231	167	397		250	31	8	193	6	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	27	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	21	18	3	1	0	0	2	5	0	0	0	167	250	222	472	56	231	24	10	214	22	-2	+0	+1	+1	+1	0.1
2023	27	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	262	218	63	13	1	2	38	40	3	6	2	289	402	385	787	96	341	15	15	358	132	+9	+0	—	—	+7	1.8
2024	28	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	489	429	112	26	1	8	52	91	6	10	2	261	349	382	731	121	313	19	11	331	112	+6	+1	—	—	+14	2.2
2025	29	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	105	96	12	2	0	1	3	25	1	2	0	125	160	177	337	52	153	24	3	149	-28	-15	+0	+0	+1	+3	-1.1
2025	29	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	99	84	24	2	1	3	12	23	2	3	0	286	388	440	828	155	356	23	12	369	141	+5	+1	—	—	+3	0.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	126	114	15	3	0	1	5	30	1	2	0	132	175	184	359	53	165	24	4	160	-20	-17	+0	+1	+2	+4	-1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Juan Castrolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA	11	2,352	34	4	237	273	341	+10	+21	1.0	2.7
	/162	664	10	1	237	273	341	+3.0	+5.8	0.3	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	485	7	9	181	239	266	+2	+1	-2.0	-1.5
	/162	664	9	12	181	239	266	+2.4	+1.4	-2.7	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Vinny Capra (OGILVIE)	30	47	37	63	58	212/284/315	103	262	8	14	23%	8%	64	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Eric Stamets 2022 · MLB	30	36→46	43→45	54→50	41	184/246/294	109	250	11	13	30%	6%	46	-2.0	193/261/313	120	273	13	13	33%	6%	58	-1.2	153/230/258	105	221	12	16	35%	6%	28	-1.2
✕Juan Ciriaco 2014 · AAA	30	43→47	43→45	53→50	45	211/262/317	106	252	11	14	21%	6%	58	-1.2	223/259/324	101	265	9	20	19%	4%	58	-1.2	228/259/320	92	271	7	23	18%	4%	54	-0.5
✕Deven Marrero 2021 · MLB	30	39→48	44→45	53→50	39	199/249/310	111	279	12	12	32%	6%	50	-1.7	215/274/333	118	302	14	10	32%	7%	68	-0.5	204/269/307	103	286	13	8	32%	8%	55	-0.4
✕Jack Reinheimer 2021 · MLB	29	43→51	41→40	51→55	43	210/262/306	96	272	8	16	26%	6%	55	-1.4	211/260/298	87	296	7	20	30%	5%	52	-1.6	197/244/263	66	271	5	22	28%	5%	34	-1.2
✕Kristopher Negrón 2016 · MLB	30	41→51	41→45	52→55	40	204/259/301	97	269	9	13	27%	5%	53	-1.5	218/271/338	120	294	12	17	29%	5%	68	-0.5	219/281/336	117	319	13	14	33%	6%	68	-0.4
✕Brian Bocock 2014 · AAA	29	40→45	40	50	43	197/244/287	89	247	7	14	23%	6%	42	-2.3	212/255/298	86	285	6	9	26%	5%	50	-1.8	212/252/278	66	290	2	5	26%	5%	40	-1.7
✕Jack López 2023 · MLB	30	38→46	41→45	54→55	32	188/229/286	98	288	8	19	37%	4%	36	-2.7	205/248/324	119	296	13	15	34%	5%	54	-1.4	203/247/314	111	289	12	15	33%	4%	48	-1.3
✕Kevin Hooper 2006 · AAA	29	47→54	37→30	54→55	45	220/258/292	72	250	4	20	14%	4%	49	-1.8	243/274/303	60	283	3	20	15%	4%	58	-1.2	255/284/300	44	297	1	22	14%	3%	58	-0.8
✕Darin Mastroianni 2016 · MLB	30	46→56	37→40	55→60	44	219/267/293	73	274	5	23	22%	6%	53	-1.5	224/273/300	76	283	5	19	22%	6%	58	-1.2	226/278/270	44	290	2	21	21%	5%	49	-0.9
✕Derek Wathan 2007 · AAA	30	43	43→45	54→50	41	215/247/334	120	254	9	16	20%	4%	56	-1.3	206/238/296	90	249	7	12	20%	4%	41	-2.3	191/221/253	62	230	5	10	19%	4%	20	-1.6
✕Pete Kozma 2019 · MLB	31	39→47	38→45	48→50	41	188/233/268	80	237	5	10	23%	5%	33	-2.9	208/259/320	112	249	10	7	20%	6%	58	-1.2	196/247/299	102	237	9	5	21%	5%	45	-1.4
✕Bo Hart 2007 · AAA	30	44→47	40→45	49→45	44	212/262/308	96	254	8	10	20%	6%	56	-1.3	208/254/303	95	263	8	11	23%	5%	51	-1.7	175/207/223	48	228	0	8	22%	3%	6	-1.0
✕Tyler Ladendorf 2018 · MLB	30	42→50	38→45	49→50	41	202/249/283	81	262	6	9	25%	5%	43	-2.2	207/264/295	88	266	7	8	24%	7%	53	-1.5	195/252/297	102	241	11	1	23%	6%	47	-0.6
✕Johnni Turbo 2018 · AA	29	46→48	41→40	52→55	45	223/274/320	97	267	8	14	20%	6%	64	-0.8	227/272/312	85	292	6	15	23%	5%	60	-1.0	236/269/280	43	303	0	21	21%	4%	46	-0.5
✕Zach Remillard 2023 · AAA	29	44→49	40	51→55	43	212/281/302	90	291	8	18	29%	7%	63	-0.9	206/266/294	88	279	8	17	27%	6%	54	-1.4	192/252/268	76	258	6	19	27%	6%	38	-1.4
✕Horacio Vasquez 2016 · AAA	30	43	39→40	48→40	39	211/250/292	81	273	7	9	25%	4%	46	-2.0	226/257/306	80	289	6	10	23%	4%	52	-1.6	245/256/275	30	311	0	6	21%	2%	41	-0.7
✕Pete Orr 2010 · MLB	31	47→45	41→45	56→55	41	226/268/330	104	276	8	20	21%	4%	63	-0.8	225/268/334	109	275	8	22	21%	4%	65	-0.7	242/269/332	90	309	6	16	23%	3%	59	-0.7
✕Jake Wald 2010 · AAA	29	41→42	41→45	51→50	41	201/265/300	99	287	8	10	31%	7%	56	-1.3	188/252/274	86	318	7	8	40%	7%	43	-2.2	130/202/174	44	264	1	2	47%	8%	-5	-2.2
✕Pedro Florimón 2017 · MLB	30	44→52	41→45	57→55	39	214/260/321	107	302	8	21	31%	6%	57	-1.2	218/275/338	120	328	12	9	35%	7%	69	-0.4	206/271/327	121	317	13	4	37%	7%	63	-0.5
✕Pedro Ciriaco 2016 · MLB	30	48→58	39→40	54→55	36	232/258/325	93	293	6	16	23%	3%	57	-1.2	229/251/302	73	280	5	15	20%	2%	48	-1.9	231/246/282	51	279	3	16	18%	1%	38	-1.4