Justin Sellers

PosSS

B/TR/R

Born1986-02-01

Age (2027)41

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2015

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2013	27	AAACOL	366	.270/.331/.429	6	4	60	—	.220/.264/.342
2013	27	MLBLAD	77	.188/.263/.246	1	0	49	0.2
2014	28	AAACLE	395	.254/.312/.335	3	3	48	—	.218/.262/.287
2014	28	MLBCleveland Ind…	21	.188/.316/.188	0	0	41	0.2
2015	29	AAA/A+/ROK3 orgs	92	.256/.289/.291	0	0	29	—	.218/.243/.253
2016	30	No MLB games played
2017	31	No MLB games played
2018	32	No MLB games played
2019	33	No MLB games played
2020	34	No MLB games played
2021	35	No MLB games played
2022	36	No MLB games played
2023	37	No MLB games played
2024	38	No MLB games played
2025	39	No MLB games played
2026	40	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.5

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2006	20	A	Kane County Cougars	—	495	411	99	21	2	5	58	65	11	17	5	241	350	338	688	97	272	13	12	310	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	51	45	7	1	0	0	3	10	1	2	0	156	224	178	402	22	200	20	6	187	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	A+	Stockton Ports	—	495	434	119	25	4	4	46	69	8	11	4	274	355	378	732	104	313	14	9	329	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	507	439	112	15	8	6	47	77	7	10	6	255	337	367	703	112	294	15	9	311	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	464	393	110	27	1	2	50	70	10	10	8	280	375	369	744	89	331	15	11	334	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	344	288	82	17	1	14	40	49	3	5	3	285	378	497	874	212	294	14	12	372	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	A+	Inland Empire 66ers	—	109	96	25	7	0	0	9	16	1	2	0	260	330	333	664	73	305	15	8	296	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	53	49	13	4	0	0	3	6	0	2	0	265	308	347	655	82	295	11	6	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	139	123	25	9	0	1	12	21	2	1	0	203	285	301	585	98	235	15	9	267	72	-5	+0	+5	+5	+3	0.9
2011	25	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	322	270	82	17	2	14	41	57	5	3	3	304	405	537	942	233	335	18	13	406	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	16	13	2	0	0	0	2	2	1	0	0	154	312	154	466		182	12	12	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	50	44	9	3	1	1	5	14	0	0	0	205	286	386	672	182	276	28	10	293	83	-1	+0	+1	+1	+1	0.2
2013	27	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	77	69	13	1	0	1	5	20	2	0	0	188	263	246	510	58	250	26	6	237	49	-5	+0	+1	+5	+2	0.2
2013	27	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	366	326	88	26	4	6	25	54	5	4	0	270	331	429	761	160	301	15	7	329	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	21	16	3	0	0	0	3	4	0	0	1	188	316	188	503		250	19	14	229	41	-1	-0	-1	+4	+0	0.2
2014	28	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	395	355	90	18	1	3	25	48	5	3	1	254	312	335	647	82	281	12	6	288	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	48	44	8	2	0	0	2	9	0	0	0	182	217	227	445	45	222	19	4	196	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	A+	Bradenton Marauders	—	20	19	6	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	316	350	368	718	53	333	5	5	325	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	ROK	GCL Pirates	—	24	23	8	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	348	375	348	723		364	4	0	332	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	287	252	50	13	1	3	25	59	4	1	1	198	281	294	575	95	246	21	9	261	63	-13	-0	+6	+15	+6	1.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2006	20	A MLE	Kane County Cougars	—	495	428	92	18	2	4	41	89	11	17	5	215	300	294	594	79	246	18	8	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	51	46	7	1	0	0	2	12	1	2	0	152	204	174	378	22	200	24	4	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	A+ MLE	Stockton Ports	—	495	446	109	21	3	4	34	93	8	11	4	244	309	332	641	87	288	19	7	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	507	452	111	14	8	5	34	94	7	10	6	246	308	345	653	100	287	19	7	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	464	409	108	26	1	2	34	85	10	10	8	264	336	347	683	83	312	18	7	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	344	299	68	13	1	10	29	66	3	5	3	227	302	378	680	151	240	19	8	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	A+ MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	109	99	22	6	0	0	6	22	1	2	0	222	274	283	556	61	263	20	6	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	139	123	26	10	0	1	12	21	2	1	0	211	292	317	609	106	235	15	9	274	72	-5	+0	+5	+5	+3	0.9
2011	25	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	322	283	64	14	1	9	28	79	5	3	3	226	307	378	685	152	271	25	9	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	50	45	9	3	1	1	4	14	0	0	0	200	265	378	643	178	276	28	8	291	83	-1	+0	+1	+1	+1	0.2
2013	27	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	77	69	13	1	0	1	5	20	2	0	0	188	263	246	510	58	250	26	6	240	49	-5	+0	+1	+5	+2	0.2
2013	27	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	366	336	74	20	3	5	15	74	5	4	0	220	264	342	606	122	248	20	4	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	—	21	16	3	0	0	0	3	4	0	0	1	188	316	188	503		250	19	14	229	41	-1	-0	-1	+4	+0	0.2
2014	28	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	395	363	79	14	1	3	17	56	5	3	1	218	262	287	549	69	238	14	4	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	48	45	8	2	0	0	1	11	0	0	0	178	196	222	418	44	202	23	2	171	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	A+ MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	20	19	5	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	263	300	316	616	53	290	5	5	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	ROK MLE	GCL Pirates	—	24	23	6	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	261	292	261	553		280	4	0	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	A MLE	Kane County Cougars	—	495	428	92	18	2	4	41	89	11	17	5	215	300	294	594	79	259	18	8	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	A RAW	Kane County Cougars	—	495	411	99	21	2	5	58	65	11	17	5	241	350	338	688	97	272	13	12	310	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	546	492	116	22	3	4	36	105	9	13	4	236	300	317	617	81	288	19	7	271	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	546	479	126	26	4	4	49	79	9	13	4	263	343	359	702	96	303	14	9	315	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	507	452	111	14	8	5	34	94	7	10	6	246	308	345	653	100	296	19	7	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	AA RAW	Midland RockHounds	—	507	439	112	15	8	6	47	77	7	10	6	255	337	367	703	112	294	15	9	311	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	464	409	108	26	1	2	34	85	10	10	8	264	336	347	683	83	324	18	7	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA RAW	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	464	393	110	27	1	2	50	70	10	10	8	280	375	369	744	89	331	15	11	334	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	506	446	100	21	1	11	39	98	4	9	3	224	292	350	642	126	257	19	8	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	506	433	120	28	1	14	52	71	4	9	3	277	360	443	803	166	297	14	10	347	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	477	419	93	24	1	11	42	104	8	4	3	222	305	363	668	141	265	22	9	296	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	477	406	109	26	2	15	55	80	8	4	3	268	367	453	820	185	297	17	12	360	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	50	45	9	3	1	1	4	14	0	0	0	200	265	378	643	178	267	28	8	291	83	-1	+0	+1	+1	+1	0.2
2012	26	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	50	44	9	3	1	1	5	14	0	0	0	205	286	386	672	182	276	28	10	293	83	-1	+0	+1	+1	+1	0.2
2013	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	443	405	87	21	3	6	20	94	7	4	0	215	264	326	590	111	260	21	5	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	443	395	101	27	4	7	30	74	7	4	0	256	319	397	717	142	294	17	7	313	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	416	379	82	14	1	3	20	60	5	3	2	216	265	282	547	66	245	14	5	238	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	416	371	93	18	1	3	28	52	5	3	2	251	312	329	641	78	280	12	7	285	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	92	87	18	2	0	0	2	14	1	0	0	207	233	230	463	23	243	15	2	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	92	86	22	3	0	0	3	11	1	0	0	256	289	291	580	35	289	12	3	260	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	20	A MLE	Kane County Cougars	—	495	440	92	18	2	4	41	89	11	17	5	209	300	286	586	77	246	18	8	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	546	496	116	22	3	4	36	105	9	13	4	234	300	315	614	81	280	19	7	271	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	22	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	507	461	111	14	8	5	34	94	7	10	6	241	308	338	647	98	287	19	7	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	464	417	108	26	1	2	34	85	10	10	8	259	336	341	676	82	312	18	7	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	506	458	100	21	1	11	39	98	4	9	3	218	292	341	633	122	246	19	8	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	477	424	93	24	1	11	42	104	8	4	3	219	305	358	663	139	260	22	9	296	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	50	46	9	3	1	1	4	14	0	0	0	196	265	370	635	174	276	28	8	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	443	413	87	21	3	6	20	94	7	4	0	211	264	320	584	109	248	21	5	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	416	388	82	14	1	3	20	60	5	3	2	211	265	276	541	64	239	14	5	238	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	92	89	18	2	0	0	2	14	1	0	0	202	233	225	458	22	241	15	2	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	287	252	50	13	1	3	25	59	4	1	1	198	281	294	575	95	246	21	9	261	71	-13	-0	+6	+15	+6	1.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	571	113	29	2	7	57	134	9	2	2	198	281	292	573	95	245	21	9	261	71	-29	-0	+15	+34	+14	3.3
Career	—	MLE		—	3996	3562	816	165	21	47	272	757	62	70	31	229	295	327	622	98	274	19	7	273	71	-13	-0	+6	+15	+6	1.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	133	27	3	8	44	123	10	11	5	230	295	328	623	98	274	19	7	273	71	-29	-0	+15	+34	+14	3.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2015 AAACharlotte Knights · 48 PAwOBA .195 → .171 (−24)K% 18.8% → 23.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.75%	÷0.971	×1.200	—	—	23.17%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.17%	÷1.017	×0.690	—	×0.982	2.78%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	0.00%
Singles /BIP	17.14%	÷0.973	×0.930	—	×0.982	16.09%
Doubles /BIP	5.71%	÷0.993	×0.830	—	×0.982	4.69%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	—	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.306	×0.840	—	×0.982	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 161, 1B 95, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 94, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .195 → .171; ISO .045 → .038; BABIP .222 → .202. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 ROKGCL Pirates · 24 PAwOBA .323 → .245 (−78)K% 4.2% → 6.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	4.17%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	6.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×0.940	0.00%
HBP% /PA	4.17%	—	×0.720	—	×0.940	2.82%
Singles /BIP	36.36%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×0.940	28.03%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.940	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.940	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .323 → .245; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .364 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 A+Bradenton Marauders · 20 PAwOBA .317 → .267 (−50)K% 5.0% → 6.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	5.00%	÷1.027	×1.420	—	—	6.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.00%	÷1.051	×0.750	—	×0.940	3.35%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.930	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	27.78%	÷0.981	×0.920	—	×0.940	24.48%
Doubles /BIP	5.56%	÷1.117	×0.960	—	×0.940	4.49%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.810	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.974	×0.880	—	×0.940	0.00%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 96, 2B 123, 3B 80, K 105, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 22.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .317 → .267; ISO .053 → .042; BABIP .333 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAColumbus Clippers · 395 PAwOBA .285 → .239 (−46)K% 12.2% → 14.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.15%	÷1.016	×1.200	—	—	14.35%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.33%	÷1.015	×0.690	—	×0.992	4.27%
HBP% /PA	1.27%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	1.18%
Singles /BIP	22.15%	÷1.034	×0.930	×0.973	×0.992	19.23%
Doubles /BIP	5.86%	÷1.047	×0.830	×0.973	×0.992	4.49%
Triples /BIP	0.33%	÷1.007	×0.970	×0.973	×0.992	0.30%
Home runs /BIP	0.98%	÷1.028	×0.840	—	×0.992	0.79%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 107, 2B 109, 3B 102, K 103, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.

Result: wOBA .285 → .239; ISO .082 → .067; BABIP .281 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 366 PAwOBA .323 → .257 (−65)K% 14.8% → 20.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.75%	÷0.938	×1.290	—	—	20.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.01%	÷1.071	×0.710	—	×1.003	4.00%
HBP% /PA	1.37%	—	×0.980	—	×1.003	1.34%
Singles /BIP	19.12%	÷1.029	×0.900	×0.999	×1.003	16.76%
Doubles /BIP	9.56%	÷1.082	×0.810	×0.999	×1.003	7.17%
Triples /BIP	1.47%	÷1.150	×0.810	×0.999	×1.003	1.04%
Home runs /BIP	2.21%	÷1.004	×0.780	—	×1.003	1.72%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 106, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 88, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .323 → .257; ISO .160 → .120; BABIP .301 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 322 PAwOBA .399 → .306 (−93)K% 17.7% → 24.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.70%	÷0.928	×1.290	—	—	24.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.11%	÷1.012	×0.710	—	×1.033	8.78%
HBP% /PA	1.55%	—	×0.980	—	×1.033	1.57%
Singles /BIP	23.00%	÷1.096	×0.900	×0.985	×1.033	19.21%
Doubles /BIP	7.98%	÷1.012	×0.810	×0.985	×1.033	6.49%
Triples /BIP	0.94%	÷1.150	×0.810	×0.985	×1.033	0.67%
Home runs /BIP	6.57%	÷1.173	×0.780	—	×1.033	4.52%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 135, 1B 119, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 86, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.

Result: wOBA .399 → .306; ISO .233 → .166; BABIP .335 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 344 PAwOBA .369 → .291 (−78)K% 14.2% → 19.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.24%	÷0.961	×1.290	—	—	19.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.63%	÷1.019	×0.710	—	×1.048	8.49%
HBP% /PA	0.87%	—	×0.980	—	×1.048	0.90%
Singles /BIP	20.92%	÷1.056	×0.900	×0.963	×1.048	17.99%
Doubles /BIP	7.11%	÷1.082	×0.810	×0.963	×1.048	5.37%
Triples /BIP	0.42%	÷1.053	×0.810	×0.963	×1.048	0.32%
Home runs /BIP	5.86%	÷1.223	×0.780	—	×1.048	3.92%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 145, 1B 111, 2B 116, 3B 111, K 92, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.

Result: wOBA .369 → .291; ISO .212 → .152; BABIP .294 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 A+Inland Empire 66ers · 109 PAwOBA .294 → .240 (−54)K% 14.7% → 20.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.68%	÷0.956	×1.340	—	—	20.58%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.26%	÷1.037	×0.710	—	×0.988	5.58%
HBP% /PA	0.92%	—	×0.790	—	×0.988	0.72%
Singles /BIP	22.50%	÷1.003	×0.910	×0.984	×0.988	19.84%
Doubles /BIP	8.75%	÷0.984	×0.820	×0.984	×0.988	7.08%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.083	×0.760	×0.984	×0.988	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.819	×0.920	—	×0.988	0.00%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 64, 1B 101, 2B 97, 3B 117, K 91, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.

Result: wOBA .294 → .240; ISO .073 → .059; BABIP .305 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .