Yariel Gonzalez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 29 | INTLCangrejeros d… | 112 | .267/.333/.297 | 1 | 1 | 84 | — |
| 2024 | 30 | INTLCangrejeros d… | 116 | .204/.316/.306 | 1 | 0 | 79 | — |
| 2025 | 31 | INTLSenadores de … | 136 | .289/.363/.388 | 2 | 0 | 116 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 22 | ROK | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 85 | 78 | 24 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 308 | 357 | 462 | 819 | 154 | 338 | 12 | 7 | 359 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | INTL | Tiburones de Aguadilla | — | 120 | 109 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 275 | 319 | 349 | 668 | 73 | 309 | 11 | 6 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | INTL | Indios de Mayaguez | — | 60 | 52 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 276 | 250 | 526 | 58 | 196 | 10 | 10 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A | Peoria Chiefs | — | 434 | 395 | 123 | 23 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 58 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 311 | 363 | 458 | 821 | 147 | 336 | 13 | 7 | 360 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | INTL | Puerto Rico | — | 132 | 123 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 285 | 323 | 366 | 689 | 81 | 293 | 6 | 5 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 26 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 136 | 240 | 545 | 785 | 409 | 23 | 12 | 321 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2019 | 25 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 234 | 215 | 59 | 10 | 0 | 11 | 17 | 34 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 274 | 330 | 474 | 805 | 200 | 281 | 15 | 7 | 353 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | A+ | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 234 | 215 | 56 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 30 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 260 | 315 | 321 | 636 | 60 | 296 | 13 | 7 | 288 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | INTL | Indios de Mayaguez | — | 77 | 69 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 116 | 187 | 130 | 317 | 14 | 148 | 22 | 8 | 153 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 295 | 263 | 68 | 10 | 0 | 14 | 27 | 65 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 259 | 330 | 456 | 786 | 198 | 287 | 22 | 9 | 344 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | — | 61 | 52 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 365 | 450 | 558 | 1.008 | 192 | 552 | 34 | 11 | 438 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 119 | 107 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 168 | 239 | 206 | 445 | 37 | 222 | 24 | 7 | 209 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 284 | 257 | 66 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 24 | 53 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 257 | 323 | 409 | 731 | 152 | 289 | 19 | 8 | 325 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | INTL | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 126 | 109 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 211 | 301 | 339 | 640 | 128 | 219 | 10 | 11 | 284 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 29 | INTL | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 112 | 101 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 267 | 333 | 297 | 630 | 30 | 310 | 14 | 7 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 30 | INTL | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 116 | 98 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 316 | 306 | 622 | 102 | 253 | 20 | 14 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 31 | INTL | Senadores de San Juan | — | 136 | 121 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 289 | 363 | 388 | 751 | 99 | 355 | 19 | 10 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 22 | ROK MLE | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 85 | 80 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 286 | 375 | 661 | 125 | 270 | 16 | 5 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 434 | 407 | 104 | 19 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 76 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 256 | 290 | 373 | 664 | 118 | 283 | 18 | 4 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 26 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 87 | 160 | 348 | 508 | 261 | 31 | 8 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2019 | 25 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 234 | 222 | 49 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 221 | 258 | 360 | 618 | 140 | 238 | 18 | 4 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 234 | 220 | 45 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 42 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 205 | 246 | 255 | 500 | 50 | 243 | 18 | 5 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 295 | 273 | 58 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 78 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 212 | 261 | 341 | 602 | 128 | 253 | 26 | 6 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 61 | 54 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 296 | 367 | 426 | 793 | 130 | 479 | 41 | 8 | 348 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 119 | 110 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 136 | 188 | 164 | 352 | 27 | 189 | 29 | 4 | 168 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 284 | 266 | 55 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 65 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 207 | 252 | 323 | 575 | 117 | 243 | 23 | 5 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 205 | 191 | 46 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 34 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 241 | 275 | 356 | 631 | 115 | 280 | 17 | 4 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | INTL RAW | 2 teams | — | 205 | 187 | 54 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 23 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 289 | 335 | 396 | 731 | 107 | 321 | 11 | 6 | 320 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | INTL MLE | Indios de Mayaguez | — | 60 | 52 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 276 | 250 | 526 | 58 | 196 | 10 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | INTL RAW | Indios de Mayaguez | — | 60 | 52 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 276 | 250 | 526 | 58 | 196 | 10 | 10 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 566 | 531 | 135 | 25 | 1 | 11 | 25 | 100 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 254 | 289 | 367 | 656 | 113 | 289 | 18 | 4 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 566 | 518 | 158 | 30 | 1 | 12 | 38 | 66 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 305 | 354 | 436 | 790 | 131 | 325 | 12 | 7 | 347 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 571 | 536 | 112 | 18 | 0 | 13 | 28 | 106 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 209 | 250 | 315 | 565 | 106 | 235 | 19 | 5 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA RAW | 4 teams | — | 571 | 521 | 126 | 21 | 0 | 15 | 43 | 87 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 242 | 301 | 369 | 669 | 127 | 262 | 15 | 8 | 298 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 356 | 327 | 74 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 22 | 103 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 226 | 279 | 355 | 634 | 128 | 289 | 29 | 6 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 356 | 315 | 87 | 11 | 0 | 17 | 34 | 86 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 276 | 350 | 473 | 823 | 197 | 323 | 24 | 10 | 360 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 529 | 492 | 93 | 17 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 129 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 189 | 236 | 285 | 520 | 96 | 231 | 24 | 5 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 529 | 473 | 107 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 46 | 94 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 226 | 299 | 347 | 646 | 121 | 257 | 18 | 9 | 289 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 29 | INTL MLE | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 112 | 101 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 267 | 333 | 297 | 630 | 30 | 310 | 14 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 29 | INTL RAW | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 112 | 101 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 267 | 333 | 297 | 630 | 30 | 310 | 14 | 7 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 30 | INTL MLE | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 116 | 98 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 316 | 306 | 622 | 102 | 253 | 20 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 30 | INTL RAW | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 116 | 98 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 316 | 306 | 622 | 102 | 253 | 20 | 14 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 31 | INTL MLE | Senadores de San Juan | — | 136 | 121 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 289 | 363 | 388 | 751 | 99 | 355 | 19 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 31 | INTL RAW | Senadores de San Juan | — | 136 | 121 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 289 | 363 | 388 | 751 | 99 | 355 | 19 | 10 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 205 | 194 | 46 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 34 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 237 | 275 | 351 | 626 | 113 | 270 | 17 | 4 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 566 | 535 | 135 | 25 | 1 | 11 | 25 | 100 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 252 | 289 | 364 | 654 | 112 | 283 | 18 | 4 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 571 | 537 | 112 | 18 | 0 | 13 | 28 | 106 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 209 | 250 | 315 | 564 | 106 | 228 | 19 | 5 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 356 | 329 | 74 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 22 | 103 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 225 | 279 | 353 | 632 | 128 | 292 | 29 | 6 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 529 | 494 | 93 | 17 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 129 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 188 | 236 | 283 | 519 | 95 | 227 | 24 | 5 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2651 | 2449 | 552 | 96 | 2 | 52 | 154 | 543 | 10 | 19 | 14 | 225 | 274 | 330 | 604 | 105 | 266 | 20 | 6 | 220 | 35 | -206 | -2 | +0 | +9 | +57 | -14.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 600 | 136 | 24 | 0 | 13 | 38 | 133 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 227 | 275 | 332 | 606 | 105 | 267 | 20 | 6 | 220 | 35 | -50 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -3.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 AAMississippi Braves · 284 PAwOBA .317 → .257 (−61)K% 18.7% → 22.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.66% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.10% | ÷0.985 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.968 | 5.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.35% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.968 | 0.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.06% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | ×0.973 | ×0.968 | 18.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.032 | ×0.910 | ×0.973 | ×0.968 | 4.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×0.973 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.41% | ÷0.927 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 3.69% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 104, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.
Result: wOBA .317 → .257; ISO .152 → .126; BABIP .289 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 119 PAwOBA .207 → .168 (−40)K% 23.5% → 28.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.53% | ÷1.002 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.72% | ÷0.998 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 4.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.68% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.57% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.72% | ÷1.018 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 15.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.06% | ÷0.966 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 4.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.981 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 104, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 100, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .207 → .168; ISO .037 → .030; BABIP .222 → .189. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 295 PAwOBA .338 → .267 (−70)K% 22.0% → 26.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.03% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.81% | ÷1.038 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 5.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.34% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷0.991 | ×0.930 | ×0.983 | ×1.003 | 20.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.05% | ÷1.013 | ×0.830 | ×0.983 | ×1.003 | 4.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.981 | ×0.920 | ×0.983 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.07% | ÷1.052 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 4.72% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 98, 2B 103, 3B 96, K 100, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .338 → .267; ISO .198 → .138; BABIP .287 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAErie SeaWolves · 61 PAwOBA .433 → .348 (−86)K% 34.4% → 40.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.43% | ÷1.026 | ×1.220 | — | — | 40.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.48% | ÷0.945 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.978 | 8.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.64% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 1.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 48.39% | ÷1.030 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.978 | 43.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.23% | ÷0.935 | ×0.870 | — | ×0.978 | 2.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.68% | ÷1.055 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 7.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 106, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 105, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .433 → .348; ISO .192 → .139; BABIP .552 → .479. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AASpringfield Cardinals · 234 PAwOBA .341 → .272 (−68)K% 14.5% → 18.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.53% | ÷0.985 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.98% | ÷0.965 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 4.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.43% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 0.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.99% | ÷0.974 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 18.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.52% | ÷1.070 | ×0.840 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 4.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.108 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.08% | ÷1.108 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 4.38% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 95, 2B 114, 3B 122, K 97, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .341 → .272; ISO .200 → .145; BABIP .281 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Palm Beach Cardinals · 234 PAwOBA .282 → .224 (−58)K% 12.8% → 18.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.82% | ÷1.014 | ×1.420 | — | — | 17.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.84% | ÷0.991 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.978 | 5.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.32% | ÷1.048 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 19.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.41% | ÷1.047 | ×0.960 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 4.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.54% | ÷0.912 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 0.51% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 110, 2B 109, 3B 80, K 103, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .282 → .224; ISO .060 → .051; BABIP .296 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 26 PAwOBA .311 → .246 (−65)K% 23.1% → 30.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.08% | ÷0.986 | ×1.290 | — | — | 30.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.54% | ÷1.035 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 8.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.014 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.917 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 18.75% | ÷0.982 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 15.38% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 103, 2B 83, 3B 80, K 97, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .311 → .246; ISO .409 → .336; BABIP .000 → .000. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 APeoria Chiefs · 434 PAwOBA .353 → .289 (−64)K% 13.4% → 17.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.36% | ÷1.030 | ×1.360 | — | — | 17.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.45% | ÷0.987 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 4.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.23% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 0.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.11% | ÷1.041 | ×0.920 | ×0.984 | ×0.980 | 22.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.82% | ÷0.968 | ×0.830 | ×0.984 | ×0.980 | 5.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.30% | ÷0.948 | ×0.910 | ×0.984 | ×0.980 | 0.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.26% | ÷0.981 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 2.61% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 108, 2B 94, 3B 90, K 106, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .353 → .289; ISO .147 → .120; BABIP .336 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .