Oswaldo Cabrera — OGILVIE

Oswaldo Cabrera3B Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders

Age 27 S/R 6'0" / 200 lbs AAA HR +8% Svc 3.291 · Ctrl thru 2028 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION321 act + 214 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 4057vR 99

AVG/OBP/SLG.228 / .283 / .340

PA214

HR5

K%24

BB%7

BABIP282

ISO112

MLB%55%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

708.9%

xwOBA

310.286

POWER35

Barrel%

102.6

Avg EV

4188.5

Bat Spd

3169.3

EYE50

Chase%

4832.1%

SPEED45

Sprint

3226.6

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 448 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

105

343

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

234

309

▶▶R

ISO

040

123

▶▶R

BABIP

283

293

▶R

22.9%

18.7%

▶▶R

BB%

4.8%

7.9%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2022

Service 3.291 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.5M	+0.1	$0.4M	-$0.1M
2027	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.5M		$-0.3M	-$0.1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	17	ROK	Pulaski Yankees	—	218	202	55	11	3	3	9	30	4	7	3	272	316	401	717	129	304	14	4	310	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	17	ROK	Pulaski Yankees	—	218	197	68	15	4	4	14	21	4	7	3	345	400	523	923	178	368	10	6	401	165	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	353	328	72	9	0	4	16	67	1	6	0	220	258	284	542	64	261	19	5	232	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	353	318	77	11	0	4	26	46	1	6	0	242	301	314	616	72	268	13	7	276	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	526	497	102	22	1	8	16	90	3	4	9	205	234	302	536	97	233	17	3	228	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	526	485	111	24	1	6	28	66	3	4	9	229	275	320	595	91	251	13	5	264	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A+	Tampa Tarpons	—	493	461	90	27	0	7	22	152	2	10	8	195	235	299	534	104	269	31	4	233	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A+	Tampa Tarpons	—	493	450	117	29	0	8	33	105	2	10	8	260	313	378	691	118	318	21	7	306	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	AA	2 teams	—	514	481	113	31	2	23	27	156	1	21	5	235	277	451	728	216	295	30	5	305	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	AA	2 teams	—	514	467	127	31	2	29	41	127	1	21	5	272	332	533	865	261	312	25	8	373	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA	2 teams	—	379	344	78	18	4	12	27	110	3	13	5	227	289	407	696	180	295	29	7	296	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA	2 teams	—	379	337	86	20	4	14	34	99	3	13	5	255	329	463	792	208	319	26	9	345	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	MLB	3 teams	—	474	428	89	15	0	8	35	104	5	11	2	208	276	299	575	91	255	22	7	253	52	-26	+1	-2	-5	+13	-1.9
2023	24	MLB	3 teams	—	474	424	95	15	2	7	39	93	5	11	2	224	297	318	615	94	270	20	8	279	72	-15	+1	-2	-5	+13	-0.8
2024	25	MLB	New York Yankees	—	326	299	73	11	0	7	21	63	1	4	2	244	296	351	647	107	284	19	6	286	77	-8	+0	+2	+1	+9	0.4
2024	25	MLB	New York Yankees	—	326	299	74	11	0	8	21	63	1	4	2	247	299	365	664	117	286	19	6	294	83	-6	+0	+2	+1	+9	0.7
2025	26	MLB	New York Yankees	—	122	107	26	4	0	1	11	25	2	0	1	243	325	308	633	65	305	20	9	284	75	-3	-0	-1	+0	+3	-0.1
2025	26	MLB	New York Yankees	—	122	107	26	4	0	1	11	25	2	0	1	243	325	308	633	65	305	20	9	290	80	-3	-0	-1	+0	+3	0.0
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	AAA	NYY	—	321	295	73	10	1	8	19	79	0	6	0	247	293	369	662	122	302	25	6	285	76	-9	+1	+0	+1	+9	0.3
YTD	27	AAA	NYY	—	321	285	80	12	1	9	28	66	0	6	0	281	344	425	769	144	327	21	9	336	115	+5	+1	+0	+1	+9	1.7
ROS	27	AAA	NYY	55%	214	197	45	7	0	5	14	51	1	4	0	228	283	340	623	112	285	24	7	281	73	-6	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.1
ROS	27	MLB	NYY	55%	118	109	25	4	0	3	8	28	0	2	0	229	282	349	631	119	286	24	7	281	73	-4	+0	+0	+0	+3	0.1
FULL	27	AAA	NYY	—	439	404	98	14	1	11	27	107	0	8	0	243	290	364	654	121	296	24	6	284	75	-12	+2	+0	+2	+12	0.4
TOT	27	AAA	NYY	—	535	492	118	17	1	13	33	130	1	10	0	240	289	358	647	118	294	24	6	283	75	-15	+2	+0	+2	+15	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	NYY	55%	566	521	119	19	1	12	38	136	2	8	1	228	283	338	621	109	282	24	7	277	70	-19	+1	-1	+2	+16	-0.0
2028	29	MLB	NYY	53%	555	511	115	19	0	11	37	134	2	8	1	225	280	327	607	102	281	24	7	275	69	-20	+1	-1	+2	+16	-0.2
2027	28	MLB	NYY	55%	309	284	65	11	0	7	21	74	1	5	1	229	284	342	626	113	283	24	7	277	70	-10	+1	-0	+1	+9	-0.0
2028	29	MLB	NYY	53%	296	273	61	10	0	6	20	72	1	4	1	223	279	326	605	103	282	24	7	275	69	-10	+0	-1	+1	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1672	1524	352	59	1	36	121	378	7	26	7	231	291	342	632	111	282	23	7	283	75	-48	+2	+2	-5	+47	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	137	23	0	14	47	147	3	10	3	231	291	341	632	110	283	23	7	283	75	-19	+1	+1	-2	+18	-0.0
Career	—			—	4740	4376	977	193	11	101	273	1118	27	96	37	223	273	342	615	118	274	24	6	268	63	-196	+4	+1	+5	+134	-5.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	600	134	26	2	14	37	153	4	13	5	223	273	343	616	120	274	24	6	268	63	-27	+1	+0	+1	+18	-0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	17	ROK	Pulaski Yankees	—	218	197	68	15	4	4	14	21	4	7	3	345	400	523	923	178	368	10	6	401	165	+16	+0	—	—	+6	2.3
2017	18	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	353	318	77	11	0	4	26	46	1	6	0	242	301	314	616	72	268	13	7	276	69	-12	+1	—	—	+10	-0.1
2018	19	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	526	485	111	24	1	6	28	66	3	4	9	229	275	320	595	91	251	13	5	264	61	-23	-3	—	—	+15	-1.2
2019	20	A+	Tampa Tarpons	—	493	450	117	29	0	8	33	105	2	10	8	260	313	378	691	118	318	21	7	306	92	-4	-1	—	—	+14	0.9
2021	22	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	36	30	15	2	1	5	5	9	1	1	0	500	583	1.133	1.717	633	625	25	14	698	393	+12	+0	—	—	+1	1.3
2021	22	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	478	437	112	29	1	24	36	118	0	20	5	256	313	492	805	236	295	25	8	348	125	+13	+2	—	—	+14	2.9
2022	23	MLB	New York Yankees	—	171	154	38	8	1	6	15	44	0	3	2	247	314	429	742	182	305	26	9	325	107	+1	-0	+4	-4	+5	0.6
2022	23	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	208	183	48	12	3	8	19	55	3	10	3	262	341	492	833	230	331	26	9	361	134	+8	+1	—	—	+6	1.5
2023	24	MLB	New York Yankees	—	330	298	63	11	0	5	25	72	2	8	0	211	277	299	576	87	260	22	8	261	58	-16	+2	-2	-5	+9	-1.3
2023	24	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	46	40	9	1	0	2	5	9	1	2	1	225	326	400	726	175	241	20	11	328	109	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	24	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	98	86	23	3	2	0	9	12	2	1	1	267	351	349	699	81	311	12	9	318	101	+0	-0	—	—	+3	0.3
2024	25	MLB	New York Yankees	—	326	299	74	11	0	8	21	63	1	4	2	247	299	365	664	117	286	19	6	294	83	-6	+0	+2	+1	+9	0.7
2025	26	MLB	New York Yankees	—	122	107	26	4	0	1	11	25	2	0	1	243	325	308	633	65	305	20	9	290	80	-3	-0	-1	+0	+3	0.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	949	858	201	34	1	20	72	204	5	15	5	234	297	346	643	112	282	21	8	288	78	-23	+1	+3	-8	+27	0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	6	1,763	16	10	248	297	342	+5	+12	2.4	2.4
#3Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	/162	664	6	4	248	297	342	+1.9	+4.7	0.9	pk7: 2
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	1,653	35	25	231	287	340	+6	+6	0.8	0.8
	/162	664	14	10	231	287	340	+2.4	+2.4	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Oswaldo Cabrera (OGILVIE)	27	50	35	45	50	240/289/358	118	294	13	10	24%	6%	75	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cristhian Adames 2018 · MLB	27	44→54	41→45	43→50	45	213/265/314	101	262	9	7	22%	6%	58	-1.2	224/276/342	118	270	11	7	21%	7%	70	-0.3	228/280/344	116	269	11	5	19%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Mel Rojas Jr. 2017 · AAA	27	46→50	43→45	50	43	226/274/340	114	289	10	12	25%	6%	69	-0.4	227/274/354	127	292	13	10	26%	6%	73	-0.1	228/273/356	127	292	14	4	26%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Yariel Gonzalez 2021 · AAA	27	45→52	45	42→45	44	224/265/340	116	257	13	6	19%	5%	65	-0.7	217/267/346	129	274	17	6	27%	6%	68	-0.5	209/259/334	125	261	18	5	27%	6%	60	-0.7
✕Danny Muno 2016 · MLB	27	47→53	42→45	43→50	49	227/302/329	102	289	10	11	24%	9%	79	+0.3	221/298/320	99	305	8	10	27%	9%	75	-0.0	212/298/309	96	304	6	8	29%	10%	68	-0.2
✕Tomas Perez 2001 · MLB	27	47	42→45	46→40	49	229/289/340	111	275	9	8	20%	8%	76	+0.0	255/312/385	130	296	12	5	17%	7%	97	+1.5	264/320/391	127	304	11	1	16%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Ronnie Merrill 2006 · AAA	27	44→48	41→45	47→50	47	216/273/320	104	261	8	8	21%	7%	63	-0.8	220/277/330	110	278	9	9	23%	7%	68	-0.5	221/281/329	108	279	9	9	23%	7%	67	-0.5
✕Rafael Ynoa 2015 · MLB	27	49→55	38→40	44→55	44	233/277/318	85	287	5	11	20%	6%	64	-0.8	217/257/291	74	281	3	9	23%	5%	48	-1.9	204/246/264	60	267	2	8	23%	5%	33	-2.0
✕Stevie Wilkerson 2019 · MLB	27	48→56	42→45	44→50	40	229/281/329	100	312	9	9	29%	6%	69	-0.4	224/280/349	125	305	13	8	29%	6%	74	-0.1	216/275/334	118	299	12	7	30%	6%	66	-0.3
✕Alejandro Gonzalez 2013 · AAA	27	49	40→45	42→50	44	235/300/323	88	302	9	12	24%	6%	76	+0.1	227/296/330	103	295	10	7	25%	7%	77	+0.1	227/286/327	99	313	7	12	28%	5%	69	-0.3
✕Luis Sardinas 2019 · MLB	26	51→55	41→40	44→55	42	247/280/342	95	289	10	9	19%	4%	71	-0.3	221/263/311	90	269	8	7	20%	5%	56	-1.3	200/243/251	51	248	2	2	19%	5%	32	-1.3
✕Choo Freeman 2007 · MLB	27	48→49	43→45	46→45	44	233/285/347	114	295	10	10	24%	6%	75	-0.0	232/289/342	110	303	11	8	25%	7%	76	+0.1	229/289/324	94	303	9	4	26%	7%	69	-0.3
✕Dan Nelson 2011 · AAA	27	48→51	44→45	45→50	48	235/294/354	120	285	11	10	22%	7%	82	+0.5	242/297/349	107	295	9	7	20%	7%	81	+0.4	254/308/350	96	303	7	2	18%	7%	83	+0.3
✕Cord Phelps 2014 · MLB	27	47→57	45	45	48	232/290/359	126	282	12	8	22%	7%	81	+0.4	223/284/317	94	271	8	6	20%	8%	67	-0.5	215/281/289	74	261	6	4	19%	8%	56	-0.9
✕Danny Mendick 2022 · MLB	28	46→49	43→45	43→50	46	225/285/331	105	277	11	8	23%	7%	72	-0.2	236/295/361	125	290	14	12	23%	7%	84	+0.6	230/289/365	135	277	15	15	22%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Kelvin Gutiérrez 2022 · MLB	27	47→57	42→45	46→50	42	228/279/334	106	300	10	7	27%	6%	69	-0.4	230/284/349	119	295	12	9	25%	7%	76	+0.0	225/279/335	110	286	12	12	25%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Andy González 2009 · MLB	27	44→53	42→40	41→50	49	216/291/316	100	279	10	9	25%	9%	71	-0.3	223/294/321	98	287	10	8	24%	8%	73	-0.1	213/289/307	94	266	10	5	22%	9%	65	-0.4
✕Manuel Bobadilla 2011 · AAA	27	49	42→45	44→45	49	238/302/342	104	287	9	6	20%	8%	82	+0.5	226/297/323	97	286	9	7	23%	7%	76	+0.0	215/297/307	92	281	9	5	25%	8%	69	-0.1
✕Jan Vázquez 2018 · AAA	27	47	41→40	45	44	224/294/321	98	294	8	9	26%	7%	74	-0.1	216/290/323	107	298	10	7	29%	7%	72	-0.2	169/262/249	80	246	8	0	32%	8%	41	-0.7
✕Kenny Perez 2009 · AAA	27	52→54	41→40	47→45	46	250/290/354	104	288	8	7	16%	5%	79	+0.3	246/290/341	95	293	6	6	17%	6%	76	+0.0	253/296/332	80	300	4	2	16%	6%	74	-0.0
✕Rey Navarro 2017 · MLB	27	46→50	41→45	42→50	42	221/253/319	98	256	8	6	18%	4%	53	-1.5	218/259/317	99	254	10	6	18%	5%	56	-1.3	215/259/308	93	246	11	5	17%	5%	52	-1.1